FORTRESS FIGHT: PORTFOLIO

47 fortress slices across 4 account(s) | 4 deep drawdown (FIGHT) | 3 underwater (not deep DD) | 8 skipped (CSV) | 1 uncapped above water | 31 capped (out of scope)

FIGHT income if all primaries filled: $32,918/mo (51% of normal target)

⚔ FIGHT: underwater & uncapped every ladder rung side by side; 🎯 = the recommended pick | click a rung for its roll menu + decision panel, ESC closes | fortress link = full dashboard

TUNE PICKSTouch ≤anySurv ≥anyCyc ≥floorsizing rulewhat-if lens only: the 🎯 picks, ladder, totals and panels never move. Tuned = the SAFEST strike meeting your gates (the engine's own objective at your floor), sized to the cycle target. The S/T/C presets under each Tuned cell override these sliders for that row only; every tuned pick opens its own decision panel.

POSITION				INCOME LADDER · SAFEST ⟶ RICHEST				TUNED	RECOVERY
Fortress	Ct	Price	CC-SS	🛡 Safe yield	33% normal	50% normal	100% normal	Tuned	Banked	Cap @ CC-SS	↑ whole
ENPH ↗⚡ER 6d RetireInc:7291 · Next Fri	10	$39.30	$59.26	10 × $49.50 $300 cyc · $1,125/mo 91% surv · T:19%	10 × $47 $600 cyc · $2,250/mo 85% surv · T:31%	🎯⚡ 9 × $46 $882 cyc · $3,308/mo 83% surv · T:27%	10 × $42 $1,670 cyc · $6,262/mo 67% surv · T:70%	— S≥708090T≤253040C≥2505001k×	$2,164	-$11,053 (151.4% IC)	50.8%
GOOG-LC340 ↗⚡ER TODAY Neville:0865 · Next Fri	5	$320.29	$376.70	5 × $342.50 $685 cyc · $2,569/mo 90% surv · T:20%	5 × $340 $850 cyc · $3,188/mo 88% surv · T:25%	🎯⚡ 5 × $335 $1,300 cyc · $4,875/mo 81% surv · T:30%	5 × $325 $2,825 cyc · $10,594/mo 62% surv · T:78%	— S≥708090T≤253040C≥2505001k×	$2,989	-$19,552 (76.7% IC)	17.6%
NOW ↗⚡ER TODAY Main:1299 · Next Fri	10	$95.44	$114.52	—	—	🎯⚡ 10 × $104 $1,220 cyc · $4,575/mo 80% surv · T:30%	10 × $99 $2,500 cyc · $9,375/mo 66% surv · T:71%	— S≥708090T≤253040C≥2505001k×	$1,504	-$9,303 (33.4% IC)	20.0%
BBC · LEGACY STRUCTURES known structurally inefficient and not being restructured; the plan is CC income while the underlying repairs, so treat any REBUILD / restructure verdict on these as informational
GLXY ↗⚡ER 13d Main:1299 · Next Fri	125	$24.49	$32.38	125 × $30 $1,875 cyc · $7,031/mo 92% surv · T:16%	96 × $27 $3,552 cyc · $13,320/mo 77% surv · T:49%	🎯 112 × $26.50 $5,376 cyc · $20,160/mo 73% surv · T:45%	111 × $25 $10,767 cyc · $40,376/mo 58% surv · T:88%	— S≥708090T≤253040C≥2505001k×	$879	-$60,534 (219.1% IC)	32.2%
TOTAL (4)	150	following every 🎯 $8,778 cyc · $32,918/mo		$2,860 cyc · $10,725/mo 3 of 4	$5,002 cyc · $18,758/mo 3 of 4	$8,778 cyc · $32,918/mo	$17,762 cyc · $66,608/mo		$7,536	-$100,441

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (10 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Max even-money escape in the band	~$50	14 Aug 2026	18d left	+$0.34/sh	+$344 cycle +$644 [-$41…+$1,016] · 73% credit	69% surv 57%	-$8,944 NOT cap gain +$12,726
SS $56 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$50	7 Aug 2026	11d left	+$0.00/sh	+$4 cycle +$304 [-$341…+$597] · 53% credit	67% surv 53%	-$10,062 NOT cap gain +$11,608
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)	~$51	14 Aug 2026	18d left	-$0.07/sh	-$65 cycle +$235 [-$536…+$550] · 48% credit	71% surv 61%	-$8,246 NOT cap gain +$13,424
budget: banked $300 debit $65 (22% used ≈ 0.3 wk of income) → whole cycle still +$235 cash · rolled 10 ct earn ≈ $5,030/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell

Spot \ Time	≥ 5d left	3-4d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $49.01	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $49-49.99	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $49.99	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$49.50 (1.6σ)	$300	$-10,066	+$11,604	+$180
+2.5%	$50.74 (1.8σ)	$-937	$-9,933	+$11,737	-$1,057
+5%	$51.98 (2.0σ)	$-2,175	$-9,799	+$11,871	-$2,295
SS (= V-bounce)	$56.15 (2.7σ)	$-6,350	$-9,348	+$12,322	-$6,320

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (10 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%)	~$48	14 Aug 2026	18d left	+$0.41/sh	+$412 cycle +$1,012 [-$157…+$924] · 64% credit	69% surv 57%	-$11,347 NOT cap gain +$10,323
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$47	7 Aug 2026	11d left	+$0.08/sh	+$79 cycle +$679 [-$425…+$531] · 49% credit	67% surv 54%	-$12,457 NOT cap gain +$9,213
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)	~$47	7 Aug 2026	11d left	+$0.02/sh	+$16 cycle +$616 [-$493…+$454] · 45% credit	68% surv 54%	-$12,297 NOT cap gain +$9,373
Max even-money escape in the band	~$49	14 Aug 2026	18d left	+$0.01/sh	+$5 cycle +$605 [-$631…+$471] · 42% credit	71% surv 61%	-$10,646 NOT cap gain +$11,024
SS $56 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)	~$50	14 Aug 2026	18d left	-$0.35/sh	-$351 cycle +$249 [-$1,066…+$54] · 27% credit	73% surv 65%	-$9,894 NOT cap gain +$11,776
budget: banked $600 debit $351 (59% used ≈ 0.7 wk of income) → whole cycle still +$249 cash · rolled 10 ct earn ≈ $4,293/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell

Spot \ Time	≥ 5d left	3-4d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $46.53	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $47-47.88	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $47.88	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$47.00 (1.2σ)	$600	$-12,536	+$9,134	+$480
+2.5%	$48.17 (1.4σ)	$-575	$-12,410	+$9,260	-$695
+5%	$49.35 (1.6σ)	$-1,750	$-12,283	+$9,387	-$1,870
SS (= V-bounce)	$56.15 (2.7σ)	$-8,550	$-11,548	+$10,122	-$8,520

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (9 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$46	7 Aug 2026	11d left	+$0.11/sh	+$97 cycle +$979 [-$424…+$362] · 41% credit	67% surv 54%	-$13,254 NOT cap gain +$8,416
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)	~$46	7 Aug 2026	11d left	+$0.04/sh	+$39 cycle +$921 [-$490…+$292] · 38% credit	68% surv 55%	-$13,087 NOT cap gain +$8,583
Max even-money escape in the band	~$48	14 Aug 2026	18d left	+$0.03/sh	+$27 cycle +$909 [-$640…+$277] · 35% credit	71% surv 61%	-$11,437 NOT cap gain +$10,233
SS $56 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)	~$51	14 Aug 2026	18d left	-$0.83/sh	-$751 cycle +$131 [-$1,576…-$600] · 10% credit	78% surv 72%	-$8,892 NOT cap gain +$12,778
budget: banked $882 debit $751 (85% used ≈ 1.0 wk of income) → whole cycle still +$131 cash · rolled 9 ct earn ≈ $3,045/mo while parked; 1 ct free to re-sell

Spot \ Time	≥ 5d left	3-4d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $45.54	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $46-47.09	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $47.09	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$46.00 (1.1σ)	$882	$-13,350	+$8,320	+$774
+2.5%	$47.15 (1.2σ)	$-153	$-13,111	+$8,559	-$261
+5%	$48.30 (1.4σ)	$-1,188	$-12,872	+$8,798	-$1,296
SS (= V-bounce)	$56.15 (2.7σ)	$-8,253	$-11,254	+$10,416	-$8,226

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (10 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$42	7 Aug 2026	11d left	+$0.21/sh	+$206 cycle +$1,876 [-$560…-$10] · 24% credit	67% surv 54%	-$16,801 NOT cap gain +$4,869
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)	~$42	7 Aug 2026	11d left	+$0.14/sh	+$141 cycle +$1,811 [-$633…-$80] · 21% credit	68% surv 55%	-$16,641 NOT cap gain +$5,029
Max even-money escape in the band	~$44	14 Aug 2026	18d left	+$0.12/sh	+$115 cycle +$1,785 [-$851…-$175] · 18% credit	72% surv 61%	-$15,006 NOT cap gain +$6,664
SS $56 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)	~$51	14 Aug 2026	18d left	-$1.59/sh	-$1,590 cycle +$80 [-$3,109…-$2,100]	85% surv 83%	-$8,955 NOT cap gain +$12,715
budget: banked $1,670 debit $1,590 (95% used ≈ 1.1 wk of income) → whole cycle still +$80 cash · rolled 10 ct earn ≈ $1,710/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell

Spot \ Time	≥ 5d left	3-4d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $41.58	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $42-44.00	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $44.00	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$42.00 (≤1σ, normal week)	$1,670	$-17,006	+$4,664	+$1,550
+2.5%	$43.05 (≤1σ, normal week)	$620	$-16,893	+$4,777	+$500
+5%	$44.10 (≤1σ, normal week)	$-430	$-16,780	+$4,890	-$550
SS (= V-bounce)	$56.15 (2.7σ)	$-12,480	$-15,478	+$6,192	-$12,450

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (10 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Max even-money escape in the band	~$55	14 Aug 2026	18d left	+$0.20/sh	+$196 cycle +$246 [+$133…+$1,078] · 77% credit	69% surv 56%	-$4,357 NOT cap gain +$17,313
SS $56 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$54	7 Aug 2026	11d left	-$0.15/sh	-$151 cycle -$101 [-$220…+$647] · 58% credit	67% surv 53%	-$5,482 NOT cap gain +$16,188

Spot \ Time	≥ 5d left	3-4d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $53.46	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $53-54.22	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $54.22	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$54.00 (2.3σ)	$50	$-5,330	+$16,340	-$70
+2.5%	$55.35 (2.5σ)	$-1,300	$-5,185	+$16,485	-$1,420
+5%	$56.70 (2.7σ)	$-2,650	$-5,039	+$16,631	-$2,070

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (10 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Max even-money escape in the band	~$54	14 Aug 2026	18d left	+$0.23/sh	+$232 cycle +$422 [-$142…+$976] · 69% credit	69% surv 57%	-$5,289 NOT cap gain +$16,381
SS $56 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$53	7 Aug 2026	11d left	-$0.11/sh	-$114 cycle +$76 [-$444…+$548] · 53% credit	67% surv 53%	-$6,413 NOT cap gain +$15,257
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)	~$55	14 Aug 2026	18d left	-$0.18/sh	-$181 cycle +$9 [-$633…+$516] · 47% credit	71% surv 60%	-$4,594 NOT cap gain +$17,076
budget: banked $190 debit $181 (95% used ≈ 1.1 wk of income) → whole cycle still +$9 cash · rolled 10 ct earn ≈ $5,200/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell

Spot \ Time	≥ 5d left	3-4d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $52.47	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $52-53.30	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $53.30	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$53.00 (2.2σ)	$190	$-6,298	+$15,372	+$70
+2.5%	$54.32 (2.4σ)	$-1,135	$-6,155	+$15,515	-$1,255
+5%	$55.65 (2.6σ)	$-2,460	$-6,012	+$15,658	-$2,580
SS (= V-bounce)	$56.15 (2.7σ)	$-2,960	$-5,958	+$15,712	-$2,930

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (10 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Max even-money escape in the band	~$53	14 Aug 2026	18d left	+$0.27/sh	+$266 cycle +$396 [-$43…+$1,117] · 72% credit	69% surv 57%	-$6,423 NOT cap gain +$15,247
SS $56 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$52	7 Aug 2026	11d left	-$0.08/sh	-$79 cycle +$51 [-$349…+$679] · 56% credit	67% surv 53%	-$7,545 NOT cap gain +$14,125

Spot \ Time	≥ 5d left	3-4d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $51.48	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $51-52.30	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $52.30	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$52.00 (2.0σ)	$130	$-7,466	+$14,204	+$10
+2.5%	$53.30 (2.2σ)	$-1,170	$-7,326	+$14,344	-$1,290
+5%	$54.60 (2.4σ)	$-2,470	$-7,186	+$14,484	-$2,590
SS (= V-bounce)	$56.15 (2.7σ)	$-4,020	$-7,018	+$14,652	-$3,990

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (10 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Max even-money escape in the band	~$52	14 Aug 2026	18d left	+$0.30/sh	+$299 cycle +$479 [-$27…+$1,084] · 73% credit	69% surv 57%	-$7,448 NOT cap gain +$14,222
SS $56 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$51	7 Aug 2026	11d left	-$0.04/sh	-$45 cycle +$135 [-$337…+$661] · 58% credit	67% surv 53%	-$8,569 NOT cap gain +$13,101
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)	~$53	14 Aug 2026	18d left	-$0.11/sh	-$112 cycle +$68 [-$584…+$603] · 51% credit	71% surv 60%	-$6,751 NOT cap gain +$14,919
budget: banked $180 debit $112 (62% used ≈ 0.7 wk of income) → whole cycle still +$68 cash · rolled 10 ct earn ≈ $5,107/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell

Spot \ Time	≥ 5d left	3-4d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $50.49	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $50-51.37	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $51.37	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$51.00 (1.8σ)	$180	$-8,524	+$13,146	+$60
+2.5%	$52.27 (2.0σ)	$-1,095	$-8,387	+$13,283	-$1,215
+5%	$53.55 (2.2σ)	$-2,370	$-8,249	+$13,421	-$2,490
SS (= V-bounce)	$56.15 (2.7σ)	$-4,970	$-7,968	+$13,702	-$4,940

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (10 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Max even-money escape in the band	~$51	14 Aug 2026	18d left	+$0.33/sh	+$330 cycle +$590 [-$143…+$1,074] · 67% credit	69% surv 57%	-$8,445 NOT cap gain +$13,225
SS $56 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$50	7 Aug 2026	11d left	-$0.01/sh	-$12 cycle +$248 [-$433…+$655] · 50% credit	67% surv 53%	-$9,564 NOT cap gain +$12,106
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)	~$52	14 Aug 2026	18d left	-$0.08/sh	-$80 cycle +$180 [-$641…+$608] · 46% credit	71% surv 61%	-$7,747 NOT cap gain +$13,923
budget: banked $260 debit $80 (31% used ≈ 0.4 wk of income) → whole cycle still +$180 cash · rolled 10 ct earn ≈ $5,056/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell

Spot \ Time	≥ 5d left	3-4d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $49.50	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $50-50.43	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $50.43	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$50.00 (1.7σ)	$260	$-9,552	+$12,118	+$140
+2.5%	$51.25 (1.9σ)	$-990	$-9,417	+$12,253	-$1,110
+5%	$52.50 (2.1σ)	$-2,240	$-9,282	+$12,388	-$2,360
SS (= V-bounce)	$56.15 (2.7σ)	$-5,890	$-8,888	+$12,782	-$5,860

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (10 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Max even-money escape in the band	~$50	14 Aug 2026	18d left	+$0.36/sh	+$359 cycle +$709 [-$145…+$978] · 68% credit	69% surv 57%	-$9,434 NOT cap gain +$12,236
SS $56 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$49	7 Aug 2026	11d left	+$0.02/sh	+$20 cycle +$370 [-$428…+$566] · 49% credit	67% surv 53%	-$10,550 NOT cap gain +$11,120
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)	~$51	14 Aug 2026	18d left	-$0.05/sh	-$50 cycle +$300 [-$618…+$521] · 44% credit	71% surv 61%	-$8,735 NOT cap gain +$12,935
budget: banked $350 debit $50 (14% used ≈ 0.2 wk of income) → whole cycle still +$300 cash · rolled 10 ct earn ≈ $5,002/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell

Spot \ Time	≥ 5d left	3-4d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $48.51	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $49-49.53	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $49.53	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

⏱ TRIPWIRE STATUS, 31 active short call(s) 2 harvest

The one rule, applied to live marks: roll when remaining time value ≤ max($0.04, 25% of collected) or spot at/past breakeven (strike + premium). Statuses refresh on every run; challenges happen during US RTH (your night), so a TRIPPED row here means act at the open or set the order now.

Fortress	Acct	Call	Spot	Breakeven	Mark	Time value	Status	Action
SPY	Neville:0865	12x $758C 27 Jul 2026 (4d)	$741.42	$758.65	$0.06	$0.06	HARVEST ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 16.58 OTM = 2.2% (3.6x a typical daily move). The $0.06 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$719 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $758.65 (breakeven).
GOOG-LC300	Neville:0865	15x $370C 31 Jul 2026 (8d)	$320.55	$385.01	$0.18	$0.18	HARVEST ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 49.45 OTM = 15.4% (5.2x a typical daily move). The $0.18 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$22,444 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $385.01 (breakeven).
MU-LC970	Neville:0865	2x $1040C 24 Jul 2026 (1d)	$977.79	$1,047.99	$6.45	$6.45	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 62.21 OTM = 6.4% (0.9x a typical daily move). The $6.45 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$1,588 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $1,047.99 (breakeven).
INTC	Neville:0865	5x $116C 24 Jul 2026 (1d)	$101.33	$117.62	$1.73	$1.73	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 14.67 OTM = 14.5% (0.9x a typical daily move). The $1.73 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$784 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $117.62 (breakeven).
IGV	Main:1299	12x $93.5C 31 Jul 2026 (8d)	$88.54	$94.30	$0.68	$0.68	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 4.96 OTM = 5.6% (2.3x a typical daily move). The $0.68 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$899 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $94.30 (breakeven).
MDB	Neville:0865	1x $325C 31 Jul 2026 (8d)	$305.79	$331.10	$7.62	$7.62	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 19.21 OTM = 6.3% (1.4x a typical daily move). The $7.62 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$605 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $331.10 (breakeven).
MU-LC880	Main:1299	5x $1050C 31 Jul 2026 (8d)	$977.79	$1,069.99	$37.92	$37.92	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 72.21 OTM = 7.4% (1.0x a typical daily move). The $37.92 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$9,972 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $1,069.99 (breakeven).
COPX	Joint:1782	20x $85C 31 Jul 2026 (8d)	$79.11	$85.40	$0.62	$0.62	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 5.89 OTM = 7.5% (2.4x a typical daily move). The $0.62 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$705 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $85.40 (breakeven).
AMZN	Joint:1782	10x $265C 31 Jul 2026 (8d)	$236.29	$267.79	$1.43	$1.43	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 28.71 OTM = 12.2% (3.0x a typical daily move). The $1.43 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$2,736 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $267.79 (breakeven).
APP	RetireInc:7291	1x $465C 31 Jul 2026 (8d)	$407.00	$475.80	$3.73	$3.73	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 58.00 OTM = 14.3% (2.9x a typical daily move). The $3.73 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$1,075 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $475.80 (breakeven).
RKLB	RetireInc:7291	6x $83C 31 Jul 2026 (8d)	$69.15	$84.05	$0.72	$0.72	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 13.85 OTM = 20.0% (3.3x a typical daily move). The $0.72 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$602 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $84.05 (breakeven).
IREN-LC25-1782	Joint:1782	20x $51C 31 Jul 2026 (8d)	$41.68	$51.96	$0.83	$0.83	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 9.32 OTM = 22.4% (2.8x a typical daily move). The $0.83 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$1,813 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $51.96 (breakeven).
HIMS	Main:1299	15x $39.5C 31 Jul 2026 (8d)	$31.43	$40.17	$0.41	$0.41	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 8.07 OTM = 25.7% (3.4x a typical daily move). The $0.41 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$923 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $40.17 (breakeven).
MSTR-LC180	Joint:1782	10x $125C 31 Jul 2026 (8d)	$96.71	$125.99	$0.28	$0.28	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 28.29 OTM = 29.3% (4.9x a typical daily move). The $0.28 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$942 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $125.99 (breakeven).
IREN-LC25-1299	Main:1299	20x $55C 31 Jul 2026 (8d)	$41.68	$55.50	$0.38	$0.38	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 13.32 OTM = 32.0% (4.1x a typical daily move). The $0.38 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$905 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $55.50 (breakeven).
NVDA	Neville:0865	5x $220C 7 Aug 2026 (15d)	$209.33	$224.27	$2.67	$2.67	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 10.67 OTM = 5.1% (2.2x a typical daily move). The $2.67 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$2,110 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $224.27 (breakeven).
NEM	Main:1299	5x $106C 7 Aug 2026 (15d)	$94.19	$107.00	$1.17	$1.17	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 11.81 OTM = 12.5% (3.9x a typical daily move). The $1.17 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$476 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $107.00 (breakeven).
BMNR-LC10	RetireInc:7291	50x $20.5C 7 Aug 2026 (15d)	$17.61	$20.75	$0.34	$0.34	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 2.89 OTM = 16.4% (3.1x a typical daily move). The $0.34 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$1,013 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $20.75 (breakeven).
CRWV	Neville:0865	5x $97C 7 Aug 2026 (15d)	$82.38	$100.20	$2.69	$2.69	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 14.62 OTM = 17.7% (2.7x a typical daily move). The $2.69 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$1,577 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $100.20 (breakeven).
QCOM	RetireInc:7291	5x $207.5C 7 Aug 2026 (15d)	$171.88	$210.57	$2.25	$2.25	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 35.62 OTM = 20.7% (4.0x a typical daily move). The $2.25 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$1,510 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $210.57 (breakeven).
IREN-LC45	Neville:0865	20x $55C 7 Aug 2026 (15d)	$41.68	$55.87	$0.90	$0.90	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 13.32 OTM = 32.0% (4.1x a typical daily move). The $0.90 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$1,638 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $55.87 (breakeven).
IREN-LC50	RetireInc:7291	20x $55C 7 Aug 2026 (15d)	$41.68	$55.85	$0.90	$0.90	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 13.32 OTM = 32.0% (4.1x a typical daily move). The $0.90 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$1,610 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $55.85 (breakeven).
MSTR-LC125	RetireInc:7291	4x $130C 7 Aug 2026 (15d)	$96.71	$131.32	$0.56	$0.56	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 33.29 OTM = 34.4% (6.0x a typical daily move). The $0.56 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$509 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $131.32 (breakeven).
SPCX	Neville:0865	5x $165C 7 Aug 2026 (15d)	$115.55	$167.67	$1.62	$1.62	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 49.45 OTM = 42.8% (5.1x a typical daily move). The $1.62 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$1,308 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $167.67 (breakeven).
META	Main:1299	3x $660C 14 Aug 2026 (22d)	$606.59	$684.19	$16.07	$16.07	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 53.41 OTM = 8.8% (2.4x a typical daily move). The $16.07 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$7,243 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $684.19 (breakeven).
UAMY	RetireInc:7291	25x $7C 14 Aug 2026 (22d)	$5.75	$7.35	$0.25	$0.25	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 1.25 OTM = 21.7% (3.1x a typical daily move). The $0.25 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$758 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $7.35 (breakeven).
COIN-LC500	Main:1299	25x $210C 14 Aug 2026 (22d)	$163.55	$216.23	$2.48	$2.48	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 46.45 OTM = 28.4% (5.3x a typical daily move). The $2.48 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$15,443 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $216.23 (breakeven).
COIN-LC145	RetireInc:7291	3x $215C 14 Aug 2026 (22d)	$163.55	$220.23	$2.73	$2.73	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 51.45 OTM = 31.5% (5.8x a typical daily move). The $2.73 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$1,553 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $220.23 (breakeven).
GLD	Main:1299	10x $390C 21 Aug 2026 (29d)	$372.74	$396.32	$3.48	$3.48	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 17.26 OTM = 4.6% (3.4x a typical daily move). The $3.48 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$6,268 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $396.32 (breakeven).
DELL	RetireInc:7291	3x $475C 21 Aug 2026 (29d)	$440.44	$505.00	$28.45	$28.45	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 34.56 OTM = 7.8% (1.5x a typical daily move). The $28.45 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$8,985 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $505.00 (breakeven).
COIN-LC165	Main:1299	8x $200C 21 Aug 2026 (29d)	$163.55	$210.42	$4.70	$4.70	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 36.45 OTM = 22.3% (4.3x a typical daily move). The $4.70 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$8,298 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $210.42 (breakeven).

UNDERWATER, but NOT a deep drawdown sell the richest CC still ≥80% survival at/above CC-SS (not a blind CC-SS sale), sorted by touch odds

Fortress	Acct	Ct	Price	CC-SS	↑ whole	Sell strike	Touch odds	Per cycle	Income @ strike	Normal income	Action
GOOG-LC310 ↗⚡ER TODAY	Joint:1782	5	$320.29	$339.82	6.1%	$340 31 Jul 2026 (8d) · 88% surv	25%	$850	$3,188/mo (34%)	$9,510/mo	sell 5x $340 CC
MARA-LC40 ↗⚡ER 15d	Main:1299	200	$12.43	$14.79	19.0%	$15 7 Aug 2026 (15d) · 85% surv	32%	$4,000	$8,000/mo (24%)	$34,000/mo	sell 200x $15 CC
CLSK ↗⚡ER 15d	RetireInc:7291	25	$15.26	$17.24	13.0%	$17.50 31 Jul 2026 (8d) · 84% surv	34%	$550	$2,062/mo (39%)	$5,300/mo	sell 25x $17.50 CC

UNCAPPED, ABOVE WATER no FIGHT needed; sell normal CCs (cc_scanner)

Fortress	Acct	Ct	Price	BE SS	Headroom
RIOT	Joint:1782	50	$23.95	$23.65	+1.2%

⏸ SKIPPED BY CSV: 8 fortress slice(s) these qualify for FIGHT but carry Skip; in active_fortresses.csv (earnings, event, bullish momentum). Not analyzed, no recommendation, excluded from every income total and from the cc_manager seam. Existing short calls on them are still tripwired below. Remove the tag to bring them back.

Fortress	Acct	Ct	Price	BE SS	Why excluded
BMNR-LC23-1299	Main:1299	75	$17.61	$39.13	excluded by CSV (Skip) · 55.0% below BE SS · also tagged: Half Max
BMNR-LC23-1782	Joint:1782	150	$17.61	$30.29	excluded by CSV (Skip) · 41.9% below BE SS · also tagged: Half Max
BMNR-LC25	Main:1299	50	$17.61	$44.46	excluded by CSV (Skip) · 60.4% below BE SS · also tagged: Half Max
ETHA	Main:1299	50	$14.38	$17.33	excluded by CSV (Skip) · 17.1% below BE SS
IBIT	Joint:1782	50	$36.89	$70.58	excluded by CSV (Skip) · 47.7% below BE SS [LEAPS_ONLY, NO_HEDGE]
MARA-LC20-1299	Main:1299	200	$12.43	$22.69	excluded by CSV (Skip) · 45.2% below BE SS · also tagged: Half Max
MARA-LC20-1782	Joint:1782	50	$12.43	$24.33	excluded by CSV (Skip) · 48.9% below BE SS · also tagged: Half Max
MARA-LC25	Neville:0865	250	$12.43	$26.40	excluded by CSV (Skip) · 52.9% below BE SS

CAPPED: 31 fortress slice(s) with CCs already sold, excluded from FIGHT scope

Fortress	Acct	Ct	BE SS	Active short calls
AMZN	Joint:1782	10	$256.25	10x $265C 31 Jul 2026 (8d)
APP	RetireInc:7291	1	$588.00	1x $465C 31 Jul 2026 (8d)
BMNR-LC10	RetireInc:7291	50	$17.13	50x $20C 7 Aug 2026 (15d)
COIN-LC145	RetireInc:7291	3	$182.40	3x $215C 14 Aug 2026 (22d)
COIN-LC165	Main:1299	8	$210.90	8x $200C 21 Aug 2026 (29d)
COIN-LC500	Main:1299	25	$563.00	25x $210C 14 Aug 2026 (22d)
COPX	Joint:1782	20	$93.40	20x $85C 31 Jul 2026 (8d)
CRWV	Neville:0865	5	$125.45	5x $97C 7 Aug 2026 (15d)
DELL	RetireInc:7291	3	$398.00	3x $475C 21 Aug 2026 (29d)
GLD	Main:1299	10	$456.00	10x $390C 21 Aug 2026 (29d)
GOOG-LC300	Neville:0865	15	$373.00	15x $370C 31 Jul 2026 (8d)
HIMS	Main:1299	15	$17.47	15x $40C 31 Jul 2026 (8d)
IGV	Main:1299	12	$96.50	12x $94C 31 Jul 2026 (8d) [LEAPS_ONLY, NO_HEDGE]
INTC	Neville:0865	5	$114.00	5x $116C 24 Jul 2026 (1d)
IREN-LC25-1299	Main:1299	20	$44.00	20x $55C 31 Jul 2026 (8d)
IREN-LC25-1782	Joint:1782	20	$44.00	20x $51C 31 Jul 2026 (8d)
IREN-LC45	Neville:0865	20	$56.50	20x $55C 7 Aug 2026 (15d)
IREN-LC50	RetireInc:7291	20	$63.43	20x $55C 7 Aug 2026 (15d)
MDB	Neville:0865	1	$362.90	1x $325C 31 Jul 2026 (8d)
META	Main:1299	3	$601.50	3x $660C 14 Aug 2026 (22d)
MSTR-LC125	RetireInc:7291	4	$161.00	4x $130C 7 Aug 2026 (15d)
MSTR-LC180	Joint:1782	10	$233.00	10x $125C 31 Jul 2026 (8d) [LEAPS_ONLY, NO_HEDGE]
MU-LC880	Main:1299	5	$1,028.60	5x $1050C 31 Jul 2026 (8d)
MU-LC970	Neville:0865	2	$1,220.00	2x $1040C 24 Jul 2026 (1d)
NEM	Main:1299	5	$114.54	5x $106C 7 Aug 2026 (15d)
NVDA	Neville:0865	5	$199.60	5x $220C 7 Aug 2026 (15d)
QCOM	RetireInc:7291	5	$224.00	5x $208C 7 Aug 2026 (15d)
RKLB	RetireInc:7291	6	$141.55	6x $83C 31 Jul 2026 (8d)
SPCX	Neville:0865	5	$186.00	5x $165C 7 Aug 2026 (15d)
SPY	Neville:0865	12	$764.00	12x $758C 27 Jul 2026 (4d) [LEAPS_ONLY, NO_HEDGE]
UAMY	RetireInc:7291	25	$12.45	25x $7C 14 Aug 2026 (22d)

Manage these with the roll table (fortress_fight --tickers T) or roll_calls.

📏 CALIBRATION: 887 of 1684 predictions resolved since 2026-07-02, is the model honest?

Predicted survival	N	Avg predicted	Realized OTM rate	Gap
0-60%	71	55%	85%	+29pp
60-70%	115	64%	88%	+24pp
70-80%	162	77%	98%	+22pp
80-90%	199	84%	99%	+15pp
90-100%	340	94%	100%	+6pp

Touch odds: predicted 38% avg vs realized 22% touch rate over 887 resolved (daily highs, exact intraday touch).

🚪 Roll actuals vs playbook: 87 real buyback(s) recorded · 28 roll(s), net +$0.67/sh avg.

Green gap: within 7pp. A persistent negative gap means survival is overstated (model too confident); positive means too conservative. N is small early; judge after ~30 resolved.

fortress_fight.py v6.2 --all | 2026-07-23 21:36

Gross FIGHT income	$1,125/mo
vs 50% target ($3,100/mo)	-64%
vs normal income ($6,200/mo)	18% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$983/mo

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$9,461
… as % of IC ($7,300)	129.6%
… as % of ML ($47,300)	20.0%
Recovery months (at normal income)	1.5 mo
Surgical close (10 ct)	$-21,860

Gross FIGHT income	$2,250/mo
vs 50% target ($3,100/mo)	-27%
vs normal income ($6,200/mo)	36% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$2,108/mo

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$11,661
… as % of IC ($7,300)	159.7%
… as % of ML ($47,300)	24.7%
Recovery months (at normal income)	1.9 mo
Surgical close (10 ct)	$-21,950

Gross FIGHT income	$3,308/mo
vs 50% target ($3,100/mo)	+7%
vs normal income ($6,200/mo)	53% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$3,189/mo

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$11,053
… as % of IC ($7,300)	151.4%
… as % of ML ($47,300)	23.4%
Recovery months (at normal income)	1.8 mo
Surgical close (9 ct)	$-19,606

Gross FIGHT income	$6,262/mo
vs 50% target ($3,100/mo)	+102%
vs normal income ($6,200/mo)	101% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$6,120/mo

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$15,591
… as % of IC ($7,300)	213.6%
… as % of ML ($47,300)	33.0%
Recovery months (at normal income)	2.5 mo
Surgical close (10 ct)	$-22,000

Gross FIGHT income	$188/mo
vs 50% target ($3,100/mo)	-94%
vs normal income ($6,200/mo)	3% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$45/mo

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$5,211
… as % of IC ($7,300)	71.4%
… as % of ML ($47,300)	11.0%
Recovery months (at normal income)	0.8 mo
Surgical close (10 ct)	$-21,835

Gross FIGHT income	$712/mo
vs 50% target ($3,100/mo)	-77%
vs normal income ($6,200/mo)	11% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$570/mo

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$6,071
… as % of IC ($7,300)	83.2%
… as % of ML ($47,300)	12.8%
Recovery months (at normal income)	1.0 mo
Surgical close (10 ct)	$-21,775

Gross FIGHT income	$488/mo
vs 50% target ($3,100/mo)	-84%
vs normal income ($6,200/mo)	8% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$345/mo

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$7,131
… as % of IC ($7,300)	97.7%
… as % of ML ($47,300)	15.1%
Recovery months (at normal income)	1.2 mo
Surgical close (10 ct)	$-21,845

Gross FIGHT income	$675/mo
vs 50% target ($3,100/mo)	-78%
vs normal income ($6,200/mo)	11% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$533/mo

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$8,081
… as % of IC ($7,300)	110.7%
… as % of ML ($47,300)	17.1%
Recovery months (at normal income)	1.3 mo
Surgical close (10 ct)	$-21,855

Gross FIGHT income	$975/mo
vs 50% target ($3,100/mo)	-69%
vs normal income ($6,200/mo)	16% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$833/mo

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$9,001
… as % of IC ($7,300)	123.3%
… as % of ML ($47,300)	19.0%
Recovery months (at normal income)	1.5 mo
Surgical close (10 ct)	$-21,840

Gross FIGHT income	$1,312/mo
vs 50% target ($3,100/mo)	-58%
vs normal income ($6,200/mo)	21% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$1,170/mo

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$9,911
… as % of IC ($7,300)	135.8%
… as % of ML ($47,300)	21.0%
Recovery months (at normal income)	1.6 mo
Surgical close (10 ct)	$-21,855

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$49.00 (1.5σ)	$350	$-10,570	+$11,100	+$230
+2.5%	$50.22 (1.7σ)	$-875	$-10,438	+$11,232	-$995
+5%	$51.45 (1.9σ)	$-2,100	$-10,306	+$11,364	-$2,220
SS (= V-bounce)	$56.15 (2.7σ)	$-6,800	$-9,798	+$11,872	-$6,770

Gross FIGHT income	$1,500/mo
vs 50% target ($3,100/mo)	-52%
vs normal income ($6,200/mo)	24% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$1,358/mo

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$10,361
… as % of IC ($7,300)	141.9%
… as % of ML ($47,300)	21.9%
Recovery months (at normal income)	1.7 mo
Surgical close (10 ct)	$-21,955

Spot \ Time	≥ 5d left	3-4d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $48.02	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $48-49.19	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $49.19	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$48.50 (1.4σ)	$400	$-11,074	+$10,596	+$280
+2.5%	$49.71 (1.6σ)	$-812	$-10,943	+$10,727	-$932
+5%	$50.93 (1.8σ)	$-2,025	$-10,813	+$10,857	-$2,145
SS (= V-bounce)	$56.15 (2.7σ)	$-7,250	$-10,248	+$11,422	-$7,220

Gross FIGHT income	$1,688/mo
vs 50% target ($3,100/mo)	-46%
vs normal income ($6,200/mo)	27% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$1,545/mo

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$10,811
… as % of IC ($7,300)	148.1%
… as % of ML ($47,300)	22.9%
Recovery months (at normal income)	1.7 mo
Surgical close (10 ct)	$-21,820

Spot \ Time	≥ 5d left	3-4d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $47.52	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $48-48.60	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $48.60	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$48.00 (1.4σ)	$450	$-11,578	+$10,092	+$330
+2.5%	$49.20 (1.6σ)	$-750	$-11,449	+$10,221	-$870
+5%	$50.40 (1.7σ)	$-1,950	$-11,319	+$10,351	-$2,070
SS (= V-bounce)	$56.15 (2.7σ)	$-7,700	$-10,698	+$10,972	-$7,670

Gross FIGHT income	$1,950/mo
vs 50% target ($3,100/mo)	-37%
vs normal income ($6,200/mo)	31% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$1,808/mo

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$11,241
… as % of IC ($7,300)	154.0%
… as % of ML ($47,300)	23.8%
Recovery months (at normal income)	1.8 mo
Surgical close (10 ct)	$-21,865

Spot \ Time	≥ 5d left	3-4d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $47.02	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $47-48.22	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $48.22	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$47.50 (1.3σ)	$520	$-12,062	+$9,608	+$400
+2.5%	$48.69 (1.5σ)	$-667	$-11,934	+$9,736	-$787
+5%	$49.88 (1.7σ)	$-1,855	$-11,806	+$9,864	-$1,975
SS (= V-bounce)	$56.15 (2.7σ)	$-8,130	$-11,128	+$10,542	-$8,100

Gross FIGHT income	$2,438/mo
vs 50% target ($3,100/mo)	-21%
vs normal income ($6,200/mo)	39% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$2,295/mo

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$12,111
… as % of IC ($7,300)	165.9%
… as % of ML ($47,300)	25.6%
Recovery months (at normal income)	2.0 mo
Surgical close (10 ct)	$-21,885