FORTRESS FIGHT: PORTFOLIO

47 fortress slices across 4 account(s) | 1 deep drawdown (FIGHT) | 6 underwater (not deep DD) | 8 skipped (CSV) | 0 uncapped above water | 32 capped (out of scope)

FIGHT income if all primaries filled: $29,205/mo (51% of normal target)

⚔ FIGHT: underwater & uncapped every ladder rung side by side; 🎯 = the recommended pick | click a rung for its roll menu + decision panel, ESC closes | fortress link = full dashboard

TUNE PICKSTouch ≤anySurv ≥anyCyc ≥floorsizing rulewhat-if lens only: the 🎯 picks, ladder, totals and panels never move. Tuned = the SAFEST strike meeting your gates (the engine's own objective at your floor), sized to the cycle target. The S/T/C presets under each Tuned cell override these sliders for that row only; every tuned pick opens its own decision panel.

POSITION				INCOME LADDER · SAFEST ⟶ RICHEST				TUNED	RECOVERY
Fortress	Ct	Price	CC-SS	🛡 Safe yield	33% normal	50% normal	100% normal	Tuned	Banked	Cap @ CC-SS	↑ whole
GLXY ↗⚡ER 6d Main:1299 · This Fri	125	$25.12	$33.61	125 × $28.50 $1,625 cyc · $24,375/mo 94% surv · T:11%	98 × $28.50 $1,274 cyc · $19,110/mo 94% surv · T:11%	🎯 59 × $27.50 $1,947 cyc · $29,205/mo 87% surv · T:14%	117 × $27.50 $3,861 cyc · $57,915/mo 87% surv · T:26%	— S≥708090T≤253040C≥2505001k×	$879	-$34,087 (123.4% IC)	33.8%
TOTAL (1)	125	following every 🎯 $1,947 cyc · $29,205/mo		$1,625 cyc · $24,375/mo	$1,274 cyc · $19,110/mo	$1,947 cyc · $29,205/mo	$3,861 cyc · $57,915/mo		$879	-$34,087

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (125 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$28	31 Jul 2026	8d left	+$1.19/sh	+$14,912 cycle +$16,537 [+$10,953…+$15,916] · 96% credit	71% surv 53%	-$38,426 NOT cap gain +$52,449
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)	~$30	31 Jul 2026	8d left	+$0.38/sh	+$4,699 cycle +$6,324 [-$1,602…+$4,875] · 68% credit	77% surv 68%	-$28,664 NOT cap gain +$62,211
Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%)	~$32	14 Aug 2026	22d left	+$0.44/sh	+$5,451 cycle +$7,076 [-$2,163…+$6,059] · 65% credit	78% surv 73%	-$6,662 NOT cap gain +$84,213
Max even-money escape in the band	~$34	14 Aug 2026	22d left	+$0.09/sh	+$1,135 cycle +$2,760 [-$7,293…+$1,479] · 41% credit	83% surv 79%	+$10,272 SAFE cap gain +$101,147
SS $40 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder

Spot \ Time	≥ 4d left	3d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $28.21	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $28-28.74	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $28.74	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$28.50 (1.6σ)	$1,625	$-53,338	+$37,537	-$1,500
+2.5%	$29.21 (2.0σ)	$-7,281	$-54,673	+$36,202	-$10,406
+5%	$29.93 (2.3σ)	$-16,188	$-56,009	+$34,866	-$19,313
SS (= V-bounce)	$39.71 (7.1σ)	$-138,500	$-74,356	+$16,519	-$82,750

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (98 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$28	31 Jul 2026	8d left	+$1.19/sh	+$11,691 cycle +$12,965 [+$8,670…+$12,635] · 97% credit	71% surv 53%	-$41,323 NOT cap gain +$49,552
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)	~$30	31 Jul 2026	8d left	+$0.38/sh	+$3,684 cycle +$4,958 [-$883…+$4,048] · 73% credit	77% surv 68%	-$29,355 NOT cap gain +$61,520
Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%)	~$32	14 Aug 2026	22d left	+$0.44/sh	+$4,273 cycle +$5,547 [-$1,566…+$5,043] · 72% credit	78% surv 73%	-$7,515 NOT cap gain +$83,360
Max even-money escape in the band	~$34	14 Aug 2026	22d left	+$0.09/sh	+$890 cycle +$2,164 [-$5,581…+$1,477] · 37% credit	83% surv 79%	+$10,351 SAFE cap gain +$101,226
SS $40 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder

Spot \ Time	≥ 4d left	3d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $28.21	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $28-28.74	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $28.74	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$28.50 (1.6σ)	$1,274	$-53,014	+$37,861	-$1,176
+2.5%	$29.21 (2.0σ)	$-5,708	$-52,426	+$38,449	-$8,158
+5%	$29.93 (2.3σ)	$-12,691	$-51,838	+$39,037	-$15,141
SS (= V-bounce)	$39.71 (7.1σ)	$-108,584	$-56,482	+$34,393	-$64,876

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (59 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$28	31 Jul 2026	8d left	+$1.13/sh	+$6,676 cycle +$8,623 [+$4,568…+$6,709] · 95% credit	71% surv 53%	-$55,314 NOT cap gain +$35,561
Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%)	~$30	14 Aug 2026	22d left	+$0.66/sh	+$3,895 cycle +$5,842 [+$163…+$3,708] · 76% credit	76% surv 69%	-$27,496 NOT cap gain +$63,379
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)	~$29	31 Jul 2026	8d left	+$0.32/sh	+$1,863 cycle +$3,810 [-$1,346…+$1,655] · 60% credit	78% surv 68%	-$40,153 NOT cap gain +$50,722
Max even-money escape in the band	~$33	14 Aug 2026	22d left	+$0.02/sh	+$124 cycle +$2,071 [-$4,287…-$153] · 21% credit	83% surv 80%	+$609 SAFE cap gain +$91,484
SS $40 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)	~$33	7 Aug 2026	15d left	-$0.31/sh	-$1,806 cycle +$141 [-$6,532…-$2,216]	85% surv 83%	-$1,322 NOT cap gain +$89,553
budget: banked $1,947 debit $1,806 (93% used ≈ 0.3 wk of income) → whole cycle still +$141 cash · rolled 59 ct earn ≈ $9,711/mo while parked; 66 ct free to re-sell

Spot \ Time	≥ 4d left	3d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $27.23	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $27-27.94	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $27.94	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$27.50 (1.2σ)	$1,947	$-61,990	+$28,884	+$472
+2.5%	$28.19 (1.5σ)	$-2,109	$-58,742	+$32,133	-$3,584
+5%	$28.88 (1.8σ)	$-6,166	$-55,494	+$35,381	-$7,640
SS (= V-bounce)	$39.71 (7.1σ)	$-70,092	$-35,384	+$55,491	-$43,778

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (117 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$28	31 Jul 2026	8d left	+$1.13/sh	+$13,240 cycle +$17,101 [+$8,778…+$13,191] · 94% credit	71% surv 53%	-$48,287 NOT cap gain +$42,588
Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%)	~$30	14 Aug 2026	22d left	+$0.66/sh	+$7,723 cycle +$11,584 [-$96…+$7,435] · 74% credit	76% surv 69%	-$23,203 NOT cap gain +$67,672
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)	~$29	31 Jul 2026	8d left	+$0.32/sh	+$3,694 cycle +$7,555 [-$2,936…+$3,302] · 61% credit	78% surv 68%	-$37,858 NOT cap gain +$53,017
Max even-money escape in the band	~$33	14 Aug 2026	22d left	+$0.02/sh	+$246 cycle +$4,107 [-$9,017…-$258] · 20% credit	83% surv 80%	+$1,195 SAFE cap gain +$92,070
SS $40 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)	~$33	7 Aug 2026	15d left	-$0.31/sh	-$3,581 cycle +$280 [-$13,429…-$4,285]	85% surv 83%	-$2,633 NOT cap gain +$88,242
budget: banked $3,861 debit $3,581 (93% used ≈ 0.3 wk of income) → whole cycle still +$280 cash · rolled 117 ct earn ≈ $19,258/mo while parked; 8 ct free to re-sell

Spot \ Time	≥ 4d left	3d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $27.23	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $27-27.94	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $27.94	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$27.50 (1.2σ)	$3,861	$-61,526	+$29,348	+$936
+2.5%	$28.19 (1.5σ)	$-4,183	$-62,266	+$28,609	-$7,108
+5%	$28.88 (1.8σ)	$-12,226	$-63,005	+$27,870	-$15,152
SS (= V-bounce)	$39.71 (7.1σ)	$-138,996	$-78,420	+$12,455	-$86,814

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (125 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$30	31 Jul 2026	8d left	+$1.29/sh	+$16,096 cycle +$16,846	71% surv 54%	-$22,179 NOT cap gain +$68,696
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)	~$32	31 Jul 2026	8d left	+$0.47/sh	+$5,879 cycle +$6,629	77% surv 67%	-$12,421 NOT cap gain +$78,454
Max even-money escape in the band	~$36	14 Aug 2026	22d left	+$0.20/sh	+$2,548 cycle +$3,298	82% surv 78%	+$26,748 SAFE cap gain +$117,623
SS $40 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder

Spot \ Time	≥ 4d left	3d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $29.70	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $30-30.09	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $30.09	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$30.00 (2.4σ)	$750	$-38,275	+$52,600	-$2,375
+2.5%	$30.75 (2.7σ)	$-8,625	$-39,681	+$51,194	-$11,750
+5%	$31.50 (3.1σ)	$-18,000	$-41,088	+$49,787	-$21,125
SS (= V-bounce)	$39.71 (7.1σ)	$-120,625	$-56,481	+$34,394	-$64,875

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (125 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$30	31 Jul 2026	8d left	+$1.26/sh	+$15,697 cycle +$16,447 [+$12,681…+$17,490] · 93% credit	71% surv 54%	-$27,891 NOT cap gain +$62,984
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)	~$31	31 Jul 2026	8d left	+$0.44/sh	+$5,479 cycle +$6,229 [+$404…+$6,768] · 80% credit	77% surv 67%	-$18,134 NOT cap gain +$72,741
Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%)	~$33	14 Aug 2026	22d left	+$0.52/sh	+$6,448 cycle +$7,198 [+$354…+$8,522] · 78% credit	78% surv 72%	+$4,085 SAFE cap gain +$94,960
Max even-money escape in the band	~$35	14 Aug 2026	22d left	+$0.17/sh	+$2,064 cycle +$2,814 [-$4,742…+$3,985] · 59% credit	82% surv 78%	+$20,951 SAFE cap gain +$111,826
SS $40 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder

Spot \ Time	≥ 4d left	3d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $29.20	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $29-29.66	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $29.66	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$29.50 (2.1σ)	$750	$-43,588	+$47,287	-$2,375
+2.5%	$30.24 (2.5σ)	$-8,469	$-44,970	+$45,905	-$11,594
+5%	$30.98 (2.9σ)	$-17,688	$-46,353	+$44,522	-$20,813
SS (= V-bounce)	$39.71 (7.1σ)	$-126,875	$-62,731	+$28,144	-$71,125

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (125 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$28	31 Jul 2026	8d left	+$1.16/sh	+$14,526 cycle +$15,151 [+$10,055…+$15,281] · 96% credit	71% surv 53%	-$45,124 NOT cap gain +$45,751
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)	~$30	31 Jul 2026	8d left	+$0.35/sh	+$4,319 cycle +$4,944 [-$2,561…+$4,251] · 64% credit	77% surv 68%	-$35,356 NOT cap gain +$55,519
Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%)	~$32	14 Aug 2026	22d left	+$0.40/sh	+$4,967 cycle +$5,592 [-$3,498…+$5,133] · 62% credit	78% surv 73%	-$13,458 NOT cap gain +$77,417
Max even-money escape in the band	~$34	14 Aug 2026	22d left	+$0.06/sh	+$692 cycle +$1,317 [-$8,612…+$602] · 34% credit	83% surv 80%	+$3,517 SAFE cap gain +$94,392
SS $40 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder

Spot \ Time	≥ 4d left	3d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $27.72	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $28-28.29	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $28.29	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$28.00 (1.4σ)	$625	$-59,650	+$31,225	-$2,500
+2.5%	$28.70 (1.7σ)	$-8,125	$-60,962	+$29,912	-$11,250
+5%	$29.40 (2.1σ)	$-16,875	$-62,275	+$28,600	-$20,000
SS (= V-bounce)	$39.71 (7.1σ)	$-145,750	$-81,606	+$9,269	-$90,000

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (55 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$27	31 Jul 2026	8d left	+$1.10/sh	+$6,058 cycle +$7,983 [+$3,498…+$5,992] · 94% credit	71% surv 53%	-$61,167 NOT cap gain +$29,708
Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%)	~$30	14 Aug 2026	22d left	+$0.62/sh	+$3,400 cycle +$5,325 [-$865…+$3,132] · 70% credit	76% surv 70%	-$33,225 NOT cap gain +$57,650
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)	~$29	31 Jul 2026	8d left	+$0.29/sh	+$1,576 cycle +$3,501 [-$2,227…+$1,281] · 52% credit	78% surv 69%	-$45,674 NOT cap gain +$45,201
Max even-money escape in the band	~$31	7 Aug 2026	15d left	+$0.01/sh	+$70 cycle +$1,995 [-$4,862…-$352] · 16% credit	80% surv 76%	-$25,930 NOT cap gain +$64,945
SS $40 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)	~$33	7 Aug 2026	15d left	-$0.33/sh	-$1,796 cycle +$129 [-$7,292…-$2,297]	86% surv 83%	-$6,546 NOT cap gain +$84,329
budget: banked $1,925 debit $1,796 (93% used ≈ 0.3 wk of income) → whole cycle still +$129 cash · rolled 55 ct earn ≈ $8,497/mo while parked; 70 ct free to re-sell

Spot \ Time	≥ 4d left	3d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $26.73	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $27-27.52	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $27.52	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$27.00 (≤1σ, normal week)	$1,925	$-67,225	+$23,650	+$550
+2.5%	$27.67 (1.2σ)	$-1,787	$-63,766	+$27,109	-$3,162
+5%	$28.35 (1.6σ)	$-5,500	$-60,306	+$30,569	-$6,875
SS (= V-bounce)	$39.71 (7.1σ)	$-67,980	$-35,056	+$55,819	-$43,450

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (42 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$26	31 Jul 2026	8d left	+$1.07/sh	+$4,501 cycle +$6,433 [+$2,372…+$4,392] · 93% credit	71% surv 53%	-$67,705 NOT cap gain +$23,170
Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%)	~$29	14 Aug 2026	22d left	+$0.58/sh	+$2,424 cycle +$4,356 [-$1,180…+$2,139] · 66% credit	77% surv 70%	-$39,181 NOT cap gain +$51,694
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)	~$28	31 Jul 2026	8d left	+$0.26/sh	+$1,083 cycle +$3,015 [-$1,937…+$816] · 49% credit	78% surv 69%	-$51,148 NOT cap gain +$39,727
Max even-money escape in the band	~$30	14 Aug 2026	22d left	+$0.29/sh	+$1,203 cycle +$3,135 [-$2,732…+$871] · 45% credit	79% surv 74%	-$29,777 NOT cap gain +$61,098
SS $40 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)	~$34	14 Aug 2026	22d left	-$0.39/sh	-$1,637 cycle +$295 [-$6,439…-$2,098]	88% surv 86%	+$9,883 SAFE cap gain +$100,758
budget: banked $1,932 debit $1,637 (85% used ≈ 0.2 wk of income) → whole cycle still +$295 cash · rolled 42 ct earn ≈ $3,892/mo while parked; 83 ct free to re-sell

Spot \ Time	≥ 4d left	3d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $26.23	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $26-27.27	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $27.27	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$26.50 (≤1σ, normal week)	$1,932	$-72,206	+$18,669	+$882
+2.5%	$27.16 (≤1σ, normal week)	$-850	$-67,949	+$22,926	-$1,900
+5%	$27.83 (1.3σ)	$-3,633	$-63,692	+$27,183	-$4,683
SS (= V-bounce)	$39.71 (7.1σ)	$-53,550	$-26,424	+$64,451	-$34,818

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (31 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$26	31 Jul 2026	8d left	+$1.04/sh	+$3,231 cycle +$5,184 [+$1,570…+$3,089] · 90% credit	71% surv 53%	-$73,991 NOT cap gain +$16,884
Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%)	~$28	7 Aug 2026	15d left	+$0.58/sh	+$1,805 cycle +$3,758 [-$713…+$1,508] · 64% credit	77% surv 69%	-$50,130 NOT cap gain +$40,745
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)	~$28	31 Jul 2026	8d left	+$0.23/sh	+$712 cycle +$2,665 [-$1,647…+$412] · 41% credit	78% surv 69%	-$56,535 NOT cap gain +$34,340
Max even-money escape in the band	~$30	14 Aug 2026	22d left	+$0.25/sh	+$779 cycle +$2,732 [-$2,276…+$390] · 38% credit	79% surv 74%	-$35,218 NOT cap gain +$55,657
SS $40 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)	~$34	7 Aug 2026	15d left	-$0.60/sh	-$1,861 cycle +$92 [-$5,705…-$2,406]	91% surv 90%	+$4,642 SAFE cap gain +$95,517
budget: banked $1,953 debit $1,861 (95% used ≈ 0.3 wk of income) → whole cycle still +$92 cash · rolled 31 ct earn ≈ $2,724/mo while parked; 94 ct free to re-sell

Spot \ Time	≥ 4d left	3d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $25.74	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $26-26.94	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $26.94	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

⏱ TRIPWIRE STATUS, 32 active short call(s) 2 TRIPPED · 2 watch · 1 harvest

The one rule, applied to live marks: roll when remaining time value ≤ max($0.04, 25% of collected) or spot at/past breakeven (strike + premium). Statuses refresh on every run; challenges happen during US RTH (your night), so a TRIPPED row here means act at the open or set the order now.

Fortress Acct Call Spot Breakeven Mark Time value Status Action

GLD Main:1299 10x $377C 24 Jul 2026 (2d) $377.77 $378.34 $1.75 $0.98 TRIPPED ▸ 🔵 ROLL UP-AND-OUT · the roll pays you why ▸

🔵 ROLL UP-AND-OUT · the roll pays you

$0.77/sh is stuck intrinsic (never decays, tracks GLD 1:1); only $0.98 is live theta (~$980). Waiting harvests the extrinsic but not the cap. Rolling $377→$378 banks +$11.18/sh (+$11,181) and sells fatter forward theta (still $78 below BE SS $456, a partial recovery), you relocate the decay to a higher cap, not forfeit it.

▸ Gate on price: hold while GLD is not making new highs; fire the roll before it breaks $378, above which this credit door closes.

🚪 ESCAPE PATHS (live chain), buy back the 10x $377C at ~$1.79 ($1,794), then: fills assumed a quarter-spread inside bid/ask

BEST BY TENOR , the commitment ladder: what each extra week of tenor buys. Every pick also appears in its bucket below.

Tenor	Lens	Target	Net/sh	Total (10 ct)	Surv	Cap lift	vs shorter tenor
≤15d	💰 max credit	$378 5 Aug 2026 (14d)	+$2.93	+$2,935	51%	$+1 cap	—
≤15d	🏰 max cap ~free	$385 3 Aug 2026 (12d)	+$0.12	+$117	71%	$+8 cap	—
≤30d	💰 max credit	$378 21 Aug 2026 (30d)	+$6.63	+$6,631	50%	$+1 cap	+$3.70/sh for +16d
≤30d	🏰 max cap ~free	$402 21 Aug 2026 (30d)	-$0.03	-$26	85%	$+25 cap	cap +$17 for +18d
≤45d	💰 max credit	$378 28 Aug 2026 (37d)	+$7.88	+$7,881	50%	$+1 cap	+$1.25/sh for +7d
≤45d	🏰 max cap ~free	$407 28 Aug 2026 (37d)	-$0.02	-$19	87%	$+30 cap	cap +$5 for +7d
≤60d	💰 max credit	$378 18 Sep 2026 (58d)	+$11.18	+$11,181	50%	$+1 cap	+$3.30/sh for +21d
≤60d	🏰 max cap ~free	$420 18 Sep 2026 (58d)	+$0.25	+$251	91%	$+43 cap	cap +$13 for +21d

CREDIT ROLLS (shortest DTE first)

Target	Sell @	Net/sh	Total (10 ct)	Stock @ Cap	Surv	Type
$378 27 Jul 2026 (5d)	$1.85	+$0.05	+$54	-$124,714	51%	OUT+UP
$378 29 Jul 2026 (7d)	$3.02	+$1.23	+$1,226	-$123,541	51%	OUT+UP
$379 29 Jul 2026 (7d)	$2.63	+$0.84	+$836	-$122,528	55%	OUT+UP

BUY TIME (credit + longer DTE, higher cap)

Target	Sell @	Net/sh	Total (10 ct)	Stock @ Cap	Surv	Type
$420 18 Sep 2026 (58d)	$2.04	+$0.25	+$251	-$65,590	91%	OUT+UP
$415 18 Sep 2026 (58d)	$2.56	+$0.76	+$764	-$72,093	88%	OUT+UP
$410 18 Sep 2026 (58d)	$3.20	+$1.41	+$1,406	-$78,465	84%	OUT+UP
$378 18 Sep 2026 (58d)	$12.98	+$11.18	+$11,181	-$113,586	50%	OUT+UP
$378 5 Aug 2026 (14d)	$4.73	+$2.93	+$2,935	-$121,832	51%	OUT+UP
$385 3 Aug 2026 (12d)	$1.91	+$0.12	+$117	-$114,829	71%	OUT+UP
$378 21 Aug 2026 (30d)	$8.42	+$6.63	+$6,631	-$118,136	50%	OUT+UP
$378 28 Aug 2026 (37d)	$9.67	+$7.88	+$7,881	-$116,886	50%	OUT+UP

SAFETY (small debit, better sigma)

Target	Sell @	Net/sh	Total (10 ct)	Stock @ Cap	Surv	Type
$440 18 Sep 2026 (58d)	$0.91	-$0.89	-$889	-$38,670	97%	OUT+UP
$435 18 Sep 2026 (58d)	$1.09	-$0.70	-$701	-$45,498	96%	OUT+UP
$430 18 Sep 2026 (58d)	$1.32	-$0.48	-$476	-$52,288	95%	OUT+UP
$402 21 Aug 2026 (30d)	$1.77	-$0.03	-$26	-$91,122	85%	OUT+UP
$407 28 Aug 2026 (37d)	$1.77	-$0.02	-$19	-$84,099	87%	OUT+UP

META Main:1299 3x $630C 31 Jul 2026 (9d) $641.80 $653.94 $38.48 $26.63 TRIPPED ▸ 🔵 ROLL UP-AND-OUT · the roll pays you why ▸

🔵 ROLL UP-AND-OUT · the roll pays you

$11.85/sh is stuck intrinsic (never decays, tracks META 1:1); only $26.63 is live theta (~$7,989). Waiting harvests the extrinsic but not the cap. This fortress is back above its breakeven, so the cap sits at whole, not at a loss. Rolling $630→$645 banks +$10.46/sh (+$3,137) and sells fatter forward theta, you relocate the decay to a higher cap, not forfeit it.

▸ Gate on price: hold while META is not making new highs; fire the roll before it breaks $645, above which this credit door closes.

🚪 ESCAPE PATHS (live chain), buy back the 3x $630C at ~$39.44 ($11,833), then: fills assumed a quarter-spread inside bid/ask

BEST BY TENOR , the commitment ladder: what each extra week of tenor buys. Every pick also appears in its bucket below.

Tenor	Lens	Target	Net/sh	Total (3 ct)	Surv	Cap lift	vs shorter tenor
≤30d	💰 max credit	$642.5 21 Aug 2026 (30d)	+$1.95	+$584	50%	$+12 cap	—
≤30d	🏰 max cap ~free	$645 21 Aug 2026 (30d)	+$0.73	+$220	51%	$+15 cap	—
≤45d	💰 max credit	$645 28 Aug 2026 (37d)	+$3.28	+$985	51%	$+15 cap	+$1.34/sh for +7d
≤45d	🏰 max cap ~free	$650 28 Aug 2026 (37d)	+$0.93	+$280	53%	$+20 cap	cap +$5 for +7d
≤60d	💰 max credit	$645 18 Sep 2026 (58d)	+$10.46	+$3,137	51%	$+15 cap	+$7.17/sh for +21d
≤60d	🏰 max cap ~free	$665 18 Sep 2026 (58d)	+$1.67	+$501	58%	$+35 cap	cap +$15 for +21d

CREDIT ROLLS (shortest DTE first)

Target	Sell @	Net/sh	Total (3 ct)	Stock @ Cap	Surv	Type
$642.5 21 Aug 2026 (30d)	$41.39	+$1.95	+$584	+$15,806	50%	OUT+UP
$645 21 Aug 2026 (30d)	$40.17	+$0.73	+$220	+$16,117	51%	OUT+UP
$645 28 Aug 2026 (37d)	$42.73	+$3.28	+$985	+$16,882	51%	OUT+UP

BUY TIME (credit + longer DTE, higher cap)

Target	Sell @	Net/sh	Total (3 ct)	Stock @ Cap	Surv	Type
$665 18 Sep 2026 (58d)	$41.11	+$1.67	+$501	+$21,798	58%	OUT+UP
$660 18 Sep 2026 (58d)	$42.90	+$3.46	+$1,037	+$20,984	56%	OUT+UP
$655 18 Sep 2026 (58d)	$45.35	+$5.91	+$1,772	+$20,369	54%	OUT+UP
$645 18 Sep 2026 (58d)	$49.90	+$10.46	+$3,137	+$19,034	51%	OUT+UP
$650 28 Aug 2026 (37d)	$40.38	+$0.93	+$280	+$17,527	53%	OUT+UP

DELL RetireInc:7291 3x $420C 24 Jul 2026 (2d) $418.29 $425.13 $7.10 $7.10 WATCH ▸ 🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning

1.71 OTM. The $7.10 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$1,525 kept if it expires quiet).

▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $425.13 (breakeven).

🚪 Escape paths deferred , DELL is a heavy chain and this call is WATCH, not TRIPPED, so it was not fetched to keep the portfolio run fast. For the live roll menu, run fortress_fight.py --tickers DELL.

SPY Neville:0865 12x $758C 27 Jul 2026 (5d) $746.59 $758.65 $0.60 $0.60 WATCH ▸ 🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning

11.41 OTM. The $0.60 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$719 kept if it expires quiet).

▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $758.65 (breakeven).

🚪 Escape paths deferred , SPY is a heavy chain and this call is WATCH, not TRIPPED, so it was not fetched to keep the portfolio run fast. For the live roll menu, run fortress_fight.py --tickers SPY.

MDB Neville:0865 1x $350C 24 Jul 2026 (2d) $308.30 $355.09 $0.63 $0.63 HARVEST ▸ 🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning

41.70 OTM. The $0.63 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$504 kept if it expires quiet).

▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $355.09 (breakeven).

NEM Main:1299 5x $97C 24 Jul 2026 (2d) $93.82 $97.96 $1.06 $1.06 OK ▸ 🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning

3.18 OTM. The $1.06 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$456 kept if it expires quiet).

▸ Spike-vol name into a ~2-session close: arm a conditional buyback near $96.52 to cover a weekend gap, else penny-close and re-sell.

NVDA Neville:0865 5x $212.5C 24 Jul 2026 (2d) $205.28 $213.74 $1.03 $1.03 OK ▸ 🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning

7.22 OTM. The $1.03 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$596 kept if it expires quiet).

▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $213.74 (breakeven).

IGV Main:1299 12x $96.5C 24 Jul 2026 (2d) $92.07 $97.00 $0.18 $0.18 OK ▸ 🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning

4.43 OTM. The $0.18 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$543 kept if it expires quiet).

▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $97.00 (breakeven).

CRWV Neville:0865 5x $84C 24 Jul 2026 (2d) $80.13 $84.96 $1.66 $1.66 OK ▸ 🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning

3.87 OTM. The $1.66 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$453 kept if it expires quiet).

▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $84.96 (breakeven).

QCOM RetireInc:7291 5x $180C 24 Jul 2026 (2d) $170.43 $181.61 $2.22 $2.22 OK ▸ 🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning

9.57 OTM. The $2.22 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$778 kept if it expires quiet).

▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $181.61 (breakeven).

RKLB RetireInc:7291 6x $75C 24 Jul 2026 (2d) $69.12 $76.39 $0.67 $0.67 OK ▸ 🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning

5.88 OTM. The $0.67 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$801 kept if it expires quiet).

▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $76.39 (breakeven).

MU-LC970 Neville:0865 2x $1040C 24 Jul 2026 (2d) $951.26 $1,047.99 $12.84 $12.84 OK ▸ 🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning

88.74 OTM. The $12.84 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$1,588 kept if it expires quiet).

▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $1,047.99 (breakeven).

ENPH RetireInc:7291 10x $45C 24 Jul 2026 (2d) $39.91 $45.56 $0.15 $0.15 OK ▸ 🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning

5.09 OTM. The $0.15 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$506 kept if it expires quiet).

▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $45.56 (breakeven).

INTC Neville:0865 5x $116C 24 Jul 2026 (2d) $102.41 $117.62 $2.98 $2.98 OK ▸ 🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning

13.59 OTM. The $2.98 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$784 kept if it expires quiet).

▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $117.62 (breakeven).

GOOG-LC300 Neville:0865 15x $370C 31 Jul 2026 (9d) $347.89 $385.01 $4.26 $4.26 OK ▸ 🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning

22.11 OTM. The $4.26 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$22,444 kept if it expires quiet).

▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $385.01 (breakeven).

COPX Joint:1782 20x $85C 31 Jul 2026 (9d) $78.35 $85.40 $0.52 $0.52 OK ▸ 🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning

6.65 OTM. The $0.52 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$705 kept if it expires quiet).

▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $85.40 (breakeven).

APP RetireInc:7291 1x $465C 31 Jul 2026 (9d) $428.50 $475.80 $9.45 $9.45 OK ▸ 🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning

36.50 OTM. The $9.45 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$1,075 kept if it expires quiet).

▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $475.80 (breakeven).

MU-LC880 Main:1299 5x $1050C 31 Jul 2026 (9d) $951.26 $1,069.99 $42.69 $42.69 OK ▸ 🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning

98.74 OTM. The $42.69 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$9,972 kept if it expires quiet).

▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $1,069.99 (breakeven).

UAMY RetireInc:7291 25x $6.5C 31 Jul 2026 (9d) $5.84 $6.67 $0.17 $0.17 OK ▸ 🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning

0.66 OTM. The $0.17 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$309 kept if it expires quiet).

▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $6.67 (breakeven).

AMZN Joint:1782 10x $280C 31 Jul 2026 (9d) $247.43 $283.10 $1.25 $1.25 OK ▸ 🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning

32.57 OTM. The $1.25 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$3,048 kept if it expires quiet).

▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $283.10 (breakeven).

HIMS Main:1299 15x $39.5C 31 Jul 2026 (9d) $32.51 $40.17 $0.57 $0.57 OK ▸ 🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning

6.99 OTM. The $0.57 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$923 kept if it expires quiet).

▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $40.17 (breakeven).

MSTR-LC180 Joint:1782 10x $125C 31 Jul 2026 (9d) $100.60 $125.99 $0.72 $0.72 OK ▸ 🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning

24.40 OTM. The $0.72 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$942 kept if it expires quiet).

▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $125.99 (breakeven).

IREN-LC25-1299 Main:1299 20x $55C 31 Jul 2026 (9d) $40.53 $55.50 $0.42 $0.42 OK ▸ 🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning

14.47 OTM. The $0.42 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$905 kept if it expires quiet).

▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $55.50 (breakeven).

IREN-LC25-1782 Joint:1782 20x $55C 31 Jul 2026 (9d) $40.53 $55.50 $0.42 $0.42 OK ▸ 🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning

14.47 OTM. The $0.42 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$905 kept if it expires quiet).

▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $55.50 (breakeven).

BMNR-LC10 RetireInc:7291 50x $20.5C 7 Aug 2026 (16d) $17.01 $20.75 $0.25 $0.25 OK ▸ 🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning

3.49 OTM. The $0.25 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$1,013 kept if it expires quiet).

▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $20.75 (breakeven).

MSTR-LC125 RetireInc:7291 4x $130C 7 Aug 2026 (16d) $100.60 $131.32 $1.06 $1.06 OK ▸ 🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning

29.40 OTM. The $1.06 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$509 kept if it expires quiet).

▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $131.32 (breakeven).

SPCX Neville:0865 5x $165C 7 Aug 2026 (16d) $123.88 $167.67 $2.06 $2.06 OK ▸ 🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning

41.12 OTM. The $2.06 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$1,308 kept if it expires quiet).

▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $167.67 (breakeven).

IREN-LC45 Neville:0865 20x $55C 7 Aug 2026 (16d) $40.53 $55.87 $0.98 $0.98 OK ▸ 🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning

14.47 OTM. The $0.98 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$1,638 kept if it expires quiet).

▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $55.87 (breakeven).

IREN-LC50 RetireInc:7291 20x $55C 7 Aug 2026 (16d) $40.53 $55.85 $0.98 $0.98 OK ▸ 🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning

14.47 OTM. The $0.98 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$1,610 kept if it expires quiet).

▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $55.85 (breakeven).

COIN-LC500 Main:1299 25x $210C 14 Aug 2026 (23d) $174.24 $216.23 $4.67 $4.67 OK ▸ 🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning

35.76 OTM. The $4.67 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$15,443 kept if it expires quiet).

▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $216.23 (breakeven).

COIN-LC145 RetireInc:7291 3x $215C 14 Aug 2026 (23d) $174.24 $220.23 $3.98 $3.98 OK ▸ 🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning

40.76 OTM. The $3.98 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$1,553 kept if it expires quiet).

▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $220.23 (breakeven).

COIN-LC165 Main:1299 8x $200C 21 Aug 2026 (30d) $174.24 $210.42 $8.38 $8.38 OK ▸ 🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning

25.76 OTM. The $8.38 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$8,298 kept if it expires quiet).

▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $210.42 (breakeven).

UNDERWATER, but NOT a deep drawdown sell the richest CC still ≥80% survival at/above CC-SS (not a blind CC-SS sale), sorted by touch odds

Fortress	Acct	Ct	Price	CC-SS	↑ whole	Sell strike	Touch odds	Per cycle	Income @ strike	Normal income	Action
GOOG-LC340 ↗⚡ER TMRW	Neville:0865	5	$347.89	$376.18	8.1%	$377.50 24 Jul 2026 (2d) · 98% surv	4%	$810	$12,150/mo (103%)	$11,822/mo	sell 5x $377.50 CC
CLSK ↗⚡ER 16d	RetireInc:7291	25	$15.15	$17.23	13.7%	$17.50 24 Jul 2026 (2d) · 96% surv	9%	$200	$3,000/mo (46%)	$6,469/mo	sell 25x $17.50 CC
GOOG-LC310 ↗⚡ER TMRW	Joint:1782	5	$347.89	$338.99	0.0%	$362.50 24 Jul 2026 (2d) · 86% surv	29%	$2,250	$33,750/mo (285%)	$11,822/mo	sell 5x $362.50 CC
MARA-LC40 ↗⚡ER 7d	Main:1299	200	$12.07	$14.51	20.2%	$15 14 Aug 2026 (23d) · 84% surv	34%	$7,400	$9,652/mo (24%)	$40,875/mo	sell 200x $15 CC
NOW ↗⚡ER TMRW	Main:1299	10	$102.58	$113.42	10.6%	$114 24 Jul 2026 (2d) · 81% surv	39%	$2,360	$35,400/mo (260%)	$13,594/mo	sell 10x $114 CC
RIOT ↗BBC⚡ER 9d	Joint:1782	50	$21.12	$20.53	0.0%	$22.50 24 Jul 2026 (2d) · 80% surv	40%	$2,100	$31,500/mo (166%)	$19,031/mo	sell 50x $22.50 CC

⏸ SKIPPED BY CSV: 8 fortress slice(s) these qualify for FIGHT but carry Skip; in active_fortresses.csv (earnings, event, bullish momentum). Not analyzed, no recommendation, excluded from every income total and from the cc_manager seam. Existing short calls on them are still tripwired below. Remove the tag to bring them back.

Fortress	Acct	Ct	Price	BE SS	Why excluded
BMNR-LC23-1299	Main:1299	75	$17.01	$39.13	excluded by CSV (Skip) · 56.5% below BE SS · also tagged: Half Max
BMNR-LC23-1782	Joint:1782	150	$17.01	$30.29	excluded by CSV (Skip) · 43.8% below BE SS · also tagged: Half Max
BMNR-LC25	Main:1299	50	$17.01	$44.46	excluded by CSV (Skip) · 61.7% below BE SS · also tagged: Half Max
ETHA	Main:1299	50	$14.47	$17.33	excluded by CSV (Skip) · 16.5% below BE SS
IBIT	Joint:1782	50	$37.33	$70.58	excluded by CSV (Skip) · 47.1% below BE SS [LEAPS_ONLY, NO_HEDGE]
MARA-LC20-1299	Main:1299	200	$12.07	$22.69	excluded by CSV (Skip) · 46.8% below BE SS · also tagged: Half Max
MARA-LC20-1782	Joint:1782	50	$12.07	$24.33	excluded by CSV (Skip) · 50.4% below BE SS · also tagged: Half Max
MARA-LC25	Neville:0865	250	$12.07	$26.40	excluded by CSV (Skip) · 54.3% below BE SS

CAPPED: 32 fortress slice(s) with CCs already sold, excluded from FIGHT scope

Fortress	Acct	Ct	BE SS	Active short calls
AMZN	Joint:1782	10	$256.25	10x $280C 31 Jul 2026 (9d)
APP	RetireInc:7291	1	$588.00	1x $465C 31 Jul 2026 (9d)
BMNR-LC10	RetireInc:7291	50	$17.13	50x $20C 7 Aug 2026 (16d)
COIN-LC145	RetireInc:7291	3	$182.40	3x $215C 14 Aug 2026 (23d)
COIN-LC165	Main:1299	8	$210.90	8x $200C 21 Aug 2026 (30d)
COIN-LC500	Main:1299	25	$563.00	25x $210C 14 Aug 2026 (23d)
COPX	Joint:1782	20	$93.40	20x $85C 31 Jul 2026 (9d)
CRWV	Neville:0865	5	$125.45	5x $84C 24 Jul 2026 (2d)
DELL	RetireInc:7291	3	$398.00	3x $420C 24 Jul 2026 (2d)
ENPH	RetireInc:7291	10	$56.15	10x $45C 24 Jul 2026 (2d)
GLD	Main:1299	10	$456.00	10x $377C 24 Jul 2026 (2d)
GOOG-LC300	Neville:0865	15	$373.00	15x $370C 31 Jul 2026 (9d)
HIMS	Main:1299	15	$17.47	15x $40C 31 Jul 2026 (9d)
IGV	Main:1299	12	$96.50	12x $96C 24 Jul 2026 (2d) [LEAPS_ONLY, NO_HEDGE]
INTC	Neville:0865	5	$114.00	5x $116C 24 Jul 2026 (2d)
IREN-LC25-1299	Main:1299	20	$44.00	20x $55C 31 Jul 2026 (9d)
IREN-LC25-1782	Joint:1782	20	$44.00	20x $55C 31 Jul 2026 (9d)
IREN-LC45	Neville:0865	20	$56.50	20x $55C 7 Aug 2026 (16d)
IREN-LC50	RetireInc:7291	20	$63.43	20x $55C 7 Aug 2026 (16d)
MDB	Neville:0865	1	$362.90	1x $350C 24 Jul 2026 (2d)
META	Main:1299	3	$601.50	3x $630C 31 Jul 2026 (9d)
MSTR-LC125	RetireInc:7291	4	$161.00	4x $130C 7 Aug 2026 (16d)
MSTR-LC180	Joint:1782	10	$233.00	10x $125C 31 Jul 2026 (9d) [LEAPS_ONLY, NO_HEDGE]
MU-LC880	Main:1299	5	$1,028.60	5x $1050C 31 Jul 2026 (9d)
MU-LC970	Neville:0865	2	$1,220.00	2x $1040C 24 Jul 2026 (2d)
NEM	Main:1299	5	$114.54	5x $97C 24 Jul 2026 (2d)
NVDA	Neville:0865	5	$199.60	5x $212C 24 Jul 2026 (2d)
QCOM	RetireInc:7291	5	$224.00	5x $180C 24 Jul 2026 (2d)
RKLB	RetireInc:7291	6	$141.55	6x $75C 24 Jul 2026 (2d)
SPCX	Neville:0865	5	$186.00	5x $165C 7 Aug 2026 (16d)
SPY	Neville:0865	12	$764.00	12x $758C 27 Jul 2026 (5d) [LEAPS_ONLY, NO_HEDGE]
UAMY	RetireInc:7291	25	$12.45	25x $6C 31 Jul 2026 (9d)

Manage these with the roll table (fortress_fight --tickers T) or roll_calls.

📏 CALIBRATION: 887 of 1621 predictions resolved since 2026-07-02, is the model honest?

Predicted survival	N	Avg predicted	Realized OTM rate	Gap
0-60%	71	55%	85%	+29pp
60-70%	115	64%	88%	+24pp
70-80%	162	77%	98%	+22pp
80-90%	199	84%	99%	+15pp
90-100%	340	94%	100%	+6pp

Touch odds: predicted 38% avg vs realized 22% touch rate over 887 resolved (daily highs, exact intraday touch).

🚪 Roll actuals vs playbook: 75 real buyback(s) recorded · 18 roll(s), net +$0.84/sh avg.

Green gap: within 7pp. A persistent negative gap means survival is overstated (model too confident); positive means too conservative. N is small early; judge after ~30 resolved.

fortress_fight.py v6.2 --all | 2026-07-22 14:45

Gross FIGHT income	$24,375/mo
vs 50% target ($28,711/mo)	-15%
vs normal income ($57,422/mo)	42% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$24,375/mo

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$62,218
… as % of IC ($27,625)	225.2%
… as % of ML ($277,625)	22.4%
Recovery months (at normal income)	1.1 mo
Surgical close (125 ct)	$-92,250

Gross FIGHT income	$19,110/mo
vs 50% target ($28,711/mo)	-33%
vs normal income ($57,422/mo)	33% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$20,376/mo

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$48,779
… as % of IC ($27,625)	176.6%
… as % of ML ($277,625)	17.6%
Recovery months (at normal income)	0.8 mo
Surgical close (98 ct)	$-72,324

Gross FIGHT income	$29,205/mo
vs 50% target ($28,711/mo)	+2%
vs normal income ($57,422/mo)	51% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$32,299/mo

Gross FIGHT income	$57,915/mo
vs 50% target ($28,711/mo)	+102%
vs normal income ($57,422/mo)	101% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$58,290/mo

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$67,596
… as % of IC ($27,625)	244.7%
… as % of ML ($277,625)	24.3%
Recovery months (at normal income)	1.2 mo
Surgical close (117 ct)	$-86,346

Gross FIGHT income	$11,250/mo
vs 50% target ($28,711/mo)	-61%
vs normal income ($57,422/mo)	20% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$11,250/mo

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$44,343
… as % of IC ($27,625)	160.5%
… as % of ML ($277,625)	16.0%
Recovery months (at normal income)	0.8 mo
Surgical close (125 ct)	$-91,187

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$50,593
… as % of IC ($27,625)	183.1%
… as % of ML ($277,625)	18.2%
Recovery months (at normal income)	0.9 mo
Surgical close (125 ct)	$-92,062

Gross FIGHT income	$9,375/mo
vs 50% target ($28,711/mo)	-67%
vs normal income ($57,422/mo)	16% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$9,375/mo

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$69,468
… as % of IC ($27,625)	251.5%
… as % of ML ($277,625)	25.0%
Recovery months (at normal income)	1.2 mo
Surgical close (125 ct)	$-93,812

Gross FIGHT income	$28,875/mo
vs 50% target ($28,711/mo)	+1%
vs normal income ($57,422/mo)	50% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$32,156/mo

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$34,416
… as % of IC ($27,625)	124.6%
… as % of ML ($277,625)	12.4%
Recovery months (at normal income)	0.6 mo
Surgical close (55 ct)	$-40,947

Gross FIGHT income	$28,980/mo
vs 50% target ($28,711/mo)	+1%
vs normal income ($57,422/mo)	50% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$32,871/mo

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$27,919
… as % of IC ($27,625)	101.1%
… as % of ML ($277,625)	10.1%
Recovery months (at normal income)	0.5 mo
Surgical close (42 ct)	$-31,836

Gross FIGHT income	$29,295/mo
vs 50% target ($28,711/mo)	+2%
vs normal income ($57,422/mo)	51% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$33,701/mo

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$21,630
… as % of IC ($27,625)	78.3%
… as % of ML ($277,625)	7.8%
Recovery months (at normal income)	0.4 mo
Surgical close (31 ct)	$-23,498

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$26.00 (≤1σ, normal week)	$1,953	$-77,222	+$13,653	+$1,178
+2.5%	$26.65 (≤1σ, normal week)	$-62	$-72,331	+$18,544	-$837
+5%	$27.30 (1.1σ)	$-2,077	$-67,439	+$23,436	-$2,852
SS (= V-bounce)	$39.71 (7.1σ)	$-40,548	$-18,328	+$72,547	-$26,722

Gross FIGHT income	$29,670/mo
vs 50% target ($28,711/mo)	+3%
vs normal income ($57,422/mo)	52% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$34,451/mo

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$16,669
… as % of IC ($27,625)	60.3%
… as % of ML ($277,625)	6.0%
Recovery months (at normal income)	0.3 mo
Surgical close (23 ct)	$-17,560

Spot \ Time	≥ 4d left	3d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $25.25	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $25-26.73	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $26.73	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$25.50 (≤1σ, normal week)	$1,978	$-82,310	+$8,565	+$1,403
+2.5%	$26.14 (≤1σ, normal week)	$512	$-77,002	+$13,873	-$63
+5%	$26.78 (≤1σ, normal week)	$-955	$-71,695	+$19,180	-$1,530
SS (= V-bounce)	$39.71 (7.1σ)	$-30,705	$-12,053	+$78,822	-$20,447

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (17 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$25	31 Jul 2026	8d left	+$0.98/sh	+$1,673 cycle +$3,594	71% surv 53%	-$84,581 NOT cap gain +$6,294
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)	~$27	31 Jul 2026	8d left	+$0.13/sh	+$222 cycle +$2,143	79% surv 71%	-$66,057 NOT cap gain +$24,818
Max even-money escape in the band	~$29	14 Aug 2026	22d left	+$0.16/sh	+$266 cycle +$2,187	80% surv 76%	-$44,763 NOT cap gain +$46,112
SS $40 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)	~$33	7 Aug 2026	15d left	-$0.63/sh	-$1,063 cycle +$858	92% surv 91%	-$3,592 NOT cap gain +$87,283
budget: banked $1,921 debit $1,063 (55% used ≈ 0.2 wk of income) → whole cycle still +$858 cash · rolled 17 ct earn ≈ $1,213/mo while parked; 108 ct free to re-sell

Gross FIGHT income	$28,815/mo
vs 50% target ($28,711/mo)	+0%
vs normal income ($57,422/mo)	50% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$33,878/mo

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$12,712
… as % of IC ($27,625)	46.0%
… as % of ML ($277,625)	4.6%
Recovery months (at normal income)	0.2 mo
Surgical close (17 ct)	$-12,673

Spot \ Time	≥ 4d left	3d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $24.75	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $25-26.32	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $26.32	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$25.00 (≤1σ, normal week)	$1,921	$-86,254	+$4,621	+$1,496
+2.5%	$25.62 (≤1σ, normal week)	$859	$-81,951	+$8,924	+$434
+5%	$26.25 (≤1σ, normal week)	$-204	$-76,373	+$14,502	-$629
SS (= V-bounce)	$39.71 (7.1σ)	$-23,086	$-7,110	+$83,765	-$15,504