FORTRESS FIGHT: INTC @ $88.60

BE SS: $114.00 | CC-SS: $113.75 | 5 contracts (500 sh) | ⌂ PORTFOLIO

INTC @ $88.60 UNDERWATER $25.40 (22.3% below BE SS)

5 contracts (500 sh) | BE SS: $114.00 | CC-SS: $113.75 (banked floor $109.80) | IV: HIGH | Accounts: Neville:0865

LC: $85 exp 2028-01-21 (entry $57.553/sh)

SP: $100 exp 2028-01-21 (entry $28.728/sh)

HP: $35 exp 2026-10-16 (entry $0.283/sh)

Economics

Max Loss	$47,000	(ND $29.00 + SW $65) x 500
Normal income ref	$1,546/mo	95% ann ROI on ML
Hedge rolling cost	$51/mo
Unrealized P&L	$-13,135	fortress legs from IBKR

INCOME GOALPOSTS & VELOCITY

50% INCOME FLOOR
$773/mo

HEDGE COVER
$51/mo

NORMAL INCOME
$1,546/mo (ATM CC, chain)

IC VELOCITY
9.4 mo to earn back $14,500

ML VELOCITY
30.4 mo to earn back $47,000

NOT a deep drawdown: a CC at CC-SS $113.75 (probe: $115C 13d) still earns $773/mo (50% of normal). Sell the normal CC at/above CC-SS; a FIGHT CC below it is not needed here.

🏦 CAMPAIGN LEDGER , realized CC income since 2026-07-02; banked cash shrinks the hole (shown as an info-only banked floor, the recommended CC-SS stays the pure recovery strike; seeded from open positions, reconciled from IBKR executions nightly)

Banked since 2026-07-02

$2,071

Hole (after banked)

$11,064

was $13,135 · 16% earned back

Cycles closed

Credit in flight

$648

CC-SS · banked floor (info)

$113.75 → $109.80

? 1 leg(s) closed as UNKNOWN (vanished with no fill in window): banked $0, conservative. Fix campaign.json by hand if wrong.

Open leg	Acct	Credit/sh	In flight	Opened
5x $110C 31 Jul 2026	U13190865	$1.30	$648	2026-07-27

TECHNICALS (cc_timing weekly gate + daily trigger)

WEEKLYNEUTRAL · %B 44 (live) · RSI 52 · MACD bearish, hist falling

DAILYFALLING (provisional) · RSI 35 · %B 14 · hist falling (nightly)

LEVELSUpper BB (CC ceiling) $151.77 (+71%) · daily UBB $131.96 · 1-wk expected move ±$10 (chain IV)

SETUPNo tilt: engine default. (advisory; floors and picks are chain-only)

⚠ Next earnings 2026-10-23: candidates whose expiry crosses it are flagged in the spectrum; EV is unreliable across earnings.

NOT a deep drawdown. A CC at/above CC-SS $113.75 keeps this fortress whole if assigned, so there is no need to FIGHT below it. Three income options to consider, richer → safer, all at/above CC-SS. Click a card for its if-challenged roll menu.

🎯 Recommended · sell 5 × $114 21 Aug 2026 (24d) · richest strike still ≥80% survivalroll menu if challenged ▾

Survival (stays ≤ $114)

90%

Touch odds

22%

Per cycle

$930

Income / mo

$1,163

🛡 Safer · sell 5 × $116 31 Jul 2026 (3d) · higher survival, lighter premiumroll menu if challenged ▾

Survival (stays ≤ $116)

100%

Touch odds

Per cycle

$25

Income / mo

$250

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (5 ct)	POP / surv of new CC
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$116	3 Aug 2026	4d left	+$0.15/sh	+$77 cycle +$102	74% surv 52%
Max even-money escape in the band	~$127	21 Aug 2026	22d left	+$0.13/sh	+$65 cycle +$90	80% surv 73%

🛡 Safer · sell 5 × $117 31 Jul 2026 (3d) · higher survival, lighter premiumroll menu if challenged ▾

Survival (stays ≤ $117)

100%

Touch odds

Per cycle

$20

Income / mo

$200

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (5 ct)	POP / surv of new CC
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$117	3 Aug 2026	4d left	+$0.12/sh	+$61 cycle +$81	74% surv 52%
Max even-money escape in the band	~$128	21 Aug 2026	22d left	+$0.10/sh	+$52 cycle +$72	80% surv 73%

⚔ FIGHT CC options · full candidate scan (167 clear the floor), click to expand

Every eligible strike x expiry in the 3-45 DTE band (7 expiries scanned, 167 clear the income floor), each sized to the minimum contracts that clear it. Sorted by survival (safest first): the primary 🎯 is the safest; rows below trade safety for income.

Fortress delta: 1.063 (IBKR) | Recovery@SS: +$13,369 (un-capped fortress gain if stock rallies to SS) | Do-nothing @ SS: $514

Strike	DTE	Expiry	Bid	Sell	Income/mo	Net/mo	Survival	POP (mid)	EV/mo	Cap Give-up @ CC-SS	%IC	Total P&L @ SS
$110	3d	31 Jul 2026	$0.20	4/5	$800	$917	99%	99%	+$764	-$1,421	9.8%	$-1,131 (vs do-nothing $-1,645)
$109	3d	31 Jul 2026	$0.24	4/5	$960	$1,077	99%	99%	+$913	-$1,805	12.4%	$-1,515 (vs do-nothing $-2,029)
$108	3d	31 Jul 2026	$0.28	3/5	$840	$1,125	98%	99%	+$793	-$1,642	11.3%	$-1,296 (vs do-nothing $-1,810)
$107	3d	31 Jul 2026	$0.32	3/5	$960	$1,245	98%	98%	+$897	-$1,930	13.3%	$-1,584 (vs do-nothing $-2,098)
$106	3d	31 Jul 2026	$0.39	2/5	$780	$1,233	98%	98%	+$724	-$1,473	10.2%	$-1,071 (vs do-nothing $-1,585)
$115	10d	7 Aug 2026	$0.52	5/5	$780	$729	97%	97%	+$683	-$0	0.0%	$494 (vs do-nothing $-20)
$105	3d	31 Jul 2026	$0.47	2/5	$940	$1,393	97%	97%	+$864	-$1,657	11.4%	$-1,255 (vs do-nothing $-1,769)
$114	10d	7 Aug 2026	$0.56	5/5	$840	$789	97%	97%	+$722	-$0	0.0%	$514 (vs do-nothing +$0)
$108	6d	3 Aug 2026	$0.36	5/5	$900	$849	97%	97%	+$746	-$2,696	18.6%	$-2,463 (vs do-nothing $-2,976)
$104	3d	31 Jul 2026	$0.55	2/5	$1,100	$1,553	96%	97%	+$997	-$1,841	12.7%	$-1,439 (vs do-nothing $-1,953)
$112	8d	5 Aug 2026	$0.42	5/5	$788	$737	96%	97%	+$620	-$666	4.6%	$-433 (vs do-nothing $-946)
$113	10d	7 Aug 2026	$0.64	5/5	$960	$909	96%	97%	+$816	-$56	0.4%	$177 (vs do-nothing $-336)
$107	6d	3 Aug 2026	$0.42	4/5	$840	$957	96%	96%	+$686	-$2,533	17.5%	$-2,243 (vs do-nothing $-2,757)

Show 154 more candidates (lower strikes: more income, lower survival)

Showing the 60 next-safest rows of 154.

Strike	DTE	Expiry	Bid	Sell	Income/mo	Net/mo	Survival	POP (mid)	EV/mo	Cap Give-up @ CC-SS	%IC	Total P&L @ SS
$103	3d	31 Jul 2026	$0.63	2/5	$1,260	$1,713	96%	96%	+$1,121	-$2,025	14.0%	$-1,623 (vs do-nothing $-2,137)
$106	6d	3 Aug 2026	$0.53	3/5	$795	$1,080	95%	96%	+$650	-$2,167	14.9%	$-1,821 (vs do-nothing $-2,335)
$110	8d	5 Aug 2026	$0.55	4/5	$825	$942	95%	96%	+$637	-$1,281	8.8%	$-991 (vs do-nothing $-1,505)
$115	13d	10 Aug 2026	$0.67	5/5	$773	$722	95%	96%	+$580	-$0	0.0%	$569 (vs do-nothing +$55)
$112	10d	7 Aug 2026	$0.70	4/5	$840	$957	95%	95%	+$628	-$421	2.9%	$-131 (vs do-nothing $-645)
$109	8d	5 Aug 2026	$0.62	4/5	$930	$1,047	95%	95%	+$706	-$1,653	11.4%	$-1,363 (vs do-nothing $-1,877)
$102	3d	31 Jul 2026	$0.77	2/5	$1,540	$1,993	95%	96%	+$1,352	-$2,197	15.1%	$-1,795 (vs do-nothing $-2,309)
$105	6d	3 Aug 2026	$0.59	3/5	$885	$1,170	95%	95%	+$702	-$2,449	16.9%	$-2,103 (vs do-nothing $-2,617)
$110	10d	7 Aug 2026	$0.94	3/5	$846	$1,131	95%	95%	+$693	-$844	5.8%	$-498 (vs do-nothing $-1,012)
$111	10d	7 Aug 2026	$0.79	4/5	$948	$1,065	94%	95%	+$701	-$785	5.4%	$-495 (vs do-nothing $-1,009)
$117	17d	14 Aug 2026	$0.97	5/5	$856	$805	94%	95%	+$609	-$0	0.0%	$719 (vs do-nothing +$205)
$108	8d	5 Aug 2026	$0.71	3/5	$799	$1,084	94%	95%	+$599	-$1,513	10.4%	$-1,167 (vs do-nothing $-1,681)
$116	17d	14 Aug 2026	$1.05	5/5	$926	$876	94%	94%	+$651	-$0	0.0%	$759 (vs do-nothing +$245)
$104	6d	3 Aug 2026	$0.69	3/5	$1,035	$1,320	94%	94%	+$806	-$2,719	18.8%	$-2,373 (vs do-nothing $-2,887)
$101	3d	31 Jul 2026	$0.93	1/5	$930	$1,551	93%	95%	+$803	-$1,182	8.2%	$-725 (vs do-nothing $-1,238)
$107	8d	5 Aug 2026	$0.81	3/5	$911	$1,197	93%	94%	+$673	-$1,783	12.3%	$-1,437 (vs do-nothing $-1,951)
$115	17d	14 Aug 2026	$1.14	4/5	$805	$922	93%	94%	+$559	-$0	0.0%	$746 (vs do-nothing +$232)
$99	3d	31 Jul 2026	$1.25	1/5	$1,250	$1,871	93%	95%	+$1,133	-$1,350	9.3%	$-893 (vs do-nothing $-1,406)
$109	10d	7 Aug 2026	$0.97	3/5	$873	$1,158	93%	94%	+$621	-$1,135	7.8%	$-789 (vs do-nothing $-1,303)
$103	6d	3 Aug 2026	$0.81	2/5	$810	$1,263	92%	94%	+$618	-$1,989	13.7%	$-1,587 (vs do-nothing $-2,101)
$106	8d	5 Aug 2026	$0.92	3/5	$1,035	$1,320	92%	93%	+$751	-$2,050	14.1%	$-1,704 (vs do-nothing $-2,218)
$110	13d	10 Aug 2026	$0.76	5/5	$877	$826	92%	93%	+$495	-$1,496	10.3%	$-1,263 (vs do-nothing $-1,776)
$100	3d	31 Jul 2026	$1.11	1/5	$1,110	$1,731	92%	94%	+$939	-$1,264	8.7%	$-807 (vs do-nothing $-1,320)
$108	10d	7 Aug 2026	$1.08	3/5	$972	$1,257	92%	93%	+$679	-$1,402	9.7%	$-1,056 (vs do-nothing $-1,570)
$117	24d	21 Aug 2026	$1.52	5/5	$950	$899	92%	93%	+$599	-$0	0.0%	$994 (vs do-nothing +$480)
$112	17d	14 Aug 2026	$1.44	4/5	$1,016	$1,134	91%	92%	+$690	-$125	0.9%	$165 (vs do-nothing $-349)
$105	8d	5 Aug 2026	$1.04	2/5	$780	$1,233	91%	93%	+$554	-$1,543	10.6%	$-1,141 (vs do-nothing $-1,655)
$102	6d	3 Aug 2026	$0.95	2/5	$950	$1,403	91%	93%	+$709	-$2,161	14.9%	$-1,759 (vs do-nothing $-2,273)
$116	24d	21 Aug 2026	$1.62	4/5	$810	$927	91%	92%	+$503	-$0	0.0%	$938 (vs do-nothing +$424)
$98	3d	31 Jul 2026	$1.48	1/5	$1,480	$2,101	91%	94%	+$1,313	-$1,427	9.8%	$-970 (vs do-nothing $-1,483)
$107	10d	7 Aug 2026	$1.21	3/5	$1,089	$1,374	91%	92%	+$748	-$1,663	11.5%	$-1,317 (vs do-nothing $-1,831)
$111	17d	14 Aug 2026	$1.56	3/5	$826	$1,111	91%	92%	+$549	-$358	2.5%	$-12 (vs do-nothing $-526)
$115	24d	21 Aug 2026	$1.77	4/5	$885	$1,002	90%	92%	+$548	-$0	0.0%	$998 (vs do-nothing +$484)
$104	8d	5 Aug 2026	$1.18	2/5	$885	$1,338	90%	92%	+$616	-$1,715	11.8%	$-1,313 (vs do-nothing $-1,827)
$106	10d	7 Aug 2026	$1.35	2/5	$810	$1,263	90%	91%	+$545	-$1,281	8.8%	$-879 (vs do-nothing $-1,393)
$114	24d	21 Aug 2026	$1.86	4/5	$930	$1,047	90%	91%	+$561	-$0	0.0%	$1,034 (vs do-nothing +$520)
$110	17d	14 Aug 2026	$1.69	3/5	$895	$1,180	90%	91%	+$581	-$619	4.3%	$-273 (vs do-nothing $-787)
$101	6d	3 Aug 2026	$1.11	2/5	$1,110	$1,563	90%	92%	+$808	-$2,329	16.1%	$-1,927 (vs do-nothing $-2,441)
$113	24d	21 Aug 2026	$1.99	4/5	$995	$1,112	89%	91%	+$591	-$0	0.0%	$785 (vs do-nothing +$271)
$103	8d	5 Aug 2026	$1.34	2/5	$1,005	$1,458	89%	91%	+$684	-$1,883	13.0%	$-1,481 (vs do-nothing $-1,995)
$105	10d	7 Aug 2026	$1.52	2/5	$912	$1,365	89%	91%	+$604	-$1,447	10.0%	$-1,045 (vs do-nothing $-1,559)
$109	17d	14 Aug 2026	$1.84	3/5	$974	$1,259	89%	90%	+$615	-$874	6.0%	$-528 (vs do-nothing $-1,042)
$97	3d	31 Jul 2026	$1.81	1/5	$1,810	$2,431	89%	93%	+$1,574	-$1,494	10.3%	$-1,037 (vs do-nothing $-1,550)
$112	24d	21 Aug 2026	$2.13	3/5	$799	$1,084	88%	90%	+$467	-$0	0.0%	$459 (vs do-nothing $-55)
$102	8d	5 Aug 2026	$1.52	2/5	$1,140	$1,593	88%	90%	+$798	-$2,047	14.1%	$-1,645 (vs do-nothing $-2,159)
$100	6d	3 Aug 2026	$1.29	2/5	$1,290	$1,743	88%	90%	+$913	-$2,493	17.2%	$-2,091 (vs do-nothing $-2,605)
$108	17d	14 Aug 2026	$1.99	3/5	$1,054	$1,339	88%	90%	+$653	-$1,129	7.8%	$-783 (vs do-nothing $-1,297)
$104	10d	7 Aug 2026	$1.67	2/5	$1,002	$1,455	87%	90%	+$645	-$1,617	11.1%	$-1,215 (vs do-nothing $-1,729)
$111	24d	21 Aug 2026	$2.29	3/5	$859	$1,144	87%	89%	+$495	-$139	1.0%	$207 (vs do-nothing $-307)
$105	13d	10 Aug 2026	$1.34	3/5	$928	$1,213	87%	89%	+$454	-$2,224	15.3%	$-1,878 (vs do-nothing $-2,392)
$107	17d	14 Aug 2026	$2.15	3/5	$1,138	$1,424	87%	89%	+$690	-$1,381	9.5%	$-1,035 (vs do-nothing $-1,549)
$110	24d	21 Aug 2026	$2.46	3/5	$922	$1,208	87%	89%	+$524	-$388	2.7%	$-42 (vs do-nothing $-556)
$103	10d	7 Aug 2026	$1.85	2/5	$1,110	$1,563	86%	89%	+$696	-$1,781	12.3%	$-1,379 (vs do-nothing $-1,893)
$99	6d	3 Aug 2026	$1.51	2/5	$1,510	$1,963	86%	89%	+$1,042	-$2,649	18.3%	$-2,247 (vs do-nothing $-2,761)
$96	3d	31 Jul 2026	$2.01	1/5	$2,010	$2,631	86%	91%	+$1,682	-$1,574	10.9%	$-1,117 (vs do-nothing $-1,630)
$101	8d	5 Aug 2026	$1.72	2/5	$1,290	$1,743	86%	89%	+$836	-$2,207	15.2%	$-1,805 (vs do-nothing $-2,319)
$109	24d	21 Aug 2026	$2.62	3/5	$983	$1,268	86%	88%	+$546	-$640	4.4%	$-294 (vs do-nothing $-808)
$106	17d	14 Aug 2026	$2.33	2/5	$822	$1,276	86%	88%	+$489	-$1,085	7.5%	$-683 (vs do-nothing $-1,197)
$108	24d	21 Aug 2026	$2.79	3/5	$1,046	$1,332	85%	87%	+$568	-$889	6.1%	$-543 (vs do-nothing $-1,057)
$102	10d	7 Aug 2026	$2.07	2/5	$1,242	$1,695	85%	88%	+$762	-$1,937	13.4%	$-1,535 (vs do-nothing $-2,049)

Income/mo = FIGHT leg gross, DTE-prorated. Net/mo = FIGHT + conservative CC gross minus hedge cost. POP (mid) = probability stock closes at or below (strike + mid premium) at expiry, per-strike chain IV when available. Survival = CC expires fully worthless. EV/mo = premium minus expected buyback, monthly, with realized vol = IV x 85% (variance risk premium 15%). Survival, POP and touch use vol x 1.00 (raw implied: the VRP haircut is applied to the premium edge but NOT to risk, because understating the edge costs opportunity while understating breach odds costs capital; the risk-side haircut arms only from the graded ledger). Cap give-up @ SS = recovery mortgaged on a V-bounce to SS, net of premium. Total P&L @ SS = absolute position P&L if the stock closes at SS; "vs do-nothing" = opportunity cost against holding all 5 contracts at the conservative CC.

fortress_fight.py v6.3 | 2026-07-28 11:53