20 contracts (2,000 sh) | BE SS: $63.43 | CC-SS: $64.16 (banked floor $61.33) | IV: HIGH | Accounts: RetireInc:7291
| Max Loss | $103,700 | (ND $6.85 + SW $45) x 2000 |
| Normal income ref | $9,560/mo | 95% ann ROI on ML |
| Hedge (static, never rolled) | $0/mo | HP expiry = SP LEAPS; decay โ $1,237/mo (info only, already in marks) |
| Unrealized P&L | $-75,950 | fortress legs from IBKR |
| Status | Leg | Credit/sh | Credit | Opened | Closed | Close/sh | Banked | Account | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CLOSED | 10x $32C 23 Oct 2026 | $0.26 | $259 | 2026-10-20 | 2026-10-21 | $0.06 | $199 | U18827291 | execution |
| CLOSED | 9x $32C 23 Oct 2026 | $0.26 | $233 | 2026-10-20 | 2026-10-21 | $0.06 | $179 | U18827291 | execution |
| CLOSED | 1x $32C 23 Oct 2026 | $0.26 | $26 | 2026-10-20 | 2026-10-21 | $0.06 | $20 | U18827291 | execution |
| CLOSED | 5x $38.5C 16 Oct 2026 | $0.34 | $170 | 2026-10-13 | 2026-10-15 | $0.04 | $150 | U18827291 | execution |
| CLOSED | 1x $38.5C 16 Oct 2026 | $0.34 | $34 | 2026-10-13 | 2026-10-15 | $0.04 | $30 | U18827291 | execution |
| CLOSED | 1x $38.5C 16 Oct 2026 | $0.34 | $34 | 2026-10-13 | 2026-10-15 | $0.04 | $30 | U18827291 | execution |
| CLOSED | 12x $38.5C 16 Oct 2026 | $0.34 | $407 | 2026-10-13 | 2026-10-15 | $0.04 | $359 | U18827291 | execution |
| CLOSED | 1x $38.5C 16 Oct 2026 | $0.34 | $34 | 2026-10-13 | 2026-10-15 | $0.04 | $30 | U18827291 | execution |
| CLOSED | 1x $45C 9 Oct 2026 | $0.20 | $20 | 2026-10-07 | 2026-10-08 | $0.03 | $17 | U18827291 | execution |
| CLOSED | 1x $45C 9 Oct 2026 | $0.20 | $20 | 2026-10-07 | 2026-10-08 | $0.03 | $17 | U18827291 | execution |
| CLOSED | 6x $45C 9 Oct 2026 | $0.20 | $120 | 2026-10-07 | 2026-10-08 | $0.03 | $102 | U18827291 | execution |
| CLOSED | 7x $45C 9 Oct 2026 | $0.20 | $140 | 2026-10-07 | 2026-10-08 | $0.03 | $119 | U18827291 | execution |
| CLOSED | 1x $45C 9 Oct 2026 | $0.20 | $20 | 2026-10-07 | 2026-10-08 | $0.03 | $17 | U18827291 | execution |
| CLOSED | 2x $45C 9 Oct 2026 | $0.20 | $40 | 2026-10-07 | 2026-10-08 | $0.03 | $34 | U18827291 | execution |
| CLOSED | 2x $45C 9 Oct 2026 | $0.20 | $40 | 2026-10-07 | 2026-10-08 | $0.03 | $34 | U18827291 | execution |
| CLOSED | 6x $49C 9 Oct 2026 | $0.27 | $164 | 2026-10-05 | 2026-10-06 | $0.06 | $128 | U18827291 | snapshot |
| CLOSED | 5x $49C 9 Oct 2026 | $0.27 | $137 | 2026-10-05 | 2026-10-06 | $0.06 | $107 | U18827291 | snapshot |
| CLOSED | 9x $49C 9 Oct 2026 | $0.27 | $246 | 2026-10-05 | 2026-10-06 | $0.06 | $192 | U18827291 | snapshot |
| EXPIRED | 20x $48C 25 Sep 2026 | $0.23 | $466 | 2026-09-25 | 2026-09-28 | $0.00 | $466 | U18827291 | snapshot |
| UNKNOWN | 20x $58C 2 Oct 2026 | $0.35 | $706 | 2026-09-22 | 2026-09-25 | $0.35 | $0 | U18827291 | snapshot |
| UNKNOWN | 20x $50C 25 Sep 2026 | $0.39 | $788 | 2026-09-18 | 2026-09-22 | $0.39 | $0 | U18827291 | snapshot |
| ASSIGNED | 20x $40C 4 Sep 2026 | $0.24 | $486 | 2026-09-01 | 2026-09-08 | $0.00 | $486 | U18827291 | snapshot |
| EXPIRED | 20x $49C 28 Aug 2026 | $0.92 | $1,840 | 2026-08-21 | 2026-08-31 | $0.00 | $1,840 | U18827291 | snapshot |
| UNKNOWN | 20x $54C 28 Aug 2026 | $1.18 | $2,360 | 2026-08-18 | 2026-08-21 | $1.18 | $0 | U18827291 | execution |
| CLOSED | 6x $70C 18 Sep 2026 | $0.99 | $591 | 2026-08-14 | 2026-08-18 | $0.77 | $129 | U18827291 | snapshot |
| CLOSED | 8x $70C 18 Sep 2026 | $0.99 | $788 | 2026-08-14 | 2026-08-18 | $0.77 | $172 | U18827291 | snapshot |
| CLOSED | 6x $70C 18 Sep 2026 | $0.99 | $591 | 2026-08-14 | 2026-08-18 | $0.77 | $129 | U18827291 | snapshot |
| UNKNOWN | 20x $50C 21 Aug 2026 | $0.51 | $1,020 | 2026-08-13 | 2026-08-14 | $0.51 | $0 | U18827291 | execution |
| EXPIRED | 20x $40.5C 31 Jul 2026 | $0.58 | $1,153 | 2026-07-28 | 2026-08-03 | $0.00 | $1,153 | U18827291 | snapshot |
| UNKNOWN | 20x $47.5C 31 Jul 2026 | $0.44 | $877 | 2026-07-27 | 2026-07-28 | $0.44 | $0 | U18827291 | snapshot |
| UNKNOWN | 20x $55C 7 Aug 2026 | $0.85 | $1,710 | 2026-07-20 | 2026-07-27 | $0.85 | $0 | U18827291 | execution |
| CLOSED | 1x $42C 24 Jul 2026 | $0.67 | $67 | 2026-07-17 | 2026-07-20 | $1.30 | $-63 | U18827291 | snapshot |
| CLOSED | 5x $42C 24 Jul 2026 | $0.67 | $336 | 2026-07-17 | 2026-07-20 | $1.31 | $-319 | U18827291 | snapshot |
| CLOSED | 5x $42C 24 Jul 2026 | $0.67 | $336 | 2026-07-17 | 2026-07-20 | $1.31 | $-319 | U18827291 | snapshot |
| CLOSED | 2x $42C 24 Jul 2026 | $0.67 | $134 | 2026-07-17 | 2026-07-20 | $1.30 | $-126 | U18827291 | snapshot |
| CLOSED | 2x $42C 24 Jul 2026 | $0.67 | $134 | 2026-07-17 | 2026-07-20 | $1.30 | $-126 | U18827291 | snapshot |
| CLOSED | 4x $42C 24 Jul 2026 | $0.67 | $269 | 2026-07-17 | 2026-07-20 | $1.30 | $-251 | U18827291 | snapshot |
| CLOSED | 1x $42C 24 Jul 2026 | $0.67 | $67 | 2026-07-17 | 2026-07-20 | $1.30 | $-63 | U18827291 | snapshot |
| CLOSED | 20x $43C 17 Jul 2026 | $0.31 | $614 | 2026-07-16 | 2026-07-16 | $0.05 | $514 | U18827291 | snapshot |
| CLOSED | 20x $48.5C 10 Jul 2026 | $0.29 | $571 | 2026-07-09 | 2026-07-10 | $0.06 | $451 | U18827291 | seed |
Each Friday gets its own recommended pick and full income ladder (safest strike per income rung, sized across your 20 contracts). The master ranks the two by E[net]/mo to pick one grand pick; both are shown here so you can choose the tenor that fits your roll cadence.
| Track | Expiry | Sell | Survival | Income/mo | E[net]/mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEXT FRIDAY 🏆 | 30 Oct 2026 · 8d | 18 × $28 | 76% | $4,792 | $1,940 |
| Rung | Sell | Expiry | DTE | OTM | Survival | Touch odds | FIGHT edge | Per cycle | Income/mo | Δ vs pick | Cap give-up | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| ▸ | ๐ก safe yield | 20 × $31 | 30 Oct | 8d | 22.7% | 90%hist 95% | 20%hist 24% | +2pp | $480 | $1,800 | -$2,992 | $65,833 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Sell 20 ร $31 22.7% OTM over spot $25.26 30 Oct 2026 (8d, $0.26 mid) = $480 credit for the 8d cycle โ $1,800/mo projected Survival (stays โค $31) 90% Breach risk 10% POP (stays โค $31.25) 91% EV / mo +$785 ๐ CAMPAIGN OUTLOOK (400 simulated futures, this rung on repeat for 9 months, no directional opinion) FIGHT'S EDGE +2pp 21% whole by 9mo vs 18% doing nothing FIRE DRILLS ~1.6/quarter challenges to roll; realized tends lower (calibration) BANKED RATE WHILE FIGHTING $1,078/mo median; plan ~$733/mo after 68% keep · $8,423 banked by campaign end (selling stops once whole) green: with FIGHT · grey: without if it recovers, the typical trip is ~4.6 mo [3.1-6.5], measured ONLY among the 21% of futures that got whole ๐ก IF CHALLENGED (spot reaches the strike) ยท challenge = the strike is touched at any point, so it runs ~2x the breach risk (finishing through it) Challenge odds (touch by expiry) 13% Flat exit net (mid-life) -$2,873 Free roll-up +$3/wk Safest escape (by 13 Nov 2026) $38 @ 83% POP 80% survival Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 20 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 4 of 8); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic Buyback gross: $2.37/sh now โ $1.68 mid-life (likely $1.41โ$2.36) โ โ $0 at expiry | you banked $0.24/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$1.44/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours ๐ Across 380 simulated challenges: the $31 strike is typically first touched on day 5 of 8, at $32 (overshoots $0.99). The [P25โP75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L โฅ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same from-entry basis as this tool's @cap / total-exit numbers, at the rolled strike. POP = P(stays โค strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays โค strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP. Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) ร a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted +0.5 vol pt per +1% move (spike-vol name: vol expands on a fast move, richer buyback). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened. More detail, income coverage, downside budget, tripwires, held-to-expiry ladder, V-bounce stressIncome coverage
Downside budget ⚠ $31 is $33 below CC-SS $64.16: assignment on a recovery to whole locks the cap give-up below.
Tripwiresprice and time left decide together; the matrix is the playbook The one rule: roll when the short call's remaining TIME VALUE < $0.06/sh (~25% of the $0.24 collected) or spot โฅ $31.25 (breakeven), whichever comes first. Time value = call mark price minus intrinsic (max(0, spot โ $31)); NOT the premium you collected. Momentum override: two daily closes above $47.73 (daily upper band) or daily RSI > 70 โ treat "pressing" as "through".
If held to expiryexact, settlement = intrinsic ยท fortress delta 0.92 (IBKR)
V-BOUNCE STRESS (stock โ CC-SS $64.16, where you are whole again, by expiry) Starting unrealized P&L: $-75,950 + Fortress recovery (un-capped): +$71,492 โ CC assignment net of premium (20 ร $31): -$65,833 Total Position P&L @ SS: $-70,291 (+$5,659 vs today) Do-nothing baseline at SS: $-4,418 (this trade vs do-nothing: $-65,873, the opportunity cost of earning $1,800/mo FIGHT income now) BB-reversion stress (โ $41.27 20W MA (bounce target), the probable scenario per weekly technicals): CC give-up -$20,060, position total $-66,583 (+$9,367 vs today) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ | 33% normal ← lean | 18 × $29 | 30 Oct | 8d | 14.8% | 82%hist 86% | 38%hist 31% | +4pp | $882 | $3,308 | -$1,485 | $62,399 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Sell 18 ร $29 14.8% OTM over spot $25.26 30 Oct 2026 (8d, $0.52 mid) = $882 credit for the 8d cycle โ $3,308/mo projected Survival (stays โค $29) 82% Breach risk 18% POP (stays โค $29.52) 85% EV / mo +$1,087 ๐ CAMPAIGN OUTLOOK (400 simulated futures, this rung on repeat for 9 months, no directional opinion) FIGHT'S EDGE +4pp 24% whole by 9mo vs 20% doing nothing FIRE DRILLS ~3.0/quarter challenges to roll; realized tends lower (calibration) BANKED RATE WHILE FIGHTING $1,559/mo median; plan ~$1,060/mo after 68% keep · $12,623 banked by campaign end (selling stops once whole) green: with FIGHT · grey: without if it recovers, the typical trip is ~4.3 mo [2.8-6.3], measured ONLY among the 24% of futures that got whole ๐ก IF CHALLENGED (spot reaches the strike) ยท challenge = the strike is touched at any point, so it runs ~2x the breach risk (finishing through it) Challenge odds (touch by expiry) 27% Flat exit net (mid-life) -$1,851 Free roll-up +$3/wk Safest escape (by 13 Nov 2026) $37 @ 86% POP 84% survival Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 18 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 4 of 8); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic Buyback gross: $2.15/sh now โ $1.52 mid-life (likely $1.45โ$2.43) โ โ $0 at expiry | you banked $0.49/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$1.03/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours ๐ Across 806 simulated challenges: the $29 strike is typically first touched on day 5 of 8, at $30 (overshoots $1.00). The [P25โP75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L โฅ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same from-entry basis as this tool's @cap / total-exit numbers, at the rolled strike. POP = P(stays โค strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays โค strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP. Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) ร a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted +0.5 vol pt per +1% move (spike-vol name: vol expands on a fast move, richer buyback). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened. More detail, income coverage, downside budget, tripwires, held-to-expiry ladder, V-bounce stressIncome coverage
Downside budget ⚠ $29 is $35 below CC-SS $64.16: assignment on a recovery to whole locks the cap give-up below.
Tripwiresprice and time left decide together; the matrix is the playbook The one rule: roll when the short call's remaining TIME VALUE < $0.12/sh (~25% of the $0.49 collected) or spot โฅ $29.52 (breakeven), whichever comes first. Time value = call mark price minus intrinsic (max(0, spot โ $29)); NOT the premium you collected. Momentum override: two daily closes above $47.73 (daily upper band) or daily RSI > 70 โ treat "pressing" as "through".
If held to expiryexact, settlement = intrinsic ยท fortress delta 0.92 (IBKR)
V-BOUNCE STRESS (stock โ CC-SS $64.16, where you are whole again, by expiry) Starting unrealized P&L: $-75,950 + Fortress recovery (un-capped): +$71,492 โ CC assignment net of premium (18 ร $29): -$62,399 + Conservative CC premium (2 ร $65): +$4 Total Position P&L @ SS: $-66,854 (+$9,096 vs today) Do-nothing baseline at SS: $-4,418 (this trade vs do-nothing: $-62,435, the opportunity cost of earning $3,308/mo FIGHT income now) BB-reversion stress (โ $41.27 20W MA (bounce target), the probable scenario per weekly technicals): CC give-up -$21,204, position total $-67,723 (+$8,227 vs today) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ | ๐ฏ 50% normal | 18 × $28 | 30 Oct | 8d | 10.8% | 76%hist 82% | 51%hist 44% | +6pp | $1,278 | $4,792 | — | $63,803 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Sell 18 ร $28 10.8% OTM over spot $25.26 30 Oct 2026 (8d, $0.74 mid) = $1,278 credit for the 8d cycle โ $4,792/mo projected Survival (stays โค $28) 76% Breach risk 24% POP (stays โค $28.74) 81% EV / mo +$1,390 ๐ CAMPAIGN OUTLOOK (400 simulated futures, this rung on repeat for 9 months, no directional opinion) FIGHT'S EDGE +6pp 22% whole by 9mo vs 17% doing nothing FIRE DRILLS ~4.3/quarter challenges to roll; realized tends lower (calibration) BANKED RATE WHILE FIGHTING $1,936/mo median; plan ~$1,316/mo after 68% keep · $15,428 banked by campaign end (selling stops once whole) green: with FIGHT · grey: without if it recovers, the typical trip is ~4.1 mo [2.7-6.7], measured ONLY among the 22% of futures that got whole ๐ก IF CHALLENGED (spot reaches the strike) ยท challenge = the strike is touched at any point, so it runs ~2x the breach risk (finishing through it) Challenge odds (touch by expiry) 39% Flat exit net (mid-life) -$1,317 Free roll-up +$3/wk Safest escape (by 13 Nov 2026) $37 @ 89% POP 87% survival Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 18 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 4 of 8); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic Buyback gross: $2.04/sh now โ $1.44 mid-life (likely $1.56โ$2.41) โ โ $0 at expiry | you banked $0.71/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$0.73/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours ๐ Across 1,176 simulated challenges: the $28 strike is typically first touched on day 4 of 8, at $29 (overshoots $0.95). The [P25โP75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L โฅ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same from-entry basis as this tool's @cap / total-exit numbers, at the rolled strike. POP = P(stays โค strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays โค strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP. Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) ร a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted +0.5 vol pt per +1% move (spike-vol name: vol expands on a fast move, richer buyback). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened. More detail, income coverage, downside budget, tripwires, held-to-expiry ladder, V-bounce stressIncome coverage
Downside budget ⚠ $28 is $36 below CC-SS $64.16: assignment on a recovery to whole locks the cap give-up below.
Tripwiresprice and time left decide together; the matrix is the playbook The one rule: roll when the short call's remaining TIME VALUE < $0.18/sh (~25% of the $0.71 collected) or spot โฅ $28.74 (breakeven), whichever comes first. Time value = call mark price minus intrinsic (max(0, spot โ $28)); NOT the premium you collected. Momentum override: two daily closes above $47.73 (daily upper band) or daily RSI > 70 โ treat "pressing" as "through".
If held to expiryexact, settlement = intrinsic ยท fortress delta 0.92 (IBKR)
V-BOUNCE STRESS (stock โ CC-SS $64.16, where you are whole again, by expiry) Starting unrealized P&L: $-75,950 + Fortress recovery (un-capped): +$71,492 โ CC assignment net of premium (18 ร $28): -$63,803 + Conservative CC premium (2 ร $65): +$4 Total Position P&L @ SS: $-68,258 (+$7,692 vs today) Do-nothing baseline at SS: $-4,418 (this trade vs do-nothing: $-63,839, the opportunity cost of earning $4,792/mo FIGHT income now) BB-reversion stress (โ $41.27 20W MA (bounce target), the probable scenario per weekly technicals): CC give-up -$22,608, position total $-69,127 (+$6,823 vs today) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ | 100% normal | 19 × $26 | 30 Oct | 8d | 2.9% | 60%hist 64% | 85%hist 78% | +11pp | $2,584 | $9,690 | +$4,898 | $69,913 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Sell 19 ร $26 2.9% OTM over spot $25.26 30 Oct 2026 (8d, $1.39 mid) = $2,584 credit for the 8d cycle โ $9,690/mo projected Survival (stays โค $26) 60% Breach risk 40% POP (stays โค $27.39) 72% EV / mo +$1,825 ๐ CAMPAIGN OUTLOOK (400 simulated futures, this rung on repeat for 9 months, no directional opinion) FIGHT'S EDGE +11pp 28% whole by 9mo vs 17% doing nothing FIRE DRILLS ~9.8/quarter challenges to roll; realized tends lower (calibration) BANKED RATE WHILE FIGHTING $2,563/mo median; plan ~$1,743/mo after 68% keep · $20,068 banked by campaign end (selling stops once whole) green: with FIGHT · grey: without if it recovers, the typical trip is ~4.7 mo [2.9-6.3], measured ONLY among the 28% of futures that got whole ๐ก IF CHALLENGED (spot reaches the strike) ยท challenge = the strike is touched at any point, so it runs ~2x the breach risk (finishing through it) Challenge odds (touch by expiry) 68% Flat exit net (mid-life) +$125 Free roll-up +$2/wk Safest escape (by 13 Nov 2026) $35 @ 90% POP 89% survival Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 19 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 4 of 8); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic Buyback gross: $1.83/sh now โ $1.29 mid-life (likely $1.74โ$2.50) โ โ $0 at expiry | you banked $1.36/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets +$0.07/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours ๐ Across 2,027 simulated challenges: the $26 strike is typically first touched on day 3 of 8, at $27 (overshoots $1.00). The [P25โP75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L โฅ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same from-entry basis as this tool's @cap / total-exit numbers, at the rolled strike. POP = P(stays โค strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays โค strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP. Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) ร a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted +0.5 vol pt per +1% move (spike-vol name: vol expands on a fast move, richer buyback). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened. More detail, income coverage, downside budget, tripwires, held-to-expiry ladder, V-bounce stressIncome coverage
Downside budget ⚠ $26 is $38 below CC-SS $64.16: assignment on a recovery to whole locks the cap give-up below.
Tripwiresprice and time left decide together; the matrix is the playbook The one rule: roll when the short call's remaining TIME VALUE < $0.34/sh (~25% of the $1.36 collected) or spot โฅ $27.39 (breakeven), whichever comes first. Time value = call mark price minus intrinsic (max(0, spot โ $26)); NOT the premium you collected. Momentum override: two daily closes above $47.73 (daily upper band) or daily RSI > 70 โ treat "pressing" as "through".
If held to expiryexact, settlement = intrinsic ยท fortress delta 0.92 (IBKR)
V-BOUNCE STRESS (stock โ CC-SS $64.16, where you are whole again, by expiry) Starting unrealized P&L: $-75,950 + Fortress recovery (un-capped): +$71,492 โ CC assignment net of premium (19 ร $26): -$69,913 + Conservative CC premium (1 ร $65): +$2 Total Position P&L @ SS: $-74,369 (+$1,581 vs today) Do-nothing baseline at SS: $-4,418 (this trade vs do-nothing: $-69,951, the opportunity cost of earning $9,690/mo FIGHT income now) BB-reversion stress (โ $41.27 20W MA (bounce target), the probable scenario per weekly technicals): CC give-up -$26,429, position total $-72,950 (+$3,000 vs today) | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Every eligible strike x expiry in the 4-45 DTE band (3 expiries scanned, 17 clear the income floor), each sized to the minimum contracts that clear it. Sorted by survival (safest first): the primary ๐ฏ is the safest; rows below trade safety for income.
Fortress delta: 0.919 (IBKR) | Recovery@SS: +$71,492 (un-capped fortress gain if stock rallies to SS) | Do-nothing @ SS: $-4,418
| Strike | DTE | Expiry | Bid | Sell | Per cycle | Income/mo | Net/mo | Survival | Touch | POP (mid) | EV/mo | Cap Give-up @ CC-SS | %IC | Recover | Total P&L @ SS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $28 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.71 | 18/20 | $1,278 | $4,792 | $4,800 | 76%hist 82% | 51%hist 44% | 81% | +$1,390 | -$63,803 | 465.7% | 6.7mo | $-68,258 (vs do-nothing $-63,839) |
| $28.50 | 15d | 6 Nov 2026 | $1.34 | 18/20 | $2,412 | $4,824 | $4,832 | 73%hist 82% | 59%hist 44% | 79% | +$1,241 | -$61,769 | 450.9% | 6.5mo | $-66,224 (vs do-nothing $-61,805) |
| $27.50 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.85 | 15/20 | $1,275 | $4,781 | $4,801 | 72%hist 82% | 58%hist 44% | 78% | +$1,298 | -$53,709 | 392.0% | 5.6mo | $-58,158 (vs do-nothing $-53,739) |
| $28 | 15d | 6 Nov 2026 | $1.50 | 16/20 | $2,400 | $4,800 | $4,816 | 70%hist 82% | 64%hist 56% | 77% | +$1,184 | -$55,450 | 404.7% | 5.8mo | $-59,900 (vs do-nothing $-55,482) |
| $28 | 22d | 13 Nov 2026 | $1.99 | 18/20 | $3,582 | $4,885 | $4,893 | 69%hist 64% | 68%hist 56% | 77% | +$1,289 | -$61,499 | 448.9% | 6.4mo | $-65,954 (vs do-nothing $-61,535) |
| $27 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.99 | 13/20 | $1,287 | $4,826 | $4,854 | 69%hist 64% | 66%hist 56% | 76% | +$1,140 | -$47,016 | 343.2% | 4.9mo | $-51,461 (vs do-nothing $-47,042) |
| $27.50 | 15d | 6 Nov 2026 | $1.65 | 15/20 | $2,475 | $4,950 | $4,970 | 68%hist 64% | 70%hist 68% | 76% | +$1,111 | -$52,509 | 383.3% | 5.5mo | $-56,958 (vs do-nothing $-52,539) |
| $27 | 15d | 6 Nov 2026 | $1.83 | 14/20 | $2,562 | $5,124 | $5,148 | 65%hist 64% | 76%hist 68% | 75% | +$1,077 | -$49,457 | 361.0% | 5.2mo | $-53,903 (vs do-nothing $-49,485) |
| $27 | 22d | 13 Nov 2026 | $2.35 | 15/20 | $3,525 | $4,807 | $4,827 | 65%hist 64% | 79%hist 68% | 75% | +$1,156 | -$52,209 | 381.1% | 5.5mo | $-56,658 (vs do-nothing $-52,239) |
| $26.50 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $1.16 | 11/20 | $1,276 | $4,785 | $4,821 | 65%hist 64% | 75%hist 68% | 74% | +$1,002 | -$40,146 | 293.0% | 4.2mo | $-44,586 (vs do-nothing $-40,168) |
| $26 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $1.36 | 10/20 | $1,360 | $5,100 | $5,140 | 60%hist 64% | 85%hist 78% | 72% | +$961 | -$36,796 | 268.6% | 3.8mo | $-41,235 (vs do-nothing $-36,816) |
| $26 | 22d | 13 Nov 2026 | $2.75 | 13/20 | $3,575 | $4,875 | $4,903 | 60%hist 68% | 91%hist 90% | 72% | +$864 | -$46,028 | 336.0% | 4.8mo | $-50,473 (vs do-nothing $-46,054) |
| $26 | 15d | 6 Nov 2026 | $2.22 | 11/20 | $2,442 | $4,884 | $4,920 | 60%hist 68% | 89%hist 78% | 72% | +$865 | -$39,530 | 288.5% | 4.1mo | $-43,970 (vs do-nothing $-39,552) |
| Strike | DTE | Expiry | Bid | Sell | Per cycle | Income/mo | Net/mo | Survival | Touch | POP (mid) | EV/mo | Cap Give-up @ CC-SS | %IC | Recover | Total P&L @ SS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $25.50 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $1.58 | 9/20 | $1,422 | $5,333 | $5,377 | 56%hist 68% | 95%hist 90% | 69% | +$884 | -$33,369 | 243.6% | 3.5mo | $-37,805 (vs do-nothing $-33,387) |
| $25 | 22d | 13 Nov 2026 | $3.20 | 11/20 | $3,520 | $4,800 | $4,836 | 55%hist 68% | 100%hist 90% | 70% | +$731 | -$39,552 | 288.7% | 4.1mo | $-43,992 (vs do-nothing $-39,574) |
| $25 | 15d | 6 Nov 2026 | $2.65 | 10/20 | $2,650 | $5,300 | $5,340 | 53%hist 68% | 100%hist 90% | 69% | +$737 | -$36,506 | 266.5% | 3.8mo | $-40,945 (vs do-nothing $-36,526) |
| $25 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $1.81 | 8/20 | $1,448 | $5,430 | $5,478 | 51%hist 68% | 100%hist 90% | 67% | +$747 | -$29,877 | 218.1% | 3.1mo | $-34,311 (vs do-nothing $-29,893) |
| Strike | DTE | Expiry | Bid | Sell | Per cycle | Income/mo | Net/mo | Survival | Touch | POP (mid) | EV/mo | Cap Give-up @ CC-SS | %IC | Recover | Total P&L @ SS | Why not eligible |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $55 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.01 | 20/20 | $20 | $75 | $75 | 99+%hist 95% | 0%hist 4% | 100% | +$75 | -$18,293 | 133.5% | 1.9mo | $-22,751 (vs do-nothing $-18,333) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $54 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.01 | 20/20 | $20 | $75 | $75 | 99+%hist 95% | 0%hist 4% | 100% | +$75 | -$20,293 | 148.1% | 2.1mo | $-24,751 (vs do-nothing $-20,333) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $53 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.01 | 20/20 | $20 | $75 | $75 | 99+%hist 95% | 0%hist 4% | 100% | +$75 | -$22,293 | 162.7% | 2.3mo | $-26,751 (vs do-nothing $-22,333) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $52 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.01 | 20/20 | $20 | $75 | $75 | 99+%hist 95% | 0%hist 4% | 100% | +$75 | -$24,293 | 177.3% | 2.5mo | $-28,751 (vs do-nothing $-24,333) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $51 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.01 | 20/20 | $20 | $75 | $75 | 99+%hist 95% | 0%hist 4% | 100% | +$75 | -$26,293 | 191.9% | 2.8mo | $-30,751 (vs do-nothing $-26,333) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $50 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.01 | 20/20 | $20 | $75 | $75 | 99+%hist 95% | 0%hist 4% | 100% | +$75 | -$28,293 | 206.5% | 3.0mo | $-32,751 (vs do-nothing $-28,333) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $49 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.01 | 20/20 | $20 | $75 | $75 | 99+%hist 95% | 0%hist 4% | 100% | +$75 | -$30,293 | 221.1% | 3.2mo | $-34,751 (vs do-nothing $-30,333) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $48 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.01 | 20/20 | $20 | $75 | $75 | 99+%hist 95% | 0%hist 4% | 100% | +$75 | -$32,293 | 235.7% | 3.4mo | $-36,751 (vs do-nothing $-32,333) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $47 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.01 | 20/20 | $20 | $75 | $75 | 99+%hist 95% | 0%hist 4% | 100% | +$75 | -$34,293 | 250.3% | 3.6mo | $-38,751 (vs do-nothing $-34,333) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $46 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.01 | 20/20 | $20 | $75 | $75 | 99+%hist 95% | 0%hist 4% | 100% | +$75 | -$36,293 | 264.9% | 3.8mo | $-40,751 (vs do-nothing $-36,333) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $45 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.01 | 20/20 | $20 | $75 | $75 | 99+%hist 95% | 0%hist 4% | 100% | +$75 | -$38,293 | 279.5% | 4.0mo | $-42,751 (vs do-nothing $-38,333) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $44 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.01 | 20/20 | $20 | $75 | $75 | 99+%hist 95% | 0%hist 4% | 100% | +$74 | -$40,293 | 294.1% | 4.2mo | $-44,751 (vs do-nothing $-40,333) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $43 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.01 | 20/20 | $20 | $75 | $75 | 99+%hist 95% | 0%hist 4% | 100% | +$73 | -$42,293 | 308.7% | 4.4mo | $-46,751 (vs do-nothing $-42,333) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $42 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.01 | 20/20 | $20 | $75 | $75 | 99+%hist 95% | 0%hist 4% | 100% | +$72 | -$44,293 | 323.3% | 4.6mo | $-48,751 (vs do-nothing $-44,333) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $41 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.01 | 20/20 | $20 | $75 | $75 | 99+%hist 95% | 0%hist 4% | 100% | +$70 | -$46,293 | 337.9% | 4.8mo | $-50,751 (vs do-nothing $-46,333) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $40.50 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.02 | 20/20 | $40 | $150 | $150 | 99+%hist 95% | 1%hist 4% | 100% | +$143 | -$47,273 | 345.1% | 4.9mo | $-51,731 (vs do-nothing $-47,313) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $65 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.01 | 20/20 | $20 | $75 | $75 | 99+%hist 95% | 1%hist 4% | 100% | +$47 | -$0 | 0.0% | 0.0mo | $-4,438 (vs do-nothing $-20) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $60 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.01 | 20/20 | $20 | $75 | $75 | 99+%hist 95% | 1%hist 4% | 100% | +$50 | -$8,293 | 60.5% | 0.9mo | $-12,751 (vs do-nothing $-8,333) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $58 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.01 | 20/20 | $20 | $75 | $75 | 99+%hist 95% | 1%hist 4% | 100% | +$52 | -$12,293 | 89.7% | 1.3mo | $-16,751 (vs do-nothing $-12,333) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $57 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.01 | 20/20 | $20 | $75 | $75 | 99+%hist 95% | 1%hist 4% | 100% | +$52 | -$14,293 | 104.3% | 1.5mo | $-18,751 (vs do-nothing $-14,333) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $65 | 15d | 6 Nov 2026 | $0.02 | 20/20 | $40 | $80 | $80 | 99+%hist 95% | 1%hist 4% | 100% | +$63 | -$0 | 0.0% | 0.0mo | $-4,418 (vs do-nothing +$0) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $56 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.01 | 20/20 | $20 | $75 | $75 | 99+%hist 95% | 1%hist 4% | 100% | +$53 | -$16,293 | 118.9% | 1.7mo | $-20,751 (vs do-nothing $-16,333) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $65 | 22d | 13 Nov 2026 | $0.01 | 20/20 | $20 | $27 | $27 | 99+%hist 95% | 1%hist 4% | 100% | +$11 | -$0 | 0.0% | 0.0mo | $-4,438 (vs do-nothing $-20) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $60 | 15d | 6 Nov 2026 | $0.01 | 20/20 | $20 | $40 | $40 | 99+%hist 95% | 1%hist 4% | 100% | +$19 | -$8,293 | 60.5% | 0.9mo | $-12,751 (vs do-nothing $-8,333) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $58 | 15d | 6 Nov 2026 | $0.02 | 20/20 | $40 | $80 | $80 | 99+%hist 95% | 1%hist 4% | 100% | +$57 | -$12,273 | 89.6% | 1.3mo | $-16,731 (vs do-nothing $-12,313) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $57 | 15d | 6 Nov 2026 | $0.01 | 20/20 | $20 | $40 | $40 | 99+%hist 95% | 1%hist 4% | 100% | +$15 | -$14,293 | 104.3% | 1.5mo | $-18,751 (vs do-nothing $-14,333) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $56 | 15d | 6 Nov 2026 | $0.01 | 20/20 | $20 | $40 | $40 | 99+%hist 95% | 1%hist 4% | 100% | +$13 | -$16,293 | 118.9% | 1.7mo | $-20,751 (vs do-nothing $-16,333) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $60 | 22d | 13 Nov 2026 | $0.02 | 20/20 | $40 | $55 | $55 | 99%hist 95% | 1%hist 4% | 100% | +$31 | -$8,273 | 60.4% | 0.9mo | $-12,731 (vs do-nothing $-8,313) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $51 | 22d | 13 Nov 2026 | $0.07 | 20/20 | $140 | $191 | $191 | 99%hist 95% | 1%hist 4% | 99% | +$176 | -$26,173 | 191.0% | 2.7mo | $-30,631 (vs do-nothing $-26,213) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $55 | 15d | 6 Nov 2026 | $0.03 | 20/20 | $60 | $120 | $120 | 99%hist 95% | 1%hist 4% | 99% | +$91 | -$18,253 | 133.2% | 1.9mo | $-22,711 (vs do-nothing $-18,293) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $54 | 15d | 6 Nov 2026 | $0.03 | 20/20 | $60 | $120 | $120 | 99%hist 95% | 1%hist 4% | 99% | +$89 | -$20,253 | 147.8% | 2.1mo | $-24,711 (vs do-nothing $-20,293) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $53 | 15d | 6 Nov 2026 | $0.03 | 20/20 | $60 | $120 | $120 | 99%hist 95% | 1%hist 4% | 99% | +$86 | -$22,253 | 162.4% | 2.3mo | $-26,711 (vs do-nothing $-22,293) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $50 | 22d | 13 Nov 2026 | $0.08 | 20/20 | $160 | $218 | $218 | 99%hist 95% | 1%hist 4% | 99% | +$198 | -$28,153 | 205.5% | 2.9mo | $-32,611 (vs do-nothing $-28,193) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $52 | 15d | 6 Nov 2026 | $0.04 | 20/20 | $80 | $160 | $160 | 99%hist 95% | 1%hist 4% | 99% | +$123 | -$24,233 | 176.9% | 2.5mo | $-28,691 (vs do-nothing $-24,273) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $51 | 15d | 6 Nov 2026 | $0.04 | 20/20 | $80 | $160 | $160 | 99%hist 95% | 2%hist 4% | 99% | +$119 | -$26,233 | 191.5% | 2.7mo | $-30,691 (vs do-nothing $-26,273) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $49 | 22d | 13 Nov 2026 | $0.09 | 20/20 | $180 | $245 | $245 | 99%hist 95% | 2%hist 4% | 99% | +$220 | -$30,133 | 219.9% | 3.2mo | $-34,591 (vs do-nothing $-30,173) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $55 | 22d | 13 Nov 2026 | $0.05 | 20/20 | $100 | $136 | $136 | 99%hist 95% | 2%hist 4% | 99% | +$99 | -$18,213 | 132.9% | 1.9mo | $-22,671 (vs do-nothing $-18,253) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $40 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.02 | 20/20 | $40 | $150 | $150 | 99%hist 95% | 2%hist 4% | 99% | +$109 | -$48,273 | 352.4% | 5.0mo | $-52,731 (vs do-nothing $-48,313) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $50 | 15d | 6 Nov 2026 | $0.04 | 20/20 | $80 | $160 | $160 | 99%hist 95% | 2%hist 4% | 99% | +$114 | -$28,233 | 206.1% | 3.0mo | $-32,691 (vs do-nothing $-28,273) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $39.50 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.01 | 20/20 | $20 | $75 | $75 | 99%hist 95% | 2%hist 4% | 99% | +$29 | -$49,293 | 359.8% | 5.2mo | $-53,751 (vs do-nothing $-49,333) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $49 | 15d | 6 Nov 2026 | $0.04 | 20/20 | $80 | $160 | $160 | 99%hist 95% | 2%hist 4% | 99% | +$109 | -$30,233 | 220.7% | 3.2mo | $-34,691 (vs do-nothing $-30,273) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $48 | 22d | 13 Nov 2026 | $0.08 | 20/20 | $160 | $218 | $218 | 99%hist 95% | 2%hist 4% | 99% | +$185 | -$32,153 | 234.7% | 3.4mo | $-36,611 (vs do-nothing $-32,193) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $43 | 15d | 6 Nov 2026 | $0.08 | 20/20 | $160 | $320 | $320 | 99%hist 95% | 2%hist 4% | 99% | +$283 | -$42,153 | 307.7% | 4.4mo | $-46,611 (vs do-nothing $-42,193) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $39 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.02 | 20/20 | $40 | $150 | $150 | 99%hist 95% | 2%hist 4% | 99% | +$98 | -$50,273 | 367.0% | 5.3mo | $-54,731 (vs do-nothing $-50,313) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $48 | 15d | 6 Nov 2026 | $0.05 | 20/20 | $100 | $200 | $200 | 99%hist 95% | 2%hist 4% | 99% | +$143 | -$32,213 | 235.1% | 3.4mo | $-36,671 (vs do-nothing $-32,253) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $52 | 22d | 13 Nov 2026 | $0.07 | 20/20 | $140 | $191 | $191 | 99%hist 95% | 2%hist 4% | 99% | +$139 | -$24,173 | 176.4% | 2.5mo | $-28,631 (vs do-nothing $-24,213) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $38.50 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.02 | 20/20 | $40 | $150 | $150 | 99%hist 95% | 2%hist 4% | 99% | +$90 | -$51,273 | 374.3% | 5.4mo | $-55,731 (vs do-nothing $-51,313) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $47 | 22d | 13 Nov 2026 | $0.09 | 20/20 | $180 | $245 | $245 | 99%hist 95% | 2%hist 4% | 99% | +$202 | -$34,133 | 249.1% | 3.6mo | $-38,591 (vs do-nothing $-34,173) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $47 | 15d | 6 Nov 2026 | $0.05 | 20/20 | $100 | $200 | $200 | 99%hist 95% | 2%hist 4% | 99% | +$135 | -$34,213 | 249.7% | 3.6mo | $-38,671 (vs do-nothing $-34,253) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $38 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.03 | 20/20 | $60 | $225 | $225 | 99%hist 95% | 3%hist 4% | 99% | +$157 | -$52,253 | 381.4% | 5.5mo | $-56,711 (vs do-nothing $-52,293) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $46 | 15d | 6 Nov 2026 | $0.05 | 20/20 | $100 | $200 | $200 | 99%hist 95% | 3%hist 4% | 99% | +$126 | -$36,213 | 264.3% | 3.8mo | $-40,671 (vs do-nothing $-36,253) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $46 | 22d | 13 Nov 2026 | $0.12 | 20/20 | $240 | $327 | $327 | 99%hist 95% | 3%hist 4% | 99% | +$271 | -$36,073 | 263.3% | 3.8mo | $-40,531 (vs do-nothing $-36,113) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $37.50 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.03 | 20/20 | $60 | $225 | $225 | 99%hist 95% | 3%hist 4% | 99% | +$146 | -$53,253 | 388.7% | 5.6mo | $-57,711 (vs do-nothing $-53,293) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $45 | 15d | 6 Nov 2026 | $0.06 | 20/20 | $120 | $240 | $240 | 99%hist 95% | 3%hist 4% | 99% | +$155 | -$38,193 | 278.8% | 4.0mo | $-42,651 (vs do-nothing $-38,233) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $37 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.04 | 20/20 | $80 | $300 | $300 | 98%hist 95% | 3%hist 4% | 98% | +$207 | -$54,233 | 395.9% | 5.7mo | $-58,691 (vs do-nothing $-54,273) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $44 | 15d | 6 Nov 2026 | $0.07 | 20/20 | $140 | $280 | $280 | 98%hist 95% | 3%hist 4% | 98% | +$182 | -$40,173 | 293.2% | 4.2mo | $-44,631 (vs do-nothing $-40,213) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $45 | 22d | 13 Nov 2026 | $0.12 | 20/20 | $240 | $327 | $327 | 98%hist 95% | 3%hist 4% | 98% | +$255 | -$38,073 | 277.9% | 4.0mo | $-42,531 (vs do-nothing $-38,113) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $36.50 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.04 | 20/20 | $80 | $300 | $300 | 98%hist 95% | 4%hist 4% | 98% | +$191 | -$55,233 | 403.2% | 5.8mo | $-59,691 (vs do-nothing $-55,273) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $44 | 22d | 13 Nov 2026 | $0.16 | 20/20 | $320 | $436 | $436 | 98%hist 95% | 4%hist 4% | 98% | +$343 | -$39,993 | 291.9% | 4.2mo | $-44,451 (vs do-nothing $-40,033) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $36 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.05 | 20/20 | $100 | $375 | $375 | 98%hist 95% | 4%hist 4% | 98% | +$246 | -$56,213 | 410.3% | 5.9mo | $-60,671 (vs do-nothing $-56,253) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $40 | 15d | 6 Nov 2026 | $0.13 | 20/20 | $260 | $520 | $520 | 98%hist 95% | 4%hist 4% | 98% | +$414 | -$48,053 | 350.7% | 5.0mo | $-52,511 (vs do-nothing $-48,093) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $42 | 15d | 6 Nov 2026 | $0.09 | 20/20 | $180 | $360 | $360 | 98%hist 95% | 5%hist 4% | 98% | +$223 | -$44,133 | 322.1% | 4.6mo | $-48,591 (vs do-nothing $-44,173) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $35.50 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.05 | 20/20 | $100 | $375 | $375 | 98%hist 95% | 5%hist 4% | 98% | +$220 | -$57,213 | 417.6% | 6.0mo | $-61,671 (vs do-nothing $-57,253) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $43 | 22d | 13 Nov 2026 | $0.17 | 20/20 | $340 | $464 | $464 | 98%hist 95% | 5%hist 4% | 98% | +$343 | -$41,973 | 306.4% | 4.4mo | $-46,431 (vs do-nothing $-42,013) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $41 | 15d | 6 Nov 2026 | $0.11 | 20/20 | $220 | $440 | $440 | 97%hist 95% | 5%hist 4% | 98% | +$275 | -$46,093 | 336.4% | 4.8mo | $-50,551 (vs do-nothing $-46,133) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $35 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.07 | 20/20 | $140 | $525 | $525 | 97%hist 95% | 6%hist 4% | 97% | +$338 | -$58,173 | 424.6% | 6.1mo | $-62,631 (vs do-nothing $-58,213) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $42 | 22d | 13 Nov 2026 | $0.20 | 20/20 | $400 | $545 | $545 | 97%hist 95% | 6%hist 4% | 97% | +$390 | -$43,913 | 320.5% | 4.6mo | $-48,371 (vs do-nothing $-43,953) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $34.50 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.07 | 20/20 | $140 | $525 | $525 | 97%hist 95% | 7%hist 4% | 97% | +$298 | -$59,173 | 431.9% | 6.2mo | $-63,631 (vs do-nothing $-59,213) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $41 | 22d | 13 Nov 2026 | $0.23 | 20/20 | $460 | $627 | $627 | 97%hist 95% | 7%hist 4% | 97% | +$427 | -$45,853 | 334.7% | 4.8mo | $-50,311 (vs do-nothing $-45,893) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $39 | 15d | 6 Nov 2026 | $0.15 | 20/20 | $300 | $600 | $600 | 96%hist 95% | 7%hist 4% | 97% | +$350 | -$50,013 | 365.1% | 5.2mo | $-54,471 (vs do-nothing $-50,053) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $34 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.09 | 20/20 | $180 | $675 | $675 | 96%hist 95% | 8%hist 4% | 96% | +$398 | -$60,133 | 438.9% | 6.3mo | $-64,591 (vs do-nothing $-60,173) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $40 | 22d | 13 Nov 2026 | $0.27 | 20/20 | $540 | $736 | $736 | 96%hist 95% | 9%hist 4% | 96% | +$480 | -$47,773 | 348.7% | 5.0mo | $-52,231 (vs do-nothing $-47,813) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $38 | 15d | 6 Nov 2026 | $0.18 | 20/20 | $360 | $720 | $720 | 96%hist 95% | 9%hist 4% | 96% | +$405 | -$51,953 | 379.2% | 5.4mo | $-56,411 (vs do-nothing $-51,993) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $33.50 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.10 | 20/20 | $200 | $750 | $750 | 96%hist 95% | 9%hist 4% | 96% | +$409 | -$61,113 | 446.1% | 6.4mo | $-65,571 (vs do-nothing $-61,153) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $39 | 22d | 13 Nov 2026 | $0.31 | 20/20 | $620 | $845 | $845 | 95%hist 95% | 11%hist 14% | 95% | +$517 | -$49,693 | 362.7% | 5.2mo | $-54,151 (vs do-nothing $-49,733) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $33 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.12 | 20/20 | $240 | $900 | $900 | 95%hist 95% | 11%hist 14% | 95% | +$479 | -$62,073 | 453.1% | 6.5mo | $-66,531 (vs do-nothing $-62,113) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $37 | 15d | 6 Nov 2026 | $0.22 | 20/20 | $440 | $880 | $880 | 95%hist 95% | 11%hist 14% | 95% | +$478 | -$53,873 | 393.2% | 5.6mo | $-58,331 (vs do-nothing $-53,913) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $32.50 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.14 | 20/20 | $280 | $1,050 | $1,050 | 94%hist 95% | 12%hist 14% | 94% | +$527 | -$63,033 | 460.1% | 6.6mo | $-67,491 (vs do-nothing $-63,073) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $38 | 22d | 13 Nov 2026 | $0.36 | 20/20 | $720 | $982 | $982 | 94%hist 95% | 13%hist 14% | 94% | +$562 | -$51,593 | 376.6% | 5.4mo | $-56,051 (vs do-nothing $-51,633) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $36 | 15d | 6 Nov 2026 | $0.26 | 20/20 | $520 | $1,040 | $1,040 | 94%hist 95% | 13%hist 14% | 94% | +$521 | -$55,793 | 407.2% | 5.8mo | $-60,251 (vs do-nothing $-55,833) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $35 | 15d | 6 Nov 2026 | $0.33 | 20/20 | $660 | $1,320 | $1,320 | 93%hist 95% | 15%hist 14% | 94% | +$763 | -$57,653 | 420.8% | 6.0mo | $-62,111 (vs do-nothing $-57,693) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $32 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.17 | 20/20 | $340 | $1,275 | $1,275 | 93%hist 95% | 14%hist 14% | 93% | +$624 | -$63,973 | 467.0% | 6.7mo | $-68,431 (vs do-nothing $-64,013) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $37 | 22d | 13 Nov 2026 | $0.43 | 20/20 | $860 | $1,173 | $1,173 | 93%hist 95% | 15%hist 14% | 93% | +$638 | -$53,453 | 390.2% | 5.6mo | $-57,911 (vs do-nothing $-53,493) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $31.50 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.19 | 20/20 | $380 | $1,425 | $1,425 | 92%hist 95% | 17%hist 14% | 92% | +$613 | -$64,933 | 474.0% | 6.8mo | $-69,391 (vs do-nothing $-64,973) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $36 | 22d | 13 Nov 2026 | $0.51 | 20/20 | $1,020 | $1,391 | $1,391 | 91%hist 95% | 18%hist 14% | 92% | +$711 | -$55,293 | 403.6% | 5.8mo | $-59,751 (vs do-nothing $-55,333) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $34 | 15d | 6 Nov 2026 | $0.41 | 20/20 | $820 | $1,640 | $1,640 | 91%hist 95% | 20%hist 14% | 91% | +$752 | -$59,493 | 434.3% | 6.2mo | $-63,951 (vs do-nothing $-59,533) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $31 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.24 | 20/20 | $480 | $1,800 | $1,800 | 90%hist 95% | 20%hist 24% | 91% | +$785 | -$65,833 | 480.5% | 6.9mo | $-70,291 (vs do-nothing $-65,873) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $35 | 22d | 13 Nov 2026 | $0.60 | 20/20 | $1,200 | $1,636 | $1,636 | 90%hist 86% | 22%hist 24% | 91% | +$775 | -$57,113 | 416.9% | 6.0mo | $-61,571 (vs do-nothing $-57,153) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $33.50 | 15d | 6 Nov 2026 | $0.45 | 20/20 | $900 | $1,800 | $1,800 | 90%hist 86% | 22%hist 24% | 91% | +$781 | -$60,413 | 441.0% | 6.3mo | $-64,871 (vs do-nothing $-60,453) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $33 | 15d | 6 Nov 2026 | $0.51 | 20/20 | $1,020 | $2,040 | $2,040 | 89%hist 86% | 23%hist 24% | 90% | +$1,004 | -$61,293 | 447.4% | 6.4mo | $-65,751 (vs do-nothing $-61,333) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $30.50 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.29 | 20/20 | $580 | $2,175 | $2,175 | 89%hist 86% | 24%hist 24% | 90% | +$905 | -$66,733 | 487.1% | 7.0mo | $-71,191 (vs do-nothing $-66,773) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $34 | 22d | 13 Nov 2026 | $0.72 | 20/20 | $1,440 | $1,964 | $1,964 | 88%hist 86% | 26%hist 24% | 89% | +$877 | -$58,873 | 429.7% | 6.2mo | $-63,331 (vs do-nothing $-58,913) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $32.50 | 15d | 6 Nov 2026 | $0.57 | 20/20 | $1,140 | $2,280 | $2,280 | 87%hist 86% | 27%hist 24% | 89% | +$935 | -$62,173 | 453.8% | 6.5mo | $-66,631 (vs do-nothing $-62,213) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $30 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.35 | 20/20 | $700 | $2,625 | $2,625 | 87%hist 86% | 28%hist 24% | 88% | +$1,038 | -$67,613 | 493.5% | 7.1mo | $-72,071 (vs do-nothing $-67,653) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $32 | 15d | 6 Nov 2026 | $0.63 | 20/20 | $1,260 | $2,520 | $2,520 | 86%hist 86% | 30%hist 24% | 88% | +$974 | -$63,053 | 460.2% | 6.6mo | $-67,511 (vs do-nothing $-63,093) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $33 | 22d | 13 Nov 2026 | $0.85 | 20/20 | $1,700 | $2,318 | $2,318 | 86%hist 86% | 31%hist 31% | 88% | +$953 | -$60,613 | 442.4% | 6.3mo | $-65,071 (vs do-nothing $-60,653) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $31.50 | 15d | 6 Nov 2026 | $0.71 | 20/20 | $1,420 | $2,840 | $2,840 | 85%hist 86% | 33%hist 31% | 87% | +$1,064 | -$63,893 | 466.4% | 6.7mo | $-68,351 (vs do-nothing $-63,933) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $29.50 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.41 | 20/20 | $820 | $3,075 | $3,075 | 85%hist 86% | 32%hist 31% | 87% | +$1,094 | -$68,493 | 499.9% | 7.2mo | $-72,951 (vs do-nothing $-68,533) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $32 | 22d | 13 Nov 2026 | $1.02 | 20/20 | $2,040 | $2,782 | $2,782 | 83%hist 86% | 37%hist 31% | 86% | +$1,072 | -$62,273 | 454.5% | 6.5mo | $-66,731 (vs do-nothing $-62,313) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $31 | 15d | 6 Nov 2026 | $0.79 | 20/20 | $1,580 | $3,160 | $3,160 | 83%hist 86% | 37%hist 31% | 85% | +$1,120 | -$64,733 | 472.5% | 6.8mo | $-69,191 (vs do-nothing $-64,773) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $29 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.49 | 20/20 | $980 | $3,675 | $3,675 | 82%hist 86% | 38%hist 31% | 85% | +$1,208 | -$69,333 | 506.1% | 7.3mo | $-73,791 (vs do-nothing $-69,373) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $30.50 | 15d | 6 Nov 2026 | $0.87 | 20/20 | $1,740 | $3,480 | $3,480 | 81%hist 86% | 40%hist 41% | 84% | +$1,140 | -$65,573 | 478.6% | 6.9mo | $-70,031 (vs do-nothing $-65,613) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $31 | 22d | 13 Nov 2026 | $1.21 | 20/20 | $2,420 | $3,300 | $3,300 | 80%hist 86% | 43%hist 41% | 84% | +$1,170 | -$63,893 | 466.4% | 6.7mo | $-68,351 (vs do-nothing $-63,933) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $30 | 15d | 6 Nov 2026 | $0.98 | 20/20 | $1,960 | $3,920 | $3,920 | 79%hist 82% | 44%hist 41% | 83% | +$1,240 | -$66,353 | 484.3% | 6.9mo | $-70,811 (vs do-nothing $-66,393) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $28.50 | 8d | 30 Oct 2026 | $0.60 | 20/20 | $1,200 | $4,500 | $4,500 | 79%hist 82% | 44%hist 41% | 83% | +$1,439 | -$70,113 | 511.8% | 7.3mo | $-74,571 (vs do-nothing $-70,153) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $29.50 | 15d | 6 Nov 2026 | $1.09 | 20/20 | $2,180 | $4,360 | $4,360 | 77%hist 82% | 49%hist 41% | 82% | +$1,295 | -$67,133 | 490.0% | 7.0mo | $-71,591 (vs do-nothing $-67,173) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $30 | 22d | 13 Nov 2026 | $1.43 | 20/20 | $2,860 | $3,900 | $3,900 | 77%hist 82% | 51%hist 44% | 82% | +$1,258 | -$65,453 | 477.8% | 6.8mo | $-69,911 (vs do-nothing $-65,493) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $29 | 15d | 6 Nov 2026 | $1.18 | 20/20 | $2,360 | $4,720 | $4,720 | 75%hist 82% | 54%hist 44% | 80% | +$1,223 | -$67,953 | 496.0% | 7.1mo | $-72,411 (vs do-nothing $-67,993) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
| $29 | 22d | 13 Nov 2026 | $1.71 | 20/20 | $3,420 | $4,664 | $4,664 | 73%hist 82% | 59%hist 44% | 79% | +$1,406 | -$66,893 | 488.3% | 7.0mo | $-71,351 (vs do-nothing $-66,933) | 50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract |
Per cycle = bid x 100 x contracts, the cash this expiry pays. Touch = P(strike trades before expiry), with the graded record's hist pill. Recover = months of this income to close the hole to CC-SS. Income/mo = FIGHT leg gross, DTE-prorated. Net/mo = FIGHT + conservative CC gross minus hedge cost. POP (mid) = probability stock closes at or below (strike + mid premium) at expiry, per-strike chain IV when available. Survival = CC expires fully worthless. EV/mo = premium minus expected buyback, monthly, with realized vol = IV x 85% (variance risk premium 15%). Survival, POP and touch use vol x 1.00 (raw implied: the VRP haircut is applied to the premium edge but NOT to risk, because understating the edge costs opportunity while understating breach odds costs capital; the risk-side haircut arms only from the graded ledger). Cap give-up @ SS = recovery mortgaged on a V-bounce to SS, net of premium. Total P&L @ SS = absolute position P&L if the stock closes at SS; "vs do-nothing" = opportunity cost against holding all 20 contracts at the conservative CC.