FORTRESS FIGHT: SNDK @ $1324.44

BE SS: $1620.00  |  CC-SS: $1635.09  |  1 contracts (100 sh) |  ⌂ PORTFOLIO

GENERATED2026-10-30 03:13

SNDK @ $1324.44   UNDERWATER $295.56 (18.2% below BE SS)

⚠ EARNINGS · DO NOT SELL INCOME INTO IT
SNDK reports 2026-10-29 (Thu), TODAY. The recommended CC (8d) expires on/after it, so selling now holds a short call through the earnings gap, a report can blow past your strike overnight and cap you at a loss. No priced expiry closes before the print, so waiting for it is the only clean option.

1 contracts (100 sh)  |  BE SS: $1620.00  |  CC-SS: $1635.09 (banked floor $1,546.88)  |  IV: HIGH  |  Accounts: Neville:0865

LC: $1200 exp 2028-01-21 (entry $883.982/sh)
SP: $1380 exp 2028-01-21 (entry $484.618/sh)
HP: $810 exp 2027-02-19 (entry $27.362/sh)

Economics

Max Loss$99,000(ND $420.00 + SW $570) x 100
Normal income ref$17,240/mo95% ann ROI on ML
Hedge rolling cost$526/mo
Unrealized P&L$-31,520fortress legs from IBKR
INCOME GOALPOSTS & VELOCITY
50% INCOME FLOOR
$8,620/mo
HEDGE COVER
$526/mo
NORMAL INCOME
$17,240/mo (ATM CC, chain)
IC VELOCITY
2.4 mo to earn back $42,000
ML VELOCITY
5.7 mo to earn back $99,000
Deep drawdown confirmed: a CC at CC-SS $1635.09 (probe: $1635C 15d) brings only $2,300/mo (<20% of normal), so FIGHT below it is warranted.
🏦 CAMPAIGN LEDGER , realized CC income since 2026-08-17; banked cash shrinks the hole (shown as an info-only banked floor, the recommended CC-SS stays the pure recovery strike; seeded from open positions, reconciled from IBKR executions nightly)
Banked since 2026-08-17
$9,126
Hole (after banked)
$22,394
was $31,520 · 29% earned back
Cycles closed
22
Credit in flight
$0
CC-SS · banked floor (info)
$1,635.09 → $1,546.88
? 10 leg(s) closed as UNKNOWN (vanished with no fill in window): banked $0, conservative. Fix campaign.json by hand if wrong.
Full leg history (22) and event log · CLOSED 11 · UNKNOWN 10 · EXPIRED 1 · updated 2026-10-30 03:10
StatusLegCredit/shCreditOpenedClosedClose/shBankedAccountSource
CLOSED1x $1440C 23 Oct 2026$11.04$1,1042026-10-212026-10-22$1.95$909U13190865execution
CLOSED1x $1455C 23 Oct 2026$15.08$1,5082026-10-172026-10-21$8.29$679U13190865execution
CLOSED1x $1485C 23 Oct 2026$17.25$1,7252026-10-162026-10-17$10.38$687U13190865execution
CLOSED1x $1555C 23 Oct 2026$19.45$1,9452026-10-152026-10-16$8.52$1,093U13190865execution
CLOSED1x $1650C 23 Oct 2026$10.55$1,0552026-10-142026-10-15$7.71$284U13190865execution
CLOSED1x $1700C 16 Oct 2026$15.80$1,5802026-10-122026-10-13$2.16$1,364U13190865execution
CLOSED1x $1660C 9 Oct 2026$7.01$7012026-10-092026-10-12$0.35$666U13190865execution
CLOSED1x $1900C 16 Oct 2026$15.57$1,5572026-10-082026-10-09$3.31$1,226U13190865execution
CLOSED1x $1760C 9 Oct 2026$11.82$1,1822026-10-072026-10-08$20.14$-832U13190865execution
CLOSED1x $1830C 9 Oct 2026$13.40$1,3402026-10-062026-10-07$4.05$935U13190865execution
CLOSED1x $1875C 9 Oct 2026$17.00$1,7002026-10-052026-10-06$7.35$965U13190865snapshot
EXPIRED1x $1800C 2 Oct 2026$11.50$1,1502026-10-022026-10-05$0.00$1,150U13190865snapshot
UNKNOWN1x $1850C 2 Oct 2026$11.43$1,1432026-09-292026-10-02$11.43$0U13190865snapshot
UNKNOWN1x $2200C 20 Nov 2026$133.48$13,3482026-09-232026-09-29$133.48$0U13190865snapshot
UNKNOWN1x $1950C 23 Oct 2026$135.25$13,5252026-09-092026-09-23$135.25$0U13190865snapshot
UNKNOWN1x $1800C 2 Oct 2026$82.78$8,2782026-09-082026-09-09$82.78$0U13190865snapshot
UNKNOWN1x $1650C 18 Sep 2026$45.75$4,5752026-08-282026-09-08$45.75$0U13190865snapshot
UNKNOWN1x $1800C 18 Sep 2026$40.20$4,0202026-08-252026-08-28$40.20$0U13190865execution
UNKNOWN1x $1800C 4 Sep 2026$49.07$4,9072026-08-202026-08-25$49.07$0U13190865snapshot
UNKNOWN1x $1860C 4 Sep 2026$64.74$6,4742026-08-192026-08-20$64.74$0U13190865snapshot
UNKNOWN1x $2500C 16 Oct 2026$82.02$8,2022026-08-182026-08-19$82.02$0U13190865execution
UNKNOWN1x $1800C 21 Aug 2026$30.46$3,0462026-08-172026-08-18$30.46$0U13190865seed
Event log
2026-10-22 CLOSED 1x $1440C 20261023: banked $909
2026-10-21 CLOSED 1x $1455C 20261023: banked $679
2026-10-21 SOLD 1x $1440C 20261023 @ $11.04 (new leg)
2026-10-17 CLOSED 1x $1485C 20261023: banked $687
2026-10-17 SOLD 1x $1455C 20261023 @ $15.08 (new leg)
2026-10-16 CLOSED 1x $1555C 20261023: banked $1,093
2026-10-16 SOLD 1x $1485C 20261023 @ $17.25 (new leg)
2026-10-15 CLOSED 1x $1650C 20261023: banked $284
2026-10-15 SOLD 1x $1555C 20261023 @ $19.45 (new leg)
2026-10-14 SOLD 1x $1650C 20261023 @ $10.55 (new leg)
2026-10-13 CLOSED 1x $1700C 20261016: banked $1,364
2026-10-12 SOLD 1x $1700C 20261016 @ $15.80 (new leg)
2026-10-12 CLOSED 1x $1660C 20261009: banked $666
2026-10-09 CLOSED 1x $1900C 20261016: banked $1,226
2026-10-09 SOLD 1x $1660C 20261009 @ $7.01 (new leg)
2026-10-08 CLOSED 1x $1760C 20261009: banked $-832
2026-10-08 SOLD 1x $1900C 20261016 @ $15.57 (new leg)
2026-10-07 CLOSED 1x $1830C 20261009: banked $935
2026-10-07 SOLD 1x $1760C 20261009 @ $11.82 (new leg)
2026-10-06 CLOSED 1x $1875C 20261009: banked $965
2026-10-06 SOLD 1x $1830C 20261009 @ $13.40 (new leg)
2026-10-05 TRACKING 1x $1875C 20261009 @ $17.00 (snapshot)
2026-10-05 EXPIRED WORTHLESS 1x $1800C: banked $1,150
2026-10-02 TRACKING 1x $1800C 20261002 @ $11.50 (snapshot)
2026-10-02 ? 1x $1850C 20261002 vanished with no fill in window: banked $0 (conservative), fix campaign.json by hand if wrong
2026-09-29 TRACKING 1x $1850C 20261002 @ $11.43 (snapshot)
2026-09-29 ? 1x $2200C 20261120 vanished with no fill in window: banked $0 (conservative), fix campaign.json by hand if wrong
2026-09-23 TRACKING 1x $2200C 20261120 @ $133.48 (snapshot)
2026-09-23 ? 1x $1950C 20261023 vanished with no fill in window: banked $0 (conservative), fix campaign.json by hand if wrong
2026-09-09 TRACKING 1x $1950C 20261023 @ $135.25 (snapshot)
2026-09-09 ? 1x $1800C 20261002 vanished with no fill in window: banked $0 (conservative), fix campaign.json by hand if wrong
2026-09-08 TRACKING 1x $1800C 20261002 @ $82.78 (snapshot)
2026-09-08 ? 1x $1650C 20260918 vanished with no fill in window: banked $0 (conservative), fix campaign.json by hand if wrong
2026-08-28 TRACKING 1x $1650C 20260918 @ $45.75 (snapshot)
2026-08-28 ? 1x $1800C 20260918 vanished with no fill in window: banked $0 (conservative), fix campaign.json by hand if wrong
2026-08-25 ? 1x $1800C 20260904 vanished with no fill in window: banked $0 (conservative), fix campaign.json by hand if wrong
2026-08-25 BOT 1x $1580C 20260828 @ $31.30 with no tracked leg (ignored)
2026-08-25 SOLD 1x $1800C 20260918 @ $40.20 (new leg)
2026-08-20 TRACKING 1x $1800C 20260904 @ $49.07 (snapshot)
2026-08-20 ? 1x $1860C 20260904 vanished with no fill in window: banked $0 (conservative), fix campaign.json by hand if wrong
TECHNICALS (cc_timing weekly gate + daily trigger)
WEEKLYNEUTRAL · %B 25 (live) · RSI 48 · MACD bearish, hist falling
DAILYFALLING (provisional) · RSI 42 · %B 32 · hist rising (nightly)
LEVELSUpper BB (CC ceiling) $2,147.90 (+62%) · daily UBB $1,717.72 · 1-wk expected move ±$147 (chain IV)
SETUPNo tilt: engine default. (advisory; floors and picks are chain-only)
⚠ Next earnings 2026-10-29: candidates whose expiry crosses it are flagged in the spectrum; EV is unreliable across earnings.
INTERPRETATION
Primary: 1 contract at $1470 / 8d. This is the safest strike (survival 83%, breach 17%) that still earns 50% of normal income ($8,620/mo); it brings $8,888/mo. The engine maximizes the odds the pullback never reaches your strike, rather than chasing the fattest near-ATM premium.
More income, less safety: the ladder tops out at 1 × $1387.50/8d for $17,550/mo, but breach risk rises to 34% (+17pp vs the primary). The lower strike is hit by a smaller bounce.
More safety, less income: for just the hedge you can sit at 1 × $1675/8d (98% survival, $1,462/mo).
Downside anchor: the primary mortgages $14,139 (34% of IC) ONLY on a full V-bounce all the way to SS $1620, recoverable in 0.8 months of normal income. That is the rare tail; the frequent case is the strike holding. Surgical close on the 1 contracts realizes $-31,605 and cuts bleed by $526/mo.

📅 Two weekly tracks, this Friday & next Friday

Each Friday gets its own recommended pick and full income ladder (safest strike per income rung, sized across your 1 contracts). The master ranks the two by E[net]/mo to pick one grand pick; both are shown here so you can choose the tenor that fits your roll cadence.

🏆 Grand pick: NEXT FRIDAY · 6 Nov 2026 (8d) · sell 1 × $1470, 83% survival, $8,888/mo (E[net] $1,217/mo). ⏸ WAIT: every listed weekly is open through the next earnings print, so nothing here is a sell-now suggestion; sell after the print.
This week's Friday is inside the pin/gamma window, so only the next weekly is shown.
TrackExpirySellSurvivalIncome/moE[net]/mo
NEXT FRIDAY 🏆 ⚡6 Nov 2026 · 8d1 × $147083%$8,888$1,217
E[net] arithmetic on the grand pick: keep $2,370 with probability 68%; on the 32% touch you roll, paying $5,855 to close and taking $1,912 back from the best priced door (net cash $3,943) and parking about one cycle of income. Charging the FULL buyback with no door credit (the pre-2026-07-25 model) contradicted the campaign simulation, which prices the same event as a cash-neutral even roll.

📅 NEXT FRIDAY · 6 Nov 2026 · 8d · E[net] $1,217/mo 🏆 GRAND PICK

🎯 Engine pick: sell 1 × $1470 (50% normal), 83% survival, breach 17%, $8,888/mo.
The pick is already past the ~80% (≈1σ) comfort line, so take the income. Stepping out to the $1520 rung (33% normal) lifts survival to 86% (breach 17% → 14%) for $3,038/mo less (34% income) buys safety you do not really need here.
SNDK  spot $1,324.44 · click a rung to expand its decision panel
RungSellExpiryDTEOTMSurvivalTouch oddsFIGHT edgePer cycleIncome/moΔ vs pickCap give-up
▸cover hedge1 × $16756 Nov8d26.5%98%hist 95%4%hist 4%-3pp$390$1,462-$7,425$0
Sell 1 × $1675 26.5% OTM over spot $1,324.44 6 Nov 2026 (8d, $4.25 mid)
= $390 credit for the 8d cycle → $1,462/mo projected
Survival (stays ≤ $1675)
98%
Breach risk
2%
POP (stays ≤ $1679.25)
98%
EV / mo
+$1,270
📈 CAMPAIGN OUTLOOK (400 simulated futures, this rung on repeat for 9 months, no directional opinion)
FIGHT'S EDGE
-3pp
76% whole by 9mo vs 78% doing nothing · roll costs eat the credits at this rung
FIRE DRILLS
~0.1/quarter
challenges to roll; realized tends lower (calibration)
BANKED RATE WHILE FIGHTING
$453/mo
median; plan ~$308/mo after 68% keep · $741 banked by campaign end (selling stops once whole)
green: with FIGHT · grey: without
if it recovers, the typical trip is ~0.9 mo [0.4-2.3], measured ONLY among the 76% of futures that got whole
🛡 IF CHALLENGED (spot reaches the strike) · challenge = the strike is touched at any point, so it runs ~2x the breach risk (finishing through it)
Challenge odds (touch by expiry)
5%
Flat exit net (mid-life)
-$6,282
Free roll-up
+$31/wk
Safest escape (by 20 Nov 2026)
$1,751 @ 74% POP
65% survival
Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 1 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 4 of 8); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic
Buyback gross: $94.31/sh now → $66.72 mid-life (likely $53.79–$90.43) → ≈ $0 at expiry  |  you banked $3.90/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$62.82/sh  |  roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours
📊 Across 151 simulated challenges: the $1,675 strike is typically first touched on day 6 of 8, at $1,721 (overshoots $45.54). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
MoveNew strike ≈New expiryTenorEst netTotal (1 ct)POP / surv
of new CC
If rolled & exited
total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Roll out (same strike, buy time)~$1,67513 Nov 202611d left+$14.54/sh+$1,454
cycle +$1,844
[+$1,418…+$3,318] · 99% credit
67%
surv 52%
+$5,836 SAFE
cap gain +$37,356
Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%)~$1,74120 Nov 202618d left+$2.75/sh+$275
cycle +$665
[-$210…+$1,999] · 71% credit
73%
surv 63%
+$11,298 SAFE
cap gain +$42,818
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)~$1,70613 Nov 202611d left+$0.80/sh+$80
cycle +$470
[-$145…+$1,654] · 70% credit
70%
surv 58%
+$7,558 SAFE
cap gain +$39,078
Max even-money escape in the band~$1,75120 Nov 202618d left+$0.40/sh+$40
cycle +$430
[-$505…+$1,701] · 60% credit
74%
surv 65%
+$12,076 SAFE
cap gain +$43,596
If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L ≥ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same from-entry basis as this tool's @cap / total-exit numbers, at the rolled strike.
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP.
Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted -0.4 vol pt per +1% move (equity skew: vol eases as spot rises; buyback shift floored at 0). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened.
More detail, income coverage, downside budget, tripwires, held-to-expiry ladder, V-bounce stress
Income coverage
Gross FIGHT income$1,462/mo
vs 50% target ($8,620/mo)-83%
vs normal income ($17,240/mo)8% covered
Net income (after hedge)$937/mo
Downside budget
✓ $1675 is at/above CC-SS $1635.09: assignment is break-even or better.
Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)-$0
… as % of IC ($42,000)0.0%
… as % of ML ($99,000)0.0%
Recovery months (at normal income)0.0 mo
Surgical close (1 ct)$-31,555
Tripwiresprice and time left decide together; the matrix is the playbook
The one rule: roll when the short call's remaining TIME VALUE < $0.97/sh (~25% of the $3.90 collected) or spot ≥ $1,679.25 (breakeven), whichever comes first. Time value = call mark price minus intrinsic (max(0, spot − $1,675)); NOT the premium you collected. Momentum override: two daily closes above $1,717.72 (daily upper band) or daily RSI > 70 → treat "pressing" as "through".
Spot \ Time≥ 5d left3-4d left≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $1,658.25Do nothing. Theta wins.Do nothing.Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike
$1,658-1,679.25
Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven
≥ $1,679.25
Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.Close today, or be assigned.
If held to expiryexact, settlement = intrinsic  ·  fortress delta 1.01 (IBKR)
ScenarioSpotCC leg netPosition totalvs todayvs do-nothing
at strike$1,675.00 (2.2σ)$390$4,382+$35,902+$4,610
+2.5%$1,716.87 (2.5σ)$-3,797$4,436+$35,956+$4,610
+5%$1,758.75 (2.8σ)$-7,985$4,491+$36,011+$4,610
V-BOUNCE STRESS (stock → CC-SS $1635.09, where you are whole again, by expiry)
Starting unrealized P&L: $-31,520
+ Fortress recovery (un-capped): +$31,469
− CC assignment net of premium (1 × $1675): -$0
Total Position P&L @ SS: $-51 (+$31,469 vs today)
Do-nothing baseline at SS: $-280 (this trade vs do-nothing: +$229, the opportunity cost of earning $1,462/mo FIGHT income now)
▸🛡 safe yield1 × $15656 Nov8d18.2%90%hist 95%20%hist 23%+0pp$1,030$3,862-$5,025$5,979
Sell 1 × $1565 18.2% OTM over spot $1,324.44 6 Nov 2026 (8d, $10.75 mid)
= $1,030 credit for the 8d cycle → $3,862/mo projected
Survival (stays ≤ $1565)
90%
Breach risk
10%
POP (stays ≤ $1575.75)
91%
EV / mo
+$1,781
📈 CAMPAIGN OUTLOOK (400 simulated futures, this rung on repeat for 9 months, no directional opinion)
FIGHT'S EDGE
+0pp
76% whole by 9mo vs 76% doing nothing
FIRE DRILLS
~0.6/quarter
challenges to roll; realized tends lower (calibration)
BANKED RATE WHILE FIGHTING
$2,232/mo
median; plan ~$1,518/mo after 68% keep · $3,314 banked by campaign end (selling stops once whole)
green: with FIGHT · grey: without
if it recovers, the typical trip is ~0.7 mo [0.3-1.7], measured ONLY among the 76% of futures that got whole
🛡 IF CHALLENGED (spot reaches the strike) · challenge = the strike is touched at any point, so it runs ~2x the breach risk (finishing through it)
Challenge odds (touch by expiry)
14%
Flat exit net (mid-life)
-$5,203
Free roll-up
+$38/wk
Safest escape (by 20 Nov 2026)
$1,661 @ 75% POP
68% survival
Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 1 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 4 of 8); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic
Buyback gross: $88.12/sh now → $62.33 mid-life (likely $54.79–$93.87) → ≈ $0 at expiry  |  you banked $10.30/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$52.03/sh  |  roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours
📊 Across 417 simulated challenges: the $1,565 strike is typically first touched on day 5 of 8, at $1,607 (overshoots $42.45). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
MoveNew strike ≈New expiryTenorEst netTotal (1 ct)POP / surv
of new CC
If rolled & exited
total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Roll out (same strike, buy time)~$1,56513 Nov 202611d left+$17.22/sh+$1,722
cycle +$2,752
[+$1,331…+$2,805] · 100% credit
68%
surv 53%
-$4,399 NOT
cap gain +$27,121
Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%)~$1,63120 Nov 202618d left+$5.52/sh+$552
cycle +$1,582
[-$467…+$1,691] · 63% credit
73%
surv 63%
+$1,071 SAFE
cap gain +$32,591
Max even-money escape in the band~$1,64120 Nov 202618d left+$3.16/sh+$316
cycle +$1,346
[-$732…+$1,401] · 57% credit
74%
surv 65%
+$1,849 SAFE
cap gain +$33,369
reaches SS ✓
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)~$1,60313 Nov 202611d left+$0.25/sh+$25
cycle +$1,055
[-$733…+$993] · 50% credit
71%
surv 60%
-$2,241 NOT
cap gain +$29,279
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)~$1,66120 Nov 202618d left-$4.35/sh-$435
cycle +$595
[-$1,692…+$599] · 35% credit
75%
surv 68%
+$3,124 SAFE
cap gain +$34,644
budget: banked $1,030 debit $435 (42% used ≈ 0.5 wk of income) → whole cycle still +$595 cash · rolled 1 ct earn ≈ $9,664/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell · clears SS ✓
If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L ≥ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same from-entry basis as this tool's @cap / total-exit numbers, at the rolled strike.
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP.
Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted -0.4 vol pt per +1% move (equity skew: vol eases as spot rises; buyback shift floored at 0). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened.
More detail, income coverage, downside budget, tripwires, held-to-expiry ladder, V-bounce stress
Income coverage
Gross FIGHT income$3,862/mo
vs 50% target ($8,620/mo)-55%
vs normal income ($17,240/mo)22% covered
Net income (after hedge)$3,337/mo
Downside budget
⚠ $1565 is $70 below CC-SS $1635.09: assignment on a recovery to whole locks the cap give-up below.
Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)-$5,979
… as % of IC ($42,000)14.2%
… as % of ML ($99,000)6.0%
Recovery months (at normal income)0.3 mo
Surgical close (1 ct)$-31,565
Tripwiresprice and time left decide together; the matrix is the playbook
The one rule: roll when the short call's remaining TIME VALUE < $2.58/sh (~25% of the $10.30 collected) or spot ≥ $1,575.75 (breakeven), whichever comes first. Time value = call mark price minus intrinsic (max(0, spot − $1,565)); NOT the premium you collected. Momentum override: two daily closes above $1,717.72 (daily upper band) or daily RSI > 70 → treat "pressing" as "through".
Spot \ Time≥ 5d left3-4d left≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $1,549.35Do nothing. Theta wins.Do nothing.Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike
$1,549-1,575.75
Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven
≥ $1,575.75
Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.Close today, or be assigned.
If held to expiryexact, settlement = intrinsic  ·  fortress delta 1.01 (IBKR)
ScenarioSpotCC leg netPosition totalvs todayvs do-nothing
at strike$1,565.00 (1.5σ)$1,030$-6,121+$25,399-$250
+2.5%$1,604.12 (1.8σ)$-2,882$-6,070+$25,450-$4,162
+5%$1,643.25 (2.0σ)$-6,795$-6,020+$25,500-$5,750
V-BOUNCE STRESS (stock → CC-SS $1635.09, where you are whole again, by expiry)
Starting unrealized P&L: $-31,520
+ Fortress recovery (un-capped): +$31,469
− CC assignment net of premium (1 × $1565): -$5,979
Total Position P&L @ SS: $-6,030 (+$25,490 vs today)
Do-nothing baseline at SS: $-280 (this trade vs do-nothing: $-5,750, the opportunity cost of earning $3,862/mo FIGHT income now)
▸33% normal1 × $15206 Nov8d14.8%86%hist 86%29%hist 23%+4pp$1,560$5,850-$3,038$9,949
Sell 1 × $1520 14.8% OTM over spot $1,324.44 6 Nov 2026 (8d, $15.90 mid)
= $1,560 credit for the 8d cycle → $5,850/mo projected
Survival (stays ≤ $1520)
86%
Breach risk
14%
POP (stays ≤ $1535.90)
88%
EV / mo
+$2,419
📈 CAMPAIGN OUTLOOK (400 simulated futures, this rung on repeat for 9 months, no directional opinion)
FIGHT'S EDGE
+4pp
81% whole by 9mo vs 77% doing nothing
FIRE DRILLS
~0.8/quarter
challenges to roll; realized tends lower (calibration)
BANKED RATE WHILE FIGHTING
$3,803/mo
median; plan ~$2,586/mo after 68% keep · $4,377 banked by campaign end (selling stops once whole)
green: with FIGHT · grey: without
if it recovers, the typical trip is ~0.7 mo [0.2-1.8], measured ONLY among the 81% of futures that got whole
🛡 IF CHALLENGED (spot reaches the strike) · challenge = the strike is touched at any point, so it runs ~2x the breach risk (finishing through it)
Challenge odds (touch by expiry)
20%
Flat exit net (mid-life)
-$4,494
Free roll-up
+$41/wk
Safest escape (by 20 Nov 2026)
$1,656 @ 79% POP
73% survival
Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 1 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 4 of 8); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic
Buyback gross: $85.59/sh now → $60.54 mid-life (likely $55.89–$91.01) → ≈ $0 at expiry  |  you banked $15.60/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$44.94/sh  |  roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours
📊 Across 593 simulated challenges: the $1,520 strike is typically first touched on day 5 of 8, at $1,561 (overshoots $41.21). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
MoveNew strike ≈New expiryTenorEst netTotal (1 ct)POP / surv
of new CC
If rolled & exited
total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Roll out (same strike, buy time)~$1,52013 Nov 202611d left+$18.17/sh+$1,817
cycle +$3,377
[+$1,354…+$2,814] · 100% credit
68%
surv 53%
-$8,333 NOT
cap gain +$23,187
Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%)~$1,58620 Nov 202618d left+$6.47/sh+$647
cycle +$2,207
[-$353…+$1,587] · 62% credit
73%
surv 64%
-$2,862 NOT
cap gain +$28,658
Max even-money escape in the band~$1,59620 Nov 202618d left+$4.10/sh+$410
cycle +$1,970
[-$623…+$1,328] · 53% credit
74%
surv 65%
-$2,085 NOT
cap gain +$29,435
SS $1,620 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)~$1,56113 Nov 202611d left+$0.43/sh+$43
cycle +$1,603
[-$771…+$818] · 45% credit
71%
surv 61%
-$5,998 NOT
cap gain +$25,522
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)~$1,65620 Nov 202618d left-$15.29/sh-$1,529
cycle +$31
[-$3,023…-$882] · 12% credit
79%
surv 73%
+$2,054 SAFE
cap gain +$33,574
budget: banked $1,560 debit $1,529 (98% used ≈ 1.1 wk of income) → whole cycle still +$31 cash · rolled 1 ct earn ≈ $7,543/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell · clears SS ✓
If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L ≥ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same from-entry basis as this tool's @cap / total-exit numbers, at the rolled strike.
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP.
Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted -0.4 vol pt per +1% move (equity skew: vol eases as spot rises; buyback shift floored at 0). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened.
More detail, income coverage, downside budget, tripwires, held-to-expiry ladder, V-bounce stress
Income coverage
Gross FIGHT income$5,850/mo
vs 50% target ($8,620/mo)-32%
vs normal income ($17,240/mo)34% covered
Net income (after hedge)$5,324/mo
Downside budget
⚠ $1520 is $115 below CC-SS $1635.09: assignment on a recovery to whole locks the cap give-up below.
Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)-$9,949
… as % of IC ($42,000)23.7%
… as % of ML ($99,000)10.0%
Recovery months (at normal income)0.6 mo
Surgical close (1 ct)$-31,550
Tripwiresprice and time left decide together; the matrix is the playbook
The one rule: roll when the short call's remaining TIME VALUE < $3.90/sh (~25% of the $15.60 collected) or spot ≥ $1,535.90 (breakeven), whichever comes first. Time value = call mark price minus intrinsic (max(0, spot − $1,520)); NOT the premium you collected. Momentum override: two daily closes above $1,717.72 (daily upper band) or daily RSI > 70 → treat "pressing" as "through".
Spot \ Time≥ 5d left3-4d left≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $1,504.80Do nothing. Theta wins.Do nothing.Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike
$1,505-1,535.90
Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven
≥ $1,535.90
Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.Close today, or be assigned.
If held to expiryexact, settlement = intrinsic  ·  fortress delta 1.01 (IBKR)
ScenarioSpotCC leg netPosition totalvs todayvs do-nothing
at strike$1,520.00 (1.2σ)$1,560$-10,150+$21,370+$280
+2.5%$1,558.00 (1.5σ)$-2,240$-10,100+$21,420-$3,520
+5%$1,596.00 (1.7σ)$-6,040$-10,051+$21,469-$7,320
SS (= V-bounce)$1,620.00 (1.9σ)$-8,440$-10,020+$21,500-$9,720
V-BOUNCE STRESS (stock → CC-SS $1635.09, where you are whole again, by expiry)
Starting unrealized P&L: $-31,520
+ Fortress recovery (un-capped): +$31,469
− CC assignment net of premium (1 × $1520): -$9,949
Total Position P&L @ SS: $-10,000 (+$21,520 vs today)
Do-nothing baseline at SS: $-280 (this trade vs do-nothing: $-9,720, the opportunity cost of earning $5,850/mo FIGHT income now)
▸🎯 50% normal1 × $14706 Nov8d11.0%83%hist 86%36%hist 30%+4pp$2,370$8,888—$14,139
Sell 1 × $1470 11.0% OTM over spot $1,324.44 6 Nov 2026 (8d, $24.55 mid)
= $2,370 credit for the 8d cycle → $8,888/mo projected
Survival (stays ≤ $1470)
83%
Breach risk
17%
POP (stays ≤ $1494.55)
86%
EV / mo
+$4,749
📈 CAMPAIGN OUTLOOK (400 simulated futures, this rung on repeat for 9 months, no directional opinion)
FIGHT'S EDGE
+4pp
82% whole by 9mo vs 78% doing nothing
FIRE DRILLS
~1.0/quarter
challenges to roll; realized tends lower (calibration)
BANKED RATE WHILE FIGHTING
$5,646/mo
median; plan ~$3,839/mo after 68% keep · $6,413 banked by campaign end (selling stops once whole)
green: with FIGHT · grey: without
if it recovers, the typical trip is ~0.8 mo [0.3-1.8], measured ONLY among the 82% of futures that got whole
🛡 IF CHALLENGED (spot reaches the strike) · challenge = the strike is touched at any point, so it runs ~2x the breach risk (finishing through it)
Challenge odds (touch by expiry)
32%
Flat exit net (mid-life)
-$3,485
Free roll-up
+$43/wk
Safest escape (by 20 Nov 2026)
$1,646 @ 82% POP
79% survival
Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 1 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 4 of 8); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic
Buyback gross: $82.77/sh now → $58.55 mid-life (likely $60.40–$93.37) → ≈ $0 at expiry  |  you banked $23.70/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$34.85/sh  |  roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours
📊 Across 972 simulated challenges: the $1,470 strike is typically first touched on day 4 of 8, at $1,508 (overshoots $38.32). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
MoveNew strike ≈New expiryTenorEst netTotal (1 ct)POP / surv
of new CC
If rolled & exited
total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Roll out (same strike, buy time)~$1,47013 Nov 202611d left+$19.12/sh+$1,912
cycle +$4,282
[+$1,230…+$2,606] · 100% credit
68%
surv 53%
-$12,492 NOT
cap gain +$19,028
Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%)~$1,52620 Nov 202618d left+$10.98/sh+$1,098
cycle +$3,468
[-$104…+$1,551] · 70% credit
72%
surv 62%
-$7,679 NOT
cap gain +$23,841
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)~$1,51313 Nov 202611d left+$0.32/sh+$32
cycle +$2,402
[-$967…+$353] · 33% credit
72%
surv 61%
-$10,011 NOT
cap gain +$21,509
Max even-money escape in the band~$1,55620 Nov 202618d left+$0.48/sh+$48
cycle +$2,418
[-$1,341…+$368] · 32% credit
75%
surv 67%
-$5,689 NOT
cap gain +$25,831
SS $1,620 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)~$1,64620 Nov 202618d left-$23.28/sh-$2,328
cycle +$42
[-$4,315…-$2,277] · 2% credit
82%
surv 79%
+$1,052 SAFE
cap gain +$32,572
budget: banked $2,370 debit $2,328 (98% used ≈ 1.1 wk of income) → whole cycle still +$42 cash · rolled 1 ct earn ≈ $5,879/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell · clears SS ✓
If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L ≥ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same from-entry basis as this tool's @cap / total-exit numbers, at the rolled strike.
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP.
Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted -0.4 vol pt per +1% move (equity skew: vol eases as spot rises; buyback shift floored at 0). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened.
More detail, income coverage, downside budget, tripwires, held-to-expiry ladder, V-bounce stress
Income coverage
Gross FIGHT income$8,888/mo
vs 50% target ($8,620/mo)+3%
vs normal income ($17,240/mo)52% covered
Net income (after hedge)$8,362/mo
Downside budget
⚠ $1470 is $165 below CC-SS $1635.09: assignment on a recovery to whole locks the cap give-up below.
Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)-$14,139
… as % of IC ($42,000)33.7%
… as % of ML ($99,000)14.3%
Recovery months (at normal income)0.8 mo
Surgical close (1 ct)$-31,605
Tripwiresprice and time left decide together; the matrix is the playbook
The one rule: roll when the short call's remaining TIME VALUE < $5.92/sh (~25% of the $23.70 collected) or spot ≥ $1,494.55 (breakeven), whichever comes first. Time value = call mark price minus intrinsic (max(0, spot − $1,470)); NOT the premium you collected. Momentum override: two daily closes above $1,717.72 (daily upper band) or daily RSI > 70 → treat "pressing" as "through".
Spot \ Time≥ 5d left3-4d left≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $1,455.30Do nothing. Theta wins.Do nothing.Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike
$1,455-1,494.55
Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven
≥ $1,494.55
Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.Close today, or be assigned.
If held to expiryexact, settlement = intrinsic  ·  fortress delta 1.01 (IBKR)
ScenarioSpotCC leg netPosition totalvs todayvs do-nothing
at strike$1,470.00 (≤1σ, normal week)$2,370$-14,405+$17,115+$1,090
+2.5%$1,506.75 (1.2σ)$-1,305$-14,357+$17,163-$2,585
+5%$1,543.50 (1.4σ)$-4,980$-14,309+$17,211-$6,260
SS (= V-bounce)$1,620.00 (1.9σ)$-12,630$-14,210+$17,310-$13,910
V-BOUNCE STRESS (stock → CC-SS $1635.09, where you are whole again, by expiry)
Starting unrealized P&L: $-31,520
+ Fortress recovery (un-capped): +$31,469
− CC assignment net of premium (1 × $1470): -$14,139
Total Position P&L @ SS: $-14,190 (+$17,330 vs today)
Do-nothing baseline at SS: $-280 (this trade vs do-nothing: $-13,910, the opportunity cost of earning $8,888/mo FIGHT income now)
▸100% normal1 × $1387.506 Nov8d4.8%66%hist 66%71%hist 68%+7pp$4,680$17,550+$8,662$20,079
Sell 1 × $1387.50 4.8% OTM over spot $1,324.44 6 Nov 2026 (8d, $47.60 mid)
= $4,680 credit for the 8d cycle → $17,550/mo projected
Survival (stays ≤ $1387.50)
66%
Breach risk
34%
POP (stays ≤ $1435.10)
75%
EV / mo
+$4,166
📈 CAMPAIGN OUTLOOK (400 simulated futures, this rung on repeat for 9 months, no directional opinion)
FIGHT'S EDGE
+7pp
87% whole by 9mo vs 80% doing nothing
FIRE DRILLS
~2.2/quarter
challenges to roll; realized tends lower (calibration)
BANKED RATE WHILE FIGHTING
$9,611/mo
median; plan ~$6,535/mo after 68% keep · $9,083 banked by campaign end (selling stops once whole)
green: with FIGHT · grey: without
if it recovers, the typical trip is ~0.6 mo [0.3-1.8], measured ONLY among the 87% of futures that got whole
🛡 IF CHALLENGED (spot reaches the strike) · challenge = the strike is touched at any point, so it runs ~2x the breach risk (finishing through it)
Challenge odds (touch by expiry)
56%
Flat exit net (mid-life)
-$846
Free roll-up
+$46/wk
Safest escape (by 20 Nov 2026)
$1,683 @ 90% POP
89% survival
Roll menuyour doors if the call gets challenged; each row = buy back the 1 calls + sell the new ones, one order. Prices assume the central case (day 4 of 8); earlier = worse credits, later = better, through the strike = add intrinsic
Buyback gross: $78.13/sh now → $55.26 mid-life (likely $68.94–$97.96) → ≈ $0 at expiry  |  you banked $46.80/sh, so a flat mid-life exit nets -$8.46/sh  |  roll rows are incremental, the banked premium stays yours
📊 Across 1,680 simulated challenges: the $1,388 strike is typically first touched on day 3 of 8, at $1,426 (overshoots $38.99). The [P25–P75] under each Total is that door's credit across those paths; % credit is the share of those challenges where the roll is a net credit.
MoveNew strike ≈New expiryTenorEst netTotal (1 ct)POP / surv
of new CC
If rolled & exited
total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Roll out (same strike, buy time)~$1,38813 Nov 202611d left+$20.46/sh+$2,046
cycle +$6,726
[+$1,146…+$1,979] · 100% credit
68%
surv 53%
-$18,406 NOT
cap gain +$13,114
Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%)~$1,43320 Nov 202618d left+$16.49/sh+$1,649
cycle +$6,329
[+$190…+$1,279] · 81% credit
72%
surv 61%
-$14,188 NOT
cap gain +$17,332
Max even-money escape in the band~$1,47320 Nov 202618d left+$1.80/sh+$180
cycle +$4,860
[-$1,619…-$368] · 19% credit
75%
surv 67%
-$11,604 NOT
cap gain +$19,916
SS $1,620 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)~$1,43313 Nov 202611d left+$1.02/sh+$102
cycle +$4,782
[-$1,186…-$278] · 19% credit
72%
surv 62%
-$15,735 NOT
cap gain +$15,785
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)~$1,68320 Nov 202618d left-$39.90/sh-$3,990
cycle +$690
[-$7,233…-$5,049]
90%
surv 89%
+$5,498 SAFE
cap gain +$37,018
budget: banked $4,680 debit $3,990 (85% used ≈ 1.0 wk of income) → whole cycle still +$690 cash · rolled 1 ct earn ≈ $2,561/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell · clears SS ✓
If rolled & exited = your total from-entry P&L if you roll to that strike and then close the whole fortress with the stock pinned there (all legs repriced; SAFE = P&L ≥ 0). Cap gain is what that roll earns THIS cycle (premium + appreciation from today to the new strike); the total adds your existing MTM on top. Same from-entry basis as this tool's @cap / total-exit numbers, at the rolled strike.
POP = P(stays ≤ strike + premium collected, the call is profitable); surv = P(stays ≤ strike, the call expires fully worthless). Survival is the stricter bar (no premium cushion), so it sits below POP.
Method: each leg = its live quote (buyback off the ask, sells off the bid) × a Black-Scholes ratio to the challenge, using the leg's own IV shifted -0.4 vol pt per +1% move (equity skew: vol eases as spot rises; buyback shift floored at 0). Estimates, not quotes; the live roll table owns the real decision when a CC is actually threatened.
More detail, income coverage, downside budget, tripwires, held-to-expiry ladder, V-bounce stress
Income coverage
Gross FIGHT income$17,550/mo
vs 50% target ($8,620/mo)+104%
vs normal income ($17,240/mo)102% covered
Net income (after hedge)$17,024/mo
Downside budget
⚠ $1387.50 is $248 below CC-SS $1635.09: assignment on a recovery to whole locks the cap give-up below.
Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)-$20,079
… as % of IC ($42,000)47.8%
… as % of ML ($99,000)20.3%
Recovery months (at normal income)1.2 mo
Surgical close (1 ct)$-31,600
Tripwiresprice and time left decide together; the matrix is the playbook
The one rule: roll when the short call's remaining TIME VALUE < $11.70/sh (~25% of the $46.80 collected) or spot ≥ $1,435.10 (breakeven), whichever comes first. Time value = call mark price minus intrinsic (max(0, spot − $1,388)); NOT the premium you collected. Momentum override: two daily closes above $1,717.72 (daily upper band) or daily RSI > 70 → treat "pressing" as "through".
Spot \ Time≥ 5d left3-4d left≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $1,373.62Do nothing. Theta wins.Do nothing.Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike
$1,374-1,435.10
Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven
≥ $1,435.10
Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.Close today, or be assigned.
If held to expiryexact, settlement = intrinsic  ·  fortress delta 1.01 (IBKR)
ScenarioSpotCC leg netPosition totalvs todayvs do-nothing
at strike$1,387.50 (≤1σ, normal week)$4,680$-20,452+$11,068+$3,400
+2.5%$1,422.19 (≤1σ, normal week)$1,211$-20,407+$11,113-$69
+5%$1,456.88 (≤1σ, normal week)$-2,258$-20,362+$11,158-$3,538
SS (= V-bounce)$1,620.00 (1.9σ)$-18,570$-20,150+$11,370-$19,850
V-BOUNCE STRESS (stock → CC-SS $1635.09, where you are whole again, by expiry)
Starting unrealized P&L: $-31,520
+ Fortress recovery (un-capped): +$31,469
− CC assignment net of premium (1 × $1387.50): -$20,079
Total Position P&L @ SS: $-20,130 (+$11,390 vs today)
Do-nothing baseline at SS: $-280 (this trade vs do-nothing: $-19,850, the opportunity cost of earning $17,550/mo FIGHT income now)
A nudge, not a rule: the engine maximizes income at acceptable safety; this weighs the income you would give up against the breach risk you would shed. Your hedge bleed and your read on SNDK are the tiebreakers.
⚔ FIGHT CC options · full candidate scan (103 clear the floor), click to expand

Every eligible strike x expiry in the 4-45 DTE band (3 expiries scanned, 103 clear the income floor), each sized to the minimum contracts that clear it. Sorted by survival (safest first): the primary 🎯 is the safest; rows below trade safety for income.

Fortress delta: 1.013 (IBKR)  |  Recovery@SS: +$31,469 (un-capped fortress gain if stock rallies to SS)  |  Do-nothing @ SS: $-280

StrikeDTEExpiryBidSellPer cycleIncome/moNet/moSurvivalTouchPOP (mid)EV/moCap Give-up @ CC-SS%ICRecoverTotal P&L @ SS
$14708d6 Nov 2026$23.701/1$2,370$8,888$8,36283%hist 86%36%hist 30%86%+$4,749-$14,13933.7%0.8mo$-14,190 (vs do-nothing $-13,910)
$14658d6 Nov 2026$25.101/1$2,510$9,412$8,88782%hist 86%38%hist 30%85%+$5,006-$14,49934.5%0.8mo$-14,550 (vs do-nothing $-14,270)
$14608d6 Nov 2026$26.301/1$2,630$9,862$9,33778%hist 83%45%hist 40%82%+$3,046-$14,87935.4%0.9mo$-14,930 (vs do-nothing $-14,650)
$14558d6 Nov 2026$27.201/1$2,720$10,200$9,67478%hist 83%47%hist 40%82%+$3,163-$15,28936.4%0.9mo$-15,340 (vs do-nothing $-15,060)
$14508d6 Nov 2026$28.301/1$2,830$10,612$10,08777%hist 83%48%hist 40%81%+$3,142-$15,67937.3%0.9mo$-15,730 (vs do-nothing $-15,450)
$14458d6 Nov 2026$29.901/1$2,990$11,212$10,68776%hist 83%50%hist 44%81%+$3,357-$16,01938.1%0.9mo$-16,070 (vs do-nothing $-15,790)
$14408d6 Nov 2026$31.101/1$3,110$11,662$11,13775%hist 83%52%hist 44%80%+$3,247-$16,39939.0%1.0mo$-16,450 (vs do-nothing $-16,170)
$14358d6 Nov 2026$32.101/1$3,210$12,038$11,51274%hist 83%54%hist 44%79%+$3,279-$16,79940.0%1.0mo$-16,850 (vs do-nothing $-16,570)
$14308d6 Nov 2026$33.201/1$3,320$12,450$11,92474%hist 83%55%hist 44%79%+$3,457-$17,18940.9%1.0mo$-17,240 (vs do-nothing $-16,960)
$14258d6 Nov 2026$34.701/1$3,470$13,012$12,48773%hist 83%57%hist 44%78%+$3,511-$17,53941.8%1.0mo$-17,590 (vs do-nothing $-17,310)
$144015d13 Nov 2026$43.701/1$4,370$8,740$8,21472%hist 83%58%hist 44%78%+$2,364-$15,13936.0%0.9mo$-15,190 (vs do-nothing $-14,910)
$14208d6 Nov 2026$36.301/1$3,630$13,612$13,08772%hist 83%58%hist 44%78%+$3,783-$17,87942.6%1.0mo$-17,930 (vs do-nothing $-17,650)
$143515d13 Nov 2026$45.101/1$4,510$9,020$8,49472%hist 83%60%hist 44%78%+$2,390-$15,49936.9%0.9mo$-15,550 (vs do-nothing $-15,270)
Show 90 more candidates (lower strikes: more income, lower survival)

Showing the 60 next-safest rows of 90.

StrikeDTEExpiryBidSellPer cycleIncome/moNet/moSurvivalTouchPOP (mid)EV/moCap Give-up @ CC-SS%ICRecoverTotal P&L @ SS
$14158d6 Nov 2026$37.601/1$3,760$14,100$13,57471%hist 83%60%hist 54%78%+$3,779-$18,24943.4%1.1mo$-18,300 (vs do-nothing $-18,020)
$143015d13 Nov 2026$46.701/1$4,670$9,340$8,81471%hist 83%61%hist 54%77%+$2,448-$15,83937.7%0.9mo$-15,890 (vs do-nothing $-15,610)
$142515d13 Nov 2026$48.101/1$4,810$9,620$9,09470%hist 83%63%hist 54%77%+$2,457-$16,19938.6%0.9mo$-16,250 (vs do-nothing $-15,970)
$14108d6 Nov 2026$39.001/1$3,900$14,625$14,09970%hist 83%62%hist 54%77%+$3,792-$18,60944.3%1.1mo$-18,660 (vs do-nothing $-18,380)
$142015d13 Nov 2026$49.301/1$4,930$9,860$9,33469%hist 66%64%hist 54%77%+$2,418-$16,57939.5%1.0mo$-16,630 (vs do-nothing $-16,350)
$14058d6 Nov 2026$40.701/1$4,070$15,262$14,73769%hist 66%64%hist 54%76%+$3,899-$18,93945.1%1.1mo$-18,990 (vs do-nothing $-18,710)
$1402.508d6 Nov 2026$41.601/1$4,160$15,600$15,07469%hist 66%65%hist 54%76%+$3,963-$19,09945.5%1.1mo$-19,150 (vs do-nothing $-18,870)
$141515d13 Nov 2026$50.501/1$5,050$10,100$9,57469%hist 66%66%hist 54%76%+$2,371-$16,95940.4%1.0mo$-17,010 (vs do-nothing $-16,730)
$14008d6 Nov 2026$43.001/1$4,300$16,125$15,59968%hist 66%66%hist 54%76%+$4,210-$19,20945.7%1.1mo$-19,260 (vs do-nothing $-18,980)
$141015d13 Nov 2026$52.801/1$5,280$10,560$10,03468%hist 66%68%hist 54%76%+$2,534-$17,22941.0%1.0mo$-17,280 (vs do-nothing $-17,000)
$1397.508d6 Nov 2026$43.101/1$4,310$16,162$15,63768%hist 66%67%hist 54%76%+$3,964-$19,44946.3%1.1mo$-19,500 (vs do-nothing $-19,220)
$13958d6 Nov 2026$43.801/1$4,380$16,425$15,89967%hist 66%68%hist 54%75%+$3,938-$19,62946.7%1.1mo$-19,680 (vs do-nothing $-19,400)
$140515d13 Nov 2026$54.801/1$5,480$10,960$10,43467%hist 66%70%hist 54%75%+$2,629-$17,52941.7%1.0mo$-17,580 (vs do-nothing $-17,300)
$1392.508d6 Nov 2026$44.801/1$4,480$16,800$16,27467%hist 66%69%hist 54%75%+$4,019-$19,77947.1%1.1mo$-19,830 (vs do-nothing $-19,550)
$1402.5015d13 Nov 2026$55.101/1$5,510$11,020$10,49467%hist 66%70%hist 68%75%+$2,533-$17,74942.3%1.0mo$-17,800 (vs do-nothing $-17,520)
$141022d20 Nov 2026$64.401/1$6,440$8,782$8,25667%hist 66%72%hist 68%75%+$1,856-$16,06938.3%0.9mo$-16,120 (vs do-nothing $-15,840)
$13908d6 Nov 2026$45.601/1$4,560$17,100$16,57466%hist 66%70%hist 68%75%+$4,020-$19,94947.5%1.2mo$-20,000 (vs do-nothing $-19,720)
$140015d13 Nov 2026$56.301/1$5,630$11,260$10,73466%hist 66%71%hist 68%75%+$2,495-$17,87942.6%1.0mo$-17,930 (vs do-nothing $-17,650)
$1387.508d6 Nov 2026$46.801/1$4,680$17,550$17,02466%hist 66%71%hist 68%75%+$4,166-$20,07947.8%1.2mo$-20,130 (vs do-nothing $-19,850)
$1397.5015d13 Nov 2026$56.801/1$5,680$11,360$10,83466%hist 66%72%hist 68%75%+$2,472-$18,07943.0%1.0mo$-18,130 (vs do-nothing $-17,850)
$139515d13 Nov 2026$57.301/1$5,730$11,460$10,93465%hist 66%73%hist 68%74%+$2,358-$18,27943.5%1.1mo$-18,330 (vs do-nothing $-18,050)
$13858d6 Nov 2026$47.801/1$4,780$17,925$17,39965%hist 66%72%hist 68%74%+$4,232-$20,22948.2%1.2mo$-20,280 (vs do-nothing $-20,000)
$140022d20 Nov 2026$69.101/1$6,910$9,423$8,89765%hist 66%75%hist 68%74%+$2,091-$16,59939.5%1.0mo$-16,650 (vs do-nothing $-16,370)
$1392.5015d13 Nov 2026$58.601/1$5,860$11,720$11,19465%hist 66%74%hist 68%74%+$2,423-$18,39943.8%1.1mo$-18,450 (vs do-nothing $-18,170)
$1382.508d6 Nov 2026$48.301/1$4,830$18,112$17,58765%hist 66%74%hist 68%74%+$4,104-$20,42948.6%1.2mo$-20,480 (vs do-nothing $-20,200)
$139015d13 Nov 2026$59.001/1$5,900$11,800$11,27465%hist 66%75%hist 68%74%+$2,370-$18,60944.3%1.1mo$-18,660 (vs do-nothing $-18,380)
$13808d6 Nov 2026$49.301/1$4,930$18,488$17,96264%hist 66%75%hist 68%74%+$4,159-$20,57949.0%1.2mo$-20,630 (vs do-nothing $-20,350)
$1387.5015d13 Nov 2026$60.401/1$6,040$12,080$11,55464%hist 66%76%hist 68%74%+$2,582-$18,71944.6%1.1mo$-18,770 (vs do-nothing $-18,490)
$1377.508d6 Nov 2026$50.401/1$5,040$18,900$18,37464%hist 66%76%hist 68%73%+$4,246-$20,71949.3%1.2mo$-20,770 (vs do-nothing $-20,490)
$138515d13 Nov 2026$61.001/1$6,100$12,200$11,67464%hist 66%77%hist 68%74%+$2,582-$18,90945.0%1.1mo$-18,960 (vs do-nothing $-18,680)
$139022d20 Nov 2026$71.401/1$7,140$9,736$9,21164%hist 66%78%hist 68%73%+$1,968-$17,36941.4%1.0mo$-17,420 (vs do-nothing $-17,140)
$1382.5015d13 Nov 2026$62.201/1$6,220$12,440$11,91464%hist 66%77%hist 68%73%+$2,621-$19,03945.3%1.1mo$-19,090 (vs do-nothing $-18,810)
$13758d6 Nov 2026$51.001/1$5,100$19,125$18,59963%hist 66%77%hist 68%73%+$4,141-$20,90949.8%1.2mo$-20,960 (vs do-nothing $-20,680)
$138015d13 Nov 2026$63.001/1$6,300$12,600$12,07463%hist 66%78%hist 68%73%+$2,571-$19,20945.7%1.1mo$-19,260 (vs do-nothing $-18,980)
$138522d20 Nov 2026$74.101/1$7,410$10,105$9,57963%hist 66%79%hist 68%73%+$2,100-$17,59941.9%1.0mo$-17,650 (vs do-nothing $-17,370)
$1372.508d6 Nov 2026$52.101/1$5,210$19,538$19,01263%hist 66%78%hist 68%73%+$4,217-$21,04950.1%1.2mo$-21,100 (vs do-nothing $-20,820)
$1377.5015d13 Nov 2026$63.901/1$6,390$12,780$12,25463%hist 66%79%hist 68%73%+$2,631-$19,36946.1%1.1mo$-19,420 (vs do-nothing $-19,140)
$13708d6 Nov 2026$52.901/1$5,290$19,838$19,31262%hist 66%79%hist 68%73%+$4,175-$21,21950.5%1.2mo$-21,270 (vs do-nothing $-20,990)
$138022d20 Nov 2026$75.001/1$7,500$10,227$9,70262%hist 66%81%hist 79%73%+$2,011-$18,00942.9%1.0mo$-18,060 (vs do-nothing $-17,780)
$137515d13 Nov 2026$64.901/1$6,490$12,980$12,45462%hist 66%80%hist 79%73%+$2,648-$19,51946.5%1.1mo$-19,570 (vs do-nothing $-19,290)
$1367.508d6 Nov 2026$53.901/1$5,390$20,212$19,68762%hist 66%80%hist 79%72%+$4,203-$21,36950.9%1.2mo$-21,420 (vs do-nothing $-21,140)
$1372.5015d13 Nov 2026$65.701/1$6,570$13,140$12,61462%hist 66%81%hist 79%72%+$2,624-$19,68946.9%1.1mo$-19,740 (vs do-nothing $-19,460)
$137522d20 Nov 2026$76.901/1$7,690$10,486$9,96162%hist 66%82%hist 79%72%+$2,051-$18,31943.6%1.1mo$-18,370 (vs do-nothing $-18,090)
$13658d6 Nov 2026$55.201/1$5,520$20,700$20,17461%hist 66%81%hist 79%72%+$4,338-$21,48951.2%1.2mo$-21,540 (vs do-nothing $-21,260)
$137015d13 Nov 2026$67.001/1$6,700$13,400$12,87461%hist 66%82%hist 79%72%+$2,697-$19,80947.2%1.1mo$-19,860 (vs do-nothing $-19,580)
$1367.5015d13 Nov 2026$67.701/1$6,770$13,540$13,01461%hist 66%83%hist 79%72%+$2,647-$19,98947.6%1.2mo$-20,040 (vs do-nothing $-19,760)
$1362.508d6 Nov 2026$55.901/1$5,590$20,962$20,43761%hist 66%82%hist 79%72%+$4,243-$21,66951.6%1.3mo$-21,720 (vs do-nothing $-21,440)
$137022d20 Nov 2026$79.301/1$7,930$10,814$10,28861%hist 66%84%hist 79%72%+$1,997-$18,57944.2%1.1mo$-18,630 (vs do-nothing $-18,350)
$136515d13 Nov 2026$68.701/1$6,870$13,740$13,21460%hist 66%84%hist 79%72%+$2,440-$20,13947.9%1.2mo$-20,190 (vs do-nothing $-19,910)
$13608d6 Nov 2026$57.001/1$5,700$21,375$20,84960%hist 66%83%hist 79%72%+$4,292-$21,80951.9%1.3mo$-21,860 (vs do-nothing $-21,580)
$1362.5015d13 Nov 2026$69.601/1$6,960$13,920$13,39460%hist 66%85%hist 79%72%+$2,641-$20,29948.3%1.2mo$-20,350 (vs do-nothing $-20,070)
$136522d20 Nov 2026$81.101/1$8,110$11,059$10,53360%hist 70%86%hist 79%71%+$1,401-$18,89945.0%1.1mo$-18,950 (vs do-nothing $-18,670)
$136015d13 Nov 2026$70.701/1$7,070$14,140$13,61460%hist 70%86%hist 79%71%+$2,462-$20,43948.7%1.2mo$-20,490 (vs do-nothing $-20,210)
$13558d6 Nov 2026$59.101/1$5,910$22,162$21,63759%hist 70%86%hist 79%71%+$4,336-$22,09952.6%1.3mo$-22,150 (vs do-nothing $-21,870)
$136022d20 Nov 2026$82.901/1$8,290$11,305$10,77959%hist 70%88%hist 79%71%+$1,373-$19,21945.8%1.1mo$-19,270 (vs do-nothing $-18,990)
$135515d13 Nov 2026$72.901/1$7,290$14,580$14,05459%hist 70%88%hist 79%71%+$2,703-$20,71949.3%1.2mo$-20,770 (vs do-nothing $-20,490)
$135522d20 Nov 2026$85.001/1$8,500$11,591$11,06558%hist 70%90%hist 79%70%+$1,381-$19,50946.4%1.1mo$-19,560 (vs do-nothing $-19,280)
$13508d6 Nov 2026$61.201/1$6,120$22,950$22,42458%hist 70%88%hist 79%71%+$4,358-$22,38953.3%1.3mo$-22,440 (vs do-nothing $-22,160)
$135015d13 Nov 2026$75.601/1$7,560$15,120$14,59458%hist 70%90%hist 79%71%+$2,801-$20,94949.9%1.2mo$-21,000 (vs do-nothing $-20,720)
$135022d20 Nov 2026$88.301/1$8,830$12,041$11,51558%hist 70%91%hist 89%71%+$2,267-$19,67946.9%1.1mo$-19,730 (vs do-nothing $-19,450)
117 more priced, not eligible (safety, income floor or quote screens): shown for reference
StrikeDTEExpiryBidSellPer cycleIncome/moNet/moSurvivalTouchPOP (mid)EV/moCap Give-up @ CC-SS%ICRecoverTotal P&L @ SSWhy not eligible
$16758d6 Nov 2026$3.901/1$390$1,462$93798%hist 95%4%hist 4%98%+$1,270-$00.0%0.0mo$339 (vs do-nothing +$619)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$16358d6 Nov 2026$5.601/1$560$2,100$1,57497%hist 95%7%hist 4%97%+$1,725-$00.0%0.0mo$500 (vs do-nothing +$780)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$16308d6 Nov 2026$5.801/1$580$2,175$1,64996%hist 95%7%hist 4%97%+$1,768-$00.0%0.0mo$20 (vs do-nothing +$300)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$16808d6 Nov 2026$3.801/1$380$1,425$89996%hist 95%8%hist 4%96%+$827-$00.0%0.0mo$329 (vs do-nothing +$609)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$16708d6 Nov 2026$4.101/1$410$1,537$1,01296%hist 95%9%hist 4%96%+$874-$00.0%0.0mo$359 (vs do-nothing +$639)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$16658d6 Nov 2026$4.301/1$430$1,612$1,08796%hist 95%9%hist 4%96%+$920-$00.0%0.0mo$379 (vs do-nothing +$659)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$16608d6 Nov 2026$4.501/1$450$1,688$1,16295%hist 95%10%hist 4%96%+$951-$00.0%0.0mo$399 (vs do-nothing +$679)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$16558d6 Nov 2026$4.701/1$470$1,762$1,23795%hist 95%10%hist 4%95%+$986-$00.0%0.0mo$419 (vs do-nothing +$699)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$16508d6 Nov 2026$5.001/1$500$1,875$1,34995%hist 95%10%hist 13%95%+$1,056-$00.0%0.0mo$449 (vs do-nothing +$729)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$16458d6 Nov 2026$5.101/1$510$1,912$1,38795%hist 95%11%hist 13%95%+$1,049-$00.0%0.0mo$459 (vs do-nothing +$739)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$16408d6 Nov 2026$5.301/1$530$1,988$1,46295%hist 95%11%hist 13%95%+$1,077-$00.0%0.0mo$479 (vs do-nothing +$759)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$16258d6 Nov 2026$6.101/1$610$2,288$1,76294%hist 95%13%hist 13%94%+$1,216-$3990.9%0.0mo$-450 (vs do-nothing $-170)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$16208d6 Nov 2026$6.301/1$630$2,362$1,83794%hist 95%13%hist 13%94%+$1,231-$8792.1%0.1mo$-930 (vs do-nothing $-650)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$168015d13 Nov 2026$8.401/1$840$1,680$1,15494%hist 95%13%hist 13%94%+$891-$00.0%0.0mo$789 (vs do-nothing +$1,069)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$16158d6 Nov 2026$6.601/1$660$2,475$1,94993%hist 95%14%hist 13%94%+$1,280-$1,3493.2%0.1mo$-1,400 (vs do-nothing $-1,120)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$167515d13 Nov 2026$8.701/1$870$1,740$1,21493%hist 95%14%hist 13%94%+$915-$00.0%0.0mo$819 (vs do-nothing +$1,099)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$16108d6 Nov 2026$6.901/1$690$2,588$2,06293%hist 95%14%hist 13%94%+$1,325-$1,8194.3%0.1mo$-1,870 (vs do-nothing $-1,590)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$167015d13 Nov 2026$9.001/1$900$1,800$1,27493%hist 95%14%hist 13%94%+$938-$00.0%0.0mo$849 (vs do-nothing +$1,129)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$166515d13 Nov 2026$9.201/1$920$1,840$1,31493%hist 95%15%hist 13%93%+$939-$00.0%0.0mo$869 (vs do-nothing +$1,149)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$16058d6 Nov 2026$7.201/1$720$2,700$2,17493%hist 95%15%hist 13%93%+$1,366-$2,2895.4%0.1mo$-2,340 (vs do-nothing $-2,060)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$166015d13 Nov 2026$9.701/1$970$1,940$1,41493%hist 95%15%hist 13%93%+$998-$00.0%0.0mo$919 (vs do-nothing +$1,199)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$16008d6 Nov 2026$7.701/1$770$2,888$2,36293%hist 95%15%hist 13%93%+$1,478-$2,7396.5%0.2mo$-2,790 (vs do-nothing $-2,510)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$165515d13 Nov 2026$10.001/1$1,000$2,000$1,47492%hist 95%16%hist 13%93%+$1,015-$00.0%0.0mo$949 (vs do-nothing +$1,229)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$15958d6 Nov 2026$7.801/1$780$2,925$2,39992%hist 95%16%hist 13%93%+$1,416-$3,2297.7%0.2mo$-3,280 (vs do-nothing $-3,000)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$165015d13 Nov 2026$10.401/1$1,040$2,080$1,55492%hist 95%16%hist 13%93%+$1,049-$00.0%0.0mo$989 (vs do-nothing +$1,269)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$15908d6 Nov 2026$8.301/1$830$3,113$2,58792%hist 95%17%hist 13%93%+$1,538-$3,6798.8%0.2mo$-3,730 (vs do-nothing $-3,450)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$164515d13 Nov 2026$10.701/1$1,070$2,140$1,61492%hist 95%17%hist 13%93%+$1,062-$00.0%0.0mo$1,019 (vs do-nothing +$1,299)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$164015d13 Nov 2026$11.101/1$1,110$2,220$1,69492%hist 95%17%hist 13%92%+$1,093-$00.0%0.0mo$1,059 (vs do-nothing +$1,339)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$15858d6 Nov 2026$8.601/1$860$3,225$2,69992%hist 95%17%hist 13%92%+$1,540-$4,1499.9%0.2mo$-4,200 (vs do-nothing $-3,920)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$163515d13 Nov 2026$11.501/1$1,150$2,300$1,77491%hist 95%18%hist 13%92%+$1,121-$00.0%0.0mo$1,090 (vs do-nothing +$1,370)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$15808d6 Nov 2026$9.101/1$910$3,412$2,88791%hist 95%18%hist 13%92%+$1,652-$4,59910.9%0.3mo$-4,650 (vs do-nothing $-4,370)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$168022d20 Nov 2026$14.501/1$1,450$1,977$1,45291%hist 95%19%hist 13%92%+$969-$00.0%0.0mo$1,399 (vs do-nothing +$1,679)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$163015d13 Nov 2026$12.001/1$1,200$2,400$1,87491%hist 95%19%hist 13%92%+$1,136-$00.0%0.0mo$640 (vs do-nothing +$920)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$15758d6 Nov 2026$9.501/1$950$3,562$3,03791%hist 95%19%hist 13%92%+$1,701-$5,05912.0%0.3mo$-5,110 (vs do-nothing $-4,830)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$167022d20 Nov 2026$14.801/1$1,480$2,018$1,49391%hist 95%20%hist 13%91%+$933-$00.0%0.0mo$1,429 (vs do-nothing +$1,709)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$162515d13 Nov 2026$12.401/1$1,240$2,480$1,95491%hist 95%20%hist 13%91%+$1,136-$00.0%0.0mo$180 (vs do-nothing +$460)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$15708d6 Nov 2026$9.801/1$980$3,675$3,14991%hist 95%19%hist 13%91%+$1,707-$5,52913.2%0.3mo$-5,580 (vs do-nothing $-5,300)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$162015d13 Nov 2026$12.801/1$1,280$2,560$2,03491%hist 95%20%hist 13%91%+$1,210-$2290.5%0.0mo$-280 (vs do-nothing +$0)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$15658d6 Nov 2026$10.301/1$1,030$3,862$3,33790%hist 95%20%hist 23%91%+$1,781-$5,97914.2%0.3mo$-6,030 (vs do-nothing $-5,750)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$161515d13 Nov 2026$13.201/1$1,320$2,640$2,11490%hist 95%20%hist 23%91%+$1,228-$6891.6%0.0mo$-740 (vs do-nothing $-460)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$166022d20 Nov 2026$15.301/1$1,530$2,086$1,56190%hist 95%21%hist 23%91%+$918-$00.0%0.0mo$1,479 (vs do-nothing +$1,759)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$161015d13 Nov 2026$13.801/1$1,380$2,760$2,23490%hist 86%21%hist 23%91%+$1,283-$1,1292.7%0.1mo$-1,180 (vs do-nothing $-900)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$15608d6 Nov 2026$10.701/1$1,070$4,012$3,48790%hist 86%21%hist 23%91%+$1,812-$6,43915.3%0.4mo$-6,490 (vs do-nothing $-6,210)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$160515d13 Nov 2026$14.301/1$1,430$2,860$2,33490%hist 86%22%hist 23%91%+$1,352-$1,5793.8%0.1mo$-1,630 (vs do-nothing $-1,350)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$165022d20 Nov 2026$16.801/1$1,680$2,291$1,76590%hist 86%22%hist 23%91%+$1,033-$00.0%0.0mo$1,629 (vs do-nothing +$1,909)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$15558d6 Nov 2026$11.301/1$1,130$4,238$3,71289%hist 86%22%hist 23%90%+$1,911-$6,87916.4%0.4mo$-6,930 (vs do-nothing $-6,650)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$160015d13 Nov 2026$14.901/1$1,490$2,980$2,45489%hist 86%22%hist 23%90%+$1,364-$2,0194.8%0.1mo$-2,070 (vs do-nothing $-1,790)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$164022d20 Nov 2026$17.801/1$1,780$2,427$1,90289%hist 86%23%hist 23%90%+$1,074-$00.0%0.0mo$1,729 (vs do-nothing +$2,009)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$15508d6 Nov 2026$12.101/1$1,210$4,538$4,01289%hist 86%23%hist 23%90%+$2,077-$7,29917.4%0.4mo$-7,350 (vs do-nothing $-7,070)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$159515d13 Nov 2026$14.401/1$1,440$2,880$2,35489%hist 86%23%hist 23%90%+$1,189-$2,5696.1%0.1mo$-2,620 (vs do-nothing $-2,340)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$15458d6 Nov 2026$12.401/1$1,240$4,650$4,12489%hist 86%24%hist 23%90%+$2,049-$7,76918.5%0.5mo$-7,820 (vs do-nothing $-7,540)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$159015d13 Nov 2026$15.801/1$1,580$3,160$2,63489%hist 86%24%hist 23%90%+$1,392-$2,9297.0%0.2mo$-2,980 (vs do-nothing $-2,700)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$163022d20 Nov 2026$18.601/1$1,860$2,536$2,01188%hist 86%24%hist 23%90%+$1,079-$00.0%0.0mo$1,300 (vs do-nothing +$1,580)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$158515d13 Nov 2026$16.301/1$1,630$3,260$2,73488%hist 86%25%hist 23%89%+$1,437-$3,3798.0%0.2mo$-3,430 (vs do-nothing $-3,150)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$15408d6 Nov 2026$12.901/1$1,290$4,838$4,31288%hist 86%25%hist 23%89%+$2,088-$8,21919.6%0.5mo$-8,270 (vs do-nothing $-7,990)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$162022d20 Nov 2026$20.101/1$2,010$2,741$2,21588%hist 86%26%hist 23%89%+$1,173-$00.0%0.0mo$450 (vs do-nothing +$730)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$158015d13 Nov 2026$17.001/1$1,700$3,400$2,87488%hist 86%26%hist 23%89%+$1,466-$3,8099.1%0.2mo$-3,860 (vs do-nothing $-3,580)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$15358d6 Nov 2026$13.501/1$1,350$5,062$4,53788%hist 86%26%hist 23%89%+$2,156-$8,65920.6%0.5mo$-8,710 (vs do-nothing $-8,430)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$157515d13 Nov 2026$17.501/1$1,750$3,500$2,97487%hist 86%26%hist 23%89%+$1,478-$4,25910.1%0.2mo$-4,310 (vs do-nothing $-4,030)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$161022d20 Nov 2026$20.901/1$2,090$2,850$2,32487%hist 86%27%hist 23%89%+$1,162-$4191.0%0.0mo$-470 (vs do-nothing $-190)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$15308d6 Nov 2026$14.101/1$1,410$5,288$4,76287%hist 86%27%hist 23%89%+$2,215-$9,09921.7%0.5mo$-9,150 (vs do-nothing $-8,870)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$157015d13 Nov 2026$18.201/1$1,820$3,640$3,11487%hist 86%27%hist 23%89%+$1,526-$4,68911.2%0.3mo$-4,740 (vs do-nothing $-4,460)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$15258d6 Nov 2026$14.801/1$1,480$5,550$5,02487%hist 86%28%hist 23%88%+$2,303-$9,52922.7%0.6mo$-9,580 (vs do-nothing $-9,300)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$156515d13 Nov 2026$18.901/1$1,890$3,780$3,25487%hist 86%28%hist 23%88%+$1,570-$5,11912.2%0.3mo$-5,170 (vs do-nothing $-4,890)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$160022d20 Nov 2026$22.501/1$2,250$3,068$2,54386%hist 86%28%hist 23%88%+$1,252-$1,2593.0%0.1mo$-1,310 (vs do-nothing $-1,030)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$15208d6 Nov 2026$15.601/1$1,560$5,850$5,32486%hist 86%29%hist 23%88%+$2,419-$9,94923.7%0.6mo$-10,000 (vs do-nothing $-9,720)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$156015d13 Nov 2026$18.801/1$1,880$3,760$3,23486%hist 86%29%hist 23%88%+$1,398-$5,62913.4%0.3mo$-5,680 (vs do-nothing $-5,400)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$14958d6 Nov 2026$19.501/1$1,950$7,312$6,78786%hist 86%29%hist 23%88%+$4,318-$12,05928.7%0.7mo$-12,110 (vs do-nothing $-11,830)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$159022d20 Nov 2026$23.801/1$2,380$3,245$2,72086%hist 86%30%hist 23%88%+$1,291-$2,1295.1%0.1mo$-2,180 (vs do-nothing $-1,900)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$155515d13 Nov 2026$19.201/1$1,920$3,840$3,31486%hist 86%30%hist 23%87%+$1,426-$6,08914.5%0.4mo$-6,140 (vs do-nothing $-5,860)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$15158d6 Nov 2026$16.201/1$1,620$6,075$5,54986%hist 86%30%hist 23%87%+$2,449-$10,38924.7%0.6mo$-10,440 (vs do-nothing $-10,160)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$14908d6 Nov 2026$20.101/1$2,010$7,538$7,01285%hist 86%30%hist 30%88%+$4,339-$12,49929.8%0.7mo$-12,550 (vs do-nothing $-12,270)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$155015d13 Nov 2026$21.001/1$2,100$4,200$3,67485%hist 86%31%hist 30%87%+$1,678-$6,40915.3%0.4mo$-6,460 (vs do-nothing $-6,180)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$15108d6 Nov 2026$16.901/1$1,690$6,337$5,81285%hist 86%31%hist 30%87%+$2,507-$10,81925.8%0.6mo$-10,870 (vs do-nothing $-10,590)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$158022d20 Nov 2026$25.101/1$2,510$3,423$2,89785%hist 86%32%hist 30%87%+$1,320-$2,9997.1%0.2mo$-3,050 (vs do-nothing $-2,770)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$154515d13 Nov 2026$22.101/1$2,210$4,420$3,89485%hist 86%32%hist 30%87%+$1,785-$6,79916.2%0.4mo$-6,850 (vs do-nothing $-6,570)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$14858d6 Nov 2026$21.001/1$2,100$7,875$7,34985%hist 86%32%hist 30%87%+$4,461-$12,90930.7%0.7mo$-12,960 (vs do-nothing $-12,680)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$15058d6 Nov 2026$17.601/1$1,760$6,600$6,07484%hist 86%32%hist 30%87%+$2,554-$11,24926.8%0.7mo$-11,300 (vs do-nothing $-11,020)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$157022d20 Nov 2026$26.701/1$2,670$3,641$3,11584%hist 86%33%hist 30%86%+$1,380-$3,8399.1%0.2mo$-3,890 (vs do-nothing $-3,610)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$154015d13 Nov 2026$22.301/1$2,230$4,460$3,93484%hist 86%33%hist 30%86%+$1,569-$7,27917.3%0.4mo$-7,330 (vs do-nothing $-7,050)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$15008d6 Nov 2026$18.801/1$1,880$7,050$6,52484%hist 86%33%hist 30%86%+$2,768-$11,62927.7%0.7mo$-11,680 (vs do-nothing $-11,400)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$153515d13 Nov 2026$23.101/1$2,310$4,620$4,09484%hist 86%34%hist 30%86%+$1,744-$7,69918.3%0.4mo$-7,750 (vs do-nothing $-7,470)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$156022d20 Nov 2026$27.601/1$2,760$3,764$3,23883%hist 86%35%hist 30%86%+$1,332-$4,74911.3%0.3mo$-4,800 (vs do-nothing $-4,520)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$153015d13 Nov 2026$24.301/1$2,430$4,860$4,33483%hist 86%35%hist 30%86%+$1,857-$8,07919.2%0.5mo$-8,130 (vs do-nothing $-7,850)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$152515d13 Nov 2026$24.901/1$2,490$4,980$4,45483%hist 86%36%hist 30%85%+$1,844-$8,51920.3%0.5mo$-8,570 (vs do-nothing $-8,290)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$155022d20 Nov 2026$30.601/1$3,060$4,173$3,64783%hist 86%37%hist 30%85%+$1,559-$5,44913.0%0.3mo$-5,500 (vs do-nothing $-5,220)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$152015d13 Nov 2026$25.401/1$2,540$5,080$4,55482%hist 86%37%hist 30%85%+$1,806-$8,96921.4%0.5mo$-9,020 (vs do-nothing $-8,740)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$151515d13 Nov 2026$26.601/1$2,660$5,320$4,79482%hist 86%38%hist 30%85%+$1,902-$9,34922.3%0.5mo$-9,400 (vs do-nothing $-9,120)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$154022d20 Nov 2026$31.101/1$3,110$4,241$3,71582%hist 86%39%hist 30%84%+$1,433-$6,39915.2%0.4mo$-6,450 (vs do-nothing $-6,170)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$151015d13 Nov 2026$27.201/1$2,720$5,440$4,91481%hist 86%39%hist 30%84%+$1,873-$9,78923.3%0.6mo$-9,840 (vs do-nothing $-9,560)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$14808d6 Nov 2026$21.901/1$2,190$8,212$7,68781%hist 86%39%hist 30%84%+$2,715-$13,31931.7%0.8mo$-13,370 (vs do-nothing $-13,090)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$150515d13 Nov 2026$28.401/1$2,840$5,680$5,15481%hist 86%40%hist 40%84%+$1,958-$10,16924.2%0.6mo$-10,220 (vs do-nothing $-9,940)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$153022d20 Nov 2026$34.101/1$3,410$4,650$4,12481%hist 86%41%hist 40%84%+$1,634-$7,09916.9%0.4mo$-7,150 (vs do-nothing $-6,870)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$14758d6 Nov 2026$22.901/1$2,290$8,588$8,06281%hist 86%40%hist 40%84%+$2,991-$13,71932.7%0.8mo$-13,770 (vs do-nothing $-13,490)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$150015d13 Nov 2026$29.101/1$2,910$5,820$5,29480%hist 86%42%hist 40%83%+$1,937-$10,59925.2%0.6mo$-10,650 (vs do-nothing $-10,370)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$152022d20 Nov 2026$35.401/1$3,540$4,827$4,30280%hist 83%43%hist 40%83%+$1,590-$7,96919.0%0.5mo$-8,020 (vs do-nothing $-7,740)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$149515d13 Nov 2026$30.401/1$3,040$6,080$5,55480%hist 83%43%hist 40%83%+$2,029-$10,96926.1%0.6mo$-11,020 (vs do-nothing $-10,740)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$149015d13 Nov 2026$31.501/1$3,150$6,300$5,77479%hist 83%44%hist 40%83%+$2,076-$11,35927.0%0.7mo$-11,410 (vs do-nothing $-11,130)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$151022d20 Nov 2026$37.801/1$3,780$5,155$4,62979%hist 83%45%hist 40%83%+$1,681-$8,72920.8%0.5mo$-8,780 (vs do-nothing $-8,500)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$148515d13 Nov 2026$32.701/1$3,270$6,540$6,01478%hist 83%45%hist 40%82%+$2,136-$11,73927.9%0.7mo$-11,790 (vs do-nothing $-11,510)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$148015d13 Nov 2026$33.701/1$3,370$6,740$6,21478%hist 83%47%hist 40%82%+$2,149-$12,13928.9%0.7mo$-12,190 (vs do-nothing $-11,910)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$150022d20 Nov 2026$40.301/1$4,030$5,495$4,97078%hist 83%47%hist 40%82%+$1,770-$9,47922.6%0.5mo$-9,530 (vs do-nothing $-9,250)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$147515d13 Nov 2026$34.801/1$3,480$6,960$6,43477%hist 83%48%hist 40%81%+$2,175-$12,52929.8%0.7mo$-12,580 (vs do-nothing $-12,300)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$149022d20 Nov 2026$42.001/1$4,200$5,727$5,20277%hist 83%50%hist 40%81%+$1,734-$10,30924.5%0.6mo$-10,360 (vs do-nothing $-10,080)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$147015d13 Nov 2026$35.501/1$3,550$7,100$6,57477%hist 83%49%hist 40%81%+$2,114-$12,95930.9%0.8mo$-13,010 (vs do-nothing $-12,730)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$146515d13 Nov 2026$37.401/1$3,740$7,480$6,95476%hist 83%51%hist 44%81%+$2,286-$13,26931.6%0.8mo$-13,320 (vs do-nothing $-13,040)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$148022d20 Nov 2026$45.001/1$4,500$6,136$5,61175%hist 83%53%hist 44%80%+$1,714-$11,00926.2%0.6mo$-11,060 (vs do-nothing $-10,780)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$146015d13 Nov 2026$38.401/1$3,840$7,680$7,15475%hist 83%52%hist 44%80%+$2,271-$13,66932.5%0.8mo$-13,720 (vs do-nothing $-13,440)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$145515d13 Nov 2026$39.801/1$3,980$7,960$7,43475%hist 83%54%hist 44%80%+$2,328-$14,02933.4%0.8mo$-14,080 (vs do-nothing $-13,800)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$147022d20 Nov 2026$46.201/1$4,620$6,300$5,77474%hist 83%55%hist 44%79%+$1,645-$11,88928.3%0.7mo$-11,940 (vs do-nothing $-11,660)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$145015d13 Nov 2026$40.701/1$4,070$8,140$7,61474%hist 83%55%hist 44%79%+$2,278-$14,43934.4%0.8mo$-14,490 (vs do-nothing $-14,210)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$144515d13 Nov 2026$42.401/1$4,240$8,480$7,95473%hist 83%57%hist 44%79%+$2,350-$14,76935.2%0.9mo$-14,820 (vs do-nothing $-14,540)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$146022d20 Nov 2026$49.601/1$4,960$6,764$6,23873%hist 83%57%hist 44%79%+$1,843-$12,54929.9%0.7mo$-12,600 (vs do-nothing $-12,320)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$145022d20 Nov 2026$51.901/1$5,190$7,077$6,55272%hist 83%60%hist 44%78%+$1,838-$13,31931.7%0.8mo$-13,370 (vs do-nothing $-13,090)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$144022d20 Nov 2026$54.201/1$5,420$7,391$6,86571%hist 83%63%hist 54%77%+$1,747-$14,08933.5%0.8mo$-14,140 (vs do-nothing $-13,860)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$143022d20 Nov 2026$57.901/1$5,790$7,895$7,37069%hist 66%67%hist 54%76%+$1,282-$14,71935.0%0.9mo$-14,770 (vs do-nothing $-14,490)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract
$142022d20 Nov 2026$61.501/1$6,150$8,386$7,86168%hist 66%69%hist 54%76%+$1,850-$15,35936.6%0.9mo$-15,410 (vs do-nothing $-15,130)50% income floor unreachable even selling every contract

Per cycle = bid x 100 x contracts, the cash this expiry pays. Touch = P(strike trades before expiry), with the graded record's hist pill. Recover = months of this income to close the hole to CC-SS. Income/mo = FIGHT leg gross, DTE-prorated. Net/mo = FIGHT + conservative CC gross minus hedge cost. POP (mid) = probability stock closes at or below (strike + mid premium) at expiry, per-strike chain IV when available. Survival = CC expires fully worthless. EV/mo = premium minus expected buyback, monthly, with realized vol = IV x 85% (variance risk premium 15%). Survival, POP and touch use vol x 1.00 (raw implied: the VRP haircut is applied to the premium edge but NOT to risk, because understating the edge costs opportunity while understating breach odds costs capital; the risk-side haircut arms only from the graded ledger). Cap give-up @ SS = recovery mortgaged on a V-bounce to SS, net of premium. Total P&L @ SS = absolute position P&L if the stock closes at SS; "vs do-nothing" = opportunity cost against holding all 1 contracts at the conservative CC.

fortress_fight.py v6.3  |  2026-10-30 03:13