FORTRESS FIGHT: GOOG-LC300 @ $321.77

BE SS: $373.00  |  CC-SS: $348.29  |  15 contracts (1,500 sh) |  ⌂ PORTFOLIO

GENERATED2026-10-29 03:13

GOOG-LC300 @ $321.77   UNDERWATER $51.23 (13.7% below BE SS)

⚠ EARNINGS · DO NOT SELL INCOME INTO IT
GOOG reports 2026-10-28 (Wed), TODAY. The recommended CC (2d) expires on/after it, so selling now holds a short call through the earnings gap, a report can blow past your strike overnight and cap you at a loss. No priced expiry closes before the print, so waiting for it is the only clean option.

15 contracts (1,500 sh)  |  BE SS: $373.00  |  CC-SS: $348.29 (banked floor $318.23)  |  IV: MEDIUM  |  Accounts: Neville:0865

LC: $300 exp 2028-01-21 (entry $90.498/sh)
SP: $345 exp 2028-01-21 (entry $57.446/sh)
HP: $310 exp 2028-01-21 (entry $39.964/sh)

Economics

Max Loss$162,000(ND $73.00 + SW $35) x 1500
Normal income ref$34,453/mo75% ann ROI on ML
Hedge (static, never rolled)$0/moHP expiry = SP LEAPS; decay ≈ $3,750/mo (info only, already in marks)
Unrealized P&L$-32,363fortress legs from IBKR
INCOME GOALPOSTS & VELOCITY
50% INCOME FLOOR
$17,227/mo
HEDGE COVER
$0/mo (static)
NORMAL INCOME
$34,453/mo (ATM CC, chain)
IC VELOCITY
3.2 mo to earn back $109,500
ML VELOCITY
4.7 mo to earn back $162,000
NOT a deep drawdown: a CC at CC-SS $348.29 (probe: $347.5C 16d) still earns $11,109/mo (32% of normal). Sell the normal CC at/above CC-SS; a FIGHT CC below it is not needed here.
🏦 CAMPAIGN LEDGER , realized CC income since 2026-07-07; banked cash shrinks the hole (shown as an info-only banked floor, the recommended CC-SS stays the pure recovery strike; seeded from open positions, reconciled from IBKR executions nightly)
Banked since 2026-07-07
$37,314
Hole (after banked)
$0
was $32,363 · 115% earned back
Cycles closed
66
Credit in flight
$0
CC-SS · banked floor (info)
$348.29 → $318.23
? 14 leg(s) closed as UNKNOWN (vanished with no fill in window): banked $0, conservative. Fix campaign.json by hand if wrong.
Full leg history (66) and event log · CLOSED 48 · UNKNOWN 14 · EXPIRED 4 · updated 2026-10-29 03:10
StatusLegCredit/shCreditOpenedClosedClose/shBankedAccountSource
CLOSED15x $355C 23 Oct 2026$1.44$2,1612026-10-172026-10-21$0.46$1,471U13190865snapshot
UNKNOWN15x $360C 23 Oct 2026$1.70$2,5552026-10-162026-10-17$1.70$0U13190865snapshot
CLOSED2x $360C 23 Oct 2026$1.71$3422026-10-152026-10-16$0.78$186U13190865execution
CLOSED3x $360C 23 Oct 2026$1.71$5132026-10-152026-10-16$0.78$279U13190865execution
CLOSED1x $360C 23 Oct 2026$1.71$1712026-10-152026-10-16$0.79$92U13190865execution
CLOSED3x $360C 23 Oct 2026$1.71$5132026-10-152026-10-16$0.78$279U13190865execution
CLOSED3x $360C 23 Oct 2026$1.71$5132026-10-152026-10-16$0.78$279U13190865execution
CLOSED3x $360C 23 Oct 2026$1.71$5132026-10-152026-10-16$0.78$279U13190865execution
CLOSED2x $365C 23 Oct 2026$2.38$4762026-10-132026-10-15$1.06$264U13190865execution
CLOSED6x $365C 23 Oct 2026$2.38$1,4282026-10-132026-10-15$1.06$792U13190865execution
CLOSED3x $365C 23 Oct 2026$2.38$7142026-10-132026-10-15$1.06$396U13190865execution
CLOSED2x $365C 23 Oct 2026$2.38$4762026-10-132026-10-15$1.06$264U13190865execution
CLOSED2x $365C 23 Oct 2026$2.38$4762026-10-132026-10-15$1.06$264U13190865execution
CLOSED1x $355C 16 Oct 2026$2.01$2012026-10-062026-10-13$2.98$-97U13190865execution
CLOSED2x $355C 16 Oct 2026$2.01$4022026-10-062026-10-13$2.99$-196U13190865execution
CLOSED3x $355C 16 Oct 2026$2.01$6032026-10-062026-10-13$2.99$-294U13190865execution
CLOSED3x $355C 16 Oct 2026$2.01$6032026-10-062026-10-13$2.99$-294U13190865execution
CLOSED3x $355C 16 Oct 2026$2.01$6032026-10-062026-10-13$2.99$-294U13190865execution
CLOSED2x $355C 16 Oct 2026$2.01$4022026-10-062026-10-13$2.95$-188U13190865execution
CLOSED1x $355C 16 Oct 2026$2.01$2012026-10-062026-10-13$2.94$-93U13190865execution
CLOSED2x $360C 16 Oct 2026$2.52$5052026-10-022026-10-06$1.27$251U13190865snapshot
CLOSED6x $360C 16 Oct 2026$2.52$1,5152026-10-022026-10-06$1.27$753U13190865snapshot
CLOSED3x $360C 16 Oct 2026$2.52$7572026-10-022026-10-06$1.27$376U13190865snapshot
CLOSED2x $360C 16 Oct 2026$2.52$5052026-10-022026-10-06$1.27$251U13190865snapshot
CLOSED2x $360C 16 Oct 2026$2.52$5052026-10-022026-10-06$1.27$251U13190865snapshot
UNKNOWN15x $367.5C 16 Oct 2026$2.69$4,0302026-10-012026-10-02$2.69$0U13190865snapshot
UNKNOWN15x $350C 2 Oct 2026$1.10$1,6522026-09-292026-10-01$1.10$0U13190865snapshot
UNKNOWN15x $355C 2 Oct 2026$1.25$1,8682026-09-282026-09-29$1.25$0U13190865snapshot
EXPIRED15x $342.5C 25 Sep 2026$0.66$9892026-09-252026-09-28$0.00$989U13190865snapshot
UNKNOWN15x $375C 2 Oct 2026$1.41$2,1182026-09-222026-09-25$1.41$0U13190865snapshot
UNKNOWN15x $357.5C 25 Sep 2026$1.46$2,1862026-09-182026-09-22$1.46$0U13190865snapshot
CLOSED1x $345C 11 Sep 2026$0.78$782026-09-092026-09-09$0.23$55U13190865snapshot
CLOSED13x $345C 11 Sep 2026$0.78$1,0132026-09-092026-09-09$0.22$727U13190865snapshot
CLOSED1x $345C 11 Sep 2026$0.78$782026-09-092026-09-09$0.22$56U13190865snapshot
UNKNOWN15x $350C 11 Sep 2026$0.70$1,0542026-09-082026-09-09$0.70$0U13190865snapshot
EXPIRED15x $345C 4 Sep 2026$0.88$1,3132026-09-012026-09-08$0.00$1,313U13190865snapshot
UNKNOWN15x $365C 4 Sep 2026$1.74$2,6162026-08-252026-09-01$1.74$0U13190865snapshot
UNKNOWN15x $352.5C 28 Aug 2026$1.50$2,2542026-08-242026-08-25$1.50$0U13190865snapshot
EXPIRED15x $350C 21 Aug 2026$0.87$1,3112026-08-202026-08-24$0.00$1,311U13190865snapshot
UNKNOWN15x $355C 21 Aug 2026$0.60$8952026-08-182026-08-20$0.60$0U13190865execution
CLOSED3x $405C 18 Dec 2026$15.44$4,6332026-08-072026-08-18$7.93$2,254U13190865snapshot
CLOSED2x $405C 18 Dec 2026$15.44$3,0892026-08-072026-08-18$7.94$1,501U13190865snapshot
CLOSED4x $405C 18 Dec 2026$15.44$6,1782026-08-072026-08-18$7.94$3,002U13190865snapshot
CLOSED4x $405C 18 Dec 2026$15.44$6,1782026-08-072026-08-18$7.94$3,002U13190865snapshot
CLOSED2x $405C 18 Dec 2026$15.44$3,0892026-08-072026-08-18$7.93$1,503U13190865snapshot
UNKNOWN15x $375C 16 Oct 2026$16.81$25,2202026-08-062026-08-07$16.81$0U13190865execution
CLOSED8x $355C 18 Sep 2026$16.36$13,0902026-08-032026-08-06$20.60$-3,390U13190865snapshot
CLOSED2x $355C 18 Sep 2026$16.36$3,2722026-08-032026-08-06$20.77$-882U13190865snapshot
CLOSED1x $355C 18 Sep 2026$16.36$1,6362026-08-032026-08-06$20.71$-435U13190865snapshot
CLOSED2x $355C 18 Sep 2026$16.36$3,2722026-08-032026-08-06$20.70$-868U13190865snapshot
CLOSED2x $355C 18 Sep 2026$16.36$3,2722026-08-032026-08-06$20.70$-868U13190865snapshot
UNKNOWN15x $350C 7 Aug 2026$2.35$3,5252026-07-292026-08-03$2.35$0U13190865execution
CLOSED10x $340C 31 Jul 2026$1.21$1,2062026-07-272026-07-29$2.85$-1,644U13190865snapshot
CLOSED2x $340C 31 Jul 2026$1.21$2412026-07-272026-07-29$2.85$-329U13190865snapshot
CLOSED2x $340C 31 Jul 2026$1.21$2412026-07-272026-07-29$2.85$-329U13190865snapshot
CLOSED1x $340C 31 Jul 2026$1.21$1212026-07-272026-07-29$2.85$-164U13190865snapshot
CLOSED15x $370C 31 Jul 2026$15.01$22,5202026-07-172026-07-23$0.18$22,250U13190865snapshot
UNKNOWN15x $360C 17 Jul 2026$1.87$2,8052026-07-142026-07-17$1.87$0U13190865execution
CLOSED1x $370C 17 Jul 2026$0.65$652026-07-142026-07-14$0.51$14U13190865execution
CLOSED4x $370C 17 Jul 2026$0.65$2602026-07-142026-07-14$0.51$56U13190865execution
CLOSED2x $370C 17 Jul 2026$0.65$1302026-07-142026-07-14$0.51$28U13190865execution
CLOSED2x $370C 17 Jul 2026$0.65$1302026-07-142026-07-14$0.51$28U13190865execution
CLOSED4x $370C 17 Jul 2026$0.65$2602026-07-142026-07-14$0.51$56U13190865execution
CLOSED2x $370C 17 Jul 2026$0.65$1302026-07-142026-07-14$0.51$28U13190865execution
UNKNOWN5x $400C 31 Jul 2026$3.20$1,5982026-07-072026-07-14$3.20$0U13190865snapshot
EXPIRED15x $375C 10 Jul 2026$1.85$2,7792026-07-072026-07-11$0.00$2,779U13190865seed
Event log
2026-10-21 CLOSED 15x $355C 20261023: banked $1,471
2026-10-17 TRACKING 15x $355C 20261023 @ $1.44 (snapshot)
2026-10-17 ? 15x $360C 20261023 vanished with no fill in reqExecutions or the fills ledger: banked $0 (conservative; a late fill repairs it)
2026-10-16 TRACKING 15x $360C 20261023 @ $1.70 (snapshot)
2026-10-16 CLOSED 2x $360C 20261023: banked $186
2026-10-16 PARTIAL CLOSE 3x $360C: banked $279 (2 remain)
2026-10-16 PARTIAL CLOSE 3x $360C: banked $279 (5 remain)
2026-10-16 PARTIAL CLOSE 3x $360C: banked $279 (8 remain)
2026-10-16 PARTIAL CLOSE 1x $360C: banked $92 (11 remain)
2026-10-16 PARTIAL CLOSE 3x $360C: banked $279 (12 remain)
2026-10-16 SLD 2x $355C 20261023 @ $1.45 has no matching short position (long-close or round-trip; ignored)
2026-10-16 SLD 3x $355C 20261023 @ $1.45 has no matching short position (long-close or round-trip; ignored)
2026-10-16 SLD 3x $355C 20261023 @ $1.45 has no matching short position (long-close or round-trip; ignored)
2026-10-16 SLD 3x $355C 20261023 @ $1.44 has no matching short position (long-close or round-trip; ignored)
2026-10-16 SLD 1x $355C 20261023 @ $1.45 has no matching short position (long-close or round-trip; ignored)
2026-10-16 SLD 3x $355C 20261023 @ $1.44 has no matching short position (long-close or round-trip; ignored)
2026-10-16 BOT 5x $360C 20261016 @ $0.25 with no tracked leg (ignored)
2026-10-15 CLOSED 2x $365C 20261023: banked $264
2026-10-15 PARTIAL CLOSE 2x $365C: banked $264 (2 remain)
2026-10-15 PARTIAL CLOSE 2x $365C: banked $264 (4 remain)
2026-10-15 PARTIAL CLOSE 3x $365C: banked $396 (6 remain)
2026-10-15 PARTIAL CLOSE 6x $365C: banked $792 (9 remain)
2026-10-15 SOLD 2x $360C 20261023 @ $1.71 (extends leg to 15)
2026-10-15 SOLD 2x $360C 20261023 @ $1.71 (extends leg to 13)
2026-10-15 SOLD 2x $360C 20261023 @ $1.71 (extends leg to 11)
2026-10-15 SOLD 3x $360C 20261023 @ $1.71 (extends leg to 9)
2026-10-15 SOLD 6x $360C 20261023 @ $1.71 (new leg)
2026-10-13 CLOSED 1x $355C 20261016: banked $-97
2026-10-13 PARTIAL CLOSE 1x $355C: banked $-93 (1 remain)
2026-10-13 PARTIAL CLOSE 2x $355C: banked $-188 (2 remain)
2026-10-13 SOLD 1x $365C 20261023 @ $2.38 (extends leg to 15)
2026-10-13 SOLD 1x $365C 20261023 @ $2.34 (extends leg to 14)
2026-10-13 SOLD 2x $365C 20261023 @ $2.35 (extends leg to 13)
2026-10-13 PARTIAL CLOSE 3x $355C: banked $-294 (4 remain)
2026-10-13 PARTIAL CLOSE 3x $355C: banked $-294 (7 remain)
2026-10-13 PARTIAL CLOSE 3x $355C: banked $-294 (10 remain)
2026-10-13 PARTIAL CLOSE 2x $355C: banked $-196 (13 remain)
2026-10-13 SOLD 3x $365C 20261023 @ $2.39 (extends leg to 11)
2026-10-13 SOLD 3x $365C 20261023 @ $2.39 (extends leg to 8)
2026-10-13 SOLD 3x $365C 20261023 @ $2.39 (extends leg to 5)
TECHNICALS (cc_timing weekly gate + daily trigger)
WEEKLYPULLBACK · %B 10 (live) · RSI 44 · MACD bearish, hist falling
DAILYFALLING (provisional) · RSI 40 · %B 21 · hist rising (nightly)
LEVELS20W MA (bounce target) $341.76 (+6%) · daily UBB $359.55 · 1-wk expected move ±$20 (chain IV)
SETUPSpring loaded, not ignited: 🎯 or 💎 at short DTE, normal tripwires. (advisory; floors and picks are chain-only)
⚠ Next earnings 2026-10-28: candidates whose expiry crosses it are flagged in the spectrum; EV is unreliable across earnings.
NOT a deep drawdown. A CC at/above CC-SS $348.29 keeps this fortress whole if assigned, so there is no need to FIGHT below it. Three income options to consider, richer → safer, all at/above CC-SS. Click a card for its if-challenged roll menu.
🎯 Recommended · sell 15 × $350 30 Oct 2026 (2d) · richest strike still ≥80% survivalroll menu if challenged ▾
Survival (stays ≤ $350)
87%
Touch odds
27%
Per cycle
$2,745
Income / mo
$41,175
🛡 Safer · sell 15 × $355 30 Oct 2026 (2d) · higher survival, lighter premiumroll menu if challenged ▾
Survival (stays ≤ $355)
90%
Touch odds
20%
Per cycle
$1,905
Income / mo
$28,575
🛡 Safer · sell 15 × $405 30 Oct 2026 (2d) · higher survival, lighter premiumroll menu if challenged ▾
Survival (stays ≤ $405)
100%
Touch odds
1%
Per cycle
$60
Income / mo
$900
⚔ FIGHT CC options · full candidate scan (46 clear the floor), click to expand

Every eligible strike x expiry in the 2-45 DTE band (4 expiries scanned, 46 clear the income floor), each sized to the minimum contracts that clear it. Sorted by survival (safest first): the primary 🎯 is the safest; rows below trade safety for income.

Fortress delta: 0.822 (IBKR)  |  Recovery@SS: +$32,695 (un-capped fortress gain if stock rallies to SS)  |  Do-nothing @ SS: $1,937

StrikeDTEExpiryBidSellPer cycleIncome/moNet/moSurvivalTouchPOP (mid)EV/moCap Give-up @ CC-SS%ICRecoverTotal P&L @ SS
$3602d30 Oct 2026$0.8815/15$1,320$19,800$19,80093%hist 95%14%hist 13%93%+$10,311-$00.0%0.0mo$1,652 (vs do-nothing $-285)
$357.502d30 Oct 2026$1.0515/15$1,575$23,625$23,62592%hist 95%17%hist 13%92%+$11,566-$00.0%0.0mo$1,907 (vs do-nothing $-30)
$3552d30 Oct 2026$1.2715/15$1,905$28,575$28,57590%hist 95%20%hist 13%91%+$13,356-$00.0%0.0mo$2,237 (vs do-nothing +$300)
$352.502d30 Oct 2026$1.5115/15$2,265$33,975$33,97589%hist 86%23%hist 23%90%+$14,902-$00.0%0.0mo$2,597 (vs do-nothing +$660)
$3352d30 Oct 2026$4.8515/15$7,275$109,125$109,12588%hist 86%23%hist 23%95%+$100,954-$12,65511.6%0.4mo$-12,322 (vs do-nothing $-14,260)
$3502d30 Oct 2026$1.8315/15$2,745$41,175$41,17587%hist 86%27%hist 23%88%+$17,409-$00.0%0.0mo$3,077 (vs do-nothing +$1,140)
$347.502d30 Oct 2026$2.1215/15$3,180$47,700$47,70085%hist 86%31%hist 30%87%+$18,226-$00.0%0.0mo$2,333 (vs do-nothing +$395)
$332.502d30 Oct 2026$5.5515/15$8,325$124,875$124,87584%hist 86%33%hist 30%93%+$110,928-$15,35514.0%0.4mo$-15,022 (vs do-nothing $-16,960)
$3452d30 Oct 2026$2.5315/15$3,795$56,925$56,92583%hist 86%35%hist 30%85%+$20,814-$1,1351.0%0.0mo$-802 (vs do-nothing $-2,740)
$342.502d30 Oct 2026$3.0015/15$4,500$67,500$67,50080%hist 86%40%hist 40%83%+$23,328-$4,1803.8%0.1mo$-3,847 (vs do-nothing $-5,785)
$3459d6 Nov 2026$3.6515/15$5,475$18,250$18,25080%hist 83%41%hist 40%83%+$6,507-$00.0%0.0mo$878 (vs do-nothing $-1,060)
$3402d30 Oct 2026$3.5515/15$5,325$79,875$79,87578%hist 83%46%hist 40%82%+$26,535-$7,1056.5%0.2mo$-6,772 (vs do-nothing $-8,710)
$3302d30 Oct 2026$6.4015/15$9,600$144,000$144,00077%hist 83%46%hist 40%91%+$121,249-$17,83016.3%0.5mo$-17,497 (vs do-nothing $-19,435)
Show 33 more candidates (lower strikes: more income, lower survival)
StrikeDTEExpiryBidSellPer cycleIncome/moNet/moSurvivalTouchPOP (mid)EV/moCap Give-up @ CC-SS%ICRecoverTotal P&L @ SS
$342.509d6 Nov 2026$4.1515/15$6,225$20,750$20,75077%hist 83%46%hist 40%81%+$6,769-$2,4552.2%0.1mo$-2,122 (vs do-nothing $-4,060)
$3409d6 Nov 2026$4.7515/15$7,125$23,750$23,75075%hist 83%52%hist 44%80%+$7,184-$5,3054.8%0.2mo$-4,972 (vs do-nothing $-6,910)
$337.502d30 Oct 2026$4.1015/15$6,150$92,250$92,25074%hist 83%52%hist 44%79%+$26,400-$10,0309.2%0.3mo$-9,697 (vs do-nothing $-11,635)
$337.509d6 Nov 2026$5.4015/15$8,100$27,000$27,00072%hist 83%57%hist 44%78%+$7,472-$8,0807.4%0.2mo$-7,747 (vs do-nothing $-9,685)
$337.5016d13 Nov 2026$6.5015/15$9,750$18,281$18,28171%hist 83%61%hist 54%77%+$4,984-$6,4305.9%0.2mo$-6,097 (vs do-nothing $-8,035)
$327.502d30 Oct 2026$7.3015/15$10,950$164,250$164,25070%hist 83%60%hist 54%88%+$128,741-$20,23018.5%0.6mo$-19,897 (vs do-nothing $-21,835)
$3359d6 Nov 2026$6.2015/15$9,300$31,000$31,00069%hist 66%63%hist 54%76%+$8,110-$10,6309.7%0.3mo$-10,297 (vs do-nothing $-12,235)
$33516d13 Nov 2026$7.3015/15$10,950$20,531$20,53168%hist 66%66%hist 54%76%+$5,303-$8,9808.2%0.3mo$-8,647 (vs do-nothing $-10,585)
$332.509d6 Nov 2026$7.0015/15$10,500$35,000$35,00066%hist 66%70%hist 54%74%+$8,329-$13,18012.0%0.4mo$-12,847 (vs do-nothing $-14,785)
$332.5016d13 Nov 2026$8.1515/15$12,225$22,922$22,92265%hist 66%72%hist 68%74%+$5,543-$11,45510.5%0.3mo$-11,122 (vs do-nothing $-13,060)
$332.5023d20 Nov 2026$9.3015/15$13,950$18,196$18,19664%hist 66%74%hist 68%74%+$4,325-$9,7308.9%0.3mo$-9,397 (vs do-nothing $-11,335)
$3309d6 Nov 2026$7.9015/15$11,850$39,500$39,50063%hist 66%76%hist 68%73%+$8,612-$15,58014.2%0.5mo$-15,247 (vs do-nothing $-17,185)
$33016d13 Nov 2026$9.1015/15$13,650$25,594$25,59462%hist 66%78%hist 68%73%+$5,832-$13,78012.6%0.4mo$-13,447 (vs do-nothing $-15,385)
$3252d30 Oct 2026$8.3515/15$12,525$187,875$187,87562%hist 66%77%hist 68%86%+$134,771-$22,40520.5%0.7mo$-22,072 (vs do-nothing $-24,010)
$33023d20 Nov 2026$10.3015/15$15,450$20,152$20,15262%hist 66%80%hist 79%72%+$4,532-$11,98010.9%0.3mo$-11,647 (vs do-nothing $-13,585)
$327.509d6 Nov 2026$8.9015/15$13,350$44,500$44,50060%hist 70%83%hist 79%71%+$8,946-$17,83016.3%0.5mo$-17,497 (vs do-nothing $-19,435)
$327.5016d13 Nov 2026$10.0515/15$15,075$28,266$28,26659%hist 70%85%hist 79%71%+$5,877-$16,10514.7%0.5mo$-15,772 (vs do-nothing $-17,710)
$327.5023d20 Nov 2026$11.3515/15$17,025$22,207$22,20759%hist 70%86%hist 79%71%+$4,679-$14,15512.9%0.4mo$-13,822 (vs do-nothing $-15,760)
$3259d6 Nov 2026$10.0015/15$15,000$50,000$50,00056%hist 70%91%hist 89%69%+$9,320-$19,93018.2%0.6mo$-19,597 (vs do-nothing $-21,535)
$32516d13 Nov 2026$11.0515/15$16,575$31,078$31,07856%hist 70%91%hist 89%70%+$5,809-$18,35516.8%0.5mo$-18,022 (vs do-nothing $-19,960)
$32523d20 Nov 2026$12.4515/15$18,675$24,359$24,35956%hist 70%92%hist 89%69%+$4,762-$16,25514.8%0.5mo$-15,922 (vs do-nothing $-17,860)
$322.502d30 Oct 2026$9.5015/15$14,250$213,750$213,75053%hist 70%95%hist 89%83%+$137,517-$24,43022.3%0.7mo$-24,097 (vs do-nothing $-26,035)
$322.5023d20 Nov 2026$13.6515/15$20,475$26,707$26,70753%hist 70%98%hist 89%68%+$4,880-$18,20516.6%0.5mo$-17,872 (vs do-nothing $-19,810)
$322.5016d13 Nov 2026$12.2515/15$18,375$34,453$34,45353%hist 70%98%hist 89%68%+$6,043-$20,30518.5%0.6mo$-19,972 (vs do-nothing $-21,910)
$322.509d6 Nov 2026$11.1015/15$16,650$55,500$55,50053%hist 70%98%hist 89%68%+$9,222-$22,03020.1%0.6mo$-21,697 (vs do-nothing $-23,635)
$32023d20 Nov 2026$14.8015/15$22,200$28,957$28,95750%hist 70%100%hist 89%67%+$4,737-$20,23018.5%0.6mo$-19,897 (vs do-nothing $-21,835)
$32016d13 Nov 2026$13.5015/15$20,250$37,969$37,96950%100%hist 89%67%+$6,132-$22,18020.3%0.6mo$-21,847 (vs do-nothing $-23,785)
$3209d6 Nov 2026$12.3015/15$18,450$61,500$61,50049%100%hist 89%66%+$9,138-$23,98021.9%0.7mo$-23,647 (vs do-nothing $-25,585)
$317.5023d20 Nov 2026$16.1515/15$24,225$31,598$31,59847%100%hist 89%66%+$4,822-$21,95520.0%0.6mo$-21,622 (vs do-nothing $-23,560)
$317.5016d13 Nov 2026$14.8015/15$22,200$41,625$41,62546%100%hist 89%65%+$6,121-$23,98021.9%0.7mo$-23,647 (vs do-nothing $-25,585)
$317.509d6 Nov 2026$13.6515/15$20,475$68,250$68,25046%100%hist 89%65%+$9,305-$25,70523.5%0.7mo$-25,372 (vs do-nothing $-27,310)
$3202d30 Oct 2026$10.7015/15$16,050$240,750$240,75044%100%hist 89%80%+$135,474-$26,38024.1%0.8mo$-26,047 (vs do-nothing $-27,985)
$317.502d30 Oct 2026$12.0015/15$18,000$270,000$270,00035%100%hist 89%77%+$129,785-$28,18025.7%0.8mo$-27,847 (vs do-nothing $-29,785)
84 more priced, not eligible (safety, income floor or quote screens): shown for reference
StrikeDTEExpiryBidSellPer cycleIncome/moNet/moSurvivalTouchPOP (mid)EV/moCap Give-up @ CC-SS%ICRecoverTotal P&L @ SSWhy not eligible
$4052d30 Oct 2026$0.0415/15$60$900$90099+%hist 95%1%hist 4%100%+$651-$00.0%0.0mo$392 (vs do-nothing $-1,545)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$4002d30 Oct 2026$0.0615/15$90$1,350$1,35099%hist 95%1%hist 4%99%+$1,046-$00.0%0.0mo$422 (vs do-nothing $-1,515)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$397.502d30 Oct 2026$0.0215/15$30$450$45099%hist 95%1%hist 4%99%+$106-$00.0%0.0mo$362 (vs do-nothing $-1,575)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$3952d30 Oct 2026$0.0715/15$105$1,575$1,57599%hist 95%1%hist 4%99%+$1,180-$00.0%0.0mo$437 (vs do-nothing $-1,500)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$392.502d30 Oct 2026$0.0515/15$75$1,125$1,12599%hist 95%2%hist 4%99%+$662-$00.0%0.0mo$407 (vs do-nothing $-1,530)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$3902d30 Oct 2026$0.1015/15$150$2,250$2,25099%hist 95%2%hist 4%99%+$1,695-$00.0%0.0mo$482 (vs do-nothing $-1,455)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$4059d6 Nov 2026$0.0915/15$135$450$45099%hist 95%2%hist 4%99%+$279-$00.0%0.0mo$467 (vs do-nothing $-1,470)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$387.502d30 Oct 2026$0.1115/15$165$2,475$2,47599%hist 95%2%hist 4%99%+$1,796-$00.0%0.0mo$497 (vs do-nothing $-1,440)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$4009d6 Nov 2026$0.1815/15$270$900$90099%hist 95%3%hist 4%99%+$663-$00.0%0.0mo$602 (vs do-nothing $-1,335)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$3852d30 Oct 2026$0.1215/15$180$2,700$2,70099%hist 95%3%hist 4%99%+$1,854-$00.0%0.0mo$512 (vs do-nothing $-1,425)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$40516d13 Nov 2026$0.2115/15$315$591$59199%hist 95%3%hist 4%99%+$403-$00.0%0.0mo$647 (vs do-nothing $-1,290)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$382.502d30 Oct 2026$0.1515/15$225$3,375$3,37599%hist 95%3%hist 4%99%+$2,306-$00.0%0.0mo$557 (vs do-nothing $-1,380)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$3959d6 Nov 2026$0.2015/15$300$1,000$1,00098%hist 95%3%hist 4%98%+$676-$00.0%0.0mo$632 (vs do-nothing $-1,305)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$3802d30 Oct 2026$0.2015/15$300$4,500$4,50098%hist 95%4%hist 4%98%+$3,141-$00.0%0.0mo$632 (vs do-nothing $-1,305)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$392.509d6 Nov 2026$0.2315/15$345$1,150$1,15098%hist 95%4%hist 4%98%+$771-$00.0%0.0mo$677 (vs do-nothing $-1,260)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$40016d13 Nov 2026$0.3115/15$465$872$87298%hist 95%4%hist 4%98%+$614-$00.0%0.0mo$797 (vs do-nothing $-1,140)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$3909d6 Nov 2026$0.2815/15$420$1,400$1,40098%hist 95%4%hist 4%98%+$955-$00.0%0.0mo$752 (vs do-nothing $-1,185)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$377.502d30 Oct 2026$0.2415/15$360$5,400$5,40098%hist 95%4%hist 4%98%+$3,672-$00.0%0.0mo$692 (vs do-nothing $-1,245)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$387.509d6 Nov 2026$0.2915/15$435$1,450$1,45098%hist 95%5%hist 4%98%+$926-$00.0%0.0mo$767 (vs do-nothing $-1,170)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$3752d30 Oct 2026$0.2615/15$390$5,850$5,85097%hist 95%5%hist 4%98%+$3,656-$00.0%0.0mo$722 (vs do-nothing $-1,215)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$40523d20 Nov 2026$0.4615/15$690$900$90097%hist 95%5%hist 4%98%+$567-$00.0%0.0mo$1,022 (vs do-nothing $-915)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$3859d6 Nov 2026$0.3515/15$525$1,750$1,75097%hist 95%5%hist 4%97%+$1,130-$00.0%0.0mo$857 (vs do-nothing $-1,080)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$392.5016d13 Nov 2026$0.3815/15$570$1,069$1,06997%hist 95%5%hist 4%97%+$651-$00.0%0.0mo$902 (vs do-nothing $-1,035)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$382.509d6 Nov 2026$0.3515/15$525$1,750$1,75097%hist 95%6%hist 4%97%+$1,013-$00.0%0.0mo$857 (vs do-nothing $-1,080)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$40023d20 Nov 2026$0.6115/15$915$1,193$1,19397%hist 95%6%hist 4%97%+$801-$00.0%0.0mo$1,247 (vs do-nothing $-690)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$372.502d30 Oct 2026$0.3215/15$480$7,200$7,20097%hist 95%6%hist 4%97%+$4,416-$00.0%0.0mo$812 (vs do-nothing $-1,125)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$39016d13 Nov 2026$0.4715/15$705$1,322$1,32297%hist 95%6%hist 4%97%+$830-$00.0%0.0mo$1,037 (vs do-nothing $-900)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$3809d6 Nov 2026$0.4515/15$675$2,250$2,25097%hist 95%7%hist 4%97%+$1,369-$00.0%0.0mo$1,007 (vs do-nothing $-930)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$387.5016d13 Nov 2026$0.4715/15$705$1,322$1,32297%hist 95%7%hist 4%97%+$743-$00.0%0.0mo$1,037 (vs do-nothing $-900)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$39523d20 Nov 2026$0.6515/15$975$1,272$1,27297%hist 95%7%hist 4%97%+$787-$00.0%0.0mo$1,307 (vs do-nothing $-630)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$3702d30 Oct 2026$0.4215/15$630$9,450$9,45096%hist 95%7%hist 4%97%+$5,910-$00.0%0.0mo$962 (vs do-nothing $-975)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$38516d13 Nov 2026$0.5615/15$840$1,575$1,57596%hist 95%8%hist 4%96%+$893-$00.0%0.0mo$1,172 (vs do-nothing $-765)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$377.509d6 Nov 2026$0.5115/15$765$2,550$2,55096%hist 95%8%hist 4%96%+$1,495-$00.0%0.0mo$1,097 (vs do-nothing $-840)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$367.502d30 Oct 2026$0.4915/15$735$11,025$11,02596%hist 95%9%hist 4%96%+$6,505-$00.0%0.0mo$1,067 (vs do-nothing $-870)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$39023d20 Nov 2026$0.7915/15$1,185$1,546$1,54696%hist 95%9%hist 4%96%+$904-$00.0%0.0mo$1,517 (vs do-nothing $-420)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$382.5016d13 Nov 2026$0.6415/15$960$1,800$1,80096%hist 95%9%hist 4%96%+$997-$00.0%0.0mo$1,292 (vs do-nothing $-645)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$3759d6 Nov 2026$0.6115/15$915$3,050$3,05096%hist 95%9%hist 4%96%+$1,783-$00.0%0.0mo$1,247 (vs do-nothing $-690)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$38016d13 Nov 2026$0.7215/15$1,080$2,025$2,02595%hist 95%10%hist 4%95%+$1,079-$00.0%0.0mo$1,412 (vs do-nothing $-525)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$372.509d6 Nov 2026$0.6815/15$1,020$3,400$3,40095%hist 95%10%hist 13%95%+$1,876-$00.0%0.0mo$1,352 (vs do-nothing $-585)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$3652d30 Oct 2026$0.6015/15$900$13,500$13,50095%hist 95%10%hist 13%95%+$7,708-$00.0%0.0mo$1,232 (vs do-nothing $-705)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$38523d20 Nov 2026$0.9515/15$1,425$1,859$1,85995%hist 95%10%hist 13%95%+$1,061-$00.0%0.0mo$1,757 (vs do-nothing $-180)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$377.5016d13 Nov 2026$0.8415/15$1,260$2,362$2,36295%hist 95%11%hist 13%95%+$1,248-$00.0%0.0mo$1,592 (vs do-nothing $-345)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$3709d6 Nov 2026$0.8115/15$1,215$4,050$4,05094%hist 95%11%hist 13%95%+$2,217-$00.0%0.0mo$1,547 (vs do-nothing $-390)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$362.502d30 Oct 2026$0.7215/15$1,080$16,200$16,20094%hist 95%12%hist 13%94%+$8,775-$00.0%0.0mo$1,412 (vs do-nothing $-525)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$37516d13 Nov 2026$0.9515/15$1,425$2,672$2,67294%hist 95%12%hist 13%94%+$1,359-$00.0%0.0mo$1,757 (vs do-nothing $-180)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$38023d20 Nov 2026$1.2115/15$1,815$2,367$2,36794%hist 95%13%hist 13%94%+$1,276-$00.0%0.0mo$2,147 (vs do-nothing +$210)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$367.509d6 Nov 2026$0.9415/15$1,410$4,700$4,70094%hist 95%13%hist 13%94%+$2,493-$00.0%0.0mo$1,742 (vs do-nothing $-195)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$372.5016d13 Nov 2026$1.0715/15$1,605$3,009$3,00993%hist 95%14%hist 13%94%+$1,464-$00.0%0.0mo$1,937 (vs do-nothing +$0)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$3659d6 Nov 2026$1.0915/15$1,635$5,450$5,45093%hist 95%15%hist 13%93%+$2,792-$00.0%0.0mo$1,967 (vs do-nothing +$30)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$37523d20 Nov 2026$1.4815/15$2,220$2,896$2,89692%hist 95%15%hist 13%93%+$1,498-$00.0%0.0mo$2,552 (vs do-nothing +$615)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$37016d13 Nov 2026$1.2315/15$1,845$3,459$3,45992%hist 95%16%hist 13%93%+$1,642-$00.0%0.0mo$2,177 (vs do-nothing +$240)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$362.509d6 Nov 2026$1.2715/15$1,905$6,350$6,35092%hist 95%17%hist 13%92%+$3,144-$00.0%0.0mo$2,237 (vs do-nothing +$300)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$367.5016d13 Nov 2026$1.4015/15$2,100$3,938$3,93891%hist 95%17%hist 13%92%+$1,801-$00.0%0.0mo$2,432 (vs do-nothing +$495)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$37023d20 Nov 2026$1.8215/15$2,730$3,561$3,56191%hist 95%19%hist 13%92%+$1,765-$00.0%0.0mo$3,062 (vs do-nothing +$1,125)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$3609d6 Nov 2026$1.4915/15$2,235$7,450$7,45090%hist 95%19%hist 13%91%+$3,580-$00.0%0.0mo$2,567 (vs do-nothing +$630)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$36516d13 Nov 2026$1.6615/15$2,490$4,669$4,66990%hist 95%20%hist 13%91%+$2,159-$00.0%0.0mo$2,822 (vs do-nothing +$885)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$362.5016d13 Nov 2026$1.8515/15$2,775$5,203$5,20389%hist 86%22%hist 23%90%+$2,258-$00.0%0.0mo$3,107 (vs do-nothing +$1,170)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$357.509d6 Nov 2026$1.7315/15$2,595$8,650$8,65089%hist 86%22%hist 23%90%+$3,977-$00.0%0.0mo$2,927 (vs do-nothing +$990)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$36523d20 Nov 2026$2.2715/15$3,405$4,441$4,44189%hist 86%23%hist 23%90%+$2,003-$00.0%0.0mo$3,737 (vs do-nothing +$1,800)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$36016d13 Nov 2026$2.1915/15$3,285$6,159$6,15988%hist 86%24%hist 23%89%+$2,690-$00.0%0.0mo$3,617 (vs do-nothing +$1,680)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$3559d6 Nov 2026$2.0215/15$3,030$10,100$10,10088%hist 86%25%hist 23%89%+$4,459-$00.0%0.0mo$3,362 (vs do-nothing +$1,425)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$362.5023d20 Nov 2026$2.5315/15$3,795$4,950$4,95088%hist 86%25%hist 23%89%+$2,152-$00.0%0.0mo$4,127 (vs do-nothing +$2,190)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$357.5016d13 Nov 2026$2.3915/15$3,585$6,722$6,72287%hist 86%27%hist 23%88%+$2,660-$00.0%0.0mo$3,917 (vs do-nothing +$1,980)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$36023d20 Nov 2026$2.8515/15$4,275$5,576$5,57686%hist 86%28%hist 23%88%+$2,364-$00.0%0.0mo$4,607 (vs do-nothing +$2,670)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$352.509d6 Nov 2026$2.3615/15$3,540$11,800$11,80086%hist 86%29%hist 23%88%+$4,997-$00.0%0.0mo$3,872 (vs do-nothing +$1,935)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$35516d13 Nov 2026$2.7315/15$4,095$7,678$7,67885%hist 86%30%hist 30%87%+$2,930-$00.0%0.0mo$4,427 (vs do-nothing +$2,490)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$357.5023d20 Nov 2026$3.1515/15$4,725$6,163$6,16385%hist 86%31%hist 30%87%+$2,475-$00.0%0.0mo$5,057 (vs do-nothing +$3,120)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$3509d6 Nov 2026$2.7215/15$4,080$13,600$13,60084%hist 86%32%hist 30%86%+$5,414-$00.0%0.0mo$4,412 (vs do-nothing +$2,475)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$352.5016d13 Nov 2026$3.0515/15$4,575$8,578$8,57884%hist 86%34%hist 30%86%+$3,038-$00.0%0.0mo$4,907 (vs do-nothing +$2,970)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$35523d20 Nov 2026$3.5515/15$5,325$6,946$6,94684%hist 86%34%hist 30%86%+$2,710-$00.0%0.0mo$5,657 (vs do-nothing +$3,720)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$347.509d6 Nov 2026$3.1015/15$4,650$15,500$15,50082%hist 86%37%hist 30%85%+$5,678-$00.0%0.0mo$3,803 (vs do-nothing +$1,865)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$352.5023d20 Nov 2026$3.9515/15$5,925$7,728$7,72882%hist 86%37%hist 30%85%+$2,866-$00.0%0.0mo$6,257 (vs do-nothing +$4,320)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$35016d13 Nov 2026$3.6015/15$5,400$10,125$10,12582%hist 86%38%hist 30%84%+$3,674-$00.0%0.0mo$5,732 (vs do-nothing +$3,795)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$35023d20 Nov 2026$4.4515/15$6,675$8,707$8,70780%hist 86%41%hist 40%83%+$3,128-$00.0%0.0mo$7,007 (vs do-nothing +$5,070)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$347.5016d13 Nov 2026$3.9515/15$5,925$11,109$11,10980%hist 83%42%hist 40%83%+$3,613-$00.0%0.0mo$5,078 (vs do-nothing +$3,140)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$347.5023d20 Nov 2026$5.0015/15$7,500$9,783$9,78378%hist 83%45%hist 40%82%+$3,389-$00.0%0.0mo$6,653 (vs do-nothing +$4,715)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$34516d13 Nov 2026$4.5015/15$6,750$12,656$12,65678%hist 83%46%hist 40%82%+$3,968-$00.0%0.0mo$2,153 (vs do-nothing +$215)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$34523d20 Nov 2026$5.5515/15$8,325$10,859$10,85976%hist 83%49%hist 40%81%+$3,542-$00.0%0.0mo$3,728 (vs do-nothing +$1,790)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$342.5016d13 Nov 2026$5.1015/15$7,650$14,344$14,34475%hist 83%50%hist 44%80%+$4,302-$1,0300.9%0.0mo$-697 (vs do-nothing $-2,635)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$342.5023d20 Nov 2026$6.1015/15$9,150$11,935$11,93574%hist 83%54%hist 44%79%+$3,577-$00.0%0.0mo$803 (vs do-nothing $-1,135)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$34016d13 Nov 2026$5.8015/15$8,700$16,312$16,31273%hist 83%55%hist 44%79%+$4,739-$3,7303.4%0.1mo$-3,397 (vs do-nothing $-5,335)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$34023d20 Nov 2026$6.9015/15$10,350$13,500$13,50072%hist 83%58%hist 44%78%+$3,974-$2,0801.9%0.1mo$-1,747 (vs do-nothing $-3,685)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$337.5023d20 Nov 2026$7.6515/15$11,475$14,967$14,96769%hist 66%63%hist 54%77%+$4,139-$4,7054.3%0.1mo$-4,372 (vs do-nothing $-6,310)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$33523d20 Nov 2026$8.4015/15$12,600$16,435$16,43567%hist 66%69%hist 54%75%+$4,160-$7,3306.7%0.2mo$-6,997 (vs do-nothing $-8,935)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract

Per cycle = bid x 100 x contracts, the cash this expiry pays. Touch = P(strike trades before expiry), with the graded record's hist pill. Recover = months of this income to close the hole to CC-SS. Income/mo = FIGHT leg gross, DTE-prorated. Net/mo = FIGHT + conservative CC gross minus hedge cost. POP (mid) = probability stock closes at or below (strike + mid premium) at expiry, per-strike chain IV when available. Survival = CC expires fully worthless. EV/mo = premium minus expected buyback, monthly, with realized vol = IV x 85% (variance risk premium 15%). Survival, POP and touch use vol x 1.00 (raw implied: the VRP haircut is applied to the premium edge but NOT to risk, because understating the edge costs opportunity while understating breach odds costs capital; the risk-side haircut arms only from the graded ledger). Cap give-up @ SS = recovery mortgaged on a V-bounce to SS, net of premium. Total P&L @ SS = absolute position P&L if the stock closes at SS; "vs do-nothing" = opportunity cost against holding all 15 contracts at the conservative CC.

fortress_fight.py v6.3  |  2026-10-29 03:13