FORTRESS FIGHT: PORTFOLIO

42 fortress slices across 4 account(s) | 11 deep drawdown (FIGHT) | 2 underwater (not deep DD) | 8 skipped (CSV) | 2 uncapped above water | 19 capped (out of scope)

FIGHT income if all primaries filled: $103,860/mo (52% of normal target) · E[net] after expected escape cost $57,250/mo · plus $28,440/mo CC-safe on 2 shallow row(s) ⓘ
ASSIGNMENT EXPOSURE across every open short call: $4,968 locked in if all 2 call(s) struck below their fortress' recovery-to-whole floor were assigned today, before premium; 1 call(s) have no marked floor and are not counted.

⚔ FIGHT: underwater & uncapped every ladder rung side by side; 🎯 = the recommended pick | click a rung for its roll menu + decision panel, ESC closes | fortress link = full dashboard | ranked by today's move: sell into strength (▲ UP BIG) first

POSITION				CC-SAFE	INCOME LADDER · SAFEST ⟶ RICHEST				RECOVERY
Fortress	Ct	Price	CC-SS	CC-safe ≥ floor	🛡 Safe yield	33% normal	50% normal	100% normal	Banked	Cap @ CC-SS	↑ whole
GOOG-LC340 ↗ ▲ UP +1.8% Neville:0865 · This Fri	5	$341.65	$384.21	5 × $385 9 Oct (25d) $555 cyc · $666/mo 93% survhist 96% · T:14%hist 14%	5 × $360 18 Sep (4d) $315 cyc · $2,362/mo 92% survhist 96% · T:16%hist 14%	4 × $355 18 Sep (4d) $460 cyc · $3,450/mo 86% survhist 86% · T:28%hist 26%	🎯 5 × $352.50 18 Sep (4d) $780 cyc · $5,850/mo 82% survhist 86% · T:37%hist 30%	5 × $347.50 18 Sep (4d) $1,425 cyc · $10,688/mo 69% survhist 65% · T:62%hist 59%	$24,503	-$15,074 (59.1% IC)	12.5%
AMZN ↗ Joint:1782 · This Fri	5	$254.56	$270.43	5 × $272.50 2 Oct (18d) $730 cyc · $1,217/mo 85% survhist 86% · T:31%hist 30%	5 × $267.50 18 Sep (4d) $190 cyc · $1,425/mo 91% survhist 96% · T:18%hist 14%	4 × $265 18 Sep (4d) $252 cyc · $1,890/mo 87% survhist 86% · T:27%hist 26%	🎯 4 × $262.50 18 Sep (4d) $372 cyc · $2,790/mo 81% survhist 86% · T:39%hist 30%	4 × $257.50 18 Sep (4d) $852 cyc · $6,390/mo 63% survhist 65% · T:74%hist 67%	$980	-$2,802 (8.3% IC)	6.2%
APP ↗ RetireInc:7291 · This Fri	1	$321.63	$605.10	—	1 × $352.50 18 Sep (4d) $100 cyc · $750/mo 92% survhist 96% · T:17%hist 14%	1 × $347.50 18 Sep (4d) $140 cyc · $1,050/mo 88% survhist 86% · T:24%hist 26%	🎯 1 × $340 18 Sep (4d) $255 cyc · $1,912/mo 80% survhist 86% · T:40%hist 39%	1 × $332.50 18 Sep (4d) $440 cyc · $3,300/mo 70% survhist 84% · T:61%hist 59%	$2,598	-$26,255 (205.1% IC)	88.1%
IREN-LC45 ↗ Neville:0865 · This Fri	20	$42.81	$58.48	20 × $60 9 Oct (25d) $860 cyc · $1,032/mo 93% survhist 96% · T:14%hist 14%	20 × $49 18 Sep (4d) $520 cyc · $3,900/mo 91% survhist 96% · T:18%hist 14%	20 × $48.50 18 Sep (4d) $620 cyc · $4,650/mo 90% survhist 86% · T:21%hist 26%	🎯 18 × $47 18 Sep (4d) $972 cyc · $7,290/mo 83% survhist 86% · T:34%hist 30%	19 × $45 18 Sep (4d) $1,938 cyc · $14,535/mo 71% survhist 84% · T:61%hist 59%	$5,005	-$19,694 (328.2% IC)	36.6%
IREN-LC50 ↗ RetireInc:7291 · This Fri	20	$42.81	$66.57	20 × $65 18 Sep (4d) $20 cyc · $150/mo 99+% survhist 96% · T:1%hist 3%	20 × $49 18 Sep (4d) $520 cyc · $3,900/mo 91% survhist 96% · T:18%hist 14%	20 × $48.50 18 Sep (4d) $620 cyc · $4,650/mo 90% survhist 86% · T:21%hist 26%	🎯 18 × $47 18 Sep (4d) $972 cyc · $7,290/mo 83% survhist 86% · T:34%hist 30%	19 × $45 18 Sep (4d) $1,938 cyc · $14,535/mo 71% survhist 84% · T:61%hist 59%	$3,610	-$34,263 (250.1% IC)	55.5%
RKLB ↗ RetireInc:7291 · This Fri	6	$62.53	$149.11	—	6 × $70 18 Sep (4d) $186 cyc · $1,395/mo 90% survhist 96% · T:20%hist 14%	6 × $69 18 Sep (4d) $234 cyc · $1,755/mo 88% survhist 86% · T:25%hist 26%	🎯 6 × $68 18 Sep (4d) $306 cyc · $2,295/mo 84% survhist 86% · T:32%hist 30%	6 × $65 18 Sep (4d) $684 cyc · $5,130/mo 69% survhist 65% · T:63%hist 59%	$2,602	-$48,361 (303.6% IC)	138.5%
SPCX ↗ ▼ DOWN -1.3% Neville:0865 · This Fri	5	$148.96	$189.81	5 × $190 9 Oct (25d) $290 cyc · $348/mo 95% survhist 96% · T:10%hist 3%	5 × $162.50 18 Sep (4d) $255 cyc · $1,912/mo 91% survhist 96% · T:19%hist 14%	5 × $160 18 Sep (4d) $375 cyc · $2,812/mo 86% survhist 86% · T:28%hist 26%	🎯 5 × $157.50 18 Sep (4d) $530 cyc · $3,975/mo 85% survhist 86% · T:31%hist 30%	5 × $152.50 18 Sep (4d) $1,110 cyc · $8,325/mo 65% survhist 65% · T:72%hist 67%	$3,947	-$15,627 (115.8% IC)	27.4%
COPX ↗ ▼ DOWN BIG -4.3% Joint:1782 · This Fri	20	$84.61	$96.53	20 × $97 9 Oct (25d) $1,200 cyc · $1,440/mo 86% survhist 86% · T:29%hist 26%	20 × $91.50 18 Sep (4d) $300 cyc · $2,250/mo 90% survhist 96% · T:20%hist 14%	🎯 14 × $89 18 Sep (4d) $630 cyc · $4,725/mo 82% survhist 86% · T:38%hist 30%	15 × $88 18 Sep (4d) $975 cyc · $7,312/mo 76% survhist 84% · T:48%hist 39%	16 × $86 18 Sep (4d) $1,920 cyc · $14,400/mo 63% survhist 65% · T:76%hist 67%	$2,500	-$9,910 (17.4% IC)	14.1%
NVDA ↗ ▼ DOWN BIG -3.9% Main:1299 · This Fri	10	$210.13	$228.96	10 × $230 9 Oct (25d) $1,680 cyc · $2,016/mo 86% survhist 86% · T:28%hist 26%	10 × $222.50 18 Sep (4d) $440 cyc · $3,300/mo 92% survhist 96% · T:15%hist 14%	8 × $220 18 Sep (4d) $616 cyc · $4,620/mo 88% survhist 86% · T:25%hist 26%	🎯 7 × $217.50 18 Sep (4d) $875 cyc · $6,562/mo 81% survhist 86% · T:39%hist 30%	9 × $215 18 Sep (4d) $1,764 cyc · $13,230/mo 72% survhist 84% · T:57%hist 44%	$403	-$7,147 (14.4% IC)	9.0%
SHALLOW · NOT A DEEP DRAWDOWN a CC at the floor still pays, so recovery is the trade: 🎯 sits on the CC-SAFE rung (assignment breaks even or better) and the income rungs beside it are fidelity, priced with what assignment below the floor would lock
GOOG-LC300 ↗ ▲ UP +1.8% Neville:0865 · This Fri	15	$341.65	$345.22	🎯 15 × $352.50 18 Sep (4d) $2,340 cyc · $17,550/mo 82% survhist 86% · T:37%hist 30% above floor +$10,927 · hole 0.3mo	15 × $360 18 Sep (4d) $945 cyc · $7,087/mo 92% survhist 96% · T:16%hist 14% above floor +$22,177 · hole 0.8mo	12 × $355 18 Sep (4d) $1,380 cyc · $10,350/mo 86% survhist 86% · T:28%hist 26% above floor +$11,741 · hole 0.5mo	13 × $352.50 18 Sep (4d) $2,028 cyc · $15,210/mo 82% survhist 86% · T:37%hist 30% above floor +$9,470 · hole 0.4mo	14 × $347.50 18 Sep (4d) $3,990 cyc · $29,925/mo 69% survhist 65% · T:62%hist 59% above floor +$3,198 · hole 0.2mo	$31,054	+$10,927 whole if assigned	1.0% whole ~24 Sep on 🎯
SPY ↗ ⚐ BORDERLINE 27% ▼ DOWN -0.8% Neville:0865 · This Fri	12	$759.50	$703.24	🎯 12 × $769 18 Sep (4d) $1,452 cyc · $10,890/mo 81% survhist 86% · T:37%hist 30% above floor +$78,906	12 × $773 18 Sep (4d) $624 cyc · $4,680/mo 90% survhist 96% · T:19%hist 14% above floor +$83,706	11 × $771 18 Sep (4d) $891 cyc · $6,682/mo 86% survhist 86% · T:27%hist 26% above floor +$74,531	11 × $769 18 Sep (4d) $1,331 cyc · $9,982/mo 81% survhist 86% · T:37%hist 30% above floor +$72,331	11 × $765 18 Sep (4d) $2,684 cyc · $20,130/mo 69% survhist 65% · T:62%hist 59% above floor +$67,931	$5,271	+$78,906 whole if assigned	0.0%
ABOVE WATER no FIGHT needed; sell normal CCs (cc_scanner owns these writes)
ETHA Main:1299	50	$18.91	$17.33 BE	+9.1% above BE SS · sell normal CCs via cc_scanner; FIGHT deliberately fetches no chain here
HIMS Main:1299	15	$28.48	$17.47 BE	+63.0% above BE SS · sell normal CCs via cc_scanner; FIGHT deliberately fetches no chain here
BBC · LEGACY STRUCTURES known structurally inefficient and not being restructured; the plan is CC income while the underlying repairs, so treat any REBUILD / restructure verdict on these as informational
COIN-LC500 ↗ ▲ UP +5.8% Main:1299 · This Fri	25	$185.32	$353.23	—	25 × $212.50 18 Sep (4d) $2,825 cyc · $21,188/mo 92% survhist 96% · T:17%hist 14%	22 × $210 18 Sep (4d) $3,036 cyc · $22,770/mo 90% survhist 86% · T:21%hist 26%	🎯 23 × $205 18 Sep (4d) $4,577 cyc · $34,328/mo 86% survhist 86% · T:30%hist 26%	23 × $195 18 Sep (4d) $9,200 cyc · $69,000/mo 72% survhist 84% · T:58%hist 44%	$15,088	-$336,349 (213.6% IC)	90.6%
GLXY ↗ ▼ DOWN -3.3% Main:1299 · This Fri	125	$23.71	$35.19	—	125 × $27.50 18 Sep (4d) $1,500 cyc · $11,250/mo 91% survhist 96% · T:17%hist 14%	107 × $26.50 18 Sep (4d) $2,140 cyc · $16,050/mo 86% survhist 86% · T:30%hist 26%	🎯 98 × $26 18 Sep (4d) $3,234 cyc · $24,255/mo 82% survhist 86% · T:38%hist 30%	116 × $25 18 Sep (4d) $6,496 cyc · $48,720/mo 71% survhist 84% · T:61%hist 59%	$6,095	-$86,857 (314.4% IC)	48.4%
TOTAL (13)	269	following every 🎯 $17,295 cyc · $129,712/mo		$9,127 cyc · $35,309/mo 9 of 13	$8,720 cyc · $65,400/mo	$11,394 cyc · $85,455/mo	$17,207 cyc · $129,052/mo	$34,441 cyc · $258,308/mo	$103,654	-$602,338

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (25 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$212	25 Sep 2026	9d left	+$4.52/sh	+$11,300 cycle +$14,125 [+$10,821…+$14,721] · 100% credit	68% surv 53%	-$146,564 NOT cap gain +$34,374
Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%)	~$237	9 Oct 2026	23d left	+$1.38/sh	+$3,447 cycle +$6,272 [-$489…+$6,786] · 73% credit	79% surv 74%	-$136,029 NOT cap gain +$44,908
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)	~$222	25 Sep 2026	9d left	+$0.28/sh	+$702 cycle +$3,527 [-$2,483…+$3,443] · 58% credit	74% surv 66%	-$149,950 NOT cap gain +$30,988
Max even-money escape in the band	~$242	9 Oct 2026	23d left	+$0.13/sh	+$336 cycle +$3,161 [-$4,218…+$3,436] · 49% credit	81% surv 77%	-$135,416 NOT cap gain +$45,521
SS $563 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)	~$247	9 Oct 2026	23d left	-$0.83/sh	-$2,066 cycle +$759 [-$7,335…+$936] · 33% credit	83% surv 80%	-$134,093 NOT cap gain +$46,845
budget: banked $2,825 debit $2,066 (73% used ≈ 0.4 wk of income) → whole cycle still +$759 cash · rolled 25 ct earn ≈ $20,133/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell

Spot \ Time	≥ 4d left	3d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $210.38	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $210-213.70	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $213.70	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$212.50 (1.9σ)	$2,825	$-157,863	+$23,074	+$2,800
+2.5%	$217.81 (2.3σ)	$-10,456	$-167,187	+$13,751	-$10,481
+5%	$223.12 (2.6σ)	$-23,738	$-176,510	+$4,427	-$23,762
SS (= V-bounce)	$563.00 (26.5σ)	$-873,425	$-772,991	-$592,053	-$215,950

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (22 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$210	25 Sep 2026	9d left	+$4.42/sh	+$9,728 cycle +$12,764 [+$9,341…+$12,732] · 100% credit	68% surv 53%	-$149,784 NOT cap gain +$31,153
Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%)	~$235	9 Oct 2026	23d left	+$1.21/sh	+$2,659 cycle +$5,695 [-$733…+$5,948] · 69% credit	79% surv 74%	-$138,466 NOT cap gain +$42,471
Max even-money escape in the band	~$237	9 Oct 2026	23d left	+$0.50/sh	+$1,104 cycle +$4,140 [-$2,534…+$4,283] · 55% credit	80% surv 76%	-$138,159 NOT cap gain +$42,778
SS $563 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)	~$220	25 Sep 2026	9d left	+$0.20/sh	+$438 cycle +$3,474 [-$2,215…+$3,080] · 50% credit	74% surv 66%	-$151,862 NOT cap gain +$29,075
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)	~$245	9 Oct 2026	23d left	-$0.96/sh	-$2,114 cycle +$922 [-$6,548…+$888] · 33% credit	83% surv 80%	-$135,789 NOT cap gain +$45,149
budget: banked $3,036 debit $2,114 (70% used ≈ 0.4 wk of income) → whole cycle still +$922 cash · rolled 22 ct earn ≈ $16,955/mo while parked; 3 ct free to re-sell

Spot \ Time	≥ 4d left	3d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $207.90	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $208-211.44	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $211.44	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$210.00 (1.7σ)	$3,036	$-159,512	+$21,426	+$3,014
+2.5%	$215.25 (2.1σ)	$-8,514	$-167,151	+$13,787	-$8,536
+5%	$220.50 (2.5σ)	$-20,064	$-174,789	+$6,148	-$20,086
SS (= V-bounce)	$563.00 (26.5σ)	$-773,564	$-752,027	-$571,089	-$194,986

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (23 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$205	25 Sep 2026	9d left	+$4.23/sh	+$9,726 cycle +$14,303 [+$8,721…+$12,685] · 100% credit	68% surv 52%	-$151,971 NOT cap gain +$28,966
Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%)	~$225	9 Oct 2026	23d left	+$2.13/sh	+$4,894 cycle +$9,471 [+$1,336…+$7,609] · 81% credit	78% surv 71%	-$142,141 NOT cap gain +$38,796
Max even-money escape in the band	~$232	9 Oct 2026	23d left	+$0.20/sh	+$453 cycle +$5,030 [-$3,891…+$2,807] · 43% credit	81% surv 77%	-$140,994 NOT cap gain +$39,943
SS $563 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)	~$215	25 Sep 2026	9d left	+$0.04/sh	+$92 cycle +$4,669 [-$3,020…+$2,141] · 41% credit	75% surv 67%	-$154,394 NOT cap gain +$26,544
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)	~$240	9 Oct 2026	23d left	-$1.22/sh	-$2,798 cycle +$1,779 [-$7,933…-$721] · 19% credit	84% surv 81%	-$138,659 NOT cap gain +$42,279
budget: banked $4,577 debit $2,798 (61% used ≈ 0.4 wk of income) → whole cycle still +$1,779 cash · rolled 23 ct earn ≈ $16,180/mo while parked; 2 ct free to re-sell

Spot \ Time	≥ 4d left	3d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $202.95	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $203-207.05	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $207.05	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$205.00 (1.4σ)	$4,577	$-161,697	+$19,241	+$4,554
+2.5%	$210.12 (1.7σ)	$-7,210	$-169,666	+$11,271	-$7,233
+5%	$215.25 (2.1σ)	$-18,998	$-177,636	+$3,302	-$19,021
SS (= V-bounce)	$563.00 (26.5σ)	$-818,823	$-770,987	-$590,049	-$213,946

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (23 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$195	25 Sep 2026	9d left	+$3.86/sh	+$8,867 cycle +$18,067 [+$6,499…+$9,623] · 100% credit	68% surv 52%	-$155,657 NOT cap gain +$25,281
Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%)	~$210	9 Oct 2026	23d left	+$2.83/sh	+$6,514 cycle +$15,714 [+$1,395…+$6,298] · 83% credit	76% surv 68%	-$147,073 NOT cap gain +$33,865
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)	~$202	25 Sep 2026	9d left	+$0.64/sh	+$1,468 cycle +$10,668 [-$2,807…+$1,160] · 37% credit	73% surv 64%	-$157,707 NOT cap gain +$23,231
Max even-money escape in the band	~$220	9 Oct 2026	23d left	+$0.26/sh	+$602 cycle +$9,802 [-$6,046…-$91] · 24% credit	81% surv 76%	-$145,535 NOT cap gain +$35,403
SS $563 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)	~$245	9 Oct 2026	23d left	-$3.45/sh	-$7,927 cycle +$1,273 [-$17,556…-$9,533]	90% surv 89%	-$135,440 NOT cap gain +$45,498
budget: banked $9,200 debit $7,927 (86% used ≈ 0.5 wk of income) → whole cycle still +$1,273 cash · rolled 23 ct earn ≈ $7,977/mo while parked; 2 ct free to re-sell

Spot \ Time	≥ 4d left	3d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $193.05	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $193-199.12	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $199.12	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$195.00 (≤1σ, normal week)	$9,200	$-164,524	+$16,414	+$9,177
+2.5%	$199.87 (1.0σ)	$-2,012	$-172,105	+$8,833	-$2,035
+5%	$204.75 (1.4σ)	$-13,225	$-179,685	+$1,252	-$13,248
SS (= V-bounce)	$563.00 (26.5σ)	$-837,200	$-789,364	-$608,426	-$232,323

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (15 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$352	25 Sep 2026	9d left	+$2.76/sh	+$4,141 cycle +$6,481 [+$3,226…+$5,085] · 100% credit	67% surv 51%	+$16,572 SAFE cap gain +$20,397
Max even-money escape in the band	~$366	9 Oct 2026	23d left	+$1.12/sh	+$1,682 cycle +$4,022 [-$706…+$2,161] · 63% credit	78% surv 71%	+$31,234 SAFE cap gain +$35,059
SS $373 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)	~$358	25 Sep 2026	9d left	+$0.10/sh	+$148 cycle +$2,488 [-$1,661…+$530] · 33% credit	74% surv 65%	+$20,081 SAFE cap gain +$23,906
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)	~$376	9 Oct 2026	23d left	-$1.34/sh	-$2,006 cycle +$334 [-$5,238…-$1,917] · 5% credit	85% surv 82%	+$40,370 SAFE cap gain +$44,195
budget: banked $2,340 debit $2,006 (86% used ≈ 0.5 wk of income) → whole cycle still +$334 cash · rolled 15 ct earn ≈ $5,194/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell · clears SS ✓

Spot \ Time	≥ 4d left	3d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $348.98	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $349-354.10	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $354.10	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$352.50 (1.0σ)	$2,340	$12,430	+$16,255	+$1,620
+2.5%	$361.31 (1.8σ)	$-10,879	$10,513	+$14,338	-$11,599
+5%	$370.12 (2.6σ)	$-24,098	$8,597	+$12,422	-$24,818
SS (= V-bounce)	$373.00 (2.9σ)	$-28,410	$7,971	+$11,796	-$29,130

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (15 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$360	25 Sep 2026	9d left	+$2.61/sh	+$3,910 cycle +$4,855 [+$3,431…+$5,058] · 98% credit	67% surv 51%	+$24,564 SAFE cap gain +$28,389
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)	~$363	25 Sep 2026	9d left	+$1.00/sh	+$1,504 cycle +$2,449 [+$512…+$2,480] · 83% credit	71% surv 59%	+$26,455 SAFE cap gain +$30,280
Max even-money escape in the band	~$373	9 Oct 2026	23d left	+$0.93/sh	+$1,399 cycle +$2,344 [-$497…+$2,385] · 68% credit	78% surv 72%	+$39,174 SAFE cap gain +$42,999
reaches SS ✓
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)	~$378	9 Oct 2026	23d left	-$0.21/sh	-$309 cycle +$636 [-$2,572…+$581] · 35% credit	81% surv 77%	+$43,879 SAFE cap gain +$47,704
budget: banked $945 debit $309 (33% used ≈ 0.2 wk of income) → whole cycle still +$636 cash · rolled 15 ct earn ≈ $7,573/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell · clears SS ✓

Spot \ Time	≥ 4d left	3d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $356.40	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $356-360.65	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $360.65	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$360.00 (1.7σ)	$945	$20,654	+$24,479	+$225
+2.5%	$369.00 (2.5σ)	$-12,555	$18,696	+$22,521	-$13,275
+5%	$378.00 (3.4σ)	$-26,055	$16,739	+$20,564	-$22,275

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (12 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$355	25 Sep 2026	9d left	+$2.71/sh	+$3,253 cycle +$4,633 [+$2,601…+$4,050] · 99% credit	67% surv 51%	+$18,073 SAFE cap gain +$21,898
Max even-money escape in the band	~$368	9 Oct 2026	23d left	+$1.06/sh	+$1,272 cycle +$2,652 [-$552…+$1,777] · 65% credit	78% surv 71%	+$33,214 SAFE cap gain +$37,039
SS $373 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)	~$361	25 Sep 2026	9d left	+$0.05/sh	+$59 cycle +$1,439 [-$1,324…+$516] · 38% credit	74% surv 65%	+$22,382 SAFE cap gain +$26,207
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)	~$373	9 Oct 2026	23d left	-$0.09/sh	-$106 cycle +$1,274 [-$2,267…+$296] · 31% credit	81% surv 77%	+$38,248 SAFE cap gain +$42,073
budget: banked $1,380 debit $106 (8% used ≈ 0.0 wk of income) → whole cycle still +$1,274 cash · rolled 12 ct earn ≈ $6,153/mo while parked; 3 ct free to re-sell · clears SS ✓

Spot \ Time	≥ 4d left	3d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $351.45	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $351-356.18	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $356.18	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$355.00 (1.2σ)	$1,380	$14,820	+$18,645	+$804
+2.5%	$363.87 (2.1σ)	$-9,270	$15,553	+$19,378	-$9,846
+5%	$372.75 (2.9σ)	$-19,920	$16,285	+$20,110	-$20,496
SS (= V-bounce)	$373.00 (2.9σ)	$-20,220	$16,305	+$20,130	-$20,796

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (13 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$352	25 Sep 2026	9d left	+$2.76/sh	+$3,589 cycle +$5,617 [+$2,763…+$4,235] · 99% credit	67% surv 51%	+$15,803 SAFE cap gain +$19,628
Max even-money escape in the band	~$366	9 Oct 2026	23d left	+$1.12/sh	+$1,458 cycle +$3,486 [-$787…+$1,536] · 60% credit	78% surv 71%	+$30,793 SAFE cap gain +$34,618
SS $373 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)	~$358	25 Sep 2026	9d left	+$0.10/sh	+$128 cycle +$2,156 [-$1,575…+$228] · 31% credit	74% surv 65%	+$19,845 SAFE cap gain +$23,670
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)	~$376	9 Oct 2026	23d left	-$1.34/sh	-$1,739 cycle +$289 [-$4,879…-$1,849] · 4% credit	85% surv 82%	+$40,252 SAFE cap gain +$44,077
budget: banked $2,028 debit $1,739 (86% used ≈ 0.5 wk of income) → whole cycle still +$289 cash · rolled 13 ct earn ≈ $4,501/mo while parked; 2 ct free to re-sell · clears SS ✓

Spot \ Time	≥ 4d left	3d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $348.98	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $349-354.10	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $354.10	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$352.50 (1.0σ)	$2,028	$12,214	+$16,039	+$1,404
+2.5%	$361.31 (1.8σ)	$-9,428	$12,060	+$15,885	-$10,052
+5%	$370.12 (2.6σ)	$-20,884	$11,906	+$15,731	-$21,508
SS (= V-bounce)	$373.00 (2.9σ)	$-24,622	$11,855	+$15,680	-$25,246

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (14 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$348	25 Sep 2026	9d left	+$2.86/sh	+$4,003 cycle +$7,993 [+$2,846…+$3,982] · 99% credit	67% surv 51%	+$11,718 SAFE cap gain +$15,543
Reliable up-and-out (highest cap still free ≥60%)	~$356	9 Oct 2026	23d left	+$2.91/sh	+$4,070 cycle +$8,060 [+$1,756…+$3,818] · 89% credit	74% surv 64%	+$22,495 SAFE cap gain +$26,320
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)	~$353	25 Sep 2026	9d left	+$0.19/sh	+$272 cycle +$4,262 [-$1,863…-$36] · 24% credit	74% surv 65%	+$15,490 SAFE cap gain +$19,315
Max even-money escape in the band	~$366	9 Oct 2026	23d left	+$0.08/sh	+$110 cycle +$4,100 [-$3,139…-$434] · 18% credit	81% surv 77%	+$31,359 SAFE cap gain +$35,184
SS $373 not reachable for even money within 45d; this is the ceiling of the free ladder
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)	~$381	9 Oct 2026	23d left	-$2.32/sh	-$3,245 cycle +$745 [-$7,422…-$4,112]	91% surv 90%	+$46,657 SAFE cap gain +$50,482
budget: banked $3,990 debit $3,245 (81% used ≈ 0.5 wk of income) → whole cycle still +$745 cash · rolled 14 ct earn ≈ $2,953/mo while parked; 1 ct free to re-sell · clears SS ✓

Spot \ Time	≥ 4d left	3d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $344.02	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $344-350.39	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $350.39	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$347.50 (≤1σ, normal week)	$3,990	$7,716	+$11,541	+$3,318
+2.5%	$356.19 (1.4σ)	$-8,172	$6,695	+$10,520	-$8,844
+5%	$364.88 (2.2σ)	$-20,335	$5,674	+$9,499	-$21,007
SS (= V-bounce)	$373.00 (2.9σ)	$-31,710	$4,719	+$8,544	-$32,382

Spot \ Time	≥ 13d left	3-12d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $381.15	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $381-386.25	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $386.25	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

⏱ TRIPWIRE STATUS, 19 active short call(s) 3 watch · 1 harvest

The one rule, applied to live marks: roll when remaining time value ≤ max($0.04, 25% of collected) or spot at/past breakeven (strike + premium). Statuses refresh on every run; challenges happen during US RTH (your night), so a TRIPPED row here means act at the open or set the order now.

Fortress

Acct

Call

Spot

Breakeven

Mark

Time value

Status

Action

DELL

RetireInc:7291

3x $550C 25 Sep 2026 (11d)

$531.99

$565.44

$16.67

WATCH ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

NOW

Main:1299

10x $140C 16 Oct 2026 (32d)

$139.94

$155.41

$9.12

WATCH ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

META

Main:1299

3x $665C 20 Nov 2026 (67d)

$661.66

$687.21

$50.83

WATCH ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

MU-LC670

Joint:1782

1x $1100C 25 Sep 2026 (11d)

$907.54

$1,125.39

$2.36

HARVEST ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

COIN-LC165

Main:1299

8x $220C 2 Oct 2026 (18d)

$186.00

$229.43

$2.99

OK ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

INTC

Neville:0865

5x $116C 2 Oct 2026 (18d)

$96.10

$118.98

$0.80

OK ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

GOOG-LC310

Joint:1782

5x $355C 16 Oct 2026 (32d)

$341.34

$359.26

$7.05

OK ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

IGV

Main:1299

12x $111C 16 Oct 2026 (32d)

$103.83

$112.23

$1.29

OK ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

IREN-LC25-1299

Main:1299

20x $55C 16 Oct 2026 (32d)

$42.70

$55.88

$1.17

OK ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

IREN-LC25-1782

Joint:1782

20x $55C 16 Oct 2026 (32d)

$42.70

$55.88

$1.17

OK ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

CRWV

Neville:0865

5x $125C 16 Oct 2026 (32d)

$83.54

$127.58

$0.67

OK ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

AMD

Neville:0865

2x $580C 23 Oct 2026 (39d)

$484.73

$593.17

$7.83

OK ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

SNDK

Neville:0865

1x $1950C 23 Oct 2026 (39d)

$1,516.63

$2,085.25

$36.45

OK ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

MU-LC880

Main:1299

5x $1210C 23 Oct 2026 (39d)

$907.54

$1,252.67

$10.98

OK ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

MU-LC970

Neville:0865

2x $1250C 23 Oct 2026 (39d)

$907.54

$1,284.32

$9.12

OK ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

QCOM

RetireInc:7291

5x $220C 20 Nov 2026 (67d)

$177.37

$224.53

$4.28

OK ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

MSTR-LC125

RetireInc:7291

4x $170C 20 Nov 2026 (67d)

$132.50

$180.96

$7.25

OK ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

MSTR-LC180

Joint:1782

10x $170C 20 Nov 2026 (67d)

$132.50

$180.95

$7.25

OK ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

GLD

Main:1299

10x $470C 18 Dec 2026 (95d)

$391.77

$476.90

$3.33

OK ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

⏸ SKIPPED BY CSV: 8 fortress slice(s) these qualify for FIGHT but carry Skip; in active_fortresses.csv (earnings, event, bullish momentum). Not analyzed, no recommendation, excluded from every income total and from the cc_manager seam. Existing short calls on them are still tripwired below. Remove the tag to bring them back.

Fortress	Acct	Ct	Price	BE SS	Why excluded
BMNR-LC23-1299	Main:1299	75	$24.90	$53.26	excluded by CSV (Skip) · 53.2% below BE SS · also tagged: Half Max
BMNR-LC23-1782	Joint:1782	150	$24.90	$36.42	excluded by CSV (Skip) · 31.6% below BE SS · also tagged: Half Max
BMNR-LC25	Main:1299	50	$24.90	$65.83	excluded by CSV (Skip) · 62.2% below BE SS · also tagged: Half Max [HP_MISSING]
CLSK	RetireInc:7291	25	$13.26	$20.74	excluded by CSV (Skip) · 36.1% below BE SS
ENPH	RetireInc:7291	10	$35.74	$56.15	excluded by CSV (Skip) · 36.3% below BE SS
IBIT	Joint:1782	50	$44.24	$70.58	excluded by CSV (Skip) · 37.3% below BE SS [LEAPS_ONLY, NO_HEDGE]
MARA-LC13	Main:1299	400	$11.63	$16.75	excluded by CSV (Skip) · 30.6% below BE SS [LEAPS_ONLY, NO_HEDGE]
MARA-LC40	RetireInc:7291	500	$11.63	$41.04	excluded by CSV (Skip) · 71.7% below BE SS [LEAPS_ONLY, NO_HEDGE]

CAPPED: 19 fortress slice(s) with CCs already sold, excluded from FIGHT scope

Fortress	Acct	Ct	BE SS	Active short calls
AMD	Neville:0865	2	$489.91	2x $580C 23 Oct 2026 (39d)
COIN-LC165	Main:1299	8	$210.90	8x $220C 2 Oct 2026 (18d)
CRWV	Neville:0865	5	$125.45	5x $125C 16 Oct 2026 (32d)
DELL	RetireInc:7291	3	$398.00	3x $550C 25 Sep 2026 (11d)
GLD	Main:1299	10	$456.00	10x $470C 18 Dec 2026 (95d)
GOOG-LC310	Joint:1782	5	$392.50	5x $355C 16 Oct 2026 (32d) [LEAPS_ONLY, NO_HEDGE]
IGV	Main:1299	12	$96.50	12x $111C 16 Oct 2026 (32d) [LEAPS_ONLY, NO_HEDGE]
INTC	Neville:0865	5	$114.00	5x $116C 2 Oct 2026 (18d)
IREN-LC25-1299	Main:1299	20	$44.00	20x $55C 16 Oct 2026 (32d)
IREN-LC25-1782	Joint:1782	20	$44.00	20x $55C 16 Oct 2026 (32d)
META	Main:1299	3	$601.50	3x $665C 20 Nov 2026 (67d)
MSTR-LC125	RetireInc:7291	4	$161.00	4x $170C 20 Nov 2026 (67d)
MSTR-LC180	Joint:1782	10	$233.00	10x $170C 20 Nov 2026 (67d) [LEAPS_ONLY, NO_HEDGE]
MU-LC670	Joint:1782	1	$792.36	1x $1100C 25 Sep 2026 (11d)
MU-LC880	Main:1299	5	$1,028.60	5x $1210C 23 Oct 2026 (39d)
MU-LC970	Neville:0865	2	$1,220.00	2x $1250C 23 Oct 2026 (39d)
NOW	Main:1299	10	$108.93	10x $140C 16 Oct 2026 (32d)
QCOM	RetireInc:7291	5	$224.00	5x $220C 20 Nov 2026 (67d)
SNDK	Neville:0865	1	$1,620.00	1x $1950C 23 Oct 2026 (39d)

Manage these with the roll table (fortress_fight --tickers T) or roll_calls.

📏 CALIBRATION: 2673 of 2827 predictions resolved since 2026-07-02, is the model honest?

Predicted survival	N	Avg predicted	Realized OTM rate	Gap
0-60%	187	56%	62%	+6pp
60-70%	366	64%	61%	-3pp
70-80%	475	76%	83%	+6pp
80-90%	618	85%	84%	-0pp
90-100%	1027	94%	95%	+1pp

Touch odds: predicted 38% avg vs realized 34% touch rate over 2673 resolved (daily highs, exact intraday touch).

Regime spread: per expiry week, realized/predicted touch ranged 0.51x (W29) to 1.59x (W34) over 10 graded weeks; last week 1.04x. Every hist pill on this page carries this range in its tooltip.

🚪 Roll actuals vs playbook: 165 real buyback(s) recorded · 83 roll(s), net +$0.59/sh avg.

💸 What a touch actually costs, over 83 real rolls: buyback $6.77/sh, replacement credit financed 109% of it, leaving a net CREDIT of $0.59/sh (58 of 83 rolled for a credit). Verdict: even-roll (campaign MC) is closer: the replacement credit financed most of the buyback. E[net] charges the NET cost plus one parked cycle, not the gross buyback.

Green gap: within 7pp. A persistent negative gap means survival is overstated (model too confident); positive means too conservative. N is small early; judge after ~30 resolved.

fortress_fight.py v6.3 --all | 2026-09-14 21:51

Gross FIGHT income	$21,188/mo
vs 50% target ($33,852/mo)	-37%
vs normal income ($67,705/mo)	31% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$21,188/mo

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$348,997
… as % of IC ($157,500)	221.6%
… as % of ML ($232,500)	150.1%
Recovery months (at normal income)	5.2 mo
Surgical close (25 ct)	$-181,112

Gross FIGHT income	$22,770/mo
vs 50% target ($33,852/mo)	-33%
vs normal income ($67,705/mo)	34% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$22,778/mo

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$312,067
… as % of IC ($157,500)	198.1%
… as % of ML ($232,500)	134.2%
Recovery months (at normal income)	4.6 mo
Surgical close (22 ct)	$-159,346

Gross FIGHT income	$34,328/mo
vs 50% target ($33,852/mo)	+1%
vs normal income ($67,705/mo)	51% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$34,333/mo

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$336,349
… as % of IC ($157,500)	213.6%
… as % of ML ($232,500)	144.7%
Recovery months (at normal income)	5.0 mo
Surgical close (23 ct)	$-166,600

Gross FIGHT income	$69,000/mo
vs 50% target ($33,852/mo)	+104%
vs normal income ($67,705/mo)	102% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$69,005/mo

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$354,726
… as % of IC ($157,500)	225.2%
… as % of ML ($232,500)	152.6%
Recovery months (at normal income)	5.2 mo
Surgical close (23 ct)	$-166,750

Gross FIGHT income	$17,550/mo
vs 50% target ($14,523/mo)	+21%
vs normal income ($29,045/mo)	60% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$17,550/mo

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$0
… as % of IC ($109,500)	0.0%
… as % of ML ($162,000)	0.0%
Recovery months (at normal income)	0.0 mo
Surgical close (15 ct)	$-3,877

Gross FIGHT income	$7,087/mo
vs 50% target ($14,523/mo)	-51%
vs normal income ($29,045/mo)	24% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$7,087/mo

Gross FIGHT income	$10,350/mo
vs 50% target ($14,523/mo)	-29%
vs normal income ($29,045/mo)	36% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$10,743/mo

Gross FIGHT income	$15,210/mo
vs 50% target ($14,523/mo)	+5%
vs normal income ($29,045/mo)	52% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$15,472/mo

Gross FIGHT income	$29,925/mo
vs 50% target ($14,523/mo)	+106%
vs normal income ($29,045/mo)	103% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$30,056/mo

Gross FIGHT income	$666/mo
vs 50% target ($4,841/mo)	-86%
vs normal income ($9,682/mo)	7% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$666/mo

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$0
… as % of IC ($25,500)	0.0%
… as % of ML ($48,000)	0.0%
Recovery months (at normal income)	0.0 mo
Surgical close (5 ct)	$-17,492

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$385.00 (1.6σ)	$555	$123	+$17,548	+$530
+2.5%	$394.62 (2.0σ)	$-4,257	$-916	+$16,509	-$4,282
+5%	$404.25 (2.3σ)	$-9,070	$-1,956	+$15,469	-$6,970

Gross FIGHT income	$2,362/mo
vs 50% target ($4,841/mo)	-51%
vs normal income ($9,682/mo)	24% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$2,362/mo

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$11,789
… as % of IC ($25,500)	46.2%
… as % of ML ($48,000)	24.6%
Recovery months (at normal income)	1.2 mo
Surgical close (5 ct)	$-17,435

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$360.00 (1.7σ)	$315	$-9,917	+$7,508	+$290
+2.5%	$369.00 (2.5σ)	$-4,185	$-10,889	+$6,536	-$4,210
+5%	$378.00 (3.4σ)	$-8,685	$-11,861	+$5,564	-$8,710
SS (= V-bounce)	$398.00 (5.2σ)	$-18,685	$-14,021	+$3,404	-$18,710

Gross FIGHT income	$3,450/mo
vs 50% target ($4,841/mo)	-29%
vs normal income ($9,682/mo)	36% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$3,464/mo

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$11,223
… as % of IC ($25,500)	44.0%
… as % of ML ($48,000)	23.4%
Recovery months (at normal income)	1.2 mo
Surgical close (4 ct)	$-13,950

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$355.00 (1.2σ)	$460	$-11,727	+$5,698	+$440
+2.5%	$363.87 (2.1σ)	$-3,090	$-11,798	+$5,627	-$3,110
+5%	$372.75 (2.9σ)	$-6,640	$-11,869	+$5,556	-$6,660
SS (= V-bounce)	$398.00 (5.2σ)	$-16,740	$-12,071	+$5,354	-$16,760

Gross FIGHT income	$5,850/mo
vs 50% target ($4,841/mo)	+21%
vs normal income ($9,682/mo)	60% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$5,850/mo

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$15,074
… as % of IC ($25,500)	59.1%
… as % of ML ($48,000)	31.4%
Recovery months (at normal income)	1.6 mo
Surgical close (5 ct)	$-17,442

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$352.50 (1.0σ)	$780	$-12,392	+$5,033	+$755
+2.5%	$361.31 (1.8σ)	$-3,626	$-13,344	+$4,081	-$3,651
+5%	$370.12 (2.6σ)	$-8,032	$-14,295	+$3,130	-$8,058
SS (= V-bounce)	$398.00 (5.2σ)	$-21,970	$-17,306	+$119	-$21,995

Gross FIGHT income	$10,688/mo
vs 50% target ($4,841/mo)	+121%
vs normal income ($9,682/mo)	110% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$10,688/mo

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$16,929
… as % of IC ($25,500)	66.4%
… as % of ML ($48,000)	35.3%
Recovery months (at normal income)	1.7 mo
Surgical close (5 ct)	$-17,448

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$347.50 (≤1σ, normal week)	$1,425	$-13,707	+$3,718	+$1,400
+2.5%	$356.19 (1.4σ)	$-2,919	$-14,645	+$2,780	-$2,944
+5%	$364.88 (2.2σ)	$-7,262	$-15,583	+$1,842	-$7,288
SS (= V-bounce)	$398.00 (5.2σ)	$-23,825	$-19,161	-$1,736	-$23,850

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (5 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$272	9 Oct 2026	16d left	+$0.98/sh	+$489 cycle +$1,219 [+$324…+$726] · 100% credit	66% surv 51%	+$2,542 SAFE cap gain +$10,745
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)	~$273	9 Oct 2026	16d left	+$0.75/sh	+$374 cycle +$1,104 [+$197…+$590] · 98% credit	67% surv 52%	+$2,661 SAFE cap gain +$10,864
Max even-money escape in the band	~$273	9 Oct 2026	16d left	+$0.75/sh	+$374 cycle +$1,104 [+$197…+$590] · 98% credit	67% surv 52%	+$2,661 SAFE cap gain +$10,864
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)	~$278	9 Oct 2026	16d left	-$1.37/sh	-$687 cycle +$43 [-$1,042…-$586] · 5% credit	73% surv 64%	+$4,255 SAFE cap gain +$12,458
budget: banked $730 debit $687 (94% used ≈ 2.5 wk of income) → whole cycle still +$43 cash · rolled 5 ct earn ≈ $3,691/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell

Gross FIGHT income	$1,217/mo
vs 50% target ($2,732/mo)	-55%
vs normal income ($5,464/mo)	22% covered
Net income (after hedge)	$478/mo

Cap give-up @ CC-SS (V-bounce)	-$0
… as % of IC ($33,960)	0.0%
… as % of ML ($51,460)	0.0%
Recovery months (at normal income)	0.0 mo
Surgical close (5 ct)	$-8,230

Spot \ Time	≥ 10d left	3-9d left	≤ 2d (expiry)
Below $269.77	Do nothing. Theta wins.	Do nothing.	Penny buyback at the close; re-sell next cycle.
Pressing the strike $270-274.01	Hold, alert at breakeven. Rolling into a spike pays top dollar; let theta bleed the buyback first.	★ Roll on strength NOW: cheap buyback, fat credits.	Close or roll same day; pin risk at the strike.
Through breakeven ≥ $274.01	Act now: intrinsic compounds daily. Up-and-out or safety roll.	Roll or close immediately; time value is gone.	Close today, or be assigned.

Scenario	Spot	CC leg net	Position total	vs today	vs do-nothing
at strike	$272.50 (1.0σ)	$730	$2,054	+$10,256	+$2,600
+2.5%	$279.31 (1.4σ)	$-2,676	$2,265	+$10,467	+$2,600
+5%	$286.12 (1.8σ)	$-6,082	$2,476	+$10,679	+$2,600

Move	New strike ≈	New expiry	Tenor	Est net	Total (5 ct)	POP / surv of new CC	If rolled & exited total P&L · cap gain @ new strike
Roll out (same strike, buy time)	~$268	21 Sep 2026	5d left	+$0.43/sh	+$216 cycle +$406 [+$140…+$429] · 90% credit	64% surv 51%	-$926 NOT cap gain +$7,277
Max even-money escape in the band	~$278	9 Oct 2026	23d left	+$0.97/sh	+$485 cycle +$675 [+$92…+$749] · 79% credit	77% surv 72%	+$4,887 SAFE cap gain +$13,090
reaches SS ✓
Up-and-out for even (raise the cap, free)	~$268	21 Sep 2026	5d left	+$0.22/sh	+$109 cycle +$299 [-$8…+$317] · 74% credit	65% surv 53%	-$799 NOT cap gain +$7,404
Safety roll (pay small debit, max POP)	~$283	9 Oct 2026	23d left	-$0.21/sh	-$103 cycle +$87 [-$607…+$126] · 35% credit	83% surv 79%	+$6,954 SAFE cap gain +$15,157
budget: banked $190 debit $103 (54% used ≈ 0.3 wk of income) → whole cycle still +$87 cash · rolled 5 ct earn ≈ $1,564/mo while parked; 0 ct free to re-sell · clears SS ✓