25 of 125 contracts (2,500 sh uncapped) | BE SS: $39.71 | CC-SS: $35.12 (banked floor $29.53) | IV: HIGH | Accounts: Main:1299
| Max Loss | $55,525 | (ND $2.21 + SW $20) x 2500 |
| Normal income ref | $5,464/mo | 95% ann ROI on ML |
| Hedge (static, never rolled) | $0/mo | HP expiry = SP LEAPS; decay โ $840/mo (info only, already in marks) |
| Unrealized P&L | $-31,275 | fortress legs from IBKR |
| Open leg | Acct | Credit/sh | In flight | Opened |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100x $23C 9 Oct 2026 | U10001299 | $0.10 | $979 | 2026-10-08 |
| Status | Leg | Credit/sh | Credit | Opened | Closed | Close/sh | Banked | Account | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OPEN | 100x $23C 9 Oct 2026 | $0.10 | $979 | 2026-10-08 | $0.00 | U10001299 | execution | ||
| CLOSED | 50x $24C 9 Oct 2026 | $0.18 | $906 | 2026-10-07 | 2026-10-08 | $0.04 | $706 | U10001299 | execution |
| CLOSED | 1x $24C 9 Oct 2026 | $0.18 | $18 | 2026-10-07 | 2026-10-08 | $0.03 | $15 | U10001299 | execution |
| CLOSED | 1x $24C 9 Oct 2026 | $0.18 | $18 | 2026-10-07 | 2026-10-08 | $0.03 | $15 | U10001299 | execution |
| CLOSED | 1x $24C 9 Oct 2026 | $0.18 | $18 | 2026-10-07 | 2026-10-08 | $0.04 | $14 | U10001299 | execution |
| CLOSED | 1x $24C 9 Oct 2026 | $0.18 | $18 | 2026-10-07 | 2026-10-08 | $0.03 | $15 | U10001299 | execution |
| CLOSED | 18x $24C 9 Oct 2026 | $0.18 | $326 | 2026-10-07 | 2026-10-08 | $0.03 | $272 | U10001299 | execution |
| CLOSED | 14x $24C 9 Oct 2026 | $0.18 | $254 | 2026-10-07 | 2026-10-08 | $0.04 | $198 | U10001299 | execution |
| CLOSED | 14x $24C 9 Oct 2026 | $0.18 | $254 | 2026-10-07 | 2026-10-08 | $0.04 | $198 | U10001299 | execution |
| CLOSED | 41x $25C 9 Oct 2026 | $0.19 | $779 | 2026-10-06 | 2026-10-07 | $0.09 | $410 | U10001299 | execution |
| CLOSED | 4x $25C 9 Oct 2026 | $0.19 | $76 | 2026-10-06 | 2026-10-07 | $0.12 | $28 | U10001299 | execution |
| CLOSED | 14x $25C 9 Oct 2026 | $0.19 | $266 | 2026-10-06 | 2026-10-07 | $0.09 | $140 | U10001299 | execution |
| CLOSED | 41x $25C 9 Oct 2026 | $0.19 | $779 | 2026-10-06 | 2026-10-07 | $0.09 | $410 | U10001299 | execution |
| CLOSED | 30x $28C 9 Oct 2026 | $0.15 | $437 | 2026-10-05 | 2026-10-06 | $0.03 | $347 | U10001299 | snapshot |
| CLOSED | 40x $28C 9 Oct 2026 | $0.15 | $583 | 2026-10-05 | 2026-10-06 | $0.03 | $463 | U10001299 | snapshot |
| CLOSED | 30x $28C 9 Oct 2026 | $0.15 | $437 | 2026-10-05 | 2026-10-06 | $0.03 | $347 | U10001299 | snapshot |
| EXPIRED | 100x $26C 2 Oct 2026 | $0.26 | $2,631 | 2026-09-29 | 2026-10-05 | $0.00 | $2,631 | U10001299 | snapshot |
| UNKNOWN | 100x $30C 16 Oct 2026 | $0.66 | $6,603 | 2026-09-25 | 2026-09-29 | $0.66 | $0 | U10001299 | snapshot |
| UNKNOWN | 100x $32.5C 16 Oct 2026 | $0.34 | $3,431 | 2026-09-21 | 2026-09-25 | $0.34 | $0 | U10001299 | snapshot |
| UNKNOWN | 100x $26.5C 25 Sep 2026 | $0.16 | $1,600 | 2026-09-18 | 2026-09-21 | $0.16 | $0 | U10001299 | execution |
| EXPIRED | 100x $30C 11 Sep 2026 | $0.13 | $1,258 | 2026-09-08 | 2026-09-14 | $0.00 | $1,258 | U10001299 | snapshot |
| CLOSED | 50x $30C 28 Aug 2026 | $0.11 | $529 | 2026-08-24 | 2026-08-25 | $0.03 | $379 | U10001299 | snapshot |
| CLOSED | 50x $30C 28 Aug 2026 | $0.11 | $529 | 2026-08-24 | 2026-08-25 | $0.03 | $379 | U10001299 | snapshot |
| EXPIRED | 100x $24C 21 Aug 2026 | $0.27 | $2,700 | 2026-08-14 | 2026-08-24 | $0.00 | $2,700 | U10001299 | execution |
| CLOSED | 81x $26C 21 Aug 2026 | $0.14 | $1,134 | 2026-08-13 | 2026-08-14 | $0.09 | $405 | U10001299 | execution |
| CLOSED | 19x $26C 21 Aug 2026 | $0.14 | $266 | 2026-08-13 | 2026-08-14 | $0.09 | $95 | U10001299 | execution |
| CLOSED | 62x $27C 24 Jul 2026 | $0.12 | $744 | 2026-07-18 | 2026-07-20 | $0.19 | $-434 | U10001299 | execution |
| CLOSED | 63x $27C 24 Jul 2026 | $0.12 | $756 | 2026-07-18 | 2026-07-20 | $0.19 | $-441 | U10001299 | execution |
| CLOSED | 50x $30C 17 Jul 2026 | $0.21 | $1,027 | 2026-07-11 | 2026-07-14 | $0.03 | $877 | U10001299 | seed |
| CLOSED | 50x $30C 17 Jul 2026 | $0.21 | $1,027 | 2026-07-11 | 2026-07-14 | $0.03 | $877 | U10001299 | seed |
Each Friday gets its own recommended pick and full income ladder (safest strike per income rung, sized across your 25 contracts). The master ranks the two by E[net]/mo to pick one grand pick; both are shown here so you can choose the tenor that fits your roll cadence.
| Track | Expiry | Sell | Survival | Income/mo | E[net]/mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEXT FRIDAY 🏆 | 16 Oct 2026 · 7d | 24 × $21.50 | 76% | $2,777 | $402 |
| Rung | Sell | Expiry | DTE | OTM | Survival | Touch odds | FIGHT edge | Per cycle | Income/mo | Δ vs pick | Cap give-up | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| ▸ | ๐ก safe yield ← lean | 25 × $28 | 30 Oct | 21d | 39.2% | 95%hist 96% | 10%hist 3% | +2pp | $150 | $214 | -$2,563 | $17,662 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Sell 25 ร $28 39.2% OTM over spot $20.11 30 Oct 2026 (21d, $0.17 mid) = $150 credit for the 21d cycle โ $214/mo projected Survival (stays โค $28) 95% Breach risk 5% POP (stays โค $28.17) 96% EV / mo +$24 ๐ CAMPAIGN OUTLOOK (400 simulated futures, this rung on repeat for 9 months, no directional opinion) FIGHT'S EDGE +2pp 49% whole by 9mo vs 48% doing nothing FIRE DRILLS ~0.2/quarter challenges to roll; realized tends lower (calibration) BANKED RATE WHILE FIGHTING $155/mo median; plan ~$106/mo after 68% keep · $943 banked by campaign end (selling stops once whole) green: with FIGHT · grey: without if it recovers, the typical trip is ~2.2 mo [1.3-4.2], measured ONLY among the 49% of futures that got whole ๐ก IF CHALLENGED (spot reaches the strike) ยท challenge = the strike is touched at any point, so it runs ~2x the breach risk (finishing through it) Challenge odds (touch by expiry) 6% Flat exit net (mid-life) -$5,459 Free roll-up none Safest escape (by 6 Nov 2026) $28 @ 66% POP 55% survival Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 25 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 10 of 21); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic Buyback gross: $3.17/sh now โ $2.24 mid-life (likely $1.38โ$2.60) โ โ $0 at expiry | you banked $0.06/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$2.18/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours ๐ Across 173 simulated challenges: the $28 strike is typically first touched on day 15 of 21, at $29 (overshoots $0.67). The [P25โP75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L โฅ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same from-entry basis as this tool's @cap / total-exit numbers, at the rolled strike. POP = P(stays โค strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays โค strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP. Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) ร a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted +0.5 vol pt per +1% move (spike-vol name: vol expands on a fast move, richer buyback). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened. More detail, income coverage, downside budget, tripwires, held-to-expiry ladder, V-bounce stressIncome coverage
Downside budget ⚠ $28 is $7 below CC-SS $35.12: assignment on a recovery to whole locks the cap give-up below.
Tripwiresprice and time left decide together; the matrix is the playbook The one rule: roll when the short call's remaining TIME VALUE < $0.01/sh (~25% of the $0.06 collected) or spot โฅ $28.17 (breakeven), whichever comes first. Time value = call mark price minus intrinsic (max(0, spot โ $28)); NOT the premium you collected. Momentum override: two daily closes above $26.93 (daily upper band) or daily RSI > 70 โ treat "pressing" as "through".
If held to expiryexact, settlement = intrinsic ยท fortress delta 0.79 (IBKR)
V-BOUNCE STRESS (stock โ CC-SS $35.12, where you are whole again, by expiry) Starting unrealized P&L: $-31,275 + Fortress recovery (un-capped): +$29,579 โ CC assignment net of premium (25 ร $28): -$17,662 Total Position P&L @ SS: $-19,358 (+$11,917 vs today) Do-nothing baseline at SS: $-14,483 (this trade vs do-nothing: $-4,875, the opportunity cost of earning $214/mo FIGHT income now) BB-reversion stress (โ $24.89 20W MA (bounce target), the probable scenario per weekly technicals): CC give-up -$0, position total $-21,858 (+$9,417 vs today) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ | 33% normal | 16 × $21.50 | 16 Oct | 7d | 6.9% | 76%hist 83% | 50%hist 46% | +5pp | $432 | $1,851 | -$926 | $21,368 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Sell 16 ร $21.50 6.9% OTM over spot $20.11 16 Oct 2026 (7d, $0.36 mid) = $432 credit for the 7d cycle โ $1,851/mo projected Survival (stays โค $21.50) 76% Breach risk 24% POP (stays โค $21.86) 80% EV / mo +$216 ๐ CAMPAIGN OUTLOOK (400 simulated futures, this rung on repeat for 9 months, no directional opinion) FIGHT'S EDGE +5pp 47% whole by 9mo vs 42% doing nothing FIRE DRILLS ~3.9/quarter challenges to roll; realized tends lower (calibration) BANKED RATE WHILE FIGHTING $820/mo median; plan ~$558/mo after 68% keep · $5,845 banked by campaign end (selling stops once whole) green: with FIGHT · grey: without if it recovers, the typical trip is ~3.4 mo [1.9-5.2], measured ONLY among the 47% of futures that got whole ๐ก IF CHALLENGED (spot reaches the strike) ยท challenge = the strike is touched at any point, so it runs ~2x the breach risk (finishing through it) Challenge odds (touch by expiry) 39% Flat exit net (mid-life) -$865 Free roll-up +$0/wk Safest escape (by 6 Nov 2026) $25 @ 83% POP 80% survival Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 16 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 3 of 7); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic Buyback gross: $1.15/sh now โ $0.81 mid-life (likely $0.89โ$1.35) โ โ $0 at expiry | you banked $0.27/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$0.54/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours ๐ Across 1,172 simulated challenges: the $22 strike is typically first touched on day 3 of 7, at $22 (overshoots $0.48). The [P25โP75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L โฅ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same from-entry basis as this tool's @cap / total-exit numbers, at the rolled strike. POP = P(stays โค strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays โค strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP. Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) ร a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted +0.5 vol pt per +1% move (spike-vol name: vol expands on a fast move, richer buyback). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened. More detail, income coverage, downside budget, tripwires, held-to-expiry ladder, V-bounce stressIncome coverage
Downside budget ⚠ $21.50 is $14 below CC-SS $35.12: assignment on a recovery to whole locks the cap give-up below.
Tripwiresprice and time left decide together; the matrix is the playbook The one rule: roll when the short call's remaining TIME VALUE < $0.07/sh (~25% of the $0.27 collected) or spot โฅ $21.86 (breakeven), whichever comes first. Time value = call mark price minus intrinsic (max(0, spot โ $22)); NOT the premium you collected. Momentum override: two daily closes above $26.93 (daily upper band) or daily RSI > 70 โ treat "pressing" as "through".
If held to expiryexact, settlement = intrinsic ยท fortress delta 0.79 (IBKR)
V-BOUNCE STRESS (stock โ CC-SS $35.12, where you are whole again, by expiry) Starting unrealized P&L: $-31,275 + Fortress recovery (un-capped): +$29,579 โ CC assignment net of premium (16 ร $21.50): -$21,368 โ Conservative CC assignment net of premium (9 ร $30): -$4,603 Total Position P&L @ SS: $-27,667 (+$3,608 vs today) Do-nothing baseline at SS: $-14,483 (this trade vs do-nothing: $-13,184, the opportunity cost of earning $1,851/mo FIGHT income now) BB-reversion stress (โ $24.89 20W MA (bounce target), the probable scenario per weekly technicals): CC give-up -$4,992, position total $-26,841 (+$4,434 vs today) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ | ๐ฏ 50% normal | 24 × $21.50 | 16 Oct | 7d | 6.9% | 76%hist 83% | 50%hist 46% | +7pp | $648 | $2,777 | — | $32,051 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Sell 24 ร $21.50 6.9% OTM over spot $20.11 16 Oct 2026 (7d, $0.36 mid) = $648 credit for the 7d cycle โ $2,777/mo projected Survival (stays โค $21.50) 76% Breach risk 24% POP (stays โค $21.86) 80% EV / mo +$324 ๐ CAMPAIGN OUTLOOK (400 simulated futures, this rung on repeat for 9 months, no directional opinion) FIGHT'S EDGE +7pp 52% whole by 9mo vs 44% doing nothing FIRE DRILLS ~3.6/quarter challenges to roll; realized tends lower (calibration) BANKED RATE WHILE FIGHTING $1,240/mo median; plan ~$843/mo after 68% keep · $7,988 banked by campaign end (selling stops once whole) green: with FIGHT · grey: without if it recovers, the typical trip is ~2.8 mo [1.7-4.7], measured ONLY among the 52% of futures that got whole ๐ก IF CHALLENGED (spot reaches the strike) ยท challenge = the strike is touched at any point, so it runs ~2x the breach risk (finishing through it) Challenge odds (touch by expiry) 40% Flat exit net (mid-life) -$1,297 Free roll-up +$0/wk Safest escape (by 6 Nov 2026) $25 @ 83% POP 80% survival Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 24 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 3 of 7); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic Buyback gross: $1.15/sh now โ $0.81 mid-life (likely $0.90โ$1.40) โ โ $0 at expiry | you banked $0.27/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$0.54/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours ๐ Across 1,195 simulated challenges: the $22 strike is typically first touched on day 4 of 7, at $22 (overshoots $0.52). The [P25โP75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L โฅ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same from-entry basis as this tool's @cap / total-exit numbers, at the rolled strike. POP = P(stays โค strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays โค strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP. Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) ร a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted +0.5 vol pt per +1% move (spike-vol name: vol expands on a fast move, richer buyback). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened. More detail, income coverage, downside budget, tripwires, held-to-expiry ladder, V-bounce stressIncome coverage
Downside budget ⚠ $21.50 is $14 below CC-SS $35.12: assignment on a recovery to whole locks the cap give-up below.
Tripwiresprice and time left decide together; the matrix is the playbook The one rule: roll when the short call's remaining TIME VALUE < $0.07/sh (~25% of the $0.27 collected) or spot โฅ $21.86 (breakeven), whichever comes first. Time value = call mark price minus intrinsic (max(0, spot โ $22)); NOT the premium you collected. Momentum override: two daily closes above $26.93 (daily upper band) or daily RSI > 70 โ treat "pressing" as "through".
If held to expiryexact, settlement = intrinsic ยท fortress delta 0.79 (IBKR)
V-BOUNCE STRESS (stock โ CC-SS $35.12, where you are whole again, by expiry) Starting unrealized P&L: $-31,275 + Fortress recovery (un-capped): +$29,579 โ CC assignment net of premium (24 ร $21.50): -$32,051 โ Conservative CC assignment net of premium (1 ร $30): -$511 Total Position P&L @ SS: $-34,259 ($-2,984 vs today) Do-nothing baseline at SS: $-14,483 (this trade vs do-nothing: $-19,776, the opportunity cost of earning $2,777/mo FIGHT income now) BB-reversion stress (โ $24.89 20W MA (bounce target), the probable scenario per weekly technicals): CC give-up -$7,488, position total $-29,345 (+$1,930 vs today) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ | 100% normal | 23 × $20.50 | 16 Oct | 7d | 1.9% | 60%hist 68% | 84%hist 79% | +18pp | $1,288 | $5,520 | +$2,743 | $32,349 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Sell 23 ร $20.50 1.9% OTM over spot $20.11 16 Oct 2026 (7d, $0.66 mid) = $1,288 credit for the 7d cycle โ $5,520/mo projected Survival (stays โค $20.50) 60% Breach risk 40% POP (stays โค $21.16) 71% EV / mo +$564 ๐ CAMPAIGN OUTLOOK (400 simulated futures, this rung on repeat for 9 months, no directional opinion) FIGHT'S EDGE +18pp 58% whole by 9mo vs 40% doing nothing FIRE DRILLS ~7.9/quarter challenges to roll; realized tends lower (calibration) BANKED RATE WHILE FIGHTING $1,713/mo median; plan ~$1,165/mo after 68% keep · $10,733 banked by campaign end (selling stops once whole) green: with FIGHT · grey: without if it recovers, the typical trip is ~3.1 mo [1.8-5.3], measured ONLY among the 58% of futures that got whole ๐ก IF CHALLENGED (spot reaches the strike) ยท challenge = the strike is touched at any point, so it runs ~2x the breach risk (finishing through it) Challenge odds (touch by expiry) 67% Flat exit net (mid-life) -$435 Free roll-up +$0/wk Safest escape (by 6 Nov 2026) $25 @ 87% POP 86% survival Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 23 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 3 of 7); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic Buyback gross: $1.06/sh now โ $0.75 mid-life (likely $1.01โ$1.47) โ โ $0 at expiry | you banked $0.56/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$0.19/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours ๐ Across 2,020 simulated challenges: the $20 strike is typically first touched on day 2 of 7, at $21 (overshoots $0.55). The [P25โP75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L โฅ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same from-entry basis as this tool's @cap / total-exit numbers, at the rolled strike. POP = P(stays โค strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays โค strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP. Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) ร a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted +0.5 vol pt per +1% move (spike-vol name: vol expands on a fast move, richer buyback). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened. More detail, income coverage, downside budget, tripwires, held-to-expiry ladder, V-bounce stressIncome coverage
Downside budget ⚠ $20.50 is $15 below CC-SS $35.12: assignment on a recovery to whole locks the cap give-up below.
Tripwiresprice and time left decide together; the matrix is the playbook The one rule: roll when the short call's remaining TIME VALUE < $0.14/sh (~25% of the $0.56 collected) or spot โฅ $21.16 (breakeven), whichever comes first. Time value = call mark price minus intrinsic (max(0, spot โ $20)); NOT the premium you collected. Momentum override: two daily closes above $26.93 (daily upper band) or daily RSI > 70 โ treat "pressing" as "through".
If held to expiryexact, settlement = intrinsic ยท fortress delta 0.79 (IBKR)
V-BOUNCE STRESS (stock โ CC-SS $35.12, where you are whole again, by expiry) Starting unrealized P&L: $-31,275 + Fortress recovery (un-capped): +$29,579 โ CC assignment net of premium (23 ร $20.50): -$32,349 โ Conservative CC assignment net of premium (2 ร $30): -$1,023 Total Position P&L @ SS: $-35,068 ($-3,793 vs today) Do-nothing baseline at SS: $-14,483 (this trade vs do-nothing: $-20,585, the opportunity cost of earning $5,520/mo FIGHT income now) BB-reversion stress (โ $24.89 20W MA (bounce target), the probable scenario per weekly technicals): CC give-up -$8,809, position total $-30,665 (+$610 vs today) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Every eligible strike x expiry in the 4-45 DTE band (4 expiries scanned, 12 clear the income floor), each sized to the minimum contracts that clear it. Sorted by survival (safest first): the primary ๐ฏ is the safest; rows below trade safety for income.
Fortress delta: 0.788 (IBKR) | Recovery@SS: +$29,579 (un-capped fortress gain if stock rallies to SS) | Do-nothing @ SS: $-14,483
| Strike | DTE | Expiry | Bid | Sell | Per cycle | Income/mo | Net/mo | Survival | Touch | POP (mid) | EV/mo | Cap Give-up @ CC-SS | %IC | Recover | Total P&L @ SS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $21.50 | 7d | 16 Oct 2026 | $0.27 | 24/25 | $648 | $2,777 | $2,779 | 76%hist 83% | 50%hist 46% | 80% | +$324 | -$32,051 | 580.1% | 5.9mo | $-34,259 (vs do-nothing $-19,776) |
| $21.50 | 14d | 23 Oct 2026 | $0.58 | 22/25 | $1,276 | $2,734 | $2,739 | 69%hist 65% | 65%hist 56% | 77% | +$103 | -$28,698 | 519.4% | 5.3mo | $-31,929 (vs do-nothing $-17,446) |
| $21 | 7d | 16 Oct 2026 | $0.43 | 15/25 | $645 | $2,764 | $2,779 | 66%hist 65% | 72%hist 68% | 73% | $-604 | -$20,542 | 371.8% | 3.8mo | $-27,353 (vs do-nothing $-12,870) |
| $21 | 14d | 23 Oct 2026 | $0.73 | 18/25 | $1,314 | $2,816 | $2,826 | 64%hist 65% | 77%hist 68% | 74% | +$78 | -$24,111 | 436.4% | 4.4mo | $-29,387 (vs do-nothing $-14,904) |
| $21 | 21d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.88 | 22/25 | $1,936 | $2,766 | $2,770 | 62%hist 65% | 81%hist 79% | 73% | $-292 | -$29,138 | 527.4% | 5.3mo | $-32,369 (vs do-nothing $-17,886) |
| $21 | 28d | 6 Nov 2026 | $1.25 | 21/25 | $2,625 | $2,812 | $2,818 | 62%hist 65% | 84%hist 79% | 73% | +$14 | -$27,037 | 489.4% | 4.9mo | $-30,779 (vs do-nothing $-16,296) |
| $20.50 | 7d | 16 Oct 2026 | $0.56 | 12/25 | $672 | $2,880 | $2,899 | 60%hist 68% | 84%hist 79% | 71% | +$294 | -$16,878 | 305.5% | 3.1mo | $-25,223 (vs do-nothing $-10,740) |
| $20.50 | 14d | 23 Oct 2026 | $0.92 | 14/25 | $1,288 | $2,760 | $2,776 | 58%hist 68% | 89%hist 79% | 71% | +$77 | -$19,187 | 347.3% | 3.5mo | $-26,509 (vs do-nothing $-12,026) |
| $20 | 28d | 6 Nov 2026 | $1.60 | 16/25 | $2,560 | $2,743 | $2,756 | 54%hist 68% | 100%hist 90% | 70% | $-139 | -$21,640 | 391.7% | 4.0mo | $-27,939 (vs do-nothing $-13,456) |
| $20 | 21d | 30 Oct 2026 | $1.32 | 15/25 | $1,980 | $2,829 | $2,843 | 53%hist 68% | 100%hist 90% | 68% | $-173 | -$20,707 | 374.8% | 3.8mo | $-27,518 (vs do-nothing $-13,035) |
| $20 | 14d | 23 Oct 2026 | $1.13 | 12/25 | $1,356 | $2,906 | $2,924 | 52%hist 68% | 100%hist 90% | 69% | +$38 | -$16,794 | 304.0% | 3.1mo | $-25,139 (vs do-nothing $-10,656) |
| $20 | 7d | 16 Oct 2026 | $0.77 | 9/25 | $693 | $2,970 | $2,993 | 50%hist 68% | 100%hist 90% | 66% | $-83 | -$12,919 | 233.8% | 2.4mo | $-22,799 (vs do-nothing $-8,316) |
| Strike | DTE | Expiry | Bid | Sell | Per cycle | Income/mo | Net/mo | Survival | Touch | POP (mid) | EV/mo | Cap Give-up @ CC-SS | %IC | Recover | Total P&L @ SS | Why not eligible |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $30 | 7d | 16 Oct 2026 | $0.01 | 25/25 | $25 | $107 | $107 | 99%hist 96% | 1%hist 3% | 99% | +$86 | -$12,787 | 231.4% | 2.3mo | $-14,483 (vs do-nothing +$0) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $27.50 | 7d | 16 Oct 2026 | $0.02 | 25/25 | $50 | $214 | $214 | 98%hist 96% | 3%hist 3% | 99% | +$141 | -$19,012 | 344.1% | 3.5mo | $-20,708 (vs do-nothing $-6,225) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $30 | 21d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.01 | 25/25 | $25 | $36 | $36 | 97%hist 96% | 6%hist 3% | 97% | $-59 | -$12,787 | 231.4% | 2.3mo | $-14,483 (vs do-nothing +$0) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $26 | 7d | 16 Oct 2026 | $0.02 | 25/25 | $50 | $214 | $214 | 97%hist 96% | 6%hist 3% | 97% | +$66 | -$22,762 | 412.0% | 4.2mo | $-24,458 (vs do-nothing $-9,975) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $27 | 14d | 23 Oct 2026 | $0.04 | 25/25 | $100 | $214 | $214 | 97%hist 96% | 7%hist 3% | 97% | +$78 | -$20,212 | 365.8% | 3.7mo | $-21,908 (vs do-nothing $-7,425) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $29 | 21d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.03 | 25/25 | $75 | $107 | $107 | 96%hist 96% | 7%hist 3% | 97% | $-25 | -$15,237 | 275.8% | 2.8mo | $-16,933 (vs do-nothing $-2,450) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $28 | 21d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.06 | 25/25 | $150 | $214 | $214 | 95%hist 96% | 10%hist 3% | 96% | +$24 | -$17,662 | 319.7% | 3.2mo | $-19,358 (vs do-nothing $-4,875) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $24.50 | 7d | 16 Oct 2026 | $0.02 | 25/25 | $50 | $214 | $214 | 95%hist 96% | 10%hist 3% | 95% | $-69 | -$26,512 | 479.9% | 4.9mo | $-28,208 (vs do-nothing $-13,725) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $29 | 28d | 6 Nov 2026 | $0.01 | 25/25 | $25 | $27 | $27 | 95%hist 96% | 11%hist 13% | 95% | $-187 | -$15,287 | 276.7% | 2.8mo | $-16,983 (vs do-nothing $-2,500) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $27 | 21d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.01 | 25/25 | $25 | $36 | $36 | 94%hist 96% | 13%hist 13% | 94% | $-245 | -$20,287 | 367.2% | 3.7mo | $-21,983 (vs do-nothing $-7,500) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $25.50 | 14d | 23 Oct 2026 | $0.01 | 25/25 | $25 | $54 | $54 | 93%hist 96% | 14%hist 13% | 94% | $-286 | -$24,037 | 435.1% | 4.4mo | $-25,733 (vs do-nothing $-11,250) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $23.50 | 7d | 16 Oct 2026 | $0.02 | 25/25 | $50 | $214 | $214 | 93%hist 96% | 14%hist 13% | 93% | $-203 | -$29,012 | 525.1% | 5.3mo | $-30,708 (vs do-nothing $-16,225) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $24 | 7d | 16 Oct 2026 | $0.03 | 25/25 | $75 | $321 | $321 | 92%hist 96% | 16%hist 13% | 93% | $-286 | -$27,737 | 502.0% | 5.1mo | $-29,433 (vs do-nothing $-14,950) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $25 | 14d | 23 Oct 2026 | $0.01 | 25/25 | $25 | $54 | $54 | 92%hist 96% | 17%hist 13% | 92% | $-402 | -$25,287 | 457.7% | 4.6mo | $-26,983 (vs do-nothing $-12,500) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $27 | 28d | 6 Nov 2026 | $0.02 | 25/25 | $50 | $54 | $54 | 91%hist 96% | 18%hist 13% | 92% | $-336 | -$20,262 | 366.7% | 3.7mo | $-21,958 (vs do-nothing $-7,475) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $26 | 21d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.05 | 25/25 | $125 | $179 | $179 | 91%hist 96% | 18%hist 13% | 92% | $-246 | -$22,687 | 410.6% | 4.2mo | $-24,383 (vs do-nothing $-9,900) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $24.50 | 14d | 23 Oct 2026 | $0.01 | 25/25 | $25 | $54 | $54 | 90%hist 87% | 21%hist 24% | 91% | $-553 | -$26,537 | 480.3% | 4.9mo | $-28,233 (vs do-nothing $-13,750) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $26 | 28d | 6 Nov 2026 | $0.13 | 25/25 | $325 | $348 | $348 | 89%hist 87% | 24%hist 24% | 90% | $-204 | -$22,487 | 407.0% | 4.1mo | $-24,183 (vs do-nothing $-9,700) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $25 | 21d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.19 | 25/25 | $475 | $679 | $679 | 88%hist 87% | 25%hist 24% | 90% | +$27 | -$24,837 | 449.5% | 4.5mo | $-26,533 (vs do-nothing $-12,050) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $24 | 14d | 23 Oct 2026 | $0.04 | 25/25 | $100 | $214 | $214 | 88%hist 87% | 26%hist 24% | 89% | $-589 | -$27,712 | 501.6% | 5.1mo | $-29,408 (vs do-nothing $-14,925) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $23 | 7d | 16 Oct 2026 | $0.07 | 25/25 | $175 | $750 | $750 | 87%hist 87% | 28%hist 24% | 88% | $-596 | -$30,137 | 545.5% | 5.5mo | $-31,833 (vs do-nothing $-17,350) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $25 | 28d | 6 Nov 2026 | $0.28 | 25/25 | $700 | $750 | $750 | 85%hist 87% | 31%hist 31% | 88% | $-48 | -$24,612 | 445.5% | 4.5mo | $-26,308 (vs do-nothing $-11,825) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $23.50 | 14d | 23 Oct 2026 | $0.08 | 25/25 | $200 | $429 | $429 | 85%hist 87% | 31%hist 31% | 87% | $-630 | -$28,862 | 522.4% | 5.3mo | $-30,558 (vs do-nothing $-16,075) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $24 | 21d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.20 | 25/25 | $500 | $714 | $714 | 84%hist 87% | 34%hist 31% | 86% | $-291 | -$27,312 | 494.3% | 5.0mo | $-29,008 (vs do-nothing $-14,525) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $22.50 | 7d | 16 Oct 2026 | $0.10 | 25/25 | $250 | $1,071 | $1,071 | 83%hist 87% | 34%hist 31% | 86% | $-692 | -$31,312 | 566.7% | 5.7mo | $-33,008 (vs do-nothing $-18,525) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $22 | 7d | 16 Oct 2026 | $0.10 | 25/25 | $250 | $1,071 | $1,071 | 83%hist 87% | 36%hist 31% | 85% | $-419 | -$32,562 | 589.4% | 6.0mo | $-34,258 (vs do-nothing $-19,775) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $23 | 14d | 23 Oct 2026 | $0.15 | 25/25 | $375 | $804 | $804 | 82%hist 87% | 38%hist 31% | 84% | $-583 | -$29,937 | 541.8% | 5.5mo | $-31,633 (vs do-nothing $-17,150) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $24 | 28d | 6 Nov 2026 | $0.51 | 25/25 | $1,275 | $1,366 | $1,366 | 81%hist 87% | 41%hist 40% | 85% | +$204 | -$26,537 | 480.3% | 4.9mo | $-28,233 (vs do-nothing $-13,750) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $23 | 21d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.48 | 25/25 | $1,200 | $1,714 | $1,714 | 78%hist 83% | 46%hist 40% | 82% | +$169 | -$29,112 | 526.9% | 5.3mo | $-30,808 (vs do-nothing $-16,325) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $22.50 | 14d | 23 Oct 2026 | $0.35 | 25/25 | $875 | $1,875 | $1,875 | 78%hist 83% | 46%hist 40% | 82% | +$71 | -$30,687 | 555.4% | 5.6mo | $-32,383 (vs do-nothing $-17,900) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $23 | 28d | 6 Nov 2026 | $0.76 | 25/25 | $1,900 | $2,036 | $2,036 | 76%hist 83% | 53%hist 46% | 81% | +$353 | -$28,412 | 514.2% | 5.2mo | $-30,108 (vs do-nothing $-15,625) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $22 | 14d | 23 Oct 2026 | $0.45 | 25/25 | $1,125 | $2,411 | $2,411 | 74%hist 83% | 55%hist 46% | 80% | +$79 | -$31,687 | 573.5% | 5.8mo | $-33,383 (vs do-nothing $-18,900) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $22 | 21d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.69 | 25/25 | $1,725 | $2,464 | $2,464 | 71%hist 83% | 62%hist 56% | 79% | +$122 | -$31,087 | 562.7% | 5.7mo | $-32,783 (vs do-nothing $-18,300) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $22 | 28d | 6 Nov 2026 | $0.75 | 25/25 | $1,875 | $2,009 | $2,009 | 69%hist 65% | 67%hist 56% | 77% | $-387 | -$30,937 | 559.9% | 5.7mo | $-32,633 (vs do-nothing $-18,150) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
Per cycle = bid x 100 x contracts, the cash this expiry pays. Touch = P(strike trades before expiry), with the graded record's hist pill. Recover = months of this income to close the hole to CC-SS. Income/mo = FIGHT leg gross, DTE-prorated. Net/mo = FIGHT + conservative CC gross minus hedge cost. POP (mid) = probability stock closes at or below (strike + mid premium) at expiry, per-strike chain IV when available. Survival = CC expires fully worthless. EV/mo = premium minus expected buyback, monthly, with realized vol = IV x 85% (variance risk premium 15%). Survival, POP and touch use vol x 1.00 (raw implied: the VRP haircut is applied to the premium edge but NOT to risk, because understating the edge costs opportunity while understating breach odds costs capital; the risk-side haircut arms only from the graded ledger). Cap give-up @ SS = recovery mortgaged on a V-bounce to SS, net of premium. Total P&L @ SS = absolute position P&L if the stock closes at SS; "vs do-nothing" = opportunity cost against holding all 25 contracts at the conservative CC.