| HB750 | HB750 proven | |
|---|---|---|
| Holdings | AMZN 10, AMD 6, PLTR 13, SPCX 16, MU 2, DELL 1, NVDA 3 | AMZN 6, COPX 17, SPCX 10, RKLB 20, SNOW 3, CRWV 17, DELL 2, COIN 6, MU 1, MSTR 4, SHOP 3 |
| Names / contracts | 7 / 51 | 11 / 89 |
| Max Loss (held as cash) / account | $745,413 / $810,000 | $747,358 / $810,000 |
| In names with a strong Jan-to-date record | 81% of Max Loss | 65% of Max Loss |
| Semis / software / crypto / mega-cap / other | 42% / 19% / 0% / 20% / 19% | 16% / 23% / 14% / 12% / 36% |
| Correlation with SOXX (semis) / IGV (software) | +0.80 / +0.44 | +0.71 / +0.51 |
| Avg pairwise correlation (180d) / beta | +0.29 / 2.56 | +0.28 / 2.67 |
| Daily swing (1 sd) | $35,723 (4.4%) | $30,415 (3.8%) |
| Calls / mo at your rate (90-day record, after hedge rent) | $6,607 | $13,545 |
| Calls / mo, INCOME_BOOK basis (earnings-corrected) | $21,935 | $24,901 |
| Replayed in your style: last 90 days / 2-year average | -$21,539 / -$7,874 | $28,588 / $30,159 |
| Replayed, model's call: last 90 days / 2-year average | $4,731 / $7,508 | $38,549 / $47,076 |
| Hedge rent / yr (already out of the calls) | $107,371 | $42,489 |
| Liquidation, 6 attacks to −95% | NONE | NONE |
| S&P −10% / −20% (cockpit betas) | -$309k / -$506k | -$266k / -$482k |
| S&P −20% (measured betas) | -$513k -63% | -$530k -65% |
| October again (each name's 6-30 Oct move, from today) | -$193k -23.8% of its account | -$212k -26.2% of its account |
| Sep-Oct replay at your rate / max drawdown | -5.1% / -25.0% | -19.1% / -29.8% |
| Cost to open (quarter spread) | $8,695 | $16,290 |
| Reports earnings before 30 Nov | AMD 3 Nov, PLTR 2 Nov, SPCX 3 Nov, DELL 24 Nov, NVDA 17 Nov | SPCX 3 Nov, RKLB 9 Nov, CRWV 10 Nov, DELL 24 Nov, SHOP 3 Nov |
| Max Loss | Calls / mo book basis | Calls / mo your rate | Names | Beta | Account | Reset reserve | Holdings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $0.75M (this page) | $24,901 | $13,545 | 11 | 2.67 | $810k | $759k | AMZN 6, COPX 17, SPCX 10, RKLB 20, SNOW 3, CRWV 17, DELL 2, COIN 6, MU 1, MSTR 4, SHOP 3 |
| $1.00M | $32,387 | $18,282 | 12 | 2.63 | $1.08M | $537k | RKLB 27, CRWV 29, COPX 22, SPCX 13, COIN 11, DELL 3, AMZN 5, TSLA 3, MU 1, QCOM 5, SNOW 2, MSFT 2 |
| $1.25M | $38,475 | $23,146 | 12 | 2.74 | $1.35M | $267k | RKLB 34, COPX 28, COIN 14, SPCX 16, CRWV 29, SNDK 1, DELL 3, SNOW 4, AMZN 5, SHOP 5, NVDA 6, QCOM 6 |
| $1.60M | $51,973 | $29,839 | 12 | 2.20 | $1.72M | -$103k | RKLB 43, COIN 18, SPCX 21, AMZN 11, DELL 5, MU 3, NFLX 55, QCOM 11, MSFT 4, TSLA 4, SNOW 3, AVGO 4 |
| Name | Contracts | Spot | LC / SP / HP | Max Loss | Your calls, Jan to date | Calls / mo your rate | Calls / mo book basis | Your style 2-yr replay / mo | Beta | Group |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMZN record | 10 | 240.80 | 125 / 230 / 185 | $148,760 20% of book | $9k 12 closes, 92% won | $1,356 | $4,434 | $603 | 1.44 | Mega-cap |
| AMD record | 6 | 508.22 | 320 / 460 / 400 | $143,490 19% of book | $13k 15 closes, 93% won | $153 | $2,483 | -$5,437 | 3.30 | Semis |
| PLTR | 13 | 184.56 | 80 / 175 / 155 | $142,545 19% of book | $3k 2 closes, 100% won | -$2,715 | -$2,044 | -$984 | 1.98 | Software |
| SPCX record | 16 | 136.03 | 75 / 110 / 80 | $141,792 19% of book | $8k 19 closes, 89% won | $3,860 | $7,523 | -$185 | 3.18 | Other high beta |
| MU record | 2 | 889.20 | 440 / 630 / 540 | $106,510 14% of book | $100k 50 closes, 96% won | $2,487 | $7,796 | -$3,091 | 3.40 | Semis |
| DELL record | 1 | 424.18 | 290 / 420 / 230 | $32,295 4% of book | $18k 13 closes, 92% won | $1,183 | $1,183 | $165 | 2.51 | Semis |
| NVDA record | 3 | 205.25 | 160 / 205 / 150 | $30,021 4% of book | $41k 23 closes, 91% won | $284 | $561 | $1,055 | 1.94 | Semis |
| HB750 | 51 | $745,413 | $6,607 | $21,935 | -$7,874 |
| Name | Contracts | Spot | LC / SP / HP | Max Loss | Your calls, Jan to date | Calls / mo your rate | Calls / mo book basis | Your style 2-yr replay / mo | Beta | Group |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMZN record | 6 | 240.80 | 125 / 230 / 185 | $89,256 12% of book | $9k 12 closes, 92% won | $813 | $2,661 | $362 | 1.44 | Mega-cap |
| COPX record | 17 | 71.96 | 50 / 73 / 45 | $89,080 12% of book | $44k 20 closes, 90% won | $858 | $1,247 | $1,503 | 2.43 | Other high beta |
| SPCX record | 10 | 136.03 | 75 / 110 / 80 | $88,620 12% of book | $8k 19 closes, 89% won | $2,412 | $4,702 | -$115 | 3.18 | Other high beta |
| RKLB | 20 | 55.06 | 40 / 50 / 20 | $87,680 12% of book | $10k 31 closes, 71% won | $2,559 | $2,752 | $4,295 | 3.88 | Other high beta |
| SNOW | 3 | 306.08 | 180 / 250 / 140 | $68,955 9% of book | none | $720 | $1,261 | $3,147 | 1.41 | Software |
| CRWV | 17 | 55.16 | 20 / 45 / 35 | $68,289 9% of book | $5k 11 closes, 82% won | $665 | $3,129 | $14,206 | 3.67 | Software |
| DELL record | 2 | 424.18 | 290 / 420 / 230 | $64,590 9% of book | $18k 13 closes, 92% won | $2,365 | $2,365 | $331 | 2.51 | Semis |
| COIN record | 6 | 143.54 | 60 / 90 / 70 | $62,520 8% of book | $61k 37 closes, 89% won | $1,280 | $1,509 | $1,157 | 2.97 | Crypto |
| MU record | 1 | 889.20 | 440 / 630 / 540 | $53,255 7% of book | $100k 50 closes, 96% won | $1,244 | $3,898 | -$1,546 | 3.40 | Semis |
| MSTR record | 4 | 130.51 | 50 / 80 / 65 | $38,528 5% of book | $16k 22 closes, 91% won | $415 | $980 | $4,813 | 3.19 | Crypto |
| SHOP | 3 | 157.49 | 75 / 110 / 70 | $36,585 5% of book | none | $213 | $397 | $2,007 | 1.86 | Software |
| HB750 proven | 89 | $747,358 | $13,545 | $24,901 | $30,159 |
| Name | Group | Your calls, Jan to date | Your yield / mo (while written) | Your strike (median) | Your style last 90 days | Your style 2-year average | Model call 2-year average | Screen | In HB750 proven |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MU | Semis | $100k 50 closes, 96% won | 3.5% | +12% / z 0.9 | -$1,039 | -$1,546 | -$2,600 | record | in |
| GOOG | Mega-cap | $78k 37 closes, 86% won | 1.2% | +6% / z 1.2 | $62 | -$188 | -$216 | out | – |
| COIN | Crypto | $61k 37 closes, 89% won | 2.6% | +12% / z 1.1 | -$100 | $193 | $509 | record | in |
| COPX | Other high beta | $44k 20 closes, 90% won | 2.7% | +6% / z 1.0 | $45 | $88 | $151 | record | in |
| NVDA | Semis | $41k 23 closes, 91% won | 1.9% | +5% / z 0.9 | $167 | $352 | $667 | record | – |
| GLXY | Crypto | $18k 13 closes, 85% won | 3.9% | +14% / z 1.0 | $97 | $40 | $45 | look-alike, pays | – |
| DELL | Semis | $18k 13 closes, 92% won | 3.1% | +6% / z 0.6 | $1,503 | $165 | $263 | record | in |
| MSTR | Crypto | $16k 22 closes, 91% won | 2.8% | +12% / z 1.0 | $637 | $1,203 | $1,300 | record | in |
| AMD | Semis | $13k 15 closes, 93% won | 4.1% | +7% / z 0.9 | -$1,488 | -$906 | -$1,161 | record | – |
| SNDK | Semis | $13k 7 closes, 100% won | 3.2% | +7% / z 0.8 | -$7,658 | -$4,226 | -$8,586 | record | – |
| TSLA | Mega-cap | $11k 17 closes, 82% won | 1.3% | +6% / z 1.2 | $436 | $465 | $1,698 | look-alike, pays | – |
| RKLB | Other high beta | $10k 31 closes, 71% won | 2.8% | +13% / z 1.1 | $310 | $215 | $313 | look-alike, pays | in |
| QCOM | Semis | $10k 11 closes, 91% won | 3.8% | +16% / z 1.3 | $124 | $198 | $257 | record | – |
| INTC | Semis | $10k 18 closes, 94% won | 4.5% | +10% / z 1.0 | $278 | $114 | $127 | record | – |
| AMZN | Mega-cap | $9k 12 closes, 92% won | 1.7% | +4% / z 1.1 | $168 | $60 | $181 | record | in |
| SPCX | Other high beta | $8k 19 closes, 89% won | 2.9% | +9% / z 0.7 | -$475 | -$12 | $919 | record | in |
| META | Mega-cap | $8k 8 closes, 88% won | 1.4% | +6% / z 0.9 | -$457 | $254 | $307 | out | – |
| APP | Software | $7k 16 closes, 94% won | 5.4% | +9% / z 0.9 | -$67 | $878 | $610 | record | – |
| CRWV | Software | $5k 11 closes, 82% won | 3.6% | +12% / z 0.8 | $973 | $836 | $788 | look-alike, pays | in |
| MSFT | Software | $5k 5 closes, 100% won | 1.7% | +5% / z 0.7 | $9 | $423 | $850 | look-alike, pays | – |
| NFLX | Other high beta | $5k 4 closes, 100% won | 0.7% | +6% / z 1.0 | $57 | $75 | $155 | look-alike, pays | – |
| PLTR | Software | $3k 2 closes, 100% won | 3.0% | +7% / z 0.6 | -$508 | -$76 | $69 | out | – |
| ASST | Crypto | $3k 3 closes, 100% won | 12.5% | +16% / z 1.5 | $80 | -$1,055 | -$708 | out | – |
| NOW | Software | -$280 10 closes, 70% won | -0.1% | +9% / z 0.7 | -$207 | $265 | $338 | out | – |
| AVGO | Semis | -$2k 3 closes, 67% won | -1.9% | +7% / z 0.9 | $548 | $1,005 | $1,393 | look-alike, pays | – |
| HOOD | Other high beta | -$4k 12 closes, 75% won | -2.6% | +7% / z 0.8 | -$292 | -$207 | -$233 | out | – |
| CAT | Other high beta | none | – | – | $727 | -$450 | -$635 | out | – |
| CRWD | Software | none | – | – | -$543 | $255 | $470 | out | – |
| ORCL | Software | none | – | – | $419 | $80 | $690 | look-alike, pays | – |
| SHOP | Software | none | – | – | $556 | $669 | $491 | look-alike, pays | in |
| NET | Software | none | – | – | $1,767 | $715 | $846 | look-alike, pays | – |
| DDOG | Software | none | – | – | $1,155 | $683 | $654 | look-alike, pays | – |
| SNOW | Software | none | – | – | $1,087 | $1,049 | $2,312 | look-alike, pays | in |
| UBER | Other high beta | none | – | – | -$14 | $120 | $128 | out | – |
| CRM | Software | none | – | – | -$1,048 | $213 | $640 | out | – |
| Name | Reports | IV priced (6 Nov weekly) | Normal-week IV (forward 6-13 Nov) | Premium scale | Gross / ct / mo as priced | Corrected |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PLTR | 2 Nov | 116% | 50% | x0.14 | $2,529 | $348 |
| APP | 4 Nov | 121% | 71% | x0.21 | $2,169 | $462 |
| QCOM | 4 Nov | 71% | 44% | x0.27 | $958 | $255 |
| UBER | 4 Nov | 56% | 36% | x0.31 | $323 | $100 |
| NET | 5 Nov | 111% | 71% | x0.31 | $2,665 | $837 |
| SHOP | 3 Nov | 94% | 60% | x0.32 | $1,338 | $424 |
| AMD | 3 Nov | 88% | 54% | x0.41 | $5,443 | $2,227 |
| DDOG | 4 Nov | 106% | 76% | x0.42 | $1,950 | $828 |
| SPCX | 3 Nov | 59% | 53% | x0.86 | $990 | $847 |
_md_files/portfolio/2026-10-31_portfolio_reset/. Nothing here places an order.