FORTRESS FIGHT: PORTFOLIO

38 fortress slices across 4 account(s) | 11 deep drawdown (FIGHT) | 8 underwater (not deep DD) | 0 uncapped above water | 17 capped (out of scope)

FIGHT income if all primaries filled: $53,990/mo (52% of normal target)

⚔ FIGHT: underwater & uncapped click a fortress for the full decision dashboard

Fortress	Acct	Ct	Price	CC-SS	↑ whole	🎯 Recommended	Chal odds	Per cycle	Income/mo	Floor	Net/mo	Banked	POP	Cap @ CC-SS	Rec (mo)
ETHA ↗	Main:1299	50	$13.53	$17.92	32.4%	Sell 27 x $14.50 (6d) [Next Fri]	21%	$135	$675	24%	$114	-	91%	-$9,090 (42.0% IC)	1.6
RKLB ↗	RetireInc:7291	6	$80.57	$148.41	84.2%	Sell 6 x $88.50 (6d) [Next Fri]	25%	$684	$3,420	103%	$3,162	-	86%	-$35,262 (221.4% IC)	5.3
GLXY ↗ ⚐	Main:1299	25	$25.10	$33.83	34.8%	Sell 23 x $28 (6d) [Next Fri]	25%	$989	$4,945	101%	$4,950	-	85%	-$12,425 (224.9% IC)	1.3
IREN-LC50 ↗	RetireInc:7291	20	$40.73	$67.34	65.3%	Sell 20 x $46 (6d) [Next Fri]	26%	$1,700	$8,500	105%	$7,213	$451	86%	-$40,980 (299.1% IC)	2.5
COIN-LC165 ↗	Main:1299	8	$160.07	$216.26	35.1%	Sell 8 x $172.50 (6d) [Next Fri]	27%	$1,576	$7,880	100%	$7,286	$456	85%	-$33,429 (248.7% IC)	2.1
QCOM ↗	RetireInc:7291	5	$188.56	$226.57	20.2%	Sell 5 x $205 (6d) [Next Fri]	28%	$765	$3,825	74%	$3,662	$846	88%	-$10,020 (58.9% IC)	1.0
MSTR ↗	RetireInc:7291	4	$94.94	$168.21	77.2%	Sell 4 x $106 (6d) [Next Fri]	28%	$412	$2,060	73%	$1,721	-	88%	-$24,472 (509.8% IC)	4.3
COPX ↗	Joint:1782	20	$76.69	$94.48	23.2%	Sell 20 x $81.50 (6d) [Next Fri]	29%	$700	$3,500	67%	$3,500	-	88%	-$25,263 (44.5% IC)	2.4
BMNR ↗	RetireInc:7291	50	$15.14	$19.72	30.2%	Sell 44 x $16.50 (6d) [Next Fri]	30%	$1,012	$5,060	100%	$4,932	-	85%	-$13,137 (42.0% IC)	1.3
CLSK ↗	RetireInc:7291	25	$12.57	$17.19	36.7%	Sell 19 x $14 (6d) [Next Fri]	32%	$323	$1,615	69%	$1,624	-	87%	-$5,730 (61.3% IC)	1.2
GLD ↗ ⚐	Main:1299	5	$377.02	$471.18	25.0%	Sell 5 x $385 (6d) [Next Fri]	33%	$825	$4,125	108%	$3,576	$248	83%	-$42,267 (62.2% IC)	5.5
TOTAL (11)		218						$9,121	$45,605	89%	$41,739	$2,001		-$252,076

⏱ TRIPWIRE STATUS, 19 active short call(s) 1 TRIPPED · 3 watch

The one rule, applied to live marks: roll when remaining time value ≤ max($0.04, 25% of collected) or spot at/past breakeven (strike + premium). Statuses refresh on every run; challenges happen during US RTH (your night), so a TRIPPED row here means act at the open or set the order now.

Fortress	Acct	Call	Spot	Breakeven	Mark	Time value	Status	Action
META	Main:1299	3x $630C 31 Jul 2026 (20d)	$669.22	$653.94	$62.92	$22.34	TRIPPED ▸	🟡 ROLL vs HOLD · intrinsic is the enemy why ▸
🟡 ROLL vs HOLD · intrinsic is the enemy $40.58/sh is stuck intrinsic (never decays, tracks META 1:1); only $22.34 is live theta (~$6,703). Waiting harvests the extrinsic but not the cap. This fortress is back above its breakeven, so the cap sits at whole, not at a loss. ▸ Roll only if you can lift the cap for a credit (see escape paths); otherwise hold while it is not making new highs.
AMZN	Joint:1782	10x $252.5C 13 Jul 2026 (2d)	$246.41	$253.75	$0.36	$0.36	WATCH ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 6.09 OTM. The $0.36 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$1,202 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $253.75 (breakeven). 🚪 Escape paths deferred , AMZN is a heavy chain and this call is WATCH, not TRIPPED, so it was not fetched to keep the portfolio run fast. For the live roll menu, run `fortress_fight.py --tickers AMZN`.
SPY	Neville:0865	12x $760C 15 Jul 2026 (4d)	$753.23	$760.59	$0.77	$0.77	WATCH ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 6.77 OTM. The $0.77 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$653 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $760.59 (breakeven). 🚪 Escape paths deferred , SPY is a heavy chain and this call is WATCH, not TRIPPED, so it was not fetched to keep the portfolio run fast. For the live roll menu, run `fortress_fight.py --tickers SPY`.
NVDA	Neville:0865	5x $212.5C 17 Jul 2026 (6d)	$209.09	$213.97	$2.93	$2.93	WATCH ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 3.41 OTM. The $2.93 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$710 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $213.97 (breakeven). 🚪 Escape paths deferred , NVDA is a heavy chain and this call is WATCH, not TRIPPED, so it was not fetched to keep the portfolio run fast. For the live roll menu, run `fortress_fight.py --tickers NVDA`.
GLD	Main:1299	5x $390C 17 Jul 2026 (6d)	$377.01	$391.35	$0.79	$0.79	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 12.99 OTM. The $0.79 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$651 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $391.35 (breakeven).
NEM	Main:1299	5x $100C 17 Jul 2026 (6d)	$95.38	$100.66	$0.76	$0.76	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 4.62 OTM. The $0.76 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$306 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $100.66 (breakeven).
DELL	RetireInc:7291	3x $480C 17 Jul 2026 (6d)	$445.00	$489.83	$7.03	$7.03	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 35.00 OTM. The $7.03 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$2,933 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $489.83 (breakeven).
ENPH	RetireInc:7291	10x $50C 17 Jul 2026 (6d)	$45.58	$50.95	$0.83	$0.83	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 4.42 OTM. The $0.83 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$902 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $50.95 (breakeven).
CRWV	Neville:0865	5x $100C 17 Jul 2026 (6d)	$89.21	$101.02	$0.92	$0.92	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 10.79 OTM. The $0.92 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$487 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $101.02 (breakeven).
RIOT	Joint:1782	50x $24.5C 17 Jul 2026 (6d)	$21.08	$24.65	$0.16	$0.16	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 3.42 OTM. The $0.16 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$512 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $24.65 (breakeven).
APP	RetireInc:7291	1x $600C 17 Jul 2026 (6d)	$513.26	$604.35	$1.23	$1.23	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 86.74 OTM. The $1.23 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$430 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $604.35 (breakeven).
MU-LC970	Neville:0865	2x $1155C 17 Jul 2026 (6d)	$976.64	$1,162.85	$7.05	$7.05	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 178.36 OTM. The $7.05 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$1,560 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $1,162.85 (breakeven).
SPCX	Neville:0865	5x $175C 17 Jul 2026 (6d)	$147.68	$176.09	$0.47	$0.47	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 27.32 OTM. The $0.47 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$521 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $176.09 (breakeven).
GLXY	Main:1299	100x $30C 17 Jul 2026 (6d)	$25.10	$30.21	$0.20	$0.20	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 4.90 OTM. The $0.20 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$1,554 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $30.21 (breakeven).
IREN-LC45	Neville:0865	20x $53C 17 Jul 2026 (6d)	$40.74	$53.47	$0.16	$0.16	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 12.26 OTM. The $0.16 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$845 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $53.47 (breakeven).
IGV	Main:1299	12x $100C 24 Jul 2026 (13d)	$92.65	$100.97	$0.43	$0.43	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 7.35 OTM. The $0.43 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$1,104 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $100.97 (breakeven).
MDB	Neville:0865	1x $410C 24 Jul 2026 (13d)	$343.60	$417.85	$2.16	$2.16	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 66.40 OTM. The $2.16 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$780 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $417.85 (breakeven).
HIMS	Main:1299	15x $48C 24 Jul 2026 (13d)	$34.03	$48.79	$0.27	$0.27	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 13.97 OTM. The $0.27 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$1,110 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $48.79 (breakeven).
SOFI	RetireInc:7291	35x $23C 31 Jul 2026 (20d)	$18.90	$23.27	$0.23	$0.23	OK ▸	🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸
🟢 HOLD · theta is winning 4.10 OTM. The $0.23 left is all time value, bleeding your way (~$770 kept if it expires quiet). ▸ Penny-buyback at the close, re-sell next cycle. Act early only if it tags $23.27 (breakeven).

UNDERWATER, but NOT a deep drawdown a CC at CC-SS still earns ≥20% of normal; sell the normal CC, no FIGHT below CC-SS needed

Fortress	Acct	Ct	Price	CC-SS	↑ whole	CC @ CC-SS income	Normal income	Action
COIN-LC145 ↗	RetireInc:7291	3	$160.07	$186.18	16.3%	$1,184/mo (20%)	$5,905/mo	sell normal CC at/above CC-SS
GOOG-LC340 ↗	Neville:0865	5	$352.98	$367.62	4.1%	$7,673/mo (55%)	$13,990/mo	sell normal CC at/above CC-SS
GOOG-LC310 ↗	Joint:1782, Main:1299	15	$352.98	$335.40	0.0%	$32,798/mo (78%)	$41,971/mo	sell normal CC at/above CC-SS
IREN-LC25 ↗	Main:1299, Joint:1782	40	$40.73	$48.28	18.5%	$10,338/mo (32%)	$32,446/mo	sell normal CC at/above CC-SS
GOOG-LC300 ↗	Neville:0865	15	$352.98	$335.12	0.0%	$32,798/mo (78%)	$41,971/mo	sell normal CC at/above CC-SS
MU-LC880 ↗	Main:1299	5	$976.84	$1,036.95	6.2%	$55,615/mo (68%)	$82,108/mo	sell normal CC at/above CC-SS
INTC ↗	Neville:0865	5	$109.17	$114.52	4.9%	$7,385/mo (74%)	$10,010/mo	sell normal CC at/above CC-SS
NOW ↗	Main:1299	10	$107.62	$111.63	3.7%	$11,769/mo (76%)	$15,577/mo	sell normal CC at/above CC-SS

CAPPED: 17 fortress slice(s) with CCs already sold, excluded from FIGHT scope

Fortress	Acct	Ct	BE SS	Active short calls
AMZN	Joint:1782	10	$256.25	10x $252C 13 Jul 2026 (2d)
APP	RetireInc:7291	1	$588.00	1x $600C 17 Jul 2026 (6d)
CRWV	Neville:0865	5	$125.45	5x $100C 17 Jul 2026 (6d)
DELL	RetireInc:7291	3	$398.00	3x $480C 17 Jul 2026 (6d)
ENPH	RetireInc:7291	10	$56.15	10x $50C 17 Jul 2026 (6d)
HIMS	Main:1299	15	$17.47	15x $48C 24 Jul 2026 (13d)
IGV	Main:1299	12	$96.50	12x $100C 24 Jul 2026 (13d) [LEAPS_ONLY, NO_HEDGE]
IREN-LC45	Neville:0865	20	$56.50	20x $53C 17 Jul 2026 (6d)
MDB	Neville:0865	1	$362.90	1x $410C 24 Jul 2026 (13d)
META	Main:1299	3	$601.50	3x $630C 31 Jul 2026 (20d)
MU-LC970	Neville:0865	2	$1,220.00	2x $1155C 17 Jul 2026 (6d)
NEM	Main:1299	5	$114.54	5x $100C 17 Jul 2026 (6d)
NVDA	Neville:0865	5	$199.60	5x $212C 17 Jul 2026 (6d)
RIOT	Joint:1782	50	$23.65	50x $24C 17 Jul 2026 (6d)
SOFI	RetireInc:7291	35	$15.75	35x $23C 31 Jul 2026 (20d)
SPCX	Neville:0865	5	$186.00	5x $175C 17 Jul 2026 (6d)
SPY	Neville:0865	12	$764.00	12x $760C 15 Jul 2026 (4d) [LEAPS_ONLY, NO_HEDGE]

Manage these with the roll table (fortress_fight --tickers T) or roll_calls.

📏 CALIBRATION: 596 of 1511 predictions resolved since 2026-07-02, is the model honest?

Predicted survival	N	Avg predicted	Realized OTM rate	Gap
0-60%	20	58%	55%	-3pp
60-70%	63	64%	68%	+4pp
70-80%	108	77%	94%	+17pp
80-90%	158	85%	99%	+14pp
90-100%	247	95%	100%	+5pp

Touch odds: predicted 32% avg vs realized 16% touch rate over 596 resolved (daily-close proxy, undercounts intraday touches).

🚪 Roll actuals vs playbook: 28 real buyback(s) recorded · 5 roll(s), net +$0.94/sh avg.

Green gap: within 7pp. A persistent negative gap means survival is overstated (model too confident); positive means too conservative. N is small early; judge after ~30 resolved.

fortress_fight.py v6.1 --all | 2026-07-11 00:20