FORTRESS FIGHT: GOOG-LC300 @ $319.24

BE SS: $373.00  |  CC-SS: $349.34  |  15 contracts (1,500 sh) |  ⌂ PORTFOLIO

GENERATED2026-10-28 03:16

GOOG-LC300 @ $319.24   UNDERWATER $53.76 (14.4% below BE SS)

⚠ EARNINGS · DO NOT SELL INCOME INTO IT
GOOG reports 2026-10-28 (Wed), TOMORROW. The recommended CC (3d) expires on/after it, so selling now holds a short call through the earnings gap, a report can blow past your strike overnight and cap you at a loss. No priced expiry closes before the print, so waiting for it is the only clean option.

15 contracts (1,500 sh)  |  BE SS: $373.00  |  CC-SS: $349.34 (banked floor $319.44)  |  IV: MEDIUM  |  Accounts: Neville:0865

LC: $300 exp 2028-01-21 (entry $90.498/sh)
SP: $345 exp 2028-01-21 (entry $57.446/sh)
HP: $310 exp 2028-01-21 (entry $39.964/sh)

Economics

Max Loss$162,000(ND $73.00 + SW $35) x 1500
Normal income ref$31,235/mo75% ann ROI on ML
Hedge (static, never rolled)$0/moHP expiry = SP LEAPS; decay ≈ $3,587/mo (info only, already in marks)
Unrealized P&L$-36,825fortress legs from IBKR
INCOME GOALPOSTS & VELOCITY
50% INCOME FLOOR
$15,618/mo
HEDGE COVER
$0/mo (static)
NORMAL INCOME
$31,235/mo (ATM CC, chain)
IC VELOCITY
3.5 mo to earn back $109,500
ML VELOCITY
5.2 mo to earn back $162,000
NOT a deep drawdown: a CC at CC-SS $349.34 (probe: $350C 17d) still earns $7,147/mo (23% of normal). Sell the normal CC at/above CC-SS; a FIGHT CC below it is not needed here.
🏦 CAMPAIGN LEDGER , realized CC income since 2026-07-07; banked cash shrinks the hole (shown as an info-only banked floor, the recommended CC-SS stays the pure recovery strike; seeded from open positions, reconciled from IBKR executions nightly)
Banked since 2026-07-07
$37,314
Hole (after banked)
$0
was $36,825 · 101% earned back
Cycles closed
66
Credit in flight
$0
CC-SS · banked floor (info)
$349.34 → $319.44
? 14 leg(s) closed as UNKNOWN (vanished with no fill in window): banked $0, conservative. Fix campaign.json by hand if wrong.
Full leg history (66) and event log · CLOSED 48 · UNKNOWN 14 · EXPIRED 4 · updated 2026-10-28 03:11
StatusLegCredit/shCreditOpenedClosedClose/shBankedAccountSource
CLOSED15x $355C 23 Oct 2026$1.44$2,1612026-10-172026-10-21$0.46$1,471U13190865snapshot
UNKNOWN15x $360C 23 Oct 2026$1.70$2,5552026-10-162026-10-17$1.70$0U13190865snapshot
CLOSED2x $360C 23 Oct 2026$1.71$3422026-10-152026-10-16$0.78$186U13190865execution
CLOSED3x $360C 23 Oct 2026$1.71$5132026-10-152026-10-16$0.78$279U13190865execution
CLOSED1x $360C 23 Oct 2026$1.71$1712026-10-152026-10-16$0.79$92U13190865execution
CLOSED3x $360C 23 Oct 2026$1.71$5132026-10-152026-10-16$0.78$279U13190865execution
CLOSED3x $360C 23 Oct 2026$1.71$5132026-10-152026-10-16$0.78$279U13190865execution
CLOSED3x $360C 23 Oct 2026$1.71$5132026-10-152026-10-16$0.78$279U13190865execution
CLOSED2x $365C 23 Oct 2026$2.38$4762026-10-132026-10-15$1.06$264U13190865execution
CLOSED6x $365C 23 Oct 2026$2.38$1,4282026-10-132026-10-15$1.06$792U13190865execution
CLOSED3x $365C 23 Oct 2026$2.38$7142026-10-132026-10-15$1.06$396U13190865execution
CLOSED2x $365C 23 Oct 2026$2.38$4762026-10-132026-10-15$1.06$264U13190865execution
CLOSED2x $365C 23 Oct 2026$2.38$4762026-10-132026-10-15$1.06$264U13190865execution
CLOSED1x $355C 16 Oct 2026$2.01$2012026-10-062026-10-13$2.98$-97U13190865execution
CLOSED2x $355C 16 Oct 2026$2.01$4022026-10-062026-10-13$2.99$-196U13190865execution
CLOSED3x $355C 16 Oct 2026$2.01$6032026-10-062026-10-13$2.99$-294U13190865execution
CLOSED3x $355C 16 Oct 2026$2.01$6032026-10-062026-10-13$2.99$-294U13190865execution
CLOSED3x $355C 16 Oct 2026$2.01$6032026-10-062026-10-13$2.99$-294U13190865execution
CLOSED2x $355C 16 Oct 2026$2.01$4022026-10-062026-10-13$2.95$-188U13190865execution
CLOSED1x $355C 16 Oct 2026$2.01$2012026-10-062026-10-13$2.94$-93U13190865execution
CLOSED2x $360C 16 Oct 2026$2.52$5052026-10-022026-10-06$1.27$251U13190865snapshot
CLOSED6x $360C 16 Oct 2026$2.52$1,5152026-10-022026-10-06$1.27$753U13190865snapshot
CLOSED3x $360C 16 Oct 2026$2.52$7572026-10-022026-10-06$1.27$376U13190865snapshot
CLOSED2x $360C 16 Oct 2026$2.52$5052026-10-022026-10-06$1.27$251U13190865snapshot
CLOSED2x $360C 16 Oct 2026$2.52$5052026-10-022026-10-06$1.27$251U13190865snapshot
UNKNOWN15x $367.5C 16 Oct 2026$2.69$4,0302026-10-012026-10-02$2.69$0U13190865snapshot
UNKNOWN15x $350C 2 Oct 2026$1.10$1,6522026-09-292026-10-01$1.10$0U13190865snapshot
UNKNOWN15x $355C 2 Oct 2026$1.25$1,8682026-09-282026-09-29$1.25$0U13190865snapshot
EXPIRED15x $342.5C 25 Sep 2026$0.66$9892026-09-252026-09-28$0.00$989U13190865snapshot
UNKNOWN15x $375C 2 Oct 2026$1.41$2,1182026-09-222026-09-25$1.41$0U13190865snapshot
UNKNOWN15x $357.5C 25 Sep 2026$1.46$2,1862026-09-182026-09-22$1.46$0U13190865snapshot
CLOSED1x $345C 11 Sep 2026$0.78$782026-09-092026-09-09$0.23$55U13190865snapshot
CLOSED13x $345C 11 Sep 2026$0.78$1,0132026-09-092026-09-09$0.22$727U13190865snapshot
CLOSED1x $345C 11 Sep 2026$0.78$782026-09-092026-09-09$0.22$56U13190865snapshot
UNKNOWN15x $350C 11 Sep 2026$0.70$1,0542026-09-082026-09-09$0.70$0U13190865snapshot
EXPIRED15x $345C 4 Sep 2026$0.88$1,3132026-09-012026-09-08$0.00$1,313U13190865snapshot
UNKNOWN15x $365C 4 Sep 2026$1.74$2,6162026-08-252026-09-01$1.74$0U13190865snapshot
UNKNOWN15x $352.5C 28 Aug 2026$1.50$2,2542026-08-242026-08-25$1.50$0U13190865snapshot
EXPIRED15x $350C 21 Aug 2026$0.87$1,3112026-08-202026-08-24$0.00$1,311U13190865snapshot
UNKNOWN15x $355C 21 Aug 2026$0.60$8952026-08-182026-08-20$0.60$0U13190865execution
CLOSED3x $405C 18 Dec 2026$15.44$4,6332026-08-072026-08-18$7.93$2,254U13190865snapshot
CLOSED2x $405C 18 Dec 2026$15.44$3,0892026-08-072026-08-18$7.94$1,501U13190865snapshot
CLOSED4x $405C 18 Dec 2026$15.44$6,1782026-08-072026-08-18$7.94$3,002U13190865snapshot
CLOSED4x $405C 18 Dec 2026$15.44$6,1782026-08-072026-08-18$7.94$3,002U13190865snapshot
CLOSED2x $405C 18 Dec 2026$15.44$3,0892026-08-072026-08-18$7.93$1,503U13190865snapshot
UNKNOWN15x $375C 16 Oct 2026$16.81$25,2202026-08-062026-08-07$16.81$0U13190865execution
CLOSED8x $355C 18 Sep 2026$16.36$13,0902026-08-032026-08-06$20.60$-3,390U13190865snapshot
CLOSED2x $355C 18 Sep 2026$16.36$3,2722026-08-032026-08-06$20.77$-882U13190865snapshot
CLOSED1x $355C 18 Sep 2026$16.36$1,6362026-08-032026-08-06$20.71$-435U13190865snapshot
CLOSED2x $355C 18 Sep 2026$16.36$3,2722026-08-032026-08-06$20.70$-868U13190865snapshot
CLOSED2x $355C 18 Sep 2026$16.36$3,2722026-08-032026-08-06$20.70$-868U13190865snapshot
UNKNOWN15x $350C 7 Aug 2026$2.35$3,5252026-07-292026-08-03$2.35$0U13190865execution
CLOSED10x $340C 31 Jul 2026$1.21$1,2062026-07-272026-07-29$2.85$-1,644U13190865snapshot
CLOSED2x $340C 31 Jul 2026$1.21$2412026-07-272026-07-29$2.85$-329U13190865snapshot
CLOSED2x $340C 31 Jul 2026$1.21$2412026-07-272026-07-29$2.85$-329U13190865snapshot
CLOSED1x $340C 31 Jul 2026$1.21$1212026-07-272026-07-29$2.85$-164U13190865snapshot
CLOSED15x $370C 31 Jul 2026$15.01$22,5202026-07-172026-07-23$0.18$22,250U13190865snapshot
UNKNOWN15x $360C 17 Jul 2026$1.87$2,8052026-07-142026-07-17$1.87$0U13190865execution
CLOSED1x $370C 17 Jul 2026$0.65$652026-07-142026-07-14$0.51$14U13190865execution
CLOSED4x $370C 17 Jul 2026$0.65$2602026-07-142026-07-14$0.51$56U13190865execution
CLOSED2x $370C 17 Jul 2026$0.65$1302026-07-142026-07-14$0.51$28U13190865execution
CLOSED2x $370C 17 Jul 2026$0.65$1302026-07-142026-07-14$0.51$28U13190865execution
CLOSED4x $370C 17 Jul 2026$0.65$2602026-07-142026-07-14$0.51$56U13190865execution
CLOSED2x $370C 17 Jul 2026$0.65$1302026-07-142026-07-14$0.51$28U13190865execution
UNKNOWN5x $400C 31 Jul 2026$3.20$1,5982026-07-072026-07-14$3.20$0U13190865snapshot
EXPIRED15x $375C 10 Jul 2026$1.85$2,7792026-07-072026-07-11$0.00$2,779U13190865seed
Event log
2026-10-21 CLOSED 15x $355C 20261023: banked $1,471
2026-10-17 TRACKING 15x $355C 20261023 @ $1.44 (snapshot)
2026-10-17 ? 15x $360C 20261023 vanished with no fill in reqExecutions or the fills ledger: banked $0 (conservative; a late fill repairs it)
2026-10-16 TRACKING 15x $360C 20261023 @ $1.70 (snapshot)
2026-10-16 CLOSED 2x $360C 20261023: banked $186
2026-10-16 PARTIAL CLOSE 3x $360C: banked $279 (2 remain)
2026-10-16 PARTIAL CLOSE 3x $360C: banked $279 (5 remain)
2026-10-16 PARTIAL CLOSE 3x $360C: banked $279 (8 remain)
2026-10-16 PARTIAL CLOSE 1x $360C: banked $92 (11 remain)
2026-10-16 PARTIAL CLOSE 3x $360C: banked $279 (12 remain)
2026-10-16 SLD 2x $355C 20261023 @ $1.45 has no matching short position (long-close or round-trip; ignored)
2026-10-16 SLD 3x $355C 20261023 @ $1.45 has no matching short position (long-close or round-trip; ignored)
2026-10-16 SLD 3x $355C 20261023 @ $1.45 has no matching short position (long-close or round-trip; ignored)
2026-10-16 SLD 3x $355C 20261023 @ $1.44 has no matching short position (long-close or round-trip; ignored)
2026-10-16 SLD 1x $355C 20261023 @ $1.45 has no matching short position (long-close or round-trip; ignored)
2026-10-16 SLD 3x $355C 20261023 @ $1.44 has no matching short position (long-close or round-trip; ignored)
2026-10-16 BOT 5x $360C 20261016 @ $0.25 with no tracked leg (ignored)
2026-10-15 CLOSED 2x $365C 20261023: banked $264
2026-10-15 PARTIAL CLOSE 2x $365C: banked $264 (2 remain)
2026-10-15 PARTIAL CLOSE 2x $365C: banked $264 (4 remain)
2026-10-15 PARTIAL CLOSE 3x $365C: banked $396 (6 remain)
2026-10-15 PARTIAL CLOSE 6x $365C: banked $792 (9 remain)
2026-10-15 SOLD 2x $360C 20261023 @ $1.71 (extends leg to 15)
2026-10-15 SOLD 2x $360C 20261023 @ $1.71 (extends leg to 13)
2026-10-15 SOLD 2x $360C 20261023 @ $1.71 (extends leg to 11)
2026-10-15 SOLD 3x $360C 20261023 @ $1.71 (extends leg to 9)
2026-10-15 SOLD 6x $360C 20261023 @ $1.71 (new leg)
2026-10-13 CLOSED 1x $355C 20261016: banked $-97
2026-10-13 PARTIAL CLOSE 1x $355C: banked $-93 (1 remain)
2026-10-13 PARTIAL CLOSE 2x $355C: banked $-188 (2 remain)
2026-10-13 SOLD 1x $365C 20261023 @ $2.38 (extends leg to 15)
2026-10-13 SOLD 1x $365C 20261023 @ $2.34 (extends leg to 14)
2026-10-13 SOLD 2x $365C 20261023 @ $2.35 (extends leg to 13)
2026-10-13 PARTIAL CLOSE 3x $355C: banked $-294 (4 remain)
2026-10-13 PARTIAL CLOSE 3x $355C: banked $-294 (7 remain)
2026-10-13 PARTIAL CLOSE 3x $355C: banked $-294 (10 remain)
2026-10-13 PARTIAL CLOSE 2x $355C: banked $-196 (13 remain)
2026-10-13 SOLD 3x $365C 20261023 @ $2.39 (extends leg to 11)
2026-10-13 SOLD 3x $365C 20261023 @ $2.39 (extends leg to 8)
2026-10-13 SOLD 3x $365C 20261023 @ $2.39 (extends leg to 5)
TECHNICALS (cc_timing weekly gate + daily trigger)
WEEKLYPULLBACK · %B 6 (live) · RSI 43 · MACD bearish, hist falling
DAILYFALLING (provisional) · RSI 36 · %B 13 · hist falling (nightly)
LEVELS20W MA (bounce target) $341.62 (+7%) · daily UBB $359.34 · 1-wk expected move ±$19 (chain IV)
SETUPSpring loaded, not ignited: 🎯 or 💎 at short DTE, normal tripwires. (advisory; floors and picks are chain-only)
⚠ Next earnings 2026-10-28: candidates whose expiry crosses it are flagged in the spectrum; EV is unreliable across earnings.
NOT a deep drawdown. A CC at/above CC-SS $349.34 keeps this fortress whole if assigned, so there is no need to FIGHT below it. Three income options to consider, richer → safer, all at/above CC-SS. Click a card for its if-challenged roll menu.
🎯 Recommended · sell 15 × $350 30 Oct 2026 (3d) · richest strike still ≥80% survivalroll menu if challenged ▾
Survival (stays ≤ $350)
90%
Touch odds
20%
Per cycle
$1,950
Income / mo
$19,500
🛡 Safer · sell 15 × $405 30 Oct 2026 (3d) · higher survival, lighter premiumroll menu if challenged ▾
Survival (stays ≤ $405)
100%
Touch odds
1%
Per cycle
$15
Income / mo
$150
🛡 Safer · sell 15 × $410 30 Oct 2026 (3d) · higher survival, lighter premiumroll menu if challenged ▾
Survival (stays ≤ $410)
100%
Touch odds
1%
Per cycle
$30
Income / mo
$300
⚔ FIGHT CC options · full candidate scan (42 clear the floor), click to expand

Every eligible strike x expiry in the 3-45 DTE band (4 expiries scanned, 42 clear the income floor), each sized to the minimum contracts that clear it. Sorted by survival (safest first): the primary 🎯 is the safest; rows below trade safety for income.

Fortress delta: 0.820 (IBKR)  |  Recovery@SS: +$37,023 (un-capped fortress gain if stock rallies to SS)  |  Do-nothing @ SS: $1,008

StrikeDTEExpiryBidSellPer cycleIncome/moNet/moSurvivalTouchPOP (mid)EV/moCap Give-up @ CC-SS%ICRecoverTotal P&L @ SS
$347.503d30 Oct 2026$1.5715/15$2,355$23,550$23,55099%hist 95%3%hist 4%99%+$23,279-$4060.4%0.0mo$-207 (vs do-nothing $-1,216)
$3453d30 Oct 2026$1.8915/15$2,835$28,350$28,35098%hist 95%4%hist 4%98%+$27,823-$3,6763.4%0.1mo$-3,477 (vs do-nothing $-4,486)
$342.503d30 Oct 2026$2.2515/15$3,375$33,750$33,75097%hist 95%7%hist 4%98%+$32,761-$6,8866.3%0.2mo$-6,687 (vs do-nothing $-7,696)
$3403d30 Oct 2026$2.6615/15$3,990$39,900$39,90095%hist 95%10%hist 13%97%+$38,112-$10,0219.2%0.3mo$-9,822 (vs do-nothing $-10,831)
$352.503d30 Oct 2026$1.0815/15$1,620$16,200$16,20092%hist 95%17%hist 13%92%+$8,507-$00.0%0.0mo$1,818 (vs do-nothing +$810)
$3503d30 Oct 2026$1.3015/15$1,950$19,500$19,50090%hist 95%20%hist 23%91%+$9,570-$00.0%0.0mo$2,148 (vs do-nothing +$1,140)
$3353d30 Oct 2026$3.7515/15$5,625$56,250$56,25090%hist 86%21%hist 23%94%+$51,001-$15,88614.5%0.5mo$-15,687 (vs do-nothing $-16,696)
$332.503d30 Oct 2026$4.3515/15$6,525$65,250$65,25086%hist 86%29%hist 23%92%+$56,724-$18,73617.1%0.6mo$-18,537 (vs do-nothing $-19,546)
$3303d30 Oct 2026$5.1515/15$7,725$77,250$77,25081%hist 86%39%hist 30%90%+$63,879-$21,28619.4%0.7mo$-21,087 (vs do-nothing $-22,096)
$337.503d30 Oct 2026$3.1015/15$4,650$46,500$46,50079%hist 83%43%hist 40%82%+$15,964-$13,11112.0%0.4mo$-12,912 (vs do-nothing $-13,921)
$34010d6 Nov 2026$3.7015/15$5,550$16,650$16,65079%hist 83%44%hist 40%82%+$5,819-$8,4617.7%0.3mo$-8,262 (vs do-nothing $-9,271)
$337.5010d6 Nov 2026$4.3015/15$6,450$19,350$19,35076%hist 83%49%hist 40%81%+$6,405-$11,31110.3%0.4mo$-11,112 (vs do-nothing $-12,121)
$33510d6 Nov 2026$4.9015/15$7,350$22,050$22,05073%hist 83%55%hist 44%79%+$6,652-$14,16112.9%0.5mo$-13,962 (vs do-nothing $-14,971)
Show 29 more candidates (lower strikes: more income, lower survival)
StrikeDTEExpiryBidSellPer cycleIncome/moNet/moSurvivalTouchPOP (mid)EV/moCap Give-up @ CC-SS%ICRecoverTotal P&L @ SS
$332.5010d6 Nov 2026$5.6515/15$8,475$25,425$25,42570%hist 83%61%hist 54%77%+$7,201-$16,78615.3%0.5mo$-16,587 (vs do-nothing $-17,596)
$332.5017d13 Nov 2026$6.6515/15$9,975$17,603$17,60369%hist 66%65%hist 54%76%+$4,647-$15,28614.0%0.5mo$-15,087 (vs do-nothing $-16,096)
$33010d6 Nov 2026$6.4515/15$9,675$29,025$29,02567%hist 66%68%hist 54%75%+$7,569-$19,33617.7%0.6mo$-19,137 (vs do-nothing $-20,146)
$33017d13 Nov 2026$7.7015/15$11,550$20,382$20,38266%hist 66%71%hist 68%75%+$5,422-$17,46115.9%0.6mo$-17,262 (vs do-nothing $-18,271)
$327.503d30 Oct 2026$6.0015/15$9,000$90,000$90,00065%hist 66%72%hist 68%74%+$22,596-$23,76121.7%0.8mo$-23,562 (vs do-nothing $-24,571)
$33024d20 Nov 2026$8.8515/15$13,275$16,594$16,59465%hist 66%73%hist 68%74%+$4,364-$15,73614.4%0.5mo$-15,537 (vs do-nothing $-16,546)
$327.5010d6 Nov 2026$7.3515/15$11,025$33,075$33,07564%hist 66%75%hist 68%73%+$7,954-$21,73619.8%0.7mo$-21,537 (vs do-nothing $-22,546)
$327.5017d13 Nov 2026$8.4515/15$12,675$22,368$22,36863%hist 66%77%hist 68%73%+$5,167-$20,08618.3%0.6mo$-19,887 (vs do-nothing $-20,896)
$327.5024d20 Nov 2026$9.7015/15$14,550$18,188$18,18862%hist 66%79%hist 68%73%+$4,292-$18,21116.6%0.6mo$-18,012 (vs do-nothing $-19,021)
$3253d30 Oct 2026$6.9015/15$10,350$103,500$103,50061%hist 66%80%hist 68%72%+$22,886-$26,16123.9%0.8mo$-25,962 (vs do-nothing $-26,971)
$32510d6 Nov 2026$8.3015/15$12,450$37,350$37,35060%hist 66%82%hist 79%71%+$8,105-$24,06122.0%0.8mo$-23,862 (vs do-nothing $-24,871)
$32517d13 Nov 2026$9.4515/15$14,175$25,015$25,01559%hist 70%84%hist 79%71%+$5,326-$22,33620.4%0.7mo$-22,137 (vs do-nothing $-23,146)
$32524d20 Nov 2026$10.7515/15$16,125$20,156$20,15659%hist 70%85%hist 79%71%+$4,436-$20,38618.6%0.7mo$-20,187 (vs do-nothing $-21,196)
$322.503d30 Oct 2026$8.0015/15$12,000$120,000$120,00057%hist 70%88%hist 79%70%+$24,401-$28,26125.8%0.9mo$-28,062 (vs do-nothing $-29,071)
$322.5010d6 Nov 2026$9.5515/15$14,325$42,975$42,97556%hist 70%90%hist 79%70%+$9,127-$25,93623.7%0.8mo$-25,737 (vs do-nothing $-26,746)
$322.5017d13 Nov 2026$10.5515/15$15,825$27,926$27,92656%hist 70%91%hist 89%70%+$5,491-$24,43622.3%0.8mo$-24,237 (vs do-nothing $-25,246)
$322.5024d20 Nov 2026$11.9015/15$17,850$22,312$22,31256%hist 70%92%hist 89%70%+$4,604-$22,41120.5%0.7mo$-22,212 (vs do-nothing $-23,221)
$32024d20 Nov 2026$13.0515/15$19,575$24,469$24,46953%hist 70%98%hist 89%68%+$4,606-$24,43622.3%0.8mo$-24,237 (vs do-nothing $-25,246)
$32017d13 Nov 2026$11.8015/15$17,700$31,235$31,23553%hist 70%98%hist 89%68%+$5,788-$26,31124.0%0.8mo$-26,112 (vs do-nothing $-27,121)
$32010d6 Nov 2026$10.6015/15$15,900$47,700$47,70053%hist 70%98%hist 89%68%+$8,755-$28,11125.7%0.9mo$-27,912 (vs do-nothing $-28,921)
$3203d30 Oct 2026$9.1015/15$13,650$136,500$136,50053%hist 70%97%hist 89%68%+$24,086-$30,36127.7%1.0mo$-30,162 (vs do-nothing $-31,171)
$317.5024d20 Nov 2026$14.3515/15$21,525$26,906$26,90650%100%hist 89%67%+$4,721-$26,23624.0%0.8mo$-26,037 (vs do-nothing $-27,046)
$317.5017d13 Nov 2026$13.0015/15$19,500$34,412$34,41249%100%hist 89%67%+$5,680-$28,26125.8%0.9mo$-28,062 (vs do-nothing $-29,071)
$317.5010d6 Nov 2026$11.9515/15$17,925$53,775$53,77549%100%hist 89%66%+$9,231-$29,83627.2%1.0mo$-29,637 (vs do-nothing $-30,646)
$317.503d30 Oct 2026$10.3515/15$15,525$155,250$155,25048%100%hist 89%66%+$24,159-$32,23629.4%1.0mo$-32,037 (vs do-nothing $-33,046)
$31524d20 Nov 2026$15.7015/15$23,550$29,438$29,43847%100%hist 89%66%+$4,760-$27,96125.5%0.9mo$-27,762 (vs do-nothing $-28,771)
$31517d13 Nov 2026$14.4515/15$21,675$38,250$38,25046%100%hist 89%65%+$5,962-$29,83627.2%1.0mo$-29,637 (vs do-nothing $-30,646)
$31510d6 Nov 2026$13.2015/15$19,800$59,400$59,40045%100%hist 89%65%+$8,751-$31,71129.0%1.0mo$-31,512 (vs do-nothing $-32,521)
$3153d30 Oct 2026$11.6515/15$17,475$174,750$174,75044%100%hist 89%64%+$23,113-$34,03631.1%1.1mo$-33,837 (vs do-nothing $-34,846)
94 more priced, not eligible (safety, income floor or quote screens): shown for reference
StrikeDTEExpiryBidSellPer cycleIncome/moNet/moSurvivalTouchPOP (mid)EV/moCap Give-up @ CC-SS%ICRecoverTotal P&L @ SSWhy not eligible
$4103d30 Oct 2026$0.0215/15$30$300$30099+%hist 95%1%hist 4%100%+$218-$00.0%0.0mo$228 (vs do-nothing $-780)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$4053d30 Oct 2026$0.0115/15$15$150$15099+%hist 95%1%hist 4%100%+$46-$00.0%0.0mo$213 (vs do-nothing $-795)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$4003d30 Oct 2026$0.0515/15$75$750$75099+%hist 95%1%hist 4%100%+$617-$00.0%0.0mo$273 (vs do-nothing $-735)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$397.503d30 Oct 2026$0.0115/15$15$150$15099+%hist 95%1%hist 4%100%$-1-$00.0%0.0mo$213 (vs do-nothing $-795)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$3953d30 Oct 2026$0.0115/15$15$150$15099%hist 95%1%hist 4%99%$-23-$00.0%0.0mo$213 (vs do-nothing $-795)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$392.503d30 Oct 2026$0.0215/15$30$300$30099%hist 95%1%hist 4%99%+$101-$00.0%0.0mo$228 (vs do-nothing $-780)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$41010d6 Nov 2026$0.0715/15$105$315$31599%hist 95%1%hist 4%99%+$224-$00.0%0.0mo$303 (vs do-nothing $-705)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$3903d30 Oct 2026$0.0715/15$105$1,050$1,05099%hist 95%1%hist 4%99%+$818-$00.0%0.0mo$303 (vs do-nothing $-705)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$387.503d30 Oct 2026$0.0715/15$105$1,050$1,05099%hist 95%2%hist 4%99%+$776-$00.0%0.0mo$303 (vs do-nothing $-705)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$40510d6 Nov 2026$0.0815/15$120$360$36099%hist 95%2%hist 4%99%+$243-$00.0%0.0mo$318 (vs do-nothing $-690)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$3853d30 Oct 2026$0.0915/15$135$1,350$1,35099%hist 95%2%hist 4%99%+$1,020-$00.0%0.0mo$333 (vs do-nothing $-675)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$41017d13 Nov 2026$0.1215/15$180$318$31899%hist 95%2%hist 4%99%+$218-$00.0%0.0mo$378 (vs do-nothing $-630)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$40010d6 Nov 2026$0.1315/15$195$585$58599%hist 95%2%hist 4%99%+$432-$00.0%0.0mo$393 (vs do-nothing $-615)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$382.503d30 Oct 2026$0.0815/15$120$1,200$1,20099%hist 95%2%hist 4%99%+$783-$00.0%0.0mo$318 (vs do-nothing $-690)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$40517d13 Nov 2026$0.1515/15$225$397$39799%hist 95%2%hist 4%99%+$268-$00.0%0.0mo$423 (vs do-nothing $-585)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$39510d6 Nov 2026$0.1415/15$210$630$63099%hist 95%3%hist 4%99%+$429-$00.0%0.0mo$408 (vs do-nothing $-600)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$3803d30 Oct 2026$0.1315/15$195$1,950$1,95099%hist 95%3%hist 4%99%+$1,419-$00.0%0.0mo$393 (vs do-nothing $-615)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$40017d13 Nov 2026$0.2215/15$330$582$58299%hist 95%3%hist 4%99%+$413-$00.0%0.0mo$528 (vs do-nothing $-480)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$377.503d30 Oct 2026$0.1015/15$150$1,500$1,50099%hist 95%3%hist 4%99%+$837-$00.0%0.0mo$348 (vs do-nothing $-660)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$39010d6 Nov 2026$0.1915/15$285$855$85598%hist 95%3%hist 4%98%+$586-$00.0%0.0mo$483 (vs do-nothing $-525)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$41024d20 Nov 2026$0.2815/15$420$525$52598%hist 95%3%hist 4%98%+$367-$00.0%0.0mo$618 (vs do-nothing $-390)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$387.5010d6 Nov 2026$0.2215/15$330$990$99098%hist 95%4%hist 4%98%+$676-$00.0%0.0mo$528 (vs do-nothing $-480)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$3753d30 Oct 2026$0.1615/15$240$2,400$2,40098%hist 95%4%hist 4%98%+$1,573-$00.0%0.0mo$438 (vs do-nothing $-570)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$39517d13 Nov 2026$0.1015/15$150$265$26598%hist 95%4%hist 4%98%+$40-$00.0%0.0mo$348 (vs do-nothing $-660)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$40524d20 Nov 2026$0.3015/15$450$562$56298%hist 95%4%hist 4%98%+$370-$00.0%0.0mo$648 (vs do-nothing $-360)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$38510d6 Nov 2026$0.2515/15$375$1,125$1,12598%hist 95%4%hist 4%98%+$758-$00.0%0.0mo$573 (vs do-nothing $-435)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$392.5017d13 Nov 2026$0.1115/15$165$291$29198%hist 95%4%hist 4%98%+$32-$00.0%0.0mo$363 (vs do-nothing $-645)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$372.503d30 Oct 2026$0.1915/15$285$2,850$2,85098%hist 95%4%hist 4%98%+$1,807-$00.0%0.0mo$483 (vs do-nothing $-525)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$40024d20 Nov 2026$0.3915/15$585$731$73198%hist 95%4%hist 4%98%+$493-$00.0%0.0mo$783 (vs do-nothing $-225)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$382.5010d6 Nov 2026$0.2815/15$420$1,260$1,26098%hist 95%4%hist 4%98%+$828-$00.0%0.0mo$618 (vs do-nothing $-390)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$3703d30 Oct 2026$0.2415/15$360$3,600$3,60098%hist 95%5%hist 4%98%+$2,273-$00.0%0.0mo$558 (vs do-nothing $-450)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$38010d6 Nov 2026$0.3615/15$540$1,620$1,62097%hist 95%5%hist 4%98%+$1,110-$00.0%0.0mo$738 (vs do-nothing $-270)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$387.5017d13 Nov 2026$0.1515/15$225$397$39797%hist 95%5%hist 4%98%+$48-$00.0%0.0mo$423 (vs do-nothing $-585)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$39524d20 Nov 2026$0.4415/15$660$825$82597%hist 95%5%hist 4%97%+$526-$00.0%0.0mo$858 (vs do-nothing $-150)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$367.503d30 Oct 2026$0.2915/15$435$4,350$4,35097%hist 95%6%hist 4%97%+$2,754-$00.0%0.0mo$633 (vs do-nothing $-375)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$38517d13 Nov 2026$0.2115/15$315$556$55697%hist 95%6%hist 4%97%+$149-$00.0%0.0mo$513 (vs do-nothing $-495)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$377.5010d6 Nov 2026$0.4115/15$615$1,845$1,84597%hist 95%6%hist 4%97%+$1,238-$00.0%0.0mo$813 (vs do-nothing $-195)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$39024d20 Nov 2026$0.5315/15$795$994$99497%hist 95%6%hist 4%97%+$613-$00.0%0.0mo$993 (vs do-nothing $-15)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$382.5017d13 Nov 2026$0.2315/15$345$609$60997%hist 95%6%hist 4%97%+$134-$00.0%0.0mo$543 (vs do-nothing $-465)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$37510d6 Nov 2026$0.4715/15$705$2,115$2,11597%hist 95%7%hist 4%97%+$1,389-$00.0%0.0mo$903 (vs do-nothing $-105)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$3653d30 Oct 2026$0.3415/15$510$5,100$5,10097%hist 95%7%hist 4%97%+$2,941-$00.0%0.0mo$708 (vs do-nothing $-300)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$38017d13 Nov 2026$0.5515/15$825$1,456$1,45696%hist 95%7%hist 4%97%+$900-$00.0%0.0mo$1,023 (vs do-nothing +$15)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$372.5010d6 Nov 2026$0.5415/15$810$2,430$2,43096%hist 95%8%hist 4%96%+$1,557-$00.0%0.0mo$1,008 (vs do-nothing $-0)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$38524d20 Nov 2026$0.6615/15$990$1,238$1,23896%hist 95%8%hist 4%96%+$746-$00.0%0.0mo$1,188 (vs do-nothing +$180)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$362.503d30 Oct 2026$0.4615/15$690$6,900$6,90096%hist 95%8%hist 4%96%+$4,281-$00.0%0.0mo$888 (vs do-nothing $-120)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$377.5017d13 Nov 2026$0.5715/15$855$1,509$1,50996%hist 95%8%hist 4%96%+$855-$00.0%0.0mo$1,053 (vs do-nothing +$45)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$37010d6 Nov 2026$0.6215/15$930$2,790$2,79096%hist 95%9%hist 4%96%+$1,735-$00.0%0.0mo$1,128 (vs do-nothing +$120)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$37517d13 Nov 2026$0.6615/15$990$1,747$1,74795%hist 95%9%hist 4%96%+$978-$00.0%0.0mo$1,188 (vs do-nothing +$180)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$38024d20 Nov 2026$0.8215/15$1,230$1,537$1,53795%hist 95%10%hist 4%96%+$895-$00.0%0.0mo$1,428 (vs do-nothing +$420)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$367.5010d6 Nov 2026$0.6715/15$1,005$3,015$3,01595%hist 95%10%hist 4%95%+$1,736-$00.0%0.0mo$1,203 (vs do-nothing +$195)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$3603d30 Oct 2026$0.6015/15$900$9,000$9,00095%hist 95%10%hist 13%95%+$5,295-$00.0%0.0mo$1,098 (vs do-nothing +$90)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$37017d13 Nov 2026$0.9115/15$1,365$2,409$2,40994%hist 95%11%hist 13%95%+$1,403-$00.0%0.0mo$1,563 (vs do-nothing +$555)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$36510d6 Nov 2026$0.7915/15$1,185$3,555$3,55594%hist 95%11%hist 13%95%+$1,999-$00.0%0.0mo$1,383 (vs do-nothing +$375)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$37524d20 Nov 2026$1.0215/15$1,530$1,912$1,91294%hist 95%12%hist 13%95%+$1,061-$00.0%0.0mo$1,728 (vs do-nothing +$720)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$357.503d30 Oct 2026$0.7315/15$1,095$10,950$10,95094%hist 95%12%hist 13%94%+$6,373-$00.0%0.0mo$1,293 (vs do-nothing +$285)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$367.5017d13 Nov 2026$0.9915/15$1,485$2,621$2,62194%hist 95%13%hist 13%94%+$1,402-$00.0%0.0mo$1,683 (vs do-nothing +$675)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$362.5010d6 Nov 2026$0.9315/15$1,395$4,185$4,18594%hist 95%13%hist 13%94%+$2,288-$00.0%0.0mo$1,593 (vs do-nothing +$585)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$3553d30 Oct 2026$0.8915/15$1,335$13,350$13,35093%hist 95%14%hist 13%93%+$7,380-$00.0%0.0mo$1,533 (vs do-nothing +$525)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$37024d20 Nov 2026$1.3515/15$2,025$2,531$2,53193%hist 95%15%hist 13%93%+$1,390-$00.0%0.0mo$2,223 (vs do-nothing +$1,215)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$36517d13 Nov 2026$1.1915/15$1,785$3,150$3,15093%hist 95%15%hist 13%93%+$1,635-$00.0%0.0mo$1,983 (vs do-nothing +$975)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$36010d6 Nov 2026$1.0915/15$1,635$4,905$4,90593%hist 95%15%hist 13%93%+$2,590-$00.0%0.0mo$1,833 (vs do-nothing +$825)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$362.5017d13 Nov 2026$1.3115/15$1,965$3,468$3,46892%hist 95%16%hist 13%93%+$1,792-$00.0%0.0mo$2,163 (vs do-nothing +$1,155)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$357.5010d6 Nov 2026$1.2715/15$1,905$5,715$5,71591%hist 95%17%hist 13%92%+$2,889-$00.0%0.0mo$2,103 (vs do-nothing +$1,095)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$36524d20 Nov 2026$1.6815/15$2,520$3,150$3,15091%hist 95%18%hist 13%92%+$1,607-$00.0%0.0mo$2,718 (vs do-nothing +$1,710)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$36017d13 Nov 2026$1.5315/15$2,295$4,050$4,05091%hist 95%19%hist 13%92%+$2,018-$00.0%0.0mo$2,493 (vs do-nothing +$1,485)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$35510d6 Nov 2026$1.5215/15$2,280$6,840$6,84090%hist 95%20%hist 23%91%+$3,393-$00.0%0.0mo$2,478 (vs do-nothing +$1,470)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$362.5024d20 Nov 2026$1.9015/15$2,850$3,562$3,56290%hist 95%20%hist 23%91%+$1,765-$00.0%0.0mo$3,048 (vs do-nothing +$2,040)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$357.5017d13 Nov 2026$1.7615/15$2,640$4,659$4,65989%hist 86%22%hist 23%90%+$2,108-$00.0%0.0mo$2,838 (vs do-nothing +$1,830)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$36024d20 Nov 2026$2.1515/15$3,225$4,031$4,03189%hist 86%23%hist 23%90%+$1,935-$00.0%0.0mo$3,423 (vs do-nothing +$2,415)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$352.5010d6 Nov 2026$1.7415/15$2,610$7,830$7,83089%hist 86%23%hist 23%90%+$3,631-$00.0%0.0mo$2,808 (vs do-nothing +$1,800)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$35517d13 Nov 2026$2.0415/15$3,060$5,400$5,40088%hist 86%24%hist 23%89%+$2,412-$00.0%0.0mo$3,258 (vs do-nothing +$2,250)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$357.5024d20 Nov 2026$2.4715/15$3,705$4,631$4,63188%hist 86%25%hist 23%89%+$2,185-$00.0%0.0mo$3,903 (vs do-nothing +$2,895)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$35010d6 Nov 2026$2.0415/15$3,060$9,180$9,18087%hist 86%26%hist 23%89%+$4,074-$00.0%0.0mo$3,258 (vs do-nothing +$2,250)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$352.5017d13 Nov 2026$2.3615/15$3,540$6,247$6,24786%hist 86%28%hist 23%88%+$2,608-$00.0%0.0mo$3,738 (vs do-nothing +$2,730)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$35524d20 Nov 2026$2.7615/15$4,140$5,175$5,17586%hist 86%28%hist 23%88%+$2,319-$00.0%0.0mo$4,338 (vs do-nothing +$3,330)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$347.5010d6 Nov 2026$2.3915/15$3,585$10,755$10,75585%hist 86%30%hist 30%87%+$4,562-$00.0%0.0mo$1,023 (vs do-nothing +$14)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$35017d13 Nov 2026$2.7015/15$4,050$7,147$7,14785%hist 86%31%hist 30%87%+$2,929-$00.0%0.0mo$4,248 (vs do-nothing +$3,240)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$352.5024d20 Nov 2026$3.1015/15$4,650$5,812$5,81285%hist 86%31%hist 30%87%+$2,481-$00.0%0.0mo$4,848 (vs do-nothing +$3,840)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$34510d6 Nov 2026$2.8015/15$4,200$12,600$12,60083%hist 86%34%hist 30%86%+$5,111-$2,3112.1%0.1mo$-2,112 (vs do-nothing $-3,121)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$347.5017d13 Nov 2026$3.0015/15$4,500$7,941$7,94183%hist 86%34%hist 30%86%+$3,021-$00.0%0.0mo$1,938 (vs do-nothing +$929)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$34517d13 Nov 2026$3.5515/15$5,325$9,397$9,39781%hist 86%38%hist 30%84%+$3,689-$1,1861.1%0.0mo$-987 (vs do-nothing $-1,996)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$35024d20 Nov 2026$3.6015/15$5,400$6,750$6,75081%hist 86%38%hist 30%84%+$1,769-$00.0%0.0mo$5,598 (vs do-nothing +$4,590)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$347.5024d20 Nov 2026$3.9515/15$5,925$7,406$7,40681%hist 86%38%hist 30%84%+$2,883-$00.0%0.0mo$3,363 (vs do-nothing +$2,354)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$342.5010d6 Nov 2026$3.2015/15$4,800$14,400$14,40081%hist 86%39%hist 30%84%+$5,376-$5,4615.0%0.2mo$-5,262 (vs do-nothing $-6,271)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$34524d20 Nov 2026$4.4515/15$6,675$8,344$8,34479%hist 83%42%hist 40%83%+$3,086-$00.0%0.0mo$363 (vs do-nothing $-646)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$342.5017d13 Nov 2026$3.9515/15$5,925$10,456$10,45679%hist 83%43%hist 40%83%+$3,521-$4,3364.0%0.1mo$-4,137 (vs do-nothing $-5,146)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$342.5024d20 Nov 2026$5.0515/15$7,575$9,469$9,46977%hist 83%47%hist 40%82%+$3,369-$2,6862.5%0.1mo$-2,487 (vs do-nothing $-3,496)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$34017d13 Nov 2026$4.6515/15$6,975$12,309$12,30977%hist 83%48%hist 40%81%+$4,107-$7,0366.4%0.2mo$-6,837 (vs do-nothing $-7,846)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$34024d20 Nov 2026$5.6515/15$8,475$10,594$10,59475%hist 83%51%hist 44%80%+$3,537-$5,5365.1%0.2mo$-5,337 (vs do-nothing $-6,346)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$337.5017d13 Nov 2026$5.1515/15$7,725$13,632$13,63274%hist 83%53%hist 44%79%+$4,049-$10,0369.2%0.3mo$-9,837 (vs do-nothing $-10,846)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$337.5024d20 Nov 2026$6.3515/15$9,525$11,906$11,90673%hist 83%56%hist 44%79%+$3,766-$8,2367.5%0.3mo$-8,037 (vs do-nothing $-9,046)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$33517d13 Nov 2026$5.8515/15$8,775$15,485$15,48572%hist 83%59%hist 44%78%+$4,340-$12,73611.6%0.4mo$-12,537 (vs do-nothing $-13,546)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$33524d20 Nov 2026$7.1015/15$10,650$13,312$13,31270%hist 83%62%hist 54%77%+$3,954-$10,8619.9%0.3mo$-10,662 (vs do-nothing $-11,671)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$332.5024d20 Nov 2026$7.9015/15$11,850$14,812$14,81268%hist 66%67%hist 54%76%+$4,093-$13,41112.2%0.4mo$-13,212 (vs do-nothing $-14,221)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract

Per cycle = bid x 100 x contracts, the cash this expiry pays. Touch = P(strike trades before expiry), with the graded record's hist pill. Recover = months of this income to close the hole to CC-SS. Income/mo = FIGHT leg gross, DTE-prorated. Net/mo = FIGHT + conservative CC gross minus hedge cost. POP (mid) = probability stock closes at or below (strike + mid premium) at expiry, per-strike chain IV when available. Survival = CC expires fully worthless. EV/mo = premium minus expected buyback, monthly, with realized vol = IV x 85% (variance risk premium 15%). Survival, POP and touch use vol x 1.00 (raw implied: the VRP haircut is applied to the premium edge but NOT to risk, because understating the edge costs opportunity while understating breach odds costs capital; the risk-side haircut arms only from the graded ledger). Cap give-up @ SS = recovery mortgaged on a V-bounce to SS, net of premium. Total P&L @ SS = absolute position P&L if the stock closes at SS; "vs do-nothing" = opportunity cost against holding all 15 contracts at the conservative CC.

fortress_fight.py v6.3  |  2026-10-28 03:16