5 contracts (500 sh) | BE SS: $1028.60 | CC-SS: $1032.16 | IV: HIGH | Accounts: Main:1299
| Max Loss | $419,300 | (ND $148.60 + SW $690) x 500 |
| Normal income ref | $76,104/mo | 95% ann ROI on ML |
| Hedge rolling cost | $589/mo | |
| Unrealized P&L | $-40,583 | fortress legs from IBKR |
Each Friday gets its own recommended pick and full income ladder (safest strike per income rung, sized across your 5 contracts). The master ranks the two by E[net]/mo to pick one grand pick; both are shown here so you can choose the tenor that fits your roll cadence.
| Track | Expiry | Sell | Survival | Income/mo | E[net]/mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEXT FRIDAY 🏆 | 17 Jul 2026 · 7d | 5 × $1075 | 79% | $38,786 | $8,868 |
| Rung | Sell | Expiry | DTE | OTM | Survival | Touch odds | Per cycle | Income/mo | Δ vs pick | Cap give-up | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| ▸ | cover hedge | 1 × $1270 | 17 Jul | 7d | 30.7% | 97% | 6% | $210 | $900 | -$37,886 | $0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Sell 1 × $1270 30.7% OTM over spot $971.42 17 Jul 2026 (7d, $2.36 mid) = $210 credit for the 7d cycle → $900/mo projected Survival (stays ≤ $1270) 97% Breach risk 3% POP (stays ≤ $1272.36) 97% EV / mo +$580 📈 CAMPAIGN OUTLOOK (400 paths, sell-roll-repeat this rung for 9 mo) whole in 0.2 mo [0.1-0.7] median · 97% of paths whole by 9 mo (vs 98% without) · ~0.1 challenges expected · median CC cash $9,201 🛡 IF CHALLENGED (spot reaches the strike) · challenge = the strike is touched at any point, so it runs ~2x the breach risk (finishing through it) Challenge odds (touch by expiry) 2% Flat exit net (mid-life) -$4,748 Free roll-up none Safest escape (by 31 Jul 2026) $1,389 @ 77% POP 72% survival Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 1 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 3 of 7); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic Buyback gross: $70.09/sh now → $49.58 mid-life (likely $31.52–$71.89) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $2.10/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$47.48/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours 📊 Across 75 simulated challenges: the $1,270 strike is typically first touched on day 6 of 7, at $1,308 (overshoots $38.06). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L ≥ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same from-entry basis as this tool's @cap / total-exit numbers, at the rolled strike. POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP. Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted -0.4 vol pt per +1% move (equity skew: vol eases as spot rises; buyback shift floored at 0). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened. More detail, income coverage, downside budget, tripwires, held-to-expiry ladder, V-bounce stressIncome coverage
Downside budget ✓ $1270 is at/above CC-SS $1032.16: assignment is break-even or better.
Tripwiresprice and time left decide together; the matrix is the playbook The one rule: roll when the short call's remaining TIME VALUE < $0.53/sh (~25% of the $2.10 collected) or spot ≥ $1,272.36 (breakeven), whichever comes first. Time value = call mark price minus intrinsic (max(0, spot − $1,270)); NOT the premium you collected. Momentum override: two daily closes above $1,220.31 (daily upper band) or daily RSI > 70 → treat "pressing" as "through".
If held to expiryexact, settlement = intrinsic · fortress delta 1.04 (IBKR)
V-BOUNCE STRESS (stock → CC-SS $1032.16, where you are whole again, by expiry) Starting unrealized P&L: $-40,583 + Fortress recovery (un-capped): +$31,706 − CC assignment net of premium (1 × $1270): -$0 + Conservative CC premium (4 × $1030): +$12,176 Total Position P&L @ SS: $3,300 (+$43,882 vs today) Do-nothing baseline at SS: $6,344 (this trade vs do-nothing: $-3,044, the opportunity cost of earning $900/mo FIGHT income now) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ | 🛡 safe yield | 5 × $1150 | 17 Jul | 7d | 18.4% | 90% | 20% | $3,900 | $16,714 | -$22,071 | $0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Sell 5 × $1150 18.4% OTM over spot $971.42 17 Jul 2026 (7d, $8.20 mid) = $3,900 credit for the 7d cycle → $16,714/mo projected Survival (stays ≤ $1150) 90% Breach risk 10% POP (stays ≤ $1158.20) 91% EV / mo +$7,882 📈 CAMPAIGN OUTLOOK (400 paths, sell-roll-repeat this rung for 9 mo) whole in 0.2 mo [0.1-0.5] median · 92% of paths whole by 9 mo (vs 99% without) · ~0.7 challenges expected · median CC cash $3,664 🛡 IF CHALLENGED (spot reaches the strike) · challenge = the strike is touched at any point, so it runs ~2x the breach risk (finishing through it) Challenge odds (touch by expiry) 13% Flat exit net (mid-life) -$18,548 Free roll-up +$8/wk Safest escape (by 31 Jul 2026) $1,294 @ 80% POP 76% survival Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 5 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 3 of 7); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic Buyback gross: $63.47/sh now → $44.90 mid-life (likely $39.56–$69.58) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $7.80/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$37.10/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours 📊 Across 398 simulated challenges: the $1,150 strike is typically first touched on day 5 of 7, at $1,185 (overshoots $35.12). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L ≥ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same from-entry basis as this tool's @cap / total-exit numbers, at the rolled strike. POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP. Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted -0.4 vol pt per +1% move (equity skew: vol eases as spot rises; buyback shift floored at 0). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened. More detail, income coverage, downside budget, tripwires, held-to-expiry ladder, V-bounce stressIncome coverage
Downside budget ✓ $1150 is at/above CC-SS $1032.16: assignment is break-even or better.
Tripwiresprice and time left decide together; the matrix is the playbook The one rule: roll when the short call's remaining TIME VALUE < $1.95/sh (~25% of the $7.80 collected) or spot ≥ $1,158.20 (breakeven), whichever comes first. Time value = call mark price minus intrinsic (max(0, spot − $1,150)); NOT the premium you collected. Momentum override: two daily closes above $1,220.31 (daily upper band) or daily RSI > 70 → treat "pressing" as "through".
If held to expiryexact, settlement = intrinsic · fortress delta 1.04 (IBKR)
V-BOUNCE STRESS (stock → CC-SS $1032.16, where you are whole again, by expiry) Starting unrealized P&L: $-40,583 + Fortress recovery (un-capped): +$31,706 − CC assignment net of premium (5 × $1150): -$0 Total Position P&L @ SS: $-8,877 (+$31,706 vs today) Do-nothing baseline at SS: $6,344 (this trade vs do-nothing: $-15,220, the opportunity cost of earning $16,714/mo FIGHT income now) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ | 33% normal ← lean | 5 × $1110 | 17 Jul | 7d | 14.3% | 85% | 31% | $6,125 | $26,250 | -$12,536 | $0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Sell 5 × $1110 14.3% OTM over spot $971.42 17 Jul 2026 (7d, $12.60 mid) = $6,125 credit for the 7d cycle → $26,250/mo projected Survival (stays ≤ $1110) 85% Breach risk 15% POP (stays ≤ $1122.60) 87% EV / mo +$9,982 📈 CAMPAIGN OUTLOOK (400 paths, sell-roll-repeat this rung for 9 mo) whole in 0.2 mo [0.1-0.7] median · 88% of paths whole by 9 mo (vs 98% without) · ~1.5 challenges expected · median CC cash $5,988 🛡 IF CHALLENGED (spot reaches the strike) · challenge = the strike is touched at any point, so it runs ~2x the breach risk (finishing through it) Challenge odds (touch by expiry) 23% Flat exit net (mid-life) -$15,542 Free roll-up +$20/wk Safest escape (by 31 Jul 2026) $1,279 @ 82% POP 79% survival Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 5 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 3 of 7); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic Buyback gross: $61.26/sh now → $43.33 mid-life (likely $40.73–$68.26) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $12.25/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$31.08/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours 📊 Across 680 simulated challenges: the $1,110 strike is typically first touched on day 5 of 7, at $1,143 (overshoots $33.15). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L ≥ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same from-entry basis as this tool's @cap / total-exit numbers, at the rolled strike. POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP. Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted -0.4 vol pt per +1% move (equity skew: vol eases as spot rises; buyback shift floored at 0). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened. More detail, income coverage, downside budget, tripwires, held-to-expiry ladder, V-bounce stressIncome coverage
Downside budget ✓ $1110 is at/above CC-SS $1032.16: assignment is break-even or better.
Tripwiresprice and time left decide together; the matrix is the playbook The one rule: roll when the short call's remaining TIME VALUE < $3.06/sh (~25% of the $12.25 collected) or spot ≥ $1,122.60 (breakeven), whichever comes first. Time value = call mark price minus intrinsic (max(0, spot − $1,110)); NOT the premium you collected. Momentum override: two daily closes above $1,220.31 (daily upper band) or daily RSI > 70 → treat "pressing" as "through".
If held to expiryexact, settlement = intrinsic · fortress delta 1.04 (IBKR)
V-BOUNCE STRESS (stock → CC-SS $1032.16, where you are whole again, by expiry) Starting unrealized P&L: $-40,583 + Fortress recovery (un-capped): +$31,706 − CC assignment net of premium (5 × $1110): -$0 Total Position P&L @ SS: $-8,877 (+$31,706 vs today) Do-nothing baseline at SS: $6,344 (this trade vs do-nothing: $-15,220, the opportunity cost of earning $26,250/mo FIGHT income now) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ | 🎯 50% normal | 5 × $1075 | 17 Jul | 7d | 10.7% | 79% | 33% | $9,050 | $38,786 | — | $0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Sell 5 × $1075 10.7% OTM over spot $971.42 17 Jul 2026 (7d, $18.60 mid) = $9,050 credit for the 7d cycle → $38,786/mo projected Survival (stays ≤ $1075) 79% Breach risk 21% POP (stays ≤ $1093.60) 83% EV / mo +$12,220 📈 CAMPAIGN OUTLOOK (400 paths, sell-roll-repeat this rung for 9 mo) whole in 0.2 mo [0.1-0.6] median · 90% of paths whole by 9 mo (vs 99% without) · ~2.1 challenges expected · median CC cash $8,991 🛡 IF CHALLENGED (spot reaches the strike) · challenge = the strike is touched at any point, so it runs ~2x the breach risk (finishing through it) Challenge odds (touch by expiry) 33% Flat exit net (mid-life) -$11,934 Free roll-up +$20/wk Safest escape (by 31 Jul 2026) $1,284 @ 85% POP 83% survival Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 5 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 3 of 7); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic Buyback gross: $59.33/sh now → $41.97 mid-life (likely $43.36–$67.30) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $18.10/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$23.87/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours 📊 Across 998 simulated challenges: the $1,075 strike is typically first touched on day 4 of 7, at $1,106 (overshoots $30.89). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L ≥ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same from-entry basis as this tool's @cap / total-exit numbers, at the rolled strike. POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP. Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted -0.4 vol pt per +1% move (equity skew: vol eases as spot rises; buyback shift floored at 0). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened. More detail, income coverage, downside budget, tripwires, held-to-expiry ladder, V-bounce stressIncome coverage
Downside budget ✓ $1075 is at/above CC-SS $1032.16: assignment is break-even or better.
Tripwiresprice and time left decide together; the matrix is the playbook The one rule: roll when the short call's remaining TIME VALUE < $4.53/sh (~25% of the $18.10 collected) or spot ≥ $1,093.60 (breakeven), whichever comes first. Time value = call mark price minus intrinsic (max(0, spot − $1,075)); NOT the premium you collected. Momentum override: two daily closes above $1,220.31 (daily upper band) or daily RSI > 70 → treat "pressing" as "through".
If held to expiryexact, settlement = intrinsic · fortress delta 1.04 (IBKR)
V-BOUNCE STRESS (stock → CC-SS $1032.16, where you are whole again, by expiry) Starting unrealized P&L: $-40,583 + Fortress recovery (un-capped): +$31,706 − CC assignment net of premium (5 × $1075): -$0 Total Position P&L @ SS: $-8,877 (+$31,706 vs today) Do-nothing baseline at SS: $6,344 (this trade vs do-nothing: $-15,220, the opportunity cost of earning $38,786/mo FIGHT income now) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ | 100% normal | 5 × $1010 | 17 Jul | 7d | 4.0% | 64% | 76% | $17,825 | $76,393 | +$37,607 | $0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Sell 5 × $1010 4.0% OTM over spot $971.42 17 Jul 2026 (7d, $36.52 mid) = $17,825 credit for the 7d cycle → $76,393/mo projected Survival (stays ≤ $1010) 64% Breach risk 36% POP (stays ≤ $1046.53) 73% EV / mo +$14,768 📈 CAMPAIGN OUTLOOK (400 paths, sell-roll-repeat this rung for 9 mo) whole in 0.2 mo [0.1-0.4] median, 0.1 mo faster than no FIGHT (0.2 mo) · 94% of paths whole by 9 mo (vs 98% without) · ~3.4 challenges expected · median CC cash $17,805 🛡 IF CHALLENGED (spot reaches the strike) · challenge = the strike is touched at any point, so it runs ~2x the breach risk (finishing through it) Challenge odds (touch by expiry) 59% Flat exit net (mid-life) -$1,890 Free roll-up +$32/wk Safest escape (by 31 Jul 2026) $1,289 @ 90% POP 89% survival Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 5 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 3 of 7); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic Buyback gross: $55.74/sh now → $39.43 mid-life (likely $50.55–$72.39) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $35.65/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$3.78/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours 📊 Across 1,775 simulated challenges: the $1,010 strike is typically first touched on day 3 of 7, at $1,042 (overshoots $31.67). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L ≥ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same from-entry basis as this tool's @cap / total-exit numbers, at the rolled strike. POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP. Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted -0.4 vol pt per +1% move (equity skew: vol eases as spot rises; buyback shift floored at 0). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened. More detail, income coverage, downside budget, tripwires, held-to-expiry ladder, V-bounce stressIncome coverage
Downside budget ✓ $1010 is at/above CC-SS $1032.16: assignment is break-even or better.
Tripwiresprice and time left decide together; the matrix is the playbook The one rule: roll when the short call's remaining TIME VALUE < $8.91/sh (~25% of the $35.65 collected) or spot ≥ $1,046.53 (breakeven), whichever comes first. Time value = call mark price minus intrinsic (max(0, spot − $1,010)); NOT the premium you collected. Momentum override: two daily closes above $1,220.31 (daily upper band) or daily RSI > 70 → treat "pressing" as "through".
If held to expiryexact, settlement = intrinsic · fortress delta 1.04 (IBKR)
V-BOUNCE STRESS (stock → CC-SS $1032.16, where you are whole again, by expiry) Starting unrealized P&L: $-40,583 + Fortress recovery (un-capped): +$31,706 − CC assignment net of premium (5 × $1010): -$0 Total Position P&L @ SS: $-8,877 (+$31,706 vs today) Do-nothing baseline at SS: $6,344 (this trade vs do-nothing: $-15,220, the opportunity cost of earning $76,393/mo FIGHT income now) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Every eligible strike x expiry in the 4-45 DTE band (6 expiries scanned, 138 clear the income floor), each sized to the minimum contracts that clear it. Sorted by survival (safest first): the primary 🎯 is the safest; rows below trade safety for income.
Fortress delta: 1.044 (IBKR) | Recovery@SS: +$31,706 (un-capped fortress gain if stock rallies to SS) | Do-nothing @ SS: $6,344
| Strike | DTE | Expiry | Bid | Sell | Income/mo | Net/mo | Survival | POP (mid) | EV/mo | Cap Give-up @ CC-SS | %IC | Total P&L @ SS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $1055 | 5d | 15 Jul 2026 | $13.20 | 5/5 | $39,600 | $39,011 | 80% | 83% | +$12,964 | -$0 | 0.0% | $-2,277 (vs do-nothing $-8,620) |
| $1075 | 7d | 17 Jul 2026 | $18.10 | 5/5 | $38,786 | $38,196 | 79% | 83% | +$12,220 | -$0 | 0.0% | $173 (vs do-nothing $-6,170) |
| $1050 | 5d | 15 Jul 2026 | $14.25 | 5/5 | $42,750 | $42,161 | 78% | 82% | +$13,609 | -$0 | 0.0% | $-1,752 (vs do-nothing $-8,095) |
| $1070 | 7d | 17 Jul 2026 | $19.15 | 5/5 | $41,036 | $40,446 | 78% | 82% | +$12,592 | -$0 | 0.0% | $698 (vs do-nothing $-5,645) |
| $1065 | 7d | 17 Jul 2026 | $20.35 | 5/5 | $43,607 | $43,018 | 77% | 81% | +$13,167 | -$0 | 0.0% | $1,298 (vs do-nothing $-5,045) |
| $1045 | 5d | 15 Jul 2026 | $15.20 | 5/5 | $45,600 | $45,011 | 77% | 81% | +$13,745 | -$0 | 0.0% | $-1,277 (vs do-nothing $-7,620) |
| $1060 | 7d | 17 Jul 2026 | $21.35 | 5/5 | $45,750 | $45,161 | 76% | 81% | +$13,192 | -$0 | 0.0% | $1,798 (vs do-nothing $-4,545) |
| $1040 | 5d | 15 Jul 2026 | $16.55 | 4/5 | $39,720 | $48,911 | 76% | 80% | +$11,886 | -$0 | 0.0% | $788 (vs do-nothing $-5,556) |
| $1055 | 7d | 17 Jul 2026 | $22.65 | 4/5 | $38,829 | $48,019 | 75% | 80% | +$10,985 | -$0 | 0.0% | $3,228 (vs do-nothing $-3,116) |
| $1035 | 5d | 15 Jul 2026 | $17.70 | 4/5 | $42,480 | $51,671 | 74% | 79% | +$12,106 | -$0 | 0.0% | $1,248 (vs do-nothing $-5,096) |
| $1050 | 7d | 17 Jul 2026 | $23.85 | 4/5 | $40,886 | $50,076 | 74% | 79% | +$11,139 | -$0 | 0.0% | $3,708 (vs do-nothing $-2,636) |
| $1030 | 5d | 15 Jul 2026 | $19.00 | 4/5 | $45,600 | $54,791 | 73% | 78% | +$12,487 | -$0 | 0.0% | $904 (vs do-nothing $-5,440) |
| $1045 | 7d | 17 Jul 2026 | $25.05 | 4/5 | $42,943 | $52,134 | 73% | 78% | +$11,183 | -$0 | 0.0% | $4,188 (vs do-nothing $-2,156) |
Showing the 60 next-safest rows of 125.
| Strike | DTE | Expiry | Bid | Sell | Income/mo | Net/mo | Survival | POP (mid) | EV/mo | Cap Give-up @ CC-SS | %IC | Total P&L @ SS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $1070 | 14d | 24 Jul 2026 | $35.85 | 5/5 | $38,411 | $37,821 | 73% | 78% | +$8,221 | -$0 | 0.0% | $9,048 (vs do-nothing +$2,705) |
| $1060 | 12d | 22 Jul 2026 | $31.15 | 5/5 | $38,938 | $38,348 | 73% | 79% | +$8,547 | -$0 | 0.0% | $6,698 (vs do-nothing +$355) |
| $1050 | 10d | 20 Jul 2026 | $27.20 | 5/5 | $40,800 | $40,211 | 72% | 78% | +$8,765 | -$0 | 0.0% | $4,723 (vs do-nothing $-1,620) |
| $1065 | 14d | 24 Jul 2026 | $37.40 | 5/5 | $40,071 | $39,482 | 72% | 78% | +$8,521 | -$0 | 0.0% | $9,823 (vs do-nothing +$3,480) |
| $1055 | 12d | 22 Jul 2026 | $32.15 | 5/5 | $40,188 | $39,598 | 72% | 78% | +$8,228 | -$0 | 0.0% | $7,198 (vs do-nothing +$855) |
| $1040 | 7d | 17 Jul 2026 | $26.45 | 4/5 | $45,343 | $54,534 | 72% | 78% | +$11,454 | -$0 | 0.0% | $4,748 (vs do-nothing $-1,596) |
| $1025 | 5d | 15 Jul 2026 | $20.40 | 4/5 | $48,960 | $58,151 | 71% | 78% | +$12,897 | -$0 | 0.0% | $-536 (vs do-nothing $-6,880) |
| $1045 | 10d | 20 Jul 2026 | $27.75 | 5/5 | $41,625 | $41,036 | 71% | 78% | +$7,625 | -$0 | 0.0% | $4,998 (vs do-nothing $-1,345) |
| $1060 | 14d | 24 Jul 2026 | $38.85 | 5/5 | $41,625 | $41,036 | 71% | 77% | +$8,661 | -$0 | 0.0% | $10,548 (vs do-nothing +$4,205) |
| $1050 | 12d | 22 Jul 2026 | $33.55 | 5/5 | $41,938 | $41,348 | 71% | 77% | +$8,335 | -$0 | 0.0% | $7,898 (vs do-nothing +$1,555) |
| $1035 | 7d | 17 Jul 2026 | $27.85 | 4/5 | $47,743 | $56,934 | 70% | 77% | +$11,607 | -$0 | 0.0% | $5,308 (vs do-nothing $-1,036) |
| $1040 | 10d | 20 Jul 2026 | $29.20 | 5/5 | $43,800 | $43,211 | 70% | 77% | +$7,733 | -$0 | 0.0% | $5,723 (vs do-nothing $-620) |
| $1055 | 14d | 24 Jul 2026 | $39.95 | 5/5 | $42,804 | $42,214 | 70% | 77% | +$8,371 | -$0 | 0.0% | $11,098 (vs do-nothing +$4,755) |
| $1020 | 5d | 15 Jul 2026 | $21.85 | 3/5 | $39,330 | $58,301 | 70% | 77% | +$9,904 | -$0 | 0.0% | $119 (vs do-nothing $-6,225) |
| $1045 | 12d | 22 Jul 2026 | $35.45 | 5/5 | $44,312 | $43,723 | 70% | 77% | +$8,989 | -$0 | 0.0% | $8,848 (vs do-nothing +$2,505) |
| $1050 | 14d | 24 Jul 2026 | $41.90 | 5/5 | $44,893 | $44,304 | 69% | 76% | +$8,936 | -$0 | 0.0% | $12,073 (vs do-nothing +$5,730) |
| $1030 | 7d | 17 Jul 2026 | $29.45 | 4/5 | $50,486 | $59,676 | 69% | 76% | +$11,979 | -$0 | 0.0% | $5,084 (vs do-nothing $-1,260) |
| $1035 | 10d | 20 Jul 2026 | $32.15 | 4/5 | $38,580 | $47,771 | 69% | 76% | +$7,988 | -$0 | 0.0% | $7,028 (vs do-nothing +$684) |
| $1060 | 21d | 31 Jul 2026 | $54.30 | 5/5 | $38,786 | $38,196 | 69% | 76% | +$8,054 | -$0 | 0.0% | $18,273 (vs do-nothing +$11,930) |
| $1040 | 12d | 22 Jul 2026 | $37.35 | 5/5 | $46,688 | $46,098 | 69% | 76% | +$9,564 | -$0 | 0.0% | $9,798 (vs do-nothing +$3,455) |
| $1045 | 14d | 24 Jul 2026 | $42.90 | 5/5 | $45,964 | $45,375 | 68% | 76% | +$8,425 | -$0 | 0.0% | $12,573 (vs do-nothing +$6,230) |
| $1055 | 21d | 31 Jul 2026 | $55.75 | 5/5 | $39,821 | $39,232 | 68% | 76% | +$8,011 | -$0 | 0.0% | $18,998 (vs do-nothing +$12,655) |
| $1015 | 5d | 15 Jul 2026 | $23.40 | 3/5 | $42,120 | $61,091 | 68% | 76% | +$10,143 | -$0 | 0.0% | $-916 (vs do-nothing $-7,260) |
| $1030 | 10d | 20 Jul 2026 | $32.60 | 4/5 | $39,120 | $48,311 | 68% | 75% | +$6,703 | -$0 | 0.0% | $6,344 (vs do-nothing +$0) |
| $1025 | 7d | 17 Jul 2026 | $30.85 | 3/5 | $39,664 | $58,635 | 68% | 75% | +$8,911 | -$0 | 0.0% | $4,319 (vs do-nothing $-2,025) |
| $1035 | 12d | 22 Jul 2026 | $38.65 | 4/5 | $38,650 | $47,841 | 68% | 76% | +$7,446 | -$0 | 0.0% | $9,628 (vs do-nothing +$3,284) |
| $1040 | 14d | 24 Jul 2026 | $45.05 | 4/5 | $38,614 | $47,805 | 67% | 75% | +$7,271 | -$0 | 0.0% | $12,188 (vs do-nothing +$5,844) |
| $1050 | 21d | 31 Jul 2026 | $57.45 | 5/5 | $41,036 | $40,446 | 67% | 75% | +$8,114 | -$0 | 0.0% | $19,848 (vs do-nothing +$13,505) |
| $1025 | 10d | 20 Jul 2026 | $33.70 | 4/5 | $40,440 | $49,631 | 67% | 75% | +$6,110 | -$0 | 0.0% | $4,784 (vs do-nothing $-1,560) |
| $1045 | 21d | 31 Jul 2026 | $57.50 | 5/5 | $41,071 | $40,482 | 67% | 75% | +$7,006 | -$0 | 0.0% | $19,873 (vs do-nothing +$13,530) |
| $1030 | 12d | 22 Jul 2026 | $40.70 | 4/5 | $40,700 | $49,891 | 67% | 75% | +$7,924 | -$0 | 0.0% | $9,584 (vs do-nothing +$3,240) |
| $1035 | 14d | 24 Jul 2026 | $46.25 | 4/5 | $39,643 | $48,834 | 67% | 75% | +$6,940 | -$0 | 0.0% | $12,668 (vs do-nothing +$6,324) |
| $1010 | 5d | 15 Jul 2026 | $25.00 | 3/5 | $45,000 | $63,971 | 66% | 75% | +$10,291 | -$0 | 0.0% | $-1,936 (vs do-nothing $-8,280) |
| $1040 | 21d | 31 Jul 2026 | $59.20 | 5/5 | $42,286 | $41,696 | 66% | 75% | +$7,044 | -$0 | 0.0% | $20,723 (vs do-nothing +$14,380) |
| $1025 | 12d | 22 Jul 2026 | $42.35 | 4/5 | $42,350 | $51,541 | 66% | 75% | +$7,933 | -$0 | 0.0% | $8,244 (vs do-nothing +$1,900) |
| $1030 | 14d | 24 Jul 2026 | $48.00 | 4/5 | $41,143 | $50,334 | 66% | 74% | +$7,031 | -$0 | 0.0% | $12,504 (vs do-nothing +$6,160) |
| $1020 | 10d | 20 Jul 2026 | $36.20 | 4/5 | $43,440 | $52,631 | 65% | 74% | +$7,105 | -$0 | 0.0% | $3,784 (vs do-nothing $-2,560) |
| $1015 | 7d | 17 Jul 2026 | $34.20 | 3/5 | $43,971 | $62,942 | 65% | 74% | +$9,174 | -$0 | 0.0% | $2,324 (vs do-nothing $-4,020) |
| $1035 | 21d | 31 Jul 2026 | $60.90 | 5/5 | $43,500 | $42,911 | 65% | 74% | +$7,047 | -$0 | 0.0% | $21,573 (vs do-nothing +$15,230) |
| $1005 | 5d | 15 Jul 2026 | $26.80 | 3/5 | $48,240 | $67,211 | 65% | 74% | +$10,612 | -$108 | 0.1% | $-2,896 (vs do-nothing $-9,240) |
| $1025 | 14d | 24 Jul 2026 | $49.65 | 4/5 | $42,557 | $51,748 | 65% | 74% | +$6,987 | -$0 | 0.0% | $11,164 (vs do-nothing +$4,820) |
| $1020 | 12d | 22 Jul 2026 | $44.00 | 4/5 | $44,000 | $53,191 | 65% | 74% | +$7,872 | -$0 | 0.0% | $6,904 (vs do-nothing +$560) |
| $1030 | 21d | 31 Jul 2026 | $63.50 | 5/5 | $45,357 | $44,768 | 64% | 74% | +$7,660 | -$0 | 0.0% | $21,794 (vs do-nothing +$15,450) |
| $1015 | 10d | 20 Jul 2026 | $37.65 | 4/5 | $45,180 | $54,371 | 64% | 74% | +$6,748 | -$0 | 0.0% | $2,364 (vs do-nothing $-3,980) |
| $1022.50 | 14d | 24 Jul 2026 | $50.30 | 4/5 | $43,114 | $52,305 | 64% | 73% | +$6,795 | -$0 | 0.0% | $10,424 (vs do-nothing +$4,080) |
| $1010 | 7d | 17 Jul 2026 | $35.65 | 3/5 | $45,836 | $64,806 | 64% | 73% | +$8,861 | -$0 | 0.0% | $1,259 (vs do-nothing $-5,085) |
| $1020 | 14d | 24 Jul 2026 | $52.15 | 4/5 | $44,700 | $53,891 | 64% | 73% | +$7,620 | -$0 | 0.0% | $10,164 (vs do-nothing +$3,820) |
| $1025 | 21d | 31 Jul 2026 | $65.15 | 5/5 | $46,536 | $45,946 | 64% | 73% | +$7,558 | -$0 | 0.0% | $20,119 (vs do-nothing +$13,775) |
| $1015 | 12d | 22 Jul 2026 | $45.90 | 4/5 | $45,900 | $55,091 | 63% | 73% | +$7,989 | -$0 | 0.0% | $5,664 (vs do-nothing $-680) |
| $1017.50 | 14d | 24 Jul 2026 | $51.85 | 4/5 | $44,443 | $53,634 | 63% | 73% | +$6,589 | -$0 | 0.0% | $9,044 (vs do-nothing +$2,700) |
| $1010 | 10d | 20 Jul 2026 | $38.85 | 4/5 | $46,620 | $55,811 | 63% | 73% | +$5,996 | -$0 | 0.0% | $844 (vs do-nothing $-5,500) |
| $1000 | 5d | 15 Jul 2026 | $28.60 | 3/5 | $51,480 | $70,451 | 63% | 73% | +$10,739 | -$1,068 | 1.4% | $-3,856 (vs do-nothing $-10,200) |
| $1020 | 21d | 31 Jul 2026 | $67.15 | 4/5 | $38,371 | $47,562 | 63% | 73% | +$6,137 | -$0 | 0.0% | $16,164 (vs do-nothing +$9,820) |
| $1015 | 14d | 24 Jul 2026 | $53.30 | 4/5 | $45,686 | $54,876 | 63% | 73% | +$7,045 | -$0 | 0.0% | $8,624 (vs do-nothing +$2,280) |
| $1005 | 7d | 17 Jul 2026 | $37.35 | 3/5 | $48,021 | $66,992 | 62% | 72% | +$8,763 | -$0 | 0.0% | $269 (vs do-nothing $-6,075) |
| $1012.50 | 14d | 24 Jul 2026 | $53.40 | 4/5 | $45,771 | $54,962 | 62% | 72% | +$6,331 | -$0 | 0.0% | $7,664 (vs do-nothing +$1,320) |
| $1010 | 12d | 22 Jul 2026 | $46.60 | 4/5 | $46,600 | $55,791 | 62% | 72% | +$4,659 | -$0 | 0.0% | $3,944 (vs do-nothing $-2,400) |
| $1015 | 21d | 31 Jul 2026 | $69.15 | 4/5 | $39,514 | $48,705 | 62% | 73% | +$6,199 | -$0 | 0.0% | $14,964 (vs do-nothing +$8,620) |
| $1005 | 10d | 20 Jul 2026 | $41.05 | 4/5 | $49,260 | $58,451 | 62% | 72% | +$6,348 | -$0 | 0.0% | $-276 (vs do-nothing $-6,620) |
| $1010 | 14d | 24 Jul 2026 | $54.65 | 4/5 | $46,843 | $56,034 | 62% | 72% | +$6,590 | -$0 | 0.0% | $7,164 (vs do-nothing +$820) |
Income/mo = FIGHT leg gross, DTE-prorated. Net/mo = FIGHT + conservative CC gross minus hedge cost. POP (mid) = probability stock closes at or below (strike + mid premium) at expiry, per-strike chain IV when available. Survival = CC expires fully worthless. EV/mo = premium minus expected buyback, monthly, with realized vol = IV x 85% (variance risk premium 15%). Cap give-up @ SS = recovery mortgaged on a V-bounce to SS, net of premium. Total P&L @ SS = absolute position P&L if the stock closes at SS; "vs do-nothing" = opportunity cost against holding all 5 contracts at the conservative CC.