2 contracts (200 sh) | BE SS: $1220.00 | CC-SS: $1230.27 | IV: HIGH | Accounts: Neville:0865
| Max Loss | $198,000 | (ND $250.00 + SW $740) x 200 |
| Normal income ref | $32,548/mo | 95% ann ROI on ML |
| Hedge rolling cost | $461/mo | |
| Unrealized P&L | $-60,925 | fortress legs from IBKR |
| Open leg | Acct | Credit/sh | In flight | Opened |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2x $1180C 17 Jul 2026 | U13190865 | $23.02 | $4,604 | 2026-07-06 |
Each Friday gets its own recommended pick and full income ladder (safest strike per income rung, sized across your 2 contracts). The master ranks the two by E[net]/mo to pick one grand pick; both are shown here so you can choose the tenor that fits your roll cadence.
| Track | Expiry | Sell | Survival | Income/mo | E[net]/mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEXT FRIDAY 🏆 | 17 Jul 2026 · 8d | 2 × $1065 | 81% | $16,838 | $3,993 |
| Rung | Sell | Expiry | DTE | OTM | Survival | Touch odds | Per cycle | Income/mo | Δ vs pick | Cap give-up | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| ▸ | cover hedge | 1 × $1270 | 17 Jul | 8d | 34.1% | 97% | 6% | $315 | $1,181 | -$15,656 | $0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Sell 1 × $1270 34.1% OTM over spot $947.23 17 Jul 2026 (8d, $3.45 mid) = $315 credit for the 8d cycle → $1,181/mo projected Survival (stays ≤ $1270) 97% Breach risk 3% POP (stays ≤ $1273.45) 97% EV / mo +$833 📈 CAMPAIGN OUTLOOK (400 paths, sell-roll-repeat this rung for 9 mo) whole in 1.2 mo [0.6-2.7] median · 62% of paths whole by 9 mo (vs 62% without) · ~0.4 challenges expected · median CC cash $7,092 🛡 IF CHALLENGED (spot reaches the strike) · challenge = the strike is touched at any point, so it runs ~2x the breach risk (finishing through it) Challenge odds (touch by expiry) 4% Flat exit net (mid-life) -$5,739 Free roll-up none Safest escape (by 24 Jul 2026) $1,318 @ 72% POP 62% survival Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 1 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 4 of 8); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic Buyback gross: $85.57/sh now → $60.54 mid-life (likely $45.39–$73.84) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $3.15/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$57.39/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours 📊 Across 121 simulated challenges: the $1,270 strike is typically first touched on day 6 of 8, at $1,307 (overshoots $37.30). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP. Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted -0.4 vol pt per +1% move (equity skew: vol eases as spot rises; buyback shift floored at 0). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened. More detail, income coverage, downside budget, tripwires, held-to-expiry ladder, V-bounce stressIncome coverage
Downside budget ✓ $1270 is at/above CC-SS $1230.27: assignment is break-even or better.
Tripwiresprice and time left decide together; the matrix is the playbook The one rule: roll when the short call's remaining TIME VALUE < $0.79/sh (~25% of the $3.15 collected) or spot ≥ $1,273.45 (breakeven), whichever comes first. Time value = call mark price minus intrinsic (max(0, spot − $1,270)); NOT the premium you collected. Momentum override: two daily closes above $1,228.24 (daily upper band) or daily RSI > 70 → treat "pressing" as "through".
If held to expiryexact, settlement = intrinsic · fortress delta 1.03 (IBKR)
V-BOUNCE STRESS (stock → CC-SS $1230.27, where you are whole again, by expiry) Starting unrealized P&L: $-60,925 + Fortress recovery (un-capped): +$58,476 − CC assignment net of premium (1 × $1270): -$0 − Conservative CC assignment net of premium (1 × $1220): -$417 Total Position P&L @ SS: $-2,866 (+$58,059 vs today) Do-nothing baseline at SS: $-3,283 (this trade vs do-nothing: +$417, the opportunity cost of earning $1,181/mo FIGHT income now) BB-reversion stress (→ $1,215.66 Upper BB (CC ceiling), the probable scenario per weekly technicals): CC give-up -$0, position total $-4,857 (+$56,068 vs today) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ | 🛡 safe yield | 2 × $1150 | 17 Jul | 8d | 21.4% | 90% | 20% | $2,010 | $7,538 | -$9,300 | $14,044 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Sell 2 × $1150 21.4% OTM over spot $947.23 17 Jul 2026 (8d, $10.48 mid) = $2,010 credit for the 8d cycle → $7,538/mo projected Survival (stays ≤ $1150) 90% Breach risk 10% POP (stays ≤ $1160.47) 91% EV / mo +$4,061 📈 CAMPAIGN OUTLOOK (400 paths, sell-roll-repeat this rung for 9 mo) whole in 1.1 mo [0.5-2.6] median · 69% of paths whole by 9 mo (vs 68% without) · ~1.9 challenges expected · median CC cash $13,733 🛡 IF CHALLENGED (spot reaches the strike) · challenge = the strike is touched at any point, so it runs ~2x the breach risk (finishing through it) Challenge odds (touch by expiry) 14% Flat exit net (mid-life) -$8,954 Free roll-up none Safest escape (by 24 Jul 2026) $1,223 @ 75% POP 68% survival Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 2 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 4 of 8); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic Buyback gross: $77.49/sh now → $54.82 mid-life (likely $49.14–$82.63) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $10.05/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$44.77/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours 📊 Across 408 simulated challenges: the $1,150 strike is typically first touched on day 5 of 8, at $1,188 (overshoots $37.71). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP. Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted -0.4 vol pt per +1% move (equity skew: vol eases as spot rises; buyback shift floored at 0). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened. More detail, income coverage, downside budget, tripwires, held-to-expiry ladder, V-bounce stressIncome coverage
Downside budget ⚠ $1150 is $80 below CC-SS $1230.27: assignment on a recovery to whole locks the cap give-up below.
Tripwiresprice and time left decide together; the matrix is the playbook The one rule: roll when the short call's remaining TIME VALUE < $2.51/sh (~25% of the $10.05 collected) or spot ≥ $1,160.47 (breakeven), whichever comes first. Time value = call mark price minus intrinsic (max(0, spot − $1,150)); NOT the premium you collected. Momentum override: two daily closes above $1,228.24 (daily upper band) or daily RSI > 70 → treat "pressing" as "through".
If held to expiryexact, settlement = intrinsic · fortress delta 1.03 (IBKR)
V-BOUNCE STRESS (stock → CC-SS $1230.27, where you are whole again, by expiry) Starting unrealized P&L: $-60,925 + Fortress recovery (un-capped): +$58,476 − CC assignment net of premium (2 × $1150): -$14,044 Total Position P&L @ SS: $-16,493 (+$44,432 vs today) Do-nothing baseline at SS: $-3,283 (this trade vs do-nothing: $-13,210, the opportunity cost of earning $7,538/mo FIGHT income now) BB-reversion stress (→ $1,215.66 Upper BB (CC ceiling), the probable scenario per weekly technicals): CC give-up -$11,122, position total $-16,589 (+$44,336 vs today) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ | 33% normal | 2 × $1110 | 17 Jul | 8d | 17.2% | 86% | 29% | $2,950 | $11,062 | -$5,775 | $21,104 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Sell 2 × $1110 17.2% OTM over spot $947.23 17 Jul 2026 (8d, $15.18 mid) = $2,950 credit for the 8d cycle → $11,062/mo projected Survival (stays ≤ $1110) 86% Breach risk 14% POP (stays ≤ $1125.17) 88% EV / mo +$5,186 📈 CAMPAIGN OUTLOOK (400 paths, sell-roll-repeat this rung for 9 mo) whole in 1.4 mo [0.6-2.7] median · 70% of paths whole by 9 mo (vs 66% without) · ~3.1 challenges expected · median CC cash $18,548 🛡 IF CHALLENGED (spot reaches the strike) · challenge = the strike is touched at any point, so it runs ~2x the breach risk (finishing through it) Challenge odds (touch by expiry) 21% Flat exit net (mid-life) -$7,633 Free roll-up +$6/wk Safest escape (by 24 Jul 2026) $1,203 @ 77% POP 71% survival Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 2 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 4 of 8); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic Buyback gross: $74.79/sh now → $52.91 mid-life (likely $49.95–$86.06) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $14.75/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$38.16/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours 📊 Across 631 simulated challenges: the $1,110 strike is typically first touched on day 5 of 8, at $1,149 (overshoots $38.58). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP. Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted -0.4 vol pt per +1% move (equity skew: vol eases as spot rises; buyback shift floored at 0). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened. More detail, income coverage, downside budget, tripwires, held-to-expiry ladder, V-bounce stressIncome coverage
Downside budget ⚠ $1110 is $120 below CC-SS $1230.27: assignment on a recovery to whole locks the cap give-up below.
Tripwiresprice and time left decide together; the matrix is the playbook The one rule: roll when the short call's remaining TIME VALUE < $3.69/sh (~25% of the $14.75 collected) or spot ≥ $1,125.17 (breakeven), whichever comes first. Time value = call mark price minus intrinsic (max(0, spot − $1,110)); NOT the premium you collected. Momentum override: two daily closes above $1,228.24 (daily upper band) or daily RSI > 70 → treat "pressing" as "through".
If held to expiryexact, settlement = intrinsic · fortress delta 1.03 (IBKR)
V-BOUNCE STRESS (stock → CC-SS $1230.27, where you are whole again, by expiry) Starting unrealized P&L: $-60,925 + Fortress recovery (un-capped): +$58,476 − CC assignment net of premium (2 × $1110): -$21,104 Total Position P&L @ SS: $-23,553 (+$37,372 vs today) Do-nothing baseline at SS: $-3,283 (this trade vs do-nothing: $-20,270, the opportunity cost of earning $11,062/mo FIGHT income now) BB-reversion stress (→ $1,215.66 Upper BB (CC ceiling), the probable scenario per weekly technicals): CC give-up -$18,182, position total $-23,649 (+$37,276 vs today) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ | 🎯 50% normal | 2 × $1065 | 17 Jul | 8d | 12.4% | 81% | 34% | $4,490 | $16,838 | — | $28,564 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Sell 2 × $1065 12.4% OTM over spot $947.23 17 Jul 2026 (8d, $23.02 mid) = $4,490 credit for the 8d cycle → $16,838/mo projected Survival (stays ≤ $1065) 81% Breach risk 19% POP (stays ≤ $1088.03) 84% EV / mo +$7,679 📈 CAMPAIGN OUTLOOK (400 paths, sell-roll-repeat this rung for 9 mo) whole in 1.2 mo [0.6-3.0] median, 0.1 mo faster than no FIGHT (1.4 mo) · 78% of paths whole by 9 mo (vs 70% without) · ~4.5 challenges expected · median CC cash $20,397 🛡 IF CHALLENGED (spot reaches the strike) · challenge = the strike is touched at any point, so it runs ~2x the breach risk (finishing through it) Challenge odds (touch by expiry) 34% Flat exit net (mid-life) -$5,664 Free roll-up +$6/wk Safest escape (by 24 Jul 2026) $1,188 @ 81% POP 77% survival Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 2 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 4 of 8); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic Buyback gross: $71.76/sh now → $50.77 mid-life (likely $54.59–$81.91) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $22.45/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$28.32/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours 📊 Across 1,012 simulated challenges: the $1,065 strike is typically first touched on day 4 of 8, at $1,100 (overshoots $34.93). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP. Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted -0.4 vol pt per +1% move (equity skew: vol eases as spot rises; buyback shift floored at 0). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened. More detail, income coverage, downside budget, tripwires, held-to-expiry ladder, V-bounce stressIncome coverage
Downside budget ⚠ $1065 is $165 below CC-SS $1230.27: assignment on a recovery to whole locks the cap give-up below.
Tripwiresprice and time left decide together; the matrix is the playbook The one rule: roll when the short call's remaining TIME VALUE < $5.61/sh (~25% of the $22.45 collected) or spot ≥ $1,088.03 (breakeven), whichever comes first. Time value = call mark price minus intrinsic (max(0, spot − $1,065)); NOT the premium you collected. Momentum override: two daily closes above $1,228.24 (daily upper band) or daily RSI > 70 → treat "pressing" as "through".
If held to expiryexact, settlement = intrinsic · fortress delta 1.03 (IBKR)
V-BOUNCE STRESS (stock → CC-SS $1230.27, where you are whole again, by expiry) Starting unrealized P&L: $-60,925 + Fortress recovery (un-capped): +$58,476 − CC assignment net of premium (2 × $1065): -$28,564 Total Position P&L @ SS: $-31,013 (+$29,912 vs today) Do-nothing baseline at SS: $-3,283 (this trade vs do-nothing: $-27,730, the opportunity cost of earning $16,838/mo FIGHT income now) BB-reversion stress (→ $1,215.66 Upper BB (CC ceiling), the probable scenario per weekly technicals): CC give-up -$25,642, position total $-31,109 (+$29,816 vs today) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ | 100% normal | 2 × $985 | 17 Jul | 8d | 4.0% | 63% | 79% | $8,870 | $33,262 | +$16,425 | $40,184 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Sell 2 × $985 4.0% OTM over spot $947.23 17 Jul 2026 (8d, $46.53 mid) = $8,870 credit for the 8d cycle → $33,262/mo projected Survival (stays ≤ $985) 63% Breach risk 37% POP (stays ≤ $1031.53) 73% EV / mo +$7,300 📈 CAMPAIGN OUTLOOK (400 paths, sell-roll-repeat this rung for 9 mo) whole in 1.2 mo [0.5-2.3] median, 0.1 mo faster than no FIGHT (1.2 mo) · 76% of paths whole by 9 mo (vs 64% without) · ~11.3 challenges expected · median CC cash $25,049 🛡 IF CHALLENGED (spot reaches the strike) · challenge = the strike is touched at any point, so it runs ~2x the breach risk (finishing through it) Challenge odds (touch by expiry) 63% Flat exit net (mid-life) -$521 Free roll-up +$18/wk Safest escape (by 24 Jul 2026) $1,208 @ 90% POP 89% survival Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 2 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 4 of 8); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic Buyback gross: $66.37/sh now → $46.95 mid-life (likely $61.91–$87.60) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $44.35/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$2.60/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours 📊 Across 1,888 simulated challenges: the $985 strike is typically first touched on day 3 of 8, at $1,019 (overshoots $34.39). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP. Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted -0.4 vol pt per +1% move (equity skew: vol eases as spot rises; buyback shift floored at 0). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened. More detail, income coverage, downside budget, tripwires, held-to-expiry ladder, V-bounce stressIncome coverage
Downside budget ⚠ $985 is $245 below CC-SS $1230.27: assignment on a recovery to whole locks the cap give-up below.
Tripwiresprice and time left decide together; the matrix is the playbook The one rule: roll when the short call's remaining TIME VALUE < $11.09/sh (~25% of the $44.35 collected) or spot ≥ $1,031.53 (breakeven), whichever comes first. Time value = call mark price minus intrinsic (max(0, spot − $985)); NOT the premium you collected. Momentum override: two daily closes above $1,228.24 (daily upper band) or daily RSI > 70 → treat "pressing" as "through".
If held to expiryexact, settlement = intrinsic · fortress delta 1.03 (IBKR)
V-BOUNCE STRESS (stock → CC-SS $1230.27, where you are whole again, by expiry) Starting unrealized P&L: $-60,925 + Fortress recovery (un-capped): +$58,476 − CC assignment net of premium (2 × $985): -$40,184 Total Position P&L @ SS: $-42,633 (+$18,292 vs today) Do-nothing baseline at SS: $-3,283 (this trade vs do-nothing: $-39,350, the opportunity cost of earning $33,262/mo FIGHT income now) BB-reversion stress (→ $1,215.66 Upper BB (CC ceiling), the probable scenario per weekly technicals): CC give-up -$37,262, position total $-42,729 (+$18,196 vs today) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Every eligible strike x expiry in the 4-45 DTE band (6 expiries scanned, 145 clear the income floor), each sized to the minimum contracts that clear it. Sorted by survival (safest first): the primary 🎯 is the safest; rows below trade safety for income.
Fortress delta: 1.033 (IBKR) | Recovery@SS: +$58,476 (un-capped fortress gain if stock rallies to SS) | Do-nothing @ SS: $-3,283
| Strike | DTE | Expiry | Bid | Sell | Income/mo | Net/mo | Survival | POP (mid) | EV/mo | Cap Give-up @ CC-SS | %IC | Total P&L @ SS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $1035 | 4d | 13 Jul 2026 | $11.40 | 2/2 | $17,100 | $16,639 | 83% | 86% | +$8,272 | -$36,774 | 73.5% | $-39,223 (vs do-nothing $-35,940) |
| $1030 | 4d | 13 Jul 2026 | $12.45 | 2/2 | $18,675 | $18,214 | 82% | 85% | +$8,856 | -$37,564 | 75.1% | $-40,013 (vs do-nothing $-36,730) |
| $1025 | 4d | 13 Jul 2026 | $13.65 | 2/2 | $20,475 | $20,014 | 81% | 84% | +$9,566 | -$38,324 | 76.6% | $-40,773 (vs do-nothing $-37,490) |
| $1050 | 6d | 15 Jul 2026 | $17.25 | 2/2 | $17,250 | $16,789 | 81% | 84% | +$6,969 | -$32,604 | 65.2% | $-35,053 (vs do-nothing $-31,770) |
| $1065 | 8d | 17 Jul 2026 | $22.45 | 2/2 | $16,838 | $16,377 | 81% | 84% | +$7,679 | -$28,564 | 57.1% | $-31,013 (vs do-nothing $-27,730) |
| $1060 | 8d | 17 Jul 2026 | $23.60 | 2/2 | $17,700 | $17,239 | 80% | 84% | +$7,918 | -$29,334 | 58.7% | $-31,783 (vs do-nothing $-28,500) |
| $1045 | 6d | 15 Jul 2026 | $18.15 | 2/2 | $18,150 | $17,689 | 79% | 83% | +$7,009 | -$33,424 | 66.8% | $-35,873 (vs do-nothing $-32,590) |
| $1020 | 4d | 13 Jul 2026 | $14.25 | 2/2 | $21,375 | $20,914 | 79% | 83% | +$9,268 | -$39,204 | 78.4% | $-41,653 (vs do-nothing $-38,370) |
| $1055 | 8d | 17 Jul 2026 | $24.75 | 2/2 | $18,562 | $18,102 | 79% | 83% | +$8,122 | -$30,104 | 60.2% | $-32,553 (vs do-nothing $-29,270) |
| $1040 | 6d | 15 Jul 2026 | $19.35 | 2/2 | $19,350 | $18,889 | 78% | 83% | +$7,293 | -$34,184 | 68.4% | $-36,633 (vs do-nothing $-33,350) |
| $1050 | 8d | 17 Jul 2026 | $25.95 | 2/2 | $19,462 | $19,002 | 78% | 82% | +$8,326 | -$30,864 | 61.7% | $-33,313 (vs do-nothing $-30,030) |
| $1015 | 4d | 13 Jul 2026 | $15.45 | 2/2 | $23,175 | $22,714 | 78% | 82% | +$9,754 | -$39,964 | 79.9% | $-42,413 (vs do-nothing $-39,130) |
| $1045 | 8d | 17 Jul 2026 | $27.15 | 2/2 | $20,362 | $19,902 | 77% | 82% | +$8,492 | -$31,624 | 63.2% | $-34,073 (vs do-nothing $-30,790) |
Showing the 60 next-safest rows of 132.
| Strike | DTE | Expiry | Bid | Sell | Income/mo | Net/mo | Survival | POP (mid) | EV/mo | Cap Give-up @ CC-SS | %IC | Total P&L @ SS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $1010 | 4d | 13 Jul 2026 | $16.95 | 2/2 | $25,425 | $24,964 | 76% | 81% | +$10,567 | -$40,664 | 81.3% | $-43,113 (vs do-nothing $-39,830) |
| $1030 | 6d | 15 Jul 2026 | $21.90 | 2/2 | $21,900 | $21,439 | 76% | 81% | +$7,842 | -$35,674 | 71.3% | $-38,123 (vs do-nothing $-34,840) |
| $1040 | 8d | 17 Jul 2026 | $28.40 | 2/2 | $21,300 | $20,839 | 76% | 81% | +$8,656 | -$32,374 | 64.7% | $-34,823 (vs do-nothing $-31,540) |
| $1035 | 8d | 17 Jul 2026 | $29.75 | 2/2 | $22,312 | $21,852 | 75% | 81% | +$8,854 | -$33,104 | 66.2% | $-35,553 (vs do-nothing $-32,270) |
| $1005 | 4d | 13 Jul 2026 | $18.40 | 2/2 | $27,600 | $27,139 | 75% | 80% | +$11,172 | -$41,374 | 82.7% | $-43,823 (vs do-nothing $-40,540) |
| $1020 | 6d | 15 Jul 2026 | $24.55 | 2/2 | $24,550 | $24,089 | 74% | 80% | +$8,261 | -$37,144 | 74.3% | $-39,593 (vs do-nothing $-36,310) |
| $1040 | 11d | 20 Jul 2026 | $30.05 | 2/2 | $16,391 | $15,930 | 74% | 79% | +$4,042 | -$32,044 | 64.1% | $-34,493 (vs do-nothing $-31,210) |
| $1030 | 8d | 17 Jul 2026 | $31.10 | 2/2 | $23,325 | $22,864 | 73% | 79% | +$7,573 | -$33,834 | 67.7% | $-36,283 (vs do-nothing $-33,000) |
| $1000 | 4d | 13 Jul 2026 | $19.80 | 2/2 | $29,700 | $29,239 | 73% | 79% | +$11,563 | -$42,094 | 84.2% | $-44,543 (vs do-nothing $-41,260) |
| $1035 | 11d | 20 Jul 2026 | $31.45 | 2/2 | $17,155 | $16,694 | 73% | 79% | +$4,141 | -$32,764 | 65.5% | $-35,213 (vs do-nothing $-31,930) |
| $1050 | 15d | 24 Jul 2026 | $41.00 | 2/2 | $16,400 | $15,939 | 73% | 79% | +$4,190 | -$27,854 | 55.7% | $-30,303 (vs do-nothing $-27,020) |
| $1040 | 13d | 22 Jul 2026 | $36.45 | 2/2 | $16,823 | $16,362 | 72% | 79% | +$4,074 | -$30,764 | 61.5% | $-33,213 (vs do-nothing $-29,930) |
| $1025 | 8d | 17 Jul 2026 | $32.50 | 2/2 | $24,375 | $23,914 | 72% | 78% | +$7,686 | -$34,554 | 69.1% | $-37,003 (vs do-nothing $-33,720) |
| $1045 | 15d | 24 Jul 2026 | $41.95 | 2/2 | $16,780 | $16,319 | 72% | 78% | +$4,056 | -$28,664 | 57.3% | $-31,113 (vs do-nothing $-27,830) |
| $1030 | 11d | 20 Jul 2026 | $33.30 | 2/2 | $18,164 | $17,703 | 72% | 78% | +$4,455 | -$33,394 | 66.8% | $-35,843 (vs do-nothing $-32,560) |
| $1035 | 13d | 22 Jul 2026 | $37.90 | 2/2 | $17,492 | $17,032 | 71% | 78% | +$4,143 | -$31,474 | 62.9% | $-33,923 (vs do-nothing $-30,640) |
| $995 | 4d | 13 Jul 2026 | $20.90 | 2/2 | $31,350 | $30,889 | 71% | 78% | +$11,355 | -$42,874 | 85.7% | $-45,323 (vs do-nothing $-42,040) |
| $1010 | 6d | 15 Jul 2026 | $27.45 | 2/2 | $27,450 | $26,989 | 71% | 78% | +$8,690 | -$38,564 | 77.1% | $-41,013 (vs do-nothing $-37,730) |
| $1040 | 15d | 24 Jul 2026 | $43.45 | 2/2 | $17,380 | $16,919 | 71% | 78% | +$4,123 | -$29,364 | 58.7% | $-31,813 (vs do-nothing $-28,530) |
| $1025 | 11d | 20 Jul 2026 | $34.45 | 2/2 | $18,791 | $18,330 | 71% | 78% | +$4,357 | -$34,164 | 68.3% | $-36,613 (vs do-nothing $-33,330) |
| $1030 | 13d | 22 Jul 2026 | $39.45 | 2/2 | $18,208 | $17,747 | 70% | 77% | +$4,234 | -$32,164 | 64.3% | $-34,613 (vs do-nothing $-31,330) |
| $1035 | 15d | 24 Jul 2026 | $45.15 | 2/2 | $18,060 | $17,599 | 70% | 77% | +$4,251 | -$30,024 | 60.0% | $-32,473 (vs do-nothing $-29,190) |
| $1015 | 8d | 17 Jul 2026 | $35.50 | 2/2 | $26,625 | $26,164 | 70% | 77% | +$7,923 | -$35,954 | 71.9% | $-38,403 (vs do-nothing $-35,120) |
| $1020 | 11d | 20 Jul 2026 | $36.10 | 2/2 | $19,691 | $19,230 | 70% | 77% | +$4,500 | -$34,834 | 69.7% | $-37,283 (vs do-nothing $-34,000) |
| $1025 | 13d | 22 Jul 2026 | $40.90 | 2/2 | $18,877 | $18,416 | 70% | 77% | +$4,254 | -$32,874 | 65.7% | $-35,323 (vs do-nothing $-32,040) |
| $990 | 4d | 13 Jul 2026 | $22.45 | 1/2 | $16,838 | $18,041 | 69% | 77% | +$5,833 | -$21,782 | 43.6% | $-24,648 (vs do-nothing $-21,365) |
| $1030 | 15d | 24 Jul 2026 | $46.65 | 2/2 | $18,660 | $18,199 | 69% | 77% | +$4,280 | -$30,724 | 61.4% | $-33,173 (vs do-nothing $-29,890) |
| $1015 | 11d | 20 Jul 2026 | $36.85 | 2/2 | $20,100 | $19,639 | 69% | 76% | +$4,121 | -$35,684 | 71.4% | $-38,133 (vs do-nothing $-34,850) |
| $1010 | 8d | 17 Jul 2026 | $37.05 | 2/2 | $27,788 | $27,327 | 69% | 77% | +$8,006 | -$36,644 | 73.3% | $-39,093 (vs do-nothing $-35,810) |
| $1020 | 13d | 22 Jul 2026 | $42.65 | 2/2 | $19,685 | $19,224 | 69% | 76% | +$4,387 | -$33,524 | 67.0% | $-35,973 (vs do-nothing $-32,690) |
| $1025 | 15d | 24 Jul 2026 | $47.75 | 2/2 | $19,100 | $18,639 | 69% | 76% | +$4,129 | -$31,504 | 63.0% | $-33,953 (vs do-nothing $-30,670) |
| $1000 | 6d | 15 Jul 2026 | $30.55 | 2/2 | $30,550 | $30,089 | 69% | 77% | +$9,061 | -$39,944 | 79.9% | $-42,393 (vs do-nothing $-39,110) |
| $1022.50 | 15d | 24 Jul 2026 | $48.70 | 2/2 | $19,480 | $19,019 | 68% | 76% | +$4,206 | -$31,814 | 63.6% | $-34,263 (vs do-nothing $-30,980) |
| $1010 | 11d | 20 Jul 2026 | $37.95 | 2/2 | $20,700 | $20,239 | 68% | 76% | +$3,899 | -$36,464 | 72.9% | $-38,913 (vs do-nothing $-35,630) |
| $1015 | 13d | 22 Jul 2026 | $44.30 | 2/2 | $20,446 | $19,986 | 68% | 76% | +$4,448 | -$34,194 | 68.4% | $-36,643 (vs do-nothing $-33,360) |
| $1020 | 15d | 24 Jul 2026 | $50.00 | 2/2 | $20,000 | $19,539 | 68% | 76% | +$4,418 | -$32,054 | 64.1% | $-34,503 (vs do-nothing $-31,220) |
| $1005 | 8d | 17 Jul 2026 | $38.70 | 2/2 | $29,025 | $28,564 | 68% | 76% | +$8,113 | -$37,314 | 74.6% | $-39,763 (vs do-nothing $-36,480) |
| $985 | 4d | 13 Jul 2026 | $24.05 | 1/2 | $18,038 | $19,241 | 68% | 76% | +$5,943 | -$22,122 | 44.2% | $-24,988 (vs do-nothing $-21,705) |
| $1017.50 | 15d | 24 Jul 2026 | $50.00 | 2/2 | $20,000 | $19,539 | 67% | 76% | +$4,104 | -$32,554 | 65.1% | $-35,003 (vs do-nothing $-31,720) |
| $995 | 6d | 15 Jul 2026 | $32.35 | 2/2 | $32,350 | $31,889 | 67% | 76% | +$9,392 | -$40,584 | 81.2% | $-43,033 (vs do-nothing $-39,750) |
| $1015 | 15d | 24 Jul 2026 | $50.70 | 2/2 | $20,280 | $19,819 | 67% | 75% | +$4,066 | -$32,914 | 65.8% | $-35,363 (vs do-nothing $-32,080) |
| $1010 | 13d | 22 Jul 2026 | $46.00 | 2/2 | $21,231 | $20,770 | 67% | 75% | +$4,506 | -$34,854 | 69.7% | $-37,303 (vs do-nothing $-34,020) |
| $1005 | 11d | 20 Jul 2026 | $40.35 | 2/2 | $22,009 | $21,548 | 67% | 75% | +$4,352 | -$36,984 | 74.0% | $-39,433 (vs do-nothing $-36,150) |
| $1012.50 | 15d | 24 Jul 2026 | $51.70 | 2/2 | $20,680 | $20,219 | 66% | 75% | +$4,142 | -$33,214 | 66.4% | $-35,663 (vs do-nothing $-32,380) |
| $1010 | 15d | 24 Jul 2026 | $53.05 | 2/2 | $21,220 | $20,759 | 66% | 75% | +$4,353 | -$33,444 | 66.9% | $-35,893 (vs do-nothing $-32,610) |
| $1005 | 13d | 22 Jul 2026 | $46.70 | 2/2 | $21,554 | $21,093 | 66% | 75% | +$4,076 | -$35,714 | 71.4% | $-38,163 (vs do-nothing $-34,880) |
| $990 | 6d | 15 Jul 2026 | $33.90 | 1/2 | $16,950 | $18,153 | 66% | 75% | +$4,699 | -$20,637 | 41.3% | $-23,503 (vs do-nothing $-20,220) |
| $1000 | 11d | 20 Jul 2026 | $41.95 | 2/2 | $22,882 | $22,421 | 66% | 75% | +$4,334 | -$37,664 | 75.3% | $-40,113 (vs do-nothing $-36,830) |
| $980 | 4d | 13 Jul 2026 | $25.75 | 1/2 | $19,312 | $20,516 | 66% | 75% | +$6,043 | -$22,452 | 44.9% | $-25,318 (vs do-nothing $-22,035) |
| $1007.50 | 15d | 24 Jul 2026 | $53.20 | 2/2 | $21,280 | $20,819 | 66% | 75% | +$4,079 | -$33,914 | 67.8% | $-36,363 (vs do-nothing $-33,080) |
| $995 | 8d | 17 Jul 2026 | $41.65 | 2/2 | $31,238 | $30,777 | 65% | 75% | +$7,909 | -$38,724 | 77.4% | $-41,173 (vs do-nothing $-37,890) |
| $1005 | 15d | 24 Jul 2026 | $55.60 | 2/2 | $22,240 | $21,779 | 65% | 74% | +$4,700 | -$33,934 | 67.9% | $-36,383 (vs do-nothing $-33,100) |
| $1000 | 13d | 22 Jul 2026 | $49.20 | 2/2 | $22,708 | $22,247 | 65% | 74% | +$4,449 | -$36,214 | 72.4% | $-38,663 (vs do-nothing $-35,380) |
| $1002.50 | 15d | 24 Jul 2026 | $54.90 | 2/2 | $21,960 | $21,499 | 65% | 74% | +$4,075 | -$34,574 | 69.1% | $-37,023 (vs do-nothing $-33,740) |
| $995 | 11d | 20 Jul 2026 | $43.40 | 2/2 | $23,673 | $23,212 | 65% | 74% | +$4,199 | -$38,374 | 76.7% | $-40,823 (vs do-nothing $-37,540) |
| $985 | 6d | 15 Jul 2026 | $34.15 | 1/2 | $17,075 | $18,278 | 64% | 74% | +$4,013 | -$21,112 | 42.2% | $-23,978 (vs do-nothing $-20,695) |
| $1000 | 15d | 24 Jul 2026 | $56.85 | 2/2 | $22,740 | $22,279 | 64% | 74% | +$4,504 | -$34,684 | 69.4% | $-37,133 (vs do-nothing $-33,850) |
| $990 | 8d | 17 Jul 2026 | $43.05 | 2/2 | $32,288 | $31,827 | 64% | 74% | +$7,670 | -$39,444 | 78.9% | $-41,893 (vs do-nothing $-38,610) |
| $995 | 13d | 22 Jul 2026 | $50.85 | 2/2 | $23,469 | $23,009 | 64% | 74% | +$4,401 | -$36,884 | 73.8% | $-39,333 (vs do-nothing $-36,050) |
| $975 | 4d | 13 Jul 2026 | $27.45 | 1/2 | $20,588 | $21,791 | 64% | 74% | +$6,054 | -$22,782 | 45.6% | $-25,648 (vs do-nothing $-22,365) |
Income/mo = FIGHT leg gross, DTE-prorated. Net/mo = FIGHT + conservative CC gross minus hedge cost. POP (mid) = probability stock closes at or below (strike + mid premium) at expiry, per-strike chain IV when available. Survival = CC expires fully worthless. EV/mo = premium minus expected buyback, monthly, with realized vol = IV x 85% (variance risk premium 15%). Cap give-up @ SS = recovery mortgaged on a V-bounce to SS, net of premium. Total P&L @ SS = absolute position P&L if the stock closes at SS; "vs do-nothing" = opportunity cost against holding all 2 contracts at the conservative CC.