FORTRESS FIGHT: MU-LC880 @ $934.80

BE SS: $1028.60 | CC-SS: $1007.33 | 5 contracts (500 sh) | ⌂ PORTFOLIO

MU-LC880 @ $934.80 UNDERWATER $93.80 (9.1% below BE SS)

5 contracts (500 sh) | BE SS: $1028.60 | CC-SS: $1007.33 (banked floor $988.75) | IV: HIGH | Accounts: Main:1299

LC: $880 exp 2028-01-21 (entry $530.281/sh)

SP: $1010 exp 2028-01-21 (entry $385.075/sh)

HP: $320 exp 2026-09-18 (entry $3.425/sh)

Economics

Max Loss	$419,300	(ND $148.60 + SW $690) x 500
Normal income ref	$104,564/mo	95% ann ROI on ML
Hedge rolling cost	$645/mo
Unrealized P&L	$-37,450	fortress legs from IBKR

INCOME GOALPOSTS & VELOCITY

50% INCOME FLOOR
$52,282/mo

HEDGE COVER
$645/mo

NORMAL INCOME
$104,564/mo (ATM CC, chain)

IC VELOCITY
0.7 mo to earn back $74,300

ML VELOCITY
4.0 mo to earn back $419,300

NOT a deep drawdown: a CC at CC-SS $1007.33 (probe: $1005C 14d) still earns $69,214/mo (66% of normal). Sell the normal CC at/above CC-SS; a FIGHT CC below it is not needed here.

🏦 CAMPAIGN LEDGER , realized CC income since 2026-07-02; banked cash shrinks the hole (shown as an info-only banked floor, the recommended CC-SS stays the pure recovery strike; seeded from open positions, reconciled from IBKR executions nightly)

Banked since 2026-07-02

$9,776

Hole (after banked)

$27,674

was $37,450 · 26% earned back

Cycles closed

Credit in flight

CC-SS · banked floor (info)

$1,007.33 → $988.75

TECHNICALS (cc_timing weekly gate + daily trigger)

WEEKLYEXTENDED · %B 74 (live) · RSI 69 · MACD bullish, hist falling

DAILYMIXED (provisional) · RSI 46 · %B 16 · hist rising (nightly)

LEVELSUpper BB (CC ceiling) $1,220.37 (+31%) · daily UBB $1,222.37 · 1-wk expected move ±$124 (chain IV)

SETUPStretched, momentum unclear: 🎯 / 💎. (advisory; floors and picks are chain-only)

⚠ Next earnings 2026-09-24: candidates whose expiry crosses it are flagged in the spectrum; EV is unreliable across earnings.

NOT a deep drawdown. A CC at/above CC-SS $1007.33 keeps this fortress whole if assigned, so there is no need to FIGHT below it. Three income options to consider, richer → safer, all at/above CC-SS. Click a card for its if-challenged roll menu.

💰 Richer · sell 5 × $1020 31 Jul 2026 (18d) · more income, lower survivalroll menu if challenged ▾

Survival (stays ≤ $1020)

70%

Touch odds

65%

Per cycle

$34,400

Income / mo

$57,333

🎯 Recommended · sell 5 × $1010 17 Jul 2026 (4d) · richest strike still ≥80% survivalroll menu if challenged ▾

Survival (stays ≤ $1010)

80%

Touch odds

41%

Per cycle

$18,025

Income / mo

$135,188

Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 5 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 2 of 4); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic

Buyback gross: $84.98/sh now → $60.10 mid-life (likely $63.70–$109.50) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $36.05/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$24.05/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours

📊 Across 881 simulated challenges: the $1,010 strike is typically first touched on day 2 of 4, at $1,039 (overshoots $28.84). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (5 ct)	POP / surv of new CC
Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%)	~$1,060	31 Jul 2026	16d left	+$23.89/sh	+$11,947 cycle +$29,972 [-$441…+$11,993] · 74% credit	77% surv 64%
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$1,010	20 Jul 2026	5d left	+$8.78/sh	+$4,391 cycle +$22,416 [-$1,914…+$5,927] · 59% credit	76% surv 52%
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)	~$1,020	20 Jul 2026	5d left	+$2.15/sh	+$1,076 cycle +$19,101 [-$5,921…+$1,807] · 36% credit	77% surv 56%
Max even-money escape in the band	~$1,110	31 Jul 2026	16d left	+$1.50/sh	+$752 cycle +$18,777 [-$13,977…+$291] · 26% credit	81% surv 72%
reaches SS ✓
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)	~$1,175	24 Jul 2026	9d left	-$35.25/sh	-$17,626 cycle +$399 [-$35,554…-$18,938]	90% surv 87%
budget: banked $18,025 debit $17,626 (98% used ≈ 0.6 wk of income) → whole cycle still +$399 cash · rolled 5 ct earn ≈ $41,414/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell · clears SS ✓

POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP.

Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted -0.4 vol pt per +1% move (equity skew: vol eases as spot rises; buyback shift floored at 0). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened.

🛡 Safer · sell 5 × $1110 22 Jul 2026 (9d) · higher survival, lighter premiumroll menu if challenged ▾

Survival (stays ≤ $1110)

90%

Touch odds

21%

Per cycle

$8,800

Income / mo

$29,333

Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 5 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 4 of 9); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic

Buyback gross: $111.21/sh now → $78.68 mid-life (likely $68.38–$111.94) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $17.60/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$61.08/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours

📊 Across 450 simulated challenges: the $1,110 strike is typically first touched on day 6 of 9, at $1,140 (overshoots $29.71). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (5 ct)	POP / surv of new CC
Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%)	~$1,145	31 Jul 2026	14d left	+$6.16/sh	+$3,079 cycle +$11,879 [-$2,347…+$8,588] · 63% credit	75% surv 61%
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$1,110	24 Jul 2026	6d left	+$0.84/sh	+$421 cycle +$9,221 [-$2,108…+$3,829] · 56% credit	75% surv 52%
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)	~$1,110	24 Jul 2026	6d left	+$0.75/sh	+$375 cycle +$9,175 [-$2,157…+$3,772] · 55% credit	75% surv 52%
Max even-money escape in the band	~$1,160	31 Jul 2026	14d left	+$0.88/sh	+$439 cycle +$9,239 [-$5,313…+$5,501] · 49% credit	77% surv 63%
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)	~$1,195	31 Jul 2026	14d left	-$16.39/sh	-$8,197 cycle +$603 [-$15,781…-$4,051] · 15% credit	79% surv 70%
budget: banked $8,800 debit $8,197 (93% used ≈ 1.2 wk of income) → whole cycle still +$603 cash · rolled 5 ct earn ≈ $66,731/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell

⚔ FIGHT CC options · full candidate scan (180 clear the floor), click to expand

Every eligible strike x expiry in the 4-45 DTE band (6 expiries scanned, 180 clear the income floor), each sized to the minimum contracts that clear it. Sorted by survival (safest first): the primary 🎯 is the safest; rows below trade safety for income.

Fortress delta: 0.900 (fallback) | Recovery@SS: +$32,637 (un-capped fortress gain if stock rallies to SS) | Do-nothing @ SS: $19,787

Strike	DTE	Expiry	Bid	Sell	Income/mo	Net/mo	Survival	POP (mid)	EV/mo	Cap Give-up @ CC-SS	%IC	Total P&L @ SS
$1090	4d	17 Jul 2026	$14.10	5/5	$52,875	$52,230	95%	96%	+$49,271	-$0	0.0%	$2,237 (vs do-nothing $-17,550)
$1085	4d	17 Jul 2026	$14.90	5/5	$55,875	$55,230	94%	96%	+$51,725	-$0	0.0%	$2,637 (vs do-nothing $-17,150)
$1080	4d	17 Jul 2026	$15.50	5/5	$58,125	$57,480	94%	96%	+$53,352	-$0	0.0%	$2,937 (vs do-nothing $-16,850)
$1075	4d	17 Jul 2026	$16.85	5/5	$63,188	$62,543	93%	95%	+$57,705	-$0	0.0%	$3,612 (vs do-nothing $-16,175)
$1070	4d	17 Jul 2026	$18.00	4/5	$54,000	$66,773	93%	95%	+$48,970	-$0	0.0%	$7,307 (vs do-nothing $-12,480)
$1065	4d	17 Jul 2026	$18.95	4/5	$56,850	$69,623	92%	94%	+$51,089	-$0	0.0%	$7,687 (vs do-nothing $-12,100)
$1060	4d	17 Jul 2026	$20.00	4/5	$60,000	$72,773	91%	94%	+$53,413	-$0	0.0%	$8,107 (vs do-nothing $-11,680)
$1055	4d	17 Jul 2026	$21.40	4/5	$64,200	$76,973	90%	94%	+$56,682	-$0	0.0%	$8,667 (vs do-nothing $-11,120)
$1050	4d	17 Jul 2026	$23.20	4/5	$69,600	$82,373	89%	92%	+$59,690	-$0	0.0%	$9,387 (vs do-nothing $-10,400)
$1045	4d	17 Jul 2026	$23.90	3/5	$53,775	$79,967	88%	92%	+$45,404	-$0	0.0%	$12,197 (vs do-nothing $-7,590)
$1040	4d	17 Jul 2026	$25.70	3/5	$57,825	$84,017	87%	92%	+$48,415	-$0	0.0%	$12,737 (vs do-nothing $-7,050)
$1055	7d	20 Jul 2026	$26.00	5/5	$55,714	$55,070	86%	90%	+$43,319	-$0	0.0%	$8,187 (vs do-nothing $-11,600)
$1035	4d	17 Jul 2026	$27.20	3/5	$61,200	$87,392	86%	91%	+$50,642	-$0	0.0%	$13,187 (vs do-nothing $-6,600)

Show 167 more candidates (lower strikes: more income, lower survival)

Showing the 60 next-safest rows of 167.

Strike	DTE	Expiry	Bid	Sell	Income/mo	Net/mo	Survival	POP (mid)	EV/mo	Cap Give-up @ CC-SS	%IC	Total P&L @ SS
$1050	7d	20 Jul 2026	$26.45	5/5	$56,679	$56,034	85%	90%	+$43,102	-$0	0.0%	$8,412 (vs do-nothing $-11,375)
$1030	4d	17 Jul 2026	$28.30	3/5	$63,675	$89,867	85%	90%	+$51,850	-$0	0.0%	$13,517 (vs do-nothing $-6,270)
$1045	7d	20 Jul 2026	$28.05	5/5	$60,107	$59,462	84%	89%	+$45,246	-$0	0.0%	$9,212 (vs do-nothing $-10,575)
$1025	4d	17 Jul 2026	$30.40	3/5	$68,400	$94,592	83%	90%	+$55,181	-$0	0.0%	$14,147 (vs do-nothing $-5,640)
$1040	7d	20 Jul 2026	$29.95	5/5	$64,179	$63,534	83%	89%	+$47,925	-$0	0.0%	$10,162 (vs do-nothing $-9,625)
$1055	9d	22 Jul 2026	$32.10	5/5	$53,500	$52,855	82%	88%	+$36,954	-$0	0.0%	$11,237 (vs do-nothing $-8,550)
$1035	7d	20 Jul 2026	$31.60	4/5	$54,171	$66,945	82%	88%	+$39,962	-$0	0.0%	$12,747 (vs do-nothing $-7,040)
$1015	4d	17 Jul 2026	$33.60	3/5	$75,600	$101,792	82%	89%	+$60,475	-$0	0.0%	$15,107 (vs do-nothing $-4,680)
$1050	9d	22 Jul 2026	$33.65	5/5	$56,083	$55,439	81%	87%	+$38,295	-$0	0.0%	$12,012 (vs do-nothing $-7,775)
$1030	7d	20 Jul 2026	$33.00	4/5	$56,571	$69,345	81%	88%	+$41,057	-$0	0.0%	$13,307 (vs do-nothing $-6,480)
$1045	9d	22 Jul 2026	$35.45	5/5	$59,083	$58,439	80%	87%	+$39,968	-$0	0.0%	$12,912 (vs do-nothing $-6,875)
$1060	11d	24 Jul 2026	$39.25	5/5	$53,523	$52,878	80%	86%	+$34,682	-$0	0.0%	$14,812 (vs do-nothing $-4,975)
$1010	4d	17 Jul 2026	$36.05	2/5	$54,075	$93,685	80%	89%	+$42,776	-$0	0.0%	$17,157 (vs do-nothing $-2,630)
$1025	7d	20 Jul 2026	$34.65	4/5	$59,400	$72,173	80%	87%	+$42,475	-$0	0.0%	$13,967 (vs do-nothing $-5,820)
$1040	9d	22 Jul 2026	$36.10	5/5	$60,167	$59,522	79%	86%	+$39,638	-$0	0.0%	$13,237 (vs do-nothing $-6,550)
$1055	11d	24 Jul 2026	$40.80	5/5	$55,636	$54,992	79%	86%	+$35,621	-$0	0.0%	$15,587 (vs do-nothing $-4,200)
$1005	4d	17 Jul 2026	$37.90	2/5	$56,850	$96,460	79%	88%	+$44,216	-$0	0.0%	$17,061 (vs do-nothing $-2,725)
$1050	11d	24 Jul 2026	$42.65	5/5	$58,159	$57,514	79%	85%	+$36,906	-$0	0.0%	$16,512 (vs do-nothing $-3,275)
$1020	7d	20 Jul 2026	$36.40	4/5	$62,400	$75,173	78%	87%	+$43,955	-$0	0.0%	$14,667 (vs do-nothing $-5,120)
$1035	9d	22 Jul 2026	$38.95	5/5	$64,917	$64,272	78%	86%	+$42,882	-$0	0.0%	$14,662 (vs do-nothing $-5,125)
$1045	11d	24 Jul 2026	$44.30	5/5	$60,409	$59,764	78%	85%	+$37,852	-$0	0.0%	$17,337 (vs do-nothing $-2,450)
$1015	7d	20 Jul 2026	$38.50	4/5	$66,000	$78,773	77%	86%	+$45,918	-$0	0.0%	$15,507 (vs do-nothing $-4,280)
$1040	11d	24 Jul 2026	$45.80	5/5	$62,455	$61,810	77%	84%	+$38,526	-$0	0.0%	$18,087 (vs do-nothing $-1,700)
$1030	9d	22 Jul 2026	$40.65	4/5	$54,200	$66,973	76%	84%	+$32,790	-$0	0.0%	$16,367 (vs do-nothing $-3,420)
$1010	7d	20 Jul 2026	$39.85	4/5	$68,314	$81,088	76%	85%	+$46,472	-$0	0.0%	$16,047 (vs do-nothing $-3,740)
$1035	11d	24 Jul 2026	$47.45	5/5	$64,705	$64,060	76%	84%	+$39,335	-$0	0.0%	$18,912 (vs do-nothing $-875)
$1045	14d	27 Jul 2026	$50.07	5/5	$53,651	$53,006	75%	83%	+$29,714	-$0	0.0%	$20,224 (vs do-nothing +$437)
$1025	9d	22 Jul 2026	$42.30	4/5	$56,400	$69,173	75%	84%	+$33,589	-$0	0.0%	$17,027 (vs do-nothing $-2,760)
$995	4d	17 Jul 2026	$41.35	2/5	$62,025	$101,635	75%	87%	+$46,334	-$0	0.0%	$15,751 (vs do-nothing $-4,035)
$1020	9d	22 Jul 2026	$44.30	4/5	$59,067	$71,840	75%	84%	+$37,349	-$0	0.0%	$17,827 (vs do-nothing $-1,960)
$1030	11d	24 Jul 2026	$49.20	4/5	$53,673	$66,446	75%	83%	+$32,165	-$0	0.0%	$19,787 (vs do-nothing +$0)
$1005	7d	20 Jul 2026	$42.20	3/5	$54,257	$80,449	75%	85%	+$36,459	-$0	0.0%	$16,989 (vs do-nothing $-2,798)
$1040	14d	27 Jul 2026	$51.76	5/5	$55,453	$54,808	75%	83%	+$30,327	-$0	0.0%	$21,065 (vs do-nothing +$1,278)
$1015	9d	22 Jul 2026	$45.55	4/5	$60,733	$73,507	74%	84%	+$37,483	-$0	0.0%	$18,327 (vs do-nothing $-1,460)
$1025	11d	24 Jul 2026	$51.40	4/5	$56,073	$68,846	74%	83%	+$33,294	-$0	0.0%	$20,667 (vs do-nothing +$880)
$1035	14d	27 Jul 2026	$53.43	5/5	$57,244	$56,600	74%	82%	+$30,881	-$0	0.0%	$21,901 (vs do-nothing +$2,114)
$990	4d	17 Jul 2026	$45.00	2/5	$67,500	$107,110	74%	86%	+$50,072	-$0	0.0%	$15,481 (vs do-nothing $-4,305)
$1022.50	11d	24 Jul 2026	$52.15	4/5	$56,891	$69,664	73%	83%	+$33,453	-$0	0.0%	$20,967 (vs do-nothing +$1,180)
$1000	7d	20 Jul 2026	$45.00	3/5	$57,857	$84,049	73%	84%	+$38,542	-$0	0.0%	$16,329 (vs do-nothing $-3,458)
$1010	9d	22 Jul 2026	$47.45	4/5	$63,267	$76,040	73%	83%	+$38,393	-$0	0.0%	$19,087 (vs do-nothing $-700)
$1020	11d	24 Jul 2026	$52.70	4/5	$57,491	$70,264	73%	82%	+$33,378	-$0	0.0%	$21,187 (vs do-nothing +$1,400)
$1030	14d	27 Jul 2026	$55.11	5/5	$59,046	$58,401	73%	82%	+$31,395	-$0	0.0%	$22,741 (vs do-nothing +$2,955)
$1017.50	11d	24 Jul 2026	$54.30	4/5	$59,236	$72,010	72%	82%	+$34,433	-$0	0.0%	$21,827 (vs do-nothing +$2,040)
$1035	18d	31 Jul 2026	$63.75	5/5	$53,125	$52,480	72%	81%	+$27,200	-$0	0.0%	$27,062 (vs do-nothing +$7,275)
$1025	14d	27 Jul 2026	$56.79	5/5	$60,848	$60,203	72%	81%	+$31,857	-$0	0.0%	$23,582 (vs do-nothing +$3,795)
$985	4d	17 Jul 2026	$45.90	2/5	$68,850	$108,460	72%	86%	+$49,536	-$0	0.0%	$14,661 (vs do-nothing $-5,125)
$1015	11d	24 Jul 2026	$55.30	4/5	$60,327	$73,101	72%	82%	+$34,817	-$0	0.0%	$22,227 (vs do-nothing +$2,440)
$995	7d	20 Jul 2026	$46.15	3/5	$59,336	$85,527	72%	84%	+$38,397	-$0	0.0%	$15,174 (vs do-nothing $-4,613)
$1012.50	11d	24 Jul 2026	$56.30	4/5	$61,418	$74,192	71%	82%	+$35,184	-$0	0.0%	$22,627 (vs do-nothing +$2,840)
$1030	18d	31 Jul 2026	$65.05	5/5	$54,208	$53,564	71%	81%	+$27,183	-$0	0.0%	$27,712 (vs do-nothing +$7,925)
$1020	14d	27 Jul 2026	$58.48	5/5	$62,659	$62,015	71%	81%	+$32,277	-$0	0.0%	$24,428 (vs do-nothing +$4,641)
$1005	9d	22 Jul 2026	$50.30	4/5	$67,067	$79,840	71%	82%	+$37,879	-$0	0.0%	$19,296 (vs do-nothing $-490)
$1010	11d	24 Jul 2026	$56.90	4/5	$62,073	$74,846	71%	82%	+$35,099	-$0	0.0%	$22,867 (vs do-nothing +$3,080)
$1025	18d	31 Jul 2026	$67.40	5/5	$56,167	$55,522	71%	80%	+$28,001	-$0	0.0%	$28,887 (vs do-nothing +$9,100)
$990	7d	20 Jul 2026	$48.50	3/5	$62,357	$88,549	70%	83%	+$39,685	-$0	0.0%	$14,379 (vs do-nothing $-5,408)
$1007.50	11d	24 Jul 2026	$58.30	4/5	$63,600	$76,373	70%	81%	+$35,869	-$0	0.0%	$23,427 (vs do-nothing +$3,640)
$1015	14d	27 Jul 2026	$60.49	5/5	$64,807	$64,162	70%	80%	+$32,979	-$0	0.0%	$25,430 (vs do-nothing +$5,643)
$980	4d	17 Jul 2026	$48.40	2/5	$72,600	$112,210	70%	85%	+$51,245	-$0	0.0%	$14,161 (vs do-nothing $-5,625)
$1000	9d	22 Jul 2026	$52.20	4/5	$69,600	$82,373	70%	81%	+$38,612	-$0	0.0%	$18,056 (vs do-nothing $-1,730)
$1005	11d	24 Jul 2026	$59.40	4/5	$64,800	$77,573	70%	81%	+$36,295	-$0	0.0%	$22,936 (vs do-nothing +$3,150)

Income/mo = FIGHT leg gross, DTE-prorated. Net/mo = FIGHT + conservative CC gross minus hedge cost. POP (mid) = probability stock closes at or below (strike + mid premium) at expiry, per-strike chain IV when available. Survival = CC expires fully worthless. EV/mo = premium minus expected buyback, monthly, with realized vol = IV x 85% (variance risk premium 15%). Cap give-up @ SS = recovery mortgaged on a V-bounce to SS, net of premium. Total P&L @ SS = absolute position P&L if the stock closes at SS; "vs do-nothing" = opportunity cost against holding all 5 contracts at the conservative CC.

fortress_fight.py v6.1 | 2026-07-13 19:31