FORTRESS FIGHT: PORTFOLIO

42 fortress slices across 4 account(s) | 3 deep drawdown (FIGHT) | 8 skipped (CSV) | 1 uncapped above water | 30 capped (out of scope)

FIGHT income if all primaries filled: $9,716/mo (53% of normal target) · E[net] after expected escape cost $2,061/mo
ASSIGNMENT EXPOSURE across every open short call: $604,121 locked in if all 9 call(s) struck below their fortress' recovery-to-whole floor were assigned today, before premium.

⚔ FIGHT: underwater & uncapped every ladder rung side by side; 🎯 = the recommended pick | click a rung for its roll menu + decision panel, ESC closes | fortress link = full dashboard | ranked by today's move: sell into strength (▲ UP BIG) first

POSITION				CC-SAFE	INCOME LADDER · SAFEST ⟶ RICHEST				RECOVERY
Fortress	Ct	Price	CC-SS	CC-safe ≥ floor	🛡 Safe yield	33% normal	50% normal	100% normal	Banked	Cap @ CC-SS	↑ whole
RKLB ↗ RetireInc:7291 · Next Fri	6	$70.38	$148.54	—	6 × $82 2 Oct (8d) $198 cyc · $742/mo 92% survhist 96% · T:16%hist 13%	🎯 6 × $78 2 Oct (8d) $420 cyc · $1,575/mo 85% survhist 86% · T:32%hist 30%	6 × $76 2 Oct (8d) $636 cyc · $2,385/mo 79% survhist 84% · T:44%hist 39%	6 × $72 2 Oct (8d) $1,326 cyc · $4,972/mo 61% survhist 65% · T:81%hist 78%	$2,602	-$41,905 (263.1% IC)	111.1%
SPCX ↗ Neville:0865 · Next Fri	5	$147.01	$188.98	5 × $190 16 Oct (22d) $120 cyc · $164/mo 98% survhist 96% · T:5%hist 3%	5 × $162.50 2 Oct (8d) $310 cyc · $1,163/mo 93% survhist 96% · T:15%hist 13%	🎯 5 × $157.50 2 Oct (8d) $615 cyc · $2,306/mo 84% survhist 86% · T:32%hist 30%	5 × $155 2 Oct (8d) $855 cyc · $3,206/mo 78% survhist 84% · T:44%hist 39%	5 × $150 2 Oct (8d) $1,600 cyc · $6,000/mo 62% survhist 65% · T:77%hist 68%	$3,947	-$15,126 (112.0% IC)	28.6%
ABOVE WATER no FIGHT needed; sell normal CCs (cc_scanner owns these writes)
ETHA Main:1299	50	$20.11	$17.33 BE	+16.0% above BE SS · sell normal CCs via cc_scanner; FIGHT deliberately fetches no chain here
BBC · LEGACY STRUCTURES known structurally inefficient and not being restructured; the plan is CC income while the underlying repairs, so treat any REBUILD / restructure verdict on these as informational
GLXY ↗ ⚐⚡ER 26d Main:1299 · Next Fri	25	$25.90	$35.24	25 × $40 16 Oct (22d) $125 cyc · $170/mo 98% survhist 96% · T:5%hist 3%	25 × $34 16 Oct (22d)alt tenor $200 cyc · $273/mo 92% survhist 96% · T:17%hist 13%	18 × $28.50 2 Oct (8d) $720 cyc · $2,700/mo 80% survhist 84% · T:42%hist 39%	🎯 22 × $28 2 Oct (8d) $1,100 cyc · $4,125/mo 76% survhist 84% · T:51%hist 44%	23 × $26.50 2 Oct (8d) $2,185 cyc · $8,194/mo 60% survhist 68% · T:84%hist 78%	$6,095	-$14,822 (268.3% IC)	36.1%
TOTAL (3)	36	following every 🎯 $2,135 cyc · $8,006/mo		$245 cyc · $334/mo 2 of 3	$708 cyc · $2,178/mo	$1,755 cyc · $6,581/mo	$2,591 cyc · $9,716/mo	$5,111 cyc · $19,166/mo	$12,644	-$71,854

Spot \ Time	≥ 12d left	3-11d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $39.60	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $40-40.10	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $40.10	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$40.00 (2.7σ)	$125	$10,168	+$30,193	+$22,550
+2.5%	$41.00 (2.9σ)	$-2,375	$9,801	+$29,826	+$22,550
+5%	$42.00 (3.1σ)	$-4,875	$9,433	+$29,458	+$22,550

Spot \ Time	≥ 12d left	3-11d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $33.66	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $34-34.25	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $34.25	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$34.00 (1.6σ)	$200	$-2,552	+$17,473	+$7,625
+2.5%	$34.85 (1.7σ)	$-1,925	$-2,864	+$17,161	+$7,625
+5%	$35.70 (1.9σ)	$-4,050	$-3,176	+$16,848	+$7,625
SS (= V-bounce)	$39.71 (2.6σ)	$-14,075	$-4,650	+$15,375	+$7,625

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (18 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$28	9 Oct 2026	11d left	+$0.48/sh	+$866 cycle +$1,586 [+$607…+$1,093] · 99% credit	67% surv 53%	-$12,874 NOT cap gain +$7,151
Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%)	~$30	16 Oct 2026	18d left	+$0.27/sh	+$495 cycle +$1,215 [+$73…+$666] · 81% credit	73% surv 65%	-$9,833 NOT cap gain +$10,192
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)	~$30	9 Oct 2026	11d left	+$0.03/sh	+$53 cycle +$773 [-$318…+$184] · 39% credit	72% surv 63%	-$11,340 NOT cap gain +$8,685
Max even-money escape in the band	~$31	16 Oct 2026	18d left	+$0.01/sh	+$17 cycle +$737 [-$466…+$172] · 34% credit	77% surv 71%	-$8,248 NOT cap gain +$11,777
SS $40 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)	~$33	16 Oct 2026	18d left	-$0.35/sh	-$623 cycle +$97 [-$1,238…-$518] · 8% credit	82% surv 78%	-$6,739 NOT cap gain +$13,286
budget: banked $720 debit $623 (87% used ≈ 1.0 wk of income) → whole cycle still +$97 cash · rolled 18 ct earn ≈ $2,464/mo while parked; 7 ct free to re-sell

Spot \ Time	≥ 5d left	3-4d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $28.21	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $28-28.96	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $28.96	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$28.50 (≤1σ, normal week)	$720	$-13,739	+$6,286	+$666
+2.5%	$29.21 (1.1σ)	$-562	$-13,503	+$6,522	-$616
+5%	$29.93 (1.3σ)	$-1,845	$-13,266	+$6,759	-$1,899
SS (= V-bounce)	$39.71 (4.4σ)	$-19,458	$-16,109	+$3,916	-$3,834

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (22 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$28	9 Oct 2026	11d left	+$0.47/sh	+$1,028 cycle +$2,128 [+$654…+$1,121] · 99% credit	67% surv 53%	-$13,410 NOT cap gain +$6,615
Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%)	~$30	16 Oct 2026	18d left	+$0.25/sh	+$554 cycle +$1,654 [-$56…+$571] · 70% credit	73% surv 65%	-$10,472 NOT cap gain +$9,553
Max even-money escape in the band	~$30	16 Oct 2026	18d left	+$0.10/sh	+$219 cycle +$1,319 [-$448…+$207] · 37% credit	75% surv 68%	-$9,741 NOT cap gain +$10,284
SS $40 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)	~$29	9 Oct 2026	11d left	+$0.02/sh	+$39 cycle +$1,139 [-$496…+$26] · 28% credit	72% surv 63%	-$12,053 NOT cap gain +$7,972
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)	~$32	16 Oct 2026	18d left	-$0.36/sh	-$793 cycle +$307 [-$1,686…-$880] · 4% credit	82% surv 79%	-$6,818 NOT cap gain +$13,207
budget: banked $1,100 debit $793 (72% used ≈ 0.8 wk of income) → whole cycle still +$307 cash · rolled 22 ct earn ≈ $2,836/mo while parked; 3 ct free to re-sell

Spot \ Time	≥ 5d left	3-4d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $27.72	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $28-28.57	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $28.57	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$28.00 (≤1σ, normal week)	$1,100	$-14,438	+$5,587	+$1,034
+2.5%	$28.70 (≤1σ, normal week)	$-440	$-14,485	+$5,540	-$506
+5%	$29.40 (1.1σ)	$-1,980	$-14,532	+$5,493	-$2,046
SS (= V-bounce)	$39.71 (4.4σ)	$-24,662	$-17,841	+$2,184	-$5,566

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (23 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$26	9 Oct 2026	11d left	+$0.43/sh	+$983 cycle +$3,168 [+$486…+$763] · 98% credit	67% surv 53%	-$15,571 NOT cap gain +$4,454
Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%)	~$28	16 Oct 2026	18d left	+$0.36/sh	+$834 cycle +$3,019 [+$86…+$510] · 82% credit	72% surv 62%	-$13,375 NOT cap gain +$6,650
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)	~$27	9 Oct 2026	11d left	+$0.17/sh	+$390 cycle +$2,575 [-$222…+$126] · 43% credit	70% surv 59%	-$14,885 NOT cap gain +$5,140
Max even-money escape in the band	~$29	16 Oct 2026	18d left	+$0.04/sh	+$86 cycle +$2,271 [-$820…-$288] · 11% credit	76% surv 69%	-$11,991 NOT cap gain +$8,034
SS $40 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)	~$33	16 Oct 2026	18d left	-$0.88/sh	-$2,033 cycle +$152 [-$3,850…-$2,728]	90% surv 90%	-$4,933 NOT cap gain +$15,092
budget: banked $2,185 debit $2,033 (93% used ≈ 1.1 wk of income) → whole cycle still +$152 cash · rolled 23 ct earn ≈ $588/mo while parked; 2 ct free to re-sell

Spot \ Time	≥ 5d left	3-4d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $26.23	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $26-27.57	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $27.57	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$26.50 (≤1σ, normal week)	$2,185	$-16,554	+$3,471	+$2,116
+2.5%	$27.16 (≤1σ, normal week)	$661	$-16,665	+$3,360	+$592
+5%	$27.83 (≤1σ, normal week)	$-863	$-16,776	+$3,249	-$932
SS (= V-bounce)	$39.71 (4.4σ)	$-28,198	$-20,509	-$484	-$8,234

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (6 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$82	9 Oct 2026	11d left	+$0.86/sh	+$518 cycle +$716 [+$483…+$818] · 100% credit	67% surv 52%	-$41,277 NOT cap gain +$8,043
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)	~$84	9 Oct 2026	11d left	+$0.21/sh	+$126 cycle +$324 [-$27…+$363] · 73% credit	70% surv 59%	-$40,647 NOT cap gain +$8,673
Max even-money escape in the band	~$87	16 Oct 2026	18d left	+$0.25/sh	+$152 cycle +$350 [-$75…+$413] · 69% credit	75% surv 68%	-$38,729 NOT cap gain +$10,591
SS $142 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)	~$88	16 Oct 2026	18d left	-$0.03/sh	-$20 cycle +$178 [-$283…+$221] · 47% credit	77% surv 71%	-$38,271 NOT cap gain +$11,049
budget: banked $198 debit $20 (10% used ≈ 0.1 wk of income) → whole cycle still +$178 cash · rolled 6 ct earn ≈ $2,479/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell

Spot \ Time	≥ 5d left	3-4d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $81.18	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $81-82.38	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $82.38	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$82.00 (1.6σ)	$198	$-41,794	+$7,526	+$132
+2.5%	$84.05 (1.9σ)	$-1,032	$-41,732	+$7,588	-$1,098
+5%	$86.10 (2.2σ)	$-2,262	$-41,669	+$7,651	-$2,328
SS (= V-bounce)	$141.55 (10.0σ)	$-35,532	$-39,972	+$9,348	-$10,668

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (6 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$78	9 Oct 2026	11d left	+$0.94/sh	+$564 cycle +$984 [+$398…+$766] · 99% credit	67% surv 52%	-$43,531 NOT cap gain +$5,789
Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%)	~$82	16 Oct 2026	18d left	+$0.53/sh	+$316 cycle +$736 [-$14…+$463] · 74% credit	74% surv 65%	-$41,496 NOT cap gain +$7,824
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)	~$80	9 Oct 2026	11d left	+$0.29/sh	+$172 cycle +$592 [-$75…+$313] · 65% credit	70% surv 60%	-$42,901 NOT cap gain +$6,419
Max even-money escape in the band	~$84	16 Oct 2026	18d left	+$0.03/sh	+$20 cycle +$440 [-$357…+$131] · 38% credit	77% surv 71%	-$40,531 NOT cap gain +$8,789
SS $142 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder

Spot \ Time	≥ 5d left	3-4d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $77.22	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $77-78.75	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $78.75	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$78.00 (1.1σ)	$420	$-44,095	+$5,225	+$354
+2.5%	$79.95 (1.3σ)	$-750	$-44,035	+$5,285	-$816
+5%	$81.90 (1.6σ)	$-1,920	$-43,975	+$5,345	-$1,986
SS (= V-bounce)	$141.55 (10.0σ)	$-37,710	$-42,150	+$7,170	-$12,846

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (6 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$76	9 Oct 2026	11d left	+$0.97/sh	+$585 cycle +$1,221 [+$383…+$655] · 99% credit	67% surv 52%	-$44,555 NOT cap gain +$4,765
Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%)	~$80	16 Oct 2026	18d left	+$0.55/sh	+$332 cycle +$968 [-$41…+$348] · 71% credit	74% surv 65%	-$42,525 NOT cap gain +$6,795
Max even-money escape in the band	~$82	16 Oct 2026	18d left	+$0.06/sh	+$37 cycle +$673 [-$398…+$24] · 27% credit	77% surv 71%	-$41,559 NOT cap gain +$7,761
SS $142 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)	~$79	9 Oct 2026	11d left	+$0.01/sh	+$9 cycle +$645 [-$309…+$6] · 26% credit	73% surv 64%	-$43,479 NOT cap gain +$5,841
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)	~$86	16 Oct 2026	18d left	-$0.85/sh	-$513 cycle +$123 [-$1,095…-$566] · 2% credit	84% surv 81%	-$39,587 NOT cap gain +$9,733
budget: banked $636 debit $513 (81% used ≈ 0.9 wk of income) → whole cycle still +$123 cash · rolled 6 ct earn ≈ $1,474/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell

Spot \ Time	≥ 5d left	3-4d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $75.24	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $75-77.11	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $77.11	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$76.00 (≤1σ, normal week)	$636	$-45,140	+$4,180	+$570
+2.5%	$77.90 (1.1σ)	$-504	$-45,082	+$4,238	-$570
+5%	$79.80 (1.3σ)	$-1,644	$-45,024	+$4,296	-$1,710
SS (= V-bounce)	$141.55 (10.0σ)	$-38,694	$-43,134	+$6,186	-$13,830

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (6 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$72	9 Oct 2026	11d left	+$1.03/sh	+$620 cycle +$1,946 [+$349…+$513] · 99% credit	67% surv 52%	-$46,352 NOT cap gain +$2,968
Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%)	~$75	16 Oct 2026	18d left	+$1.03/sh	+$619 cycle +$1,945 [+$211…+$450] · 92% credit	72% surv 62%	-$44,701 NOT cap gain +$4,619
Max even-money escape in the band	~$78	16 Oct 2026	18d left	+$0.11/sh	+$65 cycle +$1,391 [-$468…-$143] · 13% credit	78% surv 72%	-$43,364 NOT cap gain +$5,956
SS $142 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)	~$75	9 Oct 2026	11d left	+$0.07/sh	+$45 cycle +$1,371 [-$346…-$110] · 13% credit	73% surv 64%	-$45,275 NOT cap gain +$4,045
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)	~$87	16 Oct 2026	18d left	-$1.48/sh	-$887 cycle +$439 [-$1,714…-$1,196]	91% surv 91%	-$38,640 NOT cap gain +$10,680
budget: banked $1,326 debit $887 (67% used ≈ 0.8 wk of income) → whole cycle still +$439 cash · rolled 6 ct earn ≈ $729/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell

Spot \ Time	≥ 5d left	3-4d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $71.28	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $71-74.27	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $74.27	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$72.00 (≤1σ, normal week)	$1,326	$-46,972	+$2,348	+$1,260
+2.5%	$73.80 (≤1σ, normal week)	$246	$-46,917	+$2,403	+$180
+5%	$75.60 (≤1σ, normal week)	$-834	$-46,862	+$2,458	-$900
SS (= V-bounce)	$141.55 (10.0σ)	$-40,404	$-44,844	+$4,476	-$15,540

Spot \ Time	≥ 12d left	3-11d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $188.10	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $188-190.25	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $190.25	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

⏱ TRIPWIRE STATUS, 31 active short call(s) 3 harvest

The one rule, applied to live marks: roll when remaining time value ≤ max($0.04, 25% of collected) or spot at/past breakeven (strike + premium). Statuses refresh on every run; challenges happen during US RTH (your night), so a TRIPPED row here means act at the open or set the order now.

Fortress	Acct	Call	Spot	Breakeven	Mark	Time value	Status	Action
AAPL	RetireInc:7291	5x $360C 2 Oct 2026 (8d)	$334.79	$360.56	$0.14	$0.14	HARVEST ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 25.21 OTM = 7.5% (4.9x a typical daily move). The $0.14 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$257 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $360.56 (breakeven).
GOOG-LC340	Neville:0865	5x $370C 2 Oct 2026 (8d)	$334.18	$372.00	$0.43	$0.43	HARVEST ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 35.82 OTM = 10.7% (4.3x a typical daily move). The $0.43 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$975 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $372.00 (breakeven).
AMZN	Joint:1782	5x $275C 2 Oct 2026 (8d)	$246.49	$275.62	$0.14	$0.14	HARVEST ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 28.51 OTM = 11.6% (5.0x a typical daily move). The $0.14 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$287 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $275.62 (breakeven).
COPX	Joint:1782	20x $92C 25 Sep 2026 (1d)	$86.06	$92.65	$0.17	$0.17	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 5.94 OTM = 6.9% (1.7x a typical daily move). The $0.17 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$1,210 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Spike-vol name into a ~1-session close: arm a conditional buyback near $91.54 to cover a weekend gap, else penny-close and re-sell.
MU-LC670	Joint:1782	1x $1150C 28 Sep 2026 (4d)	$1,049.00	$1,154.16	$1.27	$1.27	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 101.00 OTM = 9.6% (2.9x a typical daily move). The $1.27 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$411 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $1,154.16 (breakeven).
SPY	Neville:0865	12x $782C 2 Oct 2026 (8d)	$764.54	$783.17	$0.56	$0.56	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 17.46 OTM = 2.3% (3.3x a typical daily move). The $0.56 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$1,348 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $783.17 (breakeven).
DELL	Main:1299	3x $600C 2 Oct 2026 (8d)	$541.30	$607.10	$3.42	$3.42	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 58.70 OTM = 10.8% (2.8x a typical daily move). The $3.42 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$2,114 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $607.10 (breakeven).
GOOG-LC300	Neville:0865	15x $375C 2 Oct 2026 (8d)	$334.18	$376.41	$0.52	$0.52	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 40.82 OTM = 12.2% (4.6x a typical daily move). The $0.52 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$2,043 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $376.41 (breakeven).
CRWV	Neville:0865	5x $100C 2 Oct 2026 (8d)	$88.56	$100.71	$0.91	$0.91	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 11.44 OTM = 12.9% (2.6x a typical daily move). The $0.91 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$328 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $100.71 (breakeven).
APP	RetireInc:7291	1x $370C 2 Oct 2026 (8d)	$311.72	$371.70	$0.75	$0.75	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 58.28 OTM = 18.7% (4.5x a typical daily move). The $0.75 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$165 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $371.70 (breakeven).
HOOD	Joint:1782	10x $145C 2 Oct 2026 (8d)	$120.09	$145.81	$0.24	$0.24	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 24.91 OTM = 20.7% (4.6x a typical daily move). The $0.24 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$762 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $145.81 (breakeven).
IREN-LC45	Neville:0865	20x $58C 2 Oct 2026 (8d)	$46.48	$58.38	$0.17	$0.17	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 11.52 OTM = 24.8% (4.4x a typical daily move). The $0.17 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$665 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $58.38 (breakeven).
IREN-LC50	RetireInc:7291	20x $58C 2 Oct 2026 (8d)	$46.48	$58.35	$0.17	$0.17	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 11.52 OTM = 24.8% (4.4x a typical daily move). The $0.17 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$606 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $58.35 (breakeven).
CRCL	Neville:0865	5x $115C 2 Oct 2026 (8d)	$91.89	$115.92	$0.27	$0.27	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 23.11 OTM = 25.1% (4.4x a typical daily move). The $0.27 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$433 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $115.92 (breakeven).
HIMS	Main:1299	15x $35C 2 Oct 2026 (8d)	$27.49	$35.29	$0.07	$0.07	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 7.51 OTM = 27.3% (4.7x a typical daily move). The $0.07 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$360 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $35.29 (breakeven).
NVDA	Main:1299	10x $250C 9 Oct 2026 (15d)	$222.84	$250.65	$0.23	$0.23	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 27.16 OTM = 12.2% (6.1x a typical daily move). The $0.23 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$603 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $250.65 (breakeven).
IGV	Main:1299	12x $111C 16 Oct 2026 (22d)	$107.08	$112.23	$1.96	$1.96	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 3.92 OTM = 3.7% (1.9x a typical daily move). The $1.96 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$1,419 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $112.23 (breakeven).
GOOG-LC310	Joint:1782	5x $355C 16 Oct 2026 (22d)	$334.18	$359.26	$3.67	$3.67	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 20.82 OTM = 6.2% (3.1x a typical daily move). The $3.67 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$2,105 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $359.26 (breakeven).
IREN-LC25-1299	Main:1299	20x $55C 16 Oct 2026 (22d)	$46.48	$55.88	$1.21	$1.21	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 8.52 OTM = 18.3% (3.5x a typical daily move). The $1.21 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$1,666 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $55.88 (breakeven).
IREN-LC25-1782	Joint:1782	20x $55C 16 Oct 2026 (22d)	$46.48	$55.88	$1.21	$1.21	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 8.52 OTM = 18.3% (3.5x a typical daily move). The $1.21 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$1,666 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $55.88 (breakeven).
GLXY	Main:1299	100x $32.5C 16 Oct 2026 (22d)	$25.92	$32.84	$0.34	$0.34	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 6.58 OTM = 25.4% (4.7x a typical daily move). The $0.34 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$2,931 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $32.84 (breakeven).
MU-LC970	Neville:0865	2x $1250C 23 Oct 2026 (29d)	$1,049.00	$1,284.32	$21.52	$21.52	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 201.00 OTM = 19.2% (4.6x a typical daily move). The $21.52 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$6,854 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $1,284.32 (breakeven).
INTC	Neville:0865	5x $160C 23 Oct 2026 (29d)	$123.50	$162.09	$1.96	$1.96	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 36.50 OTM = 29.6% (5.9x a typical daily move). The $1.96 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$1,019 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $162.09 (breakeven).
COIN-LC500	Main:1299	25x $240C 30 Oct 2026 (36d)	$196.27	$245.47	$5.85	$5.85	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 43.73 OTM = 22.3% (4.9x a typical daily move). The $5.85 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$13,548 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $245.47 (breakeven).
MSTR-LC125	RetireInc:7291	4x $170C 20 Nov 2026 (57d)	$161.40	$180.96	$15.25	$15.25	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 8.60 OTM = 5.3% (1.2x a typical daily move). The $15.25 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$4,364 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $180.96 (breakeven).
MSTR-LC180	Joint:1782	10x $170C 20 Nov 2026 (57d)	$161.40	$180.95	$15.25	$15.25	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 8.60 OTM = 5.3% (1.2x a typical daily move). The $15.25 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$10,900 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $180.95 (breakeven).
QCOM	RetireInc:7291	5x $220C 20 Nov 2026 (57d)	$193.75	$224.53	$8.45	$8.45	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 26.25 OTM = 13.5% (3.8x a typical daily move). The $8.45 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$2,242 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $224.53 (breakeven).
SNDK	Neville:0865	1x $2200C 20 Nov 2026 (57d)	$1,766.46	$2,333.48	$88.80	$88.80	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 433.54 OTM = 24.5% (4.9x a typical daily move). The $88.80 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$13,343 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $2,333.48 (breakeven).
MU-LC880	Main:1299	5x $1350C 20 Nov 2026 (57d)	$1,049.00	$1,376.43	$28.02	$28.02	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 301.00 OTM = 28.7% (7.0x a typical daily move). The $28.02 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$13,188 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $1,376.43 (breakeven).
GLD	Main:1299	10x $445C 18 Dec 2026 (85d)	$391.62	$451.11	$3.65	$3.65	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 53.38 OTM = 13.6% (9.3x a typical daily move). The $3.65 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$6,062 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $451.11 (breakeven).
COIN-LC165	Main:1299	8x $270C 18 Dec 2026 (85d)	$196.27	$278.82	$7.62	$7.62	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 73.73 OTM = 37.6% (8.6x a typical daily move). The $7.62 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$7,020 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $278.82 (breakeven).

⏸ SKIPPED BY CSV: 8 fortress slice(s) these qualify for FIGHT but carry Skip; in active_fortresses.csv (earnings, event, bullish momentum). Not analyzed, no recommendation, excluded from every income total and from the cc_manager seam. Existing short calls on them are still tripwired below. Remove the tag to bring them back.

Fortress	Acct	Ct	Price	BE SS	Why excluded
BMNR-LC23-1299	Main:1299	75	$27.55	$53.26	excluded by CSV (Skip) · 48.3% below BE SS · also tagged: Half Max
BMNR-LC23-1782	Joint:1782	150	$27.55	$36.42	excluded by CSV (Skip) · 24.4% below BE SS · also tagged: Half Max
BMNR-LC25	Main:1299	50	$27.55	$65.83	excluded by CSV (Skip) · 58.1% below BE SS · also tagged: Half Max [HP_MISSING]
CLSK	RetireInc:7291	25	$14.47	$20.74	excluded by CSV (Skip) · 30.2% below BE SS
ENPH	RetireInc:7291	10	$32.17	$56.15	excluded by CSV (Skip) · 42.7% below BE SS
IBIT	Joint:1782	50	$47.52	$70.58	excluded by CSV (Skip) · 32.7% below BE SS [LEAPS_ONLY, NO_HEDGE]
MARA-LC13	Main:1299	400	$13.34	$16.75	excluded by CSV (Skip) · 20.4% below BE SS [LEAPS_ONLY, NO_HEDGE]
MARA-LC40	RetireInc:7291	500	$13.34	$41.04	excluded by CSV (Skip) · 67.5% below BE SS [LEAPS_ONLY, NO_HEDGE]

CAPPED: 30 fortress slice(s) with CCs already sold, excluded from FIGHT scope

Fortress	Acct	Ct	BE SS	Active short calls
AAPL	RetireInc:7291	5	$334.64	5x $360C 2 Oct 2026 (8d)
AMZN	Joint:1782	5	$267.92	5x $275C 2 Oct 2026 (8d)
APP	RetireInc:7291	1	$588.00	1x $370C 2 Oct 2026 (8d)
COIN-LC165	Main:1299	8	$210.90	8x $270C 18 Dec 2026 (85d)
COIN-LC500	Main:1299	25	$563.00	25x $240C 30 Oct 2026 (36d)
COPX	Joint:1782	20	$93.40	20x $92C 25 Sep 2026 (1d)
CRCL	Neville:0865	5	$87.00	5x $115C 2 Oct 2026 (8d)
CRWV	Neville:0865	5	$125.45	5x $100C 2 Oct 2026 (8d)
DELL	Main:1299	3	$562.50	3x $600C 2 Oct 2026 (8d)
GLD	Main:1299	10	$456.00	10x $445C 18 Dec 2026 (85d)
GOOG-LC300	Neville:0865	15	$373.00	15x $375C 2 Oct 2026 (8d)
GOOG-LC310	Joint:1782	5	$392.50	5x $355C 16 Oct 2026 (22d) [LEAPS_ONLY, NO_HEDGE]
GOOG-LC340	Neville:0865	5	$398.00	5x $370C 2 Oct 2026 (8d)
HIMS	Main:1299	15	$17.47	15x $35C 2 Oct 2026 (8d)
HOOD	Joint:1782	10	$114.95	10x $145C 2 Oct 2026 (8d)
IGV	Main:1299	12	$96.50	12x $111C 16 Oct 2026 (22d) [LEAPS_ONLY, NO_HEDGE]
INTC	Neville:0865	5	$114.00	5x $160C 23 Oct 2026 (29d)
IREN-LC25-1299	Main:1299	20	$44.00	20x $55C 16 Oct 2026 (22d)
IREN-LC25-1782	Joint:1782	20	$44.00	20x $55C 16 Oct 2026 (22d)
IREN-LC45	Neville:0865	20	$56.50	20x $58C 2 Oct 2026 (8d)
IREN-LC50	RetireInc:7291	20	$63.43	20x $58C 2 Oct 2026 (8d)
MSTR-LC125	RetireInc:7291	4	$161.00	4x $170C 20 Nov 2026 (57d)
MSTR-LC180	Joint:1782	10	$233.00	10x $170C 20 Nov 2026 (57d) [LEAPS_ONLY, NO_HEDGE]
MU-LC670	Joint:1782	1	$792.36	1x $1150C 28 Sep 2026 (4d)
MU-LC880	Main:1299	5	$1,028.60	5x $1350C 20 Nov 2026 (57d)
MU-LC970	Neville:0865	2	$1,220.00	2x $1250C 23 Oct 2026 (29d)
NVDA	Main:1299	10	$264.80	10x $250C 9 Oct 2026 (15d)
QCOM	RetireInc:7291	5	$224.00	5x $220C 20 Nov 2026 (57d)
SNDK	Neville:0865	1	$1,620.00	1x $2200C 20 Nov 2026 (57d)
SPY	Neville:0865	12	$764.00	12x $782C 2 Oct 2026 (8d) [LEAPS_ONLY, NO_HEDGE]

Manage these with the roll table (fortress_fight --tickers T) or roll_calls.

📏 CALIBRATION: 2828 of 2954 predictions resolved since 2026-07-02, is the model honest?

Predicted survival	N	Avg predicted	Realized OTM rate	Gap
0-60%	198	56%	61%	+5pp
60-70%	378	64%	62%	-2pp
70-80%	505	76%	82%	+6pp
80-90%	662	85%	84%	-0pp
90-100%	1085	94%	95%	+1pp

Touch odds: predicted 38% avg vs realized 34% touch rate over 2828 resolved (daily highs, exact intraday touch).

Regime spread: per expiry week, realized/predicted touch ranged 0.51x (W29) to 1.59x (W34) over 11 graded weeks; last week 0.65x. Every hist pill on this page carries this range in its tooltip.

🚪 Roll actuals vs playbook: 167 real buyback(s) recorded · 84 roll(s), net +$0.58/sh avg.

💸 What a touch actually costs, over 84 real rolls: buyback $6.69/sh, replacement credit financed 109% of it, leaving a net CREDIT of $0.58/sh (58 of 84 rolled for a credit). Verdict: even-roll (campaign MC) is closer: the replacement credit financed most of the buyback. E[net] charges the NET cost plus one parked cycle, not the gross buyback.

Green gap: within 7pp. A persistent negative gap means survival is overstated (model too confident); positive means too conservative. N is small early; judge after ~30 resolved.

fortress_fight.py v6.3 --all | 2026-09-24 21:44

Gross FIGHT income	$170/mo
vs 50% target ($4,000/mo)	-96%
vs normal income ($8,000/mo)	2% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$170/mo

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$0
… as % of IC ($5,525)	0.0%
… as % of ML ($55,525)	0.0%
Recovery months (at normal income)	0.0 mo
Surgical close (25 ct)	$-20,162

Gross FIGHT income	$273/mo
vs 50% target ($4,000/mo)	-93%
vs normal income ($8,000/mo)	3% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$273/mo

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$2,893
… as % of IC ($5,525)	52.4%
… as % of ML ($55,525)	5.2%
Recovery months (at normal income)	0.4 mo
Surgical close (25 ct)	$-20,450

Gross FIGHT income	$2,700/mo
vs 50% target ($4,000/mo)	-32%
vs normal income ($8,000/mo)	34% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$2,742/mo

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$11,407
… as % of IC ($5,525)	206.5%
… as % of ML ($55,525)	20.5%
Recovery months (at normal income)	1.4 mo
Surgical close (18 ct)	$-14,535

Gross FIGHT income	$4,125/mo
vs 50% target ($4,000/mo)	+3%
vs normal income ($8,000/mo)	52% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$4,143/mo

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$14,822
… as % of IC ($5,525)	268.3%
… as % of ML ($55,525)	26.7%
Recovery months (at normal income)	1.9 mo
Surgical close (22 ct)	$-17,776

Gross FIGHT income	$8,194/mo
vs 50% target ($4,000/mo)	+105%
vs normal income ($8,000/mo)	102% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$8,206/mo

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$17,911
… as % of IC ($5,525)	324.2%
… as % of ML ($55,525)	32.3%
Recovery months (at normal income)	2.2 mo
Surgical close (23 ct)	$-18,710

Gross FIGHT income	$742/mo
vs 50% target ($2,112/mo)	-65%
vs normal income ($4,224/mo)	18% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$454/mo

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$39,727
… as % of IC ($15,930)	249.4%
… as % of ML ($69,930)	56.8%
Recovery months (at normal income)	9.4 mo
Surgical close (6 ct)	$-49,347

Gross FIGHT income	$1,575/mo
vs 50% target ($2,112/mo)	-25%
vs normal income ($4,224/mo)	37% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$1,287/mo

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$41,905
… as % of IC ($15,930)	263.1%
… as % of ML ($69,930)	59.9%
Recovery months (at normal income)	9.9 mo
Surgical close (6 ct)	$-49,353

Gross FIGHT income	$2,385/mo
vs 50% target ($2,112/mo)	+13%
vs normal income ($4,224/mo)	56% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$2,097/mo

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$42,889
… as % of IC ($15,930)	269.2%
… as % of ML ($69,930)	61.3%
Recovery months (at normal income)	10.2 mo
Surgical close (6 ct)	$-49,350

Gross FIGHT income	$4,972/mo
vs 50% target ($2,112/mo)	+135%
vs normal income ($4,224/mo)	118% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$4,684/mo

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$44,599
… as % of IC ($15,930)	280.0%
… as % of ML ($69,930)	63.8%
Recovery months (at normal income)	10.6 mo
Surgical close (6 ct)	$-49,353

Gross FIGHT income	$164/mo
vs 50% target ($2,995/mo)	-95%
vs normal income ($5,990/mo)	3% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$164/mo

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$0
… as % of IC ($13,500)	0.0%
… as % of ML ($43,500)	0.0%
Recovery months (at normal income)	0.0 mo
Surgical close (5 ct)	$-22,105

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$190.00 (2.5σ)	$120	$-958	+$21,142	+$2,540
+2.5%	$194.75 (2.8σ)	$-2,255	$-1,010	+$21,090	+$2,540
+5%	$199.50 (3.0σ)	$-4,630	$-1,062	+$21,038	+$2,540

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (5 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$162	9 Oct 2026	11d left	+$1.55/sh	+$774 cycle +$1,084 [+$710…+$1,137] · 100% credit	67% surv 52%	-$13,442 NOT cap gain +$8,658
Max even-money escape in the band	~$168	16 Oct 2026	18d left	+$0.59/sh	+$295 cycle +$605 [+$12…+$619] · 75% credit	74% surv 65%	-$11,235 NOT cap gain +$10,865
SS $186 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)	~$165	9 Oct 2026	11d left	+$0.20/sh	+$101 cycle +$411 [-$114…+$369] · 62% credit	72% surv 61%	-$12,652 NOT cap gain +$9,448
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)	~$170	16 Oct 2026	18d left	-$0.23/sh	-$117 cycle +$193 [-$482…+$187] · 36% credit	77% surv 71%	-$10,425 NOT cap gain +$11,675
budget: banked $310 debit $117 (38% used ≈ 0.4 wk of income) → whole cycle still +$193 cash · rolled 5 ct earn ≈ $2,831/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell

Gross FIGHT income	$1,163/mo
vs 50% target ($2,995/mo)	-61%
vs normal income ($5,990/mo)	19% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$1,163/mo

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$12,931
… as % of IC ($13,500)	95.8%
… as % of ML ($43,500)	29.7%
Recovery months (at normal income)	2.2 mo
Surgical close (5 ct)	$-22,108

Spot \ Time	≥ 5d left	3-4d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $160.88	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $161-163.13	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $163.13	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$162.50 (1.5σ)	$310	$-14,215	+$7,885	+$230
+2.5%	$166.56 (1.9σ)	$-1,721	$-14,260	+$7,840	-$1,801
+5%	$170.62 (2.3σ)	$-3,752	$-14,305	+$7,795	-$3,832
SS (= V-bounce)	$186.00 (3.7σ)	$-11,440	$-14,474	+$7,626	-$11,020

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (5 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$158	9 Oct 2026	11d left	+$1.66/sh	+$828 cycle +$1,443 [+$659…+$1,060] · 100% credit	67% surv 52%	-$15,528 NOT cap gain +$6,572
Max even-money escape in the band	~$163	16 Oct 2026	18d left	+$0.70/sh	+$351 cycle +$966 [-$25…+$490] · 73% credit	74% surv 65%	-$13,320 NOT cap gain +$8,780
SS $186 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)	~$160	9 Oct 2026	11d left	+$0.31/sh	+$156 cycle +$771 [-$127…+$271] · 58% credit	72% surv 61%	-$14,737 NOT cap gain +$7,363
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)	~$168	16 Oct 2026	18d left	-$0.79/sh	-$394 cycle +$221 [-$937…-$313] · 10% credit	80% surv 76%	-$11,620 NOT cap gain +$10,480
budget: banked $615 debit $394 (64% used ≈ 0.7 wk of income) → whole cycle still +$221 cash · rolled 5 ct earn ≈ $2,276/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell

Gross FIGHT income	$2,306/mo
vs 50% target ($2,995/mo)	-23%
vs normal income ($5,990/mo)	39% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$2,306/mo

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$15,126
… as % of IC ($13,500)	112.0%
… as % of ML ($43,500)	34.8%
Recovery months (at normal income)	2.5 mo
Surgical close (5 ct)	$-22,108

Spot \ Time	≥ 5d left	3-4d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $155.93	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $156-158.75	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $158.75	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$157.50 (1.0σ)	$615	$-16,355	+$5,745	+$535
+2.5%	$161.44 (1.4σ)	$-1,354	$-16,399	+$5,701	-$1,434
+5%	$165.38 (1.8σ)	$-3,322	$-16,442	+$5,658	-$3,402
SS (= V-bounce)	$186.00 (3.7σ)	$-13,635	$-16,669	+$5,431	-$13,215

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (5 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$155	9 Oct 2026	11d left	+$1.71/sh	+$853 cycle +$1,708 [+$644…+$977] · 100% credit	67% surv 52%	-$16,485 NOT cap gain +$5,615
Max even-money escape in the band	~$160	16 Oct 2026	18d left	+$0.75/sh	+$377 cycle +$1,232 [-$66…+$436] · 70% credit	74% surv 65%	-$14,276 NOT cap gain +$7,824
SS $186 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)	~$158	9 Oct 2026	11d left	+$0.36/sh	+$182 cycle +$1,037 [-$149…+$237] · 50% credit	72% surv 61%	-$15,694 NOT cap gain +$6,406
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)	~$168	16 Oct 2026	18d left	-$1.29/sh	-$644 cycle +$211 [-$1,333…-$692] · 3% credit	83% surv 80%	-$11,629 NOT cap gain +$10,471
budget: banked $855 debit $644 (75% used ≈ 0.9 wk of income) → whole cycle still +$211 cash · rolled 5 ct earn ≈ $1,813/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell

Gross FIGHT income	$3,206/mo
vs 50% target ($2,995/mo)	+7%
vs normal income ($5,990/mo)	54% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$3,206/mo

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$16,136
… as % of IC ($13,500)	119.5%
… as % of ML ($43,500)	37.1%
Recovery months (at normal income)	2.7 mo
Surgical close (5 ct)	$-22,110

Spot \ Time	≥ 5d left	3-4d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $153.45	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $153-156.73	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $156.73	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.