5 contracts (500 sh) | BE SS: $114.00 | CC-SS: $114.06 | IV: HIGH | Accounts: Neville:0865
| Max Loss | $47,000 | (ND $29.00 + SW $65) x 500 |
| Normal income ref | $7,558/mo | 95% ann ROI on ML |
| Hedge rolling cost | $28/mo | |
| Unrealized P&L | $-4,588 | fortress legs from IBKR |
Each Friday gets its own recommended pick and full income ladder (safest strike per income rung, sized across your 5 contracts). The master ranks the two by E[net]/mo to pick one grand pick; both are shown here so you can choose the tenor that fits your roll cadence.
| Track | Expiry | Sell | Survival | Income/mo | E[net]/mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEXT FRIDAY 🏆 | 17 Jul 2026 · 8d | 5 × $120 | 81% | $3,938 | $986 |
| Rung | Sell | Expiry | DTE | OTM | Survival | Touch odds | Per cycle | Income/mo | Δ vs pick | Cap give-up | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| ▸ | cover hedge | 1 × $134 | 17 Jul | 8d | 24.3% | 95% | 11% | $57 | $214 | -$3,724 | $0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Sell 1 × $134 24.3% OTM over spot $107.77 17 Jul 2026 (8d, $0.61 mid) = $57 credit for the 8d cycle → $214/mo projected Survival (stays ≤ $134) 95% Breach risk 5% POP (stays ≤ $134.61) 95% EV / mo +$137 📈 CAMPAIGN OUTLOOK (400 paths, sell-roll-repeat this rung for 9 mo) whole in 0.2 mo [0.1-0.8] median · 96% of paths whole by 9 mo (vs 97% without) · ~0.2 challenges expected · median CC cash $884 🛡 IF CHALLENGED (spot reaches the strike) · challenge = the strike is touched at any point, so it runs ~2x the breach risk (finishing through it) Challenge odds (touch by expiry) 6% Flat exit net (mid-life) -$499 Free roll-up none Safest escape (by 24 Jul 2026) $145 @ 78% POP 71% survival Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 1 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 4 of 8); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic Buyback gross: $7.86/sh now → $5.56 mid-life (likely $4.40–$7.75) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $0.57/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$4.99/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours 📊 Across 183 simulated challenges: the $134 strike is typically first touched on day 6 of 8, at $138 (overshoots $3.68). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP. Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted -0.4 vol pt per +1% move (equity skew: vol eases as spot rises; buyback shift floored at 0). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened. More detail, income coverage, downside budget, tripwires, held-to-expiry ladder, V-bounce stressIncome coverage
Downside budget ✓ $134 is at/above CC-SS $114.06: assignment is break-even or better.
Tripwiresprice and time left decide together; the matrix is the playbook The one rule: roll when the short call's remaining TIME VALUE < $0.14/sh (~25% of the $0.57 collected) or spot ≥ $134.61 (breakeven), whichever comes first. Time value = call mark price minus intrinsic (max(0, spot − $134)); NOT the premium you collected. Momentum override: two daily closes above $144.36 (daily upper band) or daily RSI > 70 → treat "pressing" as "through".
If held to expiryexact, settlement = intrinsic · fortress delta 1.06 (IBKR)
V-BOUNCE STRESS (stock → CC-SS $114.06, where you are whole again, by expiry) Starting unrealized P&L: $-4,588 + Fortress recovery (un-capped): +$3,326 − CC assignment net of premium (1 × $134): -$0 + Conservative CC premium (4 × $114): +$1,375 Total Position P&L @ SS: $113 (+$4,701 vs today) Do-nothing baseline at SS: $457 (this trade vs do-nothing: $-344, the opportunity cost of earning $214/mo FIGHT income now) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ | 🛡 safe yield | 5 × $128 | 17 Jul | 8d | 18.8% | 90% | 20% | $490 | $1,838 | -$2,100 | $0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Sell 5 × $128 18.8% OTM over spot $107.77 17 Jul 2026 (8d, $1.02 mid) = $490 credit for the 8d cycle → $1,838/mo projected Survival (stays ≤ $128) 90% Breach risk 10% POP (stays ≤ $129.03) 91% EV / mo +$1,006 📈 CAMPAIGN OUTLOOK (400 paths, sell-roll-repeat this rung for 9 mo) whole in 0.2 mo [0.1-0.7] median · 88% of paths whole by 9 mo (vs 98% without) · ~0.6 challenges expected · median CC cash $478 🛡 IF CHALLENGED (spot reaches the strike) · challenge = the strike is touched at any point, so it runs ~2x the breach risk (finishing through it) Challenge odds (touch by expiry) 14% Flat exit net (mid-life) -$2,164 Free roll-up none Safest escape (by 24 Jul 2026) $140 @ 79% POP 73% survival Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 5 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 4 of 8); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic Buyback gross: $7.50/sh now → $5.31 mid-life (likely $4.47–$7.77) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $0.98/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$4.33/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours 📊 Across 409 simulated challenges: the $128 strike is typically first touched on day 6 of 8, at $132 (overshoots $3.56). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP. Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted -0.4 vol pt per +1% move (equity skew: vol eases as spot rises; buyback shift floored at 0). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened. More detail, income coverage, downside budget, tripwires, held-to-expiry ladder, V-bounce stressIncome coverage
Downside budget ✓ $128 is at/above CC-SS $114.06: assignment is break-even or better.
Tripwiresprice and time left decide together; the matrix is the playbook The one rule: roll when the short call's remaining TIME VALUE < $0.24/sh (~25% of the $0.98 collected) or spot ≥ $129.03 (breakeven), whichever comes first. Time value = call mark price minus intrinsic (max(0, spot − $128)); NOT the premium you collected. Momentum override: two daily closes above $144.36 (daily upper band) or daily RSI > 70 → treat "pressing" as "through".
If held to expiryexact, settlement = intrinsic · fortress delta 1.06 (IBKR)
V-BOUNCE STRESS (stock → CC-SS $114.06, where you are whole again, by expiry) Starting unrealized P&L: $-4,588 + Fortress recovery (un-capped): +$3,326 − CC assignment net of premium (5 × $128): -$0 Total Position P&L @ SS: $-1,261 (+$3,326 vs today) Do-nothing baseline at SS: $457 (this trade vs do-nothing: $-1,718, the opportunity cost of earning $1,838/mo FIGHT income now) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ | 33% normal | 5 × $124 | 17 Jul | 8d | 15.1% | 86% | 28% | $715 | $2,681 | -$1,256 | $0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Sell 5 × $124 15.1% OTM over spot $107.77 17 Jul 2026 (8d, $1.49 mid) = $715 credit for the 8d cycle → $2,681/mo projected Survival (stays ≤ $124) 86% Breach risk 14% POP (stays ≤ $125.49) 88% EV / mo +$1,285 📈 CAMPAIGN OUTLOOK (400 paths, sell-roll-repeat this rung for 9 mo) whole in 0.2 mo [0.1-0.7] median · 91% of paths whole by 9 mo (vs 98% without) · ~0.9 challenges expected · median CC cash $704 🛡 IF CHALLENGED (spot reaches the strike) · challenge = the strike is touched at any point, so it runs ~2x the breach risk (finishing through it) Challenge odds (touch by expiry) 21% Flat exit net (mid-life) -$1,856 Free roll-up none Safest escape (by 24 Jul 2026) $138 @ 81% POP 76% survival Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 5 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 4 of 8); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic Buyback gross: $7.27/sh now → $5.14 mid-life (likely $4.88–$8.00) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $1.43/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$3.71/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours 📊 Across 633 simulated challenges: the $124 strike is typically first touched on day 5 of 8, at $128 (overshoots $3.59). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP. Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted -0.4 vol pt per +1% move (equity skew: vol eases as spot rises; buyback shift floored at 0). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened. More detail, income coverage, downside budget, tripwires, held-to-expiry ladder, V-bounce stressIncome coverage
Downside budget ✓ $124 is at/above CC-SS $114.06: assignment is break-even or better.
Tripwiresprice and time left decide together; the matrix is the playbook The one rule: roll when the short call's remaining TIME VALUE < $0.36/sh (~25% of the $1.43 collected) or spot ≥ $125.49 (breakeven), whichever comes first. Time value = call mark price minus intrinsic (max(0, spot − $124)); NOT the premium you collected. Momentum override: two daily closes above $144.36 (daily upper band) or daily RSI > 70 → treat "pressing" as "through".
If held to expiryexact, settlement = intrinsic · fortress delta 1.06 (IBKR)
V-BOUNCE STRESS (stock → CC-SS $114.06, where you are whole again, by expiry) Starting unrealized P&L: $-4,588 + Fortress recovery (un-capped): +$3,326 − CC assignment net of premium (5 × $124): -$0 Total Position P&L @ SS: $-1,261 (+$3,326 vs today) Do-nothing baseline at SS: $457 (this trade vs do-nothing: $-1,718, the opportunity cost of earning $2,681/mo FIGHT income now) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ | 🎯 50% normal | 5 × $120 | 17 Jul | 8d | 11.3% | 81% | 32% | $1,050 | $3,938 | — | $0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Sell 5 × $120 11.3% OTM over spot $107.77 17 Jul 2026 (8d, $2.15 mid) = $1,050 credit for the 8d cycle → $3,938/mo projected Survival (stays ≤ $120) 81% Breach risk 19% POP (stays ≤ $122.15) 84% EV / mo +$1,617 📈 CAMPAIGN OUTLOOK (400 paths, sell-roll-repeat this rung for 9 mo) whole in 0.2 mo [0.1-0.7] median · 93% of paths whole by 9 mo (vs 99% without) · ~1.3 challenges expected · median CC cash $1,043 🛡 IF CHALLENGED (spot reaches the strike) · challenge = the strike is touched at any point, so it runs ~2x the breach risk (finishing through it) Challenge odds (touch by expiry) 32% Flat exit net (mid-life) -$1,438 Free roll-up +$1/wk Safest escape (by 24 Jul 2026) $138 @ 84% POP 81% survival Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 5 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 4 of 8); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic Buyback gross: $7.03/sh now → $4.98 mid-life (likely $5.26–$8.09) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $2.10/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$2.88/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours 📊 Across 949 simulated challenges: the $120 strike is typically first touched on day 4 of 8, at $123 (overshoots $3.37). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP. Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted -0.4 vol pt per +1% move (equity skew: vol eases as spot rises; buyback shift floored at 0). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened. More detail, income coverage, downside budget, tripwires, held-to-expiry ladder, V-bounce stressIncome coverage
Downside budget ✓ $120 is at/above CC-SS $114.06: assignment is break-even or better.
Tripwiresprice and time left decide together; the matrix is the playbook The one rule: roll when the short call's remaining TIME VALUE < $0.53/sh (~25% of the $2.10 collected) or spot ≥ $122.15 (breakeven), whichever comes first. Time value = call mark price minus intrinsic (max(0, spot − $120)); NOT the premium you collected. Momentum override: two daily closes above $144.36 (daily upper band) or daily RSI > 70 → treat "pressing" as "through".
If held to expiryexact, settlement = intrinsic · fortress delta 1.06 (IBKR)
V-BOUNCE STRESS (stock → CC-SS $114.06, where you are whole again, by expiry) Starting unrealized P&L: $-4,588 + Fortress recovery (un-capped): +$3,326 − CC assignment net of premium (5 × $120): -$0 Total Position P&L @ SS: $-1,261 (+$3,326 vs today) Do-nothing baseline at SS: $457 (this trade vs do-nothing: $-1,718, the opportunity cost of earning $3,938/mo FIGHT income now) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ | 100% normal | 5 × $112 | 17 Jul | 8d | 3.9% | 64% | 76% | $2,125 | $7,969 | +$4,031 | $0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Sell 5 × $112 3.9% OTM over spot $107.77 17 Jul 2026 (8d, $4.38 mid) = $2,125 credit for the 8d cycle → $7,969/mo projected Survival (stays ≤ $112) 64% Breach risk 36% POP (stays ≤ $116.38) 74% EV / mo +$2,010 📈 CAMPAIGN OUTLOOK (400 paths, sell-roll-repeat this rung for 9 mo) whole in 0.2 mo [0.1-0.5] median · 94% of paths whole by 9 mo (vs 98% without) · ~3.3 challenges expected · median CC cash $2,123 🛡 IF CHALLENGED (spot reaches the strike) · challenge = the strike is touched at any point, so it runs ~2x the breach risk (finishing through it) Challenge odds (touch by expiry) 61% Flat exit net (mid-life) -$197 Free roll-up +$1/wk Safest escape (by 22 Jul 2026) $131 @ 90% POP 89% survival Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 5 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 4 of 8); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic Buyback gross: $6.57/sh now → $4.64 mid-life (likely $6.06–$8.53) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $4.25/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$0.39/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours 📊 Across 1,842 simulated challenges: the $112 strike is typically first touched on day 3 of 8, at $115 (overshoots $3.34). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP. Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted -0.4 vol pt per +1% move (equity skew: vol eases as spot rises; buyback shift floored at 0). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened. More detail, income coverage, downside budget, tripwires, held-to-expiry ladder, V-bounce stressIncome coverage
Downside budget ✓ $112 is at/above CC-SS $114.06: assignment is break-even or better.
Tripwiresprice and time left decide together; the matrix is the playbook The one rule: roll when the short call's remaining TIME VALUE < $1.06/sh (~25% of the $4.25 collected) or spot ≥ $116.38 (breakeven), whichever comes first. Time value = call mark price minus intrinsic (max(0, spot − $112)); NOT the premium you collected. Momentum override: two daily closes above $144.36 (daily upper band) or daily RSI > 70 → treat "pressing" as "through".
If held to expiryexact, settlement = intrinsic · fortress delta 1.06 (IBKR)
V-BOUNCE STRESS (stock → CC-SS $114.06, where you are whole again, by expiry) Starting unrealized P&L: $-4,588 + Fortress recovery (un-capped): +$3,326 − CC assignment net of premium (5 × $112): -$0 Total Position P&L @ SS: $-1,261 (+$3,326 vs today) Do-nothing baseline at SS: $457 (this trade vs do-nothing: $-1,718, the opportunity cost of earning $7,969/mo FIGHT income now) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Every eligible strike x expiry in the 4-45 DTE band (6 expiries scanned, 84 clear the income floor), each sized to the minimum contracts that clear it. Sorted by survival (safest first): the primary 🎯 is the safest; rows below trade safety for income.
Fortress delta: 1.057 (IBKR) | Recovery@SS: +$3,326 (un-capped fortress gain if stock rallies to SS) | Do-nothing @ SS: $457
| Strike | DTE | Expiry | Bid | Sell | Income/mo | Net/mo | Survival | POP (mid) | EV/mo | Cap Give-up @ CC-SS | %IC | Total P&L @ SS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $117 | 4d | 13 Jul 2026 | $1.01 | 5/5 | $3,788 | $3,760 | 85% | 87% | +$1,986 | -$0 | 0.0% | $-756 (vs do-nothing $-1,213) |
| $116 | 4d | 13 Jul 2026 | $1.18 | 5/5 | $4,425 | $4,397 | 82% | 86% | +$2,172 | -$0 | 0.0% | $-671 (vs do-nothing $-1,128) |
| $118 | 6d | 15 Jul 2026 | $1.57 | 5/5 | $3,925 | $3,897 | 81% | 85% | +$1,716 | -$0 | 0.0% | $-476 (vs do-nothing $-933) |
| $120 | 8d | 17 Jul 2026 | $2.10 | 5/5 | $3,938 | $3,910 | 81% | 84% | +$1,617 | -$0 | 0.0% | $-211 (vs do-nothing $-668) |
| $115 | 4d | 13 Jul 2026 | $1.39 | 4/5 | $4,170 | $5,097 | 80% | 84% | +$1,924 | -$0 | 0.0% | $-362 (vs do-nothing $-819) |
| $117 | 6d | 15 Jul 2026 | $1.79 | 5/5 | $4,475 | $4,447 | 79% | 83% | +$1,859 | -$0 | 0.0% | $-366 (vs do-nothing $-823) |
| $119 | 8d | 17 Jul 2026 | $2.31 | 5/5 | $4,331 | $4,303 | 79% | 83% | +$1,705 | -$0 | 0.0% | $-106 (vs do-nothing $-563) |
| $125 | 15d | 24 Jul 2026 | $3.95 | 5/5 | $3,950 | $3,922 | 78% | 82% | +$1,321 | -$0 | 0.0% | $714 (vs do-nothing +$257) |
| $124 | 15d | 24 Jul 2026 | $4.20 | 5/5 | $4,200 | $4,172 | 77% | 82% | +$1,387 | -$0 | 0.0% | $839 (vs do-nothing +$382) |
| $118 | 8d | 17 Jul 2026 | $2.52 | 4/5 | $3,780 | $4,707 | 77% | 82% | +$1,405 | -$0 | 0.0% | $90 (vs do-nothing $-367) |
| $116 | 6d | 15 Jul 2026 | $2.03 | 4/5 | $4,060 | $4,987 | 77% | 82% | +$1,589 | -$0 | 0.0% | $-106 (vs do-nothing $-563) |
| $114 | 4d | 13 Jul 2026 | $1.61 | 4/5 | $4,830 | $5,757 | 77% | 82% | +$2,045 | -$0 | 0.0% | $-299 (vs do-nothing $-756) |
| $123 | 15d | 24 Jul 2026 | $4.35 | 5/5 | $4,350 | $4,322 | 76% | 81% | +$1,341 | -$0 | 0.0% | $914 (vs do-nothing +$457) |
Showing the 60 next-safest rows of 71.
| Strike | DTE | Expiry | Bid | Sell | Income/mo | Net/mo | Survival | POP (mid) | EV/mo | Cap Give-up @ CC-SS | %IC | Total P&L @ SS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $117 | 8d | 17 Jul 2026 | $2.75 | 4/5 | $4,125 | $5,052 | 75% | 80% | +$1,444 | -$0 | 0.0% | $182 (vs do-nothing $-275) |
| $122 | 15d | 24 Jul 2026 | $4.60 | 5/5 | $4,600 | $4,572 | 75% | 80% | +$1,382 | -$0 | 0.0% | $1,039 (vs do-nothing +$582) |
| $115 | 6d | 15 Jul 2026 | $2.30 | 4/5 | $4,600 | $5,527 | 74% | 80% | +$1,692 | -$0 | 0.0% | $2 (vs do-nothing $-455) |
| $117 | 11d | 20 Jul 2026 | $2.89 | 5/5 | $3,941 | $3,913 | 74% | 80% | +$1,153 | -$0 | 0.0% | $184 (vs do-nothing $-273) |
| $121 | 15d | 24 Jul 2026 | $4.85 | 4/5 | $3,880 | $4,807 | 74% | 80% | +$1,128 | -$0 | 0.0% | $1,022 (vs do-nothing +$565) |
| $113 | 4d | 13 Jul 2026 | $1.62 | 4/5 | $4,860 | $5,787 | 73% | 79% | +$1,427 | -$0 | 0.0% | $-695 (vs do-nothing $-1,152) |
| $116 | 8d | 17 Jul 2026 | $3.00 | 4/5 | $4,500 | $5,427 | 73% | 79% | +$1,480 | -$0 | 0.0% | $282 (vs do-nothing $-175) |
| $120 | 15d | 24 Jul 2026 | $5.20 | 4/5 | $4,160 | $5,087 | 73% | 79% | +$1,219 | -$0 | 0.0% | $1,162 (vs do-nothing +$705) |
| $117 | 13d | 22 Jul 2026 | $3.35 | 5/5 | $3,865 | $3,837 | 72% | 79% | +$890 | -$0 | 0.0% | $414 (vs do-nothing $-43) |
| $116 | 11d | 20 Jul 2026 | $3.15 | 5/5 | $4,295 | $4,268 | 72% | 79% | +$1,189 | -$0 | 0.0% | $314 (vs do-nothing $-143) |
| $114 | 6d | 15 Jul 2026 | $2.56 | 3/5 | $3,840 | $5,721 | 72% | 79% | +$1,283 | -$0 | 0.0% | $175 (vs do-nothing $-282) |
| $119 | 15d | 24 Jul 2026 | $5.40 | 4/5 | $4,320 | $5,247 | 71% | 78% | +$1,179 | -$0 | 0.0% | $1,242 (vs do-nothing +$785) |
| $115 | 8d | 17 Jul 2026 | $3.30 | 4/5 | $4,950 | $5,877 | 71% | 78% | +$1,554 | -$0 | 0.0% | $402 (vs do-nothing $-55) |
| $116 | 13d | 22 Jul 2026 | $3.65 | 5/5 | $4,212 | $4,184 | 70% | 77% | +$944 | -$0 | 0.0% | $564 (vs do-nothing +$107) |
| $115 | 11d | 20 Jul 2026 | $3.40 | 5/5 | $4,636 | $4,608 | 70% | 77% | +$1,179 | -$0 | 0.0% | $439 (vs do-nothing $-18) |
| $118 | 15d | 24 Jul 2026 | $5.70 | 4/5 | $4,560 | $5,487 | 70% | 77% | +$1,206 | -$0 | 0.0% | $1,362 (vs do-nothing +$905) |
| $112 | 4d | 13 Jul 2026 | $2.18 | 3/5 | $4,905 | $6,786 | 69% | 77% | +$1,751 | -$0 | 0.0% | $-539 (vs do-nothing $-996) |
| $113 | 6d | 15 Jul 2026 | $2.88 | 3/5 | $4,320 | $6,201 | 69% | 77% | +$1,337 | -$0 | 0.0% | $-29 (vs do-nothing $-486) |
| $117 | 15d | 24 Jul 2026 | $6.00 | 4/5 | $4,800 | $5,727 | 69% | 77% | +$1,221 | -$0 | 0.0% | $1,482 (vs do-nothing +$1,025) |
| $115 | 13d | 22 Jul 2026 | $4.00 | 5/5 | $4,615 | $4,587 | 69% | 76% | +$1,030 | -$0 | 0.0% | $739 (vs do-nothing +$282) |
| $114 | 8d | 17 Jul 2026 | $3.55 | 3/5 | $3,994 | $5,875 | 69% | 76% | +$1,136 | -$0 | 0.0% | $472 (vs do-nothing +$15) |
| $114 | 11d | 20 Jul 2026 | $3.50 | 4/5 | $3,818 | $4,745 | 68% | 76% | +$745 | -$0 | 0.0% | $457 (vs do-nothing +$0) |
| $116 | 15d | 24 Jul 2026 | $6.30 | 3/5 | $3,780 | $5,661 | 67% | 76% | +$917 | -$0 | 0.0% | $1,316 (vs do-nothing +$859) |
| $114 | 13d | 22 Jul 2026 | $4.60 | 4/5 | $4,246 | $5,173 | 67% | 76% | +$1,102 | -$0 | 0.0% | $897 (vs do-nothing +$440) |
| $113 | 8d | 17 Jul 2026 | $3.90 | 3/5 | $4,388 | $6,269 | 66% | 75% | +$1,187 | -$0 | 0.0% | $277 (vs do-nothing $-180) |
| $115 | 15d | 24 Jul 2026 | $6.65 | 3/5 | $3,990 | $5,871 | 66% | 75% | +$938 | -$0 | 0.0% | $1,421 (vs do-nothing +$964) |
| $112 | 6d | 15 Jul 2026 | $3.10 | 3/5 | $4,650 | $6,531 | 66% | 75% | +$1,186 | -$0 | 0.0% | $-263 (vs do-nothing $-720) |
| $113 | 11d | 20 Jul 2026 | $3.95 | 4/5 | $4,309 | $5,236 | 66% | 75% | +$899 | -$0 | 0.0% | $237 (vs do-nothing $-220) |
| $111 | 4d | 13 Jul 2026 | $2.52 | 2/5 | $3,780 | $6,616 | 66% | 75% | +$1,223 | -$109 | 0.7% | $-339 (vs do-nothing $-796) |
| $113 | 13d | 22 Jul 2026 | $4.35 | 4/5 | $4,015 | $4,942 | 65% | 74% | +$571 | -$0 | 0.0% | $397 (vs do-nothing $-60) |
| $114 | 15d | 24 Jul 2026 | $6.95 | 3/5 | $4,170 | $6,051 | 64% | 74% | +$918 | -$0 | 0.0% | $1,492 (vs do-nothing +$1,035) |
| $112 | 8d | 17 Jul 2026 | $4.25 | 3/5 | $4,781 | $6,662 | 64% | 74% | +$1,206 | -$0 | 0.0% | $82 (vs do-nothing $-375) |
| $112 | 11d | 20 Jul 2026 | $4.35 | 4/5 | $4,745 | $5,672 | 63% | 74% | +$967 | -$0 | 0.0% | $-3 (vs do-nothing $-460) |
| $113 | 15d | 24 Jul 2026 | $7.30 | 3/5 | $4,380 | $6,261 | 63% | 73% | +$917 | -$0 | 0.0% | $1,297 (vs do-nothing +$840) |
| $111 | 6d | 15 Jul 2026 | $3.40 | 3/5 | $5,100 | $6,981 | 63% | 73% | +$1,098 | -$0 | 0.0% | $-473 (vs do-nothing $-930) |
| $112 | 13d | 22 Jul 2026 | $4.80 | 4/5 | $4,431 | $5,357 | 63% | 73% | +$663 | -$0 | 0.0% | $177 (vs do-nothing $-280) |
| $110 | 4d | 13 Jul 2026 | $2.88 | 2/5 | $4,320 | $7,156 | 61% | 73% | +$1,236 | -$237 | 1.6% | $-467 (vs do-nothing $-924) |
| $111 | 8d | 17 Jul 2026 | $4.65 | 3/5 | $5,231 | $7,112 | 61% | 73% | +$1,247 | -$0 | 0.0% | $-98 (vs do-nothing $-555) |
| $112 | 15d | 24 Jul 2026 | $7.70 | 3/5 | $4,620 | $6,501 | 61% | 73% | +$935 | -$0 | 0.0% | $1,117 (vs do-nothing +$660) |
| $111 | 11d | 20 Jul 2026 | $4.65 | 3/5 | $3,805 | $5,686 | 61% | 72% | +$671 | -$0 | 0.0% | $-98 (vs do-nothing $-555) |
| $111 | 13d | 22 Jul 2026 | $5.15 | 4/5 | $4,754 | $5,680 | 60% | 72% | +$638 | -$0 | 0.0% | $-83 (vs do-nothing $-540) |
| $111 | 15d | 24 Jul 2026 | $8.10 | 3/5 | $4,860 | $6,741 | 60% | 72% | +$941 | -$0 | 0.0% | $937 (vs do-nothing +$480) |
| $110 | 6d | 15 Jul 2026 | $3.80 | 2/5 | $3,800 | $6,636 | 59% | 72% | +$734 | -$53 | 0.4% | $-283 (vs do-nothing $-740) |
| $110 | 8d | 17 Jul 2026 | $5.05 | 2/5 | $3,788 | $6,623 | 59% | 71% | +$835 | -$0 | 0.0% | $-33 (vs do-nothing $-490) |
| $110 | 11d | 20 Jul 2026 | $5.10 | 3/5 | $4,173 | $6,054 | 59% | 71% | +$715 | -$0 | 0.0% | $-263 (vs do-nothing $-720) |
| $110 | 13d | 22 Jul 2026 | $5.90 | 3/5 | $4,085 | $5,966 | 58% | 71% | +$717 | -$0 | 0.0% | $-23 (vs do-nothing $-480) |
| $110 | 15d | 24 Jul 2026 | $8.50 | 3/5 | $5,100 | $6,981 | 58% | 71% | +$936 | -$0 | 0.0% | $757 (vs do-nothing +$300) |
| $109 | 4d | 13 Jul 2026 | $3.30 | 2/5 | $4,950 | $7,786 | 57% | 71% | +$1,260 | -$353 | 2.4% | $-583 (vs do-nothing $-1,040) |
| $109 | 15d | 24 Jul 2026 | $9.00 | 3/5 | $5,400 | $7,281 | 56% | 70% | +$978 | -$0 | 0.0% | $607 (vs do-nothing +$150) |
| $109 | 6d | 15 Jul 2026 | $4.35 | 2/5 | $4,350 | $7,186 | 56% | 70% | +$847 | -$143 | 1.0% | $-373 (vs do-nothing $-830) |
| $109 | 8d | 17 Jul 2026 | $5.50 | 2/5 | $4,125 | $6,961 | 56% | 70% | +$852 | -$0 | 0.0% | $-143 (vs do-nothing $-600) |
| $109 | 13d | 22 Jul 2026 | $6.00 | 3/5 | $4,154 | $6,035 | 56% | 70% | +$487 | -$0 | 0.0% | $-293 (vs do-nothing $-750) |
| $109 | 11d | 20 Jul 2026 | $5.40 | 3/5 | $4,418 | $6,299 | 56% | 70% | +$609 | -$0 | 0.0% | $-473 (vs do-nothing $-930) |
| $108 | 15d | 24 Jul 2026 | $9.40 | 3/5 | $5,640 | $7,521 | 55% | 70% | +$947 | -$0 | 0.0% | $427 (vs do-nothing $-30) |
| $108 | 13d | 22 Jul 2026 | $6.55 | 3/5 | $4,535 | $6,416 | 54% | 69% | +$547 | -$0 | 0.0% | $-428 (vs do-nothing $-885) |
| $108 | 11d | 20 Jul 2026 | $6.05 | 3/5 | $4,950 | $6,831 | 53% | 69% | +$764 | -$4 | 0.0% | $-578 (vs do-nothing $-1,035) |
| $108 | 8d | 17 Jul 2026 | $5.90 | 2/5 | $4,425 | $7,261 | 53% | 69% | +$806 | -$33 | 0.2% | $-263 (vs do-nothing $-720) |
| $107 | 15d | 24 Jul 2026 | $9.90 | 2/5 | $3,960 | $6,796 | 53% | 69% | +$643 | -$0 | 0.0% | $337 (vs do-nothing $-120) |
| $108 | 6d | 15 Jul 2026 | $4.65 | 2/5 | $4,650 | $7,486 | 53% | 68% | +$669 | -$283 | 1.9% | $-513 (vs do-nothing $-970) |
| $108 | 4d | 13 Jul 2026 | $3.75 | 2/5 | $5,625 | $8,461 | 53% | 69% | +$1,247 | -$463 | 3.2% | $-693 (vs do-nothing $-1,150) |
Income/mo = FIGHT leg gross, DTE-prorated. Net/mo = FIGHT + conservative CC gross minus hedge cost. POP (mid) = probability stock closes at or below (strike + mid premium) at expiry, per-strike chain IV when available. Survival = CC expires fully worthless. EV/mo = premium minus expected buyback, monthly, with realized vol = IV x 85% (variance risk premium 15%). Cap give-up @ SS = recovery mortgaged on a V-bounce to SS, net of premium. Total P&L @ SS = absolute position P&L if the stock closes at SS; "vs do-nothing" = opportunity cost against holding all 5 contracts at the conservative CC.