20 contracts (2,000 sh) | BE SS: $56.50 | CC-SS: $57.61 (banked floor $54.86) | IV: HIGH | Accounts: Neville:0865
| Max Loss | $94,000 | (ND $3.00 + SW $44) x 2000 |
| Normal income ref | $6,771/mo | 95% ann ROI on ML |
| Hedge rolling cost | $286/mo | |
| Unrealized P&L | $-50,650 | fortress legs from IBKR |
| Status | Leg | Credit/sh | Credit | Opened | Closed | Close/sh | Banked | Account | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLOSED | 1x $45C 9 Oct 2026 | $0.20 | $20 | 2026-10-07 | 2026-10-08 | $0.03 | $17 | U13190865 | execution |
| CLOSED | 1x $45C 9 Oct 2026 | $0.20 | $20 | 2026-10-07 | 2026-10-08 | $0.03 | $17 | U13190865 | execution |
| CLOSED | 1x $45C 9 Oct 2026 | $0.20 | $20 | 2026-10-07 | 2026-10-08 | $0.03 | $17 | U13190865 | execution |
| CLOSED | 1x $45C 9 Oct 2026 | $0.20 | $20 | 2026-10-07 | 2026-10-08 | $0.03 | $17 | U13190865 | execution |
| CLOSED | 1x $45C 9 Oct 2026 | $0.20 | $20 | 2026-10-07 | 2026-10-08 | $0.03 | $17 | U13190865 | execution |
| CLOSED | 3x $45C 9 Oct 2026 | $0.20 | $60 | 2026-10-07 | 2026-10-08 | $0.03 | $51 | U13190865 | execution |
| CLOSED | 4x $45C 9 Oct 2026 | $0.20 | $80 | 2026-10-07 | 2026-10-08 | $0.03 | $68 | U13190865 | execution |
| CLOSED | 4x $45C 9 Oct 2026 | $0.20 | $80 | 2026-10-07 | 2026-10-08 | $0.03 | $68 | U13190865 | execution |
| CLOSED | 2x $45C 9 Oct 2026 | $0.20 | $40 | 2026-10-07 | 2026-10-08 | $0.03 | $34 | U13190865 | execution |
| CLOSED | 2x $45C 9 Oct 2026 | $0.20 | $40 | 2026-10-07 | 2026-10-08 | $0.03 | $34 | U13190865 | execution |
| CLOSED | 3x $49C 9 Oct 2026 | $0.27 | $82 | 2026-10-05 | 2026-10-06 | $0.06 | $64 | U13190865 | snapshot |
| CLOSED | 13x $49C 9 Oct 2026 | $0.27 | $355 | 2026-10-05 | 2026-10-06 | $0.06 | $277 | U13190865 | snapshot |
| CLOSED | 4x $49C 9 Oct 2026 | $0.27 | $109 | 2026-10-05 | 2026-10-06 | $0.06 | $85 | U13190865 | snapshot |
| EXPIRED | 20x $48C 25 Sep 2026 | $0.23 | $466 | 2026-09-25 | 2026-09-28 | $0.00 | $466 | U13190865 | snapshot |
| UNKNOWN | 20x $58C 2 Oct 2026 | $0.38 | $765 | 2026-09-22 | 2026-09-25 | $0.38 | $0 | U13190865 | snapshot |
| UNKNOWN | 20x $50C 25 Sep 2026 | $0.40 | $795 | 2026-09-18 | 2026-09-22 | $0.40 | $0 | U13190865 | snapshot |
| UNKNOWN | 20x $60C 18 Sep 2026 | $0.40 | $806 | 2026-09-09 | 2026-09-18 | $0.40 | $0 | U13190865 | snapshot |
| ASSIGNED | 20x $40C 4 Sep 2026 | $0.24 | $486 | 2026-09-01 | 2026-09-08 | $0.00 | $486 | U13190865 | snapshot |
| EXPIRED | 20x $49C 28 Aug 2026 | $0.91 | $1,826 | 2026-08-21 | 2026-08-31 | $0.00 | $1,826 | U13190865 | snapshot |
| UNKNOWN | 20x $54C 28 Aug 2026 | $1.18 | $2,360 | 2026-08-18 | 2026-08-21 | $1.18 | $0 | U13190865 | execution |
| CLOSED | 8x $70C 18 Sep 2026 | $0.97 | $775 | 2026-08-14 | 2026-08-18 | $0.76 | $167 | U13190865 | snapshot |
| CLOSED | 5x $70C 18 Sep 2026 | $0.97 | $484 | 2026-08-14 | 2026-08-18 | $0.78 | $94 | U13190865 | snapshot |
| CLOSED | 2x $70C 18 Sep 2026 | $0.97 | $194 | 2026-08-14 | 2026-08-18 | $0.78 | $38 | U13190865 | snapshot |
| CLOSED | 5x $70C 18 Sep 2026 | $0.97 | $484 | 2026-08-14 | 2026-08-18 | $0.78 | $94 | U13190865 | snapshot |
| UNKNOWN | 20x $50C 21 Aug 2026 | $0.51 | $1,020 | 2026-08-13 | 2026-08-14 | $0.51 | $0 | U13190865 | execution |
| CLOSED | 10x $45C 14 Aug 2026 | $0.42 | $422 | 2026-08-10 | 2026-08-12 | $0.30 | $122 | U13190865 | execution |
| CLOSED | 10x $45C 14 Aug 2026 | $0.42 | $422 | 2026-08-10 | 2026-08-12 | $0.30 | $122 | U13190865 | execution |
| EXPIRED | 20x $40.5C 31 Jul 2026 | $0.63 | $1,262 | 2026-07-28 | 2026-08-03 | $0.00 | $1,262 | U13190865 | execution |
| UNKNOWN | 20x $50C 7 Aug 2026 | $0.82 | $1,634 | 2026-07-27 | 2026-07-28 | $0.82 | $0 | U13190865 | snapshot |
| UNKNOWN | 20x $55C 7 Aug 2026 | $0.87 | $1,738 | 2026-07-20 | 2026-07-27 | $0.87 | $0 | U13190865 | execution |
| CLOSED | 3x $42C 24 Jul 2026 | $0.67 | $202 | 2026-07-17 | 2026-07-20 | $1.26 | $-176 | U13190865 | snapshot |
| CLOSED | 1x $42C 24 Jul 2026 | $0.67 | $67 | 2026-07-17 | 2026-07-20 | $1.27 | $-60 | U13190865 | snapshot |
| CLOSED | 5x $42C 24 Jul 2026 | $0.67 | $336 | 2026-07-17 | 2026-07-20 | $1.27 | $-299 | U13190865 | snapshot |
| CLOSED | 4x $42C 24 Jul 2026 | $0.67 | $269 | 2026-07-17 | 2026-07-20 | $1.27 | $-239 | U13190865 | snapshot |
| CLOSED | 2x $42C 24 Jul 2026 | $0.67 | $134 | 2026-07-17 | 2026-07-20 | $1.26 | $-118 | U13190865 | snapshot |
| CLOSED | 4x $42C 24 Jul 2026 | $0.67 | $269 | 2026-07-17 | 2026-07-20 | $1.26 | $-235 | U13190865 | snapshot |
| CLOSED | 1x $42C 24 Jul 2026 | $0.67 | $67 | 2026-07-17 | 2026-07-20 | $1.27 | $-60 | U13190865 | snapshot |
| CLOSED | 20x $43C 17 Jul 2026 | $0.30 | $605 | 2026-07-16 | 2026-07-16 | $0.05 | $505 | U13190865 | snapshot |
| CLOSED | 1x $53C 17 Jul 2026 | $0.47 | $47 | 2026-07-10 | 2026-07-11 | $0.23 | $24 | U13190865 | snapshot |
| CLOSED | 1x $53C 17 Jul 2026 | $0.47 | $47 | 2026-07-10 | 2026-07-11 | $0.22 | $25 | U13190865 | snapshot |
| CLOSED | 1x $53C 17 Jul 2026 | $0.47 | $47 | 2026-07-10 | 2026-07-11 | $0.23 | $24 | U13190865 | snapshot |
| CLOSED | 1x $53C 17 Jul 2026 | $0.47 | $47 | 2026-07-10 | 2026-07-11 | $0.23 | $24 | U13190865 | snapshot |
| CLOSED | 1x $53C 17 Jul 2026 | $0.47 | $47 | 2026-07-10 | 2026-07-11 | $0.23 | $24 | U13190865 | snapshot |
| CLOSED | 1x $53C 17 Jul 2026 | $0.47 | $47 | 2026-07-10 | 2026-07-11 | $0.23 | $24 | U13190865 | snapshot |
| CLOSED | 5x $53C 17 Jul 2026 | $0.47 | $236 | 2026-07-10 | 2026-07-11 | $0.23 | $121 | U13190865 | snapshot |
| CLOSED | 1x $53C 17 Jul 2026 | $0.47 | $47 | 2026-07-10 | 2026-07-11 | $0.23 | $24 | U13190865 | snapshot |
| CLOSED | 1x $53C 17 Jul 2026 | $0.47 | $47 | 2026-07-10 | 2026-07-11 | $0.23 | $24 | U13190865 | snapshot |
| CLOSED | 5x $53C 17 Jul 2026 | $0.47 | $236 | 2026-07-10 | 2026-07-11 | $0.23 | $121 | U13190865 | snapshot |
| CLOSED | 2x $53C 17 Jul 2026 | $0.47 | $94 | 2026-07-10 | 2026-07-11 | $0.23 | $48 | U13190865 | snapshot |
| CLOSED | 19x $60C 17 Jul 2026 | $0.63 | $1,203 | 2026-07-02 | 2026-07-09 | $0.14 | $937 | U13190865 | seed |
| CLOSED | 1x $60C 17 Jul 2026 | $0.63 | $63 | 2026-07-02 | 2026-07-09 | $0.13 | $50 | U13190865 | seed |
Each Friday gets its own recommended pick and full income ladder (safest strike per income rung, sized across your 20 contracts). The master ranks the two by E[net]/mo to pick one grand pick; both are shown here so you can choose the tenor that fits your roll cadence.
| Track | Expiry | Sell | Survival | Income/mo | E[net]/mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEXT FRIDAY 🏆 | 16 Oct 2026 · 7d | 18 × $38 | 79% | $3,471 | $1,298 |
| Rung | Sell | Expiry | DTE | OTM | Survival | Touch odds | FIGHT edge | Per cycle | Income/mo | Δ vs pick | Cap give-up | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| ▸ | cover hedge | 17 × $46 | 16 Oct | 7d | 30.1% | 98%hist 96% | 4%hist 3% | +0pp | $68 | $291 | -$3,180 | $19,668 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Sell 17 ร $46 30.1% OTM over spot $35.36 16 Oct 2026 (7d, $0.05 mid) = $68 credit for the 7d cycle โ $291/mo projected Survival (stays โค $46) 98% Breach risk 2% POP (stays โค $46.05) 98% EV / mo +$189 ๐ CAMPAIGN OUTLOOK (400 simulated futures, this rung on repeat for 9 months, no directional opinion) FIGHT'S EDGE +0pp 43% whole by 9mo vs 43% doing nothing FIRE DRILLS ~0.2/quarter challenges to roll; realized tends lower (calibration) BANKED RATE WHILE FIGHTING $-51/mo median; plan ~$-35/mo after 68% keep · $-357 banked by campaign end (selling stops once whole) green: with FIGHT · grey: without if it recovers, the typical trip is ~2.6 mo [1.2-4.3], measured ONLY among the 43% of futures that got whole ๐ก IF CHALLENGED (spot reaches the strike) ยท challenge = the strike is touched at any point, so it runs ~2x the breach risk (finishing through it) Challenge odds (touch by expiry) 0% Flat exit net (mid-life) -$2,470 Free roll-up +$2/wk Safest escape (by 6 Nov 2026) $56 @ 84% POP 81% survival Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 17 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 3 of 7); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic Buyback gross: $2.11/sh now โ $1.49 mid-life โ โ $0 at expiry | you banked $0.04/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$1.45/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours
If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L โฅ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same from-entry basis as this tool's @cap / total-exit numbers, at the rolled strike. POP = P(stays โค strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays โค strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP. Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) ร a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted +0.5 vol pt per +1% move (spike-vol name: vol expands on a fast move, richer buyback). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened. More detail, income coverage, downside budget, tripwires, held-to-expiry ladder, V-bounce stressIncome coverage
Downside budget ⚠ $46 is $12 below CC-SS $57.61: assignment on a recovery to whole locks the cap give-up below.
Tripwiresprice and time left decide together; the matrix is the playbook The one rule: roll when the short call's remaining TIME VALUE < $0.01/sh (~25% of the $0.04 collected) or spot โฅ $46.05 (breakeven), whichever comes first. Time value = call mark price minus intrinsic (max(0, spot โ $46)); NOT the premium you collected. Momentum override: two daily closes above $49.62 (daily upper band) or daily RSI > 70 โ treat "pressing" as "through".
If held to expiryexact, settlement = intrinsic ยท fortress delta 1.17 (IBKR)
V-BOUNCE STRESS (stock โ CC-SS $57.61, where you are whole again, by expiry) Starting unrealized P&L: $-50,650 + Fortress recovery (un-capped): +$51,885 โ CC assignment net of premium (17 ร $46): -$19,668 โ Conservative CC assignment net of premium (3 ร $56): -$480 Total Position P&L @ SS: $-18,912 (+$31,738 vs today) Do-nothing baseline at SS: $-1,963 (this trade vs do-nothing: $-16,949, the opportunity cost of earning $291/mo FIGHT income now) BB-reversion stress (โ $44.56 20W MA (bounce target), the probable scenario per weekly technicals): CC give-up -$0, position total $-29,193 (+$21,457 vs today) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ | ๐ก safe yield | 20 × $40.50 | 16 Oct | 7d | 14.5% | 91%hist 96% | 18%hist 13% | +2pp | $320 | $1,371 | -$2,100 | $33,898 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Sell 20 ร $40.50 14.5% OTM over spot $35.36 16 Oct 2026 (7d, $0.17 mid) = $320 credit for the 7d cycle โ $1,371/mo projected Survival (stays โค $40.50) 91% Breach risk 9% POP (stays โค $40.67) 92% EV / mo +$613 ๐ CAMPAIGN OUTLOOK (400 simulated futures, this rung on repeat for 9 months, no directional opinion) FIGHT'S EDGE +2pp 40% whole by 9mo vs 38% doing nothing FIRE DRILLS ~1.3/quarter challenges to roll; realized tends lower (calibration) BANKED RATE WHILE FIGHTING $617/mo median; plan ~$420/mo after 68% keep · $4,330 banked by campaign end (selling stops once whole) green: with FIGHT · grey: without if it recovers, the typical trip is ~3.6 mo [1.7-5.6], measured ONLY among the 40% of futures that got whole ๐ก IF CHALLENGED (spot reaches the strike) ยท challenge = the strike is touched at any point, so it runs ~2x the breach risk (finishing through it) Challenge odds (touch by expiry) 10% Flat exit net (mid-life) -$2,063 Free roll-up +$2/wk Safest escape (by 6 Nov 2026) $48 @ 84% POP 81% survival Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 20 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 3 of 7); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic Buyback gross: $1.68/sh now โ $1.19 mid-life (likely $0.99โ$1.62) โ โ $0 at expiry | you banked $0.16/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$1.03/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours ๐ Across 295 simulated challenges: the $40 strike is typically first touched on day 5 of 7, at $41 (overshoots $0.83). The [P25โP75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L โฅ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same from-entry basis as this tool's @cap / total-exit numbers, at the rolled strike. POP = P(stays โค strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays โค strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP. Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) ร a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted +0.5 vol pt per +1% move (spike-vol name: vol expands on a fast move, richer buyback). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened. More detail, income coverage, downside budget, tripwires, held-to-expiry ladder, V-bounce stressIncome coverage
Downside budget ⚠ $40.50 is $17 below CC-SS $57.61: assignment on a recovery to whole locks the cap give-up below.
Tripwiresprice and time left decide together; the matrix is the playbook The one rule: roll when the short call's remaining TIME VALUE < $0.04/sh (~25% of the $0.16 collected) or spot โฅ $40.67 (breakeven), whichever comes first. Time value = call mark price minus intrinsic (max(0, spot โ $40)); NOT the premium you collected. Momentum override: two daily closes above $49.62 (daily upper band) or daily RSI > 70 โ treat "pressing" as "through".
If held to expiryexact, settlement = intrinsic ยท fortress delta 1.17 (IBKR)
V-BOUNCE STRESS (stock โ CC-SS $57.61, where you are whole again, by expiry) Starting unrealized P&L: $-50,650 + Fortress recovery (un-capped): +$51,885 โ CC assignment net of premium (20 ร $40.50): -$33,898 Total Position P&L @ SS: $-32,663 (+$17,987 vs today) Do-nothing baseline at SS: $-1,963 (this trade vs do-nothing: $-30,700, the opportunity cost of earning $1,371/mo FIGHT income now) BB-reversion stress (โ $44.56 20W MA (bounce target), the probable scenario per weekly technicals): CC give-up -$7,800, position total $-36,996 (+$13,654 vs today) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ | 33% normal ← lean | 18 × $39 | 16 Oct | 7d | 10.3% | 85%hist 87% | 31%hist 31% | +4pp | $522 | $2,237 | -$1,234 | $32,974 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Sell 18 ร $39 10.3% OTM over spot $35.36 16 Oct 2026 (7d, $0.30 mid) = $522 credit for the 7d cycle โ $2,237/mo projected Survival (stays โค $39) 85% Breach risk 15% POP (stays โค $39.30) 87% EV / mo +$782 ๐ CAMPAIGN OUTLOOK (400 simulated futures, this rung on repeat for 9 months, no directional opinion) FIGHT'S EDGE +4pp 39% whole by 9mo vs 34% doing nothing FIRE DRILLS ~2.4/quarter challenges to roll; realized tends lower (calibration) BANKED RATE WHILE FIGHTING $958/mo median; plan ~$652/mo after 68% keep · $7,031 banked by campaign end (selling stops once whole) green: with FIGHT · grey: without if it recovers, the typical trip is ~3.5 mo [2.0-5.2], measured ONLY among the 39% of futures that got whole ๐ก IF CHALLENGED (spot reaches the strike) ยท challenge = the strike is touched at any point, so it runs ~2x the breach risk (finishing through it) Challenge odds (touch by expiry) 20% Flat exit net (mid-life) -$1,485 Free roll-up +$2/wk Safest escape (by 6 Nov 2026) $48 @ 86% POP 84% survival Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 18 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 3 of 7); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic Buyback gross: $1.58/sh now โ $1.12 mid-life (likely $1.03โ$1.71) โ โ $0 at expiry | you banked $0.29/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$0.83/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours ๐ Across 610 simulated challenges: the $39 strike is typically first touched on day 5 of 7, at $40 (overshoots $0.81). The [P25โP75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L โฅ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same from-entry basis as this tool's @cap / total-exit numbers, at the rolled strike. POP = P(stays โค strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays โค strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP. Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) ร a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted +0.5 vol pt per +1% move (spike-vol name: vol expands on a fast move, richer buyback). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened. More detail, income coverage, downside budget, tripwires, held-to-expiry ladder, V-bounce stressIncome coverage
Downside budget ⚠ $39 is $19 below CC-SS $57.61: assignment on a recovery to whole locks the cap give-up below.
Tripwiresprice and time left decide together; the matrix is the playbook The one rule: roll when the short call's remaining TIME VALUE < $0.07/sh (~25% of the $0.29 collected) or spot โฅ $39.30 (breakeven), whichever comes first. Time value = call mark price minus intrinsic (max(0, spot โ $39)); NOT the premium you collected. Momentum override: two daily closes above $49.62 (daily upper band) or daily RSI > 70 โ treat "pressing" as "through".
If held to expiryexact, settlement = intrinsic ยท fortress delta 1.17 (IBKR)
V-BOUNCE STRESS (stock โ CC-SS $57.61, where you are whole again, by expiry) Starting unrealized P&L: $-50,650 + Fortress recovery (un-capped): +$51,885 โ CC assignment net of premium (18 ร $39): -$32,974 โ Conservative CC assignment net of premium (2 ร $56): -$320 Total Position P&L @ SS: $-32,059 (+$18,591 vs today) Do-nothing baseline at SS: $-1,963 (this trade vs do-nothing: $-30,096, the opportunity cost of earning $2,237/mo FIGHT income now) BB-reversion stress (โ $44.56 20W MA (bounce target), the probable scenario per weekly technicals): CC give-up -$9,486, position total $-38,680 (+$11,970 vs today) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ | ๐ฏ 50% normal | 18 × $38 | 16 Oct | 7d | 7.5% | 79%hist 83% | 44%hist 40% | +8pp | $810 | $3,471 | — | $34,486 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Sell 18 ร $38 7.5% OTM over spot $35.36 16 Oct 2026 (7d, $0.47 mid) = $810 credit for the 7d cycle โ $3,471/mo projected Survival (stays โค $38) 79% Breach risk 21% POP (stays โค $38.48) 82% EV / mo +$1,019 ๐ CAMPAIGN OUTLOOK (400 simulated futures, this rung on repeat for 9 months, no directional opinion) FIGHT'S EDGE +8pp 39% whole by 9mo vs 32% doing nothing FIRE DRILLS ~3.4/quarter challenges to roll; realized tends lower (calibration) BANKED RATE WHILE FIGHTING $1,402/mo median; plan ~$953/mo after 68% keep · $10,301 banked by campaign end (selling stops once whole) green: with FIGHT · grey: without if it recovers, the typical trip is ~3.5 mo [2.4-5.1], measured ONLY among the 39% of futures that got whole ๐ก IF CHALLENGED (spot reaches the strike) ยท challenge = the strike is touched at any point, so it runs ~2x the breach risk (finishing through it) Challenge odds (touch by expiry) 34% Flat exit net (mid-life) -$1,108 Free roll-up +$2/wk Safest escape (by 6 Nov 2026) $48 @ 88% POP 87% survival Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 18 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 3 of 7); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic Buyback gross: $1.51/sh now โ $1.07 mid-life (likely $1.13โ$1.74) โ โ $0 at expiry | you banked $0.45/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$0.62/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours ๐ Across 1,025 simulated challenges: the $38 strike is typically first touched on day 4 of 7, at $39 (overshoots $0.80). The [P25โP75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L โฅ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same from-entry basis as this tool's @cap / total-exit numbers, at the rolled strike. POP = P(stays โค strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays โค strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP. Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) ร a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted +0.5 vol pt per +1% move (spike-vol name: vol expands on a fast move, richer buyback). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened. More detail, income coverage, downside budget, tripwires, held-to-expiry ladder, V-bounce stressIncome coverage
Downside budget ⚠ $38 is $20 below CC-SS $57.61: assignment on a recovery to whole locks the cap give-up below.
Tripwiresprice and time left decide together; the matrix is the playbook The one rule: roll when the short call's remaining TIME VALUE < $0.11/sh (~25% of the $0.45 collected) or spot โฅ $38.48 (breakeven), whichever comes first. Time value = call mark price minus intrinsic (max(0, spot โ $38)); NOT the premium you collected. Momentum override: two daily closes above $49.62 (daily upper band) or daily RSI > 70 โ treat "pressing" as "through".
If held to expiryexact, settlement = intrinsic ยท fortress delta 1.17 (IBKR)
V-BOUNCE STRESS (stock โ CC-SS $57.61, where you are whole again, by expiry) Starting unrealized P&L: $-50,650 + Fortress recovery (un-capped): +$51,885 โ CC assignment net of premium (18 ร $38): -$34,486 โ Conservative CC assignment net of premium (2 ร $56): -$320 Total Position P&L @ SS: $-33,571 (+$17,079 vs today) Do-nothing baseline at SS: $-1,963 (this trade vs do-nothing: $-31,608, the opportunity cost of earning $3,471/mo FIGHT income now) BB-reversion stress (โ $44.56 20W MA (bounce target), the probable scenario per weekly technicals): CC give-up -$10,998, position total $-40,192 (+$10,458 vs today) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ | 100% normal | 20 × $36.50 | 16 Oct | 7d | 3.2% | 65%hist 65% | 73%hist 68% | +11pp | $1,620 | $6,943 | +$3,471 | $40,598 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Sell 20 ร $36.50 3.2% OTM over spot $35.36 16 Oct 2026 (7d, $0.85 mid) = $1,620 credit for the 7d cycle โ $6,943/mo projected Survival (stays โค $36.50) 65% Breach risk 35% POP (stays โค $37.35) 73% EV / mo +$1,156 ๐ CAMPAIGN OUTLOOK (400 simulated futures, this rung on repeat for 9 months, no directional opinion) FIGHT'S EDGE +11pp 43% whole by 9mo vs 32% doing nothing FIRE DRILLS ~6.9/quarter challenges to roll; realized tends lower (calibration) BANKED RATE WHILE FIGHTING $2,070/mo median; plan ~$1,408/mo after 68% keep · $15,500 banked by campaign end (selling stops once whole) green: with FIGHT · grey: without if it recovers, the typical trip is ~3.3 mo [2.1-5.7], measured ONLY among the 43% of futures that got whole ๐ก IF CHALLENGED (spot reaches the strike) ยท challenge = the strike is touched at any point, so it runs ~2x the breach risk (finishing through it) Challenge odds (touch by expiry) 56% Flat exit net (mid-life) -$367 Free roll-up +$2/wk Safest escape (by 6 Nov 2026) $47 @ 91% POP 90% survival Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 20 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 3 of 7); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic Buyback gross: $1.40/sh now โ $0.99 mid-life (likely $1.28โ$1.81) โ โ $0 at expiry | you banked $0.81/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$0.18/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours ๐ Across 1,677 simulated challenges: the $36 strike is typically first touched on day 3 of 7, at $37 (overshoots $0.76). The [P25โP75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L โฅ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same from-entry basis as this tool's @cap / total-exit numbers, at the rolled strike. POP = P(stays โค strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays โค strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP. Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) ร a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted +0.5 vol pt per +1% move (spike-vol name: vol expands on a fast move, richer buyback). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened. More detail, income coverage, downside budget, tripwires, held-to-expiry ladder, V-bounce stressIncome coverage
Downside budget ⚠ $36.50 is $21 below CC-SS $57.61: assignment on a recovery to whole locks the cap give-up below.
Tripwiresprice and time left decide together; the matrix is the playbook The one rule: roll when the short call's remaining TIME VALUE < $0.20/sh (~25% of the $0.81 collected) or spot โฅ $37.35 (breakeven), whichever comes first. Time value = call mark price minus intrinsic (max(0, spot โ $36)); NOT the premium you collected. Momentum override: two daily closes above $49.62 (daily upper band) or daily RSI > 70 โ treat "pressing" as "through".
If held to expiryexact, settlement = intrinsic ยท fortress delta 1.17 (IBKR)
V-BOUNCE STRESS (stock โ CC-SS $57.61, where you are whole again, by expiry) Starting unrealized P&L: $-50,650 + Fortress recovery (un-capped): +$51,885 โ CC assignment net of premium (20 ร $36.50): -$40,598 Total Position P&L @ SS: $-39,363 (+$11,287 vs today) Do-nothing baseline at SS: $-1,963 (this trade vs do-nothing: $-37,400, the opportunity cost of earning $6,943/mo FIGHT income now) BB-reversion stress (โ $44.56 20W MA (bounce target), the probable scenario per weekly technicals): CC give-up -$14,500, position total $-43,696 (+$6,954 vs today) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Every eligible strike x expiry in the 4-45 DTE band (4 expiries scanned, 20 clear the income floor), each sized to the minimum contracts that clear it. Sorted by survival (safest first): the primary ๐ฏ is the safest; rows below trade safety for income.
Fortress delta: 1.166 (IBKR) | Recovery@SS: +$51,885 (un-capped fortress gain if stock rallies to SS) | Do-nothing @ SS: $-1,963
| Strike | DTE | Expiry | Bid | Sell | Per cycle | Income/mo | Net/mo | Survival | Touch | POP (mid) | EV/mo | Cap Give-up @ CC-SS | %IC | Recover | Total P&L @ SS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $38 | 7d | 16 Oct 2026 | $0.45 | 18/20 | $810 | $3,471 | $3,190 | 79%hist 83% | 44%hist 40% | 82% | +$1,019 | -$34,486 | 574.8% | 5.1mo | $-33,571 (vs do-nothing $-31,608) |
| $37.50 | 7d | 16 Oct 2026 | $0.54 | 15/20 | $810 | $3,471 | $3,196 | 75%hist 83% | 53%hist 46% | 79% | +$827 | -$29,354 | 489.2% | 4.3mo | $-28,918 (vs do-nothing $-26,955) |
| $38 | 14d | 23 Oct 2026 | $0.87 | 19/20 | $1,653 | $3,542 | $3,259 | 73%hist 83% | 57%hist 46% | 78% | +$778 | -$35,604 | 593.4% | 5.3mo | $-34,529 (vs do-nothing $-32,566) |
| $37 | 7d | 16 Oct 2026 | $0.67 | 12/20 | $804 | $3,446 | $3,177 | 70%hist 65% | 62%hist 56% | 76% | +$725 | -$23,927 | 398.8% | 3.5mo | $-23,971 (vs do-nothing $-22,008) |
| $38 | 21d | 30 Oct 2026 | $1.29 | 19/20 | $2,451 | $3,501 | $3,218 | 70%hist 65% | 64%hist 56% | 76% | +$707 | -$34,806 | 580.1% | 5.1mo | $-33,731 (vs do-nothing $-31,768) |
| $37.50 | 14d | 23 Oct 2026 | $1.01 | 16/20 | $1,616 | $3,463 | $3,186 | 69%hist 65% | 64%hist 56% | 76% | +$708 | -$30,559 | 509.3% | 4.5mo | $-29,963 (vs do-nothing $-28,000) |
| $38 | 28d | 6 Nov 2026 | $1.82 | 18/20 | $3,276 | $3,510 | $3,229 | 67%hist 65% | 71%hist 68% | 75% | +$544 | -$32,020 | 533.7% | 4.7mo | $-31,105 (vs do-nothing $-29,142) |
| $37 | 14d | 23 Oct 2026 | $1.16 | 14/20 | $1,624 | $3,480 | $3,207 | 66%hist 65% | 72%hist 68% | 74% | +$634 | -$27,229 | 453.8% | 4.0mo | $-26,953 (vs do-nothing $-24,990) |
| $36.50 | 7d | 16 Oct 2026 | $0.81 | 10/20 | $810 | $3,471 | $3,207 | 65%hist 65% | 73%hist 68% | 73% | +$578 | -$20,299 | 338.3% | 3.0mo | $-20,663 (vs do-nothing $-18,700) |
| $37 | 21d | 30 Oct 2026 | $1.58 | 16/20 | $2,528 | $3,611 | $3,334 | 64%hist 65% | 77%hist 68% | 73% | +$579 | -$30,447 | 507.4% | 4.5mo | $-29,851 (vs do-nothing $-27,888) |
| $37 | 28d | 6 Nov 2026 | $2.16 | 15/20 | $3,240 | $3,471 | $3,196 | 63%hist 65% | 81%hist 79% | 73% | +$472 | -$27,674 | 461.2% | 4.1mo | $-27,238 (vs do-nothing $-25,275) |
| $36.50 | 14d | 23 Oct 2026 | $1.31 | 13/20 | $1,703 | $3,649 | $3,379 | 62%hist 65% | 80%hist 68% | 72% | +$541 | -$25,739 | 429.0% | 3.8mo | $-25,623 (vs do-nothing $-23,660) |
| $36 | 7d | 16 Oct 2026 | $1.00 | 8/20 | $800 | $3,429 | $3,169 | 59%hist 68% | 84%hist 79% | 70% | +$503 | -$16,487 | 274.8% | 2.4mo | $-17,171 (vs do-nothing $-15,208) |
| Strike | DTE | Expiry | Bid | Sell | Per cycle | Income/mo | Net/mo | Survival | Touch | POP (mid) | EV/mo | Cap Give-up @ CC-SS | %IC | Recover | Total P&L @ SS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $36 | 14d | 23 Oct 2026 | $1.52 | 11/20 | $1,672 | $3,583 | $3,316 | 58%hist 68% | 88%hist 79% | 70% | +$503 | -$22,098 | 368.3% | 3.3mo | $-22,302 (vs do-nothing $-20,339) |
| $36 | 21d | 30 Oct 2026 | $1.98 | 12/20 | $2,376 | $3,394 | $3,126 | 58%hist 68% | 91%hist 90% | 70% | +$484 | -$23,555 | 392.6% | 3.5mo | $-23,599 (vs do-nothing $-21,636) |
| $36 | 28d | 6 Nov 2026 | $2.60 | 13/20 | $3,380 | $3,621 | $3,351 | 58%hist 68% | 92%hist 90% | 70% | +$482 | -$24,712 | 411.9% | 3.6mo | $-24,596 (vs do-nothing $-22,633) |
| $35 | 28d | 6 Nov 2026 | $2.99 | 11/20 | $3,289 | $3,524 | $3,258 | 52%hist 68% | 100%hist 90% | 68% | +$339 | -$21,581 | 359.7% | 3.2mo | $-21,785 (vs do-nothing $-19,822) |
| $35 | 21d | 30 Oct 2026 | $2.40 | 10/20 | $2,400 | $3,429 | $3,164 | 51%hist 68% | 100%hist 90% | 67% | +$356 | -$20,209 | 336.8% | 3.0mo | $-20,573 (vs do-nothing $-18,610) |
| $35 | 14d | 23 Oct 2026 | $1.94 | 9/20 | $1,746 | $3,741 | $3,479 | 50% | 100%hist 90% | 66% | +$337 | -$18,602 | 310.0% | 2.7mo | $-19,126 (vs do-nothing $-17,163) |
| $35 | 7d | 16 Oct 2026 | $1.43 | 6/20 | $858 | $3,677 | $3,421 | 48% | 100%hist 90% | 65% | +$292 | -$12,707 | 211.8% | 1.9mo | $-13,711 (vs do-nothing $-11,748) |
| Strike | DTE | Expiry | Bid | Sell | Per cycle | Income/mo | Net/mo | Survival | Touch | POP (mid) | EV/mo | Cap Give-up @ CC-SS | %IC | Recover | Total P&L @ SS | Why not eligible |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $65 | 28d | 6 Nov 2026 | $0.01 | 20/20 | $20 | $21 | $-264 | 99+%hist 96% | 0%hist 3% | 100% | +$21 | -$0 | 0.0% | 0.0mo | $1,255 (vs do-nothing +$3,218) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $58 | 28d | 6 Nov 2026 | $0.02 | 20/20 | $40 | $43 | $-243 | 99+%hist 96% | 1%hist 3% | 100% | +$38 | -$0 | 0.0% | 0.0mo | $1,275 (vs do-nothing +$3,238) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $65 | 7d | 16 Oct 2026 | $0.01 | 20/20 | $20 | $86 | $-200 | 99+%hist 96% | 1%hist 3% | 100% | +$57 | -$0 | 0.0% | 0.0mo | $1,255 (vs do-nothing +$3,218) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $65 | 14d | 23 Oct 2026 | $0.02 | 20/20 | $40 | $86 | $-200 | 99+%hist 96% | 1%hist 3% | 100% | +$67 | -$0 | 0.0% | 0.0mo | $1,275 (vs do-nothing +$3,238) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $60 | 7d | 16 Oct 2026 | $0.01 | 20/20 | $20 | $86 | $-200 | 99%hist 96% | 1%hist 3% | 99% | +$40 | -$0 | 0.0% | 0.0mo | $1,255 (vs do-nothing +$3,218) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $65 | 21d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.01 | 20/20 | $20 | $29 | $-257 | 99%hist 96% | 1%hist 3% | 99% | +$8 | -$0 | 0.0% | 0.0mo | $1,255 (vs do-nothing +$3,218) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $49 | 14d | 23 Oct 2026 | $0.06 | 20/20 | $120 | $257 | $-29 | 99%hist 96% | 1%hist 3% | 99% | +$244 | -$17,098 | 285.0% | 2.5mo | $-15,863 (vs do-nothing $-13,900) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $58 | 7d | 16 Oct 2026 | $0.01 | 20/20 | $20 | $86 | $-200 | 99%hist 96% | 1%hist 3% | 99% | +$35 | -$0 | 0.0% | 0.0mo | $1,255 (vs do-nothing +$3,218) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $60 | 14d | 23 Oct 2026 | $0.03 | 20/20 | $60 | $129 | $-157 | 99%hist 96% | 1%hist 3% | 99% | +$99 | -$0 | 0.0% | 0.0mo | $1,295 (vs do-nothing +$3,258) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $57 | 7d | 16 Oct 2026 | $0.01 | 20/20 | $20 | $86 | $-200 | 99%hist 96% | 1%hist 3% | 99% | +$34 | -$1,198 | 20.0% | 0.2mo | $37 (vs do-nothing +$2,000) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $55 | 7d | 16 Oct 2026 | $0.02 | 20/20 | $40 | $171 | $-114 | 99%hist 96% | 2%hist 3% | 99% | +$116 | -$5,178 | 86.3% | 0.8mo | $-3,943 (vs do-nothing $-1,980) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $58 | 14d | 23 Oct 2026 | $0.03 | 20/20 | $60 | $129 | $-157 | 99%hist 96% | 2%hist 3% | 99% | +$93 | -$0 | 0.0% | 0.0mo | $1,295 (vs do-nothing +$3,258) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $54 | 7d | 16 Oct 2026 | $0.01 | 20/20 | $20 | $86 | $-200 | 99%hist 96% | 2%hist 3% | 99% | +$29 | -$7,198 | 120.0% | 1.1mo | $-5,963 (vs do-nothing $-4,000) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $53 | 7d | 16 Oct 2026 | $0.01 | 20/20 | $20 | $86 | $-200 | 99%hist 96% | 2%hist 3% | 99% | +$27 | -$9,198 | 153.3% | 1.4mo | $-7,963 (vs do-nothing $-6,000) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $57 | 14d | 23 Oct 2026 | $0.01 | 20/20 | $20 | $43 | $-243 | 99%hist 96% | 2%hist 3% | 99% | +$3 | -$1,198 | 20.0% | 0.2mo | $37 (vs do-nothing +$2,000) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $52 | 7d | 16 Oct 2026 | $0.01 | 20/20 | $20 | $86 | $-200 | 99%hist 96% | 2%hist 3% | 99% | +$24 | -$11,198 | 186.6% | 1.7mo | $-9,963 (vs do-nothing $-8,000) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $48 | 14d | 23 Oct 2026 | $0.08 | 20/20 | $160 | $343 | $57 | 99%hist 96% | 2%hist 3% | 99% | +$320 | -$19,058 | 317.6% | 2.8mo | $-17,823 (vs do-nothing $-15,860) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $56 | 14d | 23 Oct 2026 | $0.01 | 20/20 | $20 | $43 | $-243 | 99%hist 96% | 2%hist 3% | 99% | $-1 | -$3,198 | 53.3% | 0.5mo | $-1,963 (vs do-nothing +$0) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $60 | 21d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.05 | 20/20 | $100 | $143 | $-143 | 99%hist 96% | 2%hist 3% | 99% | +$104 | -$0 | 0.0% | 0.0mo | $1,335 (vs do-nothing +$3,298) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $51 | 7d | 16 Oct 2026 | $0.02 | 20/20 | $40 | $171 | $-114 | 99%hist 96% | 2%hist 3% | 99% | +$106 | -$13,178 | 219.6% | 1.9mo | $-11,943 (vs do-nothing $-9,980) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $55 | 14d | 23 Oct 2026 | $0.01 | 20/20 | $20 | $43 | $-243 | 99%hist 96% | 2%hist 3% | 99% | $-7 | -$5,198 | 86.6% | 0.8mo | $-3,963 (vs do-nothing $-2,000) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $50 | 7d | 16 Oct 2026 | $0.03 | 20/20 | $60 | $257 | $-29 | 99%hist 96% | 2%hist 3% | 99% | +$186 | -$15,158 | 252.6% | 2.2mo | $-13,923 (vs do-nothing $-11,960) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $49.50 | 7d | 16 Oct 2026 | $0.01 | 20/20 | $20 | $86 | $-200 | 99%hist 96% | 2%hist 3% | 99% | +$12 | -$16,198 | 270.0% | 2.4mo | $-14,963 (vs do-nothing $-13,000) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $47.50 | 14d | 23 Oct 2026 | $0.08 | 20/20 | $160 | $343 | $57 | 99%hist 96% | 2%hist 3% | 99% | +$312 | -$20,058 | 334.3% | 3.0mo | $-18,823 (vs do-nothing $-16,860) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $54 | 14d | 23 Oct 2026 | $0.01 | 20/20 | $20 | $43 | $-243 | 99%hist 96% | 3%hist 3% | 99% | $-13 | -$7,198 | 120.0% | 1.1mo | $-5,963 (vs do-nothing $-4,000) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $58 | 21d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.04 | 20/20 | $80 | $114 | $-171 | 99%hist 96% | 3%hist 3% | 99% | +$64 | -$0 | 0.0% | 0.0mo | $1,315 (vs do-nothing +$3,278) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $49 | 7d | 16 Oct 2026 | $0.02 | 20/20 | $40 | $171 | $-114 | 99%hist 96% | 3%hist 3% | 99% | +$93 | -$17,178 | 286.3% | 2.5mo | $-15,943 (vs do-nothing $-13,980) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $48.50 | 7d | 16 Oct 2026 | $0.01 | 20/20 | $20 | $86 | $-200 | 99%hist 96% | 3%hist 3% | 99% | +$3 | -$18,198 | 303.3% | 2.7mo | $-16,963 (vs do-nothing $-15,000) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $53 | 14d | 23 Oct 2026 | $0.05 | 20/20 | $100 | $214 | $-71 | 99%hist 96% | 3%hist 3% | 99% | +$150 | -$9,118 | 152.0% | 1.3mo | $-7,883 (vs do-nothing $-5,920) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $57 | 21d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.03 | 20/20 | $60 | $86 | $-200 | 99%hist 96% | 3%hist 3% | 99% | +$28 | -$1,158 | 19.3% | 0.2mo | $77 (vs do-nothing +$2,040) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $48 | 7d | 16 Oct 2026 | $0.02 | 20/20 | $40 | $171 | $-114 | 99%hist 96% | 3%hist 3% | 99% | +$84 | -$19,178 | 319.6% | 2.8mo | $-17,943 (vs do-nothing $-15,980) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $47.50 | 7d | 16 Oct 2026 | $0.03 | 20/20 | $60 | $257 | $-29 | 98%hist 96% | 3%hist 3% | 99% | +$163 | -$20,158 | 336.0% | 3.0mo | $-18,923 (vs do-nothing $-16,960) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $52 | 14d | 23 Oct 2026 | $0.05 | 20/20 | $100 | $214 | $-71 | 98%hist 96% | 3%hist 3% | 98% | +$140 | -$11,118 | 185.3% | 1.6mo | $-9,883 (vs do-nothing $-7,920) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $56 | 21d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.03 | 20/20 | $60 | $86 | $-200 | 98%hist 96% | 3%hist 3% | 98% | +$19 | -$3,158 | 52.6% | 0.5mo | $-1,923 (vs do-nothing +$40) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $47 | 7d | 16 Oct 2026 | $0.03 | 20/20 | $60 | $257 | $-29 | 98%hist 96% | 3%hist 3% | 98% | +$156 | -$21,158 | 352.6% | 3.1mo | $-19,923 (vs do-nothing $-17,960) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $55 | 21d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.08 | 20/20 | $160 | $229 | $-57 | 98%hist 96% | 4%hist 3% | 98% | +$152 | -$5,058 | 84.3% | 0.7mo | $-3,823 (vs do-nothing $-1,860) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $46.50 | 7d | 16 Oct 2026 | $0.03 | 20/20 | $60 | $257 | $-29 | 98%hist 96% | 4%hist 3% | 98% | +$147 | -$22,158 | 369.3% | 3.3mo | $-20,923 (vs do-nothing $-18,960) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $51 | 14d | 23 Oct 2026 | $0.04 | 20/20 | $80 | $171 | $-114 | 98%hist 96% | 4%hist 3% | 98% | +$85 | -$13,138 | 219.0% | 1.9mo | $-11,903 (vs do-nothing $-9,940) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $46 | 7d | 16 Oct 2026 | $0.04 | 20/20 | $80 | $343 | $57 | 98%hist 96% | 4%hist 3% | 98% | +$222 | -$23,138 | 385.6% | 3.4mo | $-21,903 (vs do-nothing $-19,940) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $50 | 14d | 23 Oct 2026 | $0.06 | 20/20 | $120 | $257 | $-29 | 98%hist 96% | 4%hist 3% | 98% | +$162 | -$15,098 | 251.6% | 2.2mo | $-13,863 (vs do-nothing $-11,900) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $54 | 21d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.08 | 20/20 | $160 | $229 | $-57 | 98%hist 96% | 4%hist 3% | 98% | +$140 | -$7,058 | 117.6% | 1.0mo | $-5,823 (vs do-nothing $-3,860) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $45.50 | 7d | 16 Oct 2026 | $0.04 | 20/20 | $80 | $343 | $57 | 98%hist 96% | 4%hist 3% | 98% | +$209 | -$24,138 | 402.3% | 3.6mo | $-22,903 (vs do-nothing $-20,940) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $46 | 14d | 23 Oct 2026 | $0.12 | 20/20 | $240 | $514 | $229 | 98%hist 96% | 4%hist 3% | 98% | +$442 | -$22,978 | 383.0% | 3.4mo | $-21,743 (vs do-nothing $-19,780) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $53 | 21d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.06 | 20/20 | $120 | $171 | $-114 | 98%hist 96% | 5%hist 3% | 98% | +$69 | -$9,098 | 151.6% | 1.3mo | $-7,863 (vs do-nothing $-5,900) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $45 | 7d | 16 Oct 2026 | $0.05 | 20/20 | $100 | $429 | $143 | 98%hist 96% | 5%hist 3% | 98% | +$278 | -$25,118 | 418.6% | 3.7mo | $-23,883 (vs do-nothing $-21,920) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $57 | 28d | 6 Nov 2026 | $0.03 | 20/20 | $60 | $64 | $-221 | 98%hist 96% | 5%hist 3% | 98% | $-47 | -$1,158 | 19.3% | 0.2mo | $77 (vs do-nothing +$2,040) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $45.50 | 14d | 23 Oct 2026 | $0.11 | 20/20 | $220 | $471 | $186 | 97%hist 96% | 5%hist 3% | 98% | +$377 | -$23,998 | 400.0% | 3.5mo | $-22,763 (vs do-nothing $-20,800) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $52 | 21d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.08 | 20/20 | $160 | $229 | $-57 | 97%hist 96% | 5%hist 3% | 97% | +$108 | -$11,058 | 184.3% | 1.6mo | $-9,823 (vs do-nothing $-7,860) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $44.50 | 7d | 16 Oct 2026 | $0.05 | 20/20 | $100 | $429 | $143 | 97%hist 96% | 5%hist 3% | 97% | +$258 | -$26,118 | 435.3% | 3.9mo | $-24,883 (vs do-nothing $-22,920) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $56 | 28d | 6 Nov 2026 | $0.05 | 20/20 | $100 | $107 | $-179 | 97%hist 96% | 6%hist 3% | 97% | $-24 | -$3,118 | 52.0% | 0.5mo | $-1,883 (vs do-nothing +$80) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $44 | 7d | 16 Oct 2026 | $0.06 | 20/20 | $120 | $514 | $229 | 97%hist 96% | 6%hist 3% | 97% | +$319 | -$27,098 | 451.6% | 4.0mo | $-25,863 (vs do-nothing $-23,900) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $51 | 21d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.09 | 20/20 | $180 | $257 | $-29 | 97%hist 96% | 6%hist 3% | 97% | +$115 | -$13,038 | 217.3% | 1.9mo | $-11,803 (vs do-nothing $-9,840) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $55 | 28d | 6 Nov 2026 | $0.12 | 20/20 | $240 | $257 | $-29 | 97%hist 96% | 7%hist 3% | 97% | +$103 | -$4,978 | 83.0% | 0.7mo | $-3,743 (vs do-nothing $-1,780) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $45 | 14d | 23 Oct 2026 | $0.15 | 20/20 | $300 | $643 | $357 | 97%hist 96% | 6%hist 3% | 97% | +$520 | -$24,918 | 415.3% | 3.7mo | $-23,683 (vs do-nothing $-21,720) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $47 | 14d | 23 Oct 2026 | $0.10 | 20/20 | $200 | $429 | $143 | 97%hist 96% | 7%hist 3% | 97% | +$261 | -$21,018 | 350.3% | 3.1mo | $-19,783 (vs do-nothing $-17,820) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $43.50 | 7d | 16 Oct 2026 | $0.05 | 20/20 | $100 | $429 | $143 | 97%hist 96% | 7%hist 3% | 97% | +$201 | -$28,118 | 468.6% | 4.2mo | $-26,883 (vs do-nothing $-24,920) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $50 | 21d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.14 | 20/20 | $280 | $400 | $114 | 97%hist 96% | 7%hist 3% | 97% | +$231 | -$14,938 | 249.0% | 2.2mo | $-13,703 (vs do-nothing $-11,740) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $54 | 28d | 6 Nov 2026 | $0.08 | 20/20 | $160 | $171 | $-114 | 96%hist 96% | 7%hist 3% | 97% | $-10 | -$7,058 | 117.6% | 1.0mo | $-5,823 (vs do-nothing $-3,860) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $46.50 | 14d | 23 Oct 2026 | $0.10 | 20/20 | $200 | $429 | $143 | 96%hist 96% | 8%hist 3% | 97% | +$238 | -$22,018 | 367.0% | 3.3mo | $-20,783 (vs do-nothing $-18,820) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $44.50 | 14d | 23 Oct 2026 | $0.14 | 20/20 | $280 | $600 | $314 | 96%hist 96% | 8%hist 3% | 96% | +$440 | -$25,938 | 432.3% | 3.8mo | $-24,703 (vs do-nothing $-22,740) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $43 | 7d | 16 Oct 2026 | $0.07 | 20/20 | $140 | $600 | $314 | 96%hist 96% | 8%hist 3% | 96% | +$331 | -$29,078 | 484.6% | 4.3mo | $-27,843 (vs do-nothing $-25,880) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $53 | 28d | 6 Nov 2026 | $0.21 | 20/20 | $420 | $450 | $164 | 96%hist 96% | 9%hist 3% | 96% | +$237 | -$8,798 | 146.6% | 1.3mo | $-7,563 (vs do-nothing $-5,600) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $49 | 21d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.15 | 20/20 | $300 | $429 | $143 | 96%hist 96% | 9%hist 3% | 96% | +$225 | -$16,918 | 282.0% | 2.5mo | $-15,683 (vs do-nothing $-13,720) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $42.50 | 7d | 16 Oct 2026 | $0.08 | 20/20 | $160 | $686 | $400 | 96%hist 96% | 9%hist 3% | 96% | +$364 | -$30,058 | 501.0% | 4.4mo | $-28,823 (vs do-nothing $-26,860) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $52 | 28d | 6 Nov 2026 | $0.19 | 20/20 | $380 | $407 | $121 | 95%hist 96% | 10%hist 3% | 96% | +$156 | -$10,838 | 180.6% | 1.6mo | $-9,603 (vs do-nothing $-7,640) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $48 | 21d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.16 | 20/20 | $320 | $457 | $171 | 95%hist 96% | 10%hist 13% | 95% | +$208 | -$18,898 | 315.0% | 2.8mo | $-17,663 (vs do-nothing $-15,700) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $42 | 7d | 16 Oct 2026 | $0.10 | 20/20 | $200 | $857 | $571 | 95%hist 96% | 11%hist 13% | 95% | +$467 | -$31,018 | 517.0% | 4.6mo | $-29,783 (vs do-nothing $-27,820) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $51 | 28d | 6 Nov 2026 | $0.14 | 20/20 | $280 | $300 | $14 | 95%hist 96% | 11%hist 13% | 95% | +$3 | -$12,938 | 215.6% | 1.9mo | $-11,703 (vs do-nothing $-9,740) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $47 | 21d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.20 | 20/20 | $400 | $571 | $286 | 94%hist 96% | 12%hist 13% | 95% | +$264 | -$20,818 | 347.0% | 3.1mo | $-19,583 (vs do-nothing $-17,620) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $50 | 28d | 6 Nov 2026 | $0.32 | 20/20 | $640 | $686 | $400 | 94%hist 96% | 13%hist 13% | 94% | +$334 | -$14,578 | 243.0% | 2.2mo | $-13,343 (vs do-nothing $-11,380) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $41.50 | 7d | 16 Oct 2026 | $0.11 | 20/20 | $220 | $943 | $657 | 94%hist 96% | 13%hist 13% | 94% | +$462 | -$31,998 | 533.3% | 4.7mo | $-30,763 (vs do-nothing $-28,800) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $43 | 14d | 23 Oct 2026 | $0.21 | 20/20 | $420 | $900 | $614 | 94%hist 96% | 13%hist 13% | 94% | +$561 | -$28,798 | 480.0% | 4.3mo | $-27,563 (vs do-nothing $-25,600) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $44 | 14d | 23 Oct 2026 | $0.14 | 20/20 | $280 | $600 | $314 | 94%hist 96% | 13%hist 13% | 94% | +$197 | -$26,938 | 449.0% | 4.0mo | $-25,703 (vs do-nothing $-23,740) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $46 | 21d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.26 | 20/20 | $520 | $743 | $457 | 93%hist 96% | 14%hist 13% | 94% | +$358 | -$22,698 | 378.3% | 3.4mo | $-21,463 (vs do-nothing $-19,500) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $49 | 28d | 6 Nov 2026 | $0.35 | 20/20 | $700 | $750 | $464 | 93%hist 96% | 15%hist 13% | 94% | +$332 | -$16,518 | 275.3% | 2.4mo | $-15,283 (vs do-nothing $-13,320) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $43.50 | 14d | 23 Oct 2026 | $0.19 | 20/20 | $380 | $814 | $529 | 93%hist 96% | 15%hist 13% | 93% | +$358 | -$27,838 | 464.0% | 4.1mo | $-26,603 (vs do-nothing $-24,640) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $41 | 7d | 16 Oct 2026 | $0.13 | 20/20 | $260 | $1,114 | $829 | 93%hist 96% | 15%hist 13% | 93% | +$514 | -$32,958 | 549.3% | 4.9mo | $-31,723 (vs do-nothing $-29,760) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $48 | 28d | 6 Nov 2026 | $0.35 | 20/20 | $700 | $750 | $464 | 92%hist 96% | 17%hist 13% | 93% | +$252 | -$18,518 | 308.6% | 2.7mo | $-17,283 (vs do-nothing $-15,320) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $45 | 21d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.30 | 20/20 | $600 | $857 | $571 | 92%hist 96% | 17%hist 13% | 92% | +$370 | -$24,618 | 410.3% | 3.6mo | $-23,383 (vs do-nothing $-21,420) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $40.50 | 7d | 16 Oct 2026 | $0.16 | 20/20 | $320 | $1,371 | $1,086 | 91%hist 96% | 18%hist 13% | 92% | +$613 | -$33,898 | 565.0% | 5.0mo | $-32,663 (vs do-nothing $-30,700) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $42 | 14d | 23 Oct 2026 | $0.28 | 20/20 | $560 | $1,200 | $914 | 91%hist 96% | 18%hist 13% | 92% | +$654 | -$30,658 | 511.0% | 4.5mo | $-29,423 (vs do-nothing $-27,460) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $42.50 | 14d | 23 Oct 2026 | $0.25 | 20/20 | $500 | $1,071 | $786 | 91%hist 96% | 19%hist 13% | 92% | +$468 | -$29,718 | 495.3% | 4.4mo | $-28,483 (vs do-nothing $-26,520) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $47 | 28d | 6 Nov 2026 | $0.39 | 20/20 | $780 | $836 | $550 | 91%hist 96% | 19%hist 13% | 92% | +$241 | -$20,438 | 340.6% | 3.0mo | $-19,203 (vs do-nothing $-17,240) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $44 | 21d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.36 | 20/20 | $720 | $1,029 | $743 | 90%hist 96% | 21%hist 24% | 91% | +$406 | -$26,498 | 441.6% | 3.9mo | $-25,263 (vs do-nothing $-23,300) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $40 | 7d | 16 Oct 2026 | $0.20 | 20/20 | $400 | $1,714 | $1,429 | 90%hist 87% | 21%hist 24% | 91% | +$746 | -$34,818 | 580.3% | 5.1mo | $-33,583 (vs do-nothing $-31,620) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $41.50 | 14d | 23 Oct 2026 | $0.32 | 20/20 | $640 | $1,371 | $1,086 | 90%hist 87% | 22%hist 24% | 91% | +$685 | -$31,578 | 526.3% | 4.7mo | $-30,343 (vs do-nothing $-28,380) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $46 | 28d | 6 Nov 2026 | $0.50 | 20/20 | $1,000 | $1,071 | $786 | 89%hist 87% | 22%hist 24% | 90% | +$358 | -$22,218 | 370.3% | 3.3mo | $-20,983 (vs do-nothing $-19,020) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $43 | 21d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.44 | 20/20 | $880 | $1,257 | $971 | 88%hist 87% | 25%hist 24% | 89% | +$456 | -$28,338 | 472.3% | 4.2mo | $-27,103 (vs do-nothing $-25,140) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $45 | 28d | 6 Nov 2026 | $0.60 | 20/20 | $1,200 | $1,286 | $1,000 | 88%hist 87% | 26%hist 24% | 89% | +$428 | -$24,018 | 400.3% | 3.5mo | $-22,783 (vs do-nothing $-20,820) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $39.50 | 7d | 16 Oct 2026 | $0.23 | 20/20 | $460 | $1,971 | $1,686 | 88%hist 87% | 26%hist 24% | 89% | +$724 | -$35,758 | 596.0% | 5.3mo | $-34,523 (vs do-nothing $-32,560) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $41 | 14d | 23 Oct 2026 | $0.38 | 20/20 | $760 | $1,629 | $1,343 | 87%hist 87% | 28%hist 24% | 88% | +$587 | -$32,458 | 541.0% | 4.8mo | $-31,223 (vs do-nothing $-29,260) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $44 | 28d | 6 Nov 2026 | $0.68 | 20/20 | $1,360 | $1,457 | $1,171 | 86%hist 87% | 30%hist 24% | 88% | +$423 | -$25,858 | 431.0% | 3.8mo | $-24,623 (vs do-nothing $-22,660) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $42 | 21d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.54 | 20/20 | $1,080 | $1,543 | $1,257 | 86%hist 87% | 30%hist 31% | 87% | +$506 | -$30,138 | 502.3% | 4.5mo | $-28,903 (vs do-nothing $-26,940) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $39 | 7d | 16 Oct 2026 | $0.29 | 20/20 | $580 | $2,486 | $2,200 | 85%hist 87% | 31%hist 31% | 87% | +$869 | -$36,638 | 610.6% | 5.4mo | $-35,403 (vs do-nothing $-33,440) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $40.50 | 14d | 23 Oct 2026 | $0.43 | 20/20 | $860 | $1,843 | $1,557 | 85%hist 87% | 31%hist 31% | 87% | +$610 | -$33,358 | 556.0% | 4.9mo | $-32,123 (vs do-nothing $-30,160) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $43 | 28d | 6 Nov 2026 | $0.79 | 20/20 | $1,580 | $1,693 | $1,407 | 84%hist 87% | 35%hist 31% | 86% | +$442 | -$27,638 | 460.6% | 4.1mo | $-26,403 (vs do-nothing $-24,440) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $40 | 14d | 23 Oct 2026 | $0.49 | 20/20 | $980 | $2,100 | $1,814 | 84%hist 87% | 34%hist 31% | 86% | +$783 | -$34,238 | 570.6% | 5.1mo | $-33,003 (vs do-nothing $-31,040) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $41 | 21d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.67 | 20/20 | $1,340 | $1,914 | $1,629 | 83%hist 87% | 37%hist 31% | 85% | +$568 | -$31,878 | 531.3% | 4.7mo | $-30,643 (vs do-nothing $-28,680) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $38.50 | 7d | 16 Oct 2026 | $0.35 | 20/20 | $700 | $3,000 | $2,714 | 82%hist 87% | 37%hist 31% | 85% | +$901 | -$37,518 | 625.3% | 5.5mo | $-36,283 (vs do-nothing $-34,320) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $42 | 28d | 6 Nov 2026 | $0.94 | 20/20 | $1,880 | $2,014 | $1,729 | 81%hist 87% | 40%hist 31% | 84% | +$500 | -$29,338 | 489.0% | 4.3mo | $-28,103 (vs do-nothing $-26,140) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $39.50 | 14d | 23 Oct 2026 | $0.57 | 20/20 | $1,140 | $2,443 | $2,157 | 81%hist 87% | 40%hist 31% | 84% | +$705 | -$35,078 | 584.6% | 5.2mo | $-33,843 (vs do-nothing $-31,880) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $40 | 21d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.85 | 20/20 | $1,700 | $2,429 | $2,143 | 79%hist 83% | 44%hist 40% | 82% | +$679 | -$33,518 | 558.6% | 4.9mo | $-32,283 (vs do-nothing $-30,320) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $41 | 28d | 6 Nov 2026 | $0.98 | 20/20 | $1,960 | $2,100 | $1,814 | 78%hist 83% | 46%hist 40% | 82% | +$264 | -$31,258 | 521.0% | 4.6mo | $-30,023 (vs do-nothing $-28,060) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $39 | 14d | 23 Oct 2026 | $0.66 | 20/20 | $1,320 | $2,829 | $2,543 | 78%hist 83% | 45%hist 40% | 82% | +$763 | -$35,898 | 598.3% | 5.3mo | $-34,663 (vs do-nothing $-32,700) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $38.50 | 14d | 23 Oct 2026 | $0.73 | 20/20 | $1,460 | $3,129 | $2,843 | 76%hist 83% | 51%hist 46% | 80% | +$676 | -$36,758 | 612.6% | 5.4mo | $-35,523 (vs do-nothing $-33,560) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $40 | 28d | 6 Nov 2026 | $1.30 | 20/20 | $2,600 | $2,786 | $2,500 | 75%hist 83% | 53%hist 46% | 80% | +$556 | -$32,618 | 543.6% | 4.8mo | $-31,383 (vs do-nothing $-29,420) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $39 | 21d | 30 Oct 2026 | $1.05 | 20/20 | $2,100 | $3,000 | $2,714 | 75%hist 83% | 54%hist 46% | 80% | +$728 | -$35,118 | 585.3% | 5.2mo | $-33,883 (vs do-nothing $-31,920) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $39 | 28d | 6 Nov 2026 | $1.53 | 20/20 | $3,060 | $3,279 | $2,993 | 71%hist 83% | 62%hist 56% | 78% | +$569 | -$34,158 | 569.3% | 5.0mo | $-32,923 (vs do-nothing $-30,960) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
Per cycle = bid x 100 x contracts, the cash this expiry pays. Touch = P(strike trades before expiry), with the graded record's hist pill. Recover = months of this income to close the hole to CC-SS. Income/mo = FIGHT leg gross, DTE-prorated. Net/mo = FIGHT + conservative CC gross minus hedge cost. POP (mid) = probability stock closes at or below (strike + mid premium) at expiry, per-strike chain IV when available. Survival = CC expires fully worthless. EV/mo = premium minus expected buyback, monthly, with realized vol = IV x 85% (variance risk premium 15%). Survival, POP and touch use vol x 1.00 (raw implied: the VRP haircut is applied to the premium edge but NOT to risk, because understating the edge costs opportunity while understating breach odds costs capital; the risk-side haircut arms only from the graded ledger). Cap give-up @ SS = recovery mortgaged on a V-bounce to SS, net of premium. Total P&L @ SS = absolute position P&L if the stock closes at SS; "vs do-nothing" = opportunity cost against holding all 20 contracts at the conservative CC.