FORTRESS FIGHT: IREN @ $24.16

BE SS: $58.78 | CC-SS: $24.32 | 50 contracts (5,000 sh) | ⌂ PORTFOLIO

IRENMAX 10 @ $24.16 UNDERWATER $34.62 (58.9% below BE SS)

⚠ EARNINGS · DO NOT SELL INCOME INTO IT

IREN reports 2026-11-05 (Thu), in 2 days. The recommended CC (3d) expires on/after it, so selling now holds a short call through the earnings gap, a report can blow past your strike overnight and cap you at a loss. No priced expiry closes before the print, so waiting for it is the only clean option.

50 contracts (5,000 sh) | BE SS: $58.78 | CC-SS: $24.32 | IV: HIGH | Accounts: Neville:0865

LC: $50 exp 2029-01-19 (entry $8.785/sh)

Economics

Max Loss	$43,900	(ND $8.78 + SW $0) x 5000
Normal income ref	$26,338/mo	95% ann ROI on ML
Hedge (static, never rolled)	$0/mo	HP expiry = SP LEAPS; decay ≈ $0/mo (info only, already in marks)
Unrealized P&L	$-150	fortress legs from IBKR

INCOME GOALPOSTS & VELOCITY

50% INCOME FLOOR
$13,169/mo

HEDGE COVER
$0/mo (static)

NORMAL INCOME
$26,338/mo (ATM CC, chain)

IC VELOCITY
1.7 mo to earn back $43,900

ML VELOCITY
1.7 mo to earn back $43,900

NOT a deep drawdown: a CC at CC-SS $24.32 (probe: $24C 17d) still earns $26,338/mo (100% of normal). Sell the normal CC at/above CC-SS; a FIGHT CC below it is not needed here.

🏦 Campaign ledger: seeded, nothing tracked yet. Open short calls and banked credits appear here from the next cycle on; the banked-floor (info) shows how far premium would ratchet the floor, but the recommended CC-SS stays the pure recovery strike.

TECHNICALS (cc_timing weekly gate + daily trigger)

WEEKLYOVERSOLD · %B 4 (live) · RSI 36 · MACD bearish, hist falling

DAILYFALLING (provisional) · RSI 33 · %B 25 · hist rising (nightly)

LEVELS20W MA (bounce target) $37.68 (+56%) · daily UBB $36.24 · 1-wk expected move ±$6 (chain IV)

SETUPSpring loaded, not ignited: 🎯 or 💎 at short DTE, normal tripwires. (advisory; floors and picks are chain-only)

⚠ Next earnings 2026-11-05: candidates whose expiry crosses it are flagged in the spectrum; EV is unreliable across earnings.

NOT a deep drawdown. A CC at/above CC-SS $24.32 keeps this fortress whole if assigned, so there is no need to FIGHT below it. Three income options to consider, richer → safer, all at/above CC-SS. Click a card for its if-challenged roll menu.

💰 Richer · sell 50 × $26.50 6 Nov 2026 (3d) · more income, lower survivalroll menu if challenged ▾

Survival (stays ≤ $26.50)

70%

Touch odds

65%

Per cycle

$6,500

Income / mo

$65,000

Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 50 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 1 of 3); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic

Buyback gross: $2.54/sh now → $1.80 mid-life (likely $2.18–$3.98) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $1.30/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$0.50/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours

📊 Across 1,290 simulated challenges: the $26 strike is typically first touched on day 2 of 3, at $29 (overshoots $2.21). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (50 ct)	POP / surv of new CC
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$26	13 Nov 2026	8d left	+$1.03/sh	+$5,167 cycle +$11,667 [+$4,157…+$6,399] · 100% credit	70% surv 55%
Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%)	~$29	20 Nov 2026	16d left	+$0.46/sh	+$2,294 cycle +$8,794 [-$208…+$2,967] · 72% credit	76% surv 68%
Max even-money escape in the band	~$31	27 Nov 2026	22d left	+$0.13/sh	+$656 cycle +$7,156 [-$2,731…+$1,026] · 33% credit	80% surv 75%
SS $59 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)	~$29	13 Nov 2026	8d left	+$0.09/sh	+$450 cycle +$6,950 [-$2,157…+$769] · 33% credit	76% surv 68%
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)	~$38	27 Nov 2026	22d left	-$1.04/sh	-$5,213 cycle +$1,287 [-$11,847…-$6,486]	91% surv 90%
budget: banked $6,500 debit $5,213 (80% used ≈ 0.3 wk of income) → whole cycle still +$1,287 cash · rolled 50 ct earn ≈ $5,144/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell

POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP.

Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted +0.5 vol pt per +1% move (spike-vol name: vol expands on a fast move, richer buyback). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened.

🎯 Recommended · sell 50 × $28.50 6 Nov 2026 (3d) · richest strike still ≥80% survivalroll menu if challenged ▾

Survival (stays ≤ $28.50)

80%

Touch odds

43%

Per cycle

$3,900

Income / mo

$39,000

Buyback gross: $2.77/sh now → $1.96 mid-life (likely $2.14–$3.75) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $0.78/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$1.18/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours

📊 Across 824 simulated challenges: the $28 strike is typically first touched on day 2 of 3, at $31 (overshoots $2.05). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (50 ct)	POP / surv of new CC
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$28	13 Nov 2026	8d left	+$1.15/sh	+$5,760 cycle +$9,660 [+$4,734…+$7,151] · 100% credit	70% surv 55%
Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%)	~$32	20 Nov 2026	16d left	+$0.46/sh	+$2,282 cycle +$6,182 [+$228…+$3,522] · 79% credit	77% surv 69%
Max even-money escape in the band	~$34	27 Nov 2026	22d left	+$0.06/sh	+$288 cycle +$4,188 [-$2,522…+$1,328] · 40% credit	81% surv 76%
SS $59 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)	~$31	13 Nov 2026	8d left	+$0.01/sh	+$70 cycle +$3,970 [-$2,166…+$910] · 38% credit	77% surv 69%
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)	~$38	27 Nov 2026	22d left	-$0.72/sh	-$3,599 cycle +$301 [-$7,861…-$3,180] · 0% credit	87% surv 85%
budget: banked $3,900 debit $3,599 (92% used ≈ 0.4 wk of income) → whole cycle still +$301 cash · rolled 50 ct earn ≈ $8,481/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell

🛡 Safer · sell 50 × $35 27 Nov 2026 (24d) · higher survival, lighter premiumroll menu if challenged ▾

Survival (stays ≤ $35)

90%

Touch odds

22%

Per cycle

$3,350

Income / mo

$4,188

⚔ FIGHT CC options · full candidate scan (41 clear the floor), click to expand

Every eligible strike x expiry in the 3-45 DTE band (4 expiries scanned, 41 clear the income floor), each sized to the minimum contracts that clear it. Sorted by survival (safest first): the primary 🎯 is the safest; rows below trade safety for income.

Fortress delta: 0.593 (IBKR) | Recovery@SS: +$457 (un-capped fortress gain if stock rallies to SS) | Do-nothing @ SS: $407

Strike	DTE	Expiry	Bid	Sell	Per cycle	Income/mo	Net/mo	Survival	Touch	POP (mid)	EV/mo	Cap Give-up @ CC-SS	%IC	Recover	Total P&L @ SS
$32	3d	6 Nov 2026	$0.30	50/50	$1,500	$15,000	$15,000	91%hist 96%	18%hist 13%	92%	+$6,860	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$1,807 (vs do-nothing +$1,400)
$31.50	3d	6 Nov 2026	$0.35	50/50	$1,750	$17,500	$17,500	90%hist 96%	21%hist 22%	91%	+$7,801	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$2,057 (vs do-nothing +$1,650)
$31	3d	6 Nov 2026	$0.40	50/50	$2,000	$20,000	$20,000	89%hist 86%	23%hist 22%	90%	+$8,476	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$2,307 (vs do-nothing +$1,900)
$30.50	3d	6 Nov 2026	$0.45	50/50	$2,250	$22,500	$22,500	88%hist 86%	26%hist 22%	89%	+$8,833	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$2,557 (vs do-nothing +$2,150)
$30	3d	6 Nov 2026	$0.53	50/50	$2,650	$26,500	$26,500	86%hist 86%	30%hist 22%	88%	+$10,303	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$2,957 (vs do-nothing +$2,550)
$29.50	3d	6 Nov 2026	$0.60	50/50	$3,000	$30,000	$30,000	84%hist 86%	34%hist 31%	86%	+$10,810	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$3,307 (vs do-nothing +$2,900)
$29	3d	6 Nov 2026	$0.69	50/50	$3,450	$34,500	$34,500	82%hist 86%	38%hist 31%	85%	+$11,781	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$3,757 (vs do-nothing +$3,350)
$30	10d	13 Nov 2026	$0.91	50/50	$4,550	$13,650	$13,650	82%hist 86%	39%hist 31%	85%	+$4,595	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$4,857 (vs do-nothing +$4,450)
$29.50	10d	13 Nov 2026	$1.00	50/50	$5,000	$15,000	$15,000	81%hist 86%	42%hist 40%	84%	+$4,760	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$5,307 (vs do-nothing +$4,900)
$28.50	3d	6 Nov 2026	$0.78	50/50	$3,900	$39,000	$39,000	80%hist 86%	43%hist 40%	83%	+$12,159	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$4,207 (vs do-nothing +$3,800)
$29	10d	13 Nov 2026	$1.11	50/50	$5,550	$16,650	$16,650	79%hist 83%	46%hist 40%	83%	+$5,080	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$5,857 (vs do-nothing +$5,450)
$28	3d	6 Nov 2026	$0.89	50/50	$4,450	$44,500	$44,500	78%hist 83%	48%hist 40%	82%	+$12,906	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$4,757 (vs do-nothing +$4,350)
$28.50	10d	13 Nov 2026	$1.22	50/50	$6,100	$18,300	$18,300	77%hist 83%	50%hist 45%	81%	+$5,240	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$6,407 (vs do-nothing +$6,000)

Show 28 more candidates (lower strikes: more income, lower survival)

Strike	DTE	Expiry	Bid	Sell	Per cycle	Income/mo	Net/mo	Survival	Touch	POP (mid)	EV/mo	Cap Give-up @ CC-SS	%IC	Recover	Total P&L @ SS
$27.50	3d	6 Nov 2026	$1.02	50/50	$5,100	$51,000	$51,000	75%hist 83%	53%hist 45%	80%	+$13,999	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$5,407 (vs do-nothing +$5,000)
$28.50	17d	20 Nov 2026	$1.58	50/50	$7,900	$13,941	$13,941	75%hist 83%	55%hist 45%	80%	+$3,782	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$8,207 (vs do-nothing +$7,800)
$28	10d	13 Nov 2026	$1.35	50/50	$6,750	$20,250	$20,250	75%hist 83%	55%hist 45%	80%	+$5,526	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$7,057 (vs do-nothing +$6,650)
$28	17d	20 Nov 2026	$1.72	50/50	$8,600	$15,176	$15,176	73%hist 83%	59%hist 45%	79%	+$3,950	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$8,907 (vs do-nothing +$8,500)
$27.50	10d	13 Nov 2026	$1.48	50/50	$7,400	$22,200	$22,200	73%hist 83%	60%hist 45%	79%	+$5,624	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$7,707 (vs do-nothing +$7,300)
$27	3d	6 Nov 2026	$1.14	50/50	$5,700	$57,000	$57,000	73%hist 83%	59%hist 45%	78%	+$13,909	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$6,007 (vs do-nothing +$5,600)
$27.50	17d	20 Nov 2026	$1.86	50/50	$9,300	$16,412	$16,412	71%hist 83%	64%hist 55%	78%	+$4,017	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$9,607 (vs do-nothing +$9,200)
$27	10d	13 Nov 2026	$1.62	50/50	$8,100	$24,300	$24,300	70%hist 83%	65%hist 55%	77%	+$5,671	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$8,407 (vs do-nothing +$8,000)
$26.50	3d	6 Nov 2026	$1.30	50/50	$6,500	$65,000	$65,000	70%hist 66%	65%hist 55%	77%	+$15,090	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$6,807 (vs do-nothing +$6,400)
$27	17d	20 Nov 2026	$2.02	50/50	$10,100	$17,824	$17,824	69%hist 66%	68%hist 55%	77%	+$4,154	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$10,407 (vs do-nothing +$10,000)
$27	24d	27 Nov 2026	$2.21	50/50	$11,050	$13,812	$13,812	69%hist 66%	70%hist 55%	77%	+$3,170	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$11,357 (vs do-nothing +$10,950)
$26.50	10d	13 Nov 2026	$1.79	50/50	$8,950	$26,850	$26,850	68%hist 66%	71%hist 67%	76%	+$5,954	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$9,257 (vs do-nothing +$8,850)
$26	3d	6 Nov 2026	$1.47	50/50	$7,350	$73,500	$73,500	67%hist 66%	72%hist 67%	75%	+$15,972	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$7,657 (vs do-nothing +$7,250)
$26	10d	13 Nov 2026	$1.96	50/50	$9,800	$29,400	$29,400	66%hist 66%	76%hist 67%	75%	+$6,011	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$10,107 (vs do-nothing +$9,700)
$26	17d	20 Nov 2026	$2.36	50/50	$11,800	$20,824	$20,824	65%hist 66%	79%hist 67%	75%	+$4,259	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$12,107 (vs do-nothing +$11,700)
$26	24d	27 Nov 2026	$2.55	50/50	$12,750	$15,938	$15,938	65%hist 66%	80%hist 67%	75%	+$3,208	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$13,057 (vs do-nothing +$12,650)
$25.50	3d	6 Nov 2026	$1.65	50/50	$8,250	$82,500	$82,500	64%hist 66%	79%hist 67%	74%	+$16,470	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$8,557 (vs do-nothing +$8,150)
$25.50	10d	13 Nov 2026	$2.16	50/50	$10,800	$32,400	$32,400	63%hist 66%	82%hist 79%	73%	+$6,279	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$11,107 (vs do-nothing +$10,700)
$25	24d	27 Nov 2026	$2.95	50/50	$14,750	$18,438	$18,438	61%hist 66%	90%hist 89%	73%	+$3,287	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$15,057 (vs do-nothing +$14,650)
$25	17d	20 Nov 2026	$2.75	50/50	$13,750	$24,265	$24,265	60%hist 66%	90%hist 79%	72%	+$4,307	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$14,057 (vs do-nothing +$13,650)
$25	3d	6 Nov 2026	$1.85	50/50	$9,250	$92,500	$92,500	60%hist 66%	87%hist 79%	72%	+$17,002	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$9,557 (vs do-nothing +$9,150)
$25	10d	13 Nov 2026	$2.36	50/50	$11,800	$35,400	$35,400	60%hist 66%	89%hist 79%	72%	+$6,299	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$12,107 (vs do-nothing +$11,700)
$24.50	10d	13 Nov 2026	$2.56	50/50	$12,800	$38,400	$38,400	58%hist 69%	95%hist 89%	71%	+$6,064	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$13,107 (vs do-nothing +$12,700)
$24.50	3d	6 Nov 2026	$2.07	50/50	$10,350	$103,500	$103,500	57%hist 69%	95%hist 89%	70%	+$17,493	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$10,657 (vs do-nothing +$10,250)
$24	24d	27 Nov 2026	$3.35	50/50	$16,750	$20,938	$20,938	56%hist 69%	100%hist 89%	71%	+$3,011	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$15,461 (vs do-nothing +$15,054)
$24	17d	20 Nov 2026	$3.15	50/50	$15,750	$27,794	$27,794	56%hist 69%	100%hist 89%	70%	+$3,908	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$14,461 (vs do-nothing +$14,054)
$24	10d	13 Nov 2026	$2.80	50/50	$14,000	$42,000	$42,000	55%hist 69%	100%hist 89%	70%	+$6,450	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$12,711 (vs do-nothing +$12,304)
$24	3d	6 Nov 2026	$2.30	50/50	$11,500	$115,000	$115,000	53%hist 69%	100%hist 89%	69%	+$17,388	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$10,211 (vs do-nothing +$9,804)

116 more priced, not eligible (safety, income floor or quote screens): shown for reference

Strike	DTE	Expiry	Bid	Sell	Per cycle	Income/mo	Net/mo	Survival	Touch	POP (mid)	EV/mo	Cap Give-up @ CC-SS	%IC	Recover	Total P&L @ SS	Why not eligible
$58	3d	6 Nov 2026	$0.01	50/50	$50	$500	$500	99+%hist 96%	0%hist 3%	100%	+$500	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$357 (vs do-nothing $-50)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$57	3d	6 Nov 2026	$0.01	50/50	$50	$500	$500	99+%hist 96%	0%hist 3%	100%	+$500	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$357 (vs do-nothing $-50)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$56	3d	6 Nov 2026	$0.01	50/50	$50	$500	$500	99+%hist 96%	0%hist 3%	100%	+$500	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$357 (vs do-nothing $-50)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$55	3d	6 Nov 2026	$0.01	50/50	$50	$500	$500	99+%hist 96%	0%hist 3%	100%	+$500	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$357 (vs do-nothing $-50)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$54	3d	6 Nov 2026	$0.01	50/50	$50	$500	$500	99+%hist 96%	0%hist 3%	100%	+$500	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$357 (vs do-nothing $-50)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$53	3d	6 Nov 2026	$0.01	50/50	$50	$500	$500	99+%hist 96%	0%hist 3%	100%	+$500	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$357 (vs do-nothing $-50)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$52	3d	6 Nov 2026	$0.01	50/50	$50	$500	$500	99+%hist 96%	0%hist 3%	100%	+$500	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$357 (vs do-nothing $-50)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$51	3d	6 Nov 2026	$0.01	50/50	$50	$500	$500	99+%hist 96%	0%hist 3%	100%	+$500	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$357 (vs do-nothing $-50)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$50	3d	6 Nov 2026	$0.01	50/50	$50	$500	$500	99+%hist 96%	0%hist 3%	100%	+$500	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$357 (vs do-nothing $-50)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$49	3d	6 Nov 2026	$0.01	50/50	$50	$500	$500	99+%hist 96%	0%hist 3%	100%	+$500	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$357 (vs do-nothing $-50)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$48	3d	6 Nov 2026	$0.01	50/50	$50	$500	$500	99+%hist 96%	0%hist 3%	100%	+$500	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$357 (vs do-nothing $-50)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$47	3d	6 Nov 2026	$0.01	50/50	$50	$500	$500	99+%hist 96%	0%hist 3%	100%	+$500	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$357 (vs do-nothing $-50)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$46	3d	6 Nov 2026	$0.01	50/50	$50	$500	$500	99+%hist 96%	0%hist 3%	100%	+$500	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$357 (vs do-nothing $-50)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$45	3d	6 Nov 2026	$0.01	50/50	$50	$500	$500	99+%hist 96%	0%hist 3%	100%	+$500	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$357 (vs do-nothing $-50)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$44	3d	6 Nov 2026	$0.01	50/50	$50	$500	$500	99+%hist 96%	0%hist 3%	100%	+$500	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$357 (vs do-nothing $-50)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$43	3d	6 Nov 2026	$0.01	50/50	$50	$500	$500	99+%hist 96%	0%hist 3%	100%	+$500	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$357 (vs do-nothing $-50)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$42	3d	6 Nov 2026	$0.02	50/50	$100	$1,000	$1,000	99+%hist 96%	0%hist 3%	100%	+$999	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$407 (vs do-nothing +$0)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$41	3d	6 Nov 2026	$0.02	50/50	$100	$1,000	$1,000	99+%hist 96%	0%hist 3%	100%	+$999	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$407 (vs do-nothing +$0)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$40	3d	6 Nov 2026	$0.04	50/50	$200	$2,000	$2,000	99+%hist 96%	0%hist 3%	100%	+$1,997	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$507 (vs do-nothing +$100)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$39	3d	6 Nov 2026	$0.04	50/50	$200	$2,000	$2,000	99+%hist 96%	0%hist 3%	100%	+$1,994	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$507 (vs do-nothing +$100)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$38	3d	6 Nov 2026	$0.05	50/50	$250	$2,500	$2,500	99+%hist 96%	0%hist 3%	100%	+$2,486	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$557 (vs do-nothing +$150)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$37	3d	6 Nov 2026	$0.07	50/50	$350	$3,500	$3,500	99+%hist 96%	0%hist 3%	100%	+$3,470	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$657 (vs do-nothing +$250)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$36.50	3d	6 Nov 2026	$0.07	50/50	$350	$3,500	$3,500	99+%hist 96%	1%hist 3%	100%	+$3,456	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$657 (vs do-nothing +$250)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$36	3d	6 Nov 2026	$0.08	50/50	$400	$4,000	$4,000	99+%hist 96%	1%hist 3%	100%	+$3,936	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$707 (vs do-nothing +$300)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$60	10d	13 Nov 2026	$0.02	50/50	$100	$300	$300	99%hist 96%	1%hist 3%	100%	+$162	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$407 (vs do-nothing +$0)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$35.50	3d	6 Nov 2026	$0.10	50/50	$500	$5,000	$5,000	99%hist 96%	1%hist 3%	100%	+$4,908	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$807 (vs do-nothing +$400)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$60	17d	20 Nov 2026	$0.05	50/50	$250	$441	$441	99%hist 96%	1%hist 3%	99%	+$319	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$557 (vs do-nothing +$150)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$55	10d	13 Nov 2026	$0.04	50/50	$200	$600	$600	99%hist 96%	1%hist 3%	99%	+$418	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$507 (vs do-nothing +$100)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$60	24d	27 Nov 2026	$0.07	50/50	$350	$438	$438	99%hist 96%	2%hist 3%	99%	+$317	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$657 (vs do-nothing +$250)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$52	10d	13 Nov 2026	$0.04	50/50	$200	$600	$600	99%hist 96%	2%hist 3%	99%	+$378	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$507 (vs do-nothing +$100)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$51	10d	13 Nov 2026	$0.05	50/50	$250	$750	$750	99%hist 96%	2%hist 3%	99%	+$510	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$557 (vs do-nothing +$150)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$55	17d	20 Nov 2026	$0.06	50/50	$300	$529	$529	99%hist 96%	2%hist 3%	99%	+$348	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$607 (vs do-nothing +$200)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$50	10d	13 Nov 2026	$0.04	50/50	$200	$600	$600	99%hist 96%	2%hist 3%	99%	+$340	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$507 (vs do-nothing +$100)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$49	10d	13 Nov 2026	$0.05	50/50	$250	$750	$750	99%hist 96%	2%hist 3%	99%	+$466	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$557 (vs do-nothing +$150)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$55	24d	27 Nov 2026	$0.09	50/50	$450	$562	$562	99%hist 96%	2%hist 3%	99%	+$391	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$757 (vs do-nothing +$350)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$48	10d	13 Nov 2026	$0.05	50/50	$250	$750	$750	99%hist 96%	3%hist 3%	99%	+$438	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$557 (vs do-nothing +$150)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$47	10d	13 Nov 2026	$0.05	50/50	$250	$750	$750	99%hist 96%	3%hist 3%	99%	+$404	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$557 (vs do-nothing +$150)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$46	10d	13 Nov 2026	$0.07	50/50	$350	$1,050	$1,050	99%hist 96%	3%hist 3%	99%	+$663	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$657 (vs do-nothing +$250)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$50	17d	20 Nov 2026	$0.10	50/50	$500	$882	$882	99%hist 96%	3%hist 3%	99%	+$589	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$807 (vs do-nothing +$400)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$49	17d	20 Nov 2026	$0.11	50/50	$550	$971	$971	98%hist 96%	3%hist 3%	98%	+$643	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$857 (vs do-nothing +$450)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$45	10d	13 Nov 2026	$0.08	50/50	$400	$1,200	$1,200	98%hist 96%	3%hist 3%	98%	+$762	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$707 (vs do-nothing +$300)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$50	24d	27 Nov 2026	$0.13	50/50	$650	$812	$812	98%hist 96%	4%hist 3%	98%	+$542	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$957 (vs do-nothing +$550)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$44	10d	13 Nov 2026	$0.09	50/50	$450	$1,350	$1,350	98%hist 96%	4%hist 3%	98%	+$851	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$757 (vs do-nothing +$350)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$49	24d	27 Nov 2026	$0.12	50/50	$600	$750	$750	98%hist 96%	4%hist 3%	98%	+$450	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$907 (vs do-nothing +$500)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$48	17d	20 Nov 2026	$0.12	50/50	$600	$1,059	$1,059	98%hist 96%	4%hist 3%	98%	+$617	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$907 (vs do-nothing +$500)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$48	24d	27 Nov 2026	$0.16	50/50	$800	$1,000	$1,000	98%hist 96%	4%hist 3%	98%	+$665	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$1,107 (vs do-nothing +$700)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$43	10d	13 Nov 2026	$0.09	50/50	$450	$1,350	$1,350	98%hist 96%	4%hist 3%	98%	+$774	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$757 (vs do-nothing +$350)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$47	17d	20 Nov 2026	$0.13	50/50	$650	$1,147	$1,147	98%hist 96%	5%hist 3%	98%	+$617	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$957 (vs do-nothing +$550)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$47	24d	27 Nov 2026	$0.17	50/50	$850	$1,063	$1,063	98%hist 96%	5%hist 3%	98%	+$686	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$1,157 (vs do-nothing +$750)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$42	10d	13 Nov 2026	$0.10	50/50	$500	$1,500	$1,500	98%hist 96%	5%hist 3%	98%	+$828	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$807 (vs do-nothing +$400)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$46	24d	27 Nov 2026	$0.18	50/50	$900	$1,125	$1,125	97%hist 96%	5%hist 3%	98%	+$700	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$1,207 (vs do-nothing +$800)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$46	17d	20 Nov 2026	$0.14	50/50	$700	$1,235	$1,235	97%hist 96%	6%hist 3%	97%	+$600	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$1,007 (vs do-nothing +$600)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$41	10d	13 Nov 2026	$0.12	50/50	$600	$1,800	$1,800	97%hist 96%	6%hist 3%	97%	+$1,007	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$907 (vs do-nothing +$500)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$45	24d	27 Nov 2026	$0.20	50/50	$1,000	$1,250	$1,250	97%hist 96%	6%hist 3%	97%	+$767	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$1,307 (vs do-nothing +$900)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$45	17d	20 Nov 2026	$0.16	50/50	$800	$1,412	$1,412	97%hist 96%	6%hist 3%	97%	+$651	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$1,107 (vs do-nothing +$700)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$40	10d	13 Nov 2026	$0.15	50/50	$750	$2,250	$2,250	97%hist 96%	7%hist 3%	97%	+$1,304	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$1,057 (vs do-nothing +$650)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$44	24d	27 Nov 2026	$0.22	50/50	$1,100	$1,375	$1,375	97%hist 96%	7%hist 3%	97%	+$823	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$1,407 (vs do-nothing +$1,000)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$44	17d	20 Nov 2026	$0.17	50/50	$850	$1,500	$1,500	97%hist 96%	7%hist 3%	97%	+$589	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$1,157 (vs do-nothing +$750)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$43	24d	27 Nov 2026	$0.24	50/50	$1,200	$1,500	$1,500	96%hist 96%	8%hist 3%	97%	+$865	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$1,507 (vs do-nothing +$1,100)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$39	10d	13 Nov 2026	$0.17	50/50	$850	$2,550	$2,550	96%hist 96%	8%hist 3%	96%	+$1,408	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$1,157 (vs do-nothing +$750)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$35	3d	6 Nov 2026	$0.13	50/50	$650	$6,500	$6,500	96%hist 96%	8%hist 3%	96%	+$3,817	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$957 (vs do-nothing +$550)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$43	17d	20 Nov 2026	$0.19	50/50	$950	$1,676	$1,676	96%hist 96%	9%hist 3%	96%	+$586	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$1,257 (vs do-nothing +$850)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$42	24d	27 Nov 2026	$0.27	50/50	$1,350	$1,688	$1,688	96%hist 96%	9%hist 3%	96%	+$953	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$1,657 (vs do-nothing +$1,250)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$38	10d	13 Nov 2026	$0.19	50/50	$950	$2,850	$2,850	96%hist 96%	9%hist 3%	96%	+$1,457	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$1,257 (vs do-nothing +$850)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$34.50	3d	6 Nov 2026	$0.13	50/50	$650	$6,500	$6,500	96%hist 96%	9%hist 3%	96%	+$3,260	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$957 (vs do-nothing +$550)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$42	17d	20 Nov 2026	$0.22	50/50	$1,100	$1,941	$1,941	95%hist 96%	10%hist 3%	96%	+$636	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$1,407 (vs do-nothing +$1,000)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$41	24d	27 Nov 2026	$0.31	50/50	$1,550	$1,938	$1,938	95%hist 96%	10%hist 3%	96%	+$1,082	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$1,857 (vs do-nothing +$1,450)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$34	3d	6 Nov 2026	$0.16	50/50	$800	$8,000	$8,000	95%hist 96%	11%hist 13%	95%	+$4,089	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$1,107 (vs do-nothing +$700)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$37	10d	13 Nov 2026	$0.23	50/50	$1,150	$3,450	$3,450	95%hist 96%	11%hist 13%	95%	+$1,732	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$1,457 (vs do-nothing +$1,050)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$40	24d	27 Nov 2026	$0.35	50/50	$1,750	$2,188	$2,188	95%hist 96%	11%hist 13%	95%	+$1,186	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$2,057 (vs do-nothing +$1,650)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$41	17d	20 Nov 2026	$0.25	50/50	$1,250	$2,206	$2,206	95%hist 96%	11%hist 13%	95%	+$644	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$1,557 (vs do-nothing +$1,150)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$36.50	10d	13 Nov 2026	$0.24	50/50	$1,200	$3,600	$3,600	94%hist 96%	12%hist 13%	95%	+$1,685	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$1,507 (vs do-nothing +$1,100)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$33.50	3d	6 Nov 2026	$0.19	50/50	$950	$9,500	$9,500	94%hist 96%	12%hist 13%	95%	+$4,784	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$1,257 (vs do-nothing +$850)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$39	24d	27 Nov 2026	$0.39	50/50	$1,950	$2,438	$2,438	94%hist 96%	13%hist 13%	94%	+$1,259	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$2,257 (vs do-nothing +$1,850)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$40	17d	20 Nov 2026	$0.28	50/50	$1,400	$2,471	$2,471	94%hist 96%	13%hist 13%	94%	+$602	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$1,707 (vs do-nothing +$1,300)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$36	10d	13 Nov 2026	$0.29	50/50	$1,450	$4,350	$4,350	94%hist 96%	13%hist 13%	94%	+$2,210	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$1,757 (vs do-nothing +$1,350)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$35.50	10d	13 Nov 2026	$0.31	50/50	$1,550	$4,650	$4,650	93%hist 96%	14%hist 13%	94%	+$2,254	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$1,857 (vs do-nothing +$1,450)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$33	3d	6 Nov 2026	$0.23	50/50	$1,150	$11,500	$11,500	93%hist 96%	14%hist 13%	94%	+$5,825	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$1,457 (vs do-nothing +$1,050)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$38	24d	27 Nov 2026	$0.44	50/50	$2,200	$2,750	$2,750	93%hist 96%	15%hist 13%	94%	+$1,355	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$2,507 (vs do-nothing +$2,100)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$39	17d	20 Nov 2026	$0.32	50/50	$1,600	$2,824	$2,824	93%hist 96%	15%hist 13%	94%	+$591	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$1,907 (vs do-nothing +$1,500)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$35	10d	13 Nov 2026	$0.34	50/50	$1,700	$5,100	$5,100	93%hist 96%	15%hist 13%	93%	+$2,413	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$2,007 (vs do-nothing +$1,600)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$32.50	3d	6 Nov 2026	$0.26	50/50	$1,300	$13,000	$13,000	92%hist 96%	16%hist 13%	93%	+$6,192	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$1,607 (vs do-nothing +$1,200)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$37	24d	27 Nov 2026	$0.51	50/50	$2,550	$3,187	$3,187	92%hist 96%	17%hist 13%	93%	+$1,529	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$2,857 (vs do-nothing +$2,450)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$38	17d	20 Nov 2026	$0.36	50/50	$1,800	$3,176	$3,176	92%hist 96%	17%hist 13%	93%	+$510	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$2,107 (vs do-nothing +$1,700)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$34.50	10d	13 Nov 2026	$0.35	50/50	$1,750	$5,250	$5,250	92%hist 96%	17%hist 13%	93%	+$2,230	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$2,057 (vs do-nothing +$1,650)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$36	17d	20 Nov 2026	$0.48	50/50	$2,400	$4,235	$4,235	92%hist 96%	17%hist 13%	93%	+$2,002	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$2,707 (vs do-nothing +$2,300)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$34	10d	13 Nov 2026	$0.41	50/50	$2,050	$6,150	$6,150	91%hist 96%	19%hist 13%	92%	+$2,750	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$2,357 (vs do-nothing +$1,950)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$36	24d	27 Nov 2026	$0.58	50/50	$2,900	$3,625	$3,625	91%hist 96%	19%hist 13%	92%	+$1,643	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$3,207 (vs do-nothing +$2,800)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$37	17d	20 Nov 2026	$0.42	50/50	$2,100	$3,706	$3,706	91%hist 96%	20%hist 13%	92%	+$524	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$2,407 (vs do-nothing +$2,000)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$35	17d	20 Nov 2026	$0.56	50/50	$2,800	$4,941	$4,941	91%hist 96%	20%hist 22%	92%	+$2,236	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$3,107 (vs do-nothing +$2,700)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$33.50	10d	13 Nov 2026	$0.44	50/50	$2,200	$6,600	$6,600	91%hist 96%	20%hist 22%	91%	+$2,767	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$2,507 (vs do-nothing +$2,100)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$35	24d	27 Nov 2026	$0.67	50/50	$3,350	$4,188	$4,188	90%hist 86%	22%hist 22%	91%	+$1,811	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$3,657 (vs do-nothing +$3,250)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$33	10d	13 Nov 2026	$0.51	50/50	$2,550	$7,650	$7,650	90%hist 86%	22%hist 22%	91%	+$3,324	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$2,857 (vs do-nothing +$2,450)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$34	17d	20 Nov 2026	$0.65	50/50	$3,250	$5,735	$5,735	89%hist 86%	24%hist 22%	90%	+$2,350	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$3,557 (vs do-nothing +$3,150)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$32.50	10d	13 Nov 2026	$0.55	50/50	$2,750	$8,250	$8,250	89%hist 86%	24%hist 22%	90%	+$3,362	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$3,057 (vs do-nothing +$2,650)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$33.50	17d	20 Nov 2026	$0.71	50/50	$3,550	$6,265	$6,265	88%hist 86%	26%hist 22%	90%	+$2,585	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$3,857 (vs do-nothing +$3,450)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$34	24d	27 Nov 2026	$0.77	50/50	$3,850	$4,812	$4,812	88%hist 86%	26%hist 22%	90%	+$1,953	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$4,157 (vs do-nothing +$3,750)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$32	10d	13 Nov 2026	$0.62	50/50	$3,100	$9,300	$9,300	88%hist 86%	27%hist 22%	89%	+$3,774	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$3,407 (vs do-nothing +$3,000)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$33	17d	20 Nov 2026	$0.76	50/50	$3,800	$6,706	$6,706	87%hist 86%	28%hist 22%	89%	+$2,630	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$4,107 (vs do-nothing +$3,700)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$33	24d	27 Nov 2026	$0.90	50/50	$4,500	$5,625	$5,625	86%hist 86%	30%hist 22%	88%	+$2,176	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$4,807 (vs do-nothing +$4,400)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$31.50	10d	13 Nov 2026	$0.66	50/50	$3,300	$9,900	$9,900	86%hist 86%	29%hist 22%	88%	+$3,649	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$3,607 (vs do-nothing +$3,200)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$32.50	17d	20 Nov 2026	$0.83	50/50	$4,150	$7,324	$7,324	86%hist 86%	30%hist 22%	88%	+$2,815	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$4,457 (vs do-nothing +$4,050)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$32	17d	20 Nov 2026	$0.90	50/50	$4,500	$7,941	$7,941	85%hist 86%	32%hist 31%	87%	+$2,952	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$4,807 (vs do-nothing +$4,400)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$31	10d	13 Nov 2026	$0.74	50/50	$3,700	$11,100	$11,100	85%hist 86%	32%hist 31%	87%	+$4,026	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$4,007 (vs do-nothing +$3,600)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$32	24d	27 Nov 2026	$1.04	50/50	$5,200	$6,500	$6,500	84%hist 86%	35%hist 31%	87%	+$2,333	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$5,507 (vs do-nothing +$5,100)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$31.50	17d	20 Nov 2026	$0.97	50/50	$4,850	$8,559	$8,559	84%hist 86%	35%hist 31%	86%	+$3,035	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$5,157 (vs do-nothing +$4,750)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$30.50	10d	13 Nov 2026	$0.81	50/50	$4,050	$12,150	$12,150	84%hist 86%	35%hist 31%	86%	+$4,146	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$4,357 (vs do-nothing +$3,950)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$31	17d	20 Nov 2026	$1.05	50/50	$5,250	$9,265	$9,265	83%hist 86%	38%hist 31%	85%	+$3,148	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$5,557 (vs do-nothing +$5,150)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$31	24d	27 Nov 2026	$1.21	50/50	$6,050	$7,562	$7,562	82%hist 86%	40%hist 31%	85%	+$2,524	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$6,357 (vs do-nothing +$5,950)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$30.50	17d	20 Nov 2026	$1.14	50/50	$5,700	$10,059	$10,059	82%hist 86%	41%hist 40%	84%	+$3,286	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$6,007 (vs do-nothing +$5,600)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$30	17d	20 Nov 2026	$1.26	50/50	$6,300	$11,118	$11,118	80%hist 86%	44%hist 40%	84%	+$3,618	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$6,607 (vs do-nothing +$6,200)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$30	24d	27 Nov 2026	$1.41	50/50	$7,050	$8,812	$8,812	79%hist 83%	46%hist 40%	83%	+$2,722	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$7,357 (vs do-nothing +$6,950)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$29.50	17d	20 Nov 2026	$1.34	50/50	$6,700	$11,824	$11,824	79%hist 83%	47%hist 40%	82%	+$3,521	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$7,007 (vs do-nothing +$6,600)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$29	17d	20 Nov 2026	$1.46	50/50	$7,300	$12,882	$12,882	77%hist 83%	51%hist 45%	81%	+$3,695	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$7,607 (vs do-nothing +$7,200)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$29	24d	27 Nov 2026	$1.64	50/50	$8,200	$10,250	$10,250	76%hist 83%	53%hist 45%	81%	+$2,896	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$8,507 (vs do-nothing +$8,100)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$28	24d	27 Nov 2026	$1.90	50/50	$9,500	$11,875	$11,875	73%hist 83%	61%hist 55%	79%	+$3,014	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$9,807 (vs do-nothing +$9,400)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract

Per cycle = bid x 100 x contracts, the cash this expiry pays. Touch = P(strike trades before expiry), with the graded record's hist pill. Recover = months of this income to close the hole to CC-SS. Income/mo = FIGHT leg gross, DTE-prorated. Net/mo = FIGHT + conservative CC gross minus hedge cost. POP (mid) = probability stock closes at or below (strike + mid premium) at expiry, per-strike chain IV when available. Survival = CC expires fully worthless. EV/mo = premium minus expected buyback, monthly, with realized vol = IV x 85% (variance risk premium 15%). Survival, POP and touch use vol x 1.00 (raw implied: the VRP haircut is applied to the premium edge but NOT to risk, because understating the edge costs opportunity while understating breach odds costs capital; the risk-side haircut arms only from the graded ledger). Cap give-up @ SS = recovery mortgaged on a V-bounce to SS, net of premium. Total P&L @ SS = absolute position P&L if the stock closes at SS; "vs do-nothing" = opportunity cost against holding all 50 contracts at the conservative CC.

fortress_fight.py v6.3 | 2026-11-04 04:19