FIGHT income if all primaries filled: $27,600/mo (50% of normal target)
| POSITION | INCOME LADDER · SAFEST ⟶ RICHEST | TUNED | RECOVERY | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fortress | Ct | Price | CC-SS | 🛡 Safe yield | 33% normal | 50% normal | 100% normal | Tuned | Banked | Cap @ CC-SS | ↑ whole |
| GLXY ↗⚡ER 6d Main:1299 · This Fri | 125 | $25.70 | $33.98 | 125 × $29 $1,500 cyc · $22,500/mo 92% surv · T:16% | 102 × $29 $1,224 cyc · $18,360/mo 92% surv · T:16% | 🎯 115 × $28.50 $1,840 cyc · $27,600/mo 89% surv · T:13% | 97 × $27.50 $3,686 cyc · $55,290/mo 79% surv · T:43% | — S≥708090T≤253040C≥2505001k× | $879 | -$61,157 (221.4% IC) | 32.2% |
| TOTAL (1) | 125 | following every 🎯 $1,840 cyc · $27,600/mo | $1,500 cyc · $22,500/mo | $1,224 cyc · $18,360/mo | $1,840 cyc · $27,600/mo | $3,686 cyc · $55,290/mo | $879 | -$61,157 | |||
| Move | New strike ≈ | New expiry | Tenor | Est net | Total (125 ct) | POP / surv of new CC | If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roll out (same strike, buy time) | ~$29 | 31 Jul 2026 | 8d left | +$1.08/sh | +$13,549 cycle +$15,049 [+$9,358…+$13,820] · 96% credit | 68% surv 54% | -$38,110 NOT cap gain +$50,140 |
| Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%) | ~$32 | 14 Aug 2026 | 22d left | +$0.55/sh | +$6,880 cycle +$8,380 [+$548…+$6,901] · 76% credit | 76% surv 70% | -$9,687 NOT cap gain +$78,563 |
| Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free) | ~$31 | 31 Jul 2026 | 8d left | +$0.33/sh | +$4,167 cycle +$5,667 [-$1,458…+$3,985] · 67% credit | 75% surv 66% | -$28,374 NOT cap gain +$59,876 |
| Max even-money escape in the band | ~$34 | 14 Aug 2026 | 22d left | +$0.12/sh | +$1,496 cycle +$2,996 [-$5,944…+$1,313] · 41% credit | 81% surv 77% | +$6,229 SAFE cap gain +$94,479 |
| SS $40 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder | |||||||
| Gross FIGHT income | $22,500/mo |
| vs 50% target ($27,598/mo) | -18% |
| vs normal income ($55,195/mo) | 41% covered |
| Net income (after hedge) | $22,500/mo |
| Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce) | -$60,725 |
| … as % of IC ($27,625) | 219.8% |
| … as % of ML ($277,625) | 21.9% |
| Recovery months (at normal income) | 1.1 mo |
| Surgical close (125 ct) | $-89,375 |
| Spot \ Time | ≥ 4d left | 3d left | ≤ 2d (expiry) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Below $28.71 | Do nothing. Theta wins. | Do nothing. | Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle. |
| Pressing the strike $29-29.21 | Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first. | ★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits. | Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike. |
| Through breakeven ≥ $29.21 | Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll. | Roll or close immediately; time value is gone. | Close today, or be assigned. |
| Scenario | Spot | CC leg net | Position total | vs today | vs do-nothing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at strike | $29.00 (1.5σ) | $1,500 | $-51,658 | +$36,592 | -$1,625 |
| +2.5% | $29.72 (1.8σ) | $-7,562 | $-52,999 | +$35,251 | -$10,687 |
| +5% | $30.45 (2.1σ) | $-16,625 | $-54,341 | +$33,909 | -$19,750 |
| SS (= V-bounce) | $39.71 (6.2σ) | $-132,375 | $-71,472 | +$16,778 | -$89,125 |
| Move | New strike ≈ | New expiry | Tenor | Est net | Total (102 ct) | POP / surv of new CC | If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roll out (same strike, buy time) | ~$29 | 31 Jul 2026 | 8d left | +$1.08/sh | +$11,056 cycle +$12,280 [+$7,262…+$11,714] · 93% credit | 68% surv 54% | -$40,304 NOT cap gain +$47,946 |
| Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%) | ~$32 | 14 Aug 2026 | 22d left | +$0.55/sh | +$5,614 cycle +$6,838 [-$62…+$6,295] · 74% credit | 76% surv 70% | -$10,654 NOT cap gain +$77,596 |
| Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free) | ~$31 | 31 Jul 2026 | 8d left | +$0.33/sh | +$3,400 cycle +$4,624 [-$1,655…+$3,614] · 64% credit | 75% surv 66% | -$28,842 NOT cap gain +$59,408 |
| Max even-money escape in the band | ~$34 | 14 Aug 2026 | 22d left | +$0.12/sh | +$1,221 cycle +$2,445 [-$5,446…+$1,621] · 40% credit | 81% surv 77% | +$6,253 SAFE cap gain +$94,503 |
| SS $40 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder | |||||||
| Gross FIGHT income | $18,360/mo |
| vs 50% target ($27,598/mo) | -33% |
| vs normal income ($55,195/mo) | 33% covered |
| Net income (after hedge) | $19,438/mo |
| Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce) | -$49,552 |
| … as % of IC ($27,625) | 179.4% |
| … as % of ML ($277,625) | 17.8% |
| Recovery months (at normal income) | 0.9 mo |
| Surgical close (102 ct) | $-72,930 |
| Spot \ Time | ≥ 4d left | 3d left | ≤ 2d (expiry) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Below $28.71 | Do nothing. Theta wins. | Do nothing. | Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle. |
| Pressing the strike $29-29.21 | Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first. | ★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits. | Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike. |
| Through breakeven ≥ $29.21 | Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll. | Roll or close immediately; time value is gone. | Close today, or be assigned. |
| Scenario | Spot | CC leg net | Position total | vs today | vs do-nothing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at strike | $29.00 (1.5σ) | $1,224 | $-51,359 | +$36,891 | -$1,326 |
| +2.5% | $29.72 (1.8σ) | $-6,171 | $-51,033 | +$37,217 | -$8,721 |
| +5% | $30.45 (2.1σ) | $-13,566 | $-50,707 | +$37,543 | -$16,116 |
| SS (= V-bounce) | $39.71 (6.2σ) | $-108,018 | $-55,073 | +$33,177 | -$72,726 |
| Move | New strike ≈ | New expiry | Tenor | Est net | Total (115 ct) | POP / surv of new CC | If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roll out (same strike, buy time) | ~$28 | 31 Jul 2026 | 8d left | +$1.06/sh | +$12,164 cycle +$14,004 [+$6,904…+$12,276] · 93% credit | 68% surv 54% | -$44,229 NOT cap gain +$44,021 |
| Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%) | ~$32 | 14 Aug 2026 | 22d left | +$0.51/sh | +$5,903 cycle +$7,743 [-$1,971…+$5,864] · 69% credit | 76% surv 70% | -$15,399 NOT cap gain +$72,851 |
| Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free) | ~$30 | 31 Jul 2026 | 8d left | +$0.31/sh | +$3,552 cycle +$5,392 [-$3,320…+$3,422] · 61% credit | 75% surv 67% | -$33,724 NOT cap gain +$54,526 |
| Max even-money escape in the band | ~$34 | 14 Aug 2026 | 22d left | +$0.09/sh | +$1,023 cycle +$2,863 [-$8,056…+$833] · 36% credit | 81% surv 77% | +$1,021 SAFE cap gain +$89,271 |
| SS $40 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder | |||||||
| Gross FIGHT income | $27,600/mo |
| vs 50% target ($27,598/mo) | +0% |
| vs normal income ($55,195/mo) | 50% covered |
| Net income (after hedge) | $28,069/mo |
| Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce) | -$61,157 |
| … as % of IC ($27,625) | 221.4% |
| … as % of ML ($277,625) | 22.0% |
| Recovery months (at normal income) | 1.1 mo |
| Surgical close (115 ct) | $-82,627 |
| Spot \ Time | ≥ 4d left | 3d left | ≤ 2d (expiry) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Below $28.21 | Do nothing. Theta wins. | Do nothing. | Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle. |
| Pressing the strike $28-28.79 | Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first. | ★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits. | Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike. |
| Through breakeven ≥ $28.79 | Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll. | Roll or close immediately; time value is gone. | Close today, or be assigned. |
| Scenario | Spot | CC leg net | Position total | vs today | vs do-nothing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at strike | $28.50 (1.2σ) | $1,840 | $-56,393 | +$31,857 | -$1,035 |
| +2.5% | $29.21 (1.6σ) | $-6,354 | $-56,999 | +$31,251 | -$9,229 |
| +5% | $29.93 (1.9σ) | $-14,548 | $-57,604 | +$30,646 | -$17,423 |
| SS (= V-bounce) | $39.71 (6.2σ) | $-127,075 | $-69,632 | +$18,618 | -$87,285 |
| Move | New strike ≈ | New expiry | Tenor | Est net | Total (97 ct) | POP / surv of new CC | If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roll out (same strike, buy time) | ~$28 | 31 Jul 2026 | 8d left | +$1.01/sh | +$9,760 cycle +$13,446 [+$5,767…+$9,479] · 93% credit | 68% surv 54% | -$54,987 NOT cap gain +$33,263 |
| Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%) | ~$31 | 14 Aug 2026 | 22d left | +$0.44/sh | +$4,279 cycle +$7,965 [-$1,909…+$3,685] · 64% credit | 77% surv 71% | -$25,377 NOT cap gain +$62,873 |
| Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free) | ~$29 | 31 Jul 2026 | 8d left | +$0.26/sh | +$2,533 cycle +$6,219 [-$2,836…+$1,945] · 53% credit | 75% surv 67% | -$43,097 NOT cap gain +$45,153 |
| Max even-money escape in the band | ~$33 | 14 Aug 2026 | 22d left | +$0.03/sh | +$292 cycle +$3,978 [-$6,872…-$499] · 19% credit | 81% surv 78% | -$8,063 NOT cap gain +$80,187 |
| SS $40 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder | |||||||
| Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP) | ~$35 | 14 Aug 2026 | 22d left | -$0.33/sh | -$3,237 cycle +$449 [-$11,705…-$4,298] | 84% surv 82% | +$9,708 SAFE cap gain +$97,958 |
| budget: banked $3,686 debit $3,237 (88% used ≈ 0.3 wk of income) → whole cycle still +$449 cash · rolled 97 ct earn ≈ $9,183/mo while parked; 28 ct free to re-sell | |||||||
| Gross FIGHT income | $55,290/mo |
| vs 50% target ($27,598/mo) | +100% |
| vs normal income ($55,195/mo) | 100% covered |
| Net income (after hedge) | $56,602/mo |
| Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce) | -$59,151 |
| … as % of IC ($27,625) | 214.1% |
| … as % of ML ($277,625) | 21.3% |
| Recovery months (at normal income) | 1.1 mo |
| Surgical close (97 ct) | $-69,306 |
| Spot \ Time | ≥ 4d left | 3d left | ≤ 2d (expiry) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Below $27.23 | Do nothing. Theta wins. | Do nothing. | Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle. |
| Pressing the strike $27-27.96 | Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first. | ★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits. | Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike. |
| Through breakeven ≥ $27.96 | Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll. | Roll or close immediately; time value is gone. | Close today, or be assigned. |
| Scenario | Spot | CC leg net | Position total | vs today | vs do-nothing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at strike | $27.50 (≤1σ, normal week) | $3,686 | $-64,747 | +$23,503 | +$1,261 |
| +2.5% | $28.19 (1.1σ) | $-2,983 | $-64,094 | +$24,156 | -$5,408 |
| +5% | $28.88 (1.4σ) | $-9,652 | $-63,441 | +$24,809 | -$12,076 |
| SS (= V-bounce) | $39.71 (6.2σ) | $-114,751 | $-63,536 | +$24,714 | -$81,189 |
| Move | New strike ≈ | New expiry | Tenor | Est net | Total (125 ct) | POP / surv of new CC | If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roll out (same strike, buy time) | ~$30 | 31 Jul 2026 | 8d left | +$1.14/sh | +$14,212 cycle +$14,962 [+$10,171…+$15,071] · 97% credit | 68% surv 54% | -$27,546 NOT cap gain +$60,704 |
| Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free) | ~$32 | 31 Jul 2026 | 8d left | +$0.38/sh | +$4,794 cycle +$5,544 [-$807…+$5,113] · 66% credit | 75% surv 66% | -$17,847 NOT cap gain +$70,403 |
| Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%) | ~$34 | 14 Aug 2026 | 22d left | +$0.35/sh | +$4,370 cycle +$5,120 [-$2,419…+$5,078] · 62% credit | 78% surv 73% | +$8,353 SAFE cap gain +$96,603 |
| Max even-money escape in the band | ~$35 | 14 Aug 2026 | 22d left | +$0.18/sh | +$2,296 cycle +$3,046 [-$4,842…+$2,870] · 50% credit | 80% surv 76% | +$16,930 SAFE cap gain +$105,180 |
| SS $40 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder | |||||||
| Gross FIGHT income | $11,250/mo |
| vs 50% target ($27,598/mo) | -59% |
| vs normal income ($55,195/mo) | 20% covered |
| Net income (after hedge) | $11,250/mo |
| Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce) | -$48,975 |
| … as % of IC ($27,625) | 177.3% |
| … as % of ML ($277,625) | 17.6% |
| Recovery months (at normal income) | 0.9 mo |
| Surgical close (125 ct) | $-88,812 |
| Spot \ Time | ≥ 4d left | 3d left | ≤ 2d (expiry) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Below $29.70 | Do nothing. Theta wins. | Do nothing. | Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle. |
| Pressing the strike $30-30.11 | Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first. | ★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits. | Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike. |
| Through breakeven ≥ $30.11 | Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll. | Roll or close immediately; time value is gone. | Close today, or be assigned. |
| Scenario | Spot | CC leg net | Position total | vs today | vs do-nothing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at strike | $30.00 (1.9σ) | $750 | $-41,758 | +$46,492 | -$2,375 |
| +2.5% | $30.75 (2.2σ) | $-8,625 | $-43,146 | +$45,104 | -$11,750 |
| +5% | $31.50 (2.6σ) | $-18,000 | $-44,533 | +$43,717 | -$21,125 |
| SS (= V-bounce) | $39.71 (6.2σ) | $-120,625 | $-59,722 | +$28,528 | -$77,375 |
| Move | New strike ≈ | New expiry | Tenor | Est net | Total (125 ct) | POP / surv of new CC | If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roll out (same strike, buy time) | ~$30 | 31 Jul 2026 | 8d left | +$1.11/sh | +$13,879 cycle +$14,879 [+$9,483…+$14,482] · 95% credit | 68% surv 54% | -$32,955 NOT cap gain +$55,295 |
| Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%) | ~$33 | 14 Aug 2026 | 22d left | +$0.59/sh | +$7,352 cycle +$8,352 [+$820…+$7,882] · 77% credit | 76% surv 70% | -$4,390 NOT cap gain +$83,860 |
| Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free) | ~$31 | 31 Jul 2026 | 8d left | +$0.36/sh | +$4,478 cycle +$5,478 [-$1,562…+$4,471] · 66% credit | 75% surv 66% | -$23,238 NOT cap gain +$65,012 |
| Max even-money escape in the band | ~$35 | 14 Aug 2026 | 22d left | +$0.15/sh | +$1,891 cycle +$2,891 [-$5,816…+$2,025] · 43% credit | 80% surv 77% | +$11,449 SAFE cap gain +$99,699 |
| SS $40 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder | |||||||
| Gross FIGHT income | $15,000/mo |
| vs 50% target ($27,598/mo) | -46% |
| vs normal income ($55,195/mo) | 27% covered |
| Net income (after hedge) | $15,000/mo |
| Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce) | -$54,975 |
| … as % of IC ($27,625) | 199.0% |
| … as % of ML ($277,625) | 19.8% |
| Recovery months (at normal income) | 1.0 mo |
| Surgical close (125 ct) | $-89,187 |
| Spot \ Time | ≥ 4d left | 3d left | ≤ 2d (expiry) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Below $29.20 | Do nothing. Theta wins. | Do nothing. | Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle. |
| Pressing the strike $29-29.66 | Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first. | ★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits. | Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike. |
| Through breakeven ≥ $29.66 | Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll. | Roll or close immediately; time value is gone. | Close today, or be assigned. |
| Scenario | Spot | CC leg net | Position total | vs today | vs do-nothing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at strike | $29.50 (1.7σ) | $1,000 | $-46,833 | +$41,417 | -$2,125 |
| +2.5% | $30.24 (2.0σ) | $-8,219 | $-48,198 | +$40,052 | -$11,344 |
| +5% | $30.98 (2.3σ) | $-17,438 | $-49,562 | +$38,688 | -$20,563 |
| SS (= V-bounce) | $39.71 (6.2σ) | $-126,625 | $-65,722 | +$22,528 | -$83,375 |
| Move | New strike ≈ | New expiry | Tenor | Est net | Total (84 ct) | POP / surv of new CC | If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roll out (same strike, buy time) | ~$28 | 31 Jul 2026 | 8d left | +$1.03/sh | +$8,668 cycle +$10,516 [+$4,841…+$8,506] · 91% credit | 68% surv 54% | -$52,268 NOT cap gain +$35,982 |
| Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%) | ~$31 | 14 Aug 2026 | 22d left | +$0.48/sh | +$4,005 cycle +$5,853 [-$1,798…+$3,642] · 65% credit | 76% surv 71% | -$21,838 NOT cap gain +$66,412 |
| Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free) | ~$30 | 31 Jul 2026 | 8d left | +$0.28/sh | +$2,392 cycle +$4,240 [-$2,722…+$2,004] · 55% credit | 75% surv 67% | -$39,426 NOT cap gain +$48,824 |
| Max even-money escape in the band | ~$33 | 14 Aug 2026 | 22d left | +$0.06/sh | +$496 cycle +$2,344 [-$6,218…-$8] · 25% credit | 81% surv 78% | -$4,047 NOT cap gain +$84,203 |
| SS $40 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder | |||||||
| Gross FIGHT income | $27,720/mo |
| vs 50% target ($27,598/mo) | +0% |
| vs normal income ($55,195/mo) | 50% covered |
| Net income (after hedge) | $29,642/mo |
| Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce) | -$48,367 |
| … as % of IC ($27,625) | 175.1% |
| … as % of ML ($277,625) | 17.4% |
| Recovery months (at normal income) | 0.9 mo |
| Surgical close (84 ct) | $-60,060 |
| Spot \ Time | ≥ 4d left | 3d left | ≤ 2d (expiry) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Below $27.72 | Do nothing. Theta wins. | Do nothing. | Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle. |
| Pressing the strike $28-28.31 | Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first. | ★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits. | Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike. |
| Through breakeven ≥ $28.31 | Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll. | Roll or close immediately; time value is gone. | Close today, or be assigned. |
| Scenario | Spot | CC leg net | Position total | vs today | vs do-nothing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at strike | $28.00 (1.0σ) | $1,848 | $-60,935 | +$27,315 | -$252 |
| +2.5% | $28.70 (1.3σ) | $-4,032 | $-59,360 | +$28,890 | -$6,132 |
| +5% | $29.40 (1.6σ) | $-9,912 | $-57,785 | +$30,465 | -$12,012 |
| SS (= V-bounce) | $39.71 (6.2σ) | $-96,516 | $-49,799 | +$38,451 | -$67,452 |
| Move | New strike ≈ | New expiry | Tenor | Est net | Total (46 ct) | POP / surv of new CC | If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roll out (same strike, buy time) | ~$27 | 31 Jul 2026 | 8d left | +$0.98/sh | +$4,512 cycle +$6,352 [+$2,137…+$4,241] · 90% credit | 68% surv 54% | -$66,131 NOT cap gain +$22,119 |
| Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%) | ~$29 | 14 Aug 2026 | 22d left | +$0.70/sh | +$3,241 cycle +$5,081 [-$54…+$2,810] · 74% credit | 74% surv 67% | -$42,960 NOT cap gain +$45,290 |
| Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free) | ~$29 | 31 Jul 2026 | 8d left | +$0.24/sh | +$1,094 cycle +$2,934 [-$2,033…+$625] · 43% credit | 76% surv 67% | -$50,432 NOT cap gain +$37,818 |
| Max even-money escape in the band | ~$32 | 14 Aug 2026 | 22d left | +$0.00/sh | +$9 cycle +$1,849 [-$4,151…-$635] · 10% credit | 82% surv 79% | -$14,242 NOT cap gain +$74,008 |
| SS $40 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder | |||||||
| Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP) | ~$34 | 14 Aug 2026 | 22d left | -$0.35/sh | -$1,593 cycle +$247 [-$6,464…-$2,400] | 85% surv 83% | +$5,456 SAFE cap gain +$93,706 |
| budget: banked $1,840 debit $1,593 (87% used ≈ 0.3 wk of income) → whole cycle still +$247 cash · rolled 46 ct earn ≈ $4,108/mo while parked; 79 ct free to re-sell | |||||||
| Gross FIGHT income | $27,600/mo |
| vs 50% target ($27,598/mo) | +0% |
| vs normal income ($55,195/mo) | 50% covered |
| Net income (after hedge) | $31,303/mo |
| Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce) | -$30,259 |
| … as % of IC ($27,625) | 109.5% |
| … as % of ML ($277,625) | 10.9% |
| Recovery months (at normal income) | 0.5 mo |
| Surgical close (46 ct) | $-33,304 |
| Spot \ Time | ≥ 4d left | 3d left | ≤ 2d (expiry) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Below $26.73 | Do nothing. Theta wins. | Do nothing. | Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle. |
| Pressing the strike $27-27.58 | Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first. | ★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits. | Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike. |
| Through breakeven ≥ $27.58 | Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll. | Roll or close immediately; time value is gone. | Close today, or be assigned. |
| Scenario | Spot | CC leg net | Position total | vs today | vs do-nothing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at strike | $27.00 (≤1σ, normal week) | $1,840 | $-70,643 | +$17,607 | +$690 |
| +2.5% | $27.67 (≤1σ, normal week) | $-1,265 | $-66,559 | +$21,690 | -$2,415 |
| +5% | $28.35 (1.2σ) | $-4,370 | $-62,476 | +$25,774 | -$5,520 |
| SS (= V-bounce) | $39.71 (6.2σ) | $-56,626 | $-23,057 | +$65,193 | -$40,710 |
| Move | New strike ≈ | New expiry | Tenor | Est net | Total (34 ct) | POP / surv of new CC | If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roll out (same strike, buy time) | ~$26 | 31 Jul 2026 | 8d left | +$0.96/sh | +$3,250 cycle +$5,120 [+$1,325…+$3,017] · 89% credit | 68% surv 54% | -$72,389 NOT cap gain +$15,861 |
| Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%) | ~$29 | 14 Aug 2026 | 22d left | +$0.67/sh | +$2,264 cycle +$4,134 [-$419…+$1,896] · 70% credit | 74% surv 67% | -$48,932 NOT cap gain +$39,318 |
| Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free) | ~$28 | 31 Jul 2026 | 8d left | +$0.22/sh | +$731 cycle +$2,601 [-$1,760…+$352] · 38% credit | 76% surv 68% | -$55,790 NOT cap gain +$32,460 |
| Max even-money escape in the band | ~$31 | 14 Aug 2026 | 22d left | +$0.13/sh | +$433 cycle +$2,303 [-$2,780…-$53] · 23% credit | 80% surv 76% | -$29,464 NOT cap gain +$58,786 |
| SS $40 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder | |||||||
| Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP) | ~$34 | 7 Aug 2026 | 15d left | -$0.51/sh | -$1,749 cycle +$121 [-$5,686…-$2,415] | 88% surv 87% | +$304 SAFE cap gain +$88,554 |
| budget: banked $1,870 debit $1,749 (94% used ≈ 0.3 wk of income) → whole cycle still +$121 cash · rolled 34 ct earn ≈ $3,130/mo while parked; 91 ct free to re-sell | |||||||
| Gross FIGHT income | $28,050/mo |
| vs 50% target ($27,598/mo) | +2% |
| vs normal income ($55,195/mo) | 51% covered |
| Net income (after hedge) | $32,316/mo |
| Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce) | -$23,555 |
| … as % of IC ($27,625) | 85.3% |
| … as % of ML ($277,625) | 8.5% |
| Recovery months (at normal income) | 0.4 mo |
| Surgical close (34 ct) | $-24,684 |
| Spot \ Time | ≥ 4d left | 3d left | ≤ 2d (expiry) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Below $26.23 | Do nothing. Theta wins. | Do nothing. | Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle. |
| Pressing the strike $26-27.25 | Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first. | ★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits. | Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike. |
| Through breakeven ≥ $27.25 | Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll. | Roll or close immediately; time value is gone. | Close today, or be assigned. |
| Scenario | Spot | CC leg net | Position total | vs today | vs do-nothing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at strike | $26.50 (≤1σ, normal week) | $1,870 | $-75,638 | +$12,612 | +$1,020 |
| +2.5% | $27.16 (≤1σ, normal week) | $-382 | $-70,835 | +$17,415 | -$1,232 |
| +5% | $27.83 (≤1σ, normal week) | $-2,635 | $-66,032 | +$22,218 | -$3,485 |
| SS (= V-bounce) | $39.71 (6.2σ) | $-43,044 | $-13,627 | +$74,623 | -$31,280 |
| Move | New strike ≈ | New expiry | Tenor | Est net | Total (25 ct) | POP / surv of new CC | If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roll out (same strike, buy time) | ~$26 | 31 Jul 2026 | 8d left | +$0.93/sh | +$2,327 cycle +$4,177 [+$473…+$2,105] · 82% credit | 68% surv 54% | -$78,431 NOT cap gain +$9,819 |
| Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%) | ~$28 | 7 Aug 2026 | 15d left | +$0.72/sh | +$1,808 cycle +$3,658 [-$569…+$1,491] · 67% credit | 74% surv 65% | -$59,834 NOT cap gain +$28,416 |
| Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free) | ~$28 | 31 Jul 2026 | 8d left | +$0.19/sh | +$482 cycle +$2,332 [-$1,878…+$122] · 31% credit | 76% surv 68% | -$61,160 NOT cap gain +$27,090 |
| Max even-money escape in the band | ~$30 | 14 Aug 2026 | 22d left | +$0.10/sh | +$247 cycle +$2,097 [-$2,810…-$217] · 18% credit | 80% surv 76% | -$34,770 NOT cap gain +$53,480 |
| SS $40 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder | |||||||
| Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP) | ~$36 | 14 Aug 2026 | 22d left | -$0.63/sh | -$1,567 cycle +$283 [-$5,492…-$2,225] | 92% surv 91% | +$24,366 SAFE cap gain +$112,616 |
| budget: banked $1,850 debit $1,567 (85% used ≈ 0.2 wk of income) → whole cycle still +$283 cash · rolled 25 ct earn ≈ $1,097/mo while parked; 100 ct free to re-sell | |||||||
| Gross FIGHT income | $27,750/mo |
| vs 50% target ($27,598/mo) | +1% |
| vs normal income ($55,195/mo) | 50% covered |
| Net income (after hedge) | $32,438/mo |
| Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce) | -$18,095 |
| … as % of IC ($27,625) | 65.5% |
| … as % of ML ($277,625) | 6.5% |
| Recovery months (at normal income) | 0.3 mo |
| Surgical close (25 ct) | $-18,225 |
| Spot \ Time | ≥ 4d left | 3d left | ≤ 2d (expiry) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Below $25.74 | Do nothing. Theta wins. | Do nothing. | Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle. |
| Pressing the strike $26-26.97 | Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first. | ★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits. | Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike. |
| Through breakeven ≥ $26.97 | Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll. | Roll or close immediately; time value is gone. | Close today, or be assigned. |
| Scenario | Spot | CC leg net | Position total | vs today | vs do-nothing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at strike | $26.00 (≤1σ, normal week) | $1,850 | $-80,758 | +$7,492 | +$1,225 |
| +2.5% | $26.65 (≤1σ, normal week) | $225 | $-75,461 | +$12,789 | -$400 |
| +5% | $27.30 (≤1σ, normal week) | $-1,400 | $-70,163 | +$18,087 | -$2,025 |
| SS (= V-bounce) | $39.71 (6.2σ) | $-32,425 | $-6,122 | +$82,128 | -$23,775 |
| Move | New strike ≈ | New expiry | Tenor | Est net | Total (19 ct) | POP / surv of new CC | If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roll out (same strike, buy time) | ~$26 | 31 Jul 2026 | 8d left | +$0.91/sh | +$1,722 cycle +$3,603 | 68% surv 54% | -$81,997 NOT cap gain +$6,253 |
| Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free) | ~$28 | 31 Jul 2026 | 8d left | +$0.11/sh | +$200 cycle +$2,081 | 77% surv 70% | -$64,402 NOT cap gain +$23,848 |
| Max even-money escape in the band | ~$30 | 14 Aug 2026 | 22d left | +$0.03/sh | +$62 cycle +$1,943 | 81% surv 77% | -$37,915 NOT cap gain +$50,335 |
| SS $40 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder | |||||||
| Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP) | ~$36 | 14 Aug 2026 | 22d left | -$0.64/sh | -$1,217 cycle +$664 | 92% surv 92% | +$24,705 SAFE cap gain +$112,955 |
| budget: banked $1,881 debit $1,217 (65% used ≈ 0.2 wk of income) → whole cycle still +$664 cash · rolled 19 ct earn ≈ $731/mo while parked; 106 ct free to re-sell | |||||||
| Gross FIGHT income | $28,215/mo |
| vs 50% target ($27,598/mo) | +2% |
| vs normal income ($55,195/mo) | 51% covered |
| Net income (after hedge) | $33,184/mo |
| Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce) | -$14,227 |
| … as % of IC ($27,625) | 51.5% |
| … as % of ML ($277,625) | 5.1% |
| Recovery months (at normal income) | 0.3 mo |
| Surgical close (19 ct) | $-13,870 |
| Spot \ Time | ≥ 4d left | 3d left | ≤ 2d (expiry) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Below $25.25 | Do nothing. Theta wins. | Do nothing. | Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle. |
| Pressing the strike $25-26.73 | Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first. | ★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits. | Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike. |
| Through breakeven ≥ $26.73 | Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll. | Roll or close immediately; time value is gone. | Close today, or be assigned. |
| Scenario | Spot | CC leg net | Position total | vs today | vs do-nothing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at strike | $25.50 (≤1σ, normal week) | $1,881 | $-83,719 | +$4,531 | +$1,406 |
| +2.5% | $26.14 (≤1σ, normal week) | $670 | $-80,324 | +$7,926 | +$195 |
| +5% | $26.78 (≤1σ, normal week) | $-542 | $-74,746 | +$13,504 | -$1,016 |
| SS (= V-bounce) | $39.71 (6.2σ) | $-25,118 | $-891 | +$87,359 | -$18,544 |
The one rule, applied to live marks: roll when remaining time value ≤ max($0.04, 25% of collected) or spot at/past breakeven (strike + premium). Statuses refresh on every run; challenges happen during US RTH (your night), so a TRIPPED row here means act at the open or set the order now.
| Fortress | Acct | Call | Spot | Breakeven | Mark | Time value | Status | Action | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| META | Main:1299 | 3x $630C 31 Jul 2026 (9d) | $649.45 | $653.94 | $41.80 | $22.14 | TRIPPED ▸ | 🔵 ROLL UP-AND-OUT · the roll pays you why ▸ | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
🔵 ROLL UP-AND-OUT · the roll pays you $19.66/sh is stuck intrinsic (never decays, tracks META 1:1); only $22.14 is live theta (~$6,642). Waiting harvests the extrinsic but not the cap. This fortress is back above its breakeven, so the cap sits at whole, not at a loss. Rolling $630→$650 banks +$0.79/sh (+$236) and sells fatter forward theta, you relocate the decay to a higher cap, not forfeit it. ▸ Gate on price: hold while META is not making new highs; fire the roll before it breaks $650, above which this credit door closes. 🚪 ESCAPE PATHS (live chain), buy back the 3x $630C at ~$40.75 ($12,225), then: fills assumed a quarter-spread inside bid/ask CREDIT ROLLS (shortest DTE first)
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| GLD | Main:1299 | 10x $377C 24 Jul 2026 (2d) | $374.71 | $378.34 | $1.78 | $1.78 | WATCH ▸ | 🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸ | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 2.25 OTM. The $1.78 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$1,292 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Spike-vol name into a ~2-session close: arm a conditional buyback near $375.12 to cover a weekend gap, else penny-close and re-sell. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| NVDA | Neville:0865 | 5x $212.5C 24 Jul 2026 (2d) | $206.84 | $213.74 | $1.02 | $1.02 | WATCH ▸ | 🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸ | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 5.76 OTM. The $1.02 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$596 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $213.74 (breakeven). | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| SPY | Neville:0865 | 12x $758C 27 Jul 2026 (5d) | $748.24 | $758.65 | $0.59 | $0.59 | WATCH ▸ | 🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸ | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 9.68 OTM. The $0.59 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$719 kept if it expires quiet). You CAN raise the cap: rolling up-and-out to $792 (40d) for even money lifts it $34, but that locks the cap 40 days vs holding, which keeps the near-certain premium and stays free to re-strike next cycle. ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $758.65 (breakeven). 🚪 ESCAPE PATHS (live chain), buy back the 12x $758C at ~$0.83 ($993), then: fills assumed a quarter-spread inside bid/ask CREDIT ROLLS (shortest DTE first)
BUY TIME (credit + longer DTE, higher cap)
SAFETY (small debit, better sigma)
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| MDB | Neville:0865 | 1x $350C 24 Jul 2026 (2d) | $307.08 | $355.09 | $0.65 | $0.65 | HARVEST ▸ | 🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸ | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 42.92 OTM. The $0.65 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$504 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $355.09 (breakeven). | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| DELL | RetireInc:7291 | 3x $420C 24 Jul 2026 (2d) | $402.67 | $425.13 | $6.90 | $6.90 | OK ▸ | 🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸ | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 17.33 OTM. The $6.90 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$1,525 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $425.13 (breakeven). | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| QCOM | RetireInc:7291 | 5x $180C 24 Jul 2026 (2d) | $172.18 | $181.61 | $1.91 | $1.91 | OK ▸ | 🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸ | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 7.82 OTM. The $1.91 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$778 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $181.61 (breakeven). | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| IGV | Main:1299 | 12x $96.5C 24 Jul 2026 (2d) | $91.91 | $97.00 | $0.15 | $0.15 | OK ▸ | 🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸ | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 4.59 OTM. The $0.15 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$543 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $97.00 (breakeven). | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| NEM | Main:1299 | 5x $97C 24 Jul 2026 (2d) | $91.84 | $97.96 | $0.89 | $0.89 | OK ▸ | 🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸ | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 5.16 OTM. The $0.89 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$456 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Spike-vol name into a ~2-session close: arm a conditional buyback near $96.52 to cover a weekend gap, else penny-close and re-sell. | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| CRWV | Neville:0865 | 5x $84C 24 Jul 2026 (2d) | $78.20 | $84.96 | $1.27 | $1.27 | OK ▸ | 🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸ | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 5.80 OTM. The $1.27 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$453 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $84.96 (breakeven). | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MU-LC970 | Neville:0865 | 2x $1040C 24 Jul 2026 (2d) | $963.52 | $1,047.99 | $13.38 | $13.38 | OK ▸ | 🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸ | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 76.48 OTM. The $13.38 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$1,588 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $1,047.99 (breakeven). | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| RKLB | RetireInc:7291 | 6x $75C 24 Jul 2026 (2d) | $68.16 | $76.39 | $0.52 | $0.52 | OK ▸ | 🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸ | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 6.84 OTM. The $0.52 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$801 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $76.39 (breakeven). | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| INTC | Neville:0865 | 5x $116C 24 Jul 2026 (2d) | $104.74 | $117.62 | $2.80 | $2.80 | OK ▸ | 🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸ | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 11.26 OTM. The $2.80 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$784 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $117.62 (breakeven). | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| ENPH | RetireInc:7291 | 10x $45C 24 Jul 2026 (2d) | $39.81 | $45.56 | $0.18 | $0.18 | OK ▸ | 🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸ | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 5.19 OTM. The $0.18 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$506 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $45.56 (breakeven). | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| GOOG-LC300 | Neville:0865 | 15x $370C 31 Jul 2026 (9d) | $348.84 | $385.01 | $4.85 | $4.85 | OK ▸ | 🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸ | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 21.16 OTM. The $4.85 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$22,444 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $385.01 (breakeven). | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| APP | RetireInc:7291 | 1x $465C 31 Jul 2026 (9d) | $427.83 | $475.80 | $9.10 | $9.10 | OK ▸ | 🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸ | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 37.17 OTM. The $9.10 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$1,075 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $475.80 (breakeven). | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| COPX | Joint:1782 | 20x $85C 31 Jul 2026 (9d) | $78.14 | $85.40 | $0.55 | $0.55 | OK ▸ | 🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸ | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 6.86 OTM. The $0.55 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$705 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $85.40 (breakeven). | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MU-LC880 | Main:1299 | 5x $1050C 31 Jul 2026 (9d) | $963.52 | $1,069.99 | $42.40 | $42.40 | OK ▸ | 🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸ | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 86.48 OTM. The $42.40 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$9,972 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $1,069.99 (breakeven). | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| UAMY | RetireInc:7291 | 25x $6.5C 31 Jul 2026 (9d) | $5.75 | $6.67 | $0.17 | $0.17 | OK ▸ | 🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸ | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 0.75 OTM. The $0.17 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$309 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $6.67 (breakeven). | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| AMZN | Joint:1782 | 10x $280C 31 Jul 2026 (9d) | $247.69 | $283.10 | $1.35 | $1.35 | OK ▸ | 🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸ | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 32.31 OTM. The $1.35 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$3,048 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $283.10 (breakeven). | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| HIMS | Main:1299 | 15x $39.5C 31 Jul 2026 (9d) | $32.16 | $40.17 | $0.52 | $0.52 | OK ▸ | 🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸ | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 7.34 OTM. The $0.52 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$923 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $40.17 (breakeven). | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MSTR-LC180 | Joint:1782 | 10x $125C 31 Jul 2026 (9d) | $100.70 | $125.99 | $0.64 | $0.64 | OK ▸ | 🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸ | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 24.30 OTM. The $0.64 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$942 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $125.99 (breakeven). | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| IREN-LC25-1299 | Main:1299 | 20x $55C 31 Jul 2026 (9d) | $40.59 | $55.50 | $0.39 | $0.39 | OK ▸ | 🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸ | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 14.41 OTM. The $0.39 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$905 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $55.50 (breakeven). | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| IREN-LC25-1782 | Joint:1782 | 20x $55C 31 Jul 2026 (9d) | $40.59 | $55.50 | $0.39 | $0.39 | OK ▸ | 🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸ | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 14.41 OTM. The $0.39 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$905 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $55.50 (breakeven). | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| BMNR-LC10 | RetireInc:7291 | 50x $20.5C 7 Aug 2026 (16d) | $16.89 | $20.75 | $0.24 | $0.24 | OK ▸ | 🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸ | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 3.61 OTM. The $0.24 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$1,013 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $20.75 (breakeven). | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| MSTR-LC125 | RetireInc:7291 | 4x $130C 7 Aug 2026 (16d) | $100.70 | $131.32 | $0.94 | $0.94 | OK ▸ | 🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸ | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 29.30 OTM. The $0.94 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$509 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $131.32 (breakeven). | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| SPCX | Neville:0865 | 5x $165C 7 Aug 2026 (16d) | $122.75 | $167.67 | $1.97 | $1.97 | OK ▸ | 🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸ | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 42.25 OTM. The $1.97 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$1,308 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $167.67 (breakeven). | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| IREN-LC45 | Neville:0865 | 20x $55C 7 Aug 2026 (16d) | $40.59 | $55.87 | $0.98 | $0.98 | OK ▸ | 🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸ | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 14.41 OTM. The $0.98 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$1,638 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $55.87 (breakeven). | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| IREN-LC50 | RetireInc:7291 | 20x $55C 7 Aug 2026 (16d) | $40.59 | $55.85 | $0.98 | $0.98 | OK ▸ | 🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸ | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 14.41 OTM. The $0.98 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$1,610 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $55.85 (breakeven). | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| COIN-LC500 | Main:1299 | 25x $210C 14 Aug 2026 (23d) | $176.49 | $216.23 | $5.12 | $5.12 | OK ▸ | 🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸ | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 33.51 OTM. The $5.12 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$15,443 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $216.23 (breakeven). | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| COIN-LC145 | RetireInc:7291 | 3x $215C 14 Aug 2026 (23d) | $176.49 | $220.23 | $4.35 | $4.35 | OK ▸ | 🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸ | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 38.51 OTM. The $4.35 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$1,553 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $220.23 (breakeven). | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| COIN-LC165 | Main:1299 | 8x $200C 21 Aug 2026 (30d) | $176.49 | $210.42 | $8.75 | $8.75 | OK ▸ | 🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸ | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 23.51 OTM. The $8.75 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$8,298 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $210.42 (breakeven). | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Fortress | Acct | Ct | Price | CC-SS | ↑ whole | Sell strike | Touch odds | Per cycle | Income @ strike | Normal income | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GOOG-LC310 ↗⚡ER TMRW | Joint:1782 | 5 | $348.83 | $338.09 | 0.0% | $367.50 24 Jul 2026 (2d) · 91% surv | 18% | $1,950 | $29,250/mo (237%) | $12,328/mo | sell 5x $367.50 CC |
| GOOG-LC340 ↗⚡ER TMRW | Neville:0865 | 5 | $348.83 | $376.39 | 7.9% | $377.50 24 Jul 2026 (2d) · 91% surv | 19% | $1,000 | $15,000/mo (122%) | $12,328/mo | sell 5x $377.50 CC |
| CLSK ↗⚡ER 16d | RetireInc:7291 | 25 | $15.23 | $16.80 | 10.3% | $17 24 Jul 2026 (2d) · 91% surv | 19% | $300 | $4,500/mo (77%) | $5,812/mo | sell 25x $17 CC |
| RIOT ↗BBC⚡ER 9d | Joint:1782 | 50 | $21.10 | $20.84 | 0.0% | $23 24 Jul 2026 (2d) · 85% surv | 30% | $1,200 | $18,000/mo (103%) | $17,437/mo | sell 50x $23 CC |
| MARA-LC40 ↗⚡ER 7d | Main:1299 | 200 | $12.15 | $14.70 | 20.9% | $15 14 Aug 2026 (23d) · 83% surv | 36% | $7,400 | $9,652/mo (27%) | $35,438/mo | sell 200x $15 CC |
| NOW ↗⚡ER TMRW | Main:1299 | 10 | $102.05 | $112.59 | 10.3% | $113 24 Jul 2026 (2d) · 81% surv | 40% | $2,580 | $38,700/mo (264%) | $14,634/mo | sell 10x $113 CC |
| Fortress | Acct | Ct | Price | BE SS | Why excluded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BMNR-LC23-1299 | Main:1299 | 75 | $16.89 | $39.13 | excluded by CSV (Skip) · 56.8% below BE SS · also tagged: Half Max |
| BMNR-LC23-1782 | Joint:1782 | 150 | $16.89 | $30.29 | excluded by CSV (Skip) · 44.2% below BE SS · also tagged: Half Max |
| BMNR-LC25 | Main:1299 | 50 | $16.89 | $44.46 | excluded by CSV (Skip) · 62.0% below BE SS · also tagged: Half Max |
| ETHA | Main:1299 | 50 | $14.52 | $17.33 | excluded by CSV (Skip) · 16.2% below BE SS |
| IBIT | Joint:1782 | 50 | $37.59 | $70.58 | excluded by CSV (Skip) · 46.7% below BE SS [LEAPS_ONLY, NO_HEDGE] |
| MARA-LC20-1299 | Main:1299 | 200 | $12.12 | $22.69 | excluded by CSV (Skip) · 46.6% below BE SS · also tagged: Half Max |
| MARA-LC20-1782 | Joint:1782 | 50 | $12.12 | $24.33 | excluded by CSV (Skip) · 50.2% below BE SS · also tagged: Half Max |
| MARA-LC25 | Neville:0865 | 250 | $12.12 | $26.40 | excluded by CSV (Skip) · 54.1% below BE SS |
| Fortress | Acct | Ct | BE SS | Active short calls |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMZN | Joint:1782 | 10 | $256.25 | 10x $280C 31 Jul 2026 (9d) |
| APP | RetireInc:7291 | 1 | $588.00 | 1x $465C 31 Jul 2026 (9d) |
| BMNR-LC10 | RetireInc:7291 | 50 | $17.13 | 50x $20C 7 Aug 2026 (16d) |
| COIN-LC145 | RetireInc:7291 | 3 | $182.40 | 3x $215C 14 Aug 2026 (23d) |
| COIN-LC165 | Main:1299 | 8 | $210.90 | 8x $200C 21 Aug 2026 (30d) |
| COIN-LC500 | Main:1299 | 25 | $563.00 | 25x $210C 14 Aug 2026 (23d) |
| COPX | Joint:1782 | 20 | $93.40 | 20x $85C 31 Jul 2026 (9d) |
| CRWV | Neville:0865 | 5 | $125.45 | 5x $84C 24 Jul 2026 (2d) |
| DELL | RetireInc:7291 | 3 | $398.00 | 3x $420C 24 Jul 2026 (2d) |
| ENPH | RetireInc:7291 | 10 | $56.15 | 10x $45C 24 Jul 2026 (2d) |
| GLD | Main:1299 | 10 | $456.00 | 10x $377C 24 Jul 2026 (2d) |
| GOOG-LC300 | Neville:0865 | 15 | $373.00 | 15x $370C 31 Jul 2026 (9d) |
| HIMS | Main:1299 | 15 | $17.47 | 15x $40C 31 Jul 2026 (9d) |
| IGV | Main:1299 | 12 | $96.50 | 12x $96C 24 Jul 2026 (2d) [LEAPS_ONLY, NO_HEDGE] |
| INTC | Neville:0865 | 5 | $114.00 | 5x $116C 24 Jul 2026 (2d) |
| IREN-LC25-1299 | Main:1299 | 20 | $44.00 | 20x $55C 31 Jul 2026 (9d) |
| IREN-LC25-1782 | Joint:1782 | 20 | $44.00 | 20x $55C 31 Jul 2026 (9d) |
| IREN-LC45 | Neville:0865 | 20 | $56.50 | 20x $55C 7 Aug 2026 (16d) |
| IREN-LC50 | RetireInc:7291 | 20 | $63.43 | 20x $55C 7 Aug 2026 (16d) |
| MDB | Neville:0865 | 1 | $362.90 | 1x $350C 24 Jul 2026 (2d) |
| META | Main:1299 | 3 | $601.50 | 3x $630C 31 Jul 2026 (9d) |
| MSTR-LC125 | RetireInc:7291 | 4 | $161.00 | 4x $130C 7 Aug 2026 (16d) |
| MSTR-LC180 | Joint:1782 | 10 | $233.00 | 10x $125C 31 Jul 2026 (9d) [LEAPS_ONLY, NO_HEDGE] |
| MU-LC880 | Main:1299 | 5 | $1,028.60 | 5x $1050C 31 Jul 2026 (9d) |
| MU-LC970 | Neville:0865 | 2 | $1,220.00 | 2x $1040C 24 Jul 2026 (2d) |
| NEM | Main:1299 | 5 | $114.54 | 5x $97C 24 Jul 2026 (2d) |
| NVDA | Neville:0865 | 5 | $199.60 | 5x $212C 24 Jul 2026 (2d) |
| QCOM | RetireInc:7291 | 5 | $224.00 | 5x $180C 24 Jul 2026 (2d) |
| RKLB | RetireInc:7291 | 6 | $141.55 | 6x $75C 24 Jul 2026 (2d) |
| SPCX | Neville:0865 | 5 | $186.00 | 5x $165C 7 Aug 2026 (16d) |
| SPY | Neville:0865 | 12 | $764.00 | 12x $758C 27 Jul 2026 (5d) [LEAPS_ONLY, NO_HEDGE] |
| UAMY | RetireInc:7291 | 25 | $12.45 | 25x $6C 31 Jul 2026 (9d) |
Manage these with the roll table (fortress_fight --tickers T) or roll_calls.
| Predicted survival | N | Avg predicted | Realized OTM rate | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-60% | 71 | 55% | 85% | +29pp |
| 60-70% | 115 | 64% | 88% | +24pp |
| 70-80% | 162 | 77% | 98% | +22pp |
| 80-90% | 199 | 84% | 99% | +15pp |
| 90-100% | 340 | 94% | 100% | +6pp |
Touch odds: predicted 38% avg vs realized 22% touch rate over 887 resolved (daily highs, exact intraday touch).
🚪 Roll actuals vs playbook: 75 real buyback(s) recorded · 18 roll(s), net +$0.84/sh avg.
Green gap: within 7pp. A persistent negative gap means survival is overstated (model too confident); positive means too conservative. N is small early; judge after ~30 resolved.