FORTRESS FIGHT: MU-LC970 @ $989.42

BE SS: $1220.00 | CC-SS: $1227.50 | 2 contracts (200 sh) | ⌂ PORTFOLIO

MU-LC970 @ $989.42 UNDERWATER $230.58 (18.9% below BE SS)

2 contracts (200 sh) | BE SS: $1220.00 | CC-SS: $1227.50 (banked floor $1,182.83) | IV: HIGH | Accounts: Neville:0865

LC: $970 exp 2028-01-21 (entry $645.074/sh)

SP: $1110 exp 2028-01-21 (entry $400.223/sh)

HP: $390 exp 2026-11-20 (entry $0.823/sh)

Economics

Max Loss	$194,000	(ND $250.00 + SW $720) x 200
Normal income ref	$13,671/mo	95% ann ROI on ML
Hedge rolling cost	$69/mo
Unrealized P&L	$-51,404	fortress legs from IBKR

INCOME GOALPOSTS & VELOCITY

50% INCOME FLOOR
$6,836/mo

HEDGE COVER
$69/mo

NORMAL INCOME
$13,671/mo (ATM CC, chain)

IC VELOCITY
3.7 mo to earn back $50,000

ML VELOCITY
14.2 mo to earn back $194,000

Deep drawdown (unpriceable at CC-SS): no listed call within 92% of CC-SS $1227.50 in the fetched chain; the deepest available is $1105C (14d, $2,229/mo, a BELOW-CC-SS strike, not a safe CC). Income at true CC-SS ≈ $0, so FIGHT below it is warranted.

🏦 CAMPAIGN LEDGER , realized CC income since 2026-07-02; banked cash shrinks the hole (shown as an info-only banked floor, the recommended CC-SS stays the pure recovery strike; seeded from open positions, reconciled from IBKR executions nightly)

Banked since 2026-07-02

$9,621

Hole (after banked)

$41,783

was $51,404 · 19% earned back

Cycles closed

Credit in flight

CC-SS · banked floor (info)

$1,227.50 → $1,182.83

? 12 leg(s) closed as UNKNOWN (vanished with no fill in window): banked $0, conservative. Fix campaign.json by hand if wrong.

Full leg history (27) and event log · CLOSED 13 · UNKNOWN 12 · EXPIRED 2 · updated 2026-10-12 21:43

Status	Leg	Credit/sh	Credit	Opened	Closed	Close/sh	Banked	Account	Source
CLOSED	2x $1150C 16 Oct 2026	$10.10	$2,019	2026-10-06	2026-10-12	$1.49	$1,721	U13190865	execution
CLOSED	1x $1250C 23 Oct 2026	$11.73	$1,173	2026-10-05	2026-10-06	$5.20	$653	U13190865	snapshot
CLOSED	1x $1250C 23 Oct 2026	$11.73	$1,173	2026-10-05	2026-10-06	$4.99	$674	U13190865	snapshot
UNKNOWN	2x $1125C 14 Oct 2026	$12.74	$2,548	2026-10-02	2026-10-05	$12.74	$0	U13190865	snapshot
UNKNOWN	2x $1250C 23 Oct 2026	$34.32	$6,864	2026-09-09	2026-10-02	$34.32	$0	U13190865	execution
CLOSED	1x $1120C 2 Oct 2026	$31.27	$3,127	2026-09-08	2026-09-09	$41.30	$-1,003	U13190865	snapshot
CLOSED	1x $1120C 2 Oct 2026	$31.27	$3,127	2026-09-08	2026-09-09	$41.07	$-980	U13190865	snapshot
UNKNOWN	2x $1030C 18 Sep 2026	$13.97	$2,795	2026-09-02	2026-09-08	$13.97	$0	U13190865	execution
CLOSED	1x $1050C 18 Sep 2026	$17.87	$1,787	2026-08-28	2026-09-02	$10.78	$709	U13190865	snapshot
CLOSED	1x $1050C 18 Sep 2026	$17.87	$1,787	2026-08-28	2026-09-02	$10.77	$710	U13190865	snapshot
UNKNOWN	2x $1080C 18 Sep 2026	$15.18	$3,035	2026-08-25	2026-08-28	$15.18	$0	U13190865	execution
UNKNOWN	2x $1065C 11 Sep 2026	$20.25	$4,051	2026-08-20	2026-08-25	$20.25	$0	U13190865	snapshot
UNKNOWN	2x $1200C 18 Sep 2026	$32.04	$6,408	2026-08-18	2026-08-20	$32.04	$0	U13190865	snapshot
EXPIRED	2x $1000C 17 Aug 2026	$5.99	$1,199	2026-08-13	2026-08-18	$0.00	$1,199	U13190865	snapshot
CLOSED	2x $950C 14 Aug 2026	$6.25	$1,250	2026-08-10	2026-08-12	$2.00	$850	U13190865	execution
UNKNOWN	2x $1050C 10 Aug 2026	$6.30	$1,259	2026-08-06	2026-08-10	$6.30	$0	U13190865	snapshot
CLOSED	1x $985C 7 Aug 2026	$16.61	$1,661	2026-07-31	2026-08-05	$13.31	$330	U13190865	execution
CLOSED	1x $985C 7 Aug 2026	$16.61	$1,661	2026-07-31	2026-08-05	$13.31	$330	U13190865	execution
UNKNOWN	2x $1020C 31 Jul 2026	$6.25	$1,250	2026-07-28	2026-07-31	$6.25	$0	U13190865	execution
UNKNOWN	2x $1100C 31 Jul 2026	$8.00	$1,599	2026-07-27	2026-07-28	$8.00	$0	U13190865	snapshot
UNKNOWN	2x $1125C 31 Jul 2026	$21.25	$4,250	2026-07-23	2026-07-27	$21.25	$0	U13190865	execution
CLOSED	1x $1040C 24 Jul 2026	$7.99	$799	2026-07-18	2026-07-23	$6.15	$184	U13190865	snapshot
CLOSED	1x $1040C 24 Jul 2026	$7.99	$799	2026-07-18	2026-07-23	$6.15	$184	U13190865	snapshot
EXPIRED	2x $1060C 17 Jul 2026	$8.05	$1,610	2026-07-14	2026-07-18	$0.00	$1,610	U13190865	execution
UNKNOWN	2x $1155C 17 Jul 2026	$7.85	$1,570	2026-07-11	2026-07-14	$7.85	$0	U13190865	snapshot
UNKNOWN	2x $1180C 17 Jul 2026	$23.02	$4,604	2026-07-06	2026-07-11	$23.02	$0	U13190865	execution
CLOSED	2x $1275C 10 Jul 2026	$15.99	$3,199	2026-07-02	2026-07-02	$3.75	$2,449	U13190865	seed

Event log

2026-10-12 CLOSED 2x $1150C 20261016: banked $1,721

2026-10-06 CLOSED 1x $1250C 20261023: banked $653

2026-10-06 PARTIAL CLOSE 1x $1250C: banked $674 (1 remain)

2026-10-06 SOLD 1x $1150C 20261016 @ $10.20 (extends leg to 2)

2026-10-06 SOLD 1x $1150C 20261016 @ $9.99 (new leg)

2026-10-05 TRACKING 2x $1250C 20261023 @ $11.73 (snapshot)

2026-10-05 ? 2x $1125C 20261014 vanished with no fill in window: banked $0 (conservative), fix campaign.json by hand if wrong

2026-10-02 TRACKING 2x $1125C 20261014 @ $12.74 (snapshot)

2026-10-02 ? 2x $1250C 20261023 vanished with no fill in window: banked $0 (conservative), fix campaign.json by hand if wrong

2026-09-09 CLOSED 1x $1120C 20261002: banked $-1,003

2026-09-09 PARTIAL CLOSE 1x $1120C: banked $-980 (1 remain)

2026-09-09 SOLD 1x $1250C 20261023 @ $35.04 (extends leg to 2)

2026-09-09 SOLD 1x $1250C 20261023 @ $33.60 (new leg)

2026-09-08 TRACKING 2x $1120C 20261002 @ $31.27 (snapshot)

2026-09-08 ? 2x $1030C 20260918 vanished with no fill in window: banked $0 (conservative), fix campaign.json by hand if wrong

2026-09-02 CLOSED 1x $1050C 20260918: banked $709

2026-09-02 PARTIAL CLOSE 1x $1050C: banked $710 (1 remain)

2026-09-02 SOLD 1x $1030C 20260918 @ $13.98 (extends leg to 2)

2026-09-02 SOLD 1x $1030C 20260918 @ $13.97 (new leg)

2026-08-28 TRACKING 2x $1050C 20260918 @ $17.87 (snapshot)

2026-08-28 ? 2x $1080C 20260918 vanished with no fill in window: banked $0 (conservative), fix campaign.json by hand if wrong

2026-08-25 ? 2x $1065C 20260911 vanished with no fill in window: banked $0 (conservative), fix campaign.json by hand if wrong

2026-08-25 BOT 1x $1015C 20260911 @ $18.58 with no tracked leg (ignored)

2026-08-25 BOT 1x $1015C 20260911 @ $18.48 with no tracked leg (ignored)

2026-08-25 SOLD 1x $1080C 20260918 @ $15.17 (extends leg to 2)

2026-08-25 SOLD 1x $1080C 20260918 @ $15.18 (new leg)

2026-08-20 TRACKING 2x $1065C 20260911 @ $20.25 (snapshot)

2026-08-20 ? 2x $1200C 20260918 vanished with no fill in window: banked $0 (conservative), fix campaign.json by hand if wrong

2026-08-18 TRACKING 2x $1200C 20260918 @ $32.04 (snapshot)

2026-08-18 EXPIRED WORTHLESS 2x $1000C: banked $1,199

2026-08-13 TRACKING 2x $1000C 20260817 @ $5.99 (snapshot)

2026-08-12 CLOSED 2x $950C 20260814: banked $850

2026-08-10 ? 2x $1050C 20260810 vanished with no fill in window: banked $0 (conservative), fix campaign.json by hand if wrong

2026-08-10 SOLD 2x $950C 20260814 @ $6.25 (new leg)

2026-08-06 TRACKING 2x $1050C 20260810 @ $6.30 (snapshot)

2026-08-05 CLOSED 1x $985C 20260807: banked $330

2026-08-05 PARTIAL CLOSE 1x $985C: banked $330 (1 remain)

2026-07-31 ? 2x $1020C 20260731 vanished with no fill in window: banked $0 (conservative), fix campaign.json by hand if wrong

2026-07-31 BOT 1x $1010C 20260807 @ $12.61 with no tracked leg (ignored)

2026-07-31 BOT 1x $1010C 20260807 @ $12.62 with no tracked leg (ignored)

TECHNICALS (cc_timing weekly gate + daily trigger)

WEEKLYNEUTRAL · %B 53 (live) · RSI 58 · MACD bearish, hist falling

DAILYFALLING (provisional) · RSI 43 · %B 19 · hist falling (nightly)

LEVELSUpper BB (CC ceiling) $1,148.73 (+16%) · daily UBB $1,132.62 · 1-wk expected move ±$64 (chain IV)

SETUPNo tilt: engine default. (advisory; floors and picks are chain-only)

⚠ Next earnings 2026-12-23: candidates whose expiry crosses it are flagged in the spectrum; EV is unreliable across earnings.

INTERPRETATION

Primary: 2 contracts at $1055 / 4d. This is the safest strike (survival 87%, breach 13%) that still earns 50% of normal income ($6,836/mo); it brings $7,275/mo. The engine maximizes the odds the pullback never reaches your strike, rather than chasing the fattest near-ATM premium.

More income, less safety: the ladder tops out at 2 × $1030/4d for $13,800/mo, but breach risk rises to 23% (+10pp vs the primary). The lower strike is hit by a smaller bounce.

More safety, less income: for just the hedge you can sit at 1 × $1255/4d (99+% survival, $75/mo).

Downside anchor: the primary mortgages $33,529 (67% of IC) ONLY on a full V-bounce all the way to SS $1220, recoverable in 2.5 months of normal income. That is the rare tail; the frequent case is the strike holding. Surgical close on the 2 contracts realizes $-51,419 and cuts bleed by $69/mo.

📅 Two weekly tracks, this Friday & next Friday

Each Friday gets its own recommended pick and full income ladder (safest strike per income rung, sized across your 2 contracts). The master ranks the two by E[net]/mo to pick one grand pick; both are shown here so you can choose the tenor that fits your roll cadence.

🏆 Grand pick: THIS FRIDAY · 16 Oct 2026 (4d) · sell 2 × $1055, 87% survival, $7,275/mo (E[net] $4,279/mo).
The two weekly tracks below are ranked by E[net]/mo = income kept when unchallenged − the net cash cost and forgone cycle when it is. Each has its own full ladder.

Track	Expiry	Sell	Survival	Income/mo	E[net]/mo
THIS FRIDAY 🏆	16 Oct 2026 · 4d	2 × $1055	87%	$7,275	$4,279
NEXT FRIDAY	23 Oct 2026 · 11d	2 × $1045	76%	$7,336	$94

E[net] arithmetic on the grand pick: keep $970 with probability 85%; on the 15% touch you roll, paying $3,675 to close and taking $1,988 back from the best priced door (net cash $1,688) and parking about one cycle of income. Charging the FULL buyback with no door credit (the pre-2026-07-25 model) contradicted the campaign simulation, which prices the same event as a cash-neutral even roll.

📅 THIS FRIDAY · 16 Oct 2026 · 4d · E[net] $4,279/mo 🏆 GRAND PICK

🎯 Engine pick: sell 2 × $1055 (50% normal), 87% survival, breach 13%, $7,275/mo.
The pick is already past the ~80% (≈1σ) comfort line, so take the income. Stepping out to the $1065 rung (🛡 safe yield) lifts survival to 90% (breach 13% → 10%) for $1,650/mo less (23% income) buys safety you do not really need here.

MU spot $989.42 · click a rung to expand its decision panel

Rung

Sell

Expiry

DTE

OTM

Survival

Touch odds

FIGHT edge

Per cycle

Income/mo

Δ vs pick

Cap give-up

▸

cover hedge

1 × $1255

16 Oct

26.8%

99+%hist 95%

1%hist 4%

-0pp

$10

$75

-$7,200

Sell 1 × $1255 26.8% OTM over spot $989.42 16 Oct 2026 (4d, $0.14 mid)

= $10 credit for the 4d cycle → $75/mo projected

Survival (stays ≤ $1255)

99+%

Breach risk

POP (stays ≤ $1255.13)

99+%

EV / mo

+$61

📈 CAMPAIGN OUTLOOK (400 simulated futures, this rung on repeat for 9 months, no directional opinion)

FIGHT'S EDGE

-0pp

74% whole by 9mo vs 75% doing nothing

FIRE DRILLS

~0.0/quarter

challenges to roll; realized tends lower (calibration)

BANKED RATE WHILE FIGHTING

$255/mo

median; plan ~$173/mo after 68% keep · $431 banked by campaign end (selling stops once whole)

green: with FIGHT · grey: without

if it recovers, the typical trip is ~0.9 mo [0.4-2.1], measured ONLY among the 74% of futures that got whole

🛡 IF CHALLENGED (spot reaches the strike) · challenge = the strike is touched at any point, so it runs ~2x the breach risk (finishing through it)

Challenge odds (touch by expiry)

Flat exit net (mid-life)

-$2,176

Free roll-up

none

Safest escape (by 6 Nov 2026)

$1,316 @ 77% POP

71% survival

Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 1 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 2 of 4); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic

Buyback gross: $30.91/sh now → $21.86 mid-life → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $0.10/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$21.76/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (1 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$1,255	19 Oct 2026	5d left	-$0.55/sh	-$55 cycle -$45	67% surv 51%	+$4,423 SAFE cap gain +$55,827
Max even-money escape in the band	~$1,316	6 Nov 2026	23d left	+$0.47/sh	+$47 cycle +$57	77% surv 71%	+$11,987 SAFE cap gain +$63,391

If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L ≥ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same from-entry basis as this tool's @cap / total-exit numbers, at the rolled strike.

POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP.

Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted -0.4 vol pt per +1% move (equity skew: vol eases as spot rises; buyback shift floored at 0). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened.

More detail, income coverage, downside budget, tripwires, held-to-expiry ladder, V-bounce stress

Income coverage

Gross FIGHT income	$75/mo
vs 50% target ($6,836/mo)	-99%
vs normal income ($13,671/mo)	1% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$265/mo

Downside budget

✓ $1255 is at/above CC-SS $1227.50: assignment is break-even or better.

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$0
… as % of IC ($50,000)	0.0%
… as % of ML ($194,000)	0.0%
Recovery months (at normal income)	0.0 mo
Surgical close (1 ct)	$-25,706

Tripwiresprice and time left decide together; the matrix is the playbook

The one rule: roll when the short call's remaining TIME VALUE < $0.03/sh (~25% of the $0.10 collected) or spot ≥ $1,255.13 (breakeven), whichever comes first. Time value = call mark price minus intrinsic (max(0, spot − $1,255)); NOT the premium you collected. Momentum override: two daily closes above $1,132.62 (daily upper band) or daily RSI > 70 → treat "pressing" as "through".

Spot \ Time	≥ 4d left	3d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $1,242.45	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $1,242-1,255.13	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $1,255.13	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

If held to expiryexact, settlement = intrinsic · fortress delta 1.12 (IBKR)

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$1,255.00 (5.5σ)	$10	$4,477	+$55,881	+$3,415
+2.5%	$1,286.38 (6.1σ)	$-3,128	$5,205	+$56,609	+$3,415
+5%	$1,317.75 (6.8σ)	$-6,265	$5,933	+$57,337	+$3,415

V-BOUNCE STRESS (stock → CC-SS $1227.50, where you are whole again, by expiry)

Starting unrealized P&L: $-51,404

+ Fortress recovery (un-capped): +$53,137

− CC assignment net of premium (1 × $1255): -$0

− Conservative CC assignment net of premium (1 × $1220): -$655

Total Position P&L @ SS: $1,079 (+$52,483 vs today)

Do-nothing baseline at SS: $424 (this trade vs do-nothing: +$655, the opportunity cost of earning $75/mo FIGHT income now)

BB-reversion stress (→ $1,148.73 Upper BB (CC ceiling), the probable scenario per weekly technicals): CC give-up -$0, position total $-15,752 (+$35,652 vs today)

▸

33% normal

2 × $1072.50

16 Oct

8.4%

92%hist 95%

17%hist 14%

+4pp

$620

$4,650

-$2,625

$30,379

Sell 2 × $1072.50 8.4% OTM over spot $989.42 16 Oct 2026 (4d, $3.17 mid)

= $620 credit for the 4d cycle → $4,650/mo projected

Survival (stays ≤ $1072.50)

92%

Breach risk

POP (stays ≤ $1075.67)

92%

EV / mo

+$2,804

📈 CAMPAIGN OUTLOOK (400 simulated futures, this rung on repeat for 9 months, no directional opinion)

FIGHT'S EDGE

+4pp

66% whole by 9mo vs 62% doing nothing

FIRE DRILLS

~1.2/quarter

challenges to roll; realized tends lower (calibration)

BANKED RATE WHILE FIGHTING

$3,296/mo

median; plan ~$2,241/mo after 68% keep · $10,502 banked by campaign end (selling stops once whole)

green: with FIGHT · grey: without

if it recovers, the typical trip is ~1.5 mo [0.7-2.9], measured ONLY among the 66% of futures that got whole

🛡 IF CHALLENGED (spot reaches the strike) · challenge = the strike is touched at any point, so it runs ~2x the breach risk (finishing through it)

Challenge odds (touch by expiry)

Flat exit net (mid-life)

-$3,116

Free roll-up

+$13/wk

Safest escape (by 6 Nov 2026)

$1,168 @ 83% POP

80% survival

Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 2 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 2 of 4); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic

Buyback gross: $26.42/sh now → $18.68 mid-life (likely $15.91–$28.50) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $3.10/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$15.58/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours

📊 Across 235 simulated challenges: the $1,072 strike is typically first touched on day 3 of 4, at $1,087 (overshoots $14.55). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (2 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$1,072	19 Oct 2026	5d left	+$3.56/sh	+$713 cycle +$1,333 [+$645…+$1,323] · 96% credit	68% surv 51%	-$31,529 NOT cap gain +$19,875
Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%)	~$1,118	6 Nov 2026	23d left	+$9.64/sh	+$1,928 cycle +$2,548 [+$1,161…+$2,676] · 89% credit	74% surv 67%	-$20,141 NOT cap gain +$31,263
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)	~$1,078	19 Oct 2026	5d left	+$0.69/sh	+$138 cycle +$758 [-$124…+$700] · 71% credit	69% surv 55%	-$30,859 NOT cap gain +$20,545
Max even-money escape in the band	~$1,153	6 Nov 2026	23d left	+$0.39/sh	+$78 cycle +$698 [-$1,066…+$734] · 47% credit	81% surv 76%	-$14,180 NOT cap gain +$37,224
SS $1,220 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)	~$1,168	6 Nov 2026	23d left	-$2.88/sh	-$576 cycle +$44 [-$1,823…+$51] · 26% credit	83% surv 80%	-$11,485 NOT cap gain +$39,919
budget: banked $620 debit $576 (93% used ≈ 0.5 wk of income) → whole cycle still +$44 cash · rolled 2 ct earn ≈ $4,123/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell

More detail, income coverage, downside budget, tripwires, held-to-expiry ladder, V-bounce stress

Income coverage

Gross FIGHT income	$4,650/mo
vs 50% target ($6,836/mo)	-32%
vs normal income ($13,671/mo)	34% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$4,581/mo

Downside budget

⚠ $1072.50 is $155 below CC-SS $1227.50: assignment on a recovery to whole locks the cap give-up below.

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$30,379
… as % of IC ($50,000)	60.8%
… as % of ML ($194,000)	15.7%
Recovery months (at normal income)	2.2 mo
Surgical close (2 ct)	$-51,419

Tripwiresprice and time left decide together; the matrix is the playbook

The one rule: roll when the short call's remaining TIME VALUE < $0.78/sh (~25% of the $3.10 collected) or spot ≥ $1,075.67 (breakeven), whichever comes first. Time value = call mark price minus intrinsic (max(0, spot − $1,072)); NOT the premium you collected. Momentum override: two daily closes above $1,132.62 (daily upper band) or daily RSI > 70 → treat "pressing" as "through".

Spot \ Time	≥ 4d left	3d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $1,061.78	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $1,062-1,075.67	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $1,075.67	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

If held to expiryexact, settlement = intrinsic · fortress delta 1.12 (IBKR)

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$1,072.50 (1.7σ)	$620	$-32,242	+$19,162	+$430
+2.5%	$1,099.31 (2.3σ)	$-4,742	$-31,620	+$19,784	-$4,932
+5%	$1,126.12 (2.8σ)	$-10,105	$-30,998	+$20,406	-$10,295
SS (= V-bounce)	$1,220.00 (4.7σ)	$-28,880	$-28,820	+$22,584	-$29,070

V-BOUNCE STRESS (stock → CC-SS $1227.50, where you are whole again, by expiry)

Starting unrealized P&L: $-51,404

+ Fortress recovery (un-capped): +$53,137

− CC assignment net of premium (2 × $1072.50): -$30,379

Total Position P&L @ SS: $-28,646 (+$22,758 vs today)

Do-nothing baseline at SS: $424 (this trade vs do-nothing: $-29,070, the opportunity cost of earning $4,650/mo FIGHT income now)

BB-reversion stress (→ $1,148.73 Upper BB (CC ceiling), the probable scenario per weekly technicals): CC give-up -$14,626, position total $-30,473 (+$20,931 vs today)

▸

🛡 safe yield

2 × $1065

16 Oct

7.6%

90%hist 95%

20%hist 14%

+8pp

$750

$5,625

-$1,650

$31,749

Sell 2 × $1065 7.6% OTM over spot $989.42 16 Oct 2026 (4d, $3.83 mid)

= $750 credit for the 4d cycle → $5,625/mo projected

Survival (stays ≤ $1065)

90%

Breach risk

10%

POP (stays ≤ $1068.83)

91%

EV / mo

+$3,349

📈 CAMPAIGN OUTLOOK (400 simulated futures, this rung on repeat for 9 months, no directional opinion)

FIGHT'S EDGE

+8pp

71% whole by 9mo vs 63% doing nothing

FIRE DRILLS

~1.4/quarter

challenges to roll; realized tends lower (calibration)

BANKED RATE WHILE FIGHTING

$3,798/mo

median; plan ~$2,582/mo after 68% keep · $11,733 banked by campaign end (selling stops once whole)

green: with FIGHT · grey: without

if it recovers, the typical trip is ~1.7 mo [0.8-3.1], measured ONLY among the 71% of futures that got whole

🛡 IF CHALLENGED (spot reaches the strike) · challenge = the strike is touched at any point, so it runs ~2x the breach risk (finishing through it)

Challenge odds (touch by expiry)

10%

Flat exit net (mid-life)

-$2,960

Free roll-up

+$13/wk

Safest escape (by 6 Nov 2026)

$1,161 @ 83% POP

80% survival

Buyback gross: $26.23/sh now → $18.55 mid-life (likely $16.04–$29.99) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $3.75/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$14.80/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours

📊 Across 286 simulated challenges: the $1,065 strike is typically first touched on day 3 of 4, at $1,080 (overshoots $15.23). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (2 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$1,065	19 Oct 2026	5d left	+$3.70/sh	+$741 cycle +$1,491 [+$607…+$1,314] · 97% credit	68% surv 51%	-$33,045 NOT cap gain +$18,359
Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%)	~$1,111	6 Nov 2026	23d left	+$9.77/sh	+$1,954 cycle +$2,704 [+$996…+$2,597] · 89% credit	74% surv 67%	-$21,659 NOT cap gain +$29,745
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)	~$1,071	19 Oct 2026	5d left	+$0.83/sh	+$166 cycle +$916 [-$180…+$679] · 65% credit	69% surv 55%	-$32,375 NOT cap gain +$19,029
Max even-money escape in the band	~$1,146	6 Nov 2026	23d left	+$0.53/sh	+$105 cycle +$855 [-$1,244…+$665] · 42% credit	81% surv 76%	-$15,696 NOT cap gain +$35,708
SS $1,220 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)	~$1,161	6 Nov 2026	23d left	-$2.74/sh	-$548 cycle +$202 [-$2,059…-$10] · 25% credit	83% surv 80%	-$13,001 NOT cap gain +$38,403
budget: banked $750 debit $548 (73% used ≈ 0.4 wk of income) → whole cycle still +$202 cash · rolled 2 ct earn ≈ $4,125/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell

More detail, income coverage, downside budget, tripwires, held-to-expiry ladder, V-bounce stress

Income coverage

Gross FIGHT income	$5,625/mo
vs 50% target ($6,836/mo)	-18%
vs normal income ($13,671/mo)	41% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$5,556/mo

Downside budget

⚠ $1065 is $162 below CC-SS $1227.50: assignment on a recovery to whole locks the cap give-up below.

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$31,749
… as % of IC ($50,000)	63.5%
… as % of ML ($194,000)	16.4%
Recovery months (at normal income)	2.3 mo
Surgical close (2 ct)	$-51,419

Tripwiresprice and time left decide together; the matrix is the playbook

The one rule: roll when the short call's remaining TIME VALUE < $0.94/sh (~25% of the $3.75 collected) or spot ≥ $1,068.83 (breakeven), whichever comes first. Time value = call mark price minus intrinsic (max(0, spot − $1,065)); NOT the premium you collected. Momentum override: two daily closes above $1,132.62 (daily upper band) or daily RSI > 70 → treat "pressing" as "through".

Spot \ Time	≥ 4d left	3d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $1,054.35	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $1,054-1,068.83	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $1,068.83	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

If held to expiryexact, settlement = intrinsic · fortress delta 1.12 (IBKR)

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$1,065.00 (1.6σ)	$750	$-33,786	+$17,618	+$560
+2.5%	$1,091.62 (2.1σ)	$-4,575	$-33,168	+$18,236	-$4,765
+5%	$1,118.25 (2.7σ)	$-9,900	$-32,550	+$18,854	-$10,090
SS (= V-bounce)	$1,220.00 (4.7σ)	$-30,250	$-30,190	+$21,214	-$30,440

V-BOUNCE STRESS (stock → CC-SS $1227.50, where you are whole again, by expiry)

Starting unrealized P&L: $-51,404

+ Fortress recovery (un-capped): +$53,137

− CC assignment net of premium (2 × $1065): -$31,749

Total Position P&L @ SS: $-30,016 (+$21,388 vs today)

Do-nothing baseline at SS: $424 (this trade vs do-nothing: $-30,440, the opportunity cost of earning $5,625/mo FIGHT income now)

BB-reversion stress (→ $1,148.73 Upper BB (CC ceiling), the probable scenario per weekly technicals): CC give-up -$15,996, position total $-31,843 (+$19,561 vs today)

▸

🎯 50% normal

2 × $1055

16 Oct

6.6%

87%hist 86%

26%hist 24%

+13pp

$970

$7,275

—

$33,529

Sell 2 × $1055 6.6% OTM over spot $989.42 16 Oct 2026 (4d, $4.92 mid)

= $970 credit for the 4d cycle → $7,275/mo projected

Survival (stays ≤ $1055)

87%

Breach risk

13%

POP (stays ≤ $1059.92)

89%

EV / mo

+$3,913

📈 CAMPAIGN OUTLOOK (400 simulated futures, this rung on repeat for 9 months, no directional opinion)

FIGHT'S EDGE

+13pp

70% whole by 9mo vs 57% doing nothing

FIRE DRILLS

~1.8/quarter

challenges to roll; realized tends lower (calibration)

BANKED RATE WHILE FIGHTING

$4,546/mo

median; plan ~$3,091/mo after 68% keep · $15,748 banked by campaign end (selling stops once whole)

green: with FIGHT · grey: without

if it recovers, the typical trip is ~1.7 mo [0.8-3.5], measured ONLY among the 70% of futures that got whole

🛡 IF CHALLENGED (spot reaches the strike) · challenge = the strike is touched at any point, so it runs ~2x the breach risk (finishing through it)

Challenge odds (touch by expiry)

15%

Flat exit net (mid-life)

-$2,705

Free roll-up

+$13/wk

Safest escape (by 6 Nov 2026)

$1,166 @ 85% POP

82% survival

Buyback gross: $25.99/sh now → $18.38 mid-life (likely $17.22–$33.85) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $4.85/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$13.53/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours

📊 Across 451 simulated challenges: the $1,055 strike is typically first touched on day 3 of 4, at $1,072 (overshoots $16.88). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (2 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$1,055	19 Oct 2026	5d left	+$3.89/sh	+$777 cycle +$1,747 [+$487…+$1,313] · 94% credit	68% surv 51%	-$35,021 NOT cap gain +$16,383
Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%)	~$1,101	6 Nov 2026	23d left	+$9.94/sh	+$1,988 cycle +$2,958 [+$568…+$2,513] · 84% credit	74% surv 67%	-$23,638 NOT cap gain +$27,766
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)	~$1,061	19 Oct 2026	5d left	+$1.01/sh	+$203 cycle +$1,173 [-$280…+$665] · 59% credit	69% surv 55%	-$34,351 NOT cap gain +$17,053
Max even-money escape in the band	~$1,136	6 Nov 2026	23d left	+$0.70/sh	+$141 cycle +$1,111 [-$1,696…+$566] · 37% credit	81% surv 76%	-$17,673 NOT cap gain +$33,731
SS $1,220 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)	~$1,166	6 Nov 2026	23d left	-$3.81/sh	-$762 cycle +$208 [-$2,893…-$415] · 16% credit	85% surv 82%	-$11,879 NOT cap gain +$39,525
budget: banked $970 debit $762 (79% used ≈ 0.5 wk of income) → whole cycle still +$208 cash · rolled 2 ct earn ≈ $3,800/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell

More detail, income coverage, downside budget, tripwires, held-to-expiry ladder, V-bounce stress

Income coverage

Gross FIGHT income	$7,275/mo
vs 50% target ($6,836/mo)	+6%
vs normal income ($13,671/mo)	53% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$7,206/mo

Downside budget

⚠ $1055 is $172 below CC-SS $1227.50: assignment on a recovery to whole locks the cap give-up below.

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$33,529
… as % of IC ($50,000)	67.1%
… as % of ML ($194,000)	17.3%
Recovery months (at normal income)	2.5 mo
Surgical close (2 ct)	$-51,419

Tripwiresprice and time left decide together; the matrix is the playbook

The one rule: roll when the short call's remaining TIME VALUE < $1.21/sh (~25% of the $4.85 collected) or spot ≥ $1,059.92 (breakeven), whichever comes first. Time value = call mark price minus intrinsic (max(0, spot − $1,055)); NOT the premium you collected. Momentum override: two daily closes above $1,132.62 (daily upper band) or daily RSI > 70 → treat "pressing" as "through".

Spot \ Time	≥ 4d left	3d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $1,044.45	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $1,044-1,059.92	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $1,059.92	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

If held to expiryexact, settlement = intrinsic · fortress delta 1.12 (IBKR)

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$1,055.00 (1.4σ)	$970	$-35,798	+$15,606	+$780
+2.5%	$1,081.38 (1.9σ)	$-4,305	$-35,186	+$16,218	-$4,495
+5%	$1,107.75 (2.4σ)	$-9,580	$-34,574	+$16,830	-$9,770
SS (= V-bounce)	$1,220.00 (4.7σ)	$-32,030	$-31,970	+$19,434	-$32,220

V-BOUNCE STRESS (stock → CC-SS $1227.50, where you are whole again, by expiry)

Starting unrealized P&L: $-51,404

+ Fortress recovery (un-capped): +$53,137

− CC assignment net of premium (2 × $1055): -$33,529

Total Position P&L @ SS: $-31,796 (+$19,608 vs today)

Do-nothing baseline at SS: $424 (this trade vs do-nothing: $-32,220, the opportunity cost of earning $7,275/mo FIGHT income now)

BB-reversion stress (→ $1,148.73 Upper BB (CC ceiling), the probable scenario per weekly technicals): CC give-up -$17,776, position total $-33,623 (+$17,781 vs today)

▸

100% normal

2 × $1030

16 Oct

4.1%

77%hist 82%

46%hist 42%

+17pp

$1,840

$13,800

+$6,525

$37,659

Sell 2 × $1030 4.1% OTM over spot $989.42 16 Oct 2026 (4d, $9.30 mid)

= $1,840 credit for the 4d cycle → $13,800/mo projected

Survival (stays ≤ $1030)

77%

Breach risk

23%

POP (stays ≤ $1039.30)

82%

EV / mo

+$6,026

📈 CAMPAIGN OUTLOOK (400 simulated futures, this rung on repeat for 9 months, no directional opinion)

FIGHT'S EDGE

+17pp

78% whole by 9mo vs 61% doing nothing

FIRE DRILLS

~3.2/quarter

challenges to roll; realized tends lower (calibration)

BANKED RATE WHILE FIGHTING

$6,886/mo

median; plan ~$4,682/mo after 68% keep · $20,123 banked by campaign end (selling stops once whole)

green: with FIGHT · grey: without

if it recovers, the typical trip is ~1.7 mo [0.8-3.4], measured ONLY among the 78% of futures that got whole

🛡 IF CHALLENGED (spot reaches the strike) · challenge = the strike is touched at any point, so it runs ~2x the breach risk (finishing through it)

Challenge odds (touch by expiry)

31%

Flat exit net (mid-life)

-$1,748

Free roll-up

+$13/wk

Safest escape (by 6 Nov 2026)

$1,171 @ 88% POP

87% survival

Buyback gross: $25.37/sh now → $17.94 mid-life (likely $18.88–$31.79) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $9.20/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$8.74/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours

📊 Across 939 simulated challenges: the $1,030 strike is typically first touched on day 2 of 4, at $1,045 (overshoots $15.01). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (2 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$1,030	19 Oct 2026	5d left	+$4.32/sh	+$865 cycle +$2,705 [+$442…+$1,277] · 96% credit	68% surv 51%	-$39,643 NOT cap gain +$11,761
Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%)	~$1,076	6 Nov 2026	23d left	+$10.32/sh	+$2,064 cycle +$3,904 [+$692…+$2,230] · 87% credit	75% surv 67%	-$28,271 NOT cap gain +$23,133
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)	~$1,036	19 Oct 2026	5d left	+$1.45/sh	+$291 cycle +$2,131 [-$269…+$576] · 53% credit	69% surv 55%	-$38,973 NOT cap gain +$12,431
Max even-money escape in the band	~$1,111	6 Nov 2026	23d left	+$1.12/sh	+$224 cycle +$2,064 [-$1,504…+$221] · 32% credit	81% surv 76%	-$22,300 NOT cap gain +$29,104
SS $1,220 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)	~$1,171	6 Nov 2026	23d left	-$8.25/sh	-$1,650 cycle +$190 [-$3,857…-$1,765]	88% surv 87%	-$10,782 NOT cap gain +$40,622
budget: banked $1,840 debit $1,650 (90% used ≈ 0.5 wk of income) → whole cycle still +$190 cash · rolled 2 ct earn ≈ $2,527/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell

More detail, income coverage, downside budget, tripwires, held-to-expiry ladder, V-bounce stress

Income coverage

Gross FIGHT income	$13,800/mo
vs 50% target ($6,836/mo)	+102%
vs normal income ($13,671/mo)	101% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$13,731/mo

Downside budget

⚠ $1030 is $197 below CC-SS $1227.50: assignment on a recovery to whole locks the cap give-up below.

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$37,659
… as % of IC ($50,000)	75.3%
… as % of ML ($194,000)	19.4%
Recovery months (at normal income)	2.8 mo
Surgical close (2 ct)	$-51,424

Tripwiresprice and time left decide together; the matrix is the playbook

The one rule: roll when the short call's remaining TIME VALUE < $2.30/sh (~25% of the $9.20 collected) or spot ≥ $1,039.30 (breakeven), whichever comes first. Time value = call mark price minus intrinsic (max(0, spot − $1,030)); NOT the premium you collected. Momentum override: two daily closes above $1,132.62 (daily upper band) or daily RSI > 70 → treat "pressing" as "through".

Spot \ Time	≥ 4d left	3d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $1,019.70	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $1,020-1,039.30	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $1,039.30	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

If held to expiryexact, settlement = intrinsic · fortress delta 1.12 (IBKR)

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$1,030.00 (≤1σ, normal week)	$1,840	$-40,508	+$10,896	+$1,650
+2.5%	$1,055.75 (1.4σ)	$-3,310	$-39,910	+$11,494	-$3,500
+5%	$1,081.50 (1.9σ)	$-8,460	$-39,313	+$12,091	-$8,650
SS (= V-bounce)	$1,220.00 (4.7σ)	$-36,160	$-36,100	+$15,304	-$36,350

V-BOUNCE STRESS (stock → CC-SS $1227.50, where you are whole again, by expiry)

Starting unrealized P&L: $-51,404

+ Fortress recovery (un-capped): +$53,137

− CC assignment net of premium (2 × $1030): -$37,659

Total Position P&L @ SS: $-35,926 (+$15,478 vs today)

Do-nothing baseline at SS: $424 (this trade vs do-nothing: $-36,350, the opportunity cost of earning $13,800/mo FIGHT income now)

BB-reversion stress (→ $1,148.73 Upper BB (CC ceiling), the probable scenario per weekly technicals): CC give-up -$21,906, position total $-37,753 (+$13,651 vs today)

A nudge, not a rule: the engine maximizes income at acceptable safety; this weighs the income you would give up against the breach risk you would shed. Your hedge bleed and your read on MU are the tiebreakers.

📅 NEXT FRIDAY · 23 Oct 2026 · 11d · E[net] $94/mo

🎯 Engine pick: sell 2 × $1045 (50% normal), 76% survival, breach 24%, $7,336/mo.
⚖️ Worth a safer step: the $1070 rung (33% normal) lifts survival to 84% (breach 24% → 16%) for $2,673/mo less (36% income), and it still covers your hedge. The pick sits below the ~80% (≈1σ) comfort line; on a drawdown you are nursing back, dodging the frequent breach usually beats the extra premium. Lean: the safer $1070 rung, unless you need the income to cover the hedge bleed, or you expect MU to stay flat-to-down near term.

MU spot $989.42 · click a rung to expand its decision panel

Rung

Sell

Expiry

DTE

OTM

Survival

Touch odds

FIGHT edge

Per cycle

Income/mo

Δ vs pick

Cap give-up

▸

cover hedge

1 × $1250

23 Oct

11d

26.3%

99%hist 95%

3%hist 4%

+0pp

$80

$218

-$7,118

Sell 1 × $1250 26.3% OTM over spot $989.42 23 Oct 2026 (11d, $0.90 mid)

= $80 credit for the 11d cycle → $218/mo projected

Survival (stays ≤ $1250)

99%

Breach risk

POP (stays ≤ $1250.90)

99%

EV / mo

+$164

📈 CAMPAIGN OUTLOOK (400 simulated futures, this rung on repeat for 9 months, no directional opinion)

FIGHT'S EDGE

+0pp

61% whole by 9mo vs 61% doing nothing

FIRE DRILLS

~0.1/quarter

challenges to roll; realized tends lower (calibration)

BANKED RATE WHILE FIGHTING

$361/mo

median; plan ~$246/mo after 68% keep · $1,603 banked by campaign end (selling stops once whole)

green: with FIGHT · grey: without

if it recovers, the typical trip is ~1.6 mo [0.7-3.6], measured ONLY among the 61% of futures that got whole

🛡 IF CHALLENGED (spot reaches the strike) · challenge = the strike is touched at any point, so it runs ~2x the breach risk (finishing through it)

Challenge odds (touch by expiry)

Flat exit net (mid-life)

-$3,173

Free roll-up

none

Safest escape (by 6 Nov 2026)

$1,271 @ 70% POP

59% survival

Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 1 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 5 of 11); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic

Buyback gross: $46.00/sh now → $32.53 mid-life → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $0.80/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$31.73/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (1 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$1,250	26 Oct 2026	8d left	-$8.43/sh	-$843 cycle -$763	66% surv 51%	+$3,088 SAFE cap gain +$54,492
Max even-money escape in the band	~$1,271	6 Nov 2026	20d left	+$0.01/sh	+$1 cycle +$81	70% surv 59%	+$6,467 SAFE cap gain +$57,871

More detail, income coverage, downside budget, tripwires, held-to-expiry ladder, V-bounce stress

Income coverage

Gross FIGHT income	$218/mo
vs 50% target ($6,836/mo)	-97%
vs normal income ($13,671/mo)	2% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$408/mo

Downside budget

✓ $1250 is at/above CC-SS $1227.50: assignment is break-even or better.

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$0
… as % of IC ($50,000)	0.0%
… as % of ML ($194,000)	0.0%
Recovery months (at normal income)	0.0 mo
Surgical close (1 ct)	$-25,712

Tripwiresprice and time left decide together; the matrix is the playbook

The one rule: roll when the short call's remaining TIME VALUE < $0.20/sh (~25% of the $0.80 collected) or spot ≥ $1,250.90 (breakeven), whichever comes first. Time value = call mark price minus intrinsic (max(0, spot − $1,250)); NOT the premium you collected. Momentum override: two daily closes above $1,132.62 (daily upper band) or daily RSI > 70 → treat "pressing" as "through".

Spot \ Time	≥ 6d left	3-5d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $1,237.50	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $1,238-1,250.90	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $1,250.90	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

If held to expiryexact, settlement = intrinsic · fortress delta 1.12 (IBKR)

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$1,250.00 (3.2σ)	$80	$3,931	+$55,335	+$2,985
+2.5%	$1,281.25 (3.6σ)	$-3,045	$4,656	+$56,060	+$2,985
+5%	$1,312.50 (4.0σ)	$-6,170	$5,381	+$56,785	+$2,985

V-BOUNCE STRESS (stock → CC-SS $1227.50, where you are whole again, by expiry)

Starting unrealized P&L: $-51,404

+ Fortress recovery (un-capped): +$53,137

− CC assignment net of premium (1 × $1250): -$0

− Conservative CC assignment net of premium (1 × $1220): -$655

Total Position P&L @ SS: $1,079 (+$52,483 vs today)

Do-nothing baseline at SS: $424 (this trade vs do-nothing: +$655, the opportunity cost of earning $218/mo FIGHT income now)

BB-reversion stress (→ $1,148.73 Upper BB (CC ceiling), the probable scenario per weekly technicals): CC give-up -$0, position total $-15,752 (+$35,652 vs today)

▸

🛡 safe yield

2 × $1105

23 Oct

11d

11.7%

91%hist 95%

19%hist 14%

+4pp

$940

$2,564

-$4,773

$23,559

Sell 2 × $1105 11.7% OTM over spot $989.42 23 Oct 2026 (11d, $4.95 mid)

= $940 credit for the 11d cycle → $2,564/mo projected

Survival (stays ≤ $1105)

91%

Breach risk

POP (stays ≤ $1109.95)

91%

EV / mo

+$1,314

📈 CAMPAIGN OUTLOOK (400 simulated futures, this rung on repeat for 9 months, no directional opinion)

FIGHT'S EDGE

+4pp

65% whole by 9mo vs 62% doing nothing

FIRE DRILLS

~0.6/quarter

challenges to roll; realized tends lower (calibration)

BANKED RATE WHILE FIGHTING

$1,775/mo

median; plan ~$1,207/mo after 68% keep · $7,852 banked by campaign end (selling stops once whole)

green: with FIGHT · grey: without

if it recovers, the typical trip is ~2.1 mo [1.0-3.6], measured ONLY among the 65% of futures that got whole

🛡 IF CHALLENGED (spot reaches the strike) · challenge = the strike is touched at any point, so it runs ~2x the breach risk (finishing through it)

Challenge odds (touch by expiry)

13%

Flat exit net (mid-life)

-$4,812

Free roll-up

none

Safest escape (by 6 Nov 2026)

$1,151 @ 75% POP

68% survival

Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 2 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 5 of 11); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic

Buyback gross: $40.67/sh now → $28.76 mid-life (likely $23.67–$41.28) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $4.70/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$24.06/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours

📊 Across 396 simulated challenges: the $1,105 strike is typically first touched on day 8 of 11, at $1,122 (overshoots $16.71). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (2 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%)	~$1,126	6 Nov 2026	20d left	+$4.88/sh	+$977 cycle +$1,917 [+$183…+$2,018] · 80% credit	70% surv 59%	-$19,099 NOT cap gain +$32,305
Max even-money escape in the band	~$1,136	6 Nov 2026	20d left	+$1.60/sh	+$320 cycle +$1,260 [-$583…+$1,263] · 56% credit	72% surv 63%	-$17,523 NOT cap gain +$33,881
SS $1,220 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$1,105	26 Oct 2026	8d left	-$3.72/sh	-$745 cycle +$195 [-$1,207…+$123] · 28% credit	66% surv 51%	-$25,412 NOT cap gain +$25,992
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)	~$1,151	6 Nov 2026	20d left	-$3.95/sh	-$789 cycle +$151 [-$1,920…+$110] · 27% credit	75% surv 68%	-$15,285 NOT cap gain +$36,119
budget: banked $940 debit $789 (84% used ≈ 1.3 wk of income) → whole cycle still +$151 cash · rolled 2 ct earn ≈ $7,443/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell

More detail, income coverage, downside budget, tripwires, held-to-expiry ladder, V-bounce stress

Income coverage

Gross FIGHT income	$2,564/mo
vs 50% target ($6,836/mo)	-62%
vs normal income ($13,671/mo)	19% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$2,494/mo

Downside budget

⚠ $1105 is $122 below CC-SS $1227.50: assignment on a recovery to whole locks the cap give-up below.

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$23,559
… as % of IC ($50,000)	47.1%
… as % of ML ($194,000)	12.1%
Recovery months (at normal income)	1.7 mo
Surgical close (2 ct)	$-51,454

Tripwiresprice and time left decide together; the matrix is the playbook

The one rule: roll when the short call's remaining TIME VALUE < $1.18/sh (~25% of the $4.70 collected) or spot ≥ $1,109.95 (breakeven), whichever comes first. Time value = call mark price minus intrinsic (max(0, spot − $1,105)); NOT the premium you collected. Momentum override: two daily closes above $1,132.62 (daily upper band) or daily RSI > 70 → treat "pressing" as "through".

Spot \ Time	≥ 6d left	3-5d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $1,093.95	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $1,094-1,109.95	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $1,109.95	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

If held to expiryexact, settlement = intrinsic · fortress delta 1.12 (IBKR)

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$1,105.00 (1.4σ)	$940	$-24,668	+$26,736	+$750
+2.5%	$1,132.62 (1.8σ)	$-4,585	$-24,027	+$27,377	-$4,775
+5%	$1,160.25 (2.1σ)	$-10,110	$-23,386	+$28,018	-$10,300
SS (= V-bounce)	$1,220.00 (2.9σ)	$-22,060	$-22,000	+$29,404	-$22,250

V-BOUNCE STRESS (stock → CC-SS $1227.50, where you are whole again, by expiry)

Starting unrealized P&L: $-51,404

+ Fortress recovery (un-capped): +$53,137

− CC assignment net of premium (2 × $1105): -$23,559

Total Position P&L @ SS: $-21,826 (+$29,578 vs today)

Do-nothing baseline at SS: $424 (this trade vs do-nothing: $-22,250, the opportunity cost of earning $2,564/mo FIGHT income now)

BB-reversion stress (→ $1,148.73 Upper BB (CC ceiling), the probable scenario per weekly technicals): CC give-up -$7,806, position total $-23,653 (+$27,751 vs today)

▸

33% normal ← lean

2 × $1070

23 Oct

11d

8.1%

84%hist 86%

33%hist 32%

+6pp

$1,710

$4,664

-$2,673

$29,789

Sell 2 × $1070 8.1% OTM over spot $989.42 23 Oct 2026 (11d, $8.90 mid)

= $1,710 credit for the 11d cycle → $4,664/mo projected

Survival (stays ≤ $1070)

84%

Breach risk

16%

POP (stays ≤ $1078.90)

86%

EV / mo

+$1,992

📈 CAMPAIGN OUTLOOK (400 simulated futures, this rung on repeat for 9 months, no directional opinion)

FIGHT'S EDGE

+6pp

64% whole by 9mo vs 57% doing nothing

FIRE DRILLS

~1.2/quarter

challenges to roll; realized tends lower (calibration)

BANKED RATE WHILE FIGHTING

$2,759/mo

median; plan ~$1,876/mo after 68% keep · $13,297 banked by campaign end (selling stops once whole)

green: with FIGHT · grey: without

if it recovers, the typical trip is ~2.0 mo [0.9-3.8], measured ONLY among the 64% of futures that got whole

🛡 IF CHALLENGED (spot reaches the strike) · challenge = the strike is touched at any point, so it runs ~2x the breach risk (finishing through it)

Challenge odds (touch by expiry)

24%

Flat exit net (mid-life)

-$3,860

Free roll-up

none

Safest escape (by 6 Nov 2026)

$1,136 @ 79% POP

74% survival

Buyback gross: $39.38/sh now → $27.85 mid-life (likely $25.27–$40.46) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $8.55/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$19.30/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours

📊 Across 733 simulated challenges: the $1,070 strike is typically first touched on day 7 of 11, at $1,085 (overshoots $15.25). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (2 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%)	~$1,091	6 Nov 2026	20d left	+$5.83/sh	+$1,166 cycle +$2,876 [+$234…+$1,830] · 83% credit	70% surv 59%	-$25,951 NOT cap gain +$25,453
Max even-money escape in the band	~$1,106	6 Nov 2026	20d left	+$0.12/sh	+$24 cycle +$1,734 [-$1,059…+$597] · 36% credit	73% surv 64%	-$23,746 NOT cap gain +$27,658
SS $1,220 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$1,070	26 Oct 2026	8d left	-$2.73/sh	-$547 cycle +$1,163 [-$1,171…-$0] · 25% credit	66% surv 51%	-$32,256 NOT cap gain +$19,148
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)	~$1,136	6 Nov 2026	20d left	-$8.48/sh	-$1,696 cycle +$14 [-$3,074…-$1,244] · 8% credit	79% surv 74%	-$18,770 NOT cap gain +$32,634
budget: banked $1,710 debit $1,696 (99% used ≈ 1.6 wk of income) → whole cycle still +$14 cash · rolled 2 ct earn ≈ $5,810/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell

More detail, income coverage, downside budget, tripwires, held-to-expiry ladder, V-bounce stress

Income coverage

Gross FIGHT income	$4,664/mo
vs 50% target ($6,836/mo)	-32%
vs normal income ($13,671/mo)	34% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$4,594/mo

Downside budget

⚠ $1070 is $157 below CC-SS $1227.50: assignment on a recovery to whole locks the cap give-up below.

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$29,789
… as % of IC ($50,000)	59.6%
… as % of ML ($194,000)	15.4%
Recovery months (at normal income)	2.2 mo
Surgical close (2 ct)	$-51,474

Tripwiresprice and time left decide together; the matrix is the playbook

The one rule: roll when the short call's remaining TIME VALUE < $2.14/sh (~25% of the $8.55 collected) or spot ≥ $1,078.90 (breakeven), whichever comes first. Time value = call mark price minus intrinsic (max(0, spot − $1,070)); NOT the premium you collected. Momentum override: two daily closes above $1,132.62 (daily upper band) or daily RSI > 70 → treat "pressing" as "through".

Spot \ Time	≥ 6d left	3-5d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $1,059.30	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $1,059-1,078.90	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $1,078.90	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

If held to expiryexact, settlement = intrinsic · fortress delta 1.12 (IBKR)

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$1,070.00 (1.0σ)	$1,710	$-31,710	+$19,694	+$1,520
+2.5%	$1,096.75 (1.3σ)	$-3,640	$-31,089	+$20,315	-$3,830
+5%	$1,123.50 (1.7σ)	$-8,990	$-30,468	+$20,936	-$9,180
SS (= V-bounce)	$1,220.00 (2.9σ)	$-28,290	$-28,230	+$23,174	-$28,480

V-BOUNCE STRESS (stock → CC-SS $1227.50, where you are whole again, by expiry)

Starting unrealized P&L: $-51,404

+ Fortress recovery (un-capped): +$53,137

− CC assignment net of premium (2 × $1070): -$29,789

Total Position P&L @ SS: $-28,056 (+$23,348 vs today)

Do-nothing baseline at SS: $424 (this trade vs do-nothing: $-28,480, the opportunity cost of earning $4,664/mo FIGHT income now)

BB-reversion stress (→ $1,148.73 Upper BB (CC ceiling), the probable scenario per weekly technicals): CC give-up -$14,036, position total $-29,883 (+$21,521 vs today)

▸

🎯 50% normal

2 × $1045

23 Oct

11d

5.6%

76%hist 82%

49%hist 42%

+8pp

$2,690

$7,336

—

$33,809

Sell 2 × $1045 5.6% OTM over spot $989.42 23 Oct 2026 (11d, $13.80 mid)

= $2,690 credit for the 11d cycle → $7,336/mo projected

Survival (stays ≤ $1045)

76%

Breach risk

24%

POP (stays ≤ $1058.80)

81%

EV / mo

+$2,662

📈 CAMPAIGN OUTLOOK (400 simulated futures, this rung on repeat for 9 months, no directional opinion)

FIGHT'S EDGE

+8pp

68% whole by 9mo vs 60% doing nothing

FIRE DRILLS

~1.8/quarter

challenges to roll; realized tends lower (calibration)

BANKED RATE WHILE FIGHTING

$3,829/mo

median; plan ~$2,604/mo after 68% keep · $14,941 banked by campaign end (selling stops once whole)

green: with FIGHT · grey: without

if it recovers, the typical trip is ~1.9 mo [1.0-3.7], measured ONLY among the 68% of futures that got whole

🛡 IF CHALLENGED (spot reaches the strike) · challenge = the strike is touched at any point, so it runs ~2x the breach risk (finishing through it)

Challenge odds (touch by expiry)

39%

Flat exit net (mid-life)

-$2,749

Free roll-up

none

Safest escape (by 6 Nov 2026)

$1,136 @ 83% POP

80% survival

Buyback gross: $38.46/sh now → $27.20 mid-life (likely $28.88–$42.77) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $13.45/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$13.75/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours

📊 Across 1,165 simulated challenges: the $1,045 strike is typically first touched on day 6 of 11, at $1,060 (overshoots $14.88). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (2 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%)	~$1,066	6 Nov 2026	20d left	+$6.46/sh	+$1,291 cycle +$3,981 [+$154…+$1,403] · 81% credit	70% surv 59%	-$30,426 NOT cap gain +$20,978
Max even-money escape in the band	~$1,081	6 Nov 2026	20d left	+$0.75/sh	+$149 cycle +$2,839 [-$1,196…+$169] · 29% credit	73% surv 64%	-$28,220 NOT cap gain +$23,184
SS $1,220 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$1,045	26 Oct 2026	8d left	-$2.06/sh	-$412 cycle +$2,278 [-$1,164…-$282] · 18% credit	66% surv 51%	-$36,722 NOT cap gain +$14,682
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)	~$1,136	6 Nov 2026	20d left	-$13.29/sh	-$2,658 cycle +$32 [-$4,645…-$2,869] · 1% credit	83% surv 80%	-$18,751 NOT cap gain +$32,653
budget: banked $2,690 debit $2,658 (99% used ≈ 1.6 wk of income) → whole cycle still +$32 cash · rolled 2 ct earn ≈ $4,172/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell

More detail, income coverage, downside budget, tripwires, held-to-expiry ladder, V-bounce stress

Income coverage

Gross FIGHT income	$7,336/mo
vs 50% target ($6,836/mo)	+7%
vs normal income ($13,671/mo)	54% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$7,267/mo

Downside budget

⚠ $1045 is $182 below CC-SS $1227.50: assignment on a recovery to whole locks the cap give-up below.

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$33,809
… as % of IC ($50,000)	67.6%
… as % of ML ($194,000)	17.4%
Recovery months (at normal income)	2.5 mo
Surgical close (2 ct)	$-51,474

Tripwiresprice and time left decide together; the matrix is the playbook

The one rule: roll when the short call's remaining TIME VALUE < $3.36/sh (~25% of the $13.45 collected) or spot ≥ $1,058.80 (breakeven), whichever comes first. Time value = call mark price minus intrinsic (max(0, spot − $1,045)); NOT the premium you collected. Momentum override: two daily closes above $1,132.62 (daily upper band) or daily RSI > 70 → treat "pressing" as "through".

Spot \ Time	≥ 6d left	3-5d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $1,034.55	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $1,035-1,058.80	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $1,058.80	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

If held to expiryexact, settlement = intrinsic · fortress delta 1.12 (IBKR)

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$1,045.00 (≤1σ, normal week)	$2,690	$-36,310	+$15,094	+$2,500
+2.5%	$1,071.12 (1.0σ)	$-2,535	$-35,704	+$15,700	-$2,725
+5%	$1,097.25 (1.3σ)	$-7,760	$-35,097	+$16,307	-$7,950
SS (= V-bounce)	$1,220.00 (2.9σ)	$-32,310	$-32,250	+$19,154	-$32,500

V-BOUNCE STRESS (stock → CC-SS $1227.50, where you are whole again, by expiry)

Starting unrealized P&L: $-51,404

+ Fortress recovery (un-capped): +$53,137

− CC assignment net of premium (2 × $1045): -$33,809

Total Position P&L @ SS: $-32,076 (+$19,328 vs today)

Do-nothing baseline at SS: $424 (this trade vs do-nothing: $-32,500, the opportunity cost of earning $7,336/mo FIGHT income now)

BB-reversion stress (→ $1,148.73 Upper BB (CC ceiling), the probable scenario per weekly technicals): CC give-up -$18,056, position total $-33,903 (+$17,501 vs today)

▸

100% normal

2 × $1000

23 Oct

11d

1.1%

57%hist 67%

89%hist 79%

+12pp

$5,530

$15,082

+$7,745

$39,969

Sell 2 × $1000 1.1% OTM over spot $989.42 23 Oct 2026 (11d, $28.67 mid)

= $5,530 credit for the 11d cycle → $15,082/mo projected

Survival (stays ≤ $1000)

57%

Breach risk

43%

POP (stays ≤ $1028.67)

70%

EV / mo

+$2,564

📈 CAMPAIGN OUTLOOK (400 simulated futures, this rung on repeat for 9 months, no directional opinion)

FIGHT'S EDGE

+12pp

70% whole by 9mo vs 57% doing nothing

FIRE DRILLS

~5.3/quarter

challenges to roll; realized tends lower (calibration)

BANKED RATE WHILE FIGHTING

$5,291/mo

median; plan ~$3,598/mo after 68% keep · $20,460 banked by campaign end (selling stops once whole)

green: with FIGHT · grey: without

if it recovers, the typical trip is ~1.9 mo [1.0-3.7], measured ONLY among the 70% of futures that got whole

🛡 IF CHALLENGED (spot reaches the strike) · challenge = the strike is touched at any point, so it runs ~2x the breach risk (finishing through it)

Challenge odds (touch by expiry)

75%

Flat exit net (mid-life)

+$325

Free roll-up

none

Safest escape (by 30 Oct 2026)

$1,111 @ 90% POP

89% survival

Buyback gross: $36.80/sh now → $26.03 mid-life (likely $35.64–$47.55) → ≈ $0 at expiry | you banked $27.65/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets +$1.62/sh | roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours

📊 Across 2,237 simulated challenges: the $1,000 strike is typically first touched on day 3 of 11, at $1,016 (overshoots $16.20). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (2 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%)	~$1,021	6 Nov 2026	20d left	+$7.46/sh	+$1,493 cycle +$7,023 [-$127…+$670] · 69% credit	70% surv 60%	-$37,428 NOT cap gain +$13,976
Max even-money escape in the band	~$1,036	6 Nov 2026	20d left	+$1.77/sh	+$353 cycle +$5,883 [-$1,514…-$570] · 11% credit	73% surv 65%	-$35,220 NOT cap gain +$16,184
SS $1,220 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$1,000	26 Oct 2026	8d left	-$0.93/sh	-$185 cycle +$5,345 [-$1,286…-$749] · 7% credit	66% surv 51%	-$43,699 NOT cap gain +$7,705
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)	~$1,111	30 Oct 2026	12d left	-$19.81/sh	-$3,963 cycle +$1,567 [-$6,918…-$5,172]	90% surv 89%	-$22,796 NOT cap gain +$28,608
budget: banked $5,530 debit $3,963 (72% used ≈ 1.1 wk of income) → whole cycle still +$1,567 cash · rolled 2 ct earn ≈ $3,107/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell

More detail, income coverage, downside budget, tripwires, held-to-expiry ladder, V-bounce stress

Income coverage

Gross FIGHT income	$15,082/mo
vs 50% target ($6,836/mo)	+121%
vs normal income ($13,671/mo)	110% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$15,013/mo

Downside budget

⚠ $1000 is $227 below CC-SS $1227.50: assignment on a recovery to whole locks the cap give-up below.

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$39,969
… as % of IC ($50,000)	79.9%
… as % of ML ($194,000)	20.6%
Recovery months (at normal income)	2.9 mo
Surgical close (2 ct)	$-51,609

Tripwiresprice and time left decide together; the matrix is the playbook

The one rule: roll when the short call's remaining TIME VALUE < $6.91/sh (~25% of the $27.65 collected) or spot ≥ $1,028.67 (breakeven), whichever comes first. Time value = call mark price minus intrinsic (max(0, spot − $1,000)); NOT the premium you collected. Momentum override: two daily closes above $1,132.62 (daily upper band) or daily RSI > 70 → treat "pressing" as "through".

Spot \ Time	≥ 6d left	3-5d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $990.00	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $990-1,028.67	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $1,028.67	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

If held to expiryexact, settlement = intrinsic · fortress delta 1.12 (IBKR)

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$1,000.00 (≤1σ, normal week)	$5,530	$-43,514	+$7,890	+$5,340
+2.5%	$1,025.00 (≤1σ, normal week)	$530	$-42,934	+$8,470	+$340
+5%	$1,050.00 (≤1σ, normal week)	$-4,470	$-42,354	+$9,050	-$4,660
SS (= V-bounce)	$1,220.00 (2.9σ)	$-38,470	$-38,410	+$12,994	-$38,660

V-BOUNCE STRESS (stock → CC-SS $1227.50, where you are whole again, by expiry)

Starting unrealized P&L: $-51,404

+ Fortress recovery (un-capped): +$53,137

− CC assignment net of premium (2 × $1000): -$39,969

Total Position P&L @ SS: $-38,236 (+$13,168 vs today)

Do-nothing baseline at SS: $424 (this trade vs do-nothing: $-38,660, the opportunity cost of earning $15,082/mo FIGHT income now)

BB-reversion stress (→ $1,148.73 Upper BB (CC ceiling), the probable scenario per weekly technicals): CC give-up -$24,216, position total $-40,063 (+$11,341 vs today)

⚔ FIGHT CC options · full candidate scan (107 clear the floor), click to expand

Every eligible strike x expiry in the 4-45 DTE band (7 expiries scanned, 107 clear the income floor), each sized to the minimum contracts that clear it. Sorted by survival (safest first): the primary 🎯 is the safest; rows below trade safety for income.

Fortress delta: 1.116 (IBKR) | Recovery@SS: +$53,137 (un-capped fortress gain if stock rallies to SS) | Do-nothing @ SS: $424

Strike	DTE	Expiry	Bid	Sell	Per cycle	Income/mo	Net/mo	Survival	Touch	POP (mid)	EV/mo	Cap Give-up @ CC-SS	%IC	Recover	Total P&L @ SS
$1055	4d	16 Oct 2026	$4.85	2/2	$970	$7,275	$7,206	87%hist 86%	26%hist 24%	89%	+$3,913	-$33,529	67.1%	2.5mo	$-31,796 (vs do-nothing $-32,220)
$1050	4d	16 Oct 2026	$5.50	2/2	$1,100	$8,250	$8,181	86%hist 86%	29%hist 24%	88%	+$4,226	-$34,399	68.8%	2.5mo	$-32,666 (vs do-nothing $-33,090)
$1045	4d	16 Oct 2026	$6.25	2/2	$1,250	$9,375	$9,306	84%hist 86%	33%hist 32%	86%	+$4,618	-$35,249	70.5%	2.6mo	$-33,516 (vs do-nothing $-33,940)
$1040	4d	16 Oct 2026	$7.15	2/2	$1,430	$10,725	$10,656	82%hist 86%	37%hist 32%	85%	+$5,132	-$36,069	72.1%	2.6mo	$-34,336 (vs do-nothing $-34,760)
$1035	4d	16 Oct 2026	$8.10	2/2	$1,620	$12,150	$12,081	80%hist 82%	41%hist 42%	84%	+$5,557	-$36,879	73.8%	2.7mo	$-35,146 (vs do-nothing $-35,570)
$1040	7d	19 Oct 2026	$8.85	2/2	$1,770	$7,586	$7,516	79%hist 82%	42%hist 42%	83%	+$3,182	-$35,729	71.5%	2.6mo	$-33,996 (vs do-nothing $-34,420)
$1030	4d	16 Oct 2026	$9.20	1/2	$920	$6,900	$7,090	77%hist 82%	46%hist 42%	82%	+$3,013	-$18,830	37.7%	1.4mo	$-17,751 (vs do-nothing $-18,175)
$1035	7d	19 Oct 2026	$9.90	2/2	$1,980	$8,486	$8,416	77%hist 82%	46%hist 42%	82%	+$3,383	-$36,519	73.0%	2.7mo	$-34,786 (vs do-nothing $-35,210)
$1045	11d	23 Oct 2026	$13.45	2/2	$2,690	$7,336	$7,267	76%hist 82%	49%hist 42%	81%	+$2,662	-$33,809	67.6%	2.5mo	$-32,076 (vs do-nothing $-32,500)
$1040	9d	21 Oct 2026	$10.30	2/2	$2,060	$6,867	$6,797	76%hist 82%	49%hist 42%	80%	+$1,500	-$35,439	70.9%	2.6mo	$-33,706 (vs do-nothing $-34,130)
$1030	7d	19 Oct 2026	$11.15	2/2	$2,230	$9,557	$9,488	75%hist 82%	51%hist 45%	80%	+$3,652	-$37,269	74.5%	2.7mo	$-35,536 (vs do-nothing $-35,960)
$1025	4d	16 Oct 2026	$10.45	1/2	$1,045	$7,838	$8,027	75%hist 82%	51%hist 45%	80%	+$3,203	-$19,205	38.4%	1.4mo	$-18,126 (vs do-nothing $-18,550)
$1040	11d	23 Oct 2026	$14.65	2/2	$2,930	$7,991	$7,922	74%hist 82%	52%hist 45%	80%	+$2,770	-$34,569	69.1%	2.5mo	$-32,836 (vs do-nothing $-33,260)

Show 94 more candidates (lower strikes: more income, lower survival)

Showing the 60 next-safest rows of 94.

Strike	DTE	Expiry	Bid	Sell	Per cycle	Income/mo	Net/mo	Survival	Touch	POP (mid)	EV/mo	Cap Give-up @ CC-SS	%IC	Recover	Total P&L @ SS
$1035	9d	21 Oct 2026	$11.45	2/2	$2,290	$7,633	$7,564	74%hist 82%	53%hist 45%	79%	+$1,590	-$36,209	72.4%	2.6mo	$-34,476 (vs do-nothing $-34,900)
$1050	18d	30 Oct 2026	$20.70	2/2	$4,140	$6,900	$6,831	73%hist 82%	56%hist 45%	79%	+$2,204	-$31,359	62.7%	2.3mo	$-29,626 (vs do-nothing $-30,050)
$1025	7d	19 Oct 2026	$12.40	2/2	$2,480	$10,629	$10,559	73%hist 82%	56%hist 45%	79%	+$3,805	-$38,019	76.0%	2.8mo	$-36,286 (vs do-nothing $-36,710)
$1035	11d	23 Oct 2026	$16.10	2/2	$3,220	$8,782	$8,713	72%hist 82%	57%hist 45%	78%	+$2,817	-$35,279	70.6%	2.6mo	$-33,546 (vs do-nothing $-33,970)
$1020	4d	16 Oct 2026	$11.85	1/2	$1,185	$8,888	$9,077	72%hist 82%	57%hist 45%	79%	+$3,489	-$19,565	39.1%	1.4mo	$-18,486 (vs do-nothing $-18,910)
$1030	9d	21 Oct 2026	$12.85	2/2	$2,570	$8,567	$8,497	72%hist 82%	58%hist 45%	78%	+$1,772	-$36,929	73.9%	2.7mo	$-35,196 (vs do-nothing $-35,620)
$1035	14d	26 Oct 2026	$17.05	2/2	$3,410	$7,307	$7,238	71%hist 82%	60%hist 45%	78%	+$1,741	-$35,089	70.2%	2.6mo	$-33,356 (vs do-nothing $-33,780)
$1030	11d	23 Oct 2026	$17.40	2/2	$3,480	$9,491	$9,422	70%hist 82%	61%hist 57%	77%	+$2,842	-$36,019	72.0%	2.6mo	$-34,286 (vs do-nothing $-34,710)
$1040	18d	30 Oct 2026	$23.00	2/2	$4,600	$7,667	$7,597	70%hist 82%	62%hist 57%	77%	+$2,164	-$32,899	65.8%	2.4mo	$-31,166 (vs do-nothing $-31,590)
$1020	7d	19 Oct 2026	$13.95	2/2	$2,790	$11,957	$11,888	70%hist 64%	61%hist 57%	77%	+$4,089	-$38,709	77.4%	2.8mo	$-36,976 (vs do-nothing $-37,400)
$1025	9d	21 Oct 2026	$14.15	2/2	$2,830	$9,433	$9,364	70%hist 64%	62%hist 57%	76%	+$1,808	-$37,669	75.3%	2.8mo	$-35,936 (vs do-nothing $-36,360)
$1030	14d	26 Oct 2026	$18.85	2/2	$3,770	$8,079	$8,009	69%hist 64%	64%hist 57%	76%	+$1,972	-$35,729	71.5%	2.6mo	$-33,996 (vs do-nothing $-34,420)
$1015	4d	16 Oct 2026	$13.40	1/2	$1,340	$10,050	$10,240	69%hist 64%	63%hist 57%	77%	+$3,578	-$19,910	39.8%	1.5mo	$-18,831 (vs do-nothing $-19,255)
$1035	18d	30 Oct 2026	$23.05	2/2	$4,610	$7,683	$7,614	68%hist 64%	65%hist 57%	76%	+$1,733	-$33,889	67.8%	2.5mo	$-32,156 (vs do-nothing $-32,580)
$1025	11d	23 Oct 2026	$18.85	2/2	$3,770	$10,282	$10,213	68%hist 64%	65%hist 57%	76%	+$3,030	-$36,729	73.5%	2.7mo	$-34,996 (vs do-nothing $-35,420)
$1020	9d	21 Oct 2026	$15.40	2/2	$3,080	$10,267	$10,197	67%hist 64%	67%hist 57%	75%	+$1,724	-$38,419	76.8%	2.8mo	$-36,686 (vs do-nothing $-37,110)
$1015	7d	19 Oct 2026	$15.55	2/2	$3,110	$13,329	$13,259	67%hist 64%	67%hist 57%	76%	+$4,278	-$39,389	78.8%	2.9mo	$-37,656 (vs do-nothing $-38,080)
$1025	14d	26 Oct 2026	$18.85	2/2	$3,770	$8,079	$8,009	67%hist 64%	68%hist 57%	75%	+$1,384	-$36,729	73.5%	2.7mo	$-34,996 (vs do-nothing $-35,420)
$1030	18d	30 Oct 2026	$25.70	2/2	$5,140	$8,567	$8,497	67%hist 64%	69%hist 57%	75%	+$2,138	-$34,359	68.7%	2.5mo	$-32,626 (vs do-nothing $-33,050)
$1035	25d	6 Nov 2026	$29.95	2/2	$5,990	$7,188	$7,119	66%hist 64%	70%hist 69%	75%	+$1,525	-$32,509	65.0%	2.4mo	$-30,776 (vs do-nothing $-31,200)
$1020	11d	23 Oct 2026	$20.55	2/2	$4,110	$11,209	$11,140	66%hist 64%	70%hist 69%	74%	+$2,828	-$37,389	74.8%	2.7mo	$-35,656 (vs do-nothing $-36,080)
$1010	4d	16 Oct 2026	$15.10	1/2	$1,510	$11,325	$11,515	66%hist 64%	70%hist 57%	75%	+$3,893	-$20,240	40.5%	1.5mo	$-19,161 (vs do-nothing $-19,585)
$1020	14d	26 Oct 2026	$21.45	2/2	$4,290	$9,193	$9,124	65%hist 64%	72%hist 69%	74%	+$1,862	-$37,209	74.4%	2.7mo	$-35,476 (vs do-nothing $-35,900)
$1025	18d	30 Oct 2026	$26.60	2/2	$5,320	$8,867	$8,797	65%hist 64%	72%hist 69%	74%	+$1,926	-$35,179	70.4%	2.6mo	$-33,446 (vs do-nothing $-33,870)
$1030	25d	6 Nov 2026	$30.90	2/2	$6,180	$7,416	$7,347	65%hist 64%	73%hist 69%	74%	+$1,380	-$33,319	66.6%	2.4mo	$-31,586 (vs do-nothing $-32,010)
$1015	9d	21 Oct 2026	$17.05	2/2	$3,410	$11,367	$11,297	65%hist 64%	72%hist 69%	74%	+$1,816	-$39,089	78.2%	2.9mo	$-37,356 (vs do-nothing $-37,780)
$1010	7d	19 Oct 2026	$17.00	1/2	$1,700	$7,286	$7,476	64%hist 64%	73%hist 69%	74%	+$2,097	-$20,050	40.1%	1.5mo	$-18,971 (vs do-nothing $-19,395)
$1015	11d	23 Oct 2026	$21.10	2/2	$4,220	$11,509	$11,440	64%hist 64%	74%hist 69%	74%	+$2,416	-$38,279	76.6%	2.8mo	$-36,546 (vs do-nothing $-36,970)
$1025	25d	6 Nov 2026	$33.15	2/2	$6,630	$7,956	$7,887	64%hist 64%	76%hist 69%	73%	+$1,525	-$33,869	67.7%	2.5mo	$-32,136 (vs do-nothing $-32,560)
$1020	18d	30 Oct 2026	$30.50	2/2	$6,100	$10,167	$10,097	63%hist 64%	76%hist 69%	74%	+$2,680	-$35,399	70.8%	2.6mo	$-33,666 (vs do-nothing $-34,090)
$1015	14d	26 Oct 2026	$22.75	2/2	$4,550	$9,750	$9,681	63%hist 64%	76%hist 69%	73%	+$1,733	-$37,949	75.9%	2.8mo	$-36,216 (vs do-nothing $-36,640)
$1010	9d	21 Oct 2026	$17.85	2/2	$3,570	$11,900	$11,831	62%hist 64%	77%hist 69%	72%	+$1,245	-$39,929	79.9%	2.9mo	$-38,196 (vs do-nothing $-38,620)
$1005	4d	16 Oct 2026	$17.00	1/2	$1,700	$12,750	$12,940	62%hist 64%	77%hist 69%	73%	+$4,096	-$20,550	41.1%	1.5mo	$-19,471 (vs do-nothing $-19,895)
$1020	25d	6 Nov 2026	$35.75	2/2	$7,150	$8,580	$8,511	62%hist 64%	79%hist 69%	73%	+$1,733	-$34,349	68.7%	2.5mo	$-32,616 (vs do-nothing $-33,040)
$1015	18d	30 Oct 2026	$30.55	2/2	$6,110	$10,183	$10,114	62%hist 64%	80%hist 69%	72%	+$2,116	-$36,389	72.8%	2.7mo	$-34,656 (vs do-nothing $-35,080)
$1010	11d	23 Oct 2026	$21.00	2/2	$4,200	$11,455	$11,385	62%hist 64%	79%hist 69%	72%	+$1,530	-$39,299	78.6%	2.9mo	$-37,566 (vs do-nothing $-37,990)
$1005	7d	19 Oct 2026	$19.30	1/2	$1,930	$8,271	$8,461	61%hist 64%	79%hist 69%	73%	+$2,341	-$20,320	40.6%	1.5mo	$-19,241 (vs do-nothing $-19,665)
$1010	14d	26 Oct 2026	$24.05	2/2	$4,810	$10,307	$10,238	61%hist 64%	81%hist 79%	72%	+$1,551	-$38,689	77.4%	2.8mo	$-36,956 (vs do-nothing $-37,380)
$1015	25d	6 Nov 2026	$36.90	2/2	$7,380	$8,856	$8,787	61%hist 64%	83%hist 79%	72%	+$1,571	-$35,119	70.2%	2.6mo	$-33,386 (vs do-nothing $-33,810)
$1005	9d	21 Oct 2026	$20.20	2/2	$4,040	$13,467	$13,397	60%hist 67%	82%hist 79%	71%	+$1,606	-$40,459	80.9%	3.0mo	$-38,726 (vs do-nothing $-39,150)
$1010	18d	30 Oct 2026	$33.50	2/2	$6,700	$11,167	$11,097	60%hist 67%	83%hist 79%	72%	+$2,482	-$36,799	73.6%	2.7mo	$-35,066 (vs do-nothing $-35,490)
$1005	11d	23 Oct 2026	$23.30	2/2	$4,660	$12,709	$12,640	59%hist 67%	84%hist 79%	71%	+$1,741	-$39,839	79.7%	2.9mo	$-38,106 (vs do-nothing $-38,530)
$1010	25d	6 Nov 2026	$39.00	2/2	$7,800	$9,360	$9,291	59%hist 67%	86%hist 79%	71%	+$1,615	-$35,699	71.4%	2.6mo	$-33,966 (vs do-nothing $-34,390)
$1000	4d	16 Oct 2026	$19.05	1/2	$1,905	$14,288	$14,477	59%hist 67%	84%hist 79%	72%	+$4,167	-$20,845	41.7%	1.5mo	$-19,766 (vs do-nothing $-20,190)
$1005	14d	26 Oct 2026	$25.35	2/2	$5,070	$10,864	$10,795	59%hist 67%	85%hist 79%	71%	+$1,315	-$39,429	78.9%	2.9mo	$-37,696 (vs do-nothing $-38,120)
$1000	7d	19 Oct 2026	$21.05	1/2	$2,105	$9,021	$9,211	58%hist 67%	86%hist 79%	71%	+$2,268	-$20,645	41.3%	1.5mo	$-19,566 (vs do-nothing $-19,990)
$1005	18d	30 Oct 2026	$33.15	2/2	$6,630	$11,050	$10,981	58%hist 67%	87%hist 79%	71%	+$1,711	-$37,869	75.7%	2.8mo	$-36,136 (vs do-nothing $-36,560)
$1005	25d	6 Nov 2026	$41.00	2/2	$8,200	$9,840	$9,771	57%hist 67%	89%hist 79%	70%	+$1,611	-$36,299	72.6%	2.7mo	$-34,566 (vs do-nothing $-34,990)
$1000	9d	21 Oct 2026	$21.60	1/2	$2,160	$7,200	$7,390	57%hist 67%	88%hist 79%	70%	+$614	-$20,590	41.2%	1.5mo	$-19,511 (vs do-nothing $-19,935)
$1000	11d	23 Oct 2026	$27.65	1/2	$2,765	$7,541	$7,731	57%hist 67%	89%hist 79%	70%	+$1,282	-$19,985	40.0%	1.5mo	$-18,906 (vs do-nothing $-19,330)
$1000	14d	26 Oct 2026	$29.45	2/2	$5,890	$12,621	$12,552	57%hist 67%	90%hist 79%	70%	+$2,223	-$39,609	79.2%	2.9mo	$-37,876 (vs do-nothing $-38,300)
$1000	18d	30 Oct 2026	$38.00	2/2	$7,600	$12,667	$12,597	56%hist 67%	91%hist 90%	70%	+$2,635	-$37,899	75.8%	2.8mo	$-36,166 (vs do-nothing $-36,590)
$1000	25d	6 Nov 2026	$43.90	2/2	$8,780	$10,536	$10,467	56%hist 67%	93%hist 90%	70%	+$1,800	-$36,719	73.4%	2.7mo	$-34,986 (vs do-nothing $-35,410)
$995	4d	16 Oct 2026	$21.35	1/2	$2,135	$16,012	$16,202	55%hist 67%	91%hist 90%	70%	+$4,439	-$21,115	42.2%	1.5mo	$-20,036 (vs do-nothing $-20,460)
$995	7d	19 Oct 2026	$23.40	1/2	$2,340	$10,029	$10,218	55%hist 67%	92%hist 90%	69%	+$2,367	-$20,910	41.8%	1.5mo	$-19,831 (vs do-nothing $-20,255)
$995	9d	21 Oct 2026	$26.25	1/2	$2,625	$8,750	$8,940	55%hist 67%	94%hist 90%	69%	+$1,455	-$20,625	41.2%	1.5mo	$-19,546 (vs do-nothing $-19,970)
$995	11d	23 Oct 2026	$28.55	1/2	$2,855	$7,786	$7,976	54%hist 67%	94%hist 90%	68%	+$1,058	-$20,395	40.8%	1.5mo	$-19,316 (vs do-nothing $-19,740)
$995	14d	26 Oct 2026	$30.35	2/2	$6,070	$13,007	$12,938	54%hist 67%	95%hist 90%	69%	+$1,701	-$40,429	80.9%	3.0mo	$-38,696 (vs do-nothing $-39,120)
$995	25d	6 Nov 2026	$47.40	2/2	$9,480	$11,376	$11,307	54%hist 67%	96%hist 90%	69%	+$2,108	-$37,019	74.0%	2.7mo	$-35,286 (vs do-nothing $-35,710)
$995	18d	30 Oct 2026	$40.50	2/2	$8,100	$13,500	$13,431	54%hist 67%	95%hist 90%	69%	+$2,737	-$38,399	76.8%	2.8mo	$-36,666 (vs do-nothing $-37,090)

247 more priced, not eligible (safety, income floor or quote screens): shown for reference

Strike	DTE	Expiry	Bid	Sell	Per cycle	Income/mo	Net/mo	Survival	Touch	POP (mid)	EV/mo	Cap Give-up @ CC-SS	%IC	Recover	Total P&L @ SS	Why not eligible
$1255	4d	16 Oct 2026	$0.10	2/2	$20	$150	$81	99+%hist 95%	1%hist 4%	100%	+$121	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$1,753 (vs do-nothing +$1,329)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1255	7d	19 Oct 2026	$0.01	2/2	$2	$9	$-61	99+%hist 95%	1%hist 4%	100%	$-8	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$1,735 (vs do-nothing +$1,311)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1250	4d	16 Oct 2026	$0.13	2/2	$26	$195	$126	99+%hist 95%	1%hist 4%	100%	+$164	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$1,759 (vs do-nothing +$1,335)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1250	7d	19 Oct 2026	$0.01	2/2	$2	$9	$-61	99+%hist 95%	1%hist 4%	100%	$-10	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$1,735 (vs do-nothing +$1,311)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1245	4d	16 Oct 2026	$0.12	2/2	$24	$180	$111	99+%hist 95%	1%hist 4%	100%	+$147	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$1,757 (vs do-nothing +$1,333)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1240	4d	16 Oct 2026	$0.14	2/2	$28	$210	$141	99+%hist 95%	1%hist 4%	100%	+$175	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$1,761 (vs do-nothing +$1,337)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1245	7d	19 Oct 2026	$0.01	2/2	$2	$9	$-61	99+%hist 95%	1%hist 4%	100%	$-12	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$1,735 (vs do-nothing +$1,311)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1235	4d	16 Oct 2026	$0.15	2/2	$30	$225	$156	99+%hist 95%	1%hist 4%	100%	+$187	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$1,763 (vs do-nothing +$1,339)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1240	7d	19 Oct 2026	$0.01	2/2	$2	$9	$-61	99+%hist 95%	1%hist 4%	100%	$-15	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$1,735 (vs do-nothing +$1,311)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1230	4d	16 Oct 2026	$0.15	2/2	$30	$225	$156	99+%hist 95%	1%hist 4%	100%	+$185	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$1,763 (vs do-nothing +$1,339)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1225	4d	16 Oct 2026	$0.17	2/2	$34	$255	$186	99+%hist 95%	1%hist 4%	100%	+$212	-$465	0.9%	0.0mo	$1,268 (vs do-nothing +$844)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1235	7d	19 Oct 2026	$0.01	2/2	$2	$9	$-61	99+%hist 95%	1%hist 4%	100%	$-18	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$1,735 (vs do-nothing +$1,311)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1220	4d	16 Oct 2026	$0.19	2/2	$38	$285	$216	99+%hist 95%	1%hist 4%	100%	+$239	-$1,461	2.9%	0.1mo	$272 (vs do-nothing $-152)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1230	7d	19 Oct 2026	$0.01	2/2	$2	$9	$-61	99%hist 95%	1%hist 4%	99%	$-21	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$1,735 (vs do-nothing +$1,311)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1215	4d	16 Oct 2026	$0.19	2/2	$38	$285	$216	99%hist 95%	1%hist 4%	99%	+$235	-$2,461	4.9%	0.2mo	$-728 (vs do-nothing $-1,152)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1210	4d	16 Oct 2026	$0.20	2/2	$40	$300	$231	99%hist 95%	1%hist 4%	99%	+$247	-$3,459	6.9%	0.3mo	$-1,726 (vs do-nothing $-2,150)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1225	7d	19 Oct 2026	$0.01	2/2	$2	$9	$-61	99%hist 95%	1%hist 4%	99%	$-25	-$497	1.0%	0.0mo	$1,236 (vs do-nothing +$812)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1205	4d	16 Oct 2026	$0.22	2/2	$44	$330	$261	99%hist 95%	1%hist 4%	99%	+$273	-$4,455	8.9%	0.3mo	$-2,722 (vs do-nothing $-3,146)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1200	4d	16 Oct 2026	$0.25	2/2	$50	$375	$306	99%hist 95%	1%hist 4%	99%	+$313	-$5,449	10.9%	0.4mo	$-3,716 (vs do-nothing $-4,140)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1245	9d	21 Oct 2026	$0.29	2/2	$58	$193	$124	99%hist 95%	1%hist 4%	99%	+$158	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$1,791 (vs do-nothing +$1,367)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1195	4d	16 Oct 2026	$0.24	2/2	$48	$360	$291	99%hist 95%	1%hist 4%	99%	+$292	-$6,451	12.9%	0.5mo	$-4,718 (vs do-nothing $-5,142)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1215	7d	19 Oct 2026	$0.01	2/2	$2	$9	$-61	99%hist 95%	1%hist 4%	99%	$-35	-$2,497	5.0%	0.2mo	$-764 (vs do-nothing $-1,188)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1240	9d	21 Oct 2026	$0.01	2/2	$2	$7	$-63	99%hist 95%	1%hist 4%	99%	$-33	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$1,735 (vs do-nothing +$1,311)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1190	4d	16 Oct 2026	$0.27	2/2	$54	$405	$336	99%hist 95%	1%hist 4%	99%	+$331	-$7,445	14.9%	0.5mo	$-5,712 (vs do-nothing $-6,136)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1210	7d	19 Oct 2026	$0.01	2/2	$2	$9	$-61	99%hist 95%	2%hist 4%	99%	$-41	-$3,497	7.0%	0.3mo	$-1,764 (vs do-nothing $-2,188)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1235	9d	21 Oct 2026	$0.01	2/2	$2	$7	$-63	99%hist 95%	2%hist 4%	99%	$-37	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$1,735 (vs do-nothing +$1,311)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1185	4d	16 Oct 2026	$0.29	2/2	$58	$435	$366	99%hist 95%	2%hist 4%	99%	+$354	-$8,441	16.9%	0.6mo	$-6,708 (vs do-nothing $-7,132)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1230	9d	21 Oct 2026	$0.20	2/2	$40	$133	$64	99%hist 95%	2%hist 4%	99%	+$84	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$1,773 (vs do-nothing +$1,349)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1205	7d	19 Oct 2026	$0.33	2/2	$66	$283	$214	99%hist 95%	2%hist 4%	99%	+$227	-$4,433	8.9%	0.3mo	$-2,700 (vs do-nothing $-3,124)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1180	4d	16 Oct 2026	$0.31	2/2	$62	$465	$396	99%hist 95%	2%hist 4%	99%	+$375	-$9,437	18.9%	0.7mo	$-7,704 (vs do-nothing $-8,128)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1225	9d	21 Oct 2026	$0.23	2/2	$46	$153	$84	99%hist 95%	2%hist 4%	99%	+$99	-$453	0.9%	0.0mo	$1,280 (vs do-nothing +$856)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1200	7d	19 Oct 2026	$0.39	2/2	$78	$334	$265	99%hist 95%	2%hist 4%	99%	+$271	-$5,421	10.8%	0.4mo	$-3,688 (vs do-nothing $-4,112)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1175	4d	16 Oct 2026	$0.33	2/2	$66	$495	$426	99%hist 95%	2%hist 4%	99%	+$395	-$10,433	20.9%	0.8mo	$-8,700 (vs do-nothing $-9,124)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1195	7d	19 Oct 2026	$0.20	2/2	$40	$171	$102	99%hist 95%	2%hist 4%	99%	+$100	-$6,459	12.9%	0.5mo	$-4,726 (vs do-nothing $-5,150)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1170	4d	16 Oct 2026	$0.37	2/2	$74	$555	$486	99%hist 95%	2%hist 4%	99%	+$444	-$11,425	22.9%	0.8mo	$-9,692 (vs do-nothing $-10,116)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1215	9d	21 Oct 2026	$0.25	2/2	$50	$167	$97	99%hist 95%	2%hist 4%	99%	+$98	-$2,449	4.9%	0.2mo	$-716 (vs do-nothing $-1,140)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1190	7d	19 Oct 2026	$0.12	2/2	$24	$103	$34	99%hist 95%	2%hist 4%	99%	+$22	-$7,475	15.0%	0.5mo	$-5,742 (vs do-nothing $-6,166)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1165	4d	16 Oct 2026	$0.41	2/2	$82	$615	$546	99%hist 95%	2%hist 4%	99%	+$491	-$12,417	24.8%	0.9mo	$-10,684 (vs do-nothing $-11,108)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1210	9d	21 Oct 2026	$0.33	2/2	$66	$220	$151	99%hist 95%	2%hist 4%	99%	+$143	-$3,433	6.9%	0.3mo	$-1,700 (vs do-nothing $-2,124)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1185	7d	19 Oct 2026	$0.15	2/2	$30	$129	$59	99%hist 95%	2%hist 4%	99%	+$37	-$8,469	16.9%	0.6mo	$-6,736 (vs do-nothing $-7,160)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1160	4d	16 Oct 2026	$0.44	2/2	$88	$660	$591	99%hist 95%	2%hist 4%	99%	+$521	-$13,411	26.8%	1.0mo	$-11,678 (vs do-nothing $-12,102)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1205	9d	21 Oct 2026	$0.35	2/2	$70	$233	$164	99%hist 95%	3%hist 4%	99%	+$147	-$4,429	8.9%	0.3mo	$-2,696 (vs do-nothing $-3,120)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1155	4d	16 Oct 2026	$0.49	2/2	$98	$735	$666	99%hist 95%	3%hist 4%	99%	+$582	-$14,401	28.8%	1.1mo	$-12,668 (vs do-nothing $-13,092)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1180	7d	19 Oct 2026	$0.20	2/2	$40	$171	$102	99%hist 95%	3%hist 4%	99%	+$68	-$9,459	18.9%	0.7mo	$-7,726 (vs do-nothing $-8,150)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1200	9d	21 Oct 2026	$0.42	2/2	$84	$280	$211	99%hist 95%	3%hist 4%	99%	+$183	-$5,415	10.8%	0.4mo	$-3,682 (vs do-nothing $-4,106)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1250	11d	23 Oct 2026	$0.80	2/2	$160	$436	$367	99%hist 95%	3%hist 4%	99%	+$327	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$1,893 (vs do-nothing +$1,469)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1175	7d	19 Oct 2026	$0.28	2/2	$56	$240	$171	99%hist 95%	3%hist 4%	99%	+$123	-$10,443	20.9%	0.8mo	$-8,710 (vs do-nothing $-9,134)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1195	9d	21 Oct 2026	$0.59	2/2	$118	$393	$324	98%hist 95%	3%hist 4%	99%	+$284	-$6,381	12.8%	0.5mo	$-4,648 (vs do-nothing $-5,072)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1150	4d	16 Oct 2026	$0.56	2/2	$112	$840	$771	98%hist 95%	3%hist 4%	99%	+$654	-$15,387	30.8%	1.1mo	$-13,654 (vs do-nothing $-14,078)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1170	7d	19 Oct 2026	$0.25	2/2	$50	$214	$145	98%hist 95%	3%hist 4%	98%	+$82	-$11,449	22.9%	0.8mo	$-9,716 (vs do-nothing $-10,140)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1145	4d	16 Oct 2026	$0.62	2/2	$124	$930	$861	98%hist 95%	3%hist 4%	98%	+$726	-$16,375	32.8%	1.2mo	$-14,642 (vs do-nothing $-15,066)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1140	4d	16 Oct 2026	$0.68	2/2	$136	$1,020	$951	98%hist 95%	3%hist 4%	98%	+$806	-$17,363	34.7%	1.3mo	$-15,630 (vs do-nothing $-16,054)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1165	7d	19 Oct 2026	$0.33	2/2	$66	$283	$214	98%hist 95%	4%hist 4%	98%	+$133	-$12,433	24.9%	0.9mo	$-10,700 (vs do-nothing $-11,124)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1230	11d	23 Oct 2026	$0.63	2/2	$126	$344	$274	98%hist 95%	4%hist 4%	98%	+$200	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$1,859 (vs do-nothing +$1,435)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1185	9d	21 Oct 2026	$0.64	2/2	$128	$427	$357	98%hist 95%	4%hist 4%	98%	+$288	-$8,371	16.7%	0.6mo	$-6,638 (vs do-nothing $-7,062)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1250	9d	21 Oct 2026	$0.21	2/2	$42	$140	$71	98%hist 95%	4%hist 4%	98%	$-64	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$1,775 (vs do-nothing +$1,351)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1160	7d	19 Oct 2026	$0.55	2/2	$110	$471	$402	98%hist 95%	4%hist 4%	98%	+$302	-$13,389	26.8%	1.0mo	$-11,656 (vs do-nothing $-12,080)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1180	9d	21 Oct 2026	$0.50	2/2	$100	$333	$264	98%hist 95%	4%hist 4%	98%	+$176	-$9,399	18.8%	0.7mo	$-7,666 (vs do-nothing $-8,090)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1135	4d	16 Oct 2026	$0.76	2/2	$152	$1,140	$1,071	98%hist 95%	4%hist 4%	98%	+$875	-$18,347	36.7%	1.3mo	$-16,614 (vs do-nothing $-17,038)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1220	11d	23 Oct 2026	$0.95	2/2	$190	$518	$449	98%hist 95%	4%hist 4%	98%	+$352	-$1,309	2.6%	0.1mo	$424 (vs do-nothing +$0)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1155	7d	19 Oct 2026	$0.45	2/2	$90	$386	$316	98%hist 95%	4%hist 4%	98%	+$195	-$14,409	28.8%	1.1mo	$-12,676 (vs do-nothing $-13,100)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1175	9d	21 Oct 2026	$0.82	2/2	$164	$547	$477	98%hist 95%	4%hist 4%	98%	+$369	-$10,335	20.7%	0.8mo	$-8,602 (vs do-nothing $-9,026)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1130	4d	16 Oct 2026	$0.84	2/2	$168	$1,260	$1,191	98%hist 95%	4%hist 4%	98%	+$956	-$19,331	38.7%	1.4mo	$-17,598 (vs do-nothing $-18,022)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1210	11d	23 Oct 2026	$0.98	2/2	$196	$535	$465	98%hist 95%	5%hist 4%	98%	+$342	-$3,303	6.6%	0.2mo	$-1,570 (vs do-nothing $-1,994)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1150	7d	19 Oct 2026	$0.44	2/2	$88	$377	$308	98%hist 95%	5%hist 4%	98%	+$161	-$15,411	30.8%	1.1mo	$-13,678 (vs do-nothing $-14,102)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1170	9d	21 Oct 2026	$0.93	2/2	$186	$620	$551	98%hist 95%	5%hist 4%	98%	+$419	-$11,313	22.6%	0.8mo	$-9,580 (vs do-nothing $-10,004)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1125	4d	16 Oct 2026	$0.94	2/2	$188	$1,410	$1,341	98%hist 95%	5%hist 4%	98%	+$1,054	-$20,311	40.6%	1.5mo	$-18,578 (vs do-nothing $-19,002)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1145	7d	19 Oct 2026	$0.73	2/2	$146	$626	$556	97%hist 95%	5%hist 4%	98%	+$381	-$16,353	32.7%	1.2mo	$-14,620 (vs do-nothing $-15,044)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1200	11d	23 Oct 2026	$1.33	2/2	$266	$725	$656	97%hist 95%	5%hist 4%	98%	+$501	-$5,233	10.5%	0.4mo	$-3,500 (vs do-nothing $-3,924)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1165	9d	21 Oct 2026	$0.80	2/2	$160	$533	$464	97%hist 95%	5%hist 4%	98%	+$306	-$12,339	24.7%	0.9mo	$-10,606 (vs do-nothing $-11,030)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1120	4d	16 Oct 2026	$1.05	2/2	$210	$1,575	$1,506	97%hist 95%	5%hist 4%	97%	+$1,196	-$21,289	42.6%	1.6mo	$-19,556 (vs do-nothing $-19,980)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1140	7d	19 Oct 2026	$0.88	2/2	$176	$754	$685	97%hist 95%	6%hist 4%	97%	+$477	-$17,323	34.6%	1.3mo	$-15,590 (vs do-nothing $-16,014)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1190	11d	23 Oct 2026	$1.40	2/2	$280	$764	$694	97%hist 95%	6%hist 4%	97%	+$500	-$7,219	14.4%	0.5mo	$-5,486 (vs do-nothing $-5,910)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1255	9d	21 Oct 2026	$0.10	2/2	$20	$67	$-3	97%hist 95%	6%hist 4%	97%	$-396	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$1,753 (vs do-nothing +$1,329)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1250	18d	30 Oct 2026	$2.00	2/2	$400	$667	$597	97%hist 95%	6%hist 4%	97%	+$426	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$2,133 (vs do-nothing +$1,709)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1135	7d	19 Oct 2026	$0.94	2/2	$188	$806	$736	97%hist 95%	6%hist 4%	97%	+$491	-$18,311	36.6%	1.3mo	$-16,578 (vs do-nothing $-17,002)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1115	4d	16 Oct 2026	$1.17	2/2	$234	$1,755	$1,686	97%hist 95%	6%hist 4%	97%	+$1,288	-$22,265	44.5%	1.6mo	$-20,532 (vs do-nothing $-20,956)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1155	9d	21 Oct 2026	$1.05	2/2	$210	$700	$631	97%hist 95%	6%hist 4%	97%	+$409	-$14,289	28.6%	1.0mo	$-12,556 (vs do-nothing $-12,980)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1180	11d	23 Oct 2026	$1.61	2/2	$322	$878	$809	97%hist 95%	7%hist 4%	97%	+$568	-$9,177	18.4%	0.7mo	$-7,444 (vs do-nothing $-7,868)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1240	18d	30 Oct 2026	$2.08	2/2	$416	$693	$624	97%hist 95%	7%hist 4%	97%	+$423	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$2,149 (vs do-nothing +$1,725)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1130	7d	19 Oct 2026	$1.04	2/2	$208	$891	$822	97%hist 95%	7%hist 4%	97%	+$533	-$19,291	38.6%	1.4mo	$-17,558 (vs do-nothing $-17,982)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1150	9d	21 Oct 2026	$1.31	2/2	$262	$873	$804	97%hist 95%	7%hist 4%	97%	+$543	-$15,237	30.5%	1.1mo	$-13,504 (vs do-nothing $-13,928)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1110	4d	16 Oct 2026	$1.31	2/2	$262	$1,965	$1,896	97%hist 95%	7%hist 4%	97%	+$1,426	-$23,237	46.5%	1.7mo	$-21,504 (vs do-nothing $-21,928)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1230	18d	30 Oct 2026	$2.30	2/2	$460	$767	$697	96%hist 95%	8%hist 4%	96%	+$461	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$2,193 (vs do-nothing +$1,769)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1125	7d	19 Oct 2026	$1.43	2/2	$286	$1,226	$1,156	96%hist 95%	7%hist 4%	96%	+$819	-$20,213	40.4%	1.5mo	$-18,480 (vs do-nothing $-18,904)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1145	9d	21 Oct 2026	$1.23	2/2	$246	$820	$751	96%hist 95%	8%hist 4%	96%	+$446	-$16,253	32.5%	1.2mo	$-14,520 (vs do-nothing $-14,944)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1170	11d	23 Oct 2026	$1.82	2/2	$364	$993	$923	96%hist 95%	8%hist 4%	96%	+$626	-$11,135	22.3%	0.8mo	$-9,402 (vs do-nothing $-9,826)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1105	4d	16 Oct 2026	$1.46	2/2	$292	$2,190	$2,121	96%hist 95%	8%hist 4%	96%	+$1,551	-$24,207	48.4%	1.8mo	$-22,474 (vs do-nothing $-22,898)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1220	18d	30 Oct 2026	$2.50	2/2	$500	$833	$764	96%hist 95%	8%hist 4%	96%	+$486	-$999	2.0%	0.1mo	$734 (vs do-nothing +$310)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1120	7d	19 Oct 2026	$1.58	2/2	$316	$1,354	$1,285	96%hist 95%	8%hist 4%	96%	+$891	-$21,183	42.4%	1.5mo	$-19,450 (vs do-nothing $-19,874)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1140	9d	21 Oct 2026	$0.95	2/2	$190	$633	$564	96%hist 95%	8%hist 4%	96%	+$209	-$17,309	34.6%	1.3mo	$-15,576 (vs do-nothing $-16,000)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1250	25d	6 Nov 2026	$1.78	2/2	$356	$427	$358	96%hist 95%	9%hist 4%	96%	+$120	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$2,089 (vs do-nothing +$1,665)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1100	4d	16 Oct 2026	$1.64	2/2	$328	$2,460	$2,391	96%hist 95%	8%hist 4%	96%	+$1,753	-$25,171	50.3%	1.8mo	$-23,438 (vs do-nothing $-23,862)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1160	11d	23 Oct 2026	$1.90	2/2	$380	$1,036	$967	96%hist 95%	9%hist 4%	96%	+$601	-$13,119	26.2%	1.0mo	$-11,386 (vs do-nothing $-11,810)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1135	9d	21 Oct 2026	$1.45	2/2	$290	$967	$897	96%hist 95%	9%hist 4%	96%	+$484	-$18,209	36.4%	1.3mo	$-16,476 (vs do-nothing $-16,900)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1210	18d	30 Oct 2026	$2.70	2/2	$540	$900	$831	96%hist 95%	9%hist 4%	96%	+$504	-$2,959	5.9%	0.2mo	$-1,226 (vs do-nothing $-1,650)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1115	7d	19 Oct 2026	$1.74	2/2	$348	$1,491	$1,422	96%hist 95%	9%hist 4%	96%	+$963	-$22,151	44.3%	1.6mo	$-20,418 (vs do-nothing $-20,842)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1155	11d	23 Oct 2026	$1.66	2/2	$332	$905	$836	95%hist 95%	9%hist 4%	96%	+$429	-$14,167	28.3%	1.0mo	$-12,434 (vs do-nothing $-12,858)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1240	25d	6 Nov 2026	$3.30	2/2	$660	$792	$723	95%hist 95%	9%hist 4%	96%	+$443	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$2,393 (vs do-nothing +$1,969)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1095	4d	16 Oct 2026	$1.84	2/2	$368	$2,760	$2,691	95%hist 95%	10%hist 4%	95%	+$1,895	-$26,131	52.3%	1.9mo	$-24,398 (vs do-nothing $-24,822)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1150	11d	23 Oct 2026	$2.36	2/2	$472	$1,287	$1,218	95%hist 95%	10%hist 4%	95%	+$767	-$15,027	30.1%	1.1mo	$-13,294 (vs do-nothing $-13,718)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1130	9d	21 Oct 2026	$2.00	2/2	$400	$1,333	$1,264	95%hist 95%	10%hist 4%	95%	+$785	-$19,099	38.2%	1.4mo	$-17,366 (vs do-nothing $-17,790)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1110	7d	19 Oct 2026	$1.90	2/2	$380	$1,629	$1,559	95%hist 95%	10%hist 14%	95%	+$1,025	-$23,119	46.2%	1.7mo	$-21,386 (vs do-nothing $-21,810)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1200	18d	30 Oct 2026	$3.15	2/2	$630	$1,050	$981	95%hist 95%	10%hist 14%	95%	+$597	-$4,869	9.7%	0.4mo	$-3,136 (vs do-nothing $-3,560)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1230	25d	6 Nov 2026	$3.80	2/2	$760	$912	$843	95%hist 95%	10%hist 14%	95%	+$514	-$0	0.0%	0.0mo	$2,493 (vs do-nothing +$2,069)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1145	11d	23 Oct 2026	$2.53	2/2	$506	$1,380	$1,311	95%hist 95%	11%hist 14%	95%	+$810	-$15,993	32.0%	1.2mo	$-14,260 (vs do-nothing $-14,684)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1090	4d	16 Oct 2026	$2.07	2/2	$414	$3,105	$3,036	95%hist 95%	11%hist 14%	95%	+$2,090	-$27,085	54.2%	2.0mo	$-25,352 (vs do-nothing $-25,776)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1105	7d	19 Oct 2026	$2.11	2/2	$422	$1,809	$1,739	95%hist 95%	11%hist 14%	95%	+$1,120	-$24,077	48.2%	1.8mo	$-22,344 (vs do-nothing $-22,768)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1190	18d	30 Oct 2026	$3.35	2/2	$670	$1,117	$1,047	94%hist 95%	11%hist 14%	95%	+$596	-$6,829	13.7%	0.5mo	$-5,096 (vs do-nothing $-5,520)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1220	25d	6 Nov 2026	$4.05	2/2	$810	$972	$903	94%hist 95%	12%hist 14%	95%	+$517	-$689	1.4%	0.1mo	$1,044 (vs do-nothing +$620)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1140	11d	23 Oct 2026	$2.71	2/2	$542	$1,478	$1,409	94%hist 95%	11%hist 14%	95%	+$853	-$16,957	33.9%	1.2mo	$-15,224 (vs do-nothing $-15,648)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1120	9d	21 Oct 2026	$2.05	2/2	$410	$1,367	$1,297	94%hist 95%	12%hist 14%	94%	+$659	-$21,089	42.2%	1.5mo	$-19,356 (vs do-nothing $-19,780)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1100	7d	19 Oct 2026	$2.32	2/2	$464	$1,989	$1,919	94%hist 95%	12%hist 14%	94%	+$1,201	-$25,035	50.1%	1.8mo	$-23,302 (vs do-nothing $-23,726)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1135	11d	23 Oct 2026	$2.91	2/2	$582	$1,587	$1,518	94%hist 95%	12%hist 14%	94%	+$900	-$17,917	35.8%	1.3mo	$-16,184 (vs do-nothing $-16,608)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1180	18d	30 Oct 2026	$3.70	2/2	$740	$1,233	$1,164	94%hist 95%	13%hist 14%	94%	+$634	-$8,759	17.5%	0.6mo	$-7,026 (vs do-nothing $-7,450)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1085	4d	16 Oct 2026	$2.33	2/2	$466	$3,495	$3,426	94%hist 95%	13%hist 14%	94%	+$2,272	-$28,033	56.1%	2.1mo	$-26,300 (vs do-nothing $-26,724)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1210	25d	6 Nov 2026	$4.40	2/2	$880	$1,056	$987	94%hist 95%	13%hist 14%	94%	+$536	-$2,619	5.2%	0.2mo	$-886 (vs do-nothing $-1,310)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1082.50	4d	16 Oct 2026	$2.47	2/2	$494	$3,705	$3,636	94%hist 95%	13%hist 14%	94%	+$2,461	-$28,505	57.0%	2.1mo	$-26,772 (vs do-nothing $-27,196)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1115	9d	21 Oct 2026	$2.30	2/2	$460	$1,533	$1,464	94%hist 95%	13%hist 14%	94%	+$728	-$22,039	44.1%	1.6mo	$-20,306 (vs do-nothing $-20,730)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1130	11d	23 Oct 2026	$3.15	2/2	$630	$1,718	$1,649	94%hist 95%	13%hist 14%	94%	+$962	-$18,869	37.7%	1.4mo	$-17,136 (vs do-nothing $-17,560)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1095	7d	19 Oct 2026	$2.58	2/2	$516	$2,211	$2,142	93%hist 95%	14%hist 14%	94%	+$1,309	-$25,983	52.0%	1.9mo	$-24,250 (vs do-nothing $-24,674)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1200	25d	6 Nov 2026	$5.15	2/2	$1,030	$1,236	$1,167	93%hist 95%	14%hist 14%	94%	+$641	-$4,469	8.9%	0.3mo	$-2,736 (vs do-nothing $-3,160)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1170	18d	30 Oct 2026	$4.15	2/2	$830	$1,383	$1,314	93%hist 95%	14%hist 14%	94%	+$689	-$10,669	21.3%	0.8mo	$-8,936 (vs do-nothing $-9,360)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1080	4d	16 Oct 2026	$2.62	2/2	$524	$3,930	$3,861	93%hist 95%	14%hist 14%	94%	+$2,505	-$28,975	58.0%	2.1mo	$-27,242 (vs do-nothing $-27,666)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1125	11d	23 Oct 2026	$3.40	2/2	$680	$1,855	$1,785	93%hist 95%	14%hist 14%	93%	+$1,021	-$19,819	39.6%	1.4mo	$-18,086 (vs do-nothing $-18,510)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1110	9d	21 Oct 2026	$2.18	2/2	$436	$1,453	$1,384	93%hist 95%	14%hist 14%	93%	+$537	-$23,063	46.1%	1.7mo	$-21,330 (vs do-nothing $-21,754)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1077.50	4d	16 Oct 2026	$2.78	2/2	$556	$4,170	$4,101	93%hist 95%	14%hist 14%	93%	+$2,705	-$29,443	58.9%	2.2mo	$-27,710 (vs do-nothing $-28,134)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1090	7d	19 Oct 2026	$2.87	2/2	$574	$2,460	$2,391	93%hist 95%	15%hist 14%	93%	+$1,425	-$26,925	53.9%	2.0mo	$-25,192 (vs do-nothing $-25,616)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1120	11d	23 Oct 2026	$3.65	2/2	$730	$1,991	$1,922	92%hist 95%	15%hist 14%	93%	+$1,071	-$20,769	41.5%	1.5mo	$-19,036 (vs do-nothing $-19,460)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1190	25d	6 Nov 2026	$5.40	2/2	$1,080	$1,296	$1,227	92%hist 95%	16%hist 14%	93%	+$615	-$6,419	12.8%	0.5mo	$-4,686 (vs do-nothing $-5,110)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1160	18d	30 Oct 2026	$4.70	2/2	$940	$1,567	$1,497	92%hist 95%	16%hist 14%	93%	+$761	-$12,559	25.1%	0.9mo	$-10,826 (vs do-nothing $-11,250)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1105	9d	21 Oct 2026	$3.00	2/2	$600	$2,000	$1,931	92%hist 95%	16%hist 14%	93%	+$957	-$23,899	47.8%	1.7mo	$-22,166 (vs do-nothing $-22,590)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1075	4d	16 Oct 2026	$2.96	2/2	$592	$4,440	$4,371	92%hist 95%	16%hist 14%	93%	+$2,755	-$29,907	59.8%	2.2mo	$-28,174 (vs do-nothing $-28,598)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1115	11d	23 Oct 2026	$3.90	2/2	$780	$2,127	$2,058	92%hist 95%	17%hist 14%	93%	+$1,110	-$21,719	43.4%	1.6mo	$-19,986 (vs do-nothing $-20,410)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1155	18d	30 Oct 2026	$5.00	2/2	$1,000	$1,667	$1,597	92%hist 95%	17%hist 14%	92%	+$797	-$13,499	27.0%	1.0mo	$-11,766 (vs do-nothing $-12,190)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1085	7d	19 Oct 2026	$3.20	2/2	$640	$2,743	$2,674	92%hist 95%	17%hist 14%	92%	+$1,554	-$27,859	55.7%	2.0mo	$-26,126 (vs do-nothing $-26,550)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1072.50	4d	16 Oct 2026	$3.10	2/2	$620	$4,650	$4,581	92%hist 95%	17%hist 14%	92%	+$2,804	-$30,379	60.8%	2.2mo	$-28,646 (vs do-nothing $-29,070)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1180	25d	6 Nov 2026	$4.65	2/2	$930	$1,116	$1,047	92%hist 95%	17%hist 14%	92%	+$335	-$8,569	17.1%	0.6mo	$-6,836 (vs do-nothing $-7,260)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1100	9d	21 Oct 2026	$3.15	2/2	$630	$2,100	$2,031	91%hist 95%	17%hist 14%	92%	+$913	-$24,869	49.7%	1.8mo	$-23,136 (vs do-nothing $-23,560)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1150	18d	30 Oct 2026	$5.50	2/2	$1,100	$1,833	$1,764	91%hist 95%	18%hist 14%	92%	+$895	-$14,399	28.8%	1.1mo	$-12,666 (vs do-nothing $-13,090)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1070	4d	16 Oct 2026	$3.30	2/2	$660	$4,950	$4,881	91%hist 95%	18%hist 14%	92%	+$3,017	-$30,839	61.7%	2.3mo	$-29,106 (vs do-nothing $-29,530)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1110	11d	23 Oct 2026	$4.25	2/2	$850	$2,318	$2,249	91%hist 95%	18%hist 14%	92%	+$1,191	-$22,649	45.3%	1.7mo	$-20,916 (vs do-nothing $-21,340)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1080	7d	19 Oct 2026	$3.55	2/2	$710	$3,043	$2,974	91%hist 95%	18%hist 14%	92%	+$1,674	-$28,789	57.6%	2.1mo	$-27,056 (vs do-nothing $-27,480)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1145	18d	30 Oct 2026	$5.70	2/2	$1,140	$1,900	$1,831	91%hist 95%	19%hist 14%	92%	+$886	-$15,359	30.7%	1.1mo	$-13,626 (vs do-nothing $-14,050)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1067.50	4d	16 Oct 2026	$3.55	2/2	$710	$5,325	$5,256	91%hist 95%	19%hist 14%	92%	+$3,228	-$31,289	62.6%	2.3mo	$-29,556 (vs do-nothing $-29,980)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1170	25d	6 Nov 2026	$6.60	2/2	$1,320	$1,584	$1,515	91%hist 95%	19%hist 14%	92%	+$688	-$10,179	20.4%	0.7mo	$-8,446 (vs do-nothing $-8,870)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1095	9d	21 Oct 2026	$2.80	2/2	$560	$1,867	$1,797	91%hist 95%	19%hist 14%	91%	+$517	-$25,939	51.9%	1.9mo	$-24,206 (vs do-nothing $-24,630)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1105	11d	23 Oct 2026	$4.70	2/2	$940	$2,564	$2,494	91%hist 95%	19%hist 14%	91%	+$1,314	-$23,559	47.1%	1.7mo	$-21,826 (vs do-nothing $-22,250)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1140	18d	30 Oct 2026	$6.10	2/2	$1,220	$2,033	$1,964	90%hist 95%	20%hist 14%	91%	+$937	-$16,279	32.6%	1.2mo	$-14,546 (vs do-nothing $-14,970)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1065	4d	16 Oct 2026	$3.75	2/2	$750	$5,625	$5,556	90%hist 95%	20%hist 14%	91%	+$3,349	-$31,749	63.5%	2.3mo	$-30,016 (vs do-nothing $-30,440)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1075	7d	19 Oct 2026	$3.95	2/2	$790	$3,386	$3,316	90%hist 86%	20%hist 24%	91%	+$1,808	-$29,709	59.4%	2.2mo	$-27,976 (vs do-nothing $-28,400)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1100	11d	23 Oct 2026	$5.05	2/2	$1,010	$2,755	$2,685	90%hist 86%	21%hist 24%	91%	+$1,367	-$24,489	49.0%	1.8mo	$-22,756 (vs do-nothing $-23,180)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1090	9d	21 Oct 2026	$2.65	2/2	$530	$1,767	$1,697	90%hist 86%	21%hist 24%	91%	+$231	-$26,969	53.9%	2.0mo	$-25,236 (vs do-nothing $-25,660)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1160	25d	6 Nov 2026	$7.00	2/2	$1,400	$1,680	$1,611	90%hist 86%	21%hist 24%	91%	+$651	-$12,099	24.2%	0.9mo	$-10,366 (vs do-nothing $-10,790)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1135	18d	30 Oct 2026	$6.50	2/2	$1,300	$2,167	$2,097	90%hist 86%	21%hist 24%	91%	+$981	-$17,199	34.4%	1.3mo	$-15,466 (vs do-nothing $-15,890)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1062.50	4d	16 Oct 2026	$4.00	2/2	$800	$6,000	$5,931	90%hist 86%	21%hist 24%	91%	+$3,531	-$32,199	64.4%	2.4mo	$-30,466 (vs do-nothing $-30,890)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1097.50	11d	23 Oct 2026	$5.25	2/2	$1,050	$2,864	$2,794	89%hist 86%	22%hist 24%	90%	+$1,400	-$24,949	49.9%	1.8mo	$-23,216 (vs do-nothing $-23,640)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1155	25d	6 Nov 2026	$6.50	2/2	$1,300	$1,560	$1,491	89%hist 86%	22%hist 24%	90%	+$458	-$13,199	26.4%	1.0mo	$-11,466 (vs do-nothing $-11,890)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1130	18d	30 Oct 2026	$7.25	2/2	$1,450	$2,417	$2,347	89%hist 86%	22%hist 24%	90%	+$1,133	-$18,049	36.1%	1.3mo	$-16,316 (vs do-nothing $-16,740)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1095	11d	23 Oct 2026	$5.50	2/2	$1,100	$3,000	$2,931	89%hist 86%	22%hist 24%	90%	+$1,456	-$25,399	50.8%	1.9mo	$-23,666 (vs do-nothing $-24,090)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1070	7d	19 Oct 2026	$4.45	2/2	$890	$3,814	$3,745	89%hist 86%	23%hist 24%	90%	+$1,993	-$30,609	61.2%	2.2mo	$-28,876 (vs do-nothing $-29,300)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1105	14d	26 Oct 2026	$5.20	2/2	$1,040	$2,229	$2,159	89%hist 86%	23%hist 24%	90%	+$850	-$23,459	46.9%	1.7mo	$-21,726 (vs do-nothing $-22,150)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1085	9d	21 Oct 2026	$3.60	2/2	$720	$2,400	$2,331	89%hist 86%	23%hist 24%	90%	+$653	-$27,779	55.6%	2.0mo	$-26,046 (vs do-nothing $-26,470)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1060	4d	16 Oct 2026	$4.25	2/2	$850	$6,375	$6,306	89%hist 86%	23%hist 24%	90%	+$3,565	-$32,649	65.3%	2.4mo	$-30,916 (vs do-nothing $-31,340)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1150	25d	6 Nov 2026	$8.90	2/2	$1,780	$2,136	$2,067	89%hist 86%	23%hist 24%	90%	+$954	-$13,719	27.4%	1.0mo	$-11,986 (vs do-nothing $-12,410)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1092.50	11d	23 Oct 2026	$5.75	2/2	$1,150	$3,136	$3,067	89%hist 86%	23%hist 24%	90%	+$1,508	-$25,849	51.7%	1.9mo	$-24,116 (vs do-nothing $-24,540)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1125	18d	30 Oct 2026	$7.45	2/2	$1,490	$2,483	$2,414	88%hist 86%	24%hist 24%	90%	+$1,093	-$19,009	38.0%	1.4mo	$-17,276 (vs do-nothing $-17,700)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1090	11d	23 Oct 2026	$6.10	2/2	$1,220	$3,327	$3,258	88%hist 86%	24%hist 24%	89%	+$1,608	-$26,279	52.6%	1.9mo	$-24,546 (vs do-nothing $-24,970)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1145	25d	6 Nov 2026	$8.20	2/2	$1,640	$1,968	$1,899	88%hist 86%	25%hist 24%	89%	+$701	-$14,859	29.7%	1.1mo	$-13,126 (vs do-nothing $-13,550)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1057.50	4d	16 Oct 2026	$4.55	2/2	$910	$6,825	$6,756	88%hist 86%	24%hist 24%	90%	+$3,757	-$33,089	66.2%	2.4mo	$-31,356 (vs do-nothing $-31,780)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1100	14d	26 Oct 2026	$5.80	2/2	$1,160	$2,486	$2,416	88%hist 86%	25%hist 24%	89%	+$929	-$24,339	48.7%	1.8mo	$-22,606 (vs do-nothing $-23,030)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1120	18d	30 Oct 2026	$7.95	2/2	$1,590	$2,650	$2,581	88%hist 86%	25%hist 24%	89%	+$1,143	-$19,909	39.8%	1.5mo	$-18,176 (vs do-nothing $-18,600)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1080	9d	21 Oct 2026	$3.60	2/2	$720	$2,400	$2,331	88%hist 86%	25%hist 24%	89%	+$414	-$28,779	57.6%	2.1mo	$-27,046 (vs do-nothing $-27,470)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1065	7d	19 Oct 2026	$5.00	2/2	$1,000	$4,286	$4,216	88%hist 86%	25%hist 24%	89%	+$2,180	-$31,499	63.0%	2.3mo	$-29,766 (vs do-nothing $-30,190)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1087.50	11d	23 Oct 2026	$6.20	2/2	$1,240	$3,382	$3,313	88%hist 86%	25%hist 24%	89%	+$1,567	-$26,759	53.5%	2.0mo	$-25,026 (vs do-nothing $-25,450)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1140	25d	6 Nov 2026	$8.70	2/2	$1,740	$2,088	$2,019	87%hist 86%	26%hist 24%	89%	+$730	-$15,759	31.5%	1.2mo	$-14,026 (vs do-nothing $-14,450)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1085	11d	23 Oct 2026	$6.65	2/2	$1,330	$3,627	$3,558	87%hist 86%	26%hist 24%	89%	+$1,711	-$27,169	54.3%	2.0mo	$-25,436 (vs do-nothing $-25,860)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1115	18d	30 Oct 2026	$8.50	2/2	$1,700	$2,833	$2,764	87%hist 86%	27%hist 24%	89%	+$1,200	-$20,799	41.6%	1.5mo	$-19,066 (vs do-nothing $-19,490)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1095	14d	26 Oct 2026	$6.30	2/2	$1,260	$2,700	$2,631	87%hist 86%	27%hist 24%	89%	+$957	-$25,239	50.5%	1.8mo	$-23,506 (vs do-nothing $-23,930)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1135	25d	6 Nov 2026	$9.15	2/2	$1,830	$2,196	$2,127	87%hist 86%	27%hist 24%	88%	+$740	-$16,669	33.3%	1.2mo	$-14,936 (vs do-nothing $-15,360)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1082.50	11d	23 Oct 2026	$6.85	2/2	$1,370	$3,736	$3,667	87%hist 86%	27%hist 24%	88%	+$1,712	-$27,629	55.3%	2.0mo	$-25,896 (vs do-nothing $-26,320)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1075	9d	21 Oct 2026	$4.50	2/2	$900	$3,000	$2,931	87%hist 86%	27%hist 24%	88%	+$744	-$29,599	59.2%	2.2mo	$-27,866 (vs do-nothing $-28,290)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1060	7d	19 Oct 2026	$5.60	2/2	$1,120	$4,800	$4,731	86%hist 86%	28%hist 24%	88%	+$2,362	-$32,379	64.8%	2.4mo	$-30,646 (vs do-nothing $-31,070)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1110	18d	30 Oct 2026	$9.10	2/2	$1,820	$3,033	$2,964	86%hist 86%	28%hist 24%	88%	+$1,263	-$21,679	43.4%	1.6mo	$-19,946 (vs do-nothing $-20,370)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1130	25d	6 Nov 2026	$10.85	2/2	$2,170	$2,604	$2,535	86%hist 86%	29%hist 24%	88%	+$1,043	-$17,329	34.7%	1.3mo	$-15,596 (vs do-nothing $-16,020)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1080	11d	23 Oct 2026	$7.15	2/2	$1,430	$3,900	$3,831	86%hist 86%	28%hist 24%	88%	+$1,761	-$28,069	56.1%	2.1mo	$-26,336 (vs do-nothing $-26,760)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1090	14d	26 Oct 2026	$4.10	2/2	$820	$1,757	$1,688	86%hist 86%	29%hist 24%	88%	$-183	-$26,679	53.4%	2.0mo	$-24,946 (vs do-nothing $-25,370)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1077.50	11d	23 Oct 2026	$7.60	2/2	$1,520	$4,145	$4,076	86%hist 86%	30%hist 24%	87%	+$1,885	-$28,479	57.0%	2.1mo	$-26,746 (vs do-nothing $-27,170)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1125	25d	6 Nov 2026	$10.30	2/2	$2,060	$2,472	$2,403	85%hist 86%	30%hist 32%	87%	+$799	-$18,439	36.9%	1.3mo	$-16,706 (vs do-nothing $-17,130)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1105	18d	30 Oct 2026	$9.75	2/2	$1,950	$3,250	$3,181	85%hist 86%	30%hist 24%	87%	+$1,330	-$22,549	45.1%	1.6mo	$-20,816 (vs do-nothing $-21,240)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1070	9d	21 Oct 2026	$5.55	2/2	$1,110	$3,700	$3,631	85%hist 86%	30%hist 24%	87%	+$1,138	-$30,389	60.8%	2.2mo	$-28,656 (vs do-nothing $-29,080)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1120	25d	6 Nov 2026	$11.85	2/2	$2,370	$2,844	$2,775	85%hist 86%	31%hist 32%	87%	+$1,144	-$19,129	38.3%	1.4mo	$-17,396 (vs do-nothing $-17,820)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1115	25d	6 Nov 2026	$11.55	2/2	$2,310	$2,772	$2,703	85%hist 86%	31%hist 32%	87%	+$1,128	-$20,189	40.4%	1.5mo	$-18,456 (vs do-nothing $-18,880)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1075	11d	23 Oct 2026	$7.85	2/2	$1,570	$4,282	$4,213	85%hist 86%	31%hist 32%	87%	+$1,892	-$28,929	57.9%	2.1mo	$-27,196 (vs do-nothing $-27,620)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1085	14d	26 Oct 2026	$7.40	2/2	$1,480	$3,171	$3,102	85%hist 86%	31%hist 32%	87%	+$1,023	-$27,019	54.0%	2.0mo	$-25,286 (vs do-nothing $-25,710)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1055	7d	19 Oct 2026	$6.25	2/2	$1,250	$5,357	$5,288	85%hist 86%	31%hist 32%	87%	+$2,533	-$33,249	66.5%	2.4mo	$-31,516 (vs do-nothing $-31,940)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1100	18d	30 Oct 2026	$10.80	2/2	$2,160	$3,600	$3,531	85%hist 86%	32%hist 32%	87%	+$1,517	-$23,339	46.7%	1.7mo	$-21,606 (vs do-nothing $-22,030)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1072.50	11d	23 Oct 2026	$8.25	2/2	$1,650	$4,500	$4,431	84%hist 86%	32%hist 32%	87%	+$1,974	-$29,349	58.7%	2.1mo	$-27,616 (vs do-nothing $-28,040)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1110	25d	6 Nov 2026	$13.05	2/2	$2,610	$3,132	$3,063	84%hist 86%	33%hist 32%	87%	+$1,345	-$20,889	41.8%	1.5mo	$-19,156 (vs do-nothing $-19,580)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1065	9d	21 Oct 2026	$4.80	2/2	$960	$3,200	$3,131	84%hist 86%	33%hist 32%	86%	+$293	-$31,539	63.1%	2.3mo	$-29,806 (vs do-nothing $-30,230)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1080	14d	26 Oct 2026	$8.20	2/2	$1,640	$3,514	$3,445	84%hist 86%	33%hist 32%	86%	+$1,142	-$27,859	55.7%	2.0mo	$-26,126 (vs do-nothing $-26,550)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1070	11d	23 Oct 2026	$8.55	2/2	$1,710	$4,664	$4,594	84%hist 86%	33%hist 32%	86%	+$1,992	-$29,789	59.6%	2.2mo	$-28,056 (vs do-nothing $-28,480)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1095	18d	30 Oct 2026	$11.05	2/2	$2,210	$3,683	$3,614	84%hist 86%	34%hist 32%	86%	+$1,423	-$24,289	48.6%	1.8mo	$-22,556 (vs do-nothing $-22,980)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1050	7d	19 Oct 2026	$7.00	2/2	$1,400	$6,000	$5,931	83%hist 86%	34%hist 32%	86%	+$2,725	-$34,099	68.2%	2.5mo	$-32,366 (vs do-nothing $-32,790)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1105	25d	6 Nov 2026	$14.75	2/2	$2,950	$3,540	$3,471	83%hist 86%	35%hist 32%	86%	+$1,599	-$21,549	43.1%	1.6mo	$-19,816 (vs do-nothing $-20,240)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1067.50	11d	23 Oct 2026	$8.90	2/2	$1,780	$4,855	$4,785	83%hist 86%	35%hist 32%	86%	+$2,030	-$30,219	60.4%	2.2mo	$-28,486 (vs do-nothing $-28,910)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1090	18d	30 Oct 2026	$11.85	2/2	$2,370	$3,950	$3,881	83%hist 86%	36%hist 32%	85%	+$1,497	-$25,129	50.3%	1.8mo	$-23,396 (vs do-nothing $-23,820)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1075	14d	26 Oct 2026	$8.90	2/2	$1,780	$3,814	$3,745	83%hist 86%	36%hist 32%	85%	+$1,200	-$28,719	57.4%	2.1mo	$-26,986 (vs do-nothing $-27,410)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1060	9d	21 Oct 2026	$5.90	2/2	$1,180	$3,933	$3,864	83%hist 86%	36%hist 32%	85%	+$640	-$32,319	64.6%	2.4mo	$-30,586 (vs do-nothing $-31,010)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1065	11d	23 Oct 2026	$9.30	2/2	$1,860	$5,073	$5,003	82%hist 86%	36%hist 32%	85%	+$2,085	-$30,639	61.3%	2.2mo	$-28,906 (vs do-nothing $-29,330)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1062.50	11d	23 Oct 2026	$9.90	2/2	$1,980	$5,400	$5,331	82%hist 86%	37%hist 32%	85%	+$2,240	-$31,019	62.0%	2.3mo	$-29,286 (vs do-nothing $-29,710)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1085	18d	30 Oct 2026	$12.70	2/2	$2,540	$4,233	$4,164	82%hist 86%	38%hist 32%	85%	+$1,571	-$25,959	51.9%	1.9mo	$-24,226 (vs do-nothing $-24,650)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1100	25d	6 Nov 2026	$16.00	2/2	$3,200	$3,840	$3,771	82%hist 86%	38%hist 32%	85%	+$1,536	-$22,299	44.6%	1.6mo	$-20,566 (vs do-nothing $-20,990)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1070	14d	26 Oct 2026	$9.75	2/2	$1,950	$4,179	$4,109	81%hist 86%	38%hist 32%	84%	+$1,301	-$29,549	59.1%	2.2mo	$-27,816 (vs do-nothing $-28,240)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1045	7d	19 Oct 2026	$7.80	2/2	$1,560	$6,686	$6,616	81%hist 86%	38%hist 32%	84%	+$2,888	-$34,939	69.9%	2.6mo	$-33,206 (vs do-nothing $-33,630)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1095	25d	6 Nov 2026	$15.00	2/2	$3,000	$3,600	$3,531	81%hist 86%	39%hist 32%	84%	+$1,316	-$23,499	47.0%	1.7mo	$-21,766 (vs do-nothing $-22,190)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1055	9d	21 Oct 2026	$7.55	2/2	$1,510	$5,033	$4,964	81%hist 86%	39%hist 32%	84%	+$1,306	-$32,989	66.0%	2.4mo	$-31,256 (vs do-nothing $-31,680)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1060	11d	23 Oct 2026	$10.30	2/2	$2,060	$5,618	$5,549	81%hist 86%	39%hist 32%	84%	+$2,276	-$31,439	62.9%	2.3mo	$-29,706 (vs do-nothing $-30,130)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1080	18d	30 Oct 2026	$13.60	2/2	$2,720	$4,533	$4,464	81%hist 86%	40%hist 42%	84%	+$1,644	-$26,779	53.6%	2.0mo	$-25,046 (vs do-nothing $-25,470)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1057.50	11d	23 Oct 2026	$10.80	2/2	$2,160	$5,891	$5,822	80%hist 86%	40%hist 42%	84%	+$2,356	-$31,839	63.7%	2.3mo	$-30,106 (vs do-nothing $-30,530)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1090	25d	6 Nov 2026	$16.10	2/2	$3,220	$3,864	$3,795	80%hist 86%	41%hist 42%	84%	+$1,390	-$24,279	48.6%	1.8mo	$-22,546 (vs do-nothing $-22,970)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1065	14d	26 Oct 2026	$10.65	2/2	$2,130	$4,564	$4,495	80%hist 86%	41%hist 42%	84%	+$1,400	-$30,369	60.7%	2.2mo	$-28,636 (vs do-nothing $-29,060)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1055	11d	23 Oct 2026	$11.25	2/2	$2,250	$6,136	$6,067	80%hist 82%	42%hist 42%	83%	+$2,398	-$32,249	64.5%	2.4mo	$-30,516 (vs do-nothing $-30,940)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1075	18d	30 Oct 2026	$14.55	2/2	$2,910	$4,850	$4,781	79%hist 82%	42%hist 42%	83%	+$1,715	-$27,589	55.2%	2.0mo	$-25,856 (vs do-nothing $-26,280)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1050	9d	21 Oct 2026	$9.00	2/2	$1,800	$6,000	$5,931	79%hist 82%	42%hist 42%	83%	+$1,786	-$33,699	67.4%	2.5mo	$-31,966 (vs do-nothing $-32,390)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1085	25d	6 Nov 2026	$17.30	2/2	$3,460	$4,152	$4,083	79%hist 82%	43%hist 42%	83%	+$1,476	-$25,039	50.1%	1.8mo	$-23,306 (vs do-nothing $-23,730)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1060	14d	26 Oct 2026	$11.40	2/2	$2,280	$4,886	$4,816	79%hist 82%	43%hist 42%	82%	+$1,407	-$31,219	62.4%	2.3mo	$-29,486 (vs do-nothing $-29,910)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1070	18d	30 Oct 2026	$15.55	2/2	$3,110	$5,183	$5,114	78%hist 82%	45%hist 42%	82%	+$1,783	-$28,389	56.8%	2.1mo	$-26,656 (vs do-nothing $-27,080)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1080	25d	6 Nov 2026	$18.40	2/2	$3,680	$4,416	$4,347	78%hist 82%	45%hist 42%	82%	+$1,523	-$25,819	51.6%	1.9mo	$-24,086 (vs do-nothing $-24,510)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1050	11d	23 Oct 2026	$12.35	2/2	$2,470	$6,736	$6,667	78%hist 82%	45%hist 42%	82%	+$2,555	-$33,029	66.1%	2.4mo	$-31,296 (vs do-nothing $-31,720)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1045	9d	21 Oct 2026	$9.30	2/2	$1,860	$6,200	$6,131	78%hist 82%	46%hist 42%	82%	+$1,441	-$34,639	69.3%	2.5mo	$-32,906 (vs do-nothing $-33,330)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1055	14d	26 Oct 2026	$10.55	2/2	$2,110	$4,521	$4,452	77%hist 82%	46%hist 42%	81%	+$699	-$32,389	64.8%	2.4mo	$-30,656 (vs do-nothing $-31,080)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1065	18d	30 Oct 2026	$16.70	2/2	$3,340	$5,567	$5,497	77%hist 82%	47%hist 42%	81%	+$1,878	-$29,159	58.3%	2.1mo	$-27,426 (vs do-nothing $-27,850)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1075	25d	6 Nov 2026	$18.80	2/2	$3,760	$4,512	$4,443	77%hist 82%	48%hist 42%	81%	+$1,389	-$26,739	53.5%	2.0mo	$-25,006 (vs do-nothing $-25,430)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1050	14d	26 Oct 2026	$13.45	2/2	$2,690	$5,764	$5,695	76%hist 82%	49%hist 42%	80%	+$1,563	-$32,809	65.6%	2.4mo	$-31,076 (vs do-nothing $-31,500)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1070	25d	6 Nov 2026	$20.65	2/2	$4,130	$4,956	$4,887	76%hist 82%	50%hist 45%	81%	+$1,587	-$27,369	54.7%	2.0mo	$-25,636 (vs do-nothing $-26,060)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1060	18d	30 Oct 2026	$18.10	2/2	$3,620	$6,033	$5,964	76%hist 82%	50%hist 45%	81%	+$2,034	-$29,879	59.8%	2.2mo	$-28,146 (vs do-nothing $-28,570)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1065	25d	6 Nov 2026	$21.20	2/2	$4,240	$5,088	$5,019	75%hist 82%	53%hist 45%	80%	+$1,458	-$28,259	56.5%	2.1mo	$-26,526 (vs do-nothing $-26,950)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1055	18d	30 Oct 2026	$19.10	2/2	$3,820	$6,367	$6,297	74%hist 82%	53%hist 45%	80%	+$2,032	-$30,679	61.4%	2.2mo	$-28,946 (vs do-nothing $-29,370)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1045	14d	26 Oct 2026	$14.75	2/2	$2,950	$6,321	$6,252	74%hist 82%	53%hist 45%	80%	+$1,705	-$33,549	67.1%	2.5mo	$-31,816 (vs do-nothing $-32,240)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1060	25d	6 Nov 2026	$22.70	2/2	$4,540	$5,448	$5,379	73%hist 82%	55%hist 45%	79%	+$1,541	-$28,959	57.9%	2.1mo	$-27,226 (vs do-nothing $-27,650)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1040	14d	26 Oct 2026	$14.75	2/2	$2,950	$6,321	$6,252	73%hist 82%	56%hist 45%	78%	+$1,251	-$34,549	69.1%	2.5mo	$-32,816 (vs do-nothing $-33,240)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1055	25d	6 Nov 2026	$24.30	2/2	$4,860	$5,832	$5,763	72%hist 82%	58%hist 45%	78%	+$1,631	-$29,639	59.3%	2.2mo	$-27,906 (vs do-nothing $-28,330)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1045	18d	30 Oct 2026	$20.35	2/2	$4,070	$6,783	$6,714	72%hist 82%	59%hist 45%	78%	+$1,698	-$32,429	64.9%	2.4mo	$-30,696 (vs do-nothing $-31,120)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1050	25d	6 Nov 2026	$25.30	2/2	$5,060	$6,072	$6,003	71%hist 82%	61%hist 57%	78%	+$1,560	-$30,439	60.9%	2.2mo	$-28,706 (vs do-nothing $-29,130)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1045	25d	6 Nov 2026	$28.00	2/2	$5,600	$6,720	$6,651	69%hist 64%	64%hist 57%	77%	+$1,878	-$30,899	61.8%	2.3mo	$-29,166 (vs do-nothing $-29,590)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$1040	25d	6 Nov 2026	$27.40	2/2	$5,480	$6,576	$6,507	68%hist 64%	67%hist 57%	76%	+$1,267	-$32,019	64.0%	2.3mo	$-30,286 (vs do-nothing $-30,710)	50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract

Per cycle = bid x 100 x contracts, the cash this expiry pays. Touch = P(strike trades before expiry), with the graded record's hist pill. Recover = months of this income to close the hole to CC-SS. Income/mo = FIGHT leg gross, DTE-prorated. Net/mo = FIGHT + conservative CC gross minus hedge cost. POP (mid) = probability stock closes at or below (strike + mid premium) at expiry, per-strike chain IV when available. Survival = CC expires fully worthless. EV/mo = premium minus expected buyback, monthly, with realized vol = IV x 85% (variance risk premium 15%). Survival, POP and touch use vol x 1.00 (raw implied: the VRP haircut is applied to the premium edge but NOT to risk, because understating the edge costs opportunity while understating breach odds costs capital; the risk-side haircut arms only from the graded ledger). Cap give-up @ SS = recovery mortgaged on a V-bounce to SS, net of premium. Total P&L @ SS = absolute position P&L if the stock closes at SS; "vs do-nothing" = opportunity cost against holding all 2 contracts at the conservative CC.

fortress_fight.py v6.3 | 2026-10-12 21:48