FORTRESS FIGHT: PORTFOLIO

46 fortress slices across 4 account(s) | 4 deep drawdown (FIGHT) | 8 underwater (not deep DD) | 8 skipped (CSV) | 1 uncapped above water | 25 capped (out of scope)

FIGHT income if all primaries filled: $38,850/mo (51% of normal target)

⚔ FIGHT: underwater & uncapped every ladder rung side by side; 🎯 = the recommended pick | click a rung for its roll menu + decision panel, ESC closes | fortress link = full dashboard

TUNE PICKSTouch ≤anySurv ≥anyCyc ≥floorsizing rulewhat-if lens only: the 🎯 picks, ladder, totals and panels never move. Tuned = the SAFEST strike meeting your gates (the engine's own objective at your floor), sized to the cycle target. The S/T/C presets under each Tuned cell override these sliders for that row only; every tuned pick opens its own decision panel.

POSITION				INCOME LADDER · SAFEST ⟶ RICHEST				TUNED	RECOVERY
Fortress	Ct	Price	CC-SS	🛡 Safe yield	33% normal	50% normal	100% normal	Tuned	Banked	Cap @ CC-SS	↑ whole
BMNR-LC10 ↗ RetireInc:7291 · This Fri	50	$16.75	$20.61	50 × $18.50 $400 cyc · $4,000/mo 91% surv · T:18%	37 × $18.50 $296 cyc · $2,960/mo 91% surv · T:18%	🎯 32 × $18 $448 cyc · $4,480/mo 84% surv · T:23%	37 × $17.50 $888 cyc · $8,880/mo 73% surv · T:55%	— S≥708090T≤253040C≥2505001k×	-	-$7,889 (25.2% IC)	23.0%
COPX ↗ Joint:1782 · This Fri	20	$74.72	$95.99	20 × $80 $200 cyc · $2,000/mo 93% surv · T:13%	11 × $78 $275 cyc · $2,750/mo 84% surv · T:33%	🎯 17 × $78 $425 cyc · $4,250/mo 84% surv · T:17%	15 × $76.50 $825 cyc · $8,250/mo 71% surv · T:59%	— S≥708090T≤253040C≥2505001k×	$795	-$30,151 (53.1% IC)	28.5%
BBC · LEGACY STRUCTURES known structurally inefficient and not being restructured; the plan is CC income while the underlying repairs, so treat any REBUILD / restructure verdict on these as informational
GLXY ↗⚡ER 7d Main:1299 · This Fri	125	$23.90	$35.38	125 × $27.50 $1,875 cyc · $18,750/mo 91% surv · T:19%	106 × $27.50 $1,590 cyc · $15,900/mo 91% surv · T:19%	🎯 120 × $26.50 $2,400 cyc · $24,000/mo 84% surv · T:19%	98 × $25 $4,802 cyc · $48,020/mo 68% surv · T:65%	— S≥708090T≤253040C≥2505001k×	$879	-$104,137 (377.0% IC)	48.0%
MSTR-LC180 ↗ ⚐⚡ER 10d Joint:1782 · This Fri	10	$98.84	$153.17	10 × $110 $520 cyc · $5,200/mo 90% surv · T:20%	9 × $111 $405 cyc · $4,050/mo 92% surv · T:17%	🎯 9 × $108 $612 cyc · $6,120/mo 86% surv · T:17%	10 × $105 $1,210 cyc · $12,100/mo 78% surv · T:45%	— S≥708090T≤253040C≥2505001k×	$373	-$40,038 (75.5% IC)	55.0%
TOTAL (4)	205	following every 🎯 $3,885 cyc · $38,850/mo		$2,995 cyc · $29,950/mo	$2,566 cyc · $25,660/mo	$3,885 cyc · $38,850/mo	$7,725 cyc · $77,250/mo		$2,047	-$182,214

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (50 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$18	31 Jul 2026	8d left	+$0.41/sh	+$2,037 cycle +$2,437 [+$1,779…+$2,297] · 100% credit	67% surv 52%	-$11,488 NOT cap gain +$10,312
Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%)	~$21	14 Aug 2026	22d left	+$0.18/sh	+$912 cycle +$1,312 [-$100…+$1,109] · 72% credit	80% surv 76%	-$2,488 NOT cap gain +$19,312
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)	~$19	31 Jul 2026	8d left	+$0.09/sh	+$461 cycle +$861 [-$254…+$644] · 67% credit	74% surv 66%	-$9,689 NOT cap gain +$12,111
Max even-money escape in the band	~$21	14 Aug 2026	22d left	+$0.06/sh	+$304 cycle +$704 [-$872…+$481] · 49% credit	83% surv 80%	-$846 NOT cap gain +$20,954
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)	~$22	14 Aug 2026	22d left	-$0.03/sh	-$153 cycle +$247 [-$1,456…+$1] · 25% credit	85% surv 83%	+$947 SAFE cap gain +$22,747
budget: banked $400 debit $153 (38% used ≈ 0.2 wk of income) → whole cycle still +$247 cash · rolled 50 ct earn ≈ $2,639/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell

Spot \ Time	≥ 4d left	3d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $18.32	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $18-18.59	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $18.59	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$18.50 (1.4σ)	$400	$-13,525	+$8,275	+$4,200
+2.5%	$18.96 (1.8σ)	$-1,912	$-13,756	+$8,044	+$4,200
+5%	$19.43 (2.2σ)	$-4,225	$-13,987	+$7,812	+$4,200

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (37 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$18	31 Jul 2026	8d left	+$0.41/sh	+$1,508 cycle +$1,804 [+$1,255…+$1,692] · 100% credit	67% surv 52%	-$13,109 NOT cap gain +$8,691
Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%)	~$21	14 Aug 2026	22d left	+$0.18/sh	+$675 cycle +$971 [-$195…+$803] · 69% credit	80% surv 76%	-$6,742 NOT cap gain +$15,058
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)	~$19	31 Jul 2026	8d left	+$0.09/sh	+$341 cycle +$637 [-$273…+$460] · 61% credit	74% surv 66%	-$11,876 NOT cap gain +$9,924
Max even-money escape in the band	~$21	14 Aug 2026	22d left	+$0.06/sh	+$225 cycle +$521 [-$779…+$324] · 46% credit	83% surv 80%	-$5,592 NOT cap gain +$16,208
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)	~$22	14 Aug 2026	22d left	-$0.03/sh	-$113 cycle +$183 [-$1,221…-$40] · 22% credit	85% surv 83%	-$4,330 NOT cap gain +$17,470
budget: banked $296 debit $113 (38% used ≈ 0.2 wk of income) → whole cycle still +$183 cash · rolled 37 ct earn ≈ $1,953/mo while parked; 13 ct free to re-sell

Spot \ Time	≥ 4d left	3d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $18.32	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $18-18.59	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $18.59	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$18.50 (1.4σ)	$296	$-14,617	+$7,183	+$3,108
+2.5%	$18.96 (1.8σ)	$-1,415	$-14,848	+$6,952	+$3,108
+5%	$19.43 (2.2σ)	$-3,127	$-15,079	+$6,720	+$3,108

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (32 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$18	31 Jul 2026	8d left	+$0.41/sh	+$1,309 cycle +$1,757 [+$1,112…+$1,456] · 100% credit	67% surv 52%	-$14,886 NOT cap gain +$6,914
Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%)	~$20	14 Aug 2026	22d left	+$0.18/sh	+$580 cycle +$1,028 [-$38…+$657] · 74% credit	81% surv 76%	-$9,540 NOT cap gain +$12,260
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)	~$19	31 Jul 2026	8d left	+$0.10/sh	+$304 cycle +$752 [-$123…+$386] · 65% credit	74% surv 66%	-$13,866 NOT cap gain +$7,934
Max even-money escape in the band	~$21	14 Aug 2026	22d left	+$0.06/sh	+$196 cycle +$644 [-$507…+$256] · 41% credit	83% surv 80%	-$8,574 NOT cap gain +$13,226
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)	~$22	14 Aug 2026	22d left	-$0.13/sh	-$413 cycle +$35 [-$1,251…-$389] · 2% credit	89% surv 88%	-$5,133 NOT cap gain +$16,667
budget: banked $448 debit $413 (92% used ≈ 0.4 wk of income) → whole cycle still +$35 cash · rolled 32 ct earn ≈ $1,209/mo while parked; 18 ct free to re-sell

Spot \ Time	≥ 4d left	3d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $17.82	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $18-18.15	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $18.15	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$18.00 (1.0σ)	$448	$-16,195	+$5,605	+$1,280
+2.5%	$18.45 (1.4σ)	$-992	$-16,420	+$5,380	+$1,280
+5%	$18.90 (1.8σ)	$-2,432	$-16,645	+$5,155	+$1,280

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (37 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$18	31 Jul 2026	8d left	+$0.41/sh	+$1,517 cycle +$2,405 [+$1,225…+$1,618] · 100% credit	67% surv 52%	-$15,708 NOT cap gain +$6,092
Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%)	~$20	14 Aug 2026	22d left	+$0.18/sh	+$664 cycle +$1,552 [-$210…+$554] · 65% credit	81% surv 76%	-$9,361 NOT cap gain +$12,439
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)	~$18	31 Jul 2026	8d left	+$0.10/sh	+$360 cycle +$1,248 [-$264…+$308] · 55% credit	75% surv 66%	-$14,465 NOT cap gain +$7,335
Max even-money escape in the band	~$20	14 Aug 2026	22d left	+$0.06/sh	+$225 cycle +$1,113 [-$769…+$71] · 30% credit	83% surv 80%	-$8,200 NOT cap gain +$13,600
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)	~$23	14 Aug 2026	22d left	-$0.22/sh	-$829 cycle +$59 [-$2,156…-$1,059]	92% surv 91%	-$1,254 NOT cap gain +$20,546
budget: banked $888 debit $829 (93% used ≈ 0.4 wk of income) → whole cycle still +$59 cash · rolled 37 ct earn ≈ $863/mo while parked; 13 ct free to re-sell

Spot \ Time	≥ 4d left	3d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $17.32	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $17-17.76	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $17.76	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$17.50 (≤1σ, normal week)	$888	$-17,225	+$4,575	+$0
+2.5%	$17.94 (≤1σ, normal week)	$-731	$-17,444	+$4,356	+$0
+5%	$18.38 (1.3σ)	$-2,350	$-17,662	+$4,138	+$0

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (20 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$80	31 Jul 2026	8d left	+$0.86/sh	+$1,724 cycle +$1,924 [+$1,372…+$2,041] · 97% credit	65% surv 51%	-$29,288 NOT cap gain +$11,652
Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%)	~$85	14 Aug 2026	22d left	+$0.33/sh	+$667 cycle +$867 [-$53…+$1,005] · 75% credit	77% surv 73%	-$20,619 NOT cap gain +$20,321
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)	~$82	31 Jul 2026	8d left	+$0.06/sh	+$113 cycle +$313 [-$621…+$402] · 52% credit	71% surv 63%	-$27,627 NOT cap gain +$13,313
Max even-money escape in the band	~$87	14 Aug 2026	22d left	+$0.01/sh	+$24 cycle +$224 [-$822…+$351] · 46% credit	82% surv 78%	-$17,573 NOT cap gain +$23,367
SS $93 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder

Spot \ Time	≥ 4d left	3d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $79.20	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $79-80.12	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $80.12	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$80.00 (1.7σ)	$200	$-31,013	+$9,927	+$0
+2.5%	$82.00 (2.4σ)	$-3,800	$-31,325	+$9,615	-$4,000
+5%	$84.00 (3.1σ)	$-7,800	$-31,637	+$9,303	-$8,000
SS (= V-bounce)	$93.40 (6.2σ)	$-26,600	$-33,103	+$7,837	-$20,000

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (11 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$78	31 Jul 2026	8d left	+$0.82/sh	+$900 cycle +$1,175 [+$572…+$1,023] · 94% credit	65% surv 51%	-$33,636 NOT cap gain +$7,304
Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%)	~$82	14 Aug 2026	22d left	+$0.51/sh	+$558 cycle +$833 [-$3…+$672] · 75% credit	74% surv 68%	-$27,017 NOT cap gain +$13,923
Max even-money escape in the band	~$83	14 Aug 2026	22d left	+$0.25/sh	+$280 cycle +$555 [-$330…+$385] · 59% credit	78% surv 73%	-$24,529 NOT cap gain +$16,411
SS $93 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)	~$80	31 Jul 2026	8d left	+$0.03/sh	+$31 cycle +$306 [-$522…+$111] · 36% credit	71% surv 64%	-$31,232 NOT cap gain +$9,708
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)	~$85	14 Aug 2026	22d left	-$0.06/sh	-$63 cycle +$212 [-$746…+$21] · 27% credit	82% surv 80%	-$21,184 NOT cap gain +$19,756
budget: banked $275 debit $63 (23% used ≈ 0.1 wk of income) → whole cycle still +$212 cash · rolled 11 ct earn ≈ $1,542/mo while parked; 9 ct free to re-sell

Spot \ Time	≥ 4d left	3d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $77.22	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $77-78.28	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $78.28	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$78.00 (1.1σ)	$275	$-34,536	+$6,404	+$165
+2.5%	$79.95 (1.7σ)	$-1,870	$-33,085	+$7,855	-$1,980
+5%	$81.90 (2.4σ)	$-4,015	$-31,634	+$9,306	-$4,125
SS (= V-bounce)	$93.40 (6.2σ)	$-16,665	$-26,138	+$14,802	-$13,035

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (17 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$78	31 Jul 2026	8d left	+$0.82/sh	+$1,391 cycle +$1,816 [+$961…+$1,578] · 97% credit	65% surv 51%	-$33,055 NOT cap gain +$7,885
Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%)	~$82	14 Aug 2026	22d left	+$0.51/sh	+$863 cycle +$1,288 [+$111…+$1,029] · 79% credit	74% surv 68%	-$26,622 NOT cap gain +$14,318
Max even-money escape in the band	~$83	14 Aug 2026	22d left	+$0.25/sh	+$432 cycle +$857 [-$399…+$587] · 58% credit	78% surv 73%	-$24,286 NOT cap gain +$16,654
SS $93 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)	~$80	31 Jul 2026	8d left	+$0.03/sh	+$48 cycle +$473 [-$709…+$160] · 34% credit	71% surv 64%	-$31,125 NOT cap gain +$9,815
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)	~$85	14 Aug 2026	22d left	-$0.06/sh	-$98 cycle +$327 [-$1,035…+$35] · 27% credit	82% surv 80%	-$21,129 NOT cap gain +$19,811
budget: banked $425 debit $98 (23% used ≈ 0.1 wk of income) → whole cycle still +$327 cash · rolled 17 ct earn ≈ $2,383/mo while parked; 3 ct free to re-sell

Spot \ Time	≥ 4d left	3d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $77.22	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $77-78.28	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $78.28	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$78.00 (1.1σ)	$425	$-34,446	+$6,494	+$255
+2.5%	$79.95 (1.7σ)	$-2,890	$-34,165	+$6,775	-$3,060
+5%	$81.90 (2.4σ)	$-6,205	$-33,884	+$7,056	-$6,375
SS (= V-bounce)	$93.40 (6.2σ)	$-25,755	$-33,248	+$7,692	-$20,145

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (15 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$76	31 Jul 2026	8d left	+$0.79/sh	+$1,179 cycle +$2,004 [+$648…+$1,232] · 93% credit	65% surv 51%	-$35,613 NOT cap gain +$5,327
Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%)	~$80	14 Aug 2026	22d left	+$0.45/sh	+$674 cycle +$1,499 [-$207…+$632] · 66% credit	74% surv 69%	-$29,157 NOT cap gain +$11,783
Max even-money escape in the band	~$82	14 Aug 2026	22d left	+$0.20/sh	+$297 cycle +$1,122 [-$657…+$219] · 38% credit	78% surv 74%	-$26,768 NOT cap gain +$14,172
SS $93 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)	~$78	31 Jul 2026	8d left	+$0.01/sh	+$12 cycle +$837 [-$844…-$71] · 22% credit	71% surv 64%	-$33,507 NOT cap gain +$7,433
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)	~$87	14 Aug 2026	22d left	-$0.52/sh	-$776 cycle +$49 [-$2,008…-$964]	88% surv 87%	-$18,621 NOT cap gain +$22,319
budget: banked $825 debit $776 (94% used ≈ 0.4 wk of income) → whole cycle still +$49 cash · rolled 15 ct earn ≈ $1,073/mo while parked; 5 ct free to re-sell

Spot \ Time	≥ 4d left	3d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $75.73	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $76-77.10	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $77.10	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$76.50 (≤1σ, normal week)	$825	$-36,792	+$4,148	+$675
+2.5%	$78.41 (1.2σ)	$-2,044	$-36,134	+$4,806	-$2,194
+5%	$80.33 (1.9σ)	$-4,913	$-35,476	+$5,464	-$5,063
SS (= V-bounce)	$93.40 (6.2σ)	$-24,525	$-32,678	+$8,262	-$19,575

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (125 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$28	31 Jul 2026	8d left	+$0.87/sh	+$10,842 cycle +$12,717 [+$7,984…+$12,611] · 95% credit	68% surv 54%	-$72,708 NOT cap gain +$50,292
Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%)	~$31	14 Aug 2026	22d left	+$0.42/sh	+$5,235 cycle +$7,110 [+$45…+$6,931] · 75% credit	76% surv 70%	-$45,959 NOT cap gain +$77,041
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)	~$29	31 Jul 2026	8d left	+$0.08/sh	+$1,000 cycle +$2,875 [-$4,041…+$2,175] · 47% credit	73% surv 66%	-$65,850 NOT cap gain +$57,150
Max even-money escape in the band	~$33	14 Aug 2026	22d left	+$0.05/sh	+$612 cycle +$2,487 [-$5,524…+$2,136] · 45% credit	81% surv 77%	-$29,707 NOT cap gain +$93,293
SS $40 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder

Spot \ Time	≥ 4d left	3d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $27.23	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $27-27.71	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $27.71	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$27.50 (1.4σ)	$1,875	$-83,550	+$39,450	+$1,750
+2.5%	$28.19 (1.7σ)	$-6,719	$-84,968	+$38,032	-$6,844
+5%	$28.88 (2.0σ)	$-15,312	$-86,386	+$36,614	-$15,438
SS (= V-bounce)	$39.71 (6.3σ)	$-150,750	$-108,733	+$14,267	-$142,000

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (106 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$28	31 Jul 2026	8d left	+$0.87/sh	+$9,194 cycle +$10,784 [+$6,744…+$10,600] · 95% credit	68% surv 54%	-$74,622 NOT cap gain +$48,378
Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%)	~$31	14 Aug 2026	22d left	+$0.42/sh	+$4,439 cycle +$6,029 [-$626…+$5,839] · 72% credit	76% surv 70%	-$47,021 NOT cap gain +$75,979
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)	~$29	31 Jul 2026	8d left	+$0.08/sh	+$848 cycle +$2,438 [-$4,076…+$1,878] · 47% credit	73% surv 66%	-$66,268 NOT cap gain +$56,732
Max even-money escape in the band	~$33	14 Aug 2026	22d left	+$0.05/sh	+$519 cycle +$2,109 [-$5,201…+$1,687] · 43% credit	81% surv 77%	-$30,066 NOT cap gain +$92,934
SS $40 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder

Spot \ Time	≥ 4d left	3d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $27.23	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $27-27.71	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $27.71	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

⏱ TRIPWIRE STATUS, 25 active short call(s) 1 TRIPPED · 2 watch

The one rule, applied to live marks: roll when remaining time value ≤ max($0.04, 25% of collected) or spot at/past breakeven (strike + premium). Statuses refresh on every run; challenges happen during US RTH (your night), so a TRIPPED row here means act at the open or set the order now.

Fortress Acct Call Spot Breakeven Mark Time value Status Action

META Main:1299 3x $630C 31 Jul 2026 (10d) $645.64 $653.94 $42.23 $26.39 TRIPPED ▸ 🔵 ROLL UP-AND-OUT · the roll pays you why ▸

🔵 ROLL UP-AND-OUT · the roll pays you

$15.84/sh is stuck intrinsic (never decays, tracks META 1:1); only $26.39 is live theta (~$7,918). Waiting harvests the extrinsic but not the cap. This fortress is back above its breakeven, so the cap sits at whole, not at a loss. Rolling $630→$647.5 banks +$0.07/sh (+$22) and sells fatter forward theta, you relocate the decay to a higher cap, not forfeit it.

▸ Gate on price: hold while META is not making new highs; fire the roll before it breaks $647.5, above which this credit door closes.

🚪 ESCAPE PATHS (live chain), buy back the 3x $630C at ~$40.85 ($12,255), then: fills assumed a quarter-spread inside bid/ask

CREDIT ROLLS (shortest DTE first)

Target	Sell @	Net/sh	Total (3 ct)	Stock @ Cap	Surv	Type
$647.5 21 Aug 2026 (31d)	$40.92	+$0.07	+$22	+$15,472	51%	OUT+UP

GLD Main:1299 10x $377C 24 Jul 2026 (3d) $370.00 $378.34 $1.16 $1.16 WATCH ▸ 🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning

7.00 OTM. The $1.16 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$1,292 kept if it expires quiet).

▸ Spike-vol name into a ~3-session close: arm a conditional buyback near $375.12 to cover a weekend gap, else penny-close and re-sell.

🚪 Escape paths deferred , GLD is a heavy chain and this call is WATCH, not TRIPPED, so it was not fetched to keep the portfolio run fast. For the live roll menu, run fortress_fight.py --tickers GLD.

SPY Neville:0865 12x $758C 27 Jul 2026 (6d) $743.63 $758.65 $0.87 $0.87 WATCH ▸ 🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning

14.37 OTM. The $0.87 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$719 kept if it expires quiet).

▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $758.65 (breakeven).

🚪 Escape paths deferred , SPY is a heavy chain and this call is WATCH, not TRIPPED, so it was not fetched to keep the portfolio run fast. For the live roll menu, run fortress_fight.py --tickers SPY.

IGV Main:1299 12x $96.5C 24 Jul 2026 (3d) $93.28 $97.00 $0.53 $0.53 OK ▸ 🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning

3.22 OTM. The $0.53 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$543 kept if it expires quiet).

▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $97.00 (breakeven).

NVDA Neville:0865 5x $212.5C 24 Jul 2026 (3d) $203.72 $213.74 $1.39 $1.39 OK ▸ 🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning

8.78 OTM. The $1.39 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$596 kept if it expires quiet).

▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $213.74 (breakeven).

QCOM RetireInc:7291 5x $180C 24 Jul 2026 (3d) $172.32 $181.61 $3.07 $3.07 OK ▸ 🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning

7.68 OTM. The $3.07 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$778 kept if it expires quiet).

▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $181.61 (breakeven).

COIN-LC165 Main:1299 8x $170C 24 Jul 2026 (3d) $162.05 $172.10 $2.06 $2.06 OK ▸ 🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning

7.95 OTM. The $2.06 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$1,640 kept if it expires quiet).

▸ Spike-vol name into a ~3-session close: arm a conditional buyback near $169.15 to cover a weekend gap, else penny-close and re-sell.

MSTR-LC125 RetireInc:7291 4x $105C 24 Jul 2026 (3d) $98.84 $106.34 $1.08 $1.08 OK ▸ 🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning

6.16 OTM. The $1.08 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$517 kept if it expires quiet).

▸ Spike-vol name into a ~3-session close: arm a conditional buyback near $104.47 to cover a weekend gap, else penny-close and re-sell.

NEM Main:1299 5x $97C 24 Jul 2026 (3d) $90.31 $97.96 $0.76 $0.76 OK ▸ 🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning

6.69 OTM. The $0.76 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$456 kept if it expires quiet).

▸ Spike-vol name into a ~3-session close: arm a conditional buyback near $96.52 to cover a weekend gap, else penny-close and re-sell.

MDB Neville:0865 1x $350C 24 Jul 2026 (3d) $325.00 $355.09 $1.89 $1.89 OK ▸ 🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning

25.00 OTM. The $1.89 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$504 kept if it expires quiet).

▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $355.09 (breakeven).

DELL RetireInc:7291 3x $420C 24 Jul 2026 (3d) $385.46 $425.13 $9.74 $9.74 OK ▸ 🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning

34.54 OTM. The $9.74 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$1,525 kept if it expires quiet).

▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $425.13 (breakeven).

SPCX Neville:0865 5x $134C 24 Jul 2026 (3d) $120.91 $135.04 $2.03 $2.03 OK ▸ 🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning

13.09 OTM. The $2.03 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$496 kept if it expires quiet).

▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $135.04 (breakeven).

COIN-LC500 Main:1299 25x $180C 24 Jul 2026 (3d) $162.05 $180.52 $0.79 $0.79 OK ▸ 🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning

17.95 OTM. The $0.79 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$1,175 kept if it expires quiet).

▸ Spike-vol name into a ~3-session close: arm a conditional buyback near $179.10 to cover a weekend gap, else penny-close and re-sell.

CRWV Neville:0865 5x $84C 24 Jul 2026 (3d) $74.60 $84.96 $0.88 $0.88 OK ▸ 🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning

9.40 OTM. The $0.88 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$453 kept if it expires quiet).

▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $84.96 (breakeven).

RKLB RetireInc:7291 6x $75C 24 Jul 2026 (3d) $66.50 $76.39 $1.07 $1.07 OK ▸ 🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning

8.50 OTM. The $1.07 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$801 kept if it expires quiet).

▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $76.39 (breakeven).

APP RetireInc:7291 1x $480C 24 Jul 2026 (3d) $424.60 $486.90 $2.44 $2.44 OK ▸ 🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning

55.40 OTM. The $2.44 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$685 kept if it expires quiet).

▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $486.90 (breakeven).

ENPH RetireInc:7291 10x $45C 24 Jul 2026 (3d) $39.65 $45.56 $0.77 $0.77 OK ▸ 🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning

5.35 OTM. The $0.77 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$506 kept if it expires quiet).

▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $45.56 (breakeven).

INTC Neville:0865 5x $116C 24 Jul 2026 (3d) $99.22 $117.62 $1.48 $1.48 OK ▸ 🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning

16.78 OTM. The $1.48 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$784 kept if it expires quiet).

▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $117.62 (breakeven).

MU-LC970 Neville:0865 2x $1040C 24 Jul 2026 (3d) $886.89 $1,047.99 $5.67 $5.67 OK ▸ 🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning

153.11 OTM. The $5.67 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$1,588 kept if it expires quiet).

▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $1,047.99 (breakeven).

GOOG-LC300 Neville:0865 15x $370C 31 Jul 2026 (10d) $353.47 $385.01 $4.89 $4.89 OK ▸ 🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning

16.53 OTM. The $4.89 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$22,444 kept if it expires quiet).

▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $385.01 (breakeven).

AMZN Joint:1782 10x $280C 31 Jul 2026 (10d) $249.92 $283.10 $1.54 $1.54 OK ▸ 🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning

30.08 OTM. The $1.54 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$3,048 kept if it expires quiet).

▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $283.10 (breakeven).

COIN-LC145 RetireInc:7291 3x $190C 31 Jul 2026 (10d) $162.05 $193.34 $2.38 $2.38 OK ▸ 🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning

27.95 OTM. The $2.38 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$988 kept if it expires quiet).

▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $193.34 (breakeven).

MU-LC880 Main:1299 5x $1050C 31 Jul 2026 (10d) $886.89 $1,069.99 $17.05 $17.05 OK ▸ 🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning

163.11 OTM. The $17.05 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$9,972 kept if it expires quiet).

▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $1,069.99 (breakeven).

IREN-LC45 Neville:0865 20x $55C 7 Aug 2026 (17d) $41.66 $55.87 $0.39 $0.39 OK ▸ 🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning

13.34 OTM. The $0.39 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$1,638 kept if it expires quiet).

▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $55.87 (breakeven).

IREN-LC50 RetireInc:7291 20x $55C 7 Aug 2026 (17d) $41.66 $55.85 $0.39 $0.39 OK ▸ 🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning

13.34 OTM. The $0.39 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$1,610 kept if it expires quiet).

▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $55.85 (breakeven).

UNDERWATER, but NOT a deep drawdown sell the richest CC still ≥80% survival at/above CC-SS (not a blind CC-SS sale), sorted by touch odds

Fortress	Acct	Ct	Price	CC-SS	↑ whole	Sell strike	Touch odds	Per cycle	Income @ strike	Normal income	Action
GOOG-LC340 ↗⚡ER 2d	Neville:0865	5	$353.47	$381.80	8.0%	$382.50 24 Jul 2026 (3d) · 90% surv	20%	$730	$7,300/mo (68%)	$10,659/mo	sell 5x $382.50 CC
IREN-LC25-1299 ↗	Main:1299	20	$41.63	$55.13	32.4%	$56 7 Aug 2026 (17d) · 88% surv	25%	$1,200	$2,118/mo (15%)	$14,471/mo	sell 20x $56 CC
IREN-LC25-1782 ↗	Joint:1782	20	$41.63	$55.13	32.4%	$56 7 Aug 2026 (17d) · 88% surv	25%	$1,200	$2,118/mo (15%)	$14,471/mo	sell 20x $56 CC
CLSK ↗⚡ER 17d	RetireInc:7291	25	$14.57	$18.69	28.2%	$19 14 Aug 2026 (24d) · 87% surv	29%	$800	$1,000/mo (19%)	$5,382/mo	sell 25x $19 CC
RIOT ↗BBC⚡ER 10d	Joint:1782	50	$20.08	$23.03	14.7%	$24 31 Jul 2026 (10d) · 86% surv	29%	$1,500	$4,500/mo (35%)	$12,794/mo	sell 50x $24 CC
NOW ↗⚡ER 2d	Main:1299	10	$104.28	$113.14	8.5%	$116 24 Jul 2026 (3d) · 81% surv	39%	$2,370	$23,700/mo (172%)	$13,765/mo	sell 10x $116 CC
MARA-LC40 ↗⚡ER 8d	Main:1299	200	$11.77	$14.44	22.6%	$14.50 14 Aug 2026 (24d) · 82% surv	39%	$7,200	$9,000/mo (29%)	$31,059/mo	sell 200x $14.50 CC
GOOG-LC310 ↗⚡ER 2d	Joint:1782	5	$353.47	$345.90	0.0%	$372.50 24 Jul 2026 (3d) · 81% surv	39%	$1,525	$15,250/mo (143%)	$10,659/mo	sell 5x $372.50 CC

UNCAPPED, ABOVE WATER no FIGHT needed; sell normal CCs (cc_scanner)

Fortress	Acct	Ct	Price	BE SS	Headroom
HIMS	Main:1299	15	$32.70	$17.47	+87.2%

⏸ SKIPPED BY CSV: 8 fortress slice(s) these qualify for FIGHT but carry Skip; in active_fortresses.csv (earnings, event, bullish momentum). Not analyzed, no recommendation, excluded from every income total and from the cc_manager seam. Existing short calls on them are still tripwired below. Remove the tag to bring them back.

Fortress	Acct	Ct	Price	BE SS	Why excluded
BMNR-LC23-1299	Main:1299	75	$16.75	$39.13	excluded by CSV (Skip) · 57.2% below BE SS · also tagged: Half Max
BMNR-LC23-1782	Joint:1782	150	$16.75	$30.29	excluded by CSV (Skip) · 44.7% below BE SS · also tagged: Half Max
BMNR-LC25	Main:1299	50	$16.75	$44.46	excluded by CSV (Skip) · 62.3% below BE SS · also tagged: Half Max
ETHA	Main:1299	50	$14.44	$17.33	excluded by CSV (Skip) · 16.7% below BE SS
IBIT	Joint:1782	50	$37.01	$70.58	excluded by CSV (Skip) · 47.6% below BE SS [LEAPS_ONLY, NO_HEDGE]
MARA-LC20-1299	Main:1299	200	$11.77	$22.69	excluded by CSV (Skip) · 48.1% below BE SS · also tagged: Half Max
MARA-LC20-1782	Joint:1782	50	$11.77	$24.33	excluded by CSV (Skip) · 51.6% below BE SS · also tagged: Half Max
MARA-LC25	Neville:0865	250	$11.77	$26.40	excluded by CSV (Skip) · 55.4% below BE SS

CAPPED: 25 fortress slice(s) with CCs already sold, excluded from FIGHT scope

Fortress	Acct	Ct	BE SS	Active short calls
AMZN	Joint:1782	10	$256.25	10x $280C 31 Jul 2026 (10d)
APP	RetireInc:7291	1	$588.00	1x $480C 24 Jul 2026 (3d)
COIN-LC145	RetireInc:7291	3	$182.40	3x $190C 31 Jul 2026 (10d)
COIN-LC165	Main:1299	8	$210.90	8x $170C 24 Jul 2026 (3d)
COIN-LC500	Main:1299	25	$563.00	25x $180C 24 Jul 2026 (3d)
CRWV	Neville:0865	5	$125.45	5x $84C 24 Jul 2026 (3d)
DELL	RetireInc:7291	3	$398.00	3x $420C 24 Jul 2026 (3d)
ENPH	RetireInc:7291	10	$56.15	10x $45C 24 Jul 2026 (3d)
GLD	Main:1299	10	$456.00	10x $377C 24 Jul 2026 (3d)
GOOG-LC300	Neville:0865	15	$373.00	15x $370C 31 Jul 2026 (10d)
IGV	Main:1299	12	$96.50	12x $96C 24 Jul 2026 (3d) [LEAPS_ONLY, NO_HEDGE]
INTC	Neville:0865	5	$114.00	5x $116C 24 Jul 2026 (3d)
IREN-LC45	Neville:0865	20	$56.50	20x $55C 7 Aug 2026 (17d)
IREN-LC50	RetireInc:7291	20	$63.43	20x $55C 7 Aug 2026 (17d)
MDB	Neville:0865	1	$362.90	1x $350C 24 Jul 2026 (3d)
META	Main:1299	3	$601.50	3x $630C 31 Jul 2026 (10d)
MSTR-LC125	RetireInc:7291	4	$161.00	4x $105C 24 Jul 2026 (3d)
MU-LC880	Main:1299	5	$1,028.60	5x $1050C 31 Jul 2026 (10d)
MU-LC970	Neville:0865	2	$1,220.00	2x $1040C 24 Jul 2026 (3d)
NEM	Main:1299	5	$114.54	5x $97C 24 Jul 2026 (3d)
NVDA	Neville:0865	5	$199.60	5x $212C 24 Jul 2026 (3d)
QCOM	RetireInc:7291	5	$224.00	5x $180C 24 Jul 2026 (3d)
RKLB	RetireInc:7291	6	$141.55	6x $75C 24 Jul 2026 (3d)
SPCX	Neville:0865	5	$186.00	5x $134C 24 Jul 2026 (3d)
SPY	Neville:0865	12	$764.00	12x $758C 27 Jul 2026 (6d) [LEAPS_ONLY, NO_HEDGE]

Manage these with the roll table (fortress_fight --tickers T) or roll_calls.

📏 CALIBRATION: 887 of 1587 predictions resolved since 2026-07-02, is the model honest?

Predicted survival	N	Avg predicted	Realized OTM rate	Gap
0-60%	71	55%	85%	+29pp
60-70%	115	64%	88%	+24pp
70-80%	162	77%	98%	+22pp
80-90%	199	84%	99%	+15pp
90-100%	340	94%	100%	+6pp

Touch odds: predicted 38% avg vs realized 22% touch rate over 887 resolved (daily highs, exact intraday touch).

🚪 Roll actuals vs playbook: 75 real buyback(s) recorded · 18 roll(s), net +$0.84/sh avg.

Green gap: within 7pp. A persistent negative gap means survival is overstated (model too confident); positive means too conservative. N is small early; judge after ~30 resolved.

fortress_fight.py v6.2 --all | 2026-07-21 10:56

Gross FIGHT income	$4,000/mo
vs 50% target ($4,368/mo)	-8%
vs normal income ($8,735/mo)	46% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$3,516/mo

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$10,126
… as % of IC ($31,250)	32.4%
… as % of ML ($71,250)	14.2%
Recovery months (at normal income)	1.2 mo
Surgical close (50 ct)	$-21,825

Gross FIGHT income	$2,960/mo
vs 50% target ($4,368/mo)	-32%
vs normal income ($8,735/mo)	34% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$5,362/mo

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$7,493
… as % of IC ($31,250)	24.0%
… as % of ML ($71,250)	10.5%
Recovery months (at normal income)	0.9 mo
Surgical close (37 ct)	$-16,150

Gross FIGHT income	$4,480/mo
vs 50% target ($4,368/mo)	+3%
vs normal income ($8,735/mo)	51% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$7,992/mo

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$7,889
… as % of IC ($31,250)	25.2%
… as % of ML ($71,250)	11.1%
Recovery months (at normal income)	0.9 mo
Surgical close (32 ct)	$-13,984

Gross FIGHT income	$8,880/mo
vs 50% target ($4,368/mo)	+103%
vs normal income ($8,735/mo)	102% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$11,282/mo

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$10,601
… as % of IC ($31,250)	33.9%
… as % of ML ($71,250)	14.9%
Recovery months (at normal income)	1.2 mo
Surgical close (37 ct)	$-16,206

Gross FIGHT income	$2,000/mo
vs 50% target ($4,015/mo)	-50%
vs normal income ($8,029/mo)	25% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$2,000/mo

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$31,772
… as % of IC ($56,800)	55.9%
… as % of ML ($100,800)	31.5%
Recovery months (at normal income)	4.0 mo
Surgical close (20 ct)	$-40,990

Gross FIGHT income	$2,750/mo
vs 50% target ($4,015/mo)	-32%
vs normal income ($8,029/mo)	34% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$2,909/mo

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$19,509
… as % of IC ($56,800)	34.3%
… as % of ML ($100,800)	19.4%
Recovery months (at normal income)	2.4 mo
Surgical close (11 ct)	$-22,544

Gross FIGHT income	$4,250/mo
vs 50% target ($4,015/mo)	+6%
vs normal income ($8,029/mo)	53% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$4,303/mo

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$30,151
… as % of IC ($56,800)	53.1%
… as % of ML ($100,800)	29.9%
Recovery months (at normal income)	3.8 mo
Surgical close (17 ct)	$-34,842

Gross FIGHT income	$8,250/mo
vs 50% target ($4,015/mo)	+105%
vs normal income ($8,029/mo)	103% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$8,338/mo

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$28,404
… as % of IC ($56,800)	50.0%
… as % of ML ($100,800)	28.2%
Recovery months (at normal income)	3.5 mo
Surgical close (15 ct)	$-30,780

Gross FIGHT income	$18,750/mo
vs 50% target ($23,934/mo)	-22%
vs normal income ($47,868/mo)	39% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$18,750/mo

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$96,601
… as % of IC ($27,625)	349.7%
… as % of ML ($277,625)	34.8%
Recovery months (at normal income)	2.0 mo
Surgical close (125 ct)	$-123,750

Gross FIGHT income	$15,900/mo
vs 50% target ($23,934/mo)	-34%
vs normal income ($47,868/mo)	33% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$15,957/mo

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$81,917
… as % of IC ($27,625)	296.5%
… as % of ML ($277,625)	29.5%
Recovery months (at normal income)	1.7 mo
Surgical close (106 ct)	$-104,940

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$27.50 (1.4σ)	$1,590	$-83,816	+$39,184	+$1,484
+2.5%	$28.19 (1.7σ)	$-5,697	$-83,928	+$39,072	-$5,803
+5%	$28.88 (2.0σ)	$-12,985	$-84,039	+$38,961	-$13,091
SS (= V-bounce)	$39.71 (6.3σ)	$-127,836	$-87,149	+$35,851	-$120,416

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (120 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$26	31 Jul 2026	8d left	+$0.82/sh	+$9,860 cycle +$12,260 [+$6,878…+$11,056] · 95% credit	68% surv 54%	-$83,597 NOT cap gain +$39,403
Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%)	~$30	14 Aug 2026	22d left	+$0.35/sh	+$4,236 cycle +$6,636 [-$1,728…+$5,204] · 68% credit	76% surv 71%	-$56,865 NOT cap gain +$66,135
Max even-money escape in the band	~$30	7 Aug 2026	16d left	+$0.06/sh	+$677 cycle +$3,077 [-$5,926…+$1,261] · 36% credit	77% surv 72%	-$60,425 NOT cap gain +$62,575
SS $40 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)	~$28	31 Jul 2026	8d left	+$0.05/sh	+$610 cycle +$3,010 [-$5,234…+$1,096] · 36% credit	74% surv 66%	-$76,148 NOT cap gain +$46,852
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)	~$32	14 Aug 2026	22d left	-$0.01/sh	-$104 cycle +$2,296 [-$7,077…+$517] · 28% credit	81% surv 78%	-$40,330 NOT cap gain +$82,670
budget: banked $2,400 debit $104 (4% used ≈ 0.0 wk of income) → whole cycle still +$2,296 cash · rolled 120 ct earn ≈ $17,208/mo while parked; 5 ct free to re-sell

Gross FIGHT income	$24,000/mo
vs 50% target ($23,934/mo)	+0%
vs normal income ($47,868/mo)	50% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$24,015/mo

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$104,137
… as % of IC ($27,625)	377.0%
… as % of ML ($277,625)	37.5%
Recovery months (at normal income)	2.2 mo
Surgical close (120 ct)	$-119,280

Spot \ Time	≥ 4d left	3d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $26.23	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $26-26.80	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $26.80	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$26.50 (1.0σ)	$2,400	$-93,457	+$29,543	+$2,280
+2.5%	$27.16 (1.3σ)	$-5,550	$-94,493	+$28,507	-$5,670
+5%	$27.83 (1.6σ)	$-13,500	$-95,528	+$27,472	-$13,620
SS (= V-bounce)	$39.71 (6.3σ)	$-156,120	$-114,453	+$8,547	-$147,720

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (98 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$25	31 Jul 2026	8d left	+$0.76/sh	+$7,401 cycle +$12,203 [+$3,957…+$7,014] · 93% credit	68% surv 53%	-$99,289 NOT cap gain +$23,711
Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%)	~$27	14 Aug 2026	22d left	+$0.53/sh	+$5,240 cycle +$10,042 [-$385…+$3,959] · 73% credit	74% surv 67%	-$79,531 NOT cap gain +$43,469
Max even-money escape in the band	~$28	14 Aug 2026	22d left	+$0.26/sh	+$2,542 cycle +$7,344 [-$3,743…+$1,158] · 43% credit	77% surv 72%	-$71,792 NOT cap gain +$51,208
SS $40 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)	~$27	31 Jul 2026	8d left	+$0.01/sh	+$89 cycle +$4,891 [-$5,734…-$1,143] · 16% credit	74% surv 67%	-$89,901 NOT cap gain +$33,099
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)	~$32	14 Aug 2026	22d left	-$0.43/sh	-$4,247 cycle +$555 [-$12,612…-$6,023]	87% surv 86%	-$36,831 NOT cap gain +$86,169
budget: banked $4,802 debit $4,247 (88% used ≈ 0.4 wk of income) → whole cycle still +$555 cash · rolled 98 ct earn ≈ $7,228/mo while parked; 27 ct free to re-sell

Gross FIGHT income	$48,020/mo
vs 50% target ($23,934/mo)	+101%
vs normal income ($47,868/mo)	100% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$48,101/mo

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$96,903
… as % of IC ($27,625)	350.8%
… as % of ML ($277,625)	34.9%
Recovery months (at normal income)	2.0 mo
Surgical close (98 ct)	$-97,706

Spot \ Time	≥ 4d left	3d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $24.75	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $25-25.62	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $25.62	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$25.00 (≤1σ, normal week)	$4,802	$-106,690	+$16,310	+$4,704
+2.5%	$25.62 (≤1σ, normal week)	$-1,323	$-106,291	+$16,709	-$1,421
+5%	$26.25 (≤1σ, normal week)	$-7,448	$-105,893	+$17,107	-$7,546
SS (= V-bounce)	$39.71 (6.3σ)	$-139,356	$-99,229	+$23,771	-$132,496

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (10 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$110	31 Jul 2026	8d left	+$3.20/sh	+$3,205 cycle +$3,725 [+$2,941…+$3,602] · 100% credit	67% surv 53%	-$17,001 NOT cap gain +$13,769
Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%)	~$126	14 Aug 2026	22d left	+$1.27/sh	+$1,266 cycle +$1,786 [+$411…+$1,589] · 83% credit	81% surv 77%	-$4,396 NOT cap gain +$26,374
Max even-money escape in the band	~$131	14 Aug 2026	22d left	+$0.34/sh	+$341 cycle +$861 [-$695…+$641] · 50% credit	84% surv 81%	-$821 NOT cap gain +$29,949
SS $233 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)	~$119	31 Jul 2026	8d left	+$0.07/sh	+$74 cycle +$594 [-$862…+$288] · 40% credit	79% surv 74%	-$11,888 NOT cap gain +$18,882
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)	~$136	14 Aug 2026	22d left	-$0.32/sh	-$321 cycle +$199 [-$1,544…-$51] · 23% credit	87% surv 85%	+$3,017 SAFE cap gain +$33,787
budget: banked $520 debit $321 (62% used ≈ 0.3 wk of income) → whole cycle still +$199 cash · rolled 10 ct earn ≈ $3,303/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell

Gross FIGHT income	$5,200/mo
vs 50% target ($5,956/mo)	-13%
vs normal income ($11,912/mo)	44% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$5,200/mo

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$42,647
… as % of IC ($53,000)	80.5%
… as % of ML ($53,000)	80.5%
Recovery months (at normal income)	3.6 mo
Surgical close (10 ct)	$-30,800

Spot \ Time	≥ 4d left	3d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $108.90	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $109-110.55	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $110.55	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.