FORTRESS FIGHT: PORTFOLIO

47 fortress slices across 4 account(s) | 2 deep drawdown (FIGHT) | 6 underwater (not deep DD) | 8 skipped (CSV) | 0 uncapped above water | 31 capped (out of scope)

FIGHT income if all primaries filled: $32,138/mo (50% of normal target)

⚔ FIGHT: underwater & uncapped every ladder rung side by side; 🎯 = the recommended pick | click a rung for its roll menu + decision panel, ESC closes | fortress link = full dashboard

TUNE PICKSTouch ≤anySurv ≥anyCyc ≥floorsizing rulewhat-if lens only: the 🎯 picks, ladder, totals and panels never move. Tuned = the SAFEST strike meeting your gates (the engine's own objective at your floor), sized to the cycle target. The S/T/C presets under each Tuned cell override these sliders for that row only; every tuned pick opens its own decision panel.

POSITION				INCOME LADDER · SAFEST ⟶ RICHEST				TUNED	RECOVERY
Fortress	Ct	Price	CC-SS	🛡 Safe yield	33% normal	50% normal	100% normal	Tuned	Banked	Cap @ CC-SS	↑ whole
ENPH ↗⚡ER 7d RetireInc:7291 · Next Fri	10	$40.07	$58.93	10 × $50 $550 cyc · $2,062/mo 90% surv · T:20%	9 × $48.50 $621 cyc · $2,329/mo 87% surv · T:27%	🎯⚡ 10 × $47 $980 cyc · $3,675/mo 83% surv · T:26%	10 × $43 $1,940 cyc · $7,275/mo 68% surv · T:68%	— S≥708090T≤253040C≥2505001k×	$2,164	-$10,953 (150.0% IC)	47.1%
BBC · LEGACY STRUCTURES known structurally inefficient and not being restructured; the plan is CC income while the underlying repairs, so treat any REBUILD / restructure verdict on these as informational
GLXY ↗⚡ER 14d Main:1299 · Next Fri	125	$25.00	$33.43	125 × $30.50 $2,500 cyc · $9,375/mo 91% surv · T:19%	🎯 105 × $28.50 $5,040 cyc · $18,900/mo 82% surv · T:38%	110 × $27.50 $7,590 cyc · $28,462/mo 76% surv · T:51%	115 × $25.50 $15,180 cyc · $56,925/mo 58% surv · T:89%	— S≥708090T≤253040C≥2505001k×	$879	-$46,728 (169.2% IC)	33.7%
TOTAL (2)	135	following every 🎯 $6,020 cyc · $22,575/mo		$3,050 cyc · $11,438/mo	$5,661 cyc · $21,229/mo	$8,570 cyc · $32,138/mo	$17,120 cyc · $64,200/mo		$3,043	-$57,682

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (10 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$50	7 Aug 2026	11d left	+$0.34/sh	+$337 cycle +$887 [-$21…+$893] · 75% credit	68% surv 53%	-$8,593 NOT cap gain +$11,917
Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%)	~$51	14 Aug 2026	18d left	+$0.52/sh	+$524 cycle +$1,074 [-$81…+$1,118] · 71% credit	69% surv 58%	-$7,376 NOT cap gain +$13,134
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)	~$50	7 Aug 2026	11d left	+$0.24/sh	+$245 cycle +$795 [-$113…+$784] · 68% credit	69% surv 55%	-$8,211 NOT cap gain +$12,299
Max even-money escape in the band	~$52	14 Aug 2026	18d left	+$0.11/sh	+$113 cycle +$663 [-$555…+$681] · 48% credit	70% surv 61%	-$6,676 NOT cap gain +$13,834
SS $56 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)	~$54	14 Aug 2026	18d left	-$0.46/sh	-$462 cycle +$88 [-$1,146…+$84] · 27% credit	75% surv 68%	-$5,029 NOT cap gain +$15,481
budget: banked $550 debit $462 (84% used ≈ 1.0 wk of income) → whole cycle still +$88 cash · rolled 10 ct earn ≈ $4,396/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell

Spot \ Time	≥ 5d left	3-4d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $49.50	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $50-50.62	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $50.62	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$50.00 (1.4σ)	$550	$-8,931	+$11,579	+$200
+2.5%	$51.25 (1.6σ)	$-700	$-8,792	+$11,718	-$1,050
+5%	$52.50 (1.8σ)	$-1,950	$-8,653	+$11,857	-$2,300
SS (= V-bounce)	$56.15 (2.3σ)	$-5,600	$-8,248	+$12,262	-$4,800

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (9 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$48	7 Aug 2026	11d left	+$0.38/sh	+$340 cycle +$961 [-$19…+$749] · 73% credit	68% surv 53%	-$10,151 NOT cap gain +$10,359
Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%)	~$49	14 Aug 2026	18d left	+$0.55/sh	+$497 cycle +$1,118 [-$75…+$857] · 70% credit	69% surv 58%	-$8,963 NOT cap gain +$11,547
Max even-money escape in the band	~$50	14 Aug 2026	18d left	+$0.14/sh	+$129 cycle +$750 [-$508…+$430] · 45% credit	70% surv 61%	-$8,220 NOT cap gain +$12,290
SS $56 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)	~$49	7 Aug 2026	11d left	+$0.03/sh	+$28 cycle +$649 [-$376…+$374] · 44% credit	70% surv 58%	-$9,433 NOT cap gain +$11,077
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)	~$52	14 Aug 2026	18d left	-$0.42/sh	-$382 cycle +$239 [-$1,022…-$99] · 22% credit	76% surv 68%	-$6,509 NOT cap gain +$14,001
budget: banked $621 debit $382 (61% used ≈ 0.7 wk of income) → whole cycle still +$239 cash · rolled 9 ct earn ≈ $3,874/mo while parked; 1 ct free to re-sell

Spot \ Time	≥ 5d left	3-4d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $48.02	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $48-49.45	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $49.45	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$48.50 (1.2σ)	$621	$-10,491	+$10,019	+$306
+2.5%	$49.71 (1.4σ)	$-470	$-10,235	+$10,275	-$785
+5%	$50.93 (1.6σ)	$-1,562	$-9,979	+$10,531	-$1,877
SS (= V-bounce)	$56.15 (2.3σ)	$-6,264	$-8,992	+$11,518	-$5,544

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (10 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$47	7 Aug 2026	11d left	+$0.41/sh	+$415 cycle +$1,395 [-$52…+$774] · 70% credit	68% surv 54%	-$11,419 NOT cap gain +$9,091
Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%)	~$48	14 Aug 2026	18d left	+$0.58/sh	+$577 cycle +$1,557 [-$179…+$838] · 67% credit	69% surv 58%	-$10,226 NOT cap gain +$10,284
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)	~$48	7 Aug 2026	11d left	+$0.07/sh	+$68 cycle +$1,048 [-$464…+$345] · 43% credit	71% surv 58%	-$10,735 NOT cap gain +$9,775
Max even-money escape in the band	~$49	14 Aug 2026	18d left	+$0.17/sh	+$171 cycle +$1,151 [-$657…+$400] · 42% credit	70% surv 61%	-$9,521 NOT cap gain +$10,989
SS $56 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)	~$53	14 Aug 2026	18d left	-$0.98/sh	-$977 cycle +$3 [-$1,982…-$835] · 7% credit	79% surv 74%	-$6,225 NOT cap gain +$14,285
budget: banked $980 debit $977 (100% used ≈ 1.2 wk of income) → whole cycle still +$3 cash · rolled 10 ct earn ≈ $3,227/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell

Spot \ Time	≥ 5d left	3-4d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $46.53	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $47-48.06	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $48.06	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$47.00 (≤1σ, normal week)	$980	$-11,834	+$8,676	+$630
+2.5%	$48.17 (1.2σ)	$-195	$-11,703	+$8,807	-$545
+5%	$49.35 (1.3σ)	$-1,370	$-11,573	+$8,937	-$1,720
SS (= V-bounce)	$56.15 (2.3σ)	$-8,170	$-10,818	+$9,692	-$7,370

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (10 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$43	7 Aug 2026	11d left	+$0.50/sh	+$498 cycle +$2,438 [-$128…+$365] · 59% credit	68% surv 54%	-$14,819 NOT cap gain +$5,691
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)	~$44	7 Aug 2026	11d left	+$0.15/sh	+$150 cycle +$2,090 [-$544…-$32] · 23% credit	71% surv 58%	-$14,137 NOT cap gain +$6,373
Max even-money escape in the band	~$46	14 Aug 2026	18d left	+$0.03/sh	+$30 cycle +$1,970 [-$1,086…-$300] · 15% credit	73% surv 65%	-$12,035 NOT cap gain +$8,475
SS $56 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)	~$55	14 Aug 2026	18d left	-$1.93/sh	-$1,933 cycle +$7 [-$3,575…-$2,440]	90% surv 89%	-$3,999 NOT cap gain +$16,511
budget: banked $1,940 debit $1,933 (100% used ≈ 1.2 wk of income) → whole cycle still +$7 cash · rolled 10 ct earn ≈ $1,220/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell

Spot \ Time	≥ 5d left	3-4d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $42.57	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $43-45.12	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $45.12	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$43.00 (≤1σ, normal week)	$1,940	$-15,318	+$5,192	+$1,590
+2.5%	$44.07 (≤1σ, normal week)	$865	$-15,198	+$5,312	+$515
+5%	$45.15 (≤1σ, normal week)	$-210	$-15,079	+$5,431	-$560
SS (= V-bounce)	$56.15 (2.3σ)	$-11,210	$-13,858	+$6,652	-$10,410

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (10 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$60	7 Aug 2026	11d left	-$0.01/sh	-$10 cycle +$90	68% surv 53%	+$1,719 SAFE cap gain +$22,229
Max even-money escape in the band	~$61	14 Aug 2026	18d left	+$0.25/sh	+$252 cycle +$352	68% surv 57%	+$3,012 SAFE cap gain +$23,522
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)	~$60	7 Aug 2026	11d left	-$0.10/sh	-$96 cycle +$4	69% surv 55%	+$2,108 SAFE cap gain +$22,618
budget: banked $100 debit $96 (96% used ≈ 1.1 wk of income) → whole cycle still +$4 cash · rolled 10 ct earn ≈ $9,881/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell

Spot \ Time	≥ 5d left	3-4d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $59.40	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $59-60.12	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $60.12	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$60.00 (2.9σ)	$100	$1,729	+$22,239	+$4,750
+2.5%	$61.50 (3.1σ)	$-1,400	$1,896	+$22,406	+$4,750
+5%	$63.00 (3.3σ)	$-2,900	$2,062	+$22,572	+$4,750

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (10 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$59	7 Aug 2026	11d left	+$0.03/sh	+$31 cycle +$141 [+$92…+$1,195] · 79% credit	68% surv 53%	+$659 SAFE cap gain +$21,169
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)	~$59	7 Aug 2026	11d left	-$0.06/sh	-$55 cycle +$55 [-$6…+$1,069] · 74% credit	69% surv 55%	+$1,048 SAFE cap gain +$21,558
budget: banked $110 debit $55 (50% used ≈ 0.6 wk of income) → whole cycle still +$55 cash · rolled 10 ct earn ≈ $9,823/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell
Max even-money escape in the band	~$60	14 Aug 2026	18d left	+$0.29/sh	+$286 cycle +$396 [-$152…+$1,404] · 70% credit	68% surv 57%	+$1,945 SAFE cap gain +$22,455
Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%)	~$61	14 Aug 2026	18d left	-$0.14/sh	-$138 cycle -$28 [-$724…+$913] · 62% credit	70% surv 60%	+$2,632 SAFE cap gain +$23,142

Spot \ Time	≥ 5d left	3-4d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $58.41	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $58-60.13	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $60.13	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$59.00 (2.7σ)	$110	$628	+$21,138	+$3,760
+2.5%	$60.47 (2.9σ)	$-1,365	$792	+$21,302	+$3,760
+5%	$61.95 (3.1σ)	$-2,840	$956	+$21,466	+$3,760

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (10 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$57	7 Aug 2026	11d left	+$0.11/sh	+$109 cycle +$179 [+$112…+$1,244] · 80% credit	68% surv 53%	-$1,525 NOT cap gain +$18,985
Max even-money escape in the band	~$58	14 Aug 2026	18d left	+$0.35/sh	+$349 cycle +$419 [+$90…+$1,495] · 77% credit	68% surv 57%	-$254 NOT cap gain +$20,256
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)	~$57	7 Aug 2026	11d left	+$0.02/sh	+$21 cycle +$91 [+$11…+$1,120] · 75% credit	69% surv 55%	-$1,137 NOT cap gain +$19,373
Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%)	~$59	14 Aug 2026	18d left	-$0.07/sh	-$73 cycle -$3 [-$407…+$1,046] · 64% credit	70% surv 60%	+$435 SAFE cap gain +$20,945

Spot \ Time	≥ 5d left	3-4d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $56.43	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $56-57.21	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $57.21	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$57.00 (2.4σ)	$70	$-1,634	+$18,876	+$1,720
+2.5%	$58.42 (2.6σ)	$-1,355	$-1,475	+$19,035	+$1,720
+5%	$59.85 (2.8σ)	$-2,780	$-1,317	+$19,193	+$1,720

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (10 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$55	7 Aug 2026	11d left	+$0.18/sh	+$181 cycle +$331 [+$184…+$1,185] · 83% credit	68% surv 53%	-$3,595 NOT cap gain +$16,915
Max even-money escape in the band	~$56	14 Aug 2026	18d left	+$0.41/sh	+$407 cycle +$557 [+$215…+$1,375] · 81% credit	68% surv 57%	-$2,338 NOT cap gain +$18,172
SS $56 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)	~$55	7 Aug 2026	11d left	+$0.09/sh	+$92 cycle +$242 [+$82…+$1,060] · 80% credit	69% surv 55%	-$3,208 NOT cap gain +$17,302
Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%)	~$57	14 Aug 2026	18d left	-$0.01/sh	-$13 cycle +$137 [-$255…+$911] · 62% credit	70% surv 60%	-$1,647 NOT cap gain +$18,863

Spot \ Time	≥ 5d left	3-4d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $54.45	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $54-55.22	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $55.22	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$55.00 (2.1σ)	$150	$-3,776	+$16,734	-$200
+2.5%	$56.37 (2.3σ)	$-1,225	$-3,623	+$16,887	-$200
+5%	$57.75 (2.5σ)	$-2,600	$-3,470	+$17,040	-$200

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (10 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$54	7 Aug 2026	11d left	+$0.21/sh	+$215 cycle +$405 [+$81…+$1,106] · 78% credit	68% surv 53%	-$4,632 NOT cap gain +$15,878
Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%)	~$55	14 Aug 2026	18d left	+$0.43/sh	+$433 cycle +$623 [+$3…+$1,291] · 75% credit	68% surv 57%	-$3,383 NOT cap gain +$17,127
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)	~$54	7 Aug 2026	11d left	+$0.13/sh	+$126 cycle +$316 [-$16…+$989] · 74% credit	69% surv 55%	-$4,246 NOT cap gain +$16,264
Max even-money escape in the band	~$56	14 Aug 2026	18d left	+$0.02/sh	+$15 cycle +$205 [-$460…+$823] · 59% credit	70% surv 61%	-$2,690 NOT cap gain +$17,820
SS $56 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)	~$57	14 Aug 2026	18d left	-$0.18/sh	-$178 cycle +$12 [-$720…+$597] · 47% credit	72% surv 63%	-$1,772 NOT cap gain +$18,738
budget: banked $190 debit $178 (94% used ≈ 1.1 wk of income) → whole cycle still +$12 cash · rolled 10 ct earn ≈ $5,282/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell · clears SS ✓

Spot \ Time	≥ 5d left	3-4d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $53.46	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $53-54.29	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $54.29	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$54.00 (2.0σ)	$190	$-4,847	+$15,663	-$160
+2.5%	$55.35 (2.2σ)	$-1,160	$-4,697	+$15,813	-$1,160
+5%	$56.70 (2.4σ)	$-2,510	$-4,547	+$15,963	-$1,160

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (10 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$53	7 Aug 2026	11d left	+$0.25/sh	+$248 cycle +$538 [+$61…+$1,171] · 79% credit	68% surv 53%	-$5,610 NOT cap gain +$14,900
Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%)	~$54	14 Aug 2026	18d left	+$0.46/sh	+$458 cycle +$748 [+$65…+$1,326] · 78% credit	68% surv 58%	-$4,369 NOT cap gain +$16,141
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)	~$53	7 Aug 2026	11d left	+$0.16/sh	+$157 cycle +$447 [-$34…+$1,041] · 72% credit	69% surv 55%	-$5,225 NOT cap gain +$15,285
Max even-money escape in the band	~$55	14 Aug 2026	18d left	+$0.04/sh	+$42 cycle +$332 [-$417…+$839] · 56% credit	70% surv 61%	-$3,674 NOT cap gain +$16,836
SS $56 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)	~$56	14 Aug 2026	18d left	-$0.15/sh	-$152 cycle +$138 [-$619…+$599] · 46% credit	72% surv 64%	-$2,757 NOT cap gain +$17,753
budget: banked $290 debit $152 (52% used ≈ 0.6 wk of income) → whole cycle still +$138 cash · rolled 10 ct earn ≈ $5,222/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell

Spot \ Time	≥ 5d left	3-4d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $52.47	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $52-53.38	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $53.38	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

⏱ TRIPWIRE STATUS, 31 active short call(s) 1 watch

The one rule, applied to live marks: roll when remaining time value ≤ max($0.04, 25% of collected) or spot at/past breakeven (strike + premium). Statuses refresh on every run; challenges happen during US RTH (your night), so a TRIPPED row here means act at the open or set the order now.

Fortress	Acct	Call	Spot	Breakeven	Mark	Time value	Status	Action
NVDA	Neville:0865	5x $220C 7 Aug 2026 (15d)	$213.95	$224.27	$4.50	$4.50	WATCH ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 6.05 OTM = 2.8% (1.2x a typical daily move). The $4.50 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$2,110 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $224.27 (breakeven). 🚪 Escape paths deferred , NVDA is a heavy chain and this call is WATCH, not TRIPPED, so it was not fetched to keep the portfolio run fast. For the live roll menu, run `fortress_fight.py --tickers NVDA`.
MU-LC970	Neville:0865	2x $1040C 24 Jul 2026 (1d)	$973.90	$1,047.99	$9.18	$9.18	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 66.10 OTM = 6.8% (1.0x a typical daily move). The $9.18 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$1,588 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $1,047.99 (breakeven).
INTC	Neville:0865	5x $116C 24 Jul 2026 (1d)	$104.57	$117.62	$2.50	$2.50	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 11.43 OTM = 10.9% (0.9x a typical daily move). The $2.50 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$784 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $117.62 (breakeven).
SPY	Neville:0865	12x $758C 27 Jul 2026 (4d)	$749.10	$758.65	$0.41	$0.41	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 8.90 OTM = 1.2% (2.3x a typical daily move). The $0.41 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$719 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $758.65 (breakeven).
IGV	Main:1299	12x $93.5C 31 Jul 2026 (8d)	$89.18	$94.30	$0.70	$0.70	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 4.32 OTM = 4.8% (2.0x a typical daily move). The $0.70 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$899 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $94.30 (breakeven).
COPX	Joint:1782	20x $85C 31 Jul 2026 (8d)	$79.96	$85.40	$0.80	$0.80	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 5.04 OTM = 6.3% (2.1x a typical daily move). The $0.80 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$705 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $85.40 (breakeven).
GOOG-LC300	Neville:0865	15x $370C 31 Jul 2026 (8d)	$346.92	$385.01	$4.03	$4.03	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 23.08 OTM = 6.7% (2.0x a typical daily move). The $4.03 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$22,444 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $385.01 (breakeven).
MDB	Neville:0865	1x $325C 31 Jul 2026 (8d)	$303.51	$331.10	$6.88	$6.88	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 21.49 OTM = 7.1% (1.5x a typical daily move). The $6.88 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$605 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $331.10 (breakeven).
MU-LC880	Main:1299	5x $1050C 31 Jul 2026 (8d)	$973.90	$1,069.99	$40.12	$40.12	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 76.10 OTM = 7.8% (1.1x a typical daily move). The $40.12 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$9,972 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $1,069.99 (breakeven).
AMZN	Joint:1782	10x $265C 31 Jul 2026 (8d)	$242.84	$267.79	$2.54	$2.54	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 22.16 OTM = 9.1% (2.4x a typical daily move). The $2.54 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$2,736 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $267.79 (breakeven).
APP	RetireInc:7291	1x $465C 31 Jul 2026 (8d)	$412.40	$475.80	$4.50	$4.50	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 52.60 OTM = 12.8% (2.7x a typical daily move). The $4.50 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$1,075 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $475.80 (breakeven).
RKLB	RetireInc:7291	6x $83C 31 Jul 2026 (8d)	$71.47	$84.05	$0.96	$0.96	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 11.53 OTM = 16.1% (2.7x a typical daily move). The $0.96 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$602 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $84.05 (breakeven).
IREN-LC25-1782	Joint:1782	20x $51C 31 Jul 2026 (8d)	$41.98	$51.96	$0.83	$0.83	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 9.02 OTM = 21.5% (2.7x a typical daily move). The $0.83 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$1,813 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $51.96 (breakeven).
HIMS	Main:1299	15x $39.5C 31 Jul 2026 (8d)	$32.18	$40.17	$0.42	$0.42	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 7.32 OTM = 22.7% (3.1x a typical daily move). The $0.42 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$923 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $40.17 (breakeven).
MSTR-LC180	Joint:1782	10x $125C 31 Jul 2026 (8d)	$100.22	$125.99	$0.45	$0.45	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 24.78 OTM = 24.7% (4.3x a typical daily move). The $0.45 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$942 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $125.99 (breakeven).
IREN-LC25-1299	Main:1299	20x $55C 31 Jul 2026 (8d)	$41.98	$55.50	$0.39	$0.39	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 13.02 OTM = 31.0% (3.9x a typical daily move). The $0.39 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$905 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $55.50 (breakeven).
NEM	Main:1299	5x $106C 7 Aug 2026 (15d)	$95.64	$107.00	$1.05	$1.05	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 10.36 OTM = 10.8% (3.3x a typical daily move). The $1.05 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$476 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $107.00 (breakeven).
BMNR-LC10	RetireInc:7291	50x $20.5C 7 Aug 2026 (15d)	$17.60	$20.75	$0.36	$0.36	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 2.90 OTM = 16.5% (3.2x a typical daily move). The $0.36 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$1,013 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $20.75 (breakeven).
CRWV	Neville:0865	5x $97C 7 Aug 2026 (15d)	$83.11	$100.20	$3.06	$3.06	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 13.89 OTM = 16.7% (2.5x a typical daily move). The $3.06 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$1,577 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $100.20 (breakeven).
QCOM	RetireInc:7291	5x $207.5C 7 Aug 2026 (15d)	$176.63	$210.57	$2.95	$2.95	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 30.87 OTM = 17.5% (3.5x a typical daily move). The $2.95 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$1,510 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $210.57 (breakeven).
MSTR-LC125	RetireInc:7291	4x $130C 7 Aug 2026 (15d)	$100.22	$131.32	$0.75	$0.75	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 29.78 OTM = 29.7% (5.4x a typical daily move). The $0.75 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$509 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $131.32 (breakeven).
IREN-LC45	Neville:0865	20x $55C 7 Aug 2026 (15d)	$41.98	$55.87	$0.98	$0.98	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 13.02 OTM = 31.0% (4.1x a typical daily move). The $0.98 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$1,638 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $55.87 (breakeven).
IREN-LC50	RetireInc:7291	20x $55C 7 Aug 2026 (15d)	$41.98	$55.85	$0.98	$0.98	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 13.02 OTM = 31.0% (4.1x a typical daily move). The $0.98 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$1,610 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $55.85 (breakeven).
SPCX	Neville:0865	5x $165C 7 Aug 2026 (15d)	$119.22	$167.67	$1.85	$1.85	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 45.78 OTM = 38.4% (4.9x a typical daily move). The $1.85 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$1,308 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $167.67 (breakeven).
META	Main:1299	3x $660C 14 Aug 2026 (22d)	$626.87	$684.19	$23.40	$23.40	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 33.13 OTM = 5.3% (1.5x a typical daily move). The $23.40 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$7,243 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $684.19 (breakeven).
UAMY	RetireInc:7291	25x $7C 14 Aug 2026 (22d)	$5.91	$7.35	$0.30	$0.30	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 1.09 OTM = 18.5% (2.6x a typical daily move). The $0.30 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$758 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $7.35 (breakeven).
COIN-LC500	Main:1299	25x $210C 14 Aug 2026 (22d)	$168.96	$216.23	$3.25	$3.25	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 41.04 OTM = 24.3% (4.5x a typical daily move). The $3.25 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$15,443 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $216.23 (breakeven).
COIN-LC145	RetireInc:7291	3x $215C 14 Aug 2026 (22d)	$168.96	$220.23	$2.72	$2.72	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 46.04 OTM = 27.2% (5.1x a typical daily move). The $2.72 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$1,553 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $220.23 (breakeven).
GLD	Main:1299	10x $390C 21 Aug 2026 (29d)	$380.03	$396.32	$5.72	$5.72	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 9.97 OTM = 2.6% (2.0x a typical daily move). The $5.72 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$6,268 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $396.32 (breakeven).
DELL	RetireInc:7291	3x $475C 21 Aug 2026 (29d)	$441.70	$505.00	$29.48	$29.48	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 33.30 OTM = 7.5% (1.4x a typical daily move). The $29.48 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$8,985 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $505.00 (breakeven).
COIN-LC165	Main:1299	8x $200C 21 Aug 2026 (29d)	$168.96	$210.42	$6.00	$6.00	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 31.04 OTM = 18.4% (3.6x a typical daily move). The $6.00 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$8,298 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $210.42 (breakeven).

UNDERWATER, but NOT a deep drawdown sell the richest CC still ≥80% survival at/above CC-SS (not a blind CC-SS sale), sorted by touch odds

Fortress	Acct	Ct	Price	CC-SS	↑ whole	Sell strike	Touch odds	Per cycle	Income @ strike	Normal income	Action
GOOG-LC340 ↗⚡ER TMRW	Neville:0865	5	$346.88	$375.77	8.3%	$380 31 Jul 2026 (8d) · 88% surv	24%	$1,115	$4,181/mo (32%)	$12,950/mo	sell 5x $380 CC
NOW ↗⚡ER TMRW	Main:1299	10	$95.39	$113.17	18.6%	$114 31 Jul 2026 (8d) · 88% surv	25%	$1,430	$5,362/mo (39%)	$13,820/mo	sell 10x $114 CC
MARA-LC40 ↗⚡ER 7d	Main:1299	200	$12.47	$14.86	19.2%	$15 7 Aug 2026 (15d) · 85% surv	33%	$6,200	$12,400/mo (30%)	$41,600/mo	sell 200x $15 CC
CLSK ↗⚡ER 16d	RetireInc:7291	25	$15.34	$17.21	12.2%	$17.50 31 Jul 2026 (8d) · 83% surv	36%	$725	$2,719/mo (44%)	$6,200/mo	sell 25x $17.50 CC
RIOT ↗BBC⚡ER 9d	Joint:1782	50	$23.45	$20.98	0.0%	$27 31 Jul 2026 (8d) · 83% surv	36%	$2,350	$8,812/mo (42%)	$21,000/mo	sell 50x $27 CC
GOOG-LC310 ↗⚡ER TMRW	Joint:1782	5	$346.88	$338.33	0.0%	$370 31 Jul 2026 (8d) · 80% surv	40%	$1,975	$7,406/mo (57%)	$12,950/mo	sell 5x $370 CC

⏸ SKIPPED BY CSV: 8 fortress slice(s) these qualify for FIGHT but carry Skip; in active_fortresses.csv (earnings, event, bullish momentum). Not analyzed, no recommendation, excluded from every income total and from the cc_manager seam. Existing short calls on them are still tripwired below. Remove the tag to bring them back.

Fortress	Acct	Ct	Price	BE SS	Why excluded
BMNR-LC23-1299	Main:1299	75	$17.60	$39.13	excluded by CSV (Skip) · 55.0% below BE SS · also tagged: Half Max
BMNR-LC23-1782	Joint:1782	150	$17.60	$30.29	excluded by CSV (Skip) · 41.9% below BE SS · also tagged: Half Max
BMNR-LC25	Main:1299	50	$17.60	$44.46	excluded by CSV (Skip) · 60.4% below BE SS · also tagged: Half Max
ETHA	Main:1299	50	$14.66	$17.33	excluded by CSV (Skip) · 15.4% below BE SS
IBIT	Joint:1782	50	$37.44	$70.58	excluded by CSV (Skip) · 47.0% below BE SS [LEAPS_ONLY, NO_HEDGE]
MARA-LC20-1299	Main:1299	200	$12.48	$22.69	excluded by CSV (Skip) · 45.0% below BE SS · also tagged: Half Max
MARA-LC20-1782	Joint:1782	50	$12.48	$24.33	excluded by CSV (Skip) · 48.7% below BE SS · also tagged: Half Max
MARA-LC25	Neville:0865	250	$12.48	$26.40	excluded by CSV (Skip) · 52.7% below BE SS

CAPPED: 31 fortress slice(s) with CCs already sold, excluded from FIGHT scope

Fortress	Acct	Ct	BE SS	Active short calls
AMZN	Joint:1782	10	$256.25	10x $265C 31 Jul 2026 (8d)
APP	RetireInc:7291	1	$588.00	1x $465C 31 Jul 2026 (8d)
BMNR-LC10	RetireInc:7291	50	$17.13	50x $20C 7 Aug 2026 (15d)
COIN-LC145	RetireInc:7291	3	$182.40	3x $215C 14 Aug 2026 (22d)
COIN-LC165	Main:1299	8	$210.90	8x $200C 21 Aug 2026 (29d)
COIN-LC500	Main:1299	25	$563.00	25x $210C 14 Aug 2026 (22d)
COPX	Joint:1782	20	$93.40	20x $85C 31 Jul 2026 (8d)
CRWV	Neville:0865	5	$125.45	5x $97C 7 Aug 2026 (15d)
DELL	RetireInc:7291	3	$398.00	3x $475C 21 Aug 2026 (29d)
GLD	Main:1299	10	$456.00	10x $390C 21 Aug 2026 (29d)
GOOG-LC300	Neville:0865	15	$373.00	15x $370C 31 Jul 2026 (8d)
HIMS	Main:1299	15	$17.47	15x $40C 31 Jul 2026 (8d)
IGV	Main:1299	12	$96.50	12x $94C 31 Jul 2026 (8d) [LEAPS_ONLY, NO_HEDGE]
INTC	Neville:0865	5	$114.00	5x $116C 24 Jul 2026 (1d)
IREN-LC25-1299	Main:1299	20	$44.00	20x $55C 31 Jul 2026 (8d)
IREN-LC25-1782	Joint:1782	20	$44.00	20x $51C 31 Jul 2026 (8d)
IREN-LC45	Neville:0865	20	$56.50	20x $55C 7 Aug 2026 (15d)
IREN-LC50	RetireInc:7291	20	$63.43	20x $55C 7 Aug 2026 (15d)
MDB	Neville:0865	1	$362.90	1x $325C 31 Jul 2026 (8d)
META	Main:1299	3	$601.50	3x $660C 14 Aug 2026 (22d)
MSTR-LC125	RetireInc:7291	4	$161.00	4x $130C 7 Aug 2026 (15d)
MSTR-LC180	Joint:1782	10	$233.00	10x $125C 31 Jul 2026 (8d) [LEAPS_ONLY, NO_HEDGE]
MU-LC880	Main:1299	5	$1,028.60	5x $1050C 31 Jul 2026 (8d)
MU-LC970	Neville:0865	2	$1,220.00	2x $1040C 24 Jul 2026 (1d)
NEM	Main:1299	5	$114.54	5x $106C 7 Aug 2026 (15d)
NVDA	Neville:0865	5	$199.60	5x $220C 7 Aug 2026 (15d)
QCOM	RetireInc:7291	5	$224.00	5x $208C 7 Aug 2026 (15d)
RKLB	RetireInc:7291	6	$141.55	6x $83C 31 Jul 2026 (8d)
SPCX	Neville:0865	5	$186.00	5x $165C 7 Aug 2026 (15d)
SPY	Neville:0865	12	$764.00	12x $758C 27 Jul 2026 (4d) [LEAPS_ONLY, NO_HEDGE]
UAMY	RetireInc:7291	25	$12.45	25x $7C 14 Aug 2026 (22d)

Manage these with the roll table (fortress_fight --tickers T) or roll_calls.

📏 CALIBRATION: 887 of 1666 predictions resolved since 2026-07-02, is the model honest?

Predicted survival	N	Avg predicted	Realized OTM rate	Gap
0-60%	71	55%	85%	+29pp
60-70%	115	64%	88%	+24pp
70-80%	162	77%	98%	+22pp
80-90%	199	84%	99%	+15pp
90-100%	340	94%	100%	+6pp

Touch odds: predicted 38% avg vs realized 22% touch rate over 887 resolved (daily highs, exact intraday touch).

🚪 Roll actuals vs playbook: 87 real buyback(s) recorded · 28 roll(s), net +$0.67/sh avg.

Green gap: within 7pp. A persistent negative gap means survival is overstated (model too confident); positive means too conservative. N is small early; judge after ~30 resolved.

fortress_fight.py v6.2 --all | 2026-07-23 01:53

Gross FIGHT income	$2,062/mo
vs 50% target ($3,478/mo)	-41%
vs normal income ($6,955/mo)	30% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$1,989/mo

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$8,383
… as % of IC ($7,300)	114.8%
… as % of ML ($47,300)	17.7%
Recovery months (at normal income)	1.2 mo
Surgical close (10 ct)	$-20,580

Gross FIGHT income	$2,329/mo
vs 50% target ($3,478/mo)	-33%
vs normal income ($6,955/mo)	33% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$2,325/mo

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$8,769
… as % of IC ($7,300)	120.1%
… as % of ML ($47,300)	18.5%
Recovery months (at normal income)	1.3 mo
Surgical close (9 ct)	$-18,688

Gross FIGHT income	$3,675/mo
vs 50% target ($3,478/mo)	+6%
vs normal income ($6,955/mo)	53% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$3,601/mo

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$10,953
… as % of IC ($7,300)	150.0%
… as % of ML ($47,300)	23.2%
Recovery months (at normal income)	1.6 mo
Surgical close (10 ct)	$-20,595

Gross FIGHT income	$7,275/mo
vs 50% target ($3,478/mo)	+109%
vs normal income ($6,955/mo)	105% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$7,201/mo

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$13,993
… as % of IC ($7,300)	191.7%
… as % of ML ($47,300)	29.6%
Recovery months (at normal income)	2.0 mo
Surgical close (10 ct)	$-20,690

Gross FIGHT income	$375/mo
vs 50% target ($3,478/mo)	-89%
vs normal income ($6,955/mo)	5% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$301/mo

Gross FIGHT income	$412/mo
vs 50% target ($3,478/mo)	-88%
vs normal income ($6,955/mo)	6% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$339/mo

Gross FIGHT income	$262/mo
vs 50% target ($3,478/mo)	-92%
vs normal income ($6,955/mo)	4% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$189/mo

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$1,863
… as % of IC ($7,300)	25.5%
… as % of ML ($47,300)	3.9%
Recovery months (at normal income)	0.3 mo
Surgical close (10 ct)	$-20,650

Gross FIGHT income	$562/mo
vs 50% target ($3,478/mo)	-84%
vs normal income ($6,955/mo)	8% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$489/mo

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$3,783
… as % of IC ($7,300)	51.8%
… as % of ML ($47,300)	8.0%
Recovery months (at normal income)	0.5 mo
Surgical close (10 ct)	$-20,580

Gross FIGHT income	$712/mo
vs 50% target ($3,478/mo)	-80%
vs normal income ($6,955/mo)	10% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$639/mo

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$4,743
… as % of IC ($7,300)	65.0%
… as % of ML ($47,300)	10.0%
Recovery months (at normal income)	0.7 mo
Surgical close (10 ct)	$-20,610

Gross FIGHT income	$1,087/mo
vs 50% target ($3,478/mo)	-69%
vs normal income ($6,955/mo)	16% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$1,014/mo

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$5,643
… as % of IC ($7,300)	77.3%
… as % of ML ($47,300)	11.9%
Recovery months (at normal income)	0.8 mo
Surgical close (10 ct)	$-20,605

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$53.00 (1.9σ)	$290	$-5,858	+$14,652	-$60
+2.5%	$54.32 (2.0σ)	$-1,035	$-5,710	+$14,800	-$1,385
+5%	$55.65 (2.2σ)	$-2,360	$-5,563	+$14,947	-$2,060
SS (= V-bounce)	$56.15 (2.3σ)	$-2,860	$-5,508	+$15,002	-$2,060

Gross FIGHT income	$1,312/mo
vs 50% target ($3,478/mo)	-62%
vs normal income ($6,955/mo)	19% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$1,239/mo

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$6,583
… as % of IC ($7,300)	90.2%
… as % of ML ($47,300)	13.9%
Recovery months (at normal income)	0.9 mo
Surgical close (10 ct)	$-20,635

Spot \ Time	≥ 5d left	3-4d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $51.48	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $51-52.48	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $52.48	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$52.00 (1.7σ)	$350	$-6,909	+$13,601	+$0
+2.5%	$53.30 (1.9σ)	$-950	$-6,764	+$13,746	-$1,300
+5%	$54.60 (2.1σ)	$-2,250	$-6,620	+$13,890	-$2,600
SS (= V-bounce)	$56.15 (2.3σ)	$-3,800	$-6,448	+$14,062	-$3,000

Gross FIGHT income	$1,425/mo
vs 50% target ($3,478/mo)	-59%
vs normal income ($6,955/mo)	20% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$1,351/mo

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$7,553
… as % of IC ($7,300)	103.5%
… as % of ML ($47,300)	16.0%
Recovery months (at normal income)	1.1 mo
Surgical close (10 ct)	$-20,660

Spot \ Time	≥ 5d left	3-4d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $50.49	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $50-51.53	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $51.53	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$51.00 (1.6σ)	$380	$-7,990	+$12,520	+$30
+2.5%	$52.27 (1.8σ)	$-895	$-7,848	+$12,662	-$1,245
+5%	$53.55 (1.9σ)	$-2,170	$-7,706	+$12,804	-$2,520
SS (= V-bounce)	$56.15 (2.3σ)	$-4,770	$-7,418	+$13,092	-$3,970

Gross FIGHT income	$2,025/mo
vs 50% target ($3,478/mo)	-42%
vs normal income ($6,955/mo)	29% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$1,951/mo

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$8,893
… as % of IC ($7,300)	121.8%
… as % of ML ($47,300)	18.8%
Recovery months (at normal income)	1.3 mo
Surgical close (10 ct)	$-20,680

Spot \ Time	≥ 5d left	3-4d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $49.01	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $49-50.21	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $50.21	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$49.50 (1.4σ)	$540	$-9,496	+$11,014	+$190
+2.5%	$50.74 (1.5σ)	$-697	$-9,359	+$11,151	-$1,047
+5%	$51.98 (1.7σ)	$-1,935	$-9,221	+$11,289	-$2,285
SS (= V-bounce)	$56.15 (2.3σ)	$-6,110	$-8,758	+$11,752	-$5,310

Gross FIGHT income	$2,250/mo
vs 50% target ($3,478/mo)	-35%
vs normal income ($6,955/mo)	32% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$2,176/mo

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$9,333
… as % of IC ($7,300)	127.9%
… as % of ML ($47,300)	19.7%
Recovery months (at normal income)	1.3 mo
Surgical close (10 ct)	$-20,610

Spot \ Time	≥ 5d left	3-4d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $48.51	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $49-49.70	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $49.70	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$49.00 (1.3σ)	$600	$-9,992	+$10,518	+$250
+2.5%	$50.22 (1.5σ)	$-625	$-9,856	+$10,654	-$975
+5%	$51.45 (1.6σ)	$-1,850	$-9,720	+$10,790	-$2,200
SS (= V-bounce)	$56.15 (2.3σ)	$-6,550	$-9,198	+$11,312	-$5,750