FORTRESS FIGHT: GOOG-LC310 @ $321.77

BE SS: $392.50  |  CC-SS: $352.74  |  5 contracts (500 sh) |  ⌂ PORTFOLIO

GENERATED2026-10-29 03:13

GOOG-LC310 @ $321.77   UNDERWATER $70.73 (18.0% below BE SS)

⚠ EARNINGS · DO NOT SELL INCOME INTO IT
GOOG reports 2026-10-28 (Wed), TODAY. The recommended CC (2d) expires on/after it, so selling now holds a short call through the earnings gap, a report can blow past your strike overnight and cap you at a loss. No priced expiry closes before the print, so waiting for it is the only clean option.

5 contracts (500 sh)  |  BE SS: $392.50  |  CC-SS: $352.74 (banked floor $334.48)  |  IV: MEDIUM  |  Accounts: Joint:1782

LC: $310 exp 2027-12-17 (entry $82.507/sh)

Economics

Max Loss$41,250(ND $82.50 + SW $0) x 500
Normal income ref$11,484/mo75% ann ROI on ML
Hedge (static, never rolled)$0/moHP expiry = SP LEAPS; decay ≈ $0/mo (info only, already in marks)
Unrealized P&L$-10,663fortress legs from IBKR
INCOME GOALPOSTS & VELOCITY
50% INCOME FLOOR
$5,742/mo
HEDGE COVER
$0/mo (static)
NORMAL INCOME
$11,484/mo (ATM CC, chain)
IC VELOCITY
3.6 mo to earn back $41,250
ML VELOCITY
3.6 mo to earn back $41,250
NOT a deep drawdown: a CC at CC-SS $352.74 (probe: $352.5C 16d) still earns $2,859/mo (25% of normal). Sell the normal CC at/above CC-SS; a FIGHT CC below it is not needed here.
🏦 CAMPAIGN LEDGER , realized CC income since 2026-07-07; banked cash shrinks the hole (shown as an info-only banked floor, the recommended CC-SS stays the pure recovery strike; seeded from open positions, reconciled from IBKR executions nightly)
Banked since 2026-07-07
$6,596
Hole (after banked)
$4,067
was $10,663 · 62% earned back
Cycles closed
31
Credit in flight
$0
CC-SS · banked floor (info)
$352.74 → $334.48
? 5 leg(s) closed as UNKNOWN (vanished with no fill in window): banked $0, conservative. Fix campaign.json by hand if wrong.
Full leg history (31) and event log · CLOSED 26 · UNKNOWN 5 · updated 2026-10-29 03:10
StatusLegCredit/shCreditOpenedClosedClose/shBankedAccountSource
CLOSED5x $355C 16 Oct 2026$4.26$2,1302026-09-102026-10-16$0.48$1,890U6241782snapshot
UNKNOWN5x $365C 16 Oct 2026$9.44$4,7202026-08-252026-09-10$9.44$0U6241782execution
CLOSED3x $350C 11 Sep 2026$6.04$1,8122026-08-242026-08-25$7.69$-495U6241782snapshot
CLOSED1x $350C 11 Sep 2026$6.04$6042026-08-242026-08-25$7.69$-165U6241782snapshot
CLOSED1x $350C 11 Sep 2026$6.04$6042026-08-242026-08-25$7.69$-165U6241782snapshot
UNKNOWN5x $400C 20 Nov 2026$11.03$5,5132026-08-102026-08-24$11.03$0U6241782execution
CLOSED1x $355C 18 Sep 2026$16.32$1,6322026-08-032026-08-10$14.40$192U6241782snapshot
CLOSED1x $355C 18 Sep 2026$16.32$1,6322026-08-032026-08-10$14.45$187U6241782snapshot
CLOSED1x $355C 18 Sep 2026$16.32$1,6322026-08-032026-08-10$14.45$187U6241782snapshot
CLOSED1x $355C 18 Sep 2026$16.32$1,6322026-08-032026-08-10$14.45$187U6241782snapshot
CLOSED1x $355C 18 Sep 2026$16.32$1,6322026-08-032026-08-10$14.40$192U6241782snapshot
UNKNOWN5x $350C 7 Aug 2026$2.31$1,1572026-07-292026-08-03$2.31$0U6241782execution
CLOSED1x $340C 31 Jul 2026$0.91$912026-07-272026-07-29$2.80$-189U6241782snapshot
CLOSED1x $340C 31 Jul 2026$0.91$912026-07-272026-07-29$2.81$-190U6241782snapshot
CLOSED1x $340C 31 Jul 2026$0.91$912026-07-272026-07-29$2.81$-190U6241782snapshot
CLOSED1x $340C 31 Jul 2026$0.91$912026-07-272026-07-29$2.81$-190U6241782snapshot
CLOSED1x $340C 31 Jul 2026$0.91$912026-07-272026-07-29$2.80$-189U6241782snapshot
CLOSED2x $390C 31 Jul 2026$7.40$1,4802026-07-172026-07-18$1.78$1,124U6241782snapshot
CLOSED2x $390C 31 Jul 2026$7.40$1,4802026-07-172026-07-18$1.78$1,124U6241782snapshot
CLOSED1x $390C 31 Jul 2026$7.40$7402026-07-172026-07-18$1.78$562U6241782snapshot
UNKNOWN5x $370C 17 Jul 2026$0.65$3252026-07-142026-07-17$0.65$0U6241782execution
UNKNOWN10x $360C 17 Jul 2026$1.80$1,8002026-07-142026-07-17$1.80$0U10001299execution
CLOSED10x $370C 17 Jul 2026$0.65$6502026-07-142026-07-14$0.49$160U10001299execution
CLOSED1x $380C 17 Jul 2026$2.23$2232026-07-072026-07-10$0.59$164U6241782execution
CLOSED2x $380C 17 Jul 2026$2.26$4512026-07-072026-07-10$0.51$349U10001299execution
CLOSED2x $380C 17 Jul 2026$2.23$4452026-07-072026-07-10$0.59$327U6241782execution
CLOSED1x $380C 17 Jul 2026$2.23$2232026-07-072026-07-10$0.59$164U6241782execution
CLOSED1x $380C 17 Jul 2026$2.23$2232026-07-072026-07-10$0.59$164U6241782execution
CLOSED4x $380C 17 Jul 2026$2.26$9032026-07-072026-07-10$0.51$699U10001299execution
CLOSED2x $380C 17 Jul 2026$2.26$4512026-07-072026-07-10$0.51$349U10001299execution
CLOSED2x $380C 17 Jul 2026$2.26$4512026-07-072026-07-10$0.51$349U10001299execution
Event log
2026-10-16 CLOSED 5x $355C 20261016: banked $1,890
2026-09-10 TRACKING 5x $355C 20261016 @ $4.26 (snapshot)
2026-09-10 ? 5x $365C 20261016 vanished with no fill in window: banked $0 (conservative), fix campaign.json by hand if wrong
2026-08-25 CLOSED 3x $350C 20260911: banked $-495
2026-08-25 PARTIAL CLOSE 1x $350C: banked $-165 (3 remain)
2026-08-25 PARTIAL CLOSE 1x $350C: banked $-165 (4 remain)
2026-08-25 SOLD 3x $365C 20261016 @ $9.44 (extends leg to 5)
2026-08-25 SOLD 1x $365C 20261016 @ $9.44 (extends leg to 2)
2026-08-25 SOLD 1x $365C 20261016 @ $9.44 (new leg)
2026-08-24 TRACKING 5x $350C 20260911 @ $6.04 (snapshot)
2026-08-24 ? 5x $400C 20261120 vanished with no fill in window: banked $0 (conservative), fix campaign.json by hand if wrong
2026-08-10 CLOSED 1x $355C 20260918: banked $192
2026-08-10 PARTIAL CLOSE 1x $355C: banked $192 (1 remain)
2026-08-10 PARTIAL CLOSE 1x $355C: banked $187 (2 remain)
2026-08-10 PARTIAL CLOSE 1x $355C: banked $187 (3 remain)
2026-08-10 PARTIAL CLOSE 1x $355C: banked $187 (4 remain)
2026-08-10 SOLD 1x $400C 20261120 @ $11.14 (extends leg to 5)
2026-08-10 SOLD 1x $400C 20261120 @ $11.14 (extends leg to 4)
2026-08-10 SOLD 1x $400C 20261120 @ $10.95 (extends leg to 3)
2026-08-10 SOLD 1x $400C 20261120 @ $10.95 (extends leg to 2)
2026-08-10 SOLD 1x $400C 20261120 @ $10.95 (new leg)
2026-08-03 TRACKING 5x $355C 20260918 @ $16.32 (snapshot)
2026-08-03 ? 5x $350C 20260807 vanished with no fill in window: banked $0 (conservative), fix campaign.json by hand if wrong
2026-07-29 CLOSED 1x $340C 20260731: banked $-189
2026-07-29 PARTIAL CLOSE 1x $340C: banked $-189 (1 remain)
2026-07-29 PARTIAL CLOSE 1x $340C: banked $-190 (2 remain)
2026-07-29 PARTIAL CLOSE 1x $340C: banked $-190 (3 remain)
2026-07-29 PARTIAL CLOSE 1x $340C: banked $-190 (4 remain)
2026-07-29 SOLD 1x $350C 20260807 @ $2.32 (extends leg to 5)
2026-07-29 SOLD 1x $350C 20260807 @ $2.32 (extends leg to 4)
2026-07-29 SOLD 1x $350C 20260807 @ $2.31 (extends leg to 3)
2026-07-29 SOLD 1x $350C 20260807 @ $2.31 (extends leg to 2)
2026-07-29 SOLD 1x $350C 20260807 @ $2.31 (new leg)
2026-07-27 TRACKING 5x $340C 20260731 @ $0.91 (snapshot)
2026-07-18 CLOSED 2x $390C 20260731: banked $1,124
2026-07-18 PARTIAL CLOSE 1x $390C: banked $562 (2 remain)
2026-07-18 PARTIAL CLOSE 2x $390C: banked $1,124 (3 remain)
2026-07-17 TRACKING 5x $390C 20260731 @ $7.40 (snapshot)
2026-07-17 ? 10x $360C 20260717 vanished with no fill in window: banked $0 (conservative), fix campaign.json by hand if wrong
2026-07-17 ? 5x $370C 20260717 vanished with no fill in window: banked $0 (conservative), fix campaign.json by hand if wrong
TECHNICALS (cc_timing weekly gate + daily trigger)
WEEKLYPULLBACK · %B 10 (live) · RSI 44 · MACD bearish, hist falling
DAILYFALLING (provisional) · RSI 40 · %B 21 · hist rising (nightly)
LEVELS20W MA (bounce target) $341.76 (+6%) · daily UBB $359.55 · 1-wk expected move ±$20 (chain IV)
SETUPSpring loaded, not ignited: 🎯 or 💎 at short DTE, normal tripwires. (advisory; floors and picks are chain-only)
⚠ Next earnings 2026-10-28: candidates whose expiry crosses it are flagged in the spectrum; EV is unreliable across earnings.
NOT a deep drawdown. A CC at/above CC-SS $352.74 keeps this fortress whole if assigned, so there is no need to FIGHT below it. Three income options to consider, richer → safer, all at/above CC-SS. Click a card for its if-challenged roll menu.
🎯 Recommended · sell 5 × $355 30 Oct 2026 (2d) · richest strike still ≥80% survivalroll menu if challenged ▾
Survival (stays ≤ $355)
90%
Touch odds
20%
Per cycle
$635
Income / mo
$9,525
🛡 Safer · sell 5 × $400 30 Oct 2026 (2d) · higher survival, lighter premiumroll menu if challenged ▾
Survival (stays ≤ $400)
99%
Touch odds
1%
Per cycle
$30
Income / mo
$450
🛡 Safer · sell 5 × $405 30 Oct 2026 (2d) · higher survival, lighter premiumroll menu if challenged ▾
Survival (stays ≤ $405)
100%
Touch odds
1%
Per cycle
$20
Income / mo
$300
⚔ FIGHT CC options · full candidate scan (46 clear the floor), click to expand

Every eligible strike x expiry in the 2-45 DTE band (4 expiries scanned, 46 clear the income floor), each sized to the minimum contracts that clear it. Sorted by survival (safest first): the primary 🎯 is the safest; rows below trade safety for income.

Fortress delta: 0.667 (IBKR)  |  Recovery@SS: +$10,330 (un-capped fortress gain if stock rallies to SS)  |  Do-nothing @ SS: $-143

StrikeDTEExpiryBidSellPer cycleIncome/moNet/moSurvivalTouchPOP (mid)EV/moCap Give-up @ CC-SS%ICRecoverTotal P&L @ SS
$3602d30 Oct 2026$0.885/5$440$6,600$6,60093%hist 95%14%hist 13%93%+$3,437-$00.0%0.0mo$107 (vs do-nothing +$250)
$357.502d30 Oct 2026$1.055/5$525$7,875$7,87592%hist 95%17%hist 13%92%+$3,855-$00.0%0.0mo$192 (vs do-nothing +$335)
$3552d30 Oct 2026$1.275/5$635$9,525$9,52590%hist 95%20%hist 13%91%+$4,452-$00.0%0.0mo$302 (vs do-nothing +$445)
$352.502d30 Oct 2026$1.515/5$755$11,325$11,32589%hist 86%23%hist 23%90%+$4,967-$00.0%0.0mo$300 (vs do-nothing +$443)
$3352d30 Oct 2026$4.855/5$2,425$36,375$36,37588%hist 86%23%hist 23%95%+$33,651-$6,44715.6%0.6mo$-6,780 (vs do-nothing $-6,637)
$3502d30 Oct 2026$1.835/5$915$13,725$13,72587%hist 86%27%hist 23%88%+$5,803-$4571.1%0.0mo$-790 (vs do-nothing $-647)
$347.502d30 Oct 2026$2.125/5$1,060$15,900$15,90085%hist 86%31%hist 30%87%+$6,075-$1,5623.8%0.1mo$-1,895 (vs do-nothing $-1,752)
$332.502d30 Oct 2026$5.555/5$2,775$41,625$41,62584%hist 86%33%hist 30%93%+$36,976-$7,34717.8%0.6mo$-7,680 (vs do-nothing $-7,537)
$3452d30 Oct 2026$2.535/5$1,265$18,975$18,97583%hist 86%35%hist 30%85%+$6,938-$2,6076.3%0.2mo$-2,940 (vs do-nothing $-2,797)
$342.502d30 Oct 2026$3.005/5$1,500$22,500$22,50080%hist 86%40%hist 40%83%+$7,776-$3,6228.8%0.3mo$-3,955 (vs do-nothing $-3,812)
$3459d6 Nov 2026$3.655/5$1,825$6,083$6,08380%hist 83%41%hist 40%83%+$2,169-$2,0475.0%0.2mo$-2,380 (vs do-nothing $-2,237)
$3402d30 Oct 2026$3.555/5$1,775$26,625$26,62578%hist 83%46%hist 40%82%+$8,845-$4,59711.1%0.4mo$-4,930 (vs do-nothing $-4,787)
$3302d30 Oct 2026$6.405/5$3,200$48,000$48,00077%hist 83%46%hist 40%91%+$40,416-$8,17219.8%0.7mo$-8,505 (vs do-nothing $-8,362)
Show 33 more candidates (lower strikes: more income, lower survival)
StrikeDTEExpiryBidSellPer cycleIncome/moNet/moSurvivalTouchPOP (mid)EV/moCap Give-up @ CC-SS%ICRecoverTotal P&L @ SS
$342.509d6 Nov 2026$4.155/5$2,075$6,917$6,91777%hist 83%46%hist 40%81%+$2,256-$3,0477.4%0.3mo$-3,380 (vs do-nothing $-3,237)
$3409d6 Nov 2026$4.755/5$2,375$7,917$7,91775%hist 83%52%hist 44%80%+$2,395-$3,9979.7%0.3mo$-4,330 (vs do-nothing $-4,187)
$337.502d30 Oct 2026$4.105/5$2,050$30,750$30,75074%hist 83%52%hist 44%79%+$8,800-$5,57213.5%0.5mo$-5,905 (vs do-nothing $-5,762)
$337.509d6 Nov 2026$5.405/5$2,700$9,000$9,00072%hist 83%57%hist 44%78%+$2,491-$4,92211.9%0.4mo$-5,255 (vs do-nothing $-5,112)
$337.5016d13 Nov 2026$6.505/5$3,250$6,094$6,09471%hist 83%61%hist 54%77%+$1,661-$4,37210.6%0.4mo$-4,705 (vs do-nothing $-4,562)
$327.502d30 Oct 2026$7.305/5$3,650$54,750$54,75070%hist 83%60%hist 54%88%+$42,914-$8,97221.8%0.8mo$-9,305 (vs do-nothing $-9,162)
$3359d6 Nov 2026$6.205/5$3,100$10,333$10,33369%hist 66%63%hist 54%76%+$2,703-$5,77214.0%0.5mo$-6,105 (vs do-nothing $-5,962)
$33516d13 Nov 2026$7.305/5$3,650$6,844$6,84468%hist 66%66%hist 54%76%+$1,768-$5,22212.7%0.5mo$-5,555 (vs do-nothing $-5,412)
$332.509d6 Nov 2026$7.005/5$3,500$11,667$11,66766%hist 66%70%hist 54%74%+$2,776-$6,62216.1%0.6mo$-6,955 (vs do-nothing $-6,812)
$332.5016d13 Nov 2026$8.155/5$4,075$7,641$7,64165%hist 66%72%hist 68%74%+$1,848-$6,04714.7%0.5mo$-6,380 (vs do-nothing $-6,237)
$332.5023d20 Nov 2026$9.305/5$4,650$6,065$6,06564%hist 66%74%hist 68%74%+$1,442-$5,47213.3%0.5mo$-5,805 (vs do-nothing $-5,662)
$3309d6 Nov 2026$7.905/5$3,950$13,167$13,16763%hist 66%76%hist 68%73%+$2,871-$7,42218.0%0.6mo$-7,755 (vs do-nothing $-7,612)
$33016d13 Nov 2026$9.105/5$4,550$8,531$8,53162%hist 66%78%hist 68%73%+$1,944-$6,82216.5%0.6mo$-7,155 (vs do-nothing $-7,012)
$3252d30 Oct 2026$8.355/5$4,175$62,625$62,62562%hist 66%77%hist 68%86%+$44,924-$9,69723.5%0.8mo$-10,030 (vs do-nothing $-9,887)
$33023d20 Nov 2026$10.305/5$5,150$6,717$6,71762%hist 66%80%hist 79%72%+$1,511-$6,22215.1%0.5mo$-6,555 (vs do-nothing $-6,412)
$327.509d6 Nov 2026$8.905/5$4,450$14,833$14,83360%hist 70%83%hist 79%71%+$2,982-$8,17219.8%0.7mo$-8,505 (vs do-nothing $-8,362)
$327.5016d13 Nov 2026$10.055/5$5,025$9,422$9,42259%hist 70%85%hist 79%71%+$1,959-$7,59718.4%0.7mo$-7,930 (vs do-nothing $-7,787)
$327.5023d20 Nov 2026$11.355/5$5,675$7,402$7,40259%hist 70%86%hist 79%71%+$1,560-$6,94716.8%0.6mo$-7,280 (vs do-nothing $-7,137)
$3259d6 Nov 2026$10.005/5$5,000$16,667$16,66756%hist 70%91%hist 89%69%+$3,107-$8,87221.5%0.8mo$-9,205 (vs do-nothing $-9,062)
$32516d13 Nov 2026$11.055/5$5,525$10,359$10,35956%hist 70%91%hist 89%70%+$1,936-$8,34720.2%0.7mo$-8,680 (vs do-nothing $-8,537)
$32523d20 Nov 2026$12.455/5$6,225$8,120$8,12056%hist 70%92%hist 89%69%+$1,587-$7,64718.5%0.7mo$-7,980 (vs do-nothing $-7,837)
$322.502d30 Oct 2026$9.505/5$4,750$71,250$71,25053%hist 70%95%hist 89%83%+$45,839-$10,37225.1%0.9mo$-10,705 (vs do-nothing $-10,562)
$322.5023d20 Nov 2026$13.655/5$6,825$8,902$8,90253%hist 70%98%hist 89%68%+$1,627-$8,29720.1%0.7mo$-8,630 (vs do-nothing $-8,487)
$322.5016d13 Nov 2026$12.255/5$6,125$11,484$11,48453%hist 70%98%hist 89%68%+$2,014-$8,99721.8%0.8mo$-9,330 (vs do-nothing $-9,187)
$322.509d6 Nov 2026$11.105/5$5,550$18,500$18,50053%hist 70%98%hist 89%68%+$3,074-$9,57223.2%0.8mo$-9,905 (vs do-nothing $-9,762)
$32023d20 Nov 2026$14.805/5$7,400$9,652$9,65250%hist 70%100%hist 89%67%+$1,579-$8,97221.8%0.8mo$-9,305 (vs do-nothing $-9,162)
$32016d13 Nov 2026$13.505/5$6,750$12,656$12,65650%100%hist 89%67%+$2,044-$9,62223.3%0.8mo$-9,955 (vs do-nothing $-9,812)
$3209d6 Nov 2026$12.305/5$6,150$20,500$20,50049%100%hist 89%66%+$3,046-$10,22224.8%0.9mo$-10,555 (vs do-nothing $-10,412)
$317.5023d20 Nov 2026$16.155/5$8,075$10,533$10,53347%100%hist 89%66%+$1,607-$9,54723.1%0.8mo$-9,880 (vs do-nothing $-9,737)
$317.5016d13 Nov 2026$14.805/5$7,400$13,875$13,87546%100%hist 89%65%+$2,040-$10,22224.8%0.9mo$-10,555 (vs do-nothing $-10,412)
$317.509d6 Nov 2026$13.655/5$6,825$22,750$22,75046%100%hist 89%65%+$3,102-$10,79726.2%0.9mo$-11,130 (vs do-nothing $-10,987)
$3202d30 Oct 2026$10.705/5$5,350$80,250$80,25044%100%hist 89%80%+$45,158-$11,02226.7%1.0mo$-11,355 (vs do-nothing $-11,212)
$317.502d30 Oct 2026$12.005/5$6,000$90,000$90,00035%100%hist 89%77%+$43,262-$11,62228.2%1.0mo$-11,955 (vs do-nothing $-11,812)
84 more priced, not eligible (safety, income floor or quote screens): shown for reference
StrikeDTEExpiryBidSellPer cycleIncome/moNet/moSurvivalTouchPOP (mid)EV/moCap Give-up @ CC-SS%ICRecoverTotal P&L @ SSWhy not eligible
$4052d30 Oct 2026$0.045/5$20$300$30099+%hist 95%1%hist 4%100%+$217-$00.0%0.0mo$-313 (vs do-nothing $-170)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$4002d30 Oct 2026$0.065/5$30$450$45099%hist 95%1%hist 4%99%+$349-$00.0%0.0mo$-303 (vs do-nothing $-160)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$397.502d30 Oct 2026$0.025/5$10$150$15099%hist 95%1%hist 4%99%+$35-$00.0%0.0mo$-323 (vs do-nothing $-180)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$3952d30 Oct 2026$0.075/5$35$525$52599%hist 95%1%hist 4%99%+$393-$00.0%0.0mo$-298 (vs do-nothing $-155)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$392.502d30 Oct 2026$0.055/5$25$375$37599%hist 95%2%hist 4%99%+$221-$00.0%0.0mo$-308 (vs do-nothing $-165)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$3902d30 Oct 2026$0.105/5$50$750$75099%hist 95%2%hist 4%99%+$565-$00.0%0.0mo$-283 (vs do-nothing $-140)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$4059d6 Nov 2026$0.095/5$45$150$15099%hist 95%2%hist 4%99%+$93-$00.0%0.0mo$-288 (vs do-nothing $-145)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$387.502d30 Oct 2026$0.115/5$55$825$82599%hist 95%2%hist 4%99%+$599-$00.0%0.0mo$-278 (vs do-nothing $-135)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$4009d6 Nov 2026$0.185/5$90$300$30099%hist 95%3%hist 4%99%+$221-$00.0%0.0mo$-243 (vs do-nothing $-100)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$3852d30 Oct 2026$0.125/5$60$900$90099%hist 95%3%hist 4%99%+$618-$00.0%0.0mo$-273 (vs do-nothing $-130)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$40516d13 Nov 2026$0.215/5$105$197$19799%hist 95%3%hist 4%99%+$134-$00.0%0.0mo$-228 (vs do-nothing $-85)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$382.502d30 Oct 2026$0.155/5$75$1,125$1,12599%hist 95%3%hist 4%99%+$769-$00.0%0.0mo$-258 (vs do-nothing $-115)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$3959d6 Nov 2026$0.205/5$100$333$33398%hist 95%3%hist 4%98%+$225-$00.0%0.0mo$-233 (vs do-nothing $-90)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$3802d30 Oct 2026$0.205/5$100$1,500$1,50098%hist 95%4%hist 4%98%+$1,047-$00.0%0.0mo$-233 (vs do-nothing $-90)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$392.509d6 Nov 2026$0.235/5$115$383$38398%hist 95%4%hist 4%98%+$257-$00.0%0.0mo$-218 (vs do-nothing $-75)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$40016d13 Nov 2026$0.315/5$155$291$29198%hist 95%4%hist 4%98%+$205-$00.0%0.0mo$-178 (vs do-nothing $-35)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$3909d6 Nov 2026$0.285/5$140$467$46798%hist 95%4%hist 4%98%+$318-$00.0%0.0mo$-193 (vs do-nothing $-50)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$377.502d30 Oct 2026$0.245/5$120$1,800$1,80098%hist 95%4%hist 4%98%+$1,224-$00.0%0.0mo$-213 (vs do-nothing $-70)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$387.509d6 Nov 2026$0.295/5$145$483$48398%hist 95%5%hist 4%98%+$309-$00.0%0.0mo$-188 (vs do-nothing $-45)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$3752d30 Oct 2026$0.265/5$130$1,950$1,95097%hist 95%5%hist 4%98%+$1,219-$00.0%0.0mo$-203 (vs do-nothing $-60)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$40523d20 Nov 2026$0.465/5$230$300$30097%hist 95%5%hist 4%98%+$189-$00.0%0.0mo$-103 (vs do-nothing +$40)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$3859d6 Nov 2026$0.355/5$175$583$58397%hist 95%5%hist 4%97%+$377-$00.0%0.0mo$-158 (vs do-nothing $-15)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$392.5016d13 Nov 2026$0.385/5$190$356$35697%hist 95%5%hist 4%97%+$217-$00.0%0.0mo$-143 (vs do-nothing +$0)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$382.509d6 Nov 2026$0.355/5$175$583$58397%hist 95%6%hist 4%97%+$338-$00.0%0.0mo$-158 (vs do-nothing $-15)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$40023d20 Nov 2026$0.615/5$305$398$39897%hist 95%6%hist 4%97%+$267-$00.0%0.0mo$-28 (vs do-nothing +$115)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$372.502d30 Oct 2026$0.325/5$160$2,400$2,40097%hist 95%6%hist 4%97%+$1,472-$00.0%0.0mo$-173 (vs do-nothing $-30)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$39016d13 Nov 2026$0.475/5$235$441$44197%hist 95%6%hist 4%97%+$277-$00.0%0.0mo$-98 (vs do-nothing +$45)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$3809d6 Nov 2026$0.455/5$225$750$75097%hist 95%7%hist 4%97%+$456-$00.0%0.0mo$-108 (vs do-nothing +$35)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$387.5016d13 Nov 2026$0.475/5$235$441$44197%hist 95%7%hist 4%97%+$248-$00.0%0.0mo$-98 (vs do-nothing +$45)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$39523d20 Nov 2026$0.655/5$325$424$42497%hist 95%7%hist 4%97%+$262-$00.0%0.0mo$-8 (vs do-nothing +$135)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$3702d30 Oct 2026$0.425/5$210$3,150$3,15096%hist 95%7%hist 4%97%+$1,970-$00.0%0.0mo$-123 (vs do-nothing +$20)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$38516d13 Nov 2026$0.565/5$280$525$52596%hist 95%8%hist 4%96%+$298-$00.0%0.0mo$-53 (vs do-nothing +$90)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$377.509d6 Nov 2026$0.515/5$255$850$85096%hist 95%8%hist 4%96%+$498-$00.0%0.0mo$-78 (vs do-nothing +$65)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$367.502d30 Oct 2026$0.495/5$245$3,675$3,67596%hist 95%9%hist 4%96%+$2,168-$00.0%0.0mo$-88 (vs do-nothing +$55)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$39023d20 Nov 2026$0.795/5$395$515$51596%hist 95%9%hist 4%96%+$301-$00.0%0.0mo$62 (vs do-nothing +$205)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$382.5016d13 Nov 2026$0.645/5$320$600$60096%hist 95%9%hist 4%96%+$332-$00.0%0.0mo$-13 (vs do-nothing +$130)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$3759d6 Nov 2026$0.615/5$305$1,017$1,01796%hist 95%9%hist 4%96%+$594-$00.0%0.0mo$-28 (vs do-nothing +$115)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$38016d13 Nov 2026$0.725/5$360$675$67595%hist 95%10%hist 4%95%+$360-$00.0%0.0mo$27 (vs do-nothing +$170)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$372.509d6 Nov 2026$0.685/5$340$1,133$1,13395%hist 95%10%hist 13%95%+$625-$00.0%0.0mo$7 (vs do-nothing +$150)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$3652d30 Oct 2026$0.605/5$300$4,500$4,50095%hist 95%10%hist 13%95%+$2,569-$00.0%0.0mo$-33 (vs do-nothing +$110)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$38523d20 Nov 2026$0.955/5$475$620$62095%hist 95%10%hist 13%95%+$354-$00.0%0.0mo$142 (vs do-nothing +$285)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$377.5016d13 Nov 2026$0.845/5$420$788$78895%hist 95%11%hist 13%95%+$416-$00.0%0.0mo$87 (vs do-nothing +$230)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$3709d6 Nov 2026$0.815/5$405$1,350$1,35094%hist 95%11%hist 13%95%+$739-$00.0%0.0mo$72 (vs do-nothing +$215)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$362.502d30 Oct 2026$0.725/5$360$5,400$5,40094%hist 95%12%hist 13%94%+$2,925-$00.0%0.0mo$27 (vs do-nothing +$170)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$37516d13 Nov 2026$0.955/5$475$891$89194%hist 95%12%hist 13%94%+$453-$00.0%0.0mo$142 (vs do-nothing +$285)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$38023d20 Nov 2026$1.215/5$605$789$78994%hist 95%13%hist 13%94%+$425-$00.0%0.0mo$272 (vs do-nothing +$415)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$367.509d6 Nov 2026$0.945/5$470$1,567$1,56794%hist 95%13%hist 13%94%+$831-$00.0%0.0mo$137 (vs do-nothing +$280)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$372.5016d13 Nov 2026$1.075/5$535$1,003$1,00393%hist 95%14%hist 13%94%+$488-$00.0%0.0mo$202 (vs do-nothing +$345)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$3659d6 Nov 2026$1.095/5$545$1,817$1,81793%hist 95%15%hist 13%93%+$931-$00.0%0.0mo$212 (vs do-nothing +$355)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$37523d20 Nov 2026$1.485/5$740$965$96592%hist 95%15%hist 13%93%+$499-$00.0%0.0mo$407 (vs do-nothing +$550)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$37016d13 Nov 2026$1.235/5$615$1,153$1,15392%hist 95%16%hist 13%93%+$547-$00.0%0.0mo$282 (vs do-nothing +$425)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$362.509d6 Nov 2026$1.275/5$635$2,117$2,11792%hist 95%17%hist 13%92%+$1,048-$00.0%0.0mo$302 (vs do-nothing +$445)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$367.5016d13 Nov 2026$1.405/5$700$1,312$1,31291%hist 95%17%hist 13%92%+$600-$00.0%0.0mo$367 (vs do-nothing +$510)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$37023d20 Nov 2026$1.825/5$910$1,187$1,18791%hist 95%19%hist 13%92%+$588-$00.0%0.0mo$577 (vs do-nothing +$720)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$3609d6 Nov 2026$1.495/5$745$2,483$2,48390%hist 95%19%hist 13%91%+$1,193-$00.0%0.0mo$412 (vs do-nothing +$555)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$36516d13 Nov 2026$1.665/5$830$1,556$1,55690%hist 95%20%hist 13%91%+$720-$00.0%0.0mo$497 (vs do-nothing +$640)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$362.5016d13 Nov 2026$1.855/5$925$1,734$1,73489%hist 86%22%hist 23%90%+$753-$00.0%0.0mo$592 (vs do-nothing +$735)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$357.509d6 Nov 2026$1.735/5$865$2,883$2,88389%hist 86%22%hist 23%90%+$1,326-$00.0%0.0mo$532 (vs do-nothing +$675)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$36523d20 Nov 2026$2.275/5$1,135$1,480$1,48089%hist 86%23%hist 23%90%+$668-$00.0%0.0mo$802 (vs do-nothing +$945)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$36016d13 Nov 2026$2.195/5$1,095$2,053$2,05388%hist 86%24%hist 23%89%+$897-$00.0%0.0mo$762 (vs do-nothing +$905)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$3559d6 Nov 2026$2.025/5$1,010$3,367$3,36788%hist 86%25%hist 23%89%+$1,486-$00.0%0.0mo$677 (vs do-nothing +$820)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$362.5023d20 Nov 2026$2.535/5$1,265$1,650$1,65088%hist 86%25%hist 23%89%+$717-$00.0%0.0mo$932 (vs do-nothing +$1,075)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$357.5016d13 Nov 2026$2.395/5$1,195$2,241$2,24187%hist 86%27%hist 23%88%+$887-$00.0%0.0mo$862 (vs do-nothing +$1,005)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$36023d20 Nov 2026$2.855/5$1,425$1,859$1,85986%hist 86%28%hist 23%88%+$788-$00.0%0.0mo$1,092 (vs do-nothing +$1,235)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$352.509d6 Nov 2026$2.365/5$1,180$3,933$3,93386%hist 86%29%hist 23%88%+$1,666-$00.0%0.0mo$725 (vs do-nothing +$868)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$35516d13 Nov 2026$2.735/5$1,365$2,559$2,55985%hist 86%30%hist 30%87%+$977-$00.0%0.0mo$1,032 (vs do-nothing +$1,175)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$357.5023d20 Nov 2026$3.155/5$1,575$2,054$2,05485%hist 86%31%hist 30%87%+$825-$00.0%0.0mo$1,242 (vs do-nothing +$1,385)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$3509d6 Nov 2026$2.725/5$1,360$4,533$4,53384%hist 86%32%hist 30%86%+$1,805-$120.0%0.0mo$-345 (vs do-nothing $-202)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$352.5016d13 Nov 2026$3.055/5$1,525$2,859$2,85984%hist 86%34%hist 30%86%+$1,013-$00.0%0.0mo$1,070 (vs do-nothing +$1,213)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$35523d20 Nov 2026$3.555/5$1,775$2,315$2,31584%hist 86%34%hist 30%86%+$903-$00.0%0.0mo$1,442 (vs do-nothing +$1,585)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$347.509d6 Nov 2026$3.105/5$1,550$5,167$5,16782%hist 86%37%hist 30%85%+$1,893-$1,0722.6%0.1mo$-1,405 (vs do-nothing $-1,262)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$352.5023d20 Nov 2026$3.955/5$1,975$2,576$2,57682%hist 86%37%hist 30%85%+$955-$00.0%0.0mo$1,520 (vs do-nothing +$1,663)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$35016d13 Nov 2026$3.605/5$1,800$3,375$3,37582%hist 86%38%hist 30%84%+$1,225-$00.0%0.0mo$95 (vs do-nothing +$238)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$35023d20 Nov 2026$4.455/5$2,225$2,902$2,90280%hist 86%41%hist 40%83%+$1,043-$00.0%0.0mo$520 (vs do-nothing +$663)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$347.5016d13 Nov 2026$3.955/5$1,975$3,703$3,70380%hist 83%42%hist 40%83%+$1,204-$6471.6%0.1mo$-980 (vs do-nothing $-837)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$347.5023d20 Nov 2026$5.005/5$2,500$3,261$3,26178%hist 83%45%hist 40%82%+$1,130-$1220.3%0.0mo$-455 (vs do-nothing $-312)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$34516d13 Nov 2026$4.505/5$2,250$4,219$4,21978%hist 83%46%hist 40%82%+$1,323-$1,6223.9%0.1mo$-1,955 (vs do-nothing $-1,812)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$34523d20 Nov 2026$5.555/5$2,775$3,620$3,62076%hist 83%49%hist 40%81%+$1,181-$1,0972.7%0.1mo$-1,430 (vs do-nothing $-1,287)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$342.5016d13 Nov 2026$5.105/5$2,550$4,781$4,78175%hist 83%50%hist 44%80%+$1,434-$2,5726.2%0.2mo$-2,905 (vs do-nothing $-2,762)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$342.5023d20 Nov 2026$6.105/5$3,050$3,978$3,97874%hist 83%54%hist 44%79%+$1,192-$2,0725.0%0.2mo$-2,405 (vs do-nothing $-2,262)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$34016d13 Nov 2026$5.805/5$2,900$5,438$5,43873%hist 83%55%hist 44%79%+$1,580-$3,4728.4%0.3mo$-3,805 (vs do-nothing $-3,662)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$34023d20 Nov 2026$6.905/5$3,450$4,500$4,50072%hist 83%58%hist 44%78%+$1,325-$2,9227.1%0.3mo$-3,255 (vs do-nothing $-3,112)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$337.5023d20 Nov 2026$7.655/5$3,825$4,989$4,98969%hist 66%63%hist 54%77%+$1,380-$3,7979.2%0.3mo$-4,130 (vs do-nothing $-3,987)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$33523d20 Nov 2026$8.405/5$4,200$5,478$5,47867%hist 66%69%hist 54%75%+$1,387-$4,67211.3%0.4mo$-5,005 (vs do-nothing $-4,862)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract

Per cycle = bid x 100 x contracts, the cash this expiry pays. Touch = P(strike trades before expiry), with the graded record's hist pill. Recover = months of this income to close the hole to CC-SS. Income/mo = FIGHT leg gross, DTE-prorated. Net/mo = FIGHT + conservative CC gross minus hedge cost. POP (mid) = probability stock closes at or below (strike + mid premium) at expiry, per-strike chain IV when available. Survival = CC expires fully worthless. EV/mo = premium minus expected buyback, monthly, with realized vol = IV x 85% (variance risk premium 15%). Survival, POP and touch use vol x 1.00 (raw implied: the VRP haircut is applied to the premium edge but NOT to risk, because understating the edge costs opportunity while understating breach odds costs capital; the risk-side haircut arms only from the graded ledger). Cap give-up @ SS = recovery mortgaged on a V-bounce to SS, net of premium. Total P&L @ SS = absolute position P&L if the stock closes at SS; "vs do-nothing" = opportunity cost against holding all 5 contracts at the conservative CC.

fortress_fight.py v6.3  |  2026-10-29 03:13