FORTRESS FIGHT: MU-LC970 @ $876.15

BE SS: $1220.00 | CC-SS: $1249.24 | 2 contracts (200 sh) | ⌂ PORTFOLIO

MU-LC970 @ $876.15 UNDERWATER $343.85 (28.2% below BE SS)

2 contracts (200 sh) | BE SS: $1220.00 | CC-SS: $1249.24 (banked floor $1,237.40) | IV: HIGH | Accounts: Neville:0865

LC: $970 exp 2028-01-21 (entry $645.074/sh)

SP: $1110 exp 2028-01-21 (entry $400.223/sh)

HP: $370 exp 2026-10-16 (entry $5.169/sh)

Economics

Max Loss	$198,000	(ND $250.00 + SW $740) x 200
Normal income ref	$31,431/mo	95% ann ROI on ML
Hedge rolling cost	$463/mo
Unrealized P&L	$-76,555	fortress legs from IBKR

INCOME GOALPOSTS & VELOCITY

50% INCOME FLOOR
$15,715/mo

HEDGE COVER
$463/mo

NORMAL INCOME
$31,431/mo (ATM CC, chain)

IC VELOCITY
1.6 mo to earn back $50,000

ML VELOCITY
6.3 mo to earn back $198,000

Deep drawdown confirmed: a CC at CC-SS $1249.24 (probe: $1250C 13d) brings only $23/mo (<20% of normal), so FIGHT below it is warranted.

🏦 CAMPAIGN LEDGER , realized CC income since 2026-07-02; banked cash shrinks the hole (shown as an info-only banked floor, the recommended CC-SS stays the pure recovery strike; seeded from open positions, reconciled from IBKR executions nightly)

Banked since 2026-07-02

$2,449

Hole (after banked)

$74,106

was $76,555 · 3% earned back

Cycles closed

Credit in flight

$1,610

CC-SS · banked floor (info)

$1,249.24 → $1,237.40

? 2 leg(s) closed as UNKNOWN (vanished with no fill in window): banked $0, conservative. Fix campaign.json by hand if wrong.

Open leg	Acct	Credit/sh	In flight	Opened
2x $1060C 17 Jul 2026	U13190865	$8.05	$1,610	2026-07-14

TECHNICALS (cc_timing weekly gate + daily trigger)

WEEKLYNEUTRAL · %B 66 (live) · RSI 63 · MACD bullish, hist falling

DAILYFALLING (provisional) · RSI 44 · %B 10 · hist rising (nightly)

LEVELSUpper BB (CC ceiling) $1,239.43 (+41%) · daily UBB $1,229.80 · 1-wk expected move ±$124 (chain IV)

SETUPNo tilt: engine default. (advisory; floors and picks are chain-only)

⚠ Next earnings 2026-09-24: candidates whose expiry crosses it are flagged in the spectrum; EV is unreliable across earnings.

INTERPRETATION

Primary: 2 contracts at $980 / 8d. This is the safest strike (survival 79%, breach 21%) that still earns 50% of normal income ($15,715/mo); it brings $15,938/mo. The engine maximizes the odds the pullback never reaches your strike, rather than chasing the fattest near-ATM premium.

More income, less safety: the ladder tops out at 2 × $910/8d for $32,025/mo, but breach risk rises to 38% (+17pp vs the primary). The lower strike is hit by a smaller bounce.

More safety, less income: for just the hedge you can sit at 2 × $1250/8d (98% survival, $765/mo).

Downside anchor: the primary mortgages $49,598 (99% of IC) ONLY on a full V-bounce all the way to SS $1220, recoverable in 1.6 months of normal income. That is the rare tail; the frequent case is the strike holding. Surgical close on the 2 contracts realizes $-76,845 and cuts bleed by $463/mo.

📅 Two weekly tracks, this Friday & next Friday

Each Friday gets its own recommended pick and full income ladder (safest strike per income rung, sized across your 2 contracts). The master ranks the two by E[net]/mo to pick one grand pick; both are shown here so you can choose the tenor that fits your roll cadence.

🏆 Grand pick: NEXT FRIDAY · 24 Jul 2026 (8d) · sell 2 × $980, 79% survival, $15,938/mo (E[net] $2,939/mo).
This week's Friday is inside the pin/gamma window, so only the next weekly is shown.

Track	Expiry	Sell	Survival	Income/mo	E[net]/mo
NEXT FRIDAY 🏆	24 Jul 2026 · 8d	2 × $980	79%	$15,938	$2,939

📅 NEXT FRIDAY · 24 Jul 2026 · 8d · E[net] $2,939/mo 🏆 GRAND PICK

🎯 Engine pick: sell 2 × $980 (primary), 79% survival, breach 21%, $15,938/mo.
⚖️ Worth a safer step: the $1017.50 rung (33% normal) lifts survival to 86% (breach 21% → 14%) for $5,212/mo less (33% income), and it still covers your hedge. The pick sits below the ~80% (≈1σ) comfort line; on a drawdown you are nursing back, dodging the frequent breach usually beats the extra premium. Lean: the safer $1017.50 rung, unless you need the income to cover the hedge bleed, or you expect MU to stay flat-to-down near term.

MU spot $876.15 · click a rung to expand its decision panel

Rung

Sell

Expiry

DTE

OTM

Survival

Touch odds

Per cycle

Income/mo

Δ vs pick

Cap give-up

▸

cover hedge

2 × $1250

24 Jul

42.7%

98%

$204

$765

-$15,172

Sell 2 × $1250 42.7% OTM over spot $876.15 24 Jul 2026 (8d, $1.39 mid)

= $204 credit for the 8d cycle → $765/mo projected

Survival (stays ≤ $1250)

98%

Breach risk

POP (stays ≤ $1251.39)

98%

EV / mo

+$473

📈 CAMPAIGN OUTLOOK (400 paths, sell-roll-repeat this rung for 9 mo) whole in 1.6 mo [0.7-3.2] median · 54% of paths whole by 9 mo (vs 54% without) · ~0.4 challenges expected · median CC cash $180

🛡 IF CHALLENGED (spot reaches the strike) · challenge = the strike is touched at any point, so it runs ~2x the breach risk (finishing through it)

Challenge odds (touch by expiry)

Flat exit net (mid-life)

-$12,723

Free roll-up

none

Safest escape (by 7 Aug 2026)

$1,319 @ 74% POP

65% survival

Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 2 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 4 of 8); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic

Buyback gross: $91.36/sh now → $64.64 mid-life → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $1.02/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$63.62/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (2 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$1,250	27 Jul 2026	7d left	-$6.46/sh	-$1,291 cycle -$1,087	67% surv 52%	-$180 NOT cap gain +$76,375
Max even-money escape in the band	~$1,319	7 Aug 2026	18d left	+$1.31/sh	+$262 cycle +$466	74% surv 65%	+$15,638 SAFE cap gain +$92,193

If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L ≥ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same from-entry basis as this tool's @cap / total-exit numbers, at the rolled strike.

POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP.

Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted -0.4 vol pt per +1% move (equity skew: vol eases as spot rises; buyback shift floored at 0). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened.

More detail, income coverage, downside budget, tripwires, held-to-expiry ladder, V-bounce stress

Income coverage

Gross FIGHT income	$765/mo
vs 50% target ($15,715/mo)	-95%
vs normal income ($31,431/mo)	2% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$302/mo

Downside budget

✓ $1250 is at/above CC-SS $1249.24: assignment is break-even or better.

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$0
… as % of IC ($50,000)	0.0%
… as % of ML ($198,000)	0.0%
Recovery months (at normal income)	0.0 mo
Surgical close (2 ct)	$-76,629

Tripwiresprice and time left decide together; the matrix is the playbook

The one rule: roll when the short call's remaining TIME VALUE < $0.26/sh (~25% of the $1.02 collected) or spot ≥ $1,251.39 (breakeven), whichever comes first. Time value = call mark price minus intrinsic (max(0, spot − $1,250)); NOT the premium you collected. Momentum override: two daily closes above $1,229.80 (daily upper band) or daily RSI > 70 → treat "pressing" as "through".

Spot \ Time	≥ 5d left	3-4d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $1,237.50	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $1,238-1,251.39	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $1,251.39	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

If held to expiryexact, settlement = intrinsic · fortress delta 1.04 (IBKR)

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$1,250.00 (2.8σ)	$204	$1,111	+$77,666	+$6,094
+2.5%	$1,281.25 (3.1σ)	$-6,046	$1,336	+$77,891	+$6,094
+5%	$1,312.50 (3.3σ)	$-12,296	$1,561	+$78,116	+$6,094

V-BOUNCE STRESS (stock → CC-SS $1249.24, where you are whole again, by expiry)

Starting unrealized P&L: $-76,555

+ Fortress recovery (un-capped): +$77,304

− CC assignment net of premium (2 × $1250): -$0

Total Position P&L @ SS: $749 (+$77,304 vs today)

Do-nothing baseline at SS: $-4,989 (this trade vs do-nothing: +$5,738, the opportunity cost of earning $765/mo FIGHT income now)

▸

🛡 safe yield

2 × $1060

24 Jul

21.0%

90%

20%

$1,740

$6,525

-$9,412

$36,108

Sell 2 × $1060 21.0% OTM over spot $876.15 24 Jul 2026 (8d, $9.65 mid)

= $1,740 credit for the 8d cycle → $6,525/mo projected

Survival (stays ≤ $1060)

90%

Breach risk

10%

POP (stays ≤ $1069.65)

91%

EV / mo

+$3,265

📈 CAMPAIGN OUTLOOK (400 paths, sell-roll-repeat this rung for 9 mo) whole in 1.8 mo [0.9-3.6] median, 0.1 mo faster than no FIGHT (1.9 mo) · 59% of paths whole by 9 mo (vs 55% without) · ~2.8 challenges expected · median CC cash $15,891

🛡 IF CHALLENGED (spot reaches the strike) · challenge = the strike is touched at any point, so it runs ~2x the breach risk (finishing through it)

Challenge odds (touch by expiry)

15%

Flat exit net (mid-life)

-$9,223

Free roll-up

none

Safest escape (by 7 Aug 2026)

$1,169 @ 78% POP

72% survival

Buyback gross: $77.47/sh now → $54.81 mid-life (likely $48.03–$82.20) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $8.70/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$46.11/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours

📊 Across 462 simulated challenges: the $1,060 strike is typically first touched on day 5 of 8, at $1,094 (overshoots $34.28). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (2 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%)	~$1,124	7 Aug 2026	18d left	+$7.31/sh	+$1,462 cycle +$3,202 [-$614…+$3,263] · 67% credit	74% surv 65%	-$22,030 NOT cap gain +$54,525
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$1,060	27 Jul 2026	7d left	-$0.44/sh	-$88 cycle +$1,652 [-$1,119…+$1,388] · 48% credit	67% surv 53%	-$36,809 NOT cap gain +$39,746
Max even-money escape in the band	~$1,144	7 Aug 2026	18d left	+$0.71/sh	+$142 cycle +$1,882 [-$2,209…+$1,807] · 46% credit	76% surv 68%	-$19,206 NOT cap gain +$57,349
SS $1,220 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)	~$1,169	7 Aug 2026	18d left	-$8.00/sh	-$1,600 cycle +$140 [-$4,280…-$22] · 24% credit	78% surv 72%	-$15,767 NOT cap gain +$60,788
budget: banked $1,740 debit $1,600 (92% used ≈ 1.1 wk of income) → whole cycle still +$140 cash · rolled 2 ct earn ≈ $15,604/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell

More detail, income coverage, downside budget, tripwires, held-to-expiry ladder, V-bounce stress

Income coverage

Gross FIGHT income	$6,525/mo
vs 50% target ($15,715/mo)	-58%
vs normal income ($31,431/mo)	21% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$6,062/mo

Downside budget

⚠ $1060 is $189 below CC-SS $1249.24: assignment on a recovery to whole locks the cap give-up below.

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$36,108
… as % of IC ($50,000)	72.2%
… as % of ML ($198,000)	18.2%
Recovery months (at normal income)	1.1 mo
Surgical close (2 ct)	$-76,745

Tripwiresprice and time left decide together; the matrix is the playbook

The one rule: roll when the short call's remaining TIME VALUE < $2.17/sh (~25% of the $8.70 collected) or spot ≥ $1,069.65 (breakeven), whichever comes first. Time value = call mark price minus intrinsic (max(0, spot − $1,060)); NOT the premium you collected. Momentum override: two daily closes above $1,229.80 (daily upper band) or daily RSI > 70 → treat "pressing" as "through".

Spot \ Time	≥ 5d left	3-4d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $1,049.40	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $1,049-1,069.65	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $1,069.65	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

If held to expiryexact, settlement = intrinsic · fortress delta 1.04 (IBKR)

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$1,060.00 (1.4σ)	$1,740	$-36,721	+$39,834	+$1,630
+2.5%	$1,086.50 (1.6σ)	$-3,560	$-36,530	+$40,025	-$3,670
+5%	$1,113.00 (1.8σ)	$-8,860	$-36,340	+$40,215	-$8,970
SS (= V-bounce)	$1,220.00 (2.6σ)	$-30,260	$-35,569	+$40,986	-$30,370

V-BOUNCE STRESS (stock → CC-SS $1249.24, where you are whole again, by expiry)

Starting unrealized P&L: $-76,555

+ Fortress recovery (un-capped): +$77,304

− CC assignment net of premium (2 × $1060): -$36,108

Total Position P&L @ SS: $-35,359 (+$41,196 vs today)

Do-nothing baseline at SS: $-4,989 (this trade vs do-nothing: $-30,370, the opportunity cost of earning $6,525/mo FIGHT income now)

▸

33% normal ← lean

2 × $1017.50

24 Jul

16.1%

86%

30%

$2,860

$10,725

-$5,212

$43,488

Sell 2 × $1017.50 16.1% OTM over spot $876.15 24 Jul 2026 (8d, $15.25 mid)

= $2,860 credit for the 8d cycle → $10,725/mo projected

Survival (stays ≤ $1017.50)

86%

Breach risk

14%

POP (stays ≤ $1032.75)

88%

EV / mo

+$5,261

📈 CAMPAIGN OUTLOOK (400 paths, sell-roll-repeat this rung for 9 mo) whole in 1.8 mo [0.9-3.7] median · 63% of paths whole by 9 mo (vs 54% without) · ~4.2 challenges expected · median CC cash $24,254

🛡 IF CHALLENGED (spot reaches the strike) · challenge = the strike is touched at any point, so it runs ~2x the breach risk (finishing through it)

Challenge odds (touch by expiry)

24%

Flat exit net (mid-life)

-$7,663

Free roll-up

none

Safest escape (by 7 Aug 2026)

$1,151 @ 80% POP

75% survival

Buyback gross: $74.37/sh now → $52.61 mid-life (likely $52.71–$81.48) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $14.30/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$38.31/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours

📊 Across 713 simulated challenges: the $1,018 strike is typically first touched on day 5 of 8, at $1,051 (overshoots $33.54). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (2 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%)	~$1,081	7 Aug 2026	18d left	+$7.85/sh	+$1,569 cycle +$4,429 [-$696…+$2,358] · 62% credit	74% surv 65%	-$29,608 NOT cap gain +$46,947
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$1,018	27 Jul 2026	7d left	+$0.66/sh	+$131 cycle +$2,991 [-$1,018…+$897] · 45% credit	67% surv 53%	-$44,276 NOT cap gain +$32,279
Max even-money escape in the band	~$1,101	7 Aug 2026	18d left	+$1.30/sh	+$261 cycle +$3,121 [-$2,241…+$903] · 38% credit	76% surv 68%	-$26,773 NOT cap gain +$49,782
SS $1,220 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)	~$1,151	7 Aug 2026	18d left	-$13.97/sh	-$2,793 cycle +$67 [-$5,948…-$2,380] · 8% credit	80% surv 75%	-$19,467 NOT cap gain +$57,088
budget: banked $2,860 debit $2,793 (98% used ≈ 1.1 wk of income) → whole cycle still +$67 cash · rolled 2 ct earn ≈ $12,883/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell

More detail, income coverage, downside budget, tripwires, held-to-expiry ladder, V-bounce stress

Income coverage

Gross FIGHT income	$10,725/mo
vs 50% target ($15,715/mo)	-32%
vs normal income ($31,431/mo)	34% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$10,262/mo

Downside budget

⚠ $1017.50 is $232 below CC-SS $1249.24: assignment on a recovery to whole locks the cap give-up below.

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$43,488
… as % of IC ($50,000)	87.0%
… as % of ML ($198,000)	22.0%
Recovery months (at normal income)	1.4 mo
Surgical close (2 ct)	$-76,745

Tripwiresprice and time left decide together; the matrix is the playbook

The one rule: roll when the short call's remaining TIME VALUE < $3.58/sh (~25% of the $14.30 collected) or spot ≥ $1,032.75 (breakeven), whichever comes first. Time value = call mark price minus intrinsic (max(0, spot − $1,018)); NOT the premium you collected. Momentum override: two daily closes above $1,229.80 (daily upper band) or daily RSI > 70 → treat "pressing" as "through".

Spot \ Time	≥ 5d left	3-4d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $1,007.33	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $1,007-1,032.75	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $1,032.75	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

If held to expiryexact, settlement = intrinsic · fortress delta 1.04 (IBKR)

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$1,017.50 (1.1σ)	$2,860	$-44,407	+$32,148	+$2,750
+2.5%	$1,042.94 (1.3σ)	$-2,228	$-44,224	+$32,331	-$2,338
+5%	$1,068.38 (1.5σ)	$-7,315	$-44,041	+$32,514	-$7,425
SS (= V-bounce)	$1,220.00 (2.6σ)	$-37,640	$-42,949	+$33,606	-$37,750

V-BOUNCE STRESS (stock → CC-SS $1249.24, where you are whole again, by expiry)

Starting unrealized P&L: $-76,555

+ Fortress recovery (un-capped): +$77,304

− CC assignment net of premium (2 × $1017.50): -$43,488

Total Position P&L @ SS: $-42,739 (+$33,816 vs today)

Do-nothing baseline at SS: $-4,989 (this trade vs do-nothing: $-37,750, the opportunity cost of earning $10,725/mo FIGHT income now)

▸

🎯 50% normal

2 × $980

24 Jul

11.9%

79%

34%

$4,250

$15,938

—

$49,598

Sell 2 × $980 11.9% OTM over spot $876.15 24 Jul 2026 (8d, $22.70 mid)

= $4,250 credit for the 8d cycle → $15,938/mo projected

Survival (stays ≤ $980)

79%

Breach risk

21%

POP (stays ≤ $1002.70)

83%

EV / mo

+$6,536

📈 CAMPAIGN OUTLOOK (400 paths, sell-roll-repeat this rung for 9 mo) whole in 1.7 mo [0.9-3.9] median · 63% of paths whole by 9 mo (vs 54% without) · ~6.4 challenges expected · median CC cash $31,453

🛡 IF CHALLENGED (spot reaches the strike) · challenge = the strike is touched at any point, so it runs ~2x the breach risk (finishing through it)

Challenge odds (touch by expiry)

34%

Flat exit net (mid-life)

-$5,885

Free roll-up

none

Safest escape (by 7 Aug 2026)

$1,149 @ 83% POP

80% survival

Buyback gross: $71.63/sh now → $50.68 mid-life (likely $53.40–$83.07) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $21.25/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$29.43/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours

📊 Across 1,026 simulated challenges: the $980 strike is typically first touched on day 4 of 8, at $1,012 (overshoots $31.87). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (2 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%)	~$1,039	7 Aug 2026	18d left	+$10.16/sh	+$2,031 cycle +$6,281 [-$514…+$2,398] · 66% credit	74% surv 65%	-$36,562 NOT cap gain +$39,993
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$980	27 Jul 2026	7d left	+$1.55/sh	+$310 cycle +$4,560 [-$1,049…+$731] · 37% credit	67% surv 53%	-$50,477 NOT cap gain +$26,078
Max even-money escape in the band	~$1,064	7 Aug 2026	18d left	+$1.72/sh	+$344 cycle +$4,594 [-$2,528…+$475] · 31% credit	76% surv 69%	-$33,069 NOT cap gain +$43,486
SS $1,220 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)	~$1,149	7 Aug 2026	18d left	-$21.09/sh	-$4,218 cycle +$32 [-$8,303…-$4,458] · 2% credit	83% surv 80%	-$20,019 NOT cap gain +$56,536
budget: banked $4,250 debit $4,218 (99% used ≈ 1.1 wk of income) → whole cycle still +$32 cash · rolled 2 ct earn ≈ $9,862/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell

More detail, income coverage, downside budget, tripwires, held-to-expiry ladder, V-bounce stress

Income coverage

Gross FIGHT income	$15,938/mo
vs 50% target ($15,715/mo)	+1%
vs normal income ($31,431/mo)	51% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$15,474/mo

Downside budget

⚠ $980 is $269 below CC-SS $1249.24: assignment on a recovery to whole locks the cap give-up below.

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$49,598
… as % of IC ($50,000)	99.2%
… as % of ML ($198,000)	25.0%
Recovery months (at normal income)	1.6 mo
Surgical close (2 ct)	$-76,845

Tripwiresprice and time left decide together; the matrix is the playbook

The one rule: roll when the short call's remaining TIME VALUE < $5.31/sh (~25% of the $21.25 collected) or spot ≥ $1,002.70 (breakeven), whichever comes first. Time value = call mark price minus intrinsic (max(0, spot − $980)); NOT the premium you collected. Momentum override: two daily closes above $1,229.80 (daily upper band) or daily RSI > 70 → treat "pressing" as "through".

Spot \ Time	≥ 5d left	3-4d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $970.20	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $970-1,002.70	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $1,002.70	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

If held to expiryexact, settlement = intrinsic · fortress delta 1.04 (IBKR)

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$980.00 (≤1σ, normal week)	$4,250	$-50,787	+$25,768	+$4,140
+2.5%	$1,004.50 (≤1σ, normal week)	$-650	$-50,611	+$25,944	-$760
+5%	$1,029.00 (1.2σ)	$-5,550	$-50,434	+$26,121	-$5,660
SS (= V-bounce)	$1,220.00 (2.6σ)	$-43,750	$-49,059	+$27,496	-$43,860

V-BOUNCE STRESS (stock → CC-SS $1249.24, where you are whole again, by expiry)

Starting unrealized P&L: $-76,555

+ Fortress recovery (un-capped): +$77,304

− CC assignment net of premium (2 × $980): -$49,598

Total Position P&L @ SS: $-48,849 (+$27,706 vs today)

Do-nothing baseline at SS: $-4,989 (this trade vs do-nothing: $-43,860, the opportunity cost of earning $15,938/mo FIGHT income now)

▸

100% normal

2 × $910

24 Jul

3.9%

62%

80%

$8,540

$32,025

+$16,088

$59,308

Sell 2 × $910 3.9% OTM over spot $876.15 24 Jul 2026 (8d, $44.55 mid)

= $8,540 credit for the 8d cycle → $32,025/mo projected

Survival (stays ≤ $910)

62%

Breach risk

38%

POP (stays ≤ $954.55)

73%

EV / mo

+$7,217

📈 CAMPAIGN OUTLOOK (400 paths, sell-roll-repeat this rung for 9 mo) whole in 1.4 mo [0.7-3.1] median · 63% of paths whole by 9 mo (vs 50% without) · ~15.3 challenges expected · median CC cash $36,451

🛡 IF CHALLENGED (spot reaches the strike) · challenge = the strike is touched at any point, so it runs ~2x the breach risk (finishing through it)

Challenge odds (touch by expiry)

64%

Flat exit net (mid-life)

-$871

Free roll-up

+$9/wk

Safest escape (by 7 Aug 2026)

$1,174 @ 90% POP

89% survival

Buyback gross: $66.51/sh now → $47.06 mid-life (likely $61.84–$86.26) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $42.70/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$4.36/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours

📊 Across 1,910 simulated challenges: the $910 strike is typically first touched on day 3 of 8, at $942 (overshoots $31.94). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (2 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%)	~$959	7 Aug 2026	18d left	+$14.36/sh	+$2,871 cycle +$11,411 [-$198…+$1,581] · 71% credit	73% surv 64%	-$48,008 NOT cap gain +$28,547
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$910	27 Jul 2026	7d left	+$3.03/sh	+$606 cycle +$9,146 [-$1,177…-$109] · 22% credit	68% surv 53%	-$60,395 NOT cap gain +$16,160
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)	~$914	27 Jul 2026	7d left	+$1.05/sh	+$210 cycle +$8,750 [-$1,675…-$572] · 15% credit	68% surv 54%	-$59,993 NOT cap gain +$16,562
Max even-money escape in the band	~$999	7 Aug 2026	18d left	+$0.09/sh	+$18 cycle +$8,558 [-$3,721…-$1,467] · 10% credit	77% surv 70%	-$42,574 NOT cap gain +$33,981
SS $1,220 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)	~$1,174	7 Aug 2026	18d left	-$32.62/sh	-$6,524 cycle +$2,016 [-$12,488…-$8,780]	90% surv 89%	-$12,855 NOT cap gain +$63,700
budget: banked $8,540 debit $6,524 (76% used ≈ 0.9 wk of income) → whole cycle still +$2,016 cash · rolled 2 ct earn ≈ $4,812/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell

More detail, income coverage, downside budget, tripwires, held-to-expiry ladder, V-bounce stress

Income coverage

Gross FIGHT income	$32,025/mo
vs 50% target ($15,715/mo)	+104%
vs normal income ($31,431/mo)	102% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$31,562/mo

Downside budget

⚠ $910 is $339 below CC-SS $1249.24: assignment on a recovery to whole locks the cap give-up below.

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$59,308
… as % of IC ($50,000)	118.6%
… as % of ML ($198,000)	30.0%
Recovery months (at normal income)	1.9 mo
Surgical close (2 ct)	$-76,925

Tripwiresprice and time left decide together; the matrix is the playbook

The one rule: roll when the short call's remaining TIME VALUE < $10.68/sh (~25% of the $42.70 collected) or spot ≥ $954.55 (breakeven), whichever comes first. Time value = call mark price minus intrinsic (max(0, spot − $910)); NOT the premium you collected. Momentum override: two daily closes above $1,229.80 (daily upper band) or daily RSI > 70 → treat "pressing" as "through".

Spot \ Time	≥ 5d left	3-4d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $900.90	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $901-954.55	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $954.55	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

If held to expiryexact, settlement = intrinsic · fortress delta 1.04 (IBKR)

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$910.00 (≤1σ, normal week)	$8,540	$-61,001	+$15,554	+$8,430
+2.5%	$932.75 (≤1σ, normal week)	$3,990	$-60,837	+$15,718	+$3,880
+5%	$955.50 (≤1σ, normal week)	$-560	$-60,674	+$15,881	-$670
SS (= V-bounce)	$1,220.00 (2.6σ)	$-53,460	$-58,769	+$17,786	-$53,570

V-BOUNCE STRESS (stock → CC-SS $1249.24, where you are whole again, by expiry)

Starting unrealized P&L: $-76,555

+ Fortress recovery (un-capped): +$77,304

− CC assignment net of premium (2 × $910): -$59,308

Total Position P&L @ SS: $-58,559 (+$17,996 vs today)

Do-nothing baseline at SS: $-4,989 (this trade vs do-nothing: $-53,570, the opportunity cost of earning $32,025/mo FIGHT income now)

A nudge, not a rule: the engine maximizes income at acceptable safety; this weighs the income you would give up against the breach risk you would shed. Your hedge bleed and your read on MU are the tiebreakers.

⚔ FIGHT CC options · full candidate scan (157 clear the floor), click to expand

Every eligible strike x expiry in the 4-45 DTE band (7 expiries scanned, 157 clear the income floor), each sized to the minimum contracts that clear it. Sorted by survival (safest first): the primary 🎯 is the safest; rows below trade safety for income.

Fortress delta: 1.036 (IBKR) | Recovery@SS: +$77,304 (un-capped fortress gain if stock rallies to SS) | Do-nothing @ SS: $-4,989

Strike	DTE	Expiry	Bid	Sell	Income/mo	Net/mo	Survival	POP (mid)	EV/mo	Cap Give-up @ CC-SS	%IC	Total P&L @ SS
$950	4d	20 Jul 2026	$10.85	2/2	$16,275	$15,812	81%	84%	+$6,802	-$57,678	115.4%	$-56,929 (vs do-nothing $-51,940)
$945	4d	20 Jul 2026	$11.85	2/2	$17,775	$17,312	80%	84%	+$7,115	-$58,478	117.0%	$-57,729 (vs do-nothing $-52,740)
$980	8d	24 Jul 2026	$21.25	2/2	$15,938	$15,474	79%	83%	+$6,536	-$49,598	99.2%	$-48,849 (vs do-nothing $-43,860)
$965	6d	22 Jul 2026	$15.95	2/2	$15,950	$15,487	79%	83%	+$5,101	-$53,658	107.3%	$-52,909 (vs do-nothing $-47,920)
$975	8d	24 Jul 2026	$22.45	2/2	$16,838	$16,374	78%	83%	+$6,763	-$50,358	100.7%	$-49,609 (vs do-nothing $-44,620)
$940	4d	20 Jul 2026	$12.95	2/2	$19,425	$18,962	78%	83%	+$7,452	-$59,258	118.5%	$-58,509 (vs do-nothing $-53,520)
$960	6d	22 Jul 2026	$16.45	2/2	$16,450	$15,987	78%	82%	+$4,682	-$54,558	109.1%	$-53,809 (vs do-nothing $-48,820)
$970	8d	24 Jul 2026	$23.65	2/2	$17,738	$17,274	77%	82%	+$6,950	-$51,118	102.2%	$-50,369 (vs do-nothing $-45,380)
$935	4d	20 Jul 2026	$14.15	2/2	$21,225	$20,762	77%	81%	+$7,806	-$60,018	120.0%	$-59,269 (vs do-nothing $-54,280)
$955	6d	22 Jul 2026	$18.25	2/2	$18,250	$17,787	77%	81%	+$5,500	-$55,198	110.4%	$-54,449 (vs do-nothing $-49,460)
$965	8d	24 Jul 2026	$24.50	2/2	$18,375	$17,912	76%	81%	+$6,832	-$51,948	103.9%	$-51,199 (vs do-nothing $-46,210)
$950	6d	22 Jul 2026	$19.70	2/2	$19,700	$19,237	75%	80%	+$5,901	-$55,908	111.8%	$-55,159 (vs do-nothing $-50,170)
$930	4d	20 Jul 2026	$15.55	2/2	$23,325	$22,862	75%	80%	+$8,317	-$60,738	121.5%	$-59,989 (vs do-nothing $-55,000)

Show 144 more candidates (lower strikes: more income, lower survival)

Showing the 60 next-safest rows of 144.

Strike	DTE	Expiry	Bid	Sell	Income/mo	Net/mo	Survival	POP (mid)	EV/mo	Cap Give-up @ CC-SS	%IC	Total P&L @ SS
$960	8d	24 Jul 2026	$26.25	2/2	$19,688	$19,224	75%	80%	+$6,294	-$52,598	105.2%	$-51,849 (vs do-nothing $-46,860)
$945	6d	22 Jul 2026	$20.15	2/2	$20,150	$19,687	74%	79%	+$5,233	-$56,818	113.6%	$-56,069 (vs do-nothing $-51,080)
$955	8d	24 Jul 2026	$28.00	2/2	$21,000	$20,537	73%	79%	+$6,707	-$53,248	106.5%	$-52,499 (vs do-nothing $-47,510)
$975	15d	31 Jul 2026	$39.50	2/2	$15,800	$15,337	73%	79%	+$5,011	-$46,948	93.9%	$-46,199 (vs do-nothing $-41,210)
$925	4d	20 Jul 2026	$16.25	2/2	$24,375	$23,912	73%	79%	+$7,627	-$61,598	123.2%	$-60,849 (vs do-nothing $-55,860)
$952.50	8d	24 Jul 2026	$28.25	2/2	$21,188	$20,724	73%	79%	+$6,426	-$53,698	107.4%	$-52,949 (vs do-nothing $-47,960)
$940	6d	22 Jul 2026	$22.50	2/2	$22,500	$22,037	73%	79%	+$6,392	-$57,348	114.7%	$-56,599 (vs do-nothing $-51,610)
$955	11d	27 Jul 2026	$29.15	2/2	$15,900	$15,437	72%	79%	+$3,923	-$53,018	106.0%	$-52,269 (vs do-nothing $-47,280)
$970	15d	31 Jul 2026	$41.30	2/2	$16,520	$16,057	72%	79%	+$5,236	-$47,588	95.2%	$-46,839 (vs do-nothing $-41,850)
$950	8d	24 Jul 2026	$29.35	2/2	$22,012	$21,549	72%	79%	+$6,770	-$53,978	108.0%	$-53,229 (vs do-nothing $-48,240)
$960	13d	29 Jul 2026	$34.55	2/2	$15,946	$15,483	72%	78%	+$3,999	-$50,938	101.9%	$-50,189 (vs do-nothing $-45,200)
$947.50	8d	24 Jul 2026	$29.90	2/2	$22,425	$21,962	72%	78%	+$6,689	-$54,368	108.7%	$-53,619 (vs do-nothing $-48,630)
$965	15d	31 Jul 2026	$41.65	2/2	$16,660	$16,197	72%	79%	+$4,861	-$48,518	97.0%	$-47,769 (vs do-nothing $-42,780)
$950	11d	27 Jul 2026	$30.95	2/2	$16,882	$16,419	71%	78%	+$4,179	-$53,658	107.3%	$-52,909 (vs do-nothing $-47,920)
$935	6d	22 Jul 2026	$23.65	2/2	$23,650	$23,187	71%	78%	+$6,276	-$58,118	116.2%	$-57,369 (vs do-nothing $-52,380)
$945	8d	24 Jul 2026	$30.70	2/2	$23,025	$22,562	71%	78%	+$6,782	-$54,708	109.4%	$-53,959 (vs do-nothing $-48,970)
$920	4d	20 Jul 2026	$18.45	2/2	$27,675	$27,212	71%	78%	+$9,026	-$62,158	124.3%	$-61,409 (vs do-nothing $-56,420)
$955	13d	29 Jul 2026	$36.15	2/2	$16,685	$16,222	71%	78%	+$4,113	-$51,618	103.2%	$-50,869 (vs do-nothing $-45,880)
$960	15d	31 Jul 2026	$43.75	2/2	$17,500	$17,037	71%	78%	+$5,168	-$49,098	98.2%	$-48,349 (vs do-nothing $-43,360)
$942.50	8d	24 Jul 2026	$31.45	2/2	$23,588	$23,124	71%	78%	+$6,824	-$55,058	110.1%	$-54,309 (vs do-nothing $-49,320)
$945	11d	27 Jul 2026	$32.35	2/2	$17,645	$17,182	70%	77%	+$4,181	-$54,378	108.8%	$-53,629 (vs do-nothing $-48,640)
$940	8d	24 Jul 2026	$31.35	2/2	$23,512	$23,049	70%	77%	+$6,216	-$55,578	111.2%	$-54,829 (vs do-nothing $-49,840)
$950	13d	29 Jul 2026	$37.80	2/2	$17,446	$16,983	70%	77%	+$4,222	-$52,288	104.6%	$-51,539 (vs do-nothing $-46,550)
$930	6d	22 Jul 2026	$25.50	2/2	$25,500	$25,037	70%	77%	+$6,782	-$58,748	117.5%	$-57,999 (vs do-nothing $-53,010)
$955	15d	31 Jul 2026	$45.45	2/2	$18,180	$17,717	70%	77%	+$5,295	-$49,758	99.5%	$-49,009 (vs do-nothing $-44,020)
$937.50	8d	24 Jul 2026	$33.00	2/2	$24,750	$24,287	69%	77%	+$6,906	-$55,748	111.5%	$-54,999 (vs do-nothing $-50,010)
$952.50	15d	31 Jul 2026	$46.45	2/2	$18,580	$18,117	69%	77%	+$5,411	-$50,058	100.1%	$-49,309 (vs do-nothing $-44,320)
$940	11d	27 Jul 2026	$34.70	2/2	$18,927	$18,464	69%	77%	+$4,665	-$54,908	109.8%	$-54,159 (vs do-nothing $-49,170)
$915	4d	20 Jul 2026	$20.05	2/2	$30,075	$29,612	69%	77%	+$9,356	-$62,838	125.7%	$-62,089 (vs do-nothing $-57,100)
$945	13d	29 Jul 2026	$39.45	2/2	$18,208	$17,745	69%	77%	+$4,303	-$52,958	105.9%	$-52,209 (vs do-nothing $-47,220)
$950	15d	31 Jul 2026	$47.05	2/2	$18,820	$18,357	69%	77%	+$5,361	-$50,438	100.9%	$-49,689 (vs do-nothing $-44,700)
$935	8d	24 Jul 2026	$33.75	2/2	$25,312	$24,849	69%	77%	+$6,908	-$56,098	112.2%	$-55,349 (vs do-nothing $-50,360)
$947.50	15d	31 Jul 2026	$47.10	2/2	$18,840	$18,377	69%	77%	+$5,087	-$50,928	101.9%	$-50,179 (vs do-nothing $-45,190)
$925	6d	22 Jul 2026	$27.00	2/2	$27,000	$26,537	68%	76%	+$6,857	-$59,448	118.9%	$-58,699 (vs do-nothing $-53,710)
$932.50	8d	24 Jul 2026	$34.50	2/2	$25,875	$25,412	68%	76%	+$6,896	-$56,448	112.9%	$-55,699 (vs do-nothing $-50,710)
$945	15d	31 Jul 2026	$47.95	2/2	$19,180	$18,717	68%	77%	+$5,128	-$51,258	102.5%	$-50,509 (vs do-nothing $-45,520)
$935	11d	27 Jul 2026	$35.75	2/2	$19,500	$19,037	68%	76%	+$4,401	-$55,698	111.4%	$-54,949 (vs do-nothing $-49,960)
$940	13d	29 Jul 2026	$41.20	2/2	$19,015	$18,552	68%	76%	+$4,401	-$53,608	107.2%	$-52,859 (vs do-nothing $-47,870)
$930	8d	24 Jul 2026	$35.15	2/2	$26,362	$25,899	68%	76%	+$6,794	-$56,818	113.6%	$-56,069 (vs do-nothing $-51,080)
$950	22d	7 Aug 2026	$58.55	2/2	$15,968	$15,505	67%	76%	+$3,435	-$48,138	96.3%	$-47,389 (vs do-nothing $-42,400)
$940	15d	31 Jul 2026	$49.65	2/2	$19,860	$19,397	67%	76%	+$5,193	-$51,918	103.8%	$-51,169 (vs do-nothing $-46,180)
$910	4d	20 Jul 2026	$21.70	1/2	$16,275	$15,939	67%	76%	+$4,792	-$31,754	63.5%	$-33,874 (vs do-nothing $-28,885)
$920	6d	22 Jul 2026	$28.65	2/2	$28,650	$28,187	67%	75%	+$6,998	-$60,118	120.2%	$-59,369 (vs do-nothing $-54,380)
$935	13d	29 Jul 2026	$43.00	2/2	$19,846	$19,383	67%	76%	+$4,494	-$54,248	108.5%	$-53,499 (vs do-nothing $-48,510)
$930	11d	27 Jul 2026	$37.60	2/2	$20,509	$20,046	67%	76%	+$4,535	-$56,328	112.7%	$-55,579 (vs do-nothing $-50,590)
$945	22d	7 Aug 2026	$60.40	2/2	$16,473	$16,010	67%	75%	+$3,506	-$48,768	97.5%	$-48,019 (vs do-nothing $-43,030)
$925	8d	24 Jul 2026	$35.70	2/2	$26,775	$26,312	66%	75%	+$5,986	-$57,708	115.4%	$-56,959 (vs do-nothing $-51,970)
$935	15d	31 Jul 2026	$51.40	2/2	$20,560	$20,097	66%	76%	+$5,257	-$52,568	105.1%	$-51,819 (vs do-nothing $-46,830)
$930	13d	29 Jul 2026	$44.85	2/2	$20,700	$20,237	66%	75%	+$4,579	-$54,878	109.8%	$-54,129 (vs do-nothing $-49,140)
$940	22d	7 Aug 2026	$62.20	2/2	$16,964	$16,501	66%	75%	+$3,552	-$49,408	98.8%	$-48,659 (vs do-nothing $-43,670)
$925	11d	27 Jul 2026	$39.50	2/2	$21,545	$21,082	66%	75%	+$4,656	-$56,948	113.9%	$-56,199 (vs do-nothing $-51,210)
$915	6d	22 Jul 2026	$29.05	2/2	$29,050	$28,587	65%	75%	+$5,803	-$61,038	122.1%	$-60,289 (vs do-nothing $-55,300)
$930	15d	31 Jul 2026	$53.80	2/2	$21,520	$21,057	65%	75%	+$5,559	-$53,088	106.2%	$-52,339 (vs do-nothing $-47,350)
$920	8d	24 Jul 2026	$39.00	2/2	$29,250	$28,787	65%	75%	+$7,181	-$58,048	116.1%	$-57,299 (vs do-nothing $-52,310)
$935	22d	7 Aug 2026	$64.15	2/2	$17,495	$17,032	65%	75%	+$3,626	-$50,018	100.0%	$-49,269 (vs do-nothing $-44,280)
$905	4d	20 Jul 2026	$21.85	1/2	$16,388	$16,051	65%	74%	+$3,687	-$32,239	64.5%	$-34,359 (vs do-nothing $-29,370)
$925	13d	29 Jul 2026	$46.75	2/2	$21,577	$21,114	65%	75%	+$4,657	-$55,498	111.0%	$-54,749 (vs do-nothing $-49,760)
$920	11d	27 Jul 2026	$41.45	2/2	$22,609	$22,146	65%	74%	+$4,764	-$57,558	115.1%	$-56,809 (vs do-nothing $-51,820)
$925	15d	31 Jul 2026	$56.00	2/2	$22,400	$21,937	64%	75%	+$5,758	-$53,648	107.3%	$-52,899 (vs do-nothing $-47,910)
$930	22d	7 Aug 2026	$66.10	2/2	$18,027	$17,564	64%	74%	+$3,687	-$50,628	101.3%	$-49,879 (vs do-nothing $-44,890)

Income/mo = FIGHT leg gross, DTE-prorated. Net/mo = FIGHT + conservative CC gross minus hedge cost. POP (mid) = probability stock closes at or below (strike + mid premium) at expiry, per-strike chain IV when available. Survival = CC expires fully worthless. EV/mo = premium minus expected buyback, monthly, with realized vol = IV x 85% (variance risk premium 15%). Cap give-up @ SS = recovery mortgaged on a V-bounce to SS, net of premium. Total P&L @ SS = absolute position P&L if the stock closes at SS; "vs do-nothing" = opportunity cost against holding all 2 contracts at the conservative CC.

fortress_fight.py v6.1 | 2026-07-16 21:38