FORTRESS FIGHT: PORTFOLIO

47 fortress slices across 4 account(s) | 2 deep drawdown (FIGHT) | 6 underwater (not deep DD) | 8 skipped (CSV) | 0 uncapped above water | 31 capped (out of scope)

FIGHT income if all primaries filled: $32,396/mo (51% of normal target)

⚔ FIGHT: underwater & uncapped every ladder rung side by side; 🎯 = the recommended pick | click a rung for its roll menu + decision panel, ESC closes | fortress link = full dashboard

TUNE PICKSTouch ≤anySurv ≥anyCyc ≥floorsizing rulewhat-if lens only: the 🎯 picks, ladder, totals and panels never move. Tuned = the SAFEST strike meeting your gates (the engine's own objective at your floor), sized to the cycle target. The S/T/C presets under each Tuned cell override these sliders for that row only; every tuned pick opens its own decision panel.

POSITION				INCOME LADDER · SAFEST ⟶ RICHEST				TUNED	RECOVERY
Fortress	Ct	Price	CC-SS	🛡 Safe yield	33% normal	50% normal	100% normal	Tuned	Banked	Cap @ CC-SS	↑ whole
ENPH ↗⚡ER 7d RetireInc:7291 · Next Fri	10	$40.15	$59.00	10 × $50 $550 cyc · $2,062/mo 90% surv · T:21%	10 × $49 $600 cyc · $2,250/mo 88% surv · T:25%	🎯⚡ 10 × $47 $980 cyc · $3,675/mo 83% surv · T:27%	10 × $43 $1,940 cyc · $7,275/mo 68% surv · T:69%	— S≥708090T≤253040C≥2505001k×	$2,164	-$11,023 (151.0% IC)	47.0%
BBC · LEGACY STRUCTURES known structurally inefficient and not being restructured; the plan is CC income while the underlying repairs, so treat any REBUILD / restructure verdict on these as informational
GLXY ↗⚡ER 14d Main:1299 · Next Fri	125	$25.08	$33.51	125 × $30.50 $2,500 cyc · $9,375/mo 90% surv · T:20%	🎯 123 × $29 $5,043 cyc · $18,911/mo 84% surv · T:39%	111 × $27.50 $7,659 cyc · $28,721/mo 75% surv · T:52%	112 × $25.50 $15,344 cyc · $57,540/mo 57% surv · T:91%	— S≥708090T≤253040C≥2505001k×	$879	-$50,373 (182.3% IC)	33.6%
TOTAL (2)	135	following every 🎯 $6,023 cyc · $22,586/mo		$3,050 cyc · $11,438/mo	$5,643 cyc · $21,161/mo	$8,639 cyc · $32,396/mo	$17,284 cyc · $64,815/mo		$3,043	-$61,396

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (10 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$50	7 Aug 2026	11d left	+$0.32/sh	+$317 cycle +$867 [-$78…+$859] · 71% credit	68% surv 53%	-$8,690 NOT cap gain +$11,820
Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%)	~$51	14 Aug 2026	18d left	+$0.52/sh	+$519 cycle +$1,069 [-$131…+$1,092] · 69% credit	68% surv 58%	-$7,542 NOT cap gain +$12,968
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)	~$50	7 Aug 2026	11d left	+$0.24/sh	+$241 cycle +$791 [-$154…+$771] · 64% credit	69% surv 55%	-$8,377 NOT cap gain +$12,133
Max even-money escape in the band	~$52	14 Aug 2026	18d left	+$0.11/sh	+$108 cycle +$658 [-$612…+$656] · 45% credit	70% surv 61%	-$6,842 NOT cap gain +$13,668
SS $56 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)	~$54	14 Aug 2026	18d left	-$0.48/sh	-$483 cycle +$67 [-$1,165…+$63] · 26% credit	76% surv 68%	-$5,209 NOT cap gain +$15,301
budget: banked $550 debit $483 (88% used ≈ 1.0 wk of income) → whole cycle still +$67 cash · rolled 10 ct earn ≈ $4,360/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell

Spot \ Time	≥ 5d left	3-4d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $49.50	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $50-50.62	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $50.62	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$50.00 (1.4σ)	$550	$-9,007	+$11,503	+$200
+2.5%	$51.25 (1.6σ)	$-700	$-8,867	+$11,643	-$1,050
+5%	$52.50 (1.8σ)	$-1,950	$-8,727	+$11,783	-$2,300
SS (= V-bounce)	$56.15 (2.3σ)	$-5,600	$-8,318	+$12,192	-$4,800

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (10 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$49	7 Aug 2026	11d left	+$0.34/sh	+$344 cycle +$944 [-$53…+$796] · 69% credit	68% surv 53%	-$9,724 NOT cap gain +$10,786
Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%)	~$50	14 Aug 2026	18d left	+$0.54/sh	+$539 cycle +$1,139 [-$132…+$918] · 67% credit	68% surv 58%	-$8,585 NOT cap gain +$11,925
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)	~$50	7 Aug 2026	11d left	+$0.01/sh	+$15 cycle +$615 [-$455…+$418] · 43% credit	70% surv 57%	-$9,109 NOT cap gain +$11,401
Max even-money escape in the band	~$51	14 Aug 2026	18d left	+$0.13/sh	+$129 cycle +$729 [-$620…+$470] · 43% credit	70% surv 61%	-$7,883 NOT cap gain +$12,627
SS $56 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)	~$53	14 Aug 2026	18d left	-$0.46/sh	-$456 cycle +$144 [-$1,166…-$118] · 21% credit	76% surv 68%	-$6,244 NOT cap gain +$14,266
budget: banked $600 debit $456 (76% used ≈ 0.9 wk of income) → whole cycle still +$144 cash · rolled 10 ct earn ≈ $4,303/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell

Spot \ Time	≥ 5d left	3-4d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $48.51	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $49-49.75	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $49.75	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$49.00 (1.3σ)	$600	$-10,069	+$10,441	+$250
+2.5%	$50.22 (1.4σ)	$-625	$-9,932	+$10,578	-$975
+5%	$51.45 (1.6σ)	$-1,850	$-9,794	+$10,716	-$2,200
SS (= V-bounce)	$56.15 (2.3σ)	$-6,550	$-9,268	+$11,242	-$5,750

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (10 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$47	7 Aug 2026	11d left	+$0.40/sh	+$395 cycle +$1,375 [-$82…+$695] · 69% credit	68% surv 54%	-$11,518 NOT cap gain +$8,992
Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%)	~$48	14 Aug 2026	18d left	+$0.57/sh	+$573 cycle +$1,553 [-$213…+$790] · 67% credit	69% surv 58%	-$10,394 NOT cap gain +$10,116
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)	~$48	7 Aug 2026	11d left	+$0.07/sh	+$65 cycle +$1,045 [-$475…+$287] · 42% credit	70% surv 58%	-$10,902 NOT cap gain +$9,608
Max even-money escape in the band	~$49	14 Aug 2026	18d left	+$0.17/sh	+$167 cycle +$1,147 [-$675…+$336] · 41% credit	70% surv 61%	-$9,689 NOT cap gain +$10,821
SS $56 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)	~$52	14 Aug 2026	18d left	-$0.80/sh	-$798 cycle +$182 [-$1,723…-$677] · 8% credit	78% surv 72%	-$7,317 NOT cap gain +$13,193
budget: banked $980 debit $798 (81% used ≈ 0.9 wk of income) → whole cycle still +$182 cash · rolled 10 ct earn ≈ $3,527/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell

Spot \ Time	≥ 5d left	3-4d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $46.53	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $47-48.06	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $48.06	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$47.00 (≤1σ, normal week)	$980	$-11,913	+$8,597	+$630
+2.5%	$48.17 (1.2σ)	$-195	$-11,781	+$8,729	-$545
+5%	$49.35 (1.3σ)	$-1,370	$-11,650	+$8,860	-$1,720
SS (= V-bounce)	$56.15 (2.3σ)	$-8,170	$-10,888	+$9,622	-$7,370

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (10 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$43	7 Aug 2026	11d left	+$0.48/sh	+$480 cycle +$2,420 [-$157…+$343] · 54% credit	68% surv 54%	-$14,921 NOT cap gain +$5,589
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)	~$44	7 Aug 2026	11d left	+$0.15/sh	+$149 cycle +$2,089 [-$554…-$39] · 23% credit	70% surv 58%	-$14,306 NOT cap gain +$6,204
Max even-money escape in the band	~$46	14 Aug 2026	18d left	+$0.03/sh	+$27 cycle +$1,967 [-$1,092…-$306] · 15% credit	73% surv 65%	-$12,205 NOT cap gain +$8,305
SS $56 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)	~$53	14 Aug 2026	18d left	-$1.63/sh	-$1,628 cycle +$312 [-$3,124…-$2,102]	87% surv 85%	-$6,076 NOT cap gain +$14,434
budget: banked $1,940 debit $1,628 (84% used ≈ 1.0 wk of income) → whole cycle still +$312 cash · rolled 10 ct earn ≈ $1,730/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell

Spot \ Time	≥ 5d left	3-4d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $42.57	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $43-45.12	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $45.12	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$43.00 (≤1σ, normal week)	$1,940	$-15,401	+$5,109	+$1,590
+2.5%	$44.07 (≤1σ, normal week)	$865	$-15,280	+$5,230	+$515
+5%	$45.15 (≤1σ, normal week)	$-210	$-15,160	+$5,350	-$560
SS (= V-bounce)	$56.15 (2.3σ)	$-11,210	$-13,928	+$6,582	-$10,410

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (10 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$60	7 Aug 2026	11d left	-$0.03/sh	-$33 cycle +$67	68% surv 53%	+$1,630 SAFE cap gain +$22,140
Max even-money escape in the band	~$61	14 Aug 2026	18d left	+$0.25/sh	+$245 cycle +$345	68% surv 57%	+$2,854 SAFE cap gain +$23,364

Spot \ Time	≥ 5d left	3-4d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $59.40	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $59-60.12	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $60.12	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$60.00 (2.9σ)	$100	$1,663	+$22,173	+$4,750
+2.5%	$61.50 (3.1σ)	$-1,400	$1,831	+$22,341	+$4,750
+5%	$63.00 (3.3σ)	$-2,900	$1,999	+$22,509	+$4,750

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (10 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$59	7 Aug 2026	11d left	+$0.01/sh	+$8 cycle +$118 [+$45…+$1,194] · 77% credit	68% surv 53%	+$569 SAFE cap gain +$21,079
Max even-money escape in the band	~$60	14 Aug 2026	18d left	+$0.28/sh	+$279 cycle +$389 [-$215…+$1,544] · 70% credit	68% surv 57%	+$1,786 SAFE cap gain +$22,296

Spot \ Time	≥ 5d left	3-4d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $58.41	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $58-60.13	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $60.13	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$59.00 (2.7σ)	$110	$561	+$21,071	+$3,760
+2.5%	$60.47 (2.9σ)	$-1,365	$726	+$21,236	+$3,760
+5%	$61.95 (3.1σ)	$-2,840	$892	+$21,402	+$3,760

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (10 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$57	7 Aug 2026	11d left	+$0.09/sh	+$87 cycle +$157 [+$188…+$1,250] · 79% credit	68% surv 53%	-$1,616 NOT cap gain +$18,894
Max even-money escape in the band	~$58	14 Aug 2026	18d left	+$0.34/sh	+$343 cycle +$413 [+$187…+$1,546] · 78% credit	68% surv 57%	-$415 NOT cap gain +$20,095
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)	~$57	7 Aug 2026	11d left	+$0.01/sh	+$15 cycle +$85 [+$81…+$1,147] · 77% credit	69% surv 55%	-$1,299 NOT cap gain +$19,211
Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%)	~$60	14 Aug 2026	18d left	-$0.27/sh	-$271 cycle -$201 [-$517…+$891] · 60% credit	72% surv 63%	+$1,196 SAFE cap gain +$21,706

Spot \ Time	≥ 5d left	3-4d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $56.43	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $56-57.21	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $57.21	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$57.00 (2.4σ)	$70	$-1,703	+$18,807	+$1,720
+2.5%	$58.42 (2.6σ)	$-1,355	$-1,543	+$18,967	+$1,720
+5%	$59.85 (2.8σ)	$-2,780	$-1,384	+$19,126	+$1,720

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (10 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$55	7 Aug 2026	11d left	+$0.16/sh	+$159 cycle +$299 [+$141…+$1,162] · 84% credit	68% surv 53%	-$3,697 NOT cap gain +$16,813
Max even-money escape in the band	~$56	14 Aug 2026	18d left	+$0.40/sh	+$401 cycle +$541 [+$166…+$1,426] · 81% credit	68% surv 57%	-$2,511 NOT cap gain +$17,999
SS $56 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)	~$55	7 Aug 2026	11d left	+$0.09/sh	+$86 cycle +$226 [+$58…+$1,069] · 79% credit	69% surv 55%	-$3,381 NOT cap gain +$17,129

Spot \ Time	≥ 5d left	3-4d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $54.45	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $54-55.22	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $55.22	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$55.00 (2.1σ)	$140	$-3,857	+$16,653	-$210
+2.5%	$56.37 (2.3σ)	$-1,235	$-3,703	+$16,807	-$210
+5%	$57.75 (2.5σ)	$-2,610	$-3,549	+$16,961	-$210

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (10 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$54	7 Aug 2026	11d left	+$0.19/sh	+$194 cycle +$384 [+$74…+$1,120] · 78% credit	68% surv 53%	-$4,725 NOT cap gain +$15,785
Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%)	~$55	14 Aug 2026	18d left	+$0.43/sh	+$427 cycle +$617 [+$29…+$1,341] · 75% credit	68% surv 57%	-$3,546 NOT cap gain +$16,964
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)	~$54	7 Aug 2026	11d left	+$0.12/sh	+$120 cycle +$310 [-$17…+$1,025] · 74% credit	69% surv 55%	-$4,409 NOT cap gain +$16,101
Max even-money escape in the band	~$56	14 Aug 2026	18d left	+$0.01/sh	+$10 cycle +$200 [-$499…+$862] · 56% credit	70% surv 60%	-$2,852 NOT cap gain +$17,658
SS $56 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)	~$57	14 Aug 2026	18d left	-$0.18/sh	-$184 cycle +$6 [-$719…+$622] · 48% credit	72% surv 63%	-$1,933 NOT cap gain +$18,577
budget: banked $190 debit $184 (97% used ≈ 1.1 wk of income) → whole cycle still +$6 cash · rolled 10 ct earn ≈ $5,273/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell · clears SS ✓

Spot \ Time	≥ 5d left	3-4d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $53.46	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $53-54.29	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $54.29	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$54.00 (2.0σ)	$190	$-4,919	+$15,591	-$160
+2.5%	$55.35 (2.2σ)	$-1,160	$-4,768	+$15,742	-$1,160
+5%	$56.70 (2.4σ)	$-2,510	$-4,616	+$15,894	-$1,160

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (10 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$53	7 Aug 2026	11d left	+$0.23/sh	+$227 cycle +$517 [+$22…+$1,154] · 76% credit	68% surv 53%	-$5,704 NOT cap gain +$14,806
Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%)	~$54	14 Aug 2026	18d left	+$0.45/sh	+$452 cycle +$742 [+$48…+$1,354] · 76% credit	68% surv 57%	-$4,533 NOT cap gain +$15,977
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)	~$53	7 Aug 2026	11d left	+$0.15/sh	+$153 cycle +$443 [-$56…+$1,051] · 72% credit	69% surv 55%	-$5,389 NOT cap gain +$15,121
Max even-money escape in the band	~$55	14 Aug 2026	18d left	+$0.04/sh	+$36 cycle +$326 [-$415…+$895] · 54% credit	70% surv 60%	-$3,837 NOT cap gain +$16,673
SS $56 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)	~$56	14 Aug 2026	18d left	-$0.16/sh	-$157 cycle +$133 [-$665…+$671] · 46% credit	72% surv 63%	-$2,919 NOT cap gain +$17,591
budget: banked $290 debit $157 (54% used ≈ 0.6 wk of income) → whole cycle still +$133 cash · rolled 10 ct earn ≈ $5,214/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell

Spot \ Time	≥ 5d left	3-4d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $52.47	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $52-53.38	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $53.38	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

⏱ TRIPWIRE STATUS, 31 active short call(s) 1 watch

The one rule, applied to live marks: roll when remaining time value ≤ max($0.04, 25% of collected) or spot at/past breakeven (strike + premium). Statuses refresh on every run; challenges happen during US RTH (your night), so a TRIPPED row here means act at the open or set the order now.

Fortress	Acct	Call	Spot	Breakeven	Mark	Time value	Status	Action
NVDA	Neville:0865	5x $220C 7 Aug 2026 (15d)	$214.09	$224.27	$4.55	$4.55	WATCH ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 5.91 OTM. The $4.55 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$2,110 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $224.27 (breakeven). 🚪 Escape paths deferred , NVDA is a heavy chain and this call is WATCH, not TRIPPED, so it was not fetched to keep the portfolio run fast. For the live roll menu, run `fortress_fight.py --tickers NVDA`.
MU-LC970	Neville:0865	2x $1040C 24 Jul 2026 (1d)	$975.83	$1,047.99	$9.20	$9.20	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 64.17 OTM. The $9.20 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$1,588 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $1,047.99 (breakeven).
INTC	Neville:0865	5x $116C 24 Jul 2026 (1d)	$104.72	$117.62	$2.51	$2.51	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 11.28 OTM. The $2.51 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$784 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $117.62 (breakeven).
SPY	Neville:0865	12x $758C 27 Jul 2026 (4d)	$749.16	$758.65	$0.43	$0.43	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 8.84 OTM. The $0.43 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$719 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $758.65 (breakeven).
IGV	Main:1299	12x $93.5C 31 Jul 2026 (8d)	$89.19	$94.30	$0.70	$0.70	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 4.31 OTM. The $0.70 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$899 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $94.30 (breakeven).
COPX	Joint:1782	20x $85C 31 Jul 2026 (8d)	$79.89	$85.40	$0.80	$0.80	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 5.11 OTM. The $0.80 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$705 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $85.40 (breakeven).
GOOG-LC300	Neville:0865	15x $370C 31 Jul 2026 (8d)	$347.23	$385.01	$4.08	$4.08	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 22.77 OTM. The $4.08 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$22,444 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $385.01 (breakeven).
MDB	Neville:0865	1x $325C 31 Jul 2026 (8d)	$303.92	$331.10	$6.88	$6.88	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 21.08 OTM. The $6.88 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$605 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $331.10 (breakeven).
MU-LC880	Main:1299	5x $1050C 31 Jul 2026 (8d)	$975.83	$1,069.99	$39.98	$39.98	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 74.17 OTM. The $39.98 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$9,972 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $1,069.99 (breakeven).
AMZN	Joint:1782	10x $265C 31 Jul 2026 (8d)	$242.96	$267.79	$2.54	$2.54	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 22.04 OTM. The $2.54 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$2,736 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $267.79 (breakeven).
APP	RetireInc:7291	1x $465C 31 Jul 2026 (8d)	$411.92	$475.80	$4.50	$4.50	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 53.08 OTM. The $4.50 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$1,075 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $475.80 (breakeven).
RKLB	RetireInc:7291	6x $83C 31 Jul 2026 (8d)	$71.36	$84.05	$0.96	$0.96	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 11.64 OTM. The $0.96 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$602 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $84.05 (breakeven).
IREN-LC25-1782	Joint:1782	20x $51C 31 Jul 2026 (8d)	$42.07	$51.96	$0.84	$0.84	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 8.93 OTM. The $0.84 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$1,813 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $51.96 (breakeven).
HIMS	Main:1299	15x $39.5C 31 Jul 2026 (8d)	$32.27	$40.17	$0.43	$0.43	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 7.23 OTM. The $0.43 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$923 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $40.17 (breakeven).
MSTR-LC180	Joint:1782	10x $125C 31 Jul 2026 (8d)	$100.17	$125.99	$0.45	$0.45	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 24.83 OTM. The $0.45 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$942 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $125.99 (breakeven).
IREN-LC25-1299	Main:1299	20x $55C 31 Jul 2026 (8d)	$42.07	$55.50	$0.39	$0.39	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 12.93 OTM. The $0.39 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$905 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $55.50 (breakeven).
NEM	Main:1299	5x $106C 7 Aug 2026 (15d)	$95.60	$107.00	$1.05	$1.05	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 10.40 OTM. The $1.05 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$476 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $107.00 (breakeven).
BMNR-LC10	RetireInc:7291	50x $20.5C 7 Aug 2026 (15d)	$17.64	$20.75	$0.36	$0.36	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 2.86 OTM. The $0.36 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$1,013 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $20.75 (breakeven).
CRWV	Neville:0865	5x $97C 7 Aug 2026 (15d)	$83.38	$100.20	$3.08	$3.08	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 13.62 OTM. The $3.08 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$1,577 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $100.20 (breakeven).
QCOM	RetireInc:7291	5x $207.5C 7 Aug 2026 (15d)	$176.65	$210.57	$2.95	$2.95	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 30.85 OTM. The $2.95 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$1,510 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $210.57 (breakeven).
MSTR-LC125	RetireInc:7291	4x $130C 7 Aug 2026 (15d)	$100.17	$131.32	$0.75	$0.75	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 29.83 OTM. The $0.75 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$509 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $131.32 (breakeven).
IREN-LC45	Neville:0865	20x $55C 7 Aug 2026 (15d)	$42.07	$55.87	$0.98	$0.98	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 12.93 OTM. The $0.98 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$1,638 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $55.87 (breakeven).
IREN-LC50	RetireInc:7291	20x $55C 7 Aug 2026 (15d)	$42.07	$55.85	$0.98	$0.98	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 12.93 OTM. The $0.98 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$1,610 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $55.85 (breakeven).
SPCX	Neville:0865	5x $165C 7 Aug 2026 (15d)	$119.41	$167.67	$1.88	$1.88	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 45.59 OTM. The $1.88 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$1,308 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $167.67 (breakeven).
META	Main:1299	3x $660C 14 Aug 2026 (22d)	$627.51	$684.19	$23.60	$23.60	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 32.49 OTM. The $23.60 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$7,243 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $684.19 (breakeven).
UAMY	RetireInc:7291	25x $7C 14 Aug 2026 (22d)	$5.91	$7.35	$0.30	$0.30	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 1.09 OTM. The $0.30 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$758 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $7.35 (breakeven).
COIN-LC500	Main:1299	25x $210C 14 Aug 2026 (22d)	$169.23	$216.23	$3.28	$3.28	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 40.77 OTM. The $3.28 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$15,443 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $216.23 (breakeven).
COIN-LC145	RetireInc:7291	3x $215C 14 Aug 2026 (22d)	$169.23	$220.23	$2.73	$2.73	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 45.77 OTM. The $2.73 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$1,553 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $220.23 (breakeven).
GLD	Main:1299	10x $390C 21 Aug 2026 (29d)	$379.97	$396.32	$5.70	$5.70	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 10.03 OTM. The $5.70 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$6,268 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $396.32 (breakeven).
DELL	RetireInc:7291	3x $475C 21 Aug 2026 (29d)	$444.07	$505.00	$30.50	$30.50	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 30.93 OTM. The $30.50 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$8,985 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $505.00 (breakeven).
COIN-LC165	Main:1299	8x $200C 21 Aug 2026 (29d)	$169.23	$210.42	$6.05	$6.05	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 30.77 OTM. The $6.05 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$8,298 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $210.42 (breakeven).

UNDERWATER, but NOT a deep drawdown sell the richest CC still ≥80% survival at/above CC-SS (not a blind CC-SS sale), sorted by touch odds

Fortress	Acct	Ct	Price	CC-SS	↑ whole	Sell strike	Touch odds	Per cycle	Income @ strike	Normal income	Action
GOOG-LC340 ↗⚡ER TMRW	Neville:0865	5	$347.12	$375.90	8.3%	$380 31 Jul 2026 (8d) · 88% surv	25%	$1,135	$4,256/mo (33%)	$13,050/mo	sell 5x $380 CC
NOW ↗⚡ER TMRW	Main:1299	10	$95.47	$113.23	18.6%	$114 31 Jul 2026 (8d) · 88% surv	25%	$1,430	$5,362/mo (39%)	$13,660/mo	sell 10x $114 CC
MARA-LC40 ↗⚡ER 7d	Main:1299	200	$12.52	$14.89	19.0%	$15 7 Aug 2026 (15d) · 84% surv	35%	$6,200	$12,400/mo (30%)	$40,804/mo	sell 200x $15 CC
RIOT ↗BBC⚡ER 9d	Joint:1782	50	$23.41	$20.94	0.0%	$27 31 Jul 2026 (8d) · 83% surv	36%	$2,350	$8,812/mo (43%)	$20,500/mo	sell 50x $27 CC
CLSK ↗⚡ER 16d	RetireInc:7291	25	$15.39	$17.18	11.6%	$17.50 31 Jul 2026 (8d) · 82% surv	37%	$725	$2,719/mo (43%)	$6,250/mo	sell 25x $17.50 CC
GOOG-LC310 ↗⚡ER TMRW	Joint:1782	5	$347.12	$338.58	0.0%	$370 31 Jul 2026 (8d) · 80% surv	41%	$2,000	$7,500/mo (57%)	$13,050/mo	sell 5x $370 CC

⏸ SKIPPED BY CSV: 8 fortress slice(s) these qualify for FIGHT but carry Skip; in active_fortresses.csv (earnings, event, bullish momentum). Not analyzed, no recommendation, excluded from every income total and from the cc_manager seam. Existing short calls on them are still tripwired below. Remove the tag to bring them back.

Fortress	Acct	Ct	Price	BE SS	Why excluded
BMNR-LC23-1299	Main:1299	75	$17.64	$39.13	excluded by CSV (Skip) · 54.9% below BE SS · also tagged: Half Max
BMNR-LC23-1782	Joint:1782	150	$17.64	$30.29	excluded by CSV (Skip) · 41.8% below BE SS · also tagged: Half Max
BMNR-LC25	Main:1299	50	$17.64	$44.46	excluded by CSV (Skip) · 60.3% below BE SS · also tagged: Half Max
ETHA	Main:1299	50	$14.67	$17.33	excluded by CSV (Skip) · 15.3% below BE SS
IBIT	Joint:1782	50	$37.46	$70.58	excluded by CSV (Skip) · 46.9% below BE SS [LEAPS_ONLY, NO_HEDGE]
MARA-LC20-1299	Main:1299	200	$12.49	$22.69	excluded by CSV (Skip) · 44.9% below BE SS · also tagged: Half Max
MARA-LC20-1782	Joint:1782	50	$12.49	$24.33	excluded by CSV (Skip) · 48.6% below BE SS · also tagged: Half Max
MARA-LC25	Neville:0865	250	$12.49	$26.40	excluded by CSV (Skip) · 52.7% below BE SS

CAPPED: 31 fortress slice(s) with CCs already sold, excluded from FIGHT scope

Fortress	Acct	Ct	BE SS	Active short calls
AMZN	Joint:1782	10	$256.25	10x $265C 31 Jul 2026 (8d)
APP	RetireInc:7291	1	$588.00	1x $465C 31 Jul 2026 (8d)
BMNR-LC10	RetireInc:7291	50	$17.13	50x $20C 7 Aug 2026 (15d)
COIN-LC145	RetireInc:7291	3	$182.40	3x $215C 14 Aug 2026 (22d)
COIN-LC165	Main:1299	8	$210.90	8x $200C 21 Aug 2026 (29d)
COIN-LC500	Main:1299	25	$563.00	25x $210C 14 Aug 2026 (22d)
COPX	Joint:1782	20	$93.40	20x $85C 31 Jul 2026 (8d)
CRWV	Neville:0865	5	$125.45	5x $97C 7 Aug 2026 (15d)
DELL	RetireInc:7291	3	$398.00	3x $475C 21 Aug 2026 (29d)
GLD	Main:1299	10	$456.00	10x $390C 21 Aug 2026 (29d)
GOOG-LC300	Neville:0865	15	$373.00	15x $370C 31 Jul 2026 (8d)
HIMS	Main:1299	15	$17.47	15x $40C 31 Jul 2026 (8d)
IGV	Main:1299	12	$96.50	12x $94C 31 Jul 2026 (8d) [LEAPS_ONLY, NO_HEDGE]
INTC	Neville:0865	5	$114.00	5x $116C 24 Jul 2026 (1d)
IREN-LC25-1299	Main:1299	20	$44.00	20x $55C 31 Jul 2026 (8d)
IREN-LC25-1782	Joint:1782	20	$44.00	20x $51C 31 Jul 2026 (8d)
IREN-LC45	Neville:0865	20	$56.50	20x $55C 7 Aug 2026 (15d)
IREN-LC50	RetireInc:7291	20	$63.43	20x $55C 7 Aug 2026 (15d)
MDB	Neville:0865	1	$362.90	1x $325C 31 Jul 2026 (8d)
META	Main:1299	3	$601.50	3x $660C 14 Aug 2026 (22d)
MSTR-LC125	RetireInc:7291	4	$161.00	4x $130C 7 Aug 2026 (15d)
MSTR-LC180	Joint:1782	10	$233.00	10x $125C 31 Jul 2026 (8d) [LEAPS_ONLY, NO_HEDGE]
MU-LC880	Main:1299	5	$1,028.60	5x $1050C 31 Jul 2026 (8d)
MU-LC970	Neville:0865	2	$1,220.00	2x $1040C 24 Jul 2026 (1d)
NEM	Main:1299	5	$114.54	5x $106C 7 Aug 2026 (15d)
NVDA	Neville:0865	5	$199.60	5x $220C 7 Aug 2026 (15d)
QCOM	RetireInc:7291	5	$224.00	5x $208C 7 Aug 2026 (15d)
RKLB	RetireInc:7291	6	$141.55	6x $83C 31 Jul 2026 (8d)
SPCX	Neville:0865	5	$186.00	5x $165C 7 Aug 2026 (15d)
SPY	Neville:0865	12	$764.00	12x $758C 27 Jul 2026 (4d) [LEAPS_ONLY, NO_HEDGE]
UAMY	RetireInc:7291	25	$12.45	25x $7C 14 Aug 2026 (22d)

Manage these with the roll table (fortress_fight --tickers T) or roll_calls.

📏 CALIBRATION: 887 of 1662 predictions resolved since 2026-07-02, is the model honest?

Predicted survival	N	Avg predicted	Realized OTM rate	Gap
0-60%	71	55%	85%	+29pp
60-70%	115	64%	88%	+24pp
70-80%	162	77%	98%	+22pp
80-90%	199	84%	99%	+15pp
90-100%	340	94%	100%	+6pp

Touch odds: predicted 38% avg vs realized 22% touch rate over 887 resolved (daily highs, exact intraday touch).

🚪 Roll actuals vs playbook: 87 real buyback(s) recorded · 28 roll(s), net +$0.67/sh avg.

Green gap: within 7pp. A persistent negative gap means survival is overstated (model too confident); positive means too conservative. N is small early; judge after ~30 resolved.

fortress_fight.py v6.2 --all | 2026-07-23 01:47

Gross FIGHT income	$2,062/mo
vs 50% target ($3,400/mo)	-39%
vs normal income ($6,800/mo)	30% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$1,989/mo

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$8,453
… as % of IC ($7,300)	115.8%
… as % of ML ($47,300)	17.9%
Recovery months (at normal income)	1.2 mo
Surgical close (10 ct)	$-20,580

Gross FIGHT income	$2,250/mo
vs 50% target ($3,400/mo)	-34%
vs normal income ($6,800/mo)	33% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$2,176/mo

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$9,403
… as % of IC ($7,300)	128.8%
… as % of ML ($47,300)	19.9%
Recovery months (at normal income)	1.4 mo
Surgical close (10 ct)	$-20,660

Gross FIGHT income	$3,675/mo
vs 50% target ($3,400/mo)	+8%
vs normal income ($6,800/mo)	54% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$3,601/mo

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$11,023
… as % of IC ($7,300)	151.0%
… as % of ML ($47,300)	23.3%
Recovery months (at normal income)	1.6 mo
Surgical close (10 ct)	$-20,595

Gross FIGHT income	$7,275/mo
vs 50% target ($3,400/mo)	+114%
vs normal income ($6,800/mo)	107% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$7,201/mo

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$14,063
… as % of IC ($7,300)	192.6%
… as % of ML ($47,300)	29.7%
Recovery months (at normal income)	2.1 mo
Surgical close (10 ct)	$-20,690

Gross FIGHT income	$375/mo
vs 50% target ($3,400/mo)	-89%
vs normal income ($6,800/mo)	6% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$301/mo

Gross FIGHT income	$412/mo
vs 50% target ($3,400/mo)	-88%
vs normal income ($6,800/mo)	6% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$339/mo

Gross FIGHT income	$262/mo
vs 50% target ($3,400/mo)	-92%
vs normal income ($6,800/mo)	4% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$189/mo

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$1,933
… as % of IC ($7,300)	26.5%
… as % of ML ($47,300)	4.1%
Recovery months (at normal income)	0.3 mo
Surgical close (10 ct)	$-20,650

Gross FIGHT income	$525/mo
vs 50% target ($3,400/mo)	-85%
vs normal income ($6,800/mo)	8% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$451/mo

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$3,863
… as % of IC ($7,300)	52.9%
… as % of ML ($47,300)	8.2%
Recovery months (at normal income)	0.6 mo
Surgical close (10 ct)	$-20,590

Gross FIGHT income	$712/mo
vs 50% target ($3,400/mo)	-79%
vs normal income ($6,800/mo)	10% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$639/mo

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$4,813
… as % of IC ($7,300)	65.9%
… as % of ML ($47,300)	10.2%
Recovery months (at normal income)	0.7 mo
Surgical close (10 ct)	$-20,610

Gross FIGHT income	$1,087/mo
vs 50% target ($3,400/mo)	-68%
vs normal income ($6,800/mo)	16% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$1,014/mo

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$5,713
… as % of IC ($7,300)	78.3%
… as % of ML ($47,300)	12.1%
Recovery months (at normal income)	0.8 mo
Surgical close (10 ct)	$-20,605

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$53.00 (1.8σ)	$290	$-5,931	+$14,579	-$60
+2.5%	$54.32 (2.0σ)	$-1,035	$-5,782	+$14,728	-$1,385
+5%	$55.65 (2.2σ)	$-2,360	$-5,634	+$14,876	-$2,060
SS (= V-bounce)	$56.15 (2.3σ)	$-2,860	$-5,578	+$14,932	-$2,060

Gross FIGHT income	$1,312/mo
vs 50% target ($3,400/mo)	-61%
vs normal income ($6,800/mo)	19% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$1,239/mo

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$6,653
… as % of IC ($7,300)	91.1%
… as % of ML ($47,300)	14.1%
Recovery months (at normal income)	1.0 mo
Surgical close (10 ct)	$-20,635

Spot \ Time	≥ 5d left	3-4d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $51.48	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $51-52.48	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $52.48	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$52.00 (1.7σ)	$350	$-6,983	+$13,527	+$0
+2.5%	$53.30 (1.9σ)	$-950	$-6,837	+$13,673	-$1,300
+5%	$54.60 (2.1σ)	$-2,250	$-6,692	+$13,818	-$2,600
SS (= V-bounce)	$56.15 (2.3σ)	$-3,800	$-6,518	+$13,992	-$3,000

Gross FIGHT income	$1,425/mo
vs 50% target ($3,400/mo)	-58%
vs normal income ($6,800/mo)	21% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$1,351/mo

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$7,623
… as % of IC ($7,300)	104.4%
… as % of ML ($47,300)	16.1%
Recovery months (at normal income)	1.1 mo
Surgical close (10 ct)	$-20,660

Spot \ Time	≥ 5d left	3-4d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $50.49	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $50-51.53	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $51.53	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$51.00 (1.6σ)	$380	$-8,065	+$12,445	+$30
+2.5%	$52.27 (1.7σ)	$-895	$-7,922	+$12,588	-$1,245
+5%	$53.55 (1.9σ)	$-2,170	$-7,779	+$12,731	-$2,520
SS (= V-bounce)	$56.15 (2.3σ)	$-4,770	$-7,488	+$13,022	-$3,970

Gross FIGHT income	$2,025/mo
vs 50% target ($3,400/mo)	-40%
vs normal income ($6,800/mo)	30% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$1,951/mo

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$8,963
… as % of IC ($7,300)	122.8%
… as % of ML ($47,300)	18.9%
Recovery months (at normal income)	1.3 mo
Surgical close (10 ct)	$-20,685

Spot \ Time	≥ 5d left	3-4d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $49.01	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $49-50.22	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $50.22	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$49.50 (1.3σ)	$540	$-9,573	+$10,937	+$190
+2.5%	$50.74 (1.5σ)	$-697	$-9,434	+$11,076	-$1,047
+5%	$51.98 (1.7σ)	$-1,935	$-9,296	+$11,214	-$2,285
SS (= V-bounce)	$56.15 (2.3σ)	$-6,110	$-8,828	+$11,682	-$5,310

Gross FIGHT income	$2,588/mo
vs 50% target ($3,400/mo)	-24%
vs normal income ($6,800/mo)	38% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$2,514/mo

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$9,813
… as % of IC ($7,300)	134.4%
… as % of ML ($47,300)	20.7%
Recovery months (at normal income)	1.4 mo
Surgical close (10 ct)	$-20,765

Spot \ Time	≥ 5d left	3-4d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $48.02	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $48-49.45	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $49.45	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$48.50 (1.2σ)	$690	$-10,535	+$9,975	+$340
+2.5%	$49.71 (1.4σ)	$-522	$-10,399	+$10,111	-$872
+5%	$50.93 (1.5σ)	$-1,735	$-10,263	+$10,247	-$2,085
SS (= V-bounce)	$56.15 (2.3σ)	$-6,960	$-9,678	+$10,832	-$6,160