20 contracts (2,000 sh) | BE SS: $56.50 | CC-SS: $54.96 (banked floor $51.45) | IV: HIGH | Accounts: Neville:0865
| Max Loss | $86,000 | (ND $3.00 + SW $40) x 2000 |
| Normal income ref | $9,560/mo | 95% ann ROI on ML |
| Hedge (static, never rolled) | $0/mo | HP expiry = SP LEAPS; decay โ $1,237/mo (info only, already in marks) |
| Unrealized P&L | $-57,600 | fortress legs from IBKR |
| Status | Leg | Credit/sh | Credit | Opened | Closed | Close/sh | Banked | Account | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLOSED | 1x $32C 23 Oct 2026 | $0.25 | $25 | 2026-10-20 | 2026-10-21 | $0.06 | $19 | U13190865 | execution |
| CLOSED | 3x $32C 23 Oct 2026 | $0.25 | $75 | 2026-10-20 | 2026-10-21 | $0.05 | $60 | U13190865 | execution |
| CLOSED | 1x $32C 23 Oct 2026 | $0.25 | $25 | 2026-10-20 | 2026-10-21 | $0.06 | $19 | U13190865 | execution |
| CLOSED | 5x $32C 23 Oct 2026 | $0.25 | $125 | 2026-10-20 | 2026-10-21 | $0.06 | $95 | U13190865 | execution |
| CLOSED | 4x $32C 23 Oct 2026 | $0.25 | $100 | 2026-10-20 | 2026-10-21 | $0.06 | $76 | U13190865 | execution |
| CLOSED | 6x $32C 23 Oct 2026 | $0.25 | $150 | 2026-10-20 | 2026-10-21 | $0.06 | $114 | U13190865 | execution |
| CLOSED | 5x $38.5C 16 Oct 2026 | $0.33 | $165 | 2026-10-13 | 2026-10-15 | $0.04 | $145 | U13190865 | execution |
| CLOSED | 11x $38.5C 16 Oct 2026 | $0.33 | $363 | 2026-10-13 | 2026-10-15 | $0.04 | $319 | U13190865 | execution |
| CLOSED | 1x $38.5C 16 Oct 2026 | $0.33 | $33 | 2026-10-13 | 2026-10-15 | $0.04 | $29 | U13190865 | execution |
| CLOSED | 3x $38.5C 16 Oct 2026 | $0.33 | $99 | 2026-10-13 | 2026-10-15 | $0.04 | $87 | U13190865 | execution |
| CLOSED | 1x $45C 9 Oct 2026 | $0.20 | $20 | 2026-10-07 | 2026-10-08 | $0.03 | $17 | U13190865 | execution |
| CLOSED | 1x $45C 9 Oct 2026 | $0.20 | $20 | 2026-10-07 | 2026-10-08 | $0.03 | $17 | U13190865 | execution |
| CLOSED | 1x $45C 9 Oct 2026 | $0.20 | $20 | 2026-10-07 | 2026-10-08 | $0.03 | $17 | U13190865 | execution |
| CLOSED | 1x $45C 9 Oct 2026 | $0.20 | $20 | 2026-10-07 | 2026-10-08 | $0.03 | $17 | U13190865 | execution |
| CLOSED | 1x $45C 9 Oct 2026 | $0.20 | $20 | 2026-10-07 | 2026-10-08 | $0.03 | $17 | U13190865 | execution |
| CLOSED | 3x $45C 9 Oct 2026 | $0.20 | $60 | 2026-10-07 | 2026-10-08 | $0.03 | $51 | U13190865 | execution |
| CLOSED | 4x $45C 9 Oct 2026 | $0.20 | $80 | 2026-10-07 | 2026-10-08 | $0.03 | $68 | U13190865 | execution |
| CLOSED | 4x $45C 9 Oct 2026 | $0.20 | $80 | 2026-10-07 | 2026-10-08 | $0.03 | $68 | U13190865 | execution |
| CLOSED | 2x $45C 9 Oct 2026 | $0.20 | $40 | 2026-10-07 | 2026-10-08 | $0.03 | $34 | U13190865 | execution |
| CLOSED | 2x $45C 9 Oct 2026 | $0.20 | $40 | 2026-10-07 | 2026-10-08 | $0.03 | $34 | U13190865 | execution |
| CLOSED | 3x $49C 9 Oct 2026 | $0.27 | $82 | 2026-10-05 | 2026-10-06 | $0.06 | $64 | U13190865 | snapshot |
| CLOSED | 13x $49C 9 Oct 2026 | $0.27 | $355 | 2026-10-05 | 2026-10-06 | $0.06 | $277 | U13190865 | snapshot |
| CLOSED | 4x $49C 9 Oct 2026 | $0.27 | $109 | 2026-10-05 | 2026-10-06 | $0.06 | $85 | U13190865 | snapshot |
| EXPIRED | 20x $48C 25 Sep 2026 | $0.23 | $466 | 2026-09-25 | 2026-09-28 | $0.00 | $466 | U13190865 | snapshot |
| UNKNOWN | 20x $58C 2 Oct 2026 | $0.38 | $765 | 2026-09-22 | 2026-09-25 | $0.38 | $0 | U13190865 | snapshot |
| UNKNOWN | 20x $50C 25 Sep 2026 | $0.40 | $795 | 2026-09-18 | 2026-09-22 | $0.40 | $0 | U13190865 | snapshot |
| UNKNOWN | 20x $60C 18 Sep 2026 | $0.40 | $806 | 2026-09-09 | 2026-09-18 | $0.40 | $0 | U13190865 | snapshot |
| ASSIGNED | 20x $40C 4 Sep 2026 | $0.24 | $486 | 2026-09-01 | 2026-09-08 | $0.00 | $486 | U13190865 | snapshot |
| EXPIRED | 20x $49C 28 Aug 2026 | $0.91 | $1,826 | 2026-08-21 | 2026-08-31 | $0.00 | $1,826 | U13190865 | snapshot |
| UNKNOWN | 20x $54C 28 Aug 2026 | $1.18 | $2,360 | 2026-08-18 | 2026-08-21 | $1.18 | $0 | U13190865 | execution |
| CLOSED | 8x $70C 18 Sep 2026 | $0.97 | $775 | 2026-08-14 | 2026-08-18 | $0.76 | $167 | U13190865 | snapshot |
| CLOSED | 5x $70C 18 Sep 2026 | $0.97 | $484 | 2026-08-14 | 2026-08-18 | $0.78 | $94 | U13190865 | snapshot |
| CLOSED | 2x $70C 18 Sep 2026 | $0.97 | $194 | 2026-08-14 | 2026-08-18 | $0.78 | $38 | U13190865 | snapshot |
| CLOSED | 5x $70C 18 Sep 2026 | $0.97 | $484 | 2026-08-14 | 2026-08-18 | $0.78 | $94 | U13190865 | snapshot |
| UNKNOWN | 20x $50C 21 Aug 2026 | $0.51 | $1,020 | 2026-08-13 | 2026-08-14 | $0.51 | $0 | U13190865 | execution |
| CLOSED | 10x $45C 14 Aug 2026 | $0.42 | $422 | 2026-08-10 | 2026-08-12 | $0.30 | $122 | U13190865 | execution |
| CLOSED | 10x $45C 14 Aug 2026 | $0.42 | $422 | 2026-08-10 | 2026-08-12 | $0.30 | $122 | U13190865 | execution |
| EXPIRED | 20x $40.5C 31 Jul 2026 | $0.63 | $1,262 | 2026-07-28 | 2026-08-03 | $0.00 | $1,262 | U13190865 | execution |
| UNKNOWN | 20x $50C 7 Aug 2026 | $0.82 | $1,634 | 2026-07-27 | 2026-07-28 | $0.82 | $0 | U13190865 | snapshot |
| UNKNOWN | 20x $55C 7 Aug 2026 | $0.87 | $1,738 | 2026-07-20 | 2026-07-27 | $0.87 | $0 | U13190865 | execution |
| CLOSED | 3x $42C 24 Jul 2026 | $0.67 | $202 | 2026-07-17 | 2026-07-20 | $1.26 | $-176 | U13190865 | snapshot |
| CLOSED | 1x $42C 24 Jul 2026 | $0.67 | $67 | 2026-07-17 | 2026-07-20 | $1.27 | $-60 | U13190865 | snapshot |
| CLOSED | 5x $42C 24 Jul 2026 | $0.67 | $336 | 2026-07-17 | 2026-07-20 | $1.27 | $-299 | U13190865 | snapshot |
| CLOSED | 4x $42C 24 Jul 2026 | $0.67 | $269 | 2026-07-17 | 2026-07-20 | $1.27 | $-239 | U13190865 | snapshot |
| CLOSED | 2x $42C 24 Jul 2026 | $0.67 | $134 | 2026-07-17 | 2026-07-20 | $1.26 | $-118 | U13190865 | snapshot |
| CLOSED | 4x $42C 24 Jul 2026 | $0.67 | $269 | 2026-07-17 | 2026-07-20 | $1.26 | $-235 | U13190865 | snapshot |
| CLOSED | 1x $42C 24 Jul 2026 | $0.67 | $67 | 2026-07-17 | 2026-07-20 | $1.27 | $-60 | U13190865 | snapshot |
| CLOSED | 20x $43C 17 Jul 2026 | $0.30 | $605 | 2026-07-16 | 2026-07-16 | $0.05 | $505 | U13190865 | snapshot |
| CLOSED | 1x $53C 17 Jul 2026 | $0.47 | $47 | 2026-07-10 | 2026-07-11 | $0.23 | $24 | U13190865 | snapshot |
| CLOSED | 1x $53C 17 Jul 2026 | $0.47 | $47 | 2026-07-10 | 2026-07-11 | $0.22 | $25 | U13190865 | snapshot |
| CLOSED | 1x $53C 17 Jul 2026 | $0.47 | $47 | 2026-07-10 | 2026-07-11 | $0.23 | $24 | U13190865 | snapshot |
| CLOSED | 1x $53C 17 Jul 2026 | $0.47 | $47 | 2026-07-10 | 2026-07-11 | $0.23 | $24 | U13190865 | snapshot |
| CLOSED | 1x $53C 17 Jul 2026 | $0.47 | $47 | 2026-07-10 | 2026-07-11 | $0.23 | $24 | U13190865 | snapshot |
| CLOSED | 1x $53C 17 Jul 2026 | $0.47 | $47 | 2026-07-10 | 2026-07-11 | $0.23 | $24 | U13190865 | snapshot |
| CLOSED | 5x $53C 17 Jul 2026 | $0.47 | $236 | 2026-07-10 | 2026-07-11 | $0.23 | $121 | U13190865 | snapshot |
| CLOSED | 1x $53C 17 Jul 2026 | $0.47 | $47 | 2026-07-10 | 2026-07-11 | $0.23 | $24 | U13190865 | snapshot |
| CLOSED | 1x $53C 17 Jul 2026 | $0.47 | $47 | 2026-07-10 | 2026-07-11 | $0.23 | $24 | U13190865 | snapshot |
| CLOSED | 5x $53C 17 Jul 2026 | $0.47 | $236 | 2026-07-10 | 2026-07-11 | $0.23 | $121 | U13190865 | snapshot |
| CLOSED | 2x $53C 17 Jul 2026 | $0.47 | $94 | 2026-07-10 | 2026-07-11 | $0.23 | $48 | U13190865 | snapshot |
| CLOSED | 19x $60C 17 Jul 2026 | $0.63 | $1,203 | 2026-07-02 | 2026-07-09 | $0.14 | $937 | U13190865 | seed |
| CLOSED | 1x $60C 17 Jul 2026 | $0.63 | $63 | 2026-07-02 | 2026-07-09 | $0.13 | $50 | U13190865 | seed |
Each Friday gets its own recommended pick and full income ladder (safest strike per income rung, sized across your 20 contracts). The master ranks the two by E[net]/mo to pick one grand pick; both are shown here so you can choose the tenor that fits your roll cadence.
| Track | Expiry | Sell | Survival | Income/mo | E[net]/mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEXT FRIDAY 🏆 | 30 Oct 2026 · 8d | 18 × $28 | 76% | $4,792 | $1,940 |
| Rung | Sell | Expiry | DTE | OTM | Survival | Touch odds | FIGHT edge | Per cycle | Income/mo | Δ vs pick | Cap give-up | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ▸ | ๐ก safe yield | 20 × $31 | 30 Oct | 8d | 22.7% | 90%hist 95% | 20%hist 24% | +7pp | $480 | $1,800 | -$2,992 | $47,448 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Sell 20 ร $31 22.7% OTM over spot $25.26 30 Oct 2026 (8d, $0.26 mid) = $480 credit for the 8d cycle โ $1,800/mo projected Survival (stays โค $31) 90% Breach risk 10% POP (stays โค $31.25) 91% EV / mo +$785 ๐ CAMPAIGN OUTLOOK (400 simulated futures, this rung on repeat for 9 months, no directional opinion) FIGHT'S EDGE +7pp 35% whole by 9mo vs 28% doing nothing FIRE DRILLS ~1.4/quarter challenges to roll; realized tends lower (calibration) BANKED RATE WHILE FIGHTING $1,068/mo median; plan ~$726/mo after 68% keep · $7,774 banked by campaign end (selling stops once whole) green: with FIGHT · grey: without if it recovers, the typical trip is ~3.7 mo [2.2-6.0], measured ONLY among the 35% of futures that got whole ๐ก IF CHALLENGED (spot reaches the strike) ยท challenge = the strike is touched at any point, so it runs ~2x the breach risk (finishing through it) Challenge odds (touch by expiry) 13% Flat exit net (mid-life) -$2,873 Free roll-up +$3/wk Safest escape (by 13 Nov 2026) $38 @ 83% POP 80% survival Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 20 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 4 of 8); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic Buyback gross: $2.37/sh now โ $1.68 mid-life (likely $1.41โ$2.36) โ โ $0 at expiry | you banked $0.24/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$1.44/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours ๐ Across 380 simulated challenges: the $31 strike is typically first touched on day 5 of 8, at $32 (overshoots $0.99). The [P25โP75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L โฅ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same from-entry basis as this tool's @cap / total-exit numbers, at the rolled strike. POP = P(stays โค strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays โค strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP. Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) ร a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted +0.5 vol pt per +1% move (spike-vol name: vol expands on a fast move, richer buyback). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened. More detail, income coverage, downside budget, tripwires, held-to-expiry ladder, V-bounce stressIncome coverage
Downside budget ⚠ $31 is $24 below CC-SS $54.96: assignment on a recovery to whole locks the cap give-up below.
Tripwiresprice and time left decide together; the matrix is the playbook The one rule: roll when the short call's remaining TIME VALUE < $0.06/sh (~25% of the $0.24 collected) or spot โฅ $31.25 (breakeven), whichever comes first. Time value = call mark price minus intrinsic (max(0, spot โ $31)); NOT the premium you collected. Momentum override: two daily closes above $47.73 (daily upper band) or daily RSI > 70 โ treat "pressing" as "through".
If held to expiryexact, settlement = intrinsic ยท fortress delta 0.92 (IBKR)
V-BOUNCE STRESS (stock โ CC-SS $54.96, where you are whole again, by expiry) Starting unrealized P&L: $-57,600 + Fortress recovery (un-capped): +$54,893 โ CC assignment net of premium (20 ร $31): -$47,448 Total Position P&L @ SS: $-50,155 (+$7,445 vs today) Do-nothing baseline at SS: $-2,687 (this trade vs do-nothing: $-47,468, the opportunity cost of earning $1,800/mo FIGHT income now) BB-reversion stress (โ $41.27 20W MA (bounce target), the probable scenario per weekly technicals): CC give-up -$20,060, position total $-48,073 (+$9,527 vs today) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ | 33% normal ← lean | 18 × $29 | 30 Oct | 8d | 14.8% | 82%hist 86% | 38%hist 31% | +4pp | $882 | $3,308 | -$1,485 | $45,853 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Sell 18 ร $29 14.8% OTM over spot $25.26 30 Oct 2026 (8d, $0.52 mid) = $882 credit for the 8d cycle โ $3,308/mo projected Survival (stays โค $29) 82% Breach risk 18% POP (stays โค $29.52) 85% EV / mo +$1,087 ๐ CAMPAIGN OUTLOOK (400 simulated futures, this rung on repeat for 9 months, no directional opinion) FIGHT'S EDGE +4pp 34% whole by 9mo vs 30% doing nothing FIRE DRILLS ~2.8/quarter challenges to roll; realized tends lower (calibration) BANKED RATE WHILE FIGHTING $1,536/mo median; plan ~$1,044/mo after 68% keep · $11,430 banked by campaign end (selling stops once whole) green: with FIGHT · grey: without if it recovers, the typical trip is ~4.1 mo [2.4-5.7], measured ONLY among the 34% of futures that got whole ๐ก IF CHALLENGED (spot reaches the strike) ยท challenge = the strike is touched at any point, so it runs ~2x the breach risk (finishing through it) Challenge odds (touch by expiry) 27% Flat exit net (mid-life) -$1,851 Free roll-up +$3/wk Safest escape (by 13 Nov 2026) $37 @ 86% POP 84% survival Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 18 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 4 of 8); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic Buyback gross: $2.15/sh now โ $1.52 mid-life (likely $1.45โ$2.43) โ โ $0 at expiry | you banked $0.49/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$1.03/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours ๐ Across 806 simulated challenges: the $29 strike is typically first touched on day 5 of 8, at $30 (overshoots $1.00). The [P25โP75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L โฅ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same from-entry basis as this tool's @cap / total-exit numbers, at the rolled strike. POP = P(stays โค strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays โค strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP. Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) ร a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted +0.5 vol pt per +1% move (spike-vol name: vol expands on a fast move, richer buyback). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened. More detail, income coverage, downside budget, tripwires, held-to-expiry ladder, V-bounce stressIncome coverage
Downside budget ⚠ $29 is $26 below CC-SS $54.96: assignment on a recovery to whole locks the cap give-up below.
Tripwiresprice and time left decide together; the matrix is the playbook The one rule: roll when the short call's remaining TIME VALUE < $0.12/sh (~25% of the $0.49 collected) or spot โฅ $29.52 (breakeven), whichever comes first. Time value = call mark price minus intrinsic (max(0, spot โ $29)); NOT the premium you collected. Momentum override: two daily closes above $47.73 (daily upper band) or daily RSI > 70 โ treat "pressing" as "through".
If held to expiryexact, settlement = intrinsic ยท fortress delta 0.92 (IBKR)
V-BOUNCE STRESS (stock โ CC-SS $54.96, where you are whole again, by expiry) Starting unrealized P&L: $-57,600 + Fortress recovery (un-capped): +$54,893 โ CC assignment net of premium (18 ร $29): -$45,853 + Conservative CC premium (2 ร $57): +$2 Total Position P&L @ SS: $-48,558 (+$9,042 vs today) Do-nothing baseline at SS: $-2,687 (this trade vs do-nothing: $-45,871, the opportunity cost of earning $3,308/mo FIGHT income now) BB-reversion stress (โ $41.27 20W MA (bounce target), the probable scenario per weekly technicals): CC give-up -$21,204, position total $-49,215 (+$8,385 vs today) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ | ๐ฏ 50% normal | 18 × $28 | 30 Oct | 8d | 10.8% | 76%hist 82% | 51%hist 44% | +7pp | $1,278 | $4,792 | — | $47,257 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Sell 18 ร $28 10.8% OTM over spot $25.26 30 Oct 2026 (8d, $0.74 mid) = $1,278 credit for the 8d cycle โ $4,792/mo projected Survival (stays โค $28) 76% Breach risk 24% POP (stays โค $28.74) 81% EV / mo +$1,390 ๐ CAMPAIGN OUTLOOK (400 simulated futures, this rung on repeat for 9 months, no directional opinion) FIGHT'S EDGE +7pp 32% whole by 9mo vs 25% doing nothing FIRE DRILLS ~3.9/quarter challenges to roll; realized tends lower (calibration) BANKED RATE WHILE FIGHTING $1,834/mo median; plan ~$1,247/mo after 68% keep · $13,739 banked by campaign end (selling stops once whole) green: with FIGHT · grey: without if it recovers, the typical trip is ~3.2 mo [2.0-5.4], measured ONLY among the 32% of futures that got whole ๐ก IF CHALLENGED (spot reaches the strike) ยท challenge = the strike is touched at any point, so it runs ~2x the breach risk (finishing through it) Challenge odds (touch by expiry) 39% Flat exit net (mid-life) -$1,317 Free roll-up +$3/wk Safest escape (by 13 Nov 2026) $37 @ 89% POP 87% survival Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 18 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 4 of 8); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic Buyback gross: $2.04/sh now โ $1.44 mid-life (likely $1.56โ$2.41) โ โ $0 at expiry | you banked $0.71/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$0.73/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours ๐ Across 1,176 simulated challenges: the $28 strike is typically first touched on day 4 of 8, at $29 (overshoots $0.95). The [P25โP75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L โฅ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same from-entry basis as this tool's @cap / total-exit numbers, at the rolled strike. POP = P(stays โค strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays โค strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP. Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) ร a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted +0.5 vol pt per +1% move (spike-vol name: vol expands on a fast move, richer buyback). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened. More detail, income coverage, downside budget, tripwires, held-to-expiry ladder, V-bounce stressIncome coverage
Downside budget ⚠ $28 is $27 below CC-SS $54.96: assignment on a recovery to whole locks the cap give-up below.
Tripwiresprice and time left decide together; the matrix is the playbook The one rule: roll when the short call's remaining TIME VALUE < $0.18/sh (~25% of the $0.71 collected) or spot โฅ $28.74 (breakeven), whichever comes first. Time value = call mark price minus intrinsic (max(0, spot โ $28)); NOT the premium you collected. Momentum override: two daily closes above $47.73 (daily upper band) or daily RSI > 70 โ treat "pressing" as "through".
If held to expiryexact, settlement = intrinsic ยท fortress delta 0.92 (IBKR)
V-BOUNCE STRESS (stock โ CC-SS $54.96, where you are whole again, by expiry) Starting unrealized P&L: $-57,600 + Fortress recovery (un-capped): +$54,893 โ CC assignment net of premium (18 ร $28): -$47,257 + Conservative CC premium (2 ร $57): +$2 Total Position P&L @ SS: $-49,962 (+$7,638 vs today) Do-nothing baseline at SS: $-2,687 (this trade vs do-nothing: $-47,275, the opportunity cost of earning $4,792/mo FIGHT income now) BB-reversion stress (โ $41.27 20W MA (bounce target), the probable scenario per weekly technicals): CC give-up -$22,608, position total $-50,619 (+$6,981 vs today) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ | 100% normal | 19 × $26 | 30 Oct | 8d | 2.9% | 60%hist 64% | 85%hist 78% | +7pp | $2,584 | $9,690 | +$4,898 | $52,447 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Sell 19 ร $26 2.9% OTM over spot $25.26 30 Oct 2026 (8d, $1.39 mid) = $2,584 credit for the 8d cycle โ $9,690/mo projected Survival (stays โค $26) 60% Breach risk 40% POP (stays โค $27.39) 72% EV / mo +$1,825 ๐ CAMPAIGN OUTLOOK (400 simulated futures, this rung on repeat for 9 months, no directional opinion) FIGHT'S EDGE +7pp 34% whole by 9mo vs 26% doing nothing FIRE DRILLS ~9.2/quarter challenges to roll; realized tends lower (calibration) BANKED RATE WHILE FIGHTING $2,561/mo median; plan ~$1,742/mo after 68% keep · $19,508 banked by campaign end (selling stops once whole) green: with FIGHT · grey: without if it recovers, the typical trip is ~4.0 mo [2.7-6.1], measured ONLY among the 34% of futures that got whole ๐ก IF CHALLENGED (spot reaches the strike) ยท challenge = the strike is touched at any point, so it runs ~2x the breach risk (finishing through it) Challenge odds (touch by expiry) 68% Flat exit net (mid-life) +$125 Free roll-up +$2/wk Safest escape (by 13 Nov 2026) $35 @ 90% POP 89% survival Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 19 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 4 of 8); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic Buyback gross: $1.83/sh now โ $1.29 mid-life (likely $1.74โ$2.50) โ โ $0 at expiry | you banked $1.36/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets +$0.07/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours ๐ Across 2,027 simulated challenges: the $26 strike is typically first touched on day 3 of 8, at $27 (overshoots $1.00). The [P25โP75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L โฅ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same from-entry basis as this tool's @cap / total-exit numbers, at the rolled strike. POP = P(stays โค strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays โค strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP. Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) ร a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted +0.5 vol pt per +1% move (spike-vol name: vol expands on a fast move, richer buyback). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened. More detail, income coverage, downside budget, tripwires, held-to-expiry ladder, V-bounce stressIncome coverage
Downside budget ⚠ $26 is $29 below CC-SS $54.96: assignment on a recovery to whole locks the cap give-up below.
Tripwiresprice and time left decide together; the matrix is the playbook The one rule: roll when the short call's remaining TIME VALUE < $0.34/sh (~25% of the $1.36 collected) or spot โฅ $27.39 (breakeven), whichever comes first. Time value = call mark price minus intrinsic (max(0, spot โ $26)); NOT the premium you collected. Momentum override: two daily closes above $47.73 (daily upper band) or daily RSI > 70 โ treat "pressing" as "through".
If held to expiryexact, settlement = intrinsic ยท fortress delta 0.92 (IBKR)
V-BOUNCE STRESS (stock โ CC-SS $54.96, where you are whole again, by expiry) Starting unrealized P&L: $-57,600 + Fortress recovery (un-capped): +$54,893 โ CC assignment net of premium (19 ร $26): -$52,447 + Conservative CC premium (1 ร $57): +$1 Total Position P&L @ SS: $-55,153 (+$2,447 vs today) Do-nothing baseline at SS: $-2,687 (this trade vs do-nothing: $-52,466, the opportunity cost of earning $9,690/mo FIGHT income now) BB-reversion stress (โ $41.27 20W MA (bounce target), the probable scenario per weekly technicals): CC give-up -$26,429, position total $-54,441 (+$3,159 vs today) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Every eligible strike x expiry in the 4-45 DTE band (3 expiries scanned, 17 clear the income floor), each sized to the minimum contracts that clear it. Sorted by survival (safest first): the primary ๐ฏ is the safest; rows below trade safety for income.
Fortress delta: 0.924 (IBKR) | Recovery@SS: +$54,893 (un-capped fortress gain if stock rallies to SS) | Do-nothing @ SS: $-2,687
| Strike | DTE | Expiry | Bid | Sell | Per cycle | Income/mo | Net/mo | Survival | Touch | POP (mid) | EV/mo | Cap Give-up @ CC-SS | %IC | Recover | Total P&L @ SS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $28 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.71 | 18/20 | $1,278 | $4,792 | $4,796 | 76%hist 82% | 51%hist 44% | 81% | +$1,390 | -$47,257 | 787.6% | 4.9mo | $-49,962 (vs do-nothing $-47,275) |
| $28.50 | 15d | 6 Nov 2026 | $1.34 | 18/20 | $2,412 | $4,824 | $4,828 | 73%hist 82% | 59%hist 44% | 79% | +$1,241 | -$45,223 | 753.7% | 4.7mo | $-47,928 (vs do-nothing $-45,241) |
| $27.50 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.85 | 15/20 | $1,275 | $4,781 | $4,791 | 72%hist 82% | 58%hist 44% | 78% | +$1,298 | -$39,921 | 665.3% | 4.2mo | $-42,623 (vs do-nothing $-39,936) |
| $28 | 15d | 6 Nov 2026 | $1.50 | 16/20 | $2,400 | $4,800 | $4,808 | 70%hist 82% | 64%hist 56% | 77% | +$1,184 | -$40,742 | 679.0% | 4.3mo | $-43,445 (vs do-nothing $-40,758) |
| $28 | 22d | 13 Nov 2026 | $1.99 | 18/20 | $3,582 | $4,885 | $4,889 | 69%hist 64% | 68%hist 56% | 77% | +$1,289 | -$44,953 | 749.2% | 4.7mo | $-47,658 (vs do-nothing $-44,971) |
| $27 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.99 | 13/20 | $1,287 | $4,826 | $4,840 | 69%hist 64% | 66%hist 56% | 76% | +$1,140 | -$35,066 | 584.4% | 3.7mo | $-37,766 (vs do-nothing $-35,079) |
| $27.50 | 15d | 6 Nov 2026 | $1.65 | 15/20 | $2,475 | $4,950 | $4,960 | 68%hist 64% | 70%hist 68% | 76% | +$1,111 | -$38,721 | 645.3% | 4.1mo | $-41,423 (vs do-nothing $-38,736) |
| $27 | 15d | 6 Nov 2026 | $1.83 | 14/20 | $2,562 | $5,124 | $5,136 | 65%hist 64% | 76%hist 68% | 75% | +$1,077 | -$36,587 | 609.8% | 3.8mo | $-39,289 (vs do-nothing $-36,601) |
| $27 | 22d | 13 Nov 2026 | $2.35 | 15/20 | $3,525 | $4,807 | $4,817 | 65%hist 64% | 79%hist 68% | 75% | +$1,156 | -$38,421 | 640.3% | 4.0mo | $-41,123 (vs do-nothing $-38,436) |
| $26.50 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $1.16 | 11/20 | $1,276 | $4,785 | $4,803 | 65%hist 64% | 75%hist 68% | 74% | +$1,002 | -$30,034 | 500.6% | 3.1mo | $-32,732 (vs do-nothing $-30,045) |
| $26 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $1.36 | 10/20 | $1,360 | $5,100 | $5,120 | 60%hist 64% | 85%hist 78% | 72% | +$961 | -$27,604 | 460.1% | 2.9mo | $-30,301 (vs do-nothing $-27,614) |
| $26 | 22d | 13 Nov 2026 | $2.75 | 13/20 | $3,575 | $4,875 | $4,889 | 60%hist 68% | 91%hist 90% | 72% | +$864 | -$34,078 | 568.0% | 3.6mo | $-36,778 (vs do-nothing $-34,091) |
| $26 | 15d | 6 Nov 2026 | $2.22 | 11/20 | $2,442 | $4,884 | $4,902 | 60%hist 68% | 89%hist 78% | 72% | +$865 | -$29,418 | 490.3% | 3.1mo | $-32,116 (vs do-nothing $-29,429) |
| Strike | DTE | Expiry | Bid | Sell | Per cycle | Income/mo | Net/mo | Survival | Touch | POP (mid) | EV/mo | Cap Give-up @ CC-SS | %IC | Recover | Total P&L @ SS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $25.50 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $1.58 | 9/20 | $1,422 | $5,333 | $5,355 | 56%hist 68% | 95%hist 90% | 69% | +$884 | -$25,095 | 418.3% | 2.6mo | $-27,792 (vs do-nothing $-25,104) |
| $25 | 22d | 13 Nov 2026 | $3.20 | 11/20 | $3,520 | $4,800 | $4,818 | 55%hist 68% | 100%hist 90% | 70% | +$731 | -$29,440 | 490.7% | 3.1mo | $-32,138 (vs do-nothing $-29,451) |
| $25 | 15d | 6 Nov 2026 | $2.65 | 10/20 | $2,650 | $5,300 | $5,320 | 53%hist 68% | 100%hist 90% | 69% | +$737 | -$27,314 | 455.2% | 2.9mo | $-30,011 (vs do-nothing $-27,324) |
| $25 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $1.81 | 8/20 | $1,448 | $5,430 | $5,454 | 51%hist 68% | 100%hist 90% | 67% | +$747 | -$22,523 | 375.4% | 2.4mo | $-25,218 (vs do-nothing $-22,531) |
| Strike | DTE | Expiry | Bid | Sell | Per cycle | Income/mo | Net/mo | Survival | Touch | POP (mid) | EV/mo | Cap Give-up @ CC-SS | %IC | Recover | Total P&L @ SS | Why not eligible |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $55 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.01 | 20/20 | $20 | $75 | $75 | 99+%hist 95% | 0%hist 4% | 100% | +$75 | -$0 | 0.0% | 0.0mo | $-2,687 (vs do-nothing +$0) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $54 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.01 | 20/20 | $20 | $75 | $75 | 99+%hist 95% | 0%hist 4% | 100% | +$75 | -$1,908 | 31.8% | 0.2mo | $-4,615 (vs do-nothing $-1,928) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $53 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.01 | 20/20 | $20 | $75 | $75 | 99+%hist 95% | 0%hist 4% | 100% | +$75 | -$3,908 | 65.1% | 0.4mo | $-6,615 (vs do-nothing $-3,928) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $52 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.01 | 20/20 | $20 | $75 | $75 | 99+%hist 95% | 0%hist 4% | 100% | +$75 | -$5,908 | 98.5% | 0.6mo | $-8,615 (vs do-nothing $-5,928) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $51 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.01 | 20/20 | $20 | $75 | $75 | 99+%hist 95% | 0%hist 4% | 100% | +$75 | -$7,908 | 131.8% | 0.8mo | $-10,615 (vs do-nothing $-7,928) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $50 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.01 | 20/20 | $20 | $75 | $75 | 99+%hist 95% | 0%hist 4% | 100% | +$75 | -$9,908 | 165.1% | 1.0mo | $-12,615 (vs do-nothing $-9,928) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $49 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.01 | 20/20 | $20 | $75 | $75 | 99+%hist 95% | 0%hist 4% | 100% | +$75 | -$11,908 | 198.5% | 1.2mo | $-14,615 (vs do-nothing $-11,928) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $48 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.01 | 20/20 | $20 | $75 | $75 | 99+%hist 95% | 0%hist 4% | 100% | +$75 | -$13,908 | 231.8% | 1.5mo | $-16,615 (vs do-nothing $-13,928) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $47 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.01 | 20/20 | $20 | $75 | $75 | 99+%hist 95% | 0%hist 4% | 100% | +$75 | -$15,908 | 265.1% | 1.7mo | $-18,615 (vs do-nothing $-15,928) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $46 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.01 | 20/20 | $20 | $75 | $75 | 99+%hist 95% | 0%hist 4% | 100% | +$75 | -$17,908 | 298.5% | 1.9mo | $-20,615 (vs do-nothing $-17,928) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $45 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.01 | 20/20 | $20 | $75 | $75 | 99+%hist 95% | 0%hist 4% | 100% | +$75 | -$19,908 | 331.8% | 2.1mo | $-22,615 (vs do-nothing $-19,928) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $44 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.01 | 20/20 | $20 | $75 | $75 | 99+%hist 95% | 0%hist 4% | 100% | +$74 | -$21,908 | 365.1% | 2.3mo | $-24,615 (vs do-nothing $-21,928) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $43 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.01 | 20/20 | $20 | $75 | $75 | 99+%hist 95% | 0%hist 4% | 100% | +$73 | -$23,908 | 398.5% | 2.5mo | $-26,615 (vs do-nothing $-23,928) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $42 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.01 | 20/20 | $20 | $75 | $75 | 99+%hist 95% | 0%hist 4% | 100% | +$72 | -$25,908 | 431.8% | 2.7mo | $-28,615 (vs do-nothing $-25,928) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $41 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.01 | 20/20 | $20 | $75 | $75 | 99+%hist 95% | 0%hist 4% | 100% | +$70 | -$27,908 | 465.1% | 2.9mo | $-30,615 (vs do-nothing $-27,928) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $40.50 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.02 | 20/20 | $40 | $150 | $150 | 99+%hist 95% | 1%hist 4% | 100% | +$143 | -$28,888 | 481.5% | 3.0mo | $-31,595 (vs do-nothing $-28,908) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $65 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.01 | 20/20 | $20 | $75 | $75 | 99+%hist 95% | 1%hist 4% | 100% | +$47 | -$0 | 0.0% | 0.0mo | $-2,687 (vs do-nothing +$0) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $60 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.01 | 20/20 | $20 | $75 | $75 | 99+%hist 95% | 1%hist 4% | 100% | +$50 | -$0 | 0.0% | 0.0mo | $-2,687 (vs do-nothing +$0) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $58 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.01 | 20/20 | $20 | $75 | $75 | 99+%hist 95% | 1%hist 4% | 100% | +$52 | -$0 | 0.0% | 0.0mo | $-2,687 (vs do-nothing +$0) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $57 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.01 | 20/20 | $20 | $75 | $75 | 99+%hist 95% | 1%hist 4% | 100% | +$52 | -$0 | 0.0% | 0.0mo | $-2,687 (vs do-nothing +$0) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $65 | 15d | 6 Nov 2026 | $0.02 | 20/20 | $40 | $80 | $80 | 99+%hist 95% | 1%hist 4% | 100% | +$63 | -$0 | 0.0% | 0.0mo | $-2,667 (vs do-nothing +$20) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $56 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.01 | 20/20 | $20 | $75 | $75 | 99+%hist 95% | 1%hist 4% | 100% | +$53 | -$0 | 0.0% | 0.0mo | $-2,687 (vs do-nothing +$0) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $65 | 22d | 13 Nov 2026 | $0.01 | 20/20 | $20 | $27 | $27 | 99+%hist 95% | 1%hist 4% | 100% | +$11 | -$0 | 0.0% | 0.0mo | $-2,687 (vs do-nothing +$0) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $60 | 15d | 6 Nov 2026 | $0.01 | 20/20 | $20 | $40 | $40 | 99+%hist 95% | 1%hist 4% | 100% | +$19 | -$0 | 0.0% | 0.0mo | $-2,687 (vs do-nothing +$0) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $58 | 15d | 6 Nov 2026 | $0.02 | 20/20 | $40 | $80 | $80 | 99+%hist 95% | 1%hist 4% | 100% | +$57 | -$0 | 0.0% | 0.0mo | $-2,667 (vs do-nothing +$20) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $57 | 15d | 6 Nov 2026 | $0.01 | 20/20 | $20 | $40 | $40 | 99+%hist 95% | 1%hist 4% | 100% | +$15 | -$0 | 0.0% | 0.0mo | $-2,687 (vs do-nothing +$0) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $56 | 15d | 6 Nov 2026 | $0.01 | 20/20 | $20 | $40 | $40 | 99+%hist 95% | 1%hist 4% | 100% | +$13 | -$0 | 0.0% | 0.0mo | $-2,687 (vs do-nothing +$0) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $60 | 22d | 13 Nov 2026 | $0.02 | 20/20 | $40 | $55 | $55 | 99%hist 95% | 1%hist 4% | 100% | +$31 | -$0 | 0.0% | 0.0mo | $-2,667 (vs do-nothing +$20) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $51 | 22d | 13 Nov 2026 | $0.07 | 20/20 | $140 | $191 | $191 | 99%hist 95% | 1%hist 4% | 99% | +$176 | -$7,788 | 129.8% | 0.8mo | $-10,495 (vs do-nothing $-7,808) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $55 | 15d | 6 Nov 2026 | $0.03 | 20/20 | $60 | $120 | $120 | 99%hist 95% | 1%hist 4% | 99% | +$91 | -$0 | 0.0% | 0.0mo | $-2,647 (vs do-nothing +$40) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $54 | 15d | 6 Nov 2026 | $0.03 | 20/20 | $60 | $120 | $120 | 99%hist 95% | 1%hist 4% | 99% | +$89 | -$1,868 | 31.1% | 0.2mo | $-4,575 (vs do-nothing $-1,888) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $53 | 15d | 6 Nov 2026 | $0.03 | 20/20 | $60 | $120 | $120 | 99%hist 95% | 1%hist 4% | 99% | +$86 | -$3,868 | 64.5% | 0.4mo | $-6,575 (vs do-nothing $-3,888) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $50 | 22d | 13 Nov 2026 | $0.08 | 20/20 | $160 | $218 | $218 | 99%hist 95% | 1%hist 4% | 99% | +$198 | -$9,768 | 162.8% | 1.0mo | $-12,475 (vs do-nothing $-9,788) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $52 | 15d | 6 Nov 2026 | $0.04 | 20/20 | $80 | $160 | $160 | 99%hist 95% | 1%hist 4% | 99% | +$123 | -$5,848 | 97.5% | 0.6mo | $-8,555 (vs do-nothing $-5,868) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $51 | 15d | 6 Nov 2026 | $0.04 | 20/20 | $80 | $160 | $160 | 99%hist 95% | 2%hist 4% | 99% | +$119 | -$7,848 | 130.8% | 0.8mo | $-10,555 (vs do-nothing $-7,868) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $49 | 22d | 13 Nov 2026 | $0.09 | 20/20 | $180 | $245 | $245 | 99%hist 95% | 2%hist 4% | 99% | +$220 | -$11,748 | 195.8% | 1.2mo | $-14,455 (vs do-nothing $-11,768) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $55 | 22d | 13 Nov 2026 | $0.05 | 20/20 | $100 | $136 | $136 | 99%hist 95% | 2%hist 4% | 99% | +$99 | -$0 | 0.0% | 0.0mo | $-2,607 (vs do-nothing +$80) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $40 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.02 | 20/20 | $40 | $150 | $150 | 99%hist 95% | 2%hist 4% | 99% | +$109 | -$29,888 | 498.1% | 3.1mo | $-32,595 (vs do-nothing $-29,908) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $50 | 15d | 6 Nov 2026 | $0.04 | 20/20 | $80 | $160 | $160 | 99%hist 95% | 2%hist 4% | 99% | +$114 | -$9,848 | 164.1% | 1.0mo | $-12,555 (vs do-nothing $-9,868) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $39.50 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.01 | 20/20 | $20 | $75 | $75 | 99%hist 95% | 2%hist 4% | 99% | +$29 | -$30,908 | 515.1% | 3.2mo | $-33,615 (vs do-nothing $-30,928) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $49 | 15d | 6 Nov 2026 | $0.04 | 20/20 | $80 | $160 | $160 | 99%hist 95% | 2%hist 4% | 99% | +$109 | -$11,848 | 197.5% | 1.2mo | $-14,555 (vs do-nothing $-11,868) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $48 | 22d | 13 Nov 2026 | $0.08 | 20/20 | $160 | $218 | $218 | 99%hist 95% | 2%hist 4% | 99% | +$185 | -$13,768 | 229.5% | 1.4mo | $-16,475 (vs do-nothing $-13,788) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $43 | 15d | 6 Nov 2026 | $0.08 | 20/20 | $160 | $320 | $320 | 99%hist 95% | 2%hist 4% | 99% | +$283 | -$23,768 | 396.1% | 2.5mo | $-26,475 (vs do-nothing $-23,788) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $39 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.02 | 20/20 | $40 | $150 | $150 | 99%hist 95% | 2%hist 4% | 99% | +$98 | -$31,888 | 531.5% | 3.3mo | $-34,595 (vs do-nothing $-31,908) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $48 | 15d | 6 Nov 2026 | $0.05 | 20/20 | $100 | $200 | $200 | 99%hist 95% | 2%hist 4% | 99% | +$143 | -$13,828 | 230.5% | 1.4mo | $-16,535 (vs do-nothing $-13,848) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $52 | 22d | 13 Nov 2026 | $0.07 | 20/20 | $140 | $191 | $191 | 99%hist 95% | 2%hist 4% | 99% | +$139 | -$5,788 | 96.5% | 0.6mo | $-8,495 (vs do-nothing $-5,808) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $38.50 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.02 | 20/20 | $40 | $150 | $150 | 99%hist 95% | 2%hist 4% | 99% | +$90 | -$32,888 | 548.1% | 3.4mo | $-35,595 (vs do-nothing $-32,908) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $47 | 22d | 13 Nov 2026 | $0.09 | 20/20 | $180 | $245 | $245 | 99%hist 95% | 2%hist 4% | 99% | +$202 | -$15,748 | 262.5% | 1.6mo | $-18,455 (vs do-nothing $-15,768) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $47 | 15d | 6 Nov 2026 | $0.05 | 20/20 | $100 | $200 | $200 | 99%hist 95% | 2%hist 4% | 99% | +$135 | -$15,828 | 263.8% | 1.7mo | $-18,535 (vs do-nothing $-15,848) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $38 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.03 | 20/20 | $60 | $225 | $225 | 99%hist 95% | 3%hist 4% | 99% | +$157 | -$33,868 | 564.5% | 3.5mo | $-36,575 (vs do-nothing $-33,888) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $46 | 15d | 6 Nov 2026 | $0.05 | 20/20 | $100 | $200 | $200 | 99%hist 95% | 3%hist 4% | 99% | +$126 | -$17,828 | 297.1% | 1.9mo | $-20,535 (vs do-nothing $-17,848) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $46 | 22d | 13 Nov 2026 | $0.12 | 20/20 | $240 | $327 | $327 | 99%hist 95% | 3%hist 4% | 99% | +$271 | -$17,688 | 294.8% | 1.9mo | $-20,395 (vs do-nothing $-17,708) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $37.50 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.03 | 20/20 | $60 | $225 | $225 | 99%hist 95% | 3%hist 4% | 99% | +$146 | -$34,868 | 581.1% | 3.6mo | $-37,575 (vs do-nothing $-34,888) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $45 | 15d | 6 Nov 2026 | $0.06 | 20/20 | $120 | $240 | $240 | 99%hist 95% | 3%hist 4% | 99% | +$155 | -$19,808 | 330.1% | 2.1mo | $-22,515 (vs do-nothing $-19,828) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $37 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.04 | 20/20 | $80 | $300 | $300 | 98%hist 95% | 3%hist 4% | 98% | +$207 | -$35,848 | 597.5% | 3.7mo | $-38,555 (vs do-nothing $-35,868) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $44 | 15d | 6 Nov 2026 | $0.07 | 20/20 | $140 | $280 | $280 | 98%hist 95% | 3%hist 4% | 98% | +$182 | -$21,788 | 363.1% | 2.3mo | $-24,495 (vs do-nothing $-21,808) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $45 | 22d | 13 Nov 2026 | $0.12 | 20/20 | $240 | $327 | $327 | 98%hist 95% | 3%hist 4% | 98% | +$255 | -$19,688 | 328.1% | 2.1mo | $-22,395 (vs do-nothing $-19,708) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $36.50 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.04 | 20/20 | $80 | $300 | $300 | 98%hist 95% | 4%hist 4% | 98% | +$191 | -$36,848 | 614.1% | 3.9mo | $-39,555 (vs do-nothing $-36,868) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $44 | 22d | 13 Nov 2026 | $0.16 | 20/20 | $320 | $436 | $436 | 98%hist 95% | 4%hist 4% | 98% | +$343 | -$21,608 | 360.1% | 2.3mo | $-24,315 (vs do-nothing $-21,628) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $36 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.05 | 20/20 | $100 | $375 | $375 | 98%hist 95% | 4%hist 4% | 98% | +$246 | -$37,828 | 630.5% | 4.0mo | $-40,535 (vs do-nothing $-37,848) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $40 | 15d | 6 Nov 2026 | $0.13 | 20/20 | $260 | $520 | $520 | 98%hist 95% | 4%hist 4% | 98% | +$414 | -$29,668 | 494.5% | 3.1mo | $-32,375 (vs do-nothing $-29,688) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $42 | 15d | 6 Nov 2026 | $0.09 | 20/20 | $180 | $360 | $360 | 98%hist 95% | 5%hist 4% | 98% | +$223 | -$25,748 | 429.1% | 2.7mo | $-28,455 (vs do-nothing $-25,768) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $35.50 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.05 | 20/20 | $100 | $375 | $375 | 98%hist 95% | 5%hist 4% | 98% | +$220 | -$38,828 | 647.1% | 4.1mo | $-41,535 (vs do-nothing $-38,848) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $43 | 22d | 13 Nov 2026 | $0.17 | 20/20 | $340 | $464 | $464 | 98%hist 95% | 5%hist 4% | 98% | +$343 | -$23,588 | 393.1% | 2.5mo | $-26,295 (vs do-nothing $-23,608) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $41 | 15d | 6 Nov 2026 | $0.11 | 20/20 | $220 | $440 | $440 | 97%hist 95% | 5%hist 4% | 98% | +$275 | -$27,708 | 461.8% | 2.9mo | $-30,415 (vs do-nothing $-27,728) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $35 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.07 | 20/20 | $140 | $525 | $525 | 97%hist 95% | 6%hist 4% | 97% | +$338 | -$39,788 | 663.1% | 4.2mo | $-42,495 (vs do-nothing $-39,808) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $42 | 22d | 13 Nov 2026 | $0.20 | 20/20 | $400 | $545 | $545 | 97%hist 95% | 6%hist 4% | 97% | +$390 | -$25,528 | 425.5% | 2.7mo | $-28,235 (vs do-nothing $-25,548) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $34.50 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.07 | 20/20 | $140 | $525 | $525 | 97%hist 95% | 7%hist 4% | 97% | +$298 | -$40,788 | 679.8% | 4.3mo | $-43,495 (vs do-nothing $-40,808) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $41 | 22d | 13 Nov 2026 | $0.23 | 20/20 | $460 | $627 | $627 | 97%hist 95% | 7%hist 4% | 97% | +$427 | -$27,468 | 457.8% | 2.9mo | $-30,175 (vs do-nothing $-27,488) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $39 | 15d | 6 Nov 2026 | $0.15 | 20/20 | $300 | $600 | $600 | 96%hist 95% | 7%hist 4% | 97% | +$350 | -$31,628 | 527.1% | 3.3mo | $-34,335 (vs do-nothing $-31,648) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $34 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.09 | 20/20 | $180 | $675 | $675 | 96%hist 95% | 8%hist 4% | 96% | +$398 | -$41,748 | 695.8% | 4.4mo | $-44,455 (vs do-nothing $-41,768) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $40 | 22d | 13 Nov 2026 | $0.27 | 20/20 | $540 | $736 | $736 | 96%hist 95% | 9%hist 4% | 96% | +$480 | -$29,388 | 489.8% | 3.1mo | $-32,095 (vs do-nothing $-29,408) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $38 | 15d | 6 Nov 2026 | $0.18 | 20/20 | $360 | $720 | $720 | 96%hist 95% | 9%hist 4% | 96% | +$405 | -$33,568 | 559.5% | 3.5mo | $-36,275 (vs do-nothing $-33,588) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $33.50 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.10 | 20/20 | $200 | $750 | $750 | 96%hist 95% | 9%hist 4% | 96% | +$409 | -$42,728 | 712.1% | 4.5mo | $-45,435 (vs do-nothing $-42,748) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $39 | 22d | 13 Nov 2026 | $0.31 | 20/20 | $620 | $845 | $845 | 95%hist 95% | 11%hist 14% | 95% | +$517 | -$31,308 | 521.8% | 3.3mo | $-34,015 (vs do-nothing $-31,328) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $33 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.12 | 20/20 | $240 | $900 | $900 | 95%hist 95% | 11%hist 14% | 95% | +$479 | -$43,688 | 728.1% | 4.6mo | $-46,395 (vs do-nothing $-43,708) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $37 | 15d | 6 Nov 2026 | $0.22 | 20/20 | $440 | $880 | $880 | 95%hist 95% | 11%hist 14% | 95% | +$478 | -$35,488 | 591.5% | 3.7mo | $-38,195 (vs do-nothing $-35,508) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $32.50 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.14 | 20/20 | $280 | $1,050 | $1,050 | 94%hist 95% | 12%hist 14% | 94% | +$527 | -$44,648 | 744.1% | 4.7mo | $-47,355 (vs do-nothing $-44,668) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $38 | 22d | 13 Nov 2026 | $0.36 | 20/20 | $720 | $982 | $982 | 94%hist 95% | 13%hist 14% | 94% | +$562 | -$33,208 | 553.5% | 3.5mo | $-35,915 (vs do-nothing $-33,228) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $36 | 15d | 6 Nov 2026 | $0.26 | 20/20 | $520 | $1,040 | $1,040 | 94%hist 95% | 13%hist 14% | 94% | +$521 | -$37,408 | 623.5% | 3.9mo | $-40,115 (vs do-nothing $-37,428) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $35 | 15d | 6 Nov 2026 | $0.33 | 20/20 | $660 | $1,320 | $1,320 | 93%hist 95% | 15%hist 14% | 94% | +$763 | -$39,268 | 654.5% | 4.1mo | $-41,975 (vs do-nothing $-39,288) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $32 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.17 | 20/20 | $340 | $1,275 | $1,275 | 93%hist 95% | 14%hist 14% | 93% | +$624 | -$45,588 | 759.8% | 4.8mo | $-48,295 (vs do-nothing $-45,608) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $37 | 22d | 13 Nov 2026 | $0.43 | 20/20 | $860 | $1,173 | $1,173 | 93%hist 95% | 15%hist 14% | 93% | +$638 | -$35,068 | 584.5% | 3.7mo | $-37,775 (vs do-nothing $-35,088) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $31.50 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.19 | 20/20 | $380 | $1,425 | $1,425 | 92%hist 95% | 17%hist 14% | 92% | +$613 | -$46,548 | 775.8% | 4.9mo | $-49,255 (vs do-nothing $-46,568) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $36 | 22d | 13 Nov 2026 | $0.51 | 20/20 | $1,020 | $1,391 | $1,391 | 91%hist 95% | 18%hist 14% | 92% | +$711 | -$36,908 | 615.1% | 3.9mo | $-39,615 (vs do-nothing $-36,928) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $34 | 15d | 6 Nov 2026 | $0.41 | 20/20 | $820 | $1,640 | $1,640 | 91%hist 95% | 20%hist 14% | 91% | +$752 | -$41,108 | 685.1% | 4.3mo | $-43,815 (vs do-nothing $-41,128) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $31 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.24 | 20/20 | $480 | $1,800 | $1,800 | 90%hist 95% | 20%hist 24% | 91% | +$785 | -$47,448 | 790.8% | 5.0mo | $-50,155 (vs do-nothing $-47,468) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $35 | 22d | 13 Nov 2026 | $0.60 | 20/20 | $1,200 | $1,636 | $1,636 | 90%hist 86% | 22%hist 24% | 91% | +$775 | -$38,728 | 645.5% | 4.1mo | $-41,435 (vs do-nothing $-38,748) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $33.50 | 15d | 6 Nov 2026 | $0.45 | 20/20 | $900 | $1,800 | $1,800 | 90%hist 86% | 22%hist 24% | 91% | +$781 | -$42,028 | 700.5% | 4.4mo | $-44,735 (vs do-nothing $-42,048) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $33 | 15d | 6 Nov 2026 | $0.51 | 20/20 | $1,020 | $2,040 | $2,040 | 89%hist 86% | 23%hist 24% | 90% | +$1,004 | -$42,908 | 715.1% | 4.5mo | $-45,615 (vs do-nothing $-42,928) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $30.50 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.29 | 20/20 | $580 | $2,175 | $2,175 | 89%hist 86% | 24%hist 24% | 90% | +$905 | -$48,348 | 805.8% | 5.1mo | $-51,055 (vs do-nothing $-48,368) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $34 | 22d | 13 Nov 2026 | $0.72 | 20/20 | $1,440 | $1,964 | $1,964 | 88%hist 86% | 26%hist 24% | 89% | +$877 | -$40,488 | 674.8% | 4.2mo | $-43,195 (vs do-nothing $-40,508) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $32.50 | 15d | 6 Nov 2026 | $0.57 | 20/20 | $1,140 | $2,280 | $2,280 | 87%hist 86% | 27%hist 24% | 89% | +$935 | -$43,788 | 729.8% | 4.6mo | $-46,495 (vs do-nothing $-43,808) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $30 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.35 | 20/20 | $700 | $2,625 | $2,625 | 87%hist 86% | 28%hist 24% | 88% | +$1,038 | -$49,228 | 820.5% | 5.1mo | $-51,935 (vs do-nothing $-49,248) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $32 | 15d | 6 Nov 2026 | $0.63 | 20/20 | $1,260 | $2,520 | $2,520 | 86%hist 86% | 30%hist 24% | 88% | +$974 | -$44,668 | 744.5% | 4.7mo | $-47,375 (vs do-nothing $-44,688) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $33 | 22d | 13 Nov 2026 | $0.85 | 20/20 | $1,700 | $2,318 | $2,318 | 86%hist 86% | 31%hist 31% | 88% | +$953 | -$42,228 | 703.8% | 4.4mo | $-44,935 (vs do-nothing $-42,248) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $31.50 | 15d | 6 Nov 2026 | $0.71 | 20/20 | $1,420 | $2,840 | $2,840 | 85%hist 86% | 33%hist 31% | 87% | +$1,064 | -$45,508 | 758.5% | 4.8mo | $-48,215 (vs do-nothing $-45,528) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $29.50 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.41 | 20/20 | $820 | $3,075 | $3,075 | 85%hist 86% | 32%hist 31% | 87% | +$1,094 | -$50,108 | 835.1% | 5.2mo | $-52,815 (vs do-nothing $-50,128) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $32 | 22d | 13 Nov 2026 | $1.02 | 20/20 | $2,040 | $2,782 | $2,782 | 83%hist 86% | 37%hist 31% | 86% | +$1,072 | -$43,888 | 731.5% | 4.6mo | $-46,595 (vs do-nothing $-43,908) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $31 | 15d | 6 Nov 2026 | $0.79 | 20/20 | $1,580 | $3,160 | $3,160 | 83%hist 86% | 37%hist 31% | 85% | +$1,120 | -$46,348 | 772.5% | 4.8mo | $-49,055 (vs do-nothing $-46,368) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $29 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.49 | 20/20 | $980 | $3,675 | $3,675 | 82%hist 86% | 38%hist 31% | 85% | +$1,208 | -$50,948 | 849.1% | 5.3mo | $-53,655 (vs do-nothing $-50,968) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $30.50 | 15d | 6 Nov 2026 | $0.87 | 20/20 | $1,740 | $3,480 | $3,480 | 81%hist 86% | 40%hist 41% | 84% | +$1,140 | -$47,188 | 786.5% | 4.9mo | $-49,895 (vs do-nothing $-47,208) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $31 | 22d | 13 Nov 2026 | $1.21 | 20/20 | $2,420 | $3,300 | $3,300 | 80%hist 86% | 43%hist 41% | 84% | +$1,170 | -$45,508 | 758.5% | 4.8mo | $-48,215 (vs do-nothing $-45,528) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $30 | 15d | 6 Nov 2026 | $0.98 | 20/20 | $1,960 | $3,920 | $3,920 | 79%hist 82% | 44%hist 41% | 83% | +$1,240 | -$47,968 | 799.5% | 5.0mo | $-50,675 (vs do-nothing $-47,988) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $28.50 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.60 | 20/20 | $1,200 | $4,500 | $4,500 | 79%hist 82% | 44%hist 41% | 83% | +$1,439 | -$51,728 | 862.1% | 5.4mo | $-54,435 (vs do-nothing $-51,748) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $29.50 | 15d | 6 Nov 2026 | $1.09 | 20/20 | $2,180 | $4,360 | $4,360 | 77%hist 82% | 49%hist 41% | 82% | +$1,295 | -$48,748 | 812.5% | 5.1mo | $-51,455 (vs do-nothing $-48,768) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $30 | 22d | 13 Nov 2026 | $1.43 | 20/20 | $2,860 | $3,900 | $3,900 | 77%hist 82% | 51%hist 44% | 82% | +$1,258 | -$47,068 | 784.5% | 4.9mo | $-49,775 (vs do-nothing $-47,088) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $29 | 15d | 6 Nov 2026 | $1.18 | 20/20 | $2,360 | $4,720 | $4,720 | 75%hist 82% | 54%hist 44% | 80% | +$1,223 | -$49,568 | 826.1% | 5.2mo | $-52,275 (vs do-nothing $-49,588) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $29 | 22d | 13 Nov 2026 | $1.71 | 20/20 | $3,420 | $4,664 | $4,664 | 73%hist 82% | 59%hist 44% | 79% | +$1,406 | -$48,508 | 808.5% | 5.1mo | $-51,215 (vs do-nothing $-48,528) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
Per cycle = bid x 100 x contracts, the cash this expiry pays. Touch = P(strike trades before expiry), with the graded record's hist pill. Recover = months of this income to close the hole to CC-SS. Income/mo = FIGHT leg gross, DTE-prorated. Net/mo = FIGHT + conservative CC gross minus hedge cost. POP (mid) = probability stock closes at or below (strike + mid premium) at expiry, per-strike chain IV when available. Survival = CC expires fully worthless. EV/mo = premium minus expected buyback, monthly, with realized vol = IV x 85% (variance risk premium 15%). Survival, POP and touch use vol x 1.00 (raw implied: the VRP haircut is applied to the premium edge but NOT to risk, because understating the edge costs opportunity while understating breach odds costs capital; the risk-side haircut arms only from the graded ledger). Cap give-up @ SS = recovery mortgaged on a V-bounce to SS, net of premium. Total P&L @ SS = absolute position P&L if the stock closes at SS; "vs do-nothing" = opportunity cost against holding all 20 contracts at the conservative CC.