FORTRESS FIGHT: MU-LC880 @ $985.76

BE SS: $1028.60  |  CC-SS: $1047.05  |  5 contracts (500 sh) |  ⌂ PORTFOLIO

GENERATED2026-07-14 21:38

MU-LC880 @ $985.76   UNDERWATER $42.84 (4.2% below BE SS)

5 contracts (500 sh)  |  BE SS: $1028.60  |  CC-SS: $1047.05 (banked floor $1,028.22)  |  IV: HIGH  |  Accounts: Main:1299

LC: $880 exp 2028-01-21 (entry $530.281/sh)
SP: $1010 exp 2028-01-21 (entry $385.075/sh)
HP: $320 exp 2026-09-18 (entry $3.425/sh)

Economics

Max Loss$419,300(ND $148.60 + SW $690) x 500
Normal income ref$73,488/mo95% ann ROI on ML
Hedge rolling cost$920/mo
Unrealized P&L$-31,275fortress legs from IBKR
INCOME GOALPOSTS & VELOCITY
50% INCOME FLOOR
$36,744/mo
HEDGE COVER
$920/mo
NORMAL INCOME
$73,488/mo (ATM CC, chain)
IC VELOCITY
1.0 mo to earn back $74,300
ML VELOCITY
5.7 mo to earn back $419,300
NOT a deep drawdown: a CC at CC-SS $1047.05 (probe: $1045C 13d) still earns $44,769/mo (61% of normal). Sell the normal CC at/above CC-SS; a FIGHT CC below it is not needed here.
🏦 CAMPAIGN LEDGER , realized CC income since 2026-07-02; banked cash shrinks the hole (shown as an info-only banked floor, the recommended CC-SS stays the pure recovery strike; seeded from open positions, reconciled from IBKR executions nightly)
Banked since 2026-07-02
$9,776
Hole (after banked)
$21,499
was $31,275 · 31% earned back
Cycles closed
2
Credit in flight
$0
CC-SS · banked floor (info)
$1,047.05 → $1,028.22
TECHNICALS (cc_timing weekly gate + daily trigger)
WEEKLYEXTENDED · %B 76 (live) · RSI 69 · MACD bullish, hist falling
DAILYMIXED (provisional) · RSI 51 · %B 33 · hist rising (nightly)
LEVELSUpper BB (CC ceiling) $1,250.62 (+27%) · daily UBB $1,218.34 · 1-wk expected move ±$128 (chain IV)
SETUPStretched, momentum unclear: 🎯 / 💎. (advisory; floors and picks are chain-only)
⚠ Next earnings 2026-09-24: candidates whose expiry crosses it are flagged in the spectrum; EV is unreliable across earnings.
NOT a deep drawdown. A CC at/above CC-SS $1047.05 keeps this fortress whole if assigned, so there is no need to FIGHT below it. Three income options to consider, richer → safer, all at/above CC-SS. Click a card for its if-challenged roll menu.
💰 Richer · sell 5 × $1050 22 Jul 2026 (8d) · more income, lower survivalroll menu if challenged ▾
Survival (stays ≤ $1050)
70%
Touch odds
63%
Per cycle
$12,875
Income / mo
$48,281
🎯 Recommended · sell 5 × $1065 17 Jul 2026 (3d) · richest strike still ≥80% survivalroll menu if challenged ▾
Survival (stays ≤ $1065)
81%
Touch odds
39%
Per cycle
$5,125
Income / mo
$51,250
🛡 Safer · sell 5 × $1200 24 Jul 2026 (10d) · higher survival, lighter premiumroll menu if challenged ▾
Survival (stays ≤ $1200)
90%
Touch odds
21%
Per cycle
$4,650
Income / mo
$13,950
⚔ FIGHT CC options · full candidate scan (145 clear the floor), click to expand

Every eligible strike x expiry in the 3-45 DTE band (7 expiries scanned, 145 clear the income floor), each sized to the minimum contracts that clear it. Sorted by survival (safest first): the primary 🎯 is the safest; rows below trade safety for income.

Fortress delta: 1.050 (IBKR)  |  Recovery@SS: +$32,176 (un-capped fortress gain if stock rallies to SS)  |  Do-nothing @ SS: $13,652

StrikeDTEExpiryBidSellIncome/moNet/moSurvivalPOP (mid)EV/moCap Give-up @ CC-SS%ICTotal P&L @ SS
$10803d17 Jul 2026$7.855/5$39,250$38,33085%87%+$14,919-$00.0%$4,826 (vs do-nothing $-8,826)
$10753d17 Jul 2026$8.655/5$43,250$42,33084%86%+$15,978-$00.0%$5,226 (vs do-nothing $-8,426)
$10703d17 Jul 2026$9.454/5$37,800$49,64583%85%+$13,363-$00.0%$7,231 (vs do-nothing $-6,421)
$10653d17 Jul 2026$10.254/5$41,000$52,84581%84%+$13,656-$00.0%$7,551 (vs do-nothing $-6,101)
$10603d17 Jul 2026$11.054/5$44,200$56,04580%83%+$13,635-$00.0%$7,871 (vs do-nothing $-5,781)
$10553d17 Jul 2026$12.303/5$36,900$61,51078%82%+$11,308-$00.0%$9,691 (vs do-nothing $-3,961)
$10503d17 Jul 2026$13.403/5$40,200$64,81077%81%+$11,668-$00.0%$10,021 (vs do-nothing $-3,631)
$10758d22 Jul 2026$19.655/5$36,844$35,92376%81%+$8,686-$00.0%$10,726 (vs do-nothing $-2,926)
$10606d20 Jul 2026$14.955/5$37,375$36,45576%80%+$6,445-$00.0%$8,376 (vs do-nothing $-5,276)
$109010d24 Jul 2026$25.305/5$37,950$37,03076%80%+$8,448-$00.0%$13,551 (vs do-nothing $-101)
$10453d17 Jul 2026$14.503/5$43,500$68,11075%80%+$11,739-$00.0%$9,737 (vs do-nothing $-3,915)
$108510d24 Jul 2026$26.105/5$39,150$38,23075%80%+$7,977-$00.0%$13,951 (vs do-nothing +$299)
$10556d20 Jul 2026$16.305/5$40,750$39,83075%79%+$7,126-$00.0%$9,051 (vs do-nothing $-4,601)
Show 132 more candidates (lower strikes: more income, lower survival)

Showing the 60 next-safest rows of 132.

StrikeDTEExpiryBidSellIncome/moNet/moSurvivalPOP (mid)EV/moCap Give-up @ CC-SS%ICTotal P&L @ SS
$10708d22 Jul 2026$20.855/5$39,094$38,17375%79%+$6,694-$00.0%$11,326 (vs do-nothing $-2,326)
$108010d24 Jul 2026$27.755/5$41,625$40,70574%79%+$8,393-$00.0%$14,776 (vs do-nothing +$1,124)
$10658d22 Jul 2026$22.105/5$41,438$40,51774%79%+$7,565-$00.0%$11,951 (vs do-nothing $-1,701)
$10403d17 Jul 2026$15.853/5$47,550$72,16073%79%+$12,254-$00.0%$8,642 (vs do-nothing $-5,010)
$107510d24 Jul 2026$29.205/5$43,800$42,88073%78%+$8,782-$00.0%$15,501 (vs do-nothing +$1,849)
$10608d22 Jul 2026$23.105/5$43,312$42,39272%78%+$6,076-$00.0%$12,451 (vs do-nothing $-1,201)
$10506d20 Jul 2026$17.155/5$42,875$41,95572%77%+$241-$00.0%$9,476 (vs do-nothing $-4,176)
$107010d24 Jul 2026$30.455/5$45,675$44,75572%78%+$8,822-$00.0%$16,126 (vs do-nothing +$2,474)
$10353d17 Jul 2026$17.203/5$51,600$76,21072%77%+$12,447-$00.0%$7,547 (vs do-nothing $-6,105)
$10558d22 Jul 2026$24.305/5$45,562$44,64271%78%+$7,179-$00.0%$13,051 (vs do-nothing $-601)
$108517d31 Jul 2026$42.405/5$37,412$36,49171%78%+$6,910-$00.0%$22,101 (vs do-nothing +$8,449)
$106510d24 Jul 2026$31.554/5$37,860$49,70571%77%+$6,555-$00.0%$16,071 (vs do-nothing +$2,419)
$10456d20 Jul 2026$18.404/5$36,800$48,64571%76%+$99-$00.0%$9,992 (vs do-nothing $-3,660)
$106010d24 Jul 2026$32.954/5$39,540$51,38571%77%+$9,958-$00.0%$16,631 (vs do-nothing +$2,979)
$108017d31 Jul 2026$43.905/5$38,735$37,81570%77%+$7,017-$00.0%$22,851 (vs do-nothing +$9,199)
$106513d27 Jul 2026$32.755/5$37,788$36,86870%77%+$4,274-$00.0%$17,276 (vs do-nothing +$3,624)
$10508d22 Jul 2026$25.754/5$38,625$50,47070%76%+$4,888-$00.0%$13,751 (vs do-nothing +$99)
$10303d17 Jul 2026$18.702/5$37,400$74,77570%76%+$8,503-$00.0%$8,882 (vs do-nothing $-4,770)
$107517d31 Jul 2026$45.205/5$39,882$38,96270%77%+$6,906-$00.0%$23,501 (vs do-nothing +$9,849)
$10406d20 Jul 2026$20.054/5$40,100$51,94569%75%+$650-$00.0%$8,652 (vs do-nothing $-5,000)
$106013d27 Jul 2026$34.905/5$40,269$39,34969%76%+$5,107-$00.0%$18,351 (vs do-nothing +$4,699)
$105510d24 Jul 2026$34.754/5$41,700$53,54569%76%+$7,726-$00.0%$17,351 (vs do-nothing +$3,699)
$107017d31 Jul 2026$46.055/5$40,632$39,71269%76%+$6,357-$00.0%$23,926 (vs do-nothing +$10,274)
$10458d22 Jul 2026$27.204/5$40,800$52,64569%76%+$4,939-$00.0%$13,512 (vs do-nothing $-140)
$105010d24 Jul 2026$36.254/5$43,500$55,34569%76%+$10,547-$00.0%$17,951 (vs do-nothing +$4,299)
$105513d27 Jul 2026$35.505/5$40,962$40,04168%75%+$4,084-$00.0%$18,651 (vs do-nothing +$4,999)
$106517d31 Jul 2026$48.205/5$42,529$41,60968%76%+$6,912-$00.0%$25,001 (vs do-nothing +$11,349)
$10356d20 Jul 2026$21.354/5$42,700$54,54568%74%+$343-$00.0%$7,172 (vs do-nothing $-6,480)
$10253d17 Jul 2026$20.252/5$40,500$77,87568%75%+$8,574-$3600.5%$8,192 (vs do-nothing $-5,460)
$10408d22 Jul 2026$29.104/5$43,650$55,49568%75%+$5,561-$00.0%$12,272 (vs do-nothing $-1,380)
$104510d24 Jul 2026$37.554/5$45,060$56,90567%76%+$10,310-$00.0%$17,652 (vs do-nothing +$4,000)
$106017d31 Jul 2026$49.755/5$43,897$42,97767%75%+$6,893-$00.0%$25,776 (vs do-nothing +$12,124)
$105013d27 Jul 2026$38.205/5$44,077$43,15667%75%+$5,415-$00.0%$20,001 (vs do-nothing +$6,349)
$105517d31 Jul 2026$50.905/5$44,912$43,99167%75%+$6,478-$00.0%$26,351 (vs do-nothing +$12,699)
$10306d20 Jul 2026$22.804/5$45,600$57,44566%73%+$171-$00.0%$5,752 (vs do-nothing $-7,900)
$104010d24 Jul 2026$38.854/5$46,620$58,46566%75%+$9,997-$00.0%$16,172 (vs do-nothing +$2,520)
$104513d27 Jul 2026$38.805/5$44,769$43,84966%74%+$4,333-$00.0%$19,277 (vs do-nothing +$5,625)
$10358d22 Jul 2026$30.554/5$45,825$57,67066%74%+$5,401-$00.0%$10,852 (vs do-nothing $-2,800)
$105017d31 Jul 2026$53.304/5$37,624$49,46866%74%+$5,696-$00.0%$24,771 (vs do-nothing +$11,119)
$104013d27 Jul 2026$41.104/5$37,938$49,78365%74%+$4,081-$00.0%$17,072 (vs do-nothing +$3,420)
$103510d24 Jul 2026$41.003/5$36,900$61,51065%74%+$7,970-$00.0%$14,687 (vs do-nothing +$1,035)
$10308d22 Jul 2026$31.704/5$47,550$59,39565%74%+$4,682-$00.0%$9,312 (vs do-nothing $-4,340)
$10256d20 Jul 2026$24.404/5$48,800$60,64565%72%+$131-$00.0%$4,392 (vs do-nothing $-9,260)
$104517d31 Jul 2026$54.554/5$38,506$50,35065%74%+$5,362-$00.0%$24,452 (vs do-nothing +$10,800)
$103513d27 Jul 2026$43.054/5$39,738$51,58364%73%+$4,289-$00.0%$15,852 (vs do-nothing +$2,200)
$103010d24 Jul 2026$42.553/5$38,295$62,90564%74%+$7,842-$00.0%$13,652 (vs do-nothing $-0)
$104017d31 Jul 2026$56.454/5$39,847$51,69264%73%+$5,449-$00.0%$23,212 (vs do-nothing +$9,560)
$10153d17 Jul 2026$23.552/5$47,100$84,47564%73%+$8,393-$1,7002.3%$6,852 (vs do-nothing $-6,800)
$10258d22 Jul 2026$33.753/5$37,969$62,57864%73%+$3,901-$00.0%$9,512 (vs do-nothing $-4,140)
$10206d20 Jul 2026$25.503/5$38,250$62,86063%71%$-811-$4640.6%$5,537 (vs do-nothing $-8,115)
$103013d27 Jul 2026$45.154/5$41,677$53,52163%73%+$4,560-$00.0%$14,692 (vs do-nothing +$1,040)
$103517d31 Jul 2026$57.504/5$40,588$52,43363%73%+$4,898-$00.0%$21,632 (vs do-nothing +$7,980)
$102510d24 Jul 2026$44.253/5$39,825$64,43563%73%+$7,788-$00.0%$12,662 (vs do-nothing $-990)
$10156d20 Jul 2026$27.403/5$41,100$65,71062%72%+$3,277-$1,3941.9%$4,607 (vs do-nothing $-9,045)
$10208d22 Jul 2026$35.403/5$39,825$64,43562%72%+$3,754-$00.0%$8,507 (vs do-nothing $-5,145)
$1022.5010d24 Jul 2026$45.403/5$40,860$65,47062%73%+$8,008-$00.0%$12,257 (vs do-nothing $-1,395)
$103017d31 Jul 2026$59.804/5$42,212$54,05662%72%+$5,191-$00.0%$20,552 (vs do-nothing +$6,900)
$102513d27 Jul 2026$47.454/5$43,800$55,64562%72%+$4,945-$00.0%$13,612 (vs do-nothing $-40)
$10103d17 Jul 2026$25.302/5$50,600$87,97562%72%+$8,130-$2,3503.2%$6,202 (vs do-nothing $-7,450)
$102010d24 Jul 2026$45.853/5$41,265$65,87562%73%+$7,582-$00.0%$11,642 (vs do-nothing $-2,010)

Income/mo = FIGHT leg gross, DTE-prorated. Net/mo = FIGHT + conservative CC gross minus hedge cost. POP (mid) = probability stock closes at or below (strike + mid premium) at expiry, per-strike chain IV when available. Survival = CC expires fully worthless. EV/mo = premium minus expected buyback, monthly, with realized vol = IV x 85% (variance risk premium 15%). Cap give-up @ SS = recovery mortgaged on a V-bounce to SS, net of premium. Total P&L @ SS = absolute position P&L if the stock closes at SS; "vs do-nothing" = opportunity cost against holding all 5 contracts at the conservative CC.

fortress_fight.py v6.1  |  2026-07-14 21:38