2 contracts (200 sh) | BE SS: $1220.00 | CC-SS: $1231.60 | IV: HIGH | Accounts: Neville:0865
| Max Loss | $198,000 | (ND $250.00 + SW $740) x 200 |
| Normal income ref | $32,360/mo | 95% ann ROI on ML |
| Hedge rolling cost | $485/mo | |
| Unrealized P&L | $-47,941 | fortress legs from IBKR |
| Open leg | Acct | Credit/sh | In flight | Opened |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2x $1180C 17 Jul 2026 | U13190865 | $23.02 | $4,604 | 2026-07-06 |
Each Friday gets its own recommended pick and full income ladder (safest strike per income rung, sized across your 2 contracts). The master ranks the two by E[net]/mo to pick one grand pick; both are shown here so you can choose the tenor that fits your roll cadence.
| Track | Expiry | Sell | Survival | Income/mo | E[net]/mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEXT FRIDAY 🏆 | 17 Jul 2026 · 8d | 2 × $1135 | 79% | $16,912 | $3,671 |
| Rung | Sell | Expiry | DTE | OTM | Survival | Touch odds | Per cycle | Income/mo | Δ vs pick | Cap give-up | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
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| ▸ | cover hedge | 1 × $1280 | 17 Jul | 8d | 26.5% | 94% | 12% | $535 | $2,006 | -$14,906 | $0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Sell 1 × $1280 26.5% OTM over spot $1,011.62 17 Jul 2026 (8d, $5.85 mid) = $535 credit for the 8d cycle → $2,006/mo projected Survival (stays ≤ $1280) 94% Breach risk 6% POP (stays ≤ $1285.85) 94% EV / mo +$1,078 📈 CAMPAIGN OUTLOOK (400 paths, sell-roll-repeat this rung for 9 mo) whole in 0.9 mo [0.4-2.1] median · 76% of paths whole by 9 mo (vs 77% without) · ~0.9 challenges expected · median CC cash $5,585 🛡 IF CHALLENGED (spot reaches the strike) · challenge = the strike is touched at any point, so it runs ~2x the breach risk (finishing through it) Challenge odds (touch by expiry) 9% Flat exit net (mid-life) -$5,450 Free roll-up none Safest escape (by 24 Jul 2026) $1,323 @ 71% POP 61% survival Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 1 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 4 of 8); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic Buyback gross: $84.60/sh now → $59.85 mid-life (likely $47.57–$80.96) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $5.35/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$54.50/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours 📊 Across 259 simulated challenges: the $1,280 strike is typically first touched on day 6 of 8, at $1,319 (overshoots $39.27). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP. Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted -0.4 vol pt per +1% move (equity skew: vol eases as spot rises; buyback shift floored at 0). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened. More detail, income coverage, downside budget, tripwires, held-to-expiry ladder, V-bounce stressIncome coverage
Downside budget ✓ $1280 is at/above CC-SS $1231.60: assignment is break-even or better.
Tripwiresprice and time left decide together; the matrix is the playbook The one rule: roll when the short call's remaining TIME VALUE < $1.34/sh (~25% of the $5.35 collected) or spot ≥ $1,285.85 (breakeven), whichever comes first. Time value = call mark price minus intrinsic (max(0, spot − $1,280)); NOT the premium you collected. Momentum override: two daily closes above $1,218.14 (daily upper band) or daily RSI > 70 → treat "pressing" as "through".
If held to expiryexact, settlement = intrinsic · fortress delta 1.03 (IBKR)
V-BOUNCE STRESS (stock → CC-SS $1231.60, where you are whole again, by expiry) Starting unrealized P&L: $-47,941 + Fortress recovery (un-capped): +$45,492 − CC assignment net of premium (1 × $1280): -$0 − Conservative CC assignment net of premium (1 × $1220): -$215 Total Position P&L @ SS: $-2,664 (+$45,277 vs today) Do-nothing baseline at SS: $-2,879 (this trade vs do-nothing: +$215, the opportunity cost of earning $2,006/mo FIGHT income now) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ | 🛡 safe yield | 2 × $1225 | 17 Jul | 8d | 21.1% | 90% | 20% | $1,870 | $7,012 | -$9,900 | $0 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Sell 2 × $1225 21.1% OTM over spot $1,011.62 17 Jul 2026 (8d, $10.02 mid) = $1,870 credit for the 8d cycle → $7,012/mo projected Survival (stays ≤ $1225) 90% Breach risk 10% POP (stays ≤ $1235.03) 91% EV / mo +$3,250 📈 CAMPAIGN OUTLOOK (400 paths, sell-roll-repeat this rung for 9 mo) whole in 0.8 mo [0.3-2.0] median · 74% of paths whole by 9 mo (vs 76% without) · ~1.7 challenges expected · median CC cash $7,551 🛡 IF CHALLENGED (spot reaches the strike) · challenge = the strike is touched at any point, so it runs ~2x the breach risk (finishing through it) Challenge odds (touch by expiry) 15% Flat exit net (mid-life) -$9,586 Free roll-up none Safest escape (by 24 Jul 2026) $1,293 @ 74% POP 66% survival Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 2 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 4 of 8); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic Buyback gross: $80.97/sh now → $57.28 mid-life (likely $50.83–$84.74) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $9.35/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$47.93/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours 📊 Across 458 simulated challenges: the $1,225 strike is typically first touched on day 5 of 8, at $1,264 (overshoots $39.30). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP. Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted -0.4 vol pt per +1% move (equity skew: vol eases as spot rises; buyback shift floored at 0). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened. More detail, income coverage, downside budget, tripwires, held-to-expiry ladder, V-bounce stressIncome coverage
Downside budget ✓ $1225 is at/above CC-SS $1231.60: assignment is break-even or better.
Tripwiresprice and time left decide together; the matrix is the playbook The one rule: roll when the short call's remaining TIME VALUE < $2.34/sh (~25% of the $9.35 collected) or spot ≥ $1,235.03 (breakeven), whichever comes first. Time value = call mark price minus intrinsic (max(0, spot − $1,225)); NOT the premium you collected. Momentum override: two daily closes above $1,218.14 (daily upper band) or daily RSI > 70 → treat "pressing" as "through".
If held to expiryexact, settlement = intrinsic · fortress delta 1.03 (IBKR)
V-BOUNCE STRESS (stock → CC-SS $1231.60, where you are whole again, by expiry) Starting unrealized P&L: $-47,941 + Fortress recovery (un-capped): +$45,492 − CC assignment net of premium (2 × $1225): -$0 Total Position P&L @ SS: $-2,449 (+$45,492 vs today) Do-nothing baseline at SS: $-2,879 (this trade vs do-nothing: +$430, the opportunity cost of earning $7,012/mo FIGHT income now) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ | 33% normal ← lean | 2 × $1180 | 17 Jul | 8d | 16.6% | 86% | 30% | $2,930 | $10,988 | -$5,925 | $7,390 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Sell 2 × $1180 16.6% OTM over spot $1,011.62 17 Jul 2026 (8d, $15.30 mid) = $2,930 credit for the 8d cycle → $10,988/mo projected Survival (stays ≤ $1180) 86% Breach risk 14% POP (stays ≤ $1195.30) 87% EV / mo +$4,371 📈 CAMPAIGN OUTLOOK (400 paths, sell-roll-repeat this rung for 9 mo) whole in 0.6 mo [0.3-1.7] median, 0.1 mo faster than no FIGHT (0.7 mo) · 82% of paths whole by 9 mo (vs 81% without) · ~2.3 challenges expected · median CC cash $8,282 🛡 IF CHALLENGED (spot reaches the strike) · challenge = the strike is touched at any point, so it runs ~2x the breach risk (finishing through it) Challenge odds (touch by expiry) 23% Flat exit net (mid-life) -$8,105 Free roll-up +$8/wk Safest escape (by 24 Jul 2026) $1,268 @ 76% POP 70% survival Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 2 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 4 of 8); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic Buyback gross: $77.99/sh now → $55.18 mid-life (likely $51.88–$82.81) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $14.65/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$40.53/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours 📊 Across 701 simulated challenges: the $1,180 strike is typically first touched on day 5 of 8, at $1,217 (overshoots $36.56). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP. Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted -0.4 vol pt per +1% move (equity skew: vol eases as spot rises; buyback shift floored at 0). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened. More detail, income coverage, downside budget, tripwires, held-to-expiry ladder, V-bounce stressIncome coverage
Downside budget ⚠ $1180 is $52 below CC-SS $1231.60: assignment on a recovery to whole locks the cap give-up below.
Tripwiresprice and time left decide together; the matrix is the playbook The one rule: roll when the short call's remaining TIME VALUE < $3.66/sh (~25% of the $14.65 collected) or spot ≥ $1,195.30 (breakeven), whichever comes first. Time value = call mark price minus intrinsic (max(0, spot − $1,180)); NOT the premium you collected. Momentum override: two daily closes above $1,218.14 (daily upper band) or daily RSI > 70 → treat "pressing" as "through".
If held to expiryexact, settlement = intrinsic · fortress delta 1.03 (IBKR)
V-BOUNCE STRESS (stock → CC-SS $1231.60, where you are whole again, by expiry) Starting unrealized P&L: $-47,941 + Fortress recovery (un-capped): +$45,492 − CC assignment net of premium (2 × $1180): -$7,390 Total Position P&L @ SS: $-9,839 (+$38,102 vs today) Do-nothing baseline at SS: $-2,879 (this trade vs do-nothing: $-6,960, the opportunity cost of earning $10,988/mo FIGHT income now) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ | 🎯 50% normal | 2 × $1135 | 17 Jul | 8d | 12.2% | 79% | 33% | $4,510 | $16,912 | — | $14,810 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Sell 2 × $1135 12.2% OTM over spot $1,011.62 17 Jul 2026 (8d, $23.23 mid) = $4,510 credit for the 8d cycle → $16,912/mo projected Survival (stays ≤ $1135) 79% Breach risk 21% POP (stays ≤ $1158.22) 83% EV / mo +$5,545 📈 CAMPAIGN OUTLOOK (400 paths, sell-roll-repeat this rung for 9 mo) whole in 0.8 mo [0.3-1.8] median, 0.1 mo faster than no FIGHT (0.8 mo) · 79% of paths whole by 9 mo (vs 75% without) · ~4.0 challenges expected · median CC cash $13,302 🛡 IF CHALLENGED (spot reaches the strike) · challenge = the strike is touched at any point, so it runs ~2x the breach risk (finishing through it) Challenge odds (touch by expiry) 33% Flat exit net (mid-life) -$6,105 Free roll-up +$8/wk Safest escape (by 24 Jul 2026) $1,253 @ 79% POP 75% survival Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 2 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 4 of 8); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic Buyback gross: $75.02/sh now → $53.07 mid-life (likely $56.64–$87.08) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $22.55/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$30.52/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours 📊 Across 998 simulated challenges: the $1,135 strike is typically first touched on day 4 of 8, at $1,173 (overshoots $37.52). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP. Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted -0.4 vol pt per +1% move (equity skew: vol eases as spot rises; buyback shift floored at 0). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened. More detail, income coverage, downside budget, tripwires, held-to-expiry ladder, V-bounce stressIncome coverage
Downside budget ⚠ $1135 is $97 below CC-SS $1231.60: assignment on a recovery to whole locks the cap give-up below.
Tripwiresprice and time left decide together; the matrix is the playbook The one rule: roll when the short call's remaining TIME VALUE < $5.64/sh (~25% of the $22.55 collected) or spot ≥ $1,158.22 (breakeven), whichever comes first. Time value = call mark price minus intrinsic (max(0, spot − $1,135)); NOT the premium you collected. Momentum override: two daily closes above $1,218.14 (daily upper band) or daily RSI > 70 → treat "pressing" as "through".
If held to expiryexact, settlement = intrinsic · fortress delta 1.03 (IBKR)
V-BOUNCE STRESS (stock → CC-SS $1231.60, where you are whole again, by expiry) Starting unrealized P&L: $-47,941 + Fortress recovery (un-capped): +$45,492 − CC assignment net of premium (2 × $1135): -$14,810 Total Position P&L @ SS: $-17,259 (+$30,682 vs today) Do-nothing baseline at SS: $-2,879 (this trade vs do-nothing: $-14,380, the opportunity cost of earning $16,912/mo FIGHT income now) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ▸ | 100% normal | 2 × $1055 | 17 Jul | 8d | 4.3% | 63% | 77% | $8,730 | $32,738 | +$15,825 | $26,590 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Sell 2 × $1055 4.3% OTM over spot $1,011.62 17 Jul 2026 (8d, $45.83 mid) = $8,730 credit for the 8d cycle → $32,738/mo projected Survival (stays ≤ $1055) 63% Breach risk 37% POP (stays ≤ $1100.83) 73% EV / mo +$5,522 📈 CAMPAIGN OUTLOOK (400 paths, sell-roll-repeat this rung for 9 mo) whole in 0.6 mo [0.3-1.4] median, 0.2 mo faster than no FIGHT (0.8 mo) · 82% of paths whole by 9 mo (vs 78% without) · ~8.4 challenges expected · median CC cash $16,794 🛡 IF CHALLENGED (spot reaches the strike) · challenge = the strike is touched at any point, so it runs ~2x the breach risk (finishing through it) Challenge odds (touch by expiry) 63% Flat exit net (mid-life) -$1,136 Free roll-up +$20/wk Safest escape (by 24 Jul 2026) $1,293 @ 90% POP 90% survival Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 2 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 4 of 8); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic Buyback gross: $69.73/sh now → $49.33 mid-life (likely $64.28–$90.36) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $43.65/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$5.68/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours 📊 Across 1,886 simulated challenges: the $1,055 strike is typically first touched on day 3 of 8, at $1,091 (overshoots $35.88). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP. Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted -0.4 vol pt per +1% move (equity skew: vol eases as spot rises; buyback shift floored at 0). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened. More detail, income coverage, downside budget, tripwires, held-to-expiry ladder, V-bounce stressIncome coverage
Downside budget ⚠ $1055 is $177 below CC-SS $1231.60: assignment on a recovery to whole locks the cap give-up below.
Tripwiresprice and time left decide together; the matrix is the playbook The one rule: roll when the short call's remaining TIME VALUE < $10.91/sh (~25% of the $43.65 collected) or spot ≥ $1,100.83 (breakeven), whichever comes first. Time value = call mark price minus intrinsic (max(0, spot − $1,055)); NOT the premium you collected. Momentum override: two daily closes above $1,218.14 (daily upper band) or daily RSI > 70 → treat "pressing" as "through".
If held to expiryexact, settlement = intrinsic · fortress delta 1.03 (IBKR)
V-BOUNCE STRESS (stock → CC-SS $1231.60, where you are whole again, by expiry) Starting unrealized P&L: $-47,941 + Fortress recovery (un-capped): +$45,492 − CC assignment net of premium (2 × $1055): -$26,590 Total Position P&L @ SS: $-29,039 (+$18,902 vs today) Do-nothing baseline at SS: $-2,879 (this trade vs do-nothing: $-26,160, the opportunity cost of earning $32,738/mo FIGHT income now) | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Every eligible strike x expiry in the 4-45 DTE band (6 expiries scanned, 150 clear the income floor), each sized to the minimum contracts that clear it. Sorted by survival (safest first): the primary 🎯 is the safest; rows below trade safety for income.
Fortress delta: 1.034 (IBKR) | Recovery@SS: +$45,492 (un-capped fortress gain if stock rallies to SS) | Do-nothing @ SS: $-2,879
| Strike | DTE | Expiry | Bid | Sell | Income/mo | Net/mo | Survival | POP (mid) | EV/mo | Cap Give-up @ CC-SS | %IC | Total P&L @ SS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $1100 | 4d | 13 Jul 2026 | $11.00 | 2/2 | $16,500 | $16,015 | 82% | 85% | +$6,151 | -$24,120 | 48.2% | $-26,569 (vs do-nothing $-23,690) |
| $1095 | 4d | 13 Jul 2026 | $11.70 | 2/2 | $17,550 | $17,065 | 81% | 84% | +$6,138 | -$24,980 | 50.0% | $-27,429 (vs do-nothing $-24,550) |
| $1090 | 4d | 13 Jul 2026 | $12.60 | 2/2 | $18,900 | $18,415 | 80% | 83% | +$6,323 | -$25,800 | 51.6% | $-28,249 (vs do-nothing $-25,370) |
| $1135 | 8d | 17 Jul 2026 | $22.55 | 2/2 | $16,912 | $16,428 | 79% | 83% | +$5,545 | -$14,810 | 29.6% | $-17,259 (vs do-nothing $-14,380) |
| $1130 | 8d | 17 Jul 2026 | $23.55 | 2/2 | $17,662 | $17,178 | 78% | 82% | +$5,613 | -$15,610 | 31.2% | $-18,059 (vs do-nothing $-15,180) |
| $1085 | 4d | 13 Jul 2026 | $13.10 | 2/2 | $19,650 | $19,165 | 78% | 82% | +$5,799 | -$26,700 | 53.4% | $-29,149 (vs do-nothing $-26,270) |
| $1125 | 8d | 17 Jul 2026 | $24.80 | 2/2 | $18,600 | $18,115 | 78% | 82% | +$5,834 | -$16,360 | 32.7% | $-18,809 (vs do-nothing $-15,930) |
| $1105 | 6d | 15 Jul 2026 | $17.05 | 2/2 | $17,050 | $16,565 | 77% | 81% | +$3,033 | -$21,910 | 43.8% | $-24,359 (vs do-nothing $-21,480) |
| $1080 | 4d | 13 Jul 2026 | $14.75 | 2/2 | $22,125 | $21,640 | 77% | 81% | +$6,883 | -$27,370 | 54.7% | $-29,819 (vs do-nothing $-26,940) |
| $1120 | 8d | 17 Jul 2026 | $25.85 | 2/2 | $19,388 | $18,903 | 77% | 81% | +$5,867 | -$17,150 | 34.3% | $-19,599 (vs do-nothing $-16,720) |
| $1115 | 8d | 17 Jul 2026 | $27.00 | 2/2 | $20,250 | $19,765 | 76% | 81% | +$7,043 | -$17,920 | 35.8% | $-20,369 (vs do-nothing $-17,490) |
| $1100 | 6d | 15 Jul 2026 | $19.40 | 2/2 | $19,400 | $18,915 | 76% | 81% | +$4,356 | -$22,440 | 44.9% | $-24,889 (vs do-nothing $-22,010) |
| $1110 | 8d | 17 Jul 2026 | $28.35 | 2/2 | $21,262 | $20,778 | 75% | 81% | +$7,266 | -$18,650 | 37.3% | $-21,099 (vs do-nothing $-18,220) |
Showing the 60 next-safest rows of 137.
| Strike | DTE | Expiry | Bid | Sell | Income/mo | Net/mo | Survival | POP (mid) | EV/mo | Cap Give-up @ CC-SS | %IC | Total P&L @ SS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $1075 | 4d | 13 Jul 2026 | $15.55 | 2/2 | $23,325 | $22,840 | 75% | 80% | +$6,568 | -$28,210 | 56.4% | $-30,659 (vs do-nothing $-27,780) |
| $1095 | 6d | 15 Jul 2026 | $18.90 | 2/2 | $18,900 | $18,415 | 75% | 80% | +$2,768 | -$23,540 | 47.1% | $-25,989 (vs do-nothing $-23,110) |
| $1105 | 8d | 17 Jul 2026 | $29.65 | 2/2 | $22,238 | $21,753 | 75% | 80% | +$7,413 | -$19,390 | 38.8% | $-21,839 (vs do-nothing $-18,960) |
| $1090 | 6d | 15 Jul 2026 | $19.95 | 2/2 | $19,950 | $19,465 | 74% | 79% | +$2,666 | -$24,330 | 48.7% | $-26,779 (vs do-nothing $-23,900) |
| $1070 | 4d | 13 Jul 2026 | $17.00 | 2/2 | $25,500 | $25,015 | 74% | 79% | +$7,096 | -$28,920 | 57.8% | $-31,369 (vs do-nothing $-28,490) |
| $1100 | 8d | 17 Jul 2026 | $31.00 | 2/2 | $23,250 | $22,765 | 74% | 79% | +$7,558 | -$20,120 | 40.2% | $-22,569 (vs do-nothing $-19,690) |
| $1110 | 11d | 20 Jul 2026 | $30.50 | 2/2 | $16,636 | $16,152 | 74% | 79% | +$3,343 | -$18,220 | 36.4% | $-20,669 (vs do-nothing $-17,790) |
| $1085 | 6d | 15 Jul 2026 | $23.25 | 2/2 | $23,250 | $22,765 | 73% | 78% | +$4,749 | -$24,670 | 49.3% | $-27,119 (vs do-nothing $-24,240) |
| $1105 | 11d | 20 Jul 2026 | $31.90 | 2/2 | $17,400 | $16,915 | 73% | 78% | +$3,442 | -$18,940 | 37.9% | $-21,389 (vs do-nothing $-18,510) |
| $1095 | 8d | 17 Jul 2026 | $32.30 | 2/2 | $24,225 | $23,740 | 73% | 79% | +$7,625 | -$20,860 | 41.7% | $-23,309 (vs do-nothing $-20,430) |
| $1110 | 13d | 22 Jul 2026 | $35.70 | 2/2 | $16,477 | $15,992 | 72% | 78% | +$2,901 | -$17,180 | 34.4% | $-19,629 (vs do-nothing $-16,750) |
| $1065 | 4d | 13 Jul 2026 | $18.60 | 2/2 | $27,900 | $27,415 | 72% | 78% | +$7,708 | -$29,600 | 59.2% | $-32,049 (vs do-nothing $-29,170) |
| $1100 | 11d | 20 Jul 2026 | $33.40 | 2/2 | $18,218 | $17,733 | 72% | 78% | +$3,567 | -$19,640 | 39.3% | $-22,089 (vs do-nothing $-19,210) |
| $1115 | 15d | 24 Jul 2026 | $41.80 | 2/2 | $16,720 | $16,235 | 72% | 78% | +$3,201 | -$14,960 | 29.9% | $-17,409 (vs do-nothing $-14,530) |
| $1090 | 8d | 17 Jul 2026 | $33.80 | 2/2 | $25,350 | $24,865 | 72% | 78% | +$7,799 | -$21,560 | 43.1% | $-24,009 (vs do-nothing $-21,130) |
| $1080 | 6d | 15 Jul 2026 | $24.25 | 2/2 | $24,250 | $23,765 | 71% | 77% | +$4,463 | -$25,470 | 50.9% | $-27,919 (vs do-nothing $-25,040) |
| $1105 | 13d | 22 Jul 2026 | $37.25 | 2/2 | $17,192 | $16,707 | 71% | 78% | +$3,024 | -$17,870 | 35.7% | $-20,319 (vs do-nothing $-17,440) |
| $1110 | 15d | 24 Jul 2026 | $43.95 | 2/2 | $17,580 | $17,095 | 71% | 78% | +$3,523 | -$15,530 | 31.1% | $-17,979 (vs do-nothing $-15,100) |
| $1095 | 11d | 20 Jul 2026 | $34.85 | 2/2 | $19,009 | $18,524 | 71% | 77% | +$3,637 | -$20,350 | 40.7% | $-22,799 (vs do-nothing $-19,920) |
| $1100 | 13d | 22 Jul 2026 | $39.75 | 2/2 | $18,346 | $17,861 | 71% | 77% | +$3,564 | -$18,370 | 36.7% | $-20,819 (vs do-nothing $-17,940) |
| $1060 | 4d | 13 Jul 2026 | $20.35 | 2/2 | $30,525 | $30,040 | 70% | 77% | +$8,397 | -$30,250 | 60.5% | $-32,699 (vs do-nothing $-29,820) |
| $1075 | 6d | 15 Jul 2026 | $25.90 | 2/2 | $25,900 | $25,415 | 70% | 77% | +$4,768 | -$26,140 | 52.3% | $-28,589 (vs do-nothing $-25,710) |
| $1105 | 15d | 24 Jul 2026 | $45.00 | 2/2 | $18,000 | $17,515 | 70% | 77% | +$3,387 | -$16,320 | 32.6% | $-18,769 (vs do-nothing $-15,890) |
| $1085 | 8d | 17 Jul 2026 | $35.30 | 2/2 | $26,475 | $25,990 | 70% | 77% | +$6,547 | -$22,260 | 44.5% | $-24,709 (vs do-nothing $-21,830) |
| $1090 | 11d | 20 Jul 2026 | $35.95 | 2/2 | $19,609 | $19,124 | 70% | 77% | +$3,488 | -$21,130 | 42.3% | $-23,579 (vs do-nothing $-20,700) |
| $1095 | 13d | 22 Jul 2026 | $40.80 | 2/2 | $18,831 | $18,346 | 70% | 77% | +$3,413 | -$19,160 | 38.3% | $-21,609 (vs do-nothing $-18,730) |
| $1100 | 15d | 24 Jul 2026 | $47.35 | 2/2 | $18,940 | $18,455 | 69% | 76% | +$3,752 | -$16,850 | 33.7% | $-19,299 (vs do-nothing $-16,420) |
| $1070 | 6d | 15 Jul 2026 | $28.15 | 2/2 | $28,150 | $27,665 | 69% | 76% | +$5,601 | -$26,690 | 53.4% | $-29,139 (vs do-nothing $-26,260) |
| $1080 | 8d | 17 Jul 2026 | $36.85 | 2/2 | $27,638 | $27,153 | 69% | 76% | +$6,618 | -$22,950 | 45.9% | $-25,399 (vs do-nothing $-22,520) |
| $1085 | 11d | 20 Jul 2026 | $37.85 | 2/2 | $20,645 | $20,161 | 69% | 76% | +$3,745 | -$21,750 | 43.5% | $-24,199 (vs do-nothing $-21,320) |
| $1090 | 13d | 22 Jul 2026 | $42.40 | 2/2 | $19,569 | $19,084 | 69% | 76% | +$3,492 | -$19,840 | 39.7% | $-22,289 (vs do-nothing $-19,410) |
| $1055 | 4d | 13 Jul 2026 | $21.55 | 2/2 | $32,325 | $31,840 | 69% | 76% | +$8,107 | -$31,010 | 62.0% | $-33,459 (vs do-nothing $-30,580) |
| $1095 | 15d | 24 Jul 2026 | $48.85 | 2/2 | $19,540 | $19,055 | 69% | 76% | +$3,759 | -$17,550 | 35.1% | $-19,999 (vs do-nothing $-17,120) |
| $1080 | 11d | 20 Jul 2026 | $39.05 | 2/2 | $21,300 | $20,815 | 68% | 76% | +$3,591 | -$22,510 | 45.0% | $-24,959 (vs do-nothing $-22,080) |
| $1085 | 13d | 22 Jul 2026 | $44.50 | 2/2 | $20,538 | $20,054 | 68% | 76% | +$3,780 | -$20,420 | 40.8% | $-22,869 (vs do-nothing $-19,990) |
| $1075 | 8d | 17 Jul 2026 | $38.45 | 2/2 | $28,838 | $28,353 | 68% | 76% | +$6,678 | -$23,630 | 47.3% | $-26,079 (vs do-nothing $-23,200) |
| $1090 | 15d | 24 Jul 2026 | $49.80 | 2/2 | $19,920 | $19,435 | 68% | 76% | +$3,526 | -$18,360 | 36.7% | $-20,809 (vs do-nothing $-17,930) |
| $1065 | 6d | 15 Jul 2026 | $29.50 | 2/2 | $29,500 | $29,015 | 68% | 75% | +$5,445 | -$27,420 | 54.8% | $-29,869 (vs do-nothing $-26,990) |
| $1080 | 13d | 22 Jul 2026 | $46.25 | 2/2 | $21,346 | $20,861 | 67% | 75% | +$3,881 | -$21,070 | 42.1% | $-23,519 (vs do-nothing $-20,640) |
| $1085 | 15d | 24 Jul 2026 | $51.50 | 2/2 | $20,600 | $20,115 | 67% | 75% | +$3,574 | -$19,020 | 38.0% | $-21,469 (vs do-nothing $-18,590) |
| $1075 | 11d | 20 Jul 2026 | $40.20 | 2/2 | $21,927 | $21,442 | 67% | 75% | +$3,378 | -$23,280 | 46.6% | $-25,729 (vs do-nothing $-22,850) |
| $1050 | 4d | 13 Jul 2026 | $23.30 | 1/2 | $17,475 | $19,567 | 67% | 75% | +$4,239 | -$15,830 | 31.7% | $-18,494 (vs do-nothing $-15,615) |
| $1070 | 8d | 17 Jul 2026 | $40.25 | 2/2 | $30,188 | $29,703 | 67% | 75% | +$6,840 | -$24,270 | 48.5% | $-26,719 (vs do-nothing $-23,840) |
| $1060 | 6d | 15 Jul 2026 | $30.95 | 2/2 | $30,950 | $30,465 | 66% | 74% | +$5,311 | -$28,130 | 56.3% | $-30,579 (vs do-nothing $-27,700) |
| $1080 | 15d | 24 Jul 2026 | $53.00 | 2/2 | $21,200 | $20,715 | 66% | 75% | +$3,522 | -$19,720 | 39.4% | $-22,169 (vs do-nothing $-19,290) |
| $1075 | 13d | 22 Jul 2026 | $47.45 | 2/2 | $21,900 | $21,415 | 66% | 75% | +$3,705 | -$21,830 | 43.7% | $-24,279 (vs do-nothing $-21,400) |
| $1070 | 11d | 20 Jul 2026 | $42.85 | 2/2 | $23,373 | $22,888 | 66% | 75% | +$3,953 | -$23,750 | 47.5% | $-26,199 (vs do-nothing $-23,320) |
| $1065 | 8d | 17 Jul 2026 | $41.15 | 2/2 | $30,862 | $30,378 | 66% | 75% | +$6,277 | -$25,090 | 50.2% | $-27,539 (vs do-nothing $-24,660) |
| $1075 | 15d | 24 Jul 2026 | $54.75 | 2/2 | $21,900 | $21,415 | 65% | 74% | +$3,550 | -$20,370 | 40.7% | $-22,819 (vs do-nothing $-19,940) |
| $1070 | 13d | 22 Jul 2026 | $48.85 | 2/2 | $22,546 | $22,061 | 65% | 74% | +$3,596 | -$22,550 | 45.1% | $-24,999 (vs do-nothing $-22,120) |
| $1045 | 4d | 13 Jul 2026 | $25.00 | 1/2 | $18,750 | $20,842 | 65% | 74% | +$4,303 | -$16,160 | 32.3% | $-18,824 (vs do-nothing $-15,945) |
| $1055 | 6d | 15 Jul 2026 | $33.05 | 1/2 | $16,525 | $18,617 | 65% | 74% | +$2,871 | -$14,355 | 28.7% | $-17,019 (vs do-nothing $-14,140) |
| $1065 | 11d | 20 Jul 2026 | $43.70 | 2/2 | $23,836 | $23,352 | 65% | 74% | +$3,513 | -$24,580 | 49.2% | $-27,029 (vs do-nothing $-24,150) |
| $1060 | 8d | 17 Jul 2026 | $42.50 | 2/2 | $31,875 | $31,390 | 65% | 74% | +$6,000 | -$25,820 | 51.6% | $-28,269 (vs do-nothing $-25,390) |
| $1070 | 15d | 24 Jul 2026 | $56.65 | 2/2 | $22,660 | $22,175 | 65% | 74% | +$3,618 | -$20,990 | 42.0% | $-23,439 (vs do-nothing $-20,560) |
| $1065 | 13d | 22 Jul 2026 | $51.05 | 2/2 | $23,562 | $23,077 | 64% | 74% | +$3,831 | -$23,110 | 46.2% | $-25,559 (vs do-nothing $-22,680) |
| $1060 | 11d | 20 Jul 2026 | $45.55 | 2/2 | $24,845 | $24,361 | 64% | 73% | +$3,587 | -$25,210 | 50.4% | $-27,659 (vs do-nothing $-24,780) |
| $1065 | 15d | 24 Jul 2026 | $59.15 | 2/2 | $23,660 | $23,175 | 64% | 73% | +$3,904 | -$21,490 | 43.0% | $-23,939 (vs do-nothing $-21,060) |
| $1050 | 6d | 15 Jul 2026 | $35.00 | 1/2 | $17,500 | $19,592 | 64% | 73% | +$2,971 | -$14,660 | 29.3% | $-17,324 (vs do-nothing $-14,445) |
| $1055 | 8d | 17 Jul 2026 | $43.65 | 1/2 | $16,369 | $18,461 | 63% | 73% | +$2,761 | -$13,295 | 26.6% | $-15,959 (vs do-nothing $-13,080) |
Income/mo = FIGHT leg gross, DTE-prorated. Net/mo = FIGHT + conservative CC gross minus hedge cost. POP (mid) = probability stock closes at or below (strike + mid premium) at expiry, per-strike chain IV when available. Survival = CC expires fully worthless. EV/mo = premium minus expected buyback, monthly, with realized vol = IV x 85% (variance risk premium 15%). Cap give-up @ SS = recovery mortgaged on a V-bounce to SS, net of premium. Total P&L @ SS = absolute position P&L if the stock closes at SS; "vs do-nothing" = opportunity cost against holding all 2 contracts at the conservative CC.