FORTRESS FIGHT: PORTFOLIO

38 fortress slices across 4 account(s) | 11 deep drawdown (FIGHT) | 8 underwater (not deep DD) | 0 uncapped above water | 18 capped (out of scope)

FIGHT income if all primaries filled: $56,480/mo (53% of normal target)

⚔ FIGHT: underwater & uncapped click a fortress for the full decision dashboard

Fortress	Acct	Ct	Price	CC-SS	↑ whole	🎯 Recommended	Chal odds	Per cycle	Income/mo	Floor	Net/mo	Banked	POP	Cap @ CC-SS	Rec (mo)
ETHA ↗	Main:1299	50	$13.48	$17.91	32.8%	Sell 34 x $14.50 (6d) [Next Fri]	20%	$136	$680	24%	$87	-	91%	-$11,455 (52.9% IC)	2.0
IREN-LC50 ↗	RetireInc:7291	20	$41.58	$66.93	61.0%	Sell 20 x $48 (6d) [Next Fri]	27%	$1,120	$5,600	69%	$4,278	$451	89%	-$36,734 (268.1% IC)	2.3
IREN-LC45 ↗	Neville:0865	20	$41.58	$58.26	40.1%	Sell 20 x $48 (6d) [Next Fri]	27%	$1,120	$5,600	69%	$4,693	$1,473	89%	-$19,400 (323.3% IC)	1.2
RKLB ↗	RetireInc:7291	6	$81.28	$148.12	82.2%	Sell 6 x $88.50 (6d) [Next Fri]	28%	$690	$3,450	104%	$3,194	-	84%	-$35,079 (220.2% IC)	5.3
MSTR ↗	RetireInc:7291	4	$93.90	$167.16	78.0%	Sell 4 x $102 (6d) [Next Fri]	28%	$572	$2,860	105%	$2,521	-	84%	-$25,493 (531.1% IC)	4.7
QCOM ↗	RetireInc:7291	5	$188.82	$226.57	20.0%	Sell 5 x $205 (6d) [Next Fri]	28%	$720	$3,600	74%	$3,457	$846	88%	-$10,064 (59.2% IC)	1.0
GLXY ↗ ⚐	Main:1299	25	$24.88	$33.71	35.5%	Sell 25 x $27.50 (6d) [Next Fri]	28%	$975	$4,875	102%	$4,875	-	84%	-$14,554 (263.4% IC)	1.5
COIN-LC165 ↗	Main:1299	8	$159.25	$216.65	36.0%	Sell 7 x $175 (6d) [Next Fri]	28%	$1,022	$5,110	68%	$4,784	$456	88%	-$28,130 (209.3% IC)	1.9
CLSK ↗	RetireInc:7291	25	$12.88	$17.27	34.1%	Sell 19 x $14.50 (6d) [Next Fri]	31%	$323	$1,615	68%	$1,629	-	87%	-$4,940 (52.8% IC)	1.0
GLD ↗ ⚐	Main:1299	5	$376.27	$470.85	25.1%	Sell 5 x $386 (6d) [Next Fri]	31%	$525	$2,625	73%	$2,084	$248	87%	-$41,902 (61.6% IC)	5.8
BMNR ↗	RetireInc:7291	50	$14.98	$19.60	30.8%	Sell 37 x $16.50 (6d) [Next Fri]	34%	$703	$3,515	68%	$3,830	-	86%	-$10,749 (34.4% IC)	1.0
TOTAL (11)		218						$7,906	$39,530	74%	$35,431	$3,474		-$238,501

⏱ TRIPWIRE STATUS, 20 active short call(s) 1 TRIPPED · 1 watch · 1 harvest

The one rule, applied to live marks: roll when remaining time value ≤ max($0.04, 25% of collected) or spot at/past breakeven (strike + premium). Statuses refresh on every run; challenges happen during US RTH (your night), so a TRIPPED row here means act at the open or set the order now.

Fortress

Acct

Call

Spot

Breakeven

Mark

Time value

Status

Action

META

Main:1299

3x $630C 31 Jul 2026 (20d)

$665.48

$653.94

$58.88

$23.62

TRIPPED ▸

🟡 ROLL vs HOLD · intrinsic is the enemy why ▸

SPY

Neville:0865

12x $760C 15 Jul 2026 (4d)

$754.99

$760.59

$1.06

WATCH ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

APP

RetireInc:7291

1x $600C 17 Jul 2026 (6d)

$507.95

$604.35

$0.93

HARVEST ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

GLD

Main:1299

5x $390C 17 Jul 2026 (6d)

$376.27

$391.35

$0.58

OK ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

NEM

Main:1299

5x $100C 17 Jul 2026 (6d)

$95.52

$100.66

$0.74

OK ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

COPX

Joint:1782

20x $81.5C 17 Jul 2026 (6d)

$76.71

$81.90

$0.42

OK ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

DELL

RetireInc:7291

3x $480C 17 Jul 2026 (6d)

$439.03

$489.83

$5.62

OK ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

ENPH

RetireInc:7291

10x $50C 17 Jul 2026 (6d)

$45.14

$50.95

$0.59

OK ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

CRWV

Neville:0865

5x $100C 17 Jul 2026 (6d)

$89.19

$101.02

$0.89

OK ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

MU-LC970

Neville:0865

2x $1155C 17 Jul 2026 (6d)

$993.44

$1,162.85

$9.22

OK ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

RIOT

Joint:1782

50x $24.5C 17 Jul 2026 (6d)

$21.05

$24.65

$0.14

OK ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

SPCX

Neville:0865

5x $175C 17 Jul 2026 (6d)

$148.07

$176.09

$0.43

OK ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

IREN-LC25

Main:1299

20x $50C 17 Jul 2026 (6d)

$41.56

$50.45

$0.34

OK ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

IREN-LC25

Joint:1782

20x $50C 17 Jul 2026 (6d)

$41.56

$50.45

$0.34

OK ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

GLXY

Main:1299

100x $30C 17 Jul 2026 (6d)

$24.89

$30.21

$0.15

OK ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

NVDA

Neville:0865

5x $225C 24 Jul 2026 (13d)

$210.24

$226.60

$1.48

OK ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

IGV

Main:1299

12x $100C 24 Jul 2026 (13d)

$92.45

$100.97

$0.38

OK ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

MDB

Neville:0865

1x $410C 24 Jul 2026 (13d)

$342.32

$417.85

$2.08

OK ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

HIMS

Main:1299

15x $48C 24 Jul 2026 (13d)

$34.47

$48.79

$0.29

OK ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

SOFI

RetireInc:7291

35x $23C 31 Jul 2026 (20d)

$18.82

$23.27

$0.20

OK ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

UNDERWATER, but NOT a deep drawdown a CC at CC-SS still earns ≥20% of normal; sell the normal CC, no FIGHT below CC-SS needed

Fortress	Acct	Ct	Price	CC-SS	↑ whole	CC @ CC-SS income	Normal income	Action
COIN-LC145 ↗	RetireInc:7291	3	$159.25	$186.10	16.9%	$1,225/mo (22%)	$5,642/mo	sell normal CC at/above CC-SS
GOOG-LC340 ↗	Neville:0865	5	$354.19	$367.20	3.7%	$8,135/mo (58%)	$13,962/mo	sell normal CC at/above CC-SS
GOOG-LC310 ↗	Joint:1782, Main:1299	15	$354.19	$335.44	0.0%	$32,383/mo (77%)	$41,885/mo	sell normal CC at/above CC-SS
GOOG-LC300 ↗	Neville:0865	15	$354.19	$335.78	0.0%	$32,383/mo (77%)	$41,885/mo	sell normal CC at/above CC-SS
AMZN ↗	Joint:1782	10	$245.18	$236.23	0.0%	$12,392/mo (82%)	$15,046/mo	sell normal CC at/above CC-SS
MU-LC880 ↗	Main:1299	5	$992.56	$1,037.03	4.5%	$63,058/mo (76%)	$83,077/mo	sell normal CC at/above CC-SS
INTC ↗	Neville:0865	5	$110.24	$114.70	4.0%	$7,615/mo (78%)	$9,819/mo	sell normal CC at/above CC-SS
NOW ↗	Main:1299	10	$107.51	$110.94	3.2%	$12,692/mo (81%)	$15,692/mo	sell normal CC at/above CC-SS

CAPPED: 18 fortress slice(s) with CCs already sold, excluded from FIGHT scope

Fortress	Acct	Ct	BE SS	Active short calls
APP	RetireInc:7291	1	$588.00	1x $600C 17 Jul 2026 (6d)
COPX	Joint:1782	20	$93.40	20x $82C 17 Jul 2026 (6d)
CRWV	Neville:0865	5	$125.45	5x $100C 17 Jul 2026 (6d)
DELL	RetireInc:7291	3	$398.00	3x $480C 17 Jul 2026 (6d)
ENPH	RetireInc:7291	10	$56.15	10x $50C 17 Jul 2026 (6d)
HIMS	Main:1299	15	$17.47	15x $48C 24 Jul 2026 (13d)
IGV	Main:1299	12	$96.50	12x $100C 24 Jul 2026 (13d) [LEAPS_ONLY, NO_HEDGE]
IREN-LC25	Main:1299	20	$44.00	20x $50C 17 Jul 2026 (6d)
IREN-LC25	Joint:1782	20	$44.00	20x $50C 17 Jul 2026 (6d)
MDB	Neville:0865	1	$362.90	1x $410C 24 Jul 2026 (13d)
META	Main:1299	3	$601.50	3x $630C 31 Jul 2026 (20d)
MU-LC970	Neville:0865	2	$1,220.00	2x $1155C 17 Jul 2026 (6d)
NEM	Main:1299	5	$114.54	5x $100C 17 Jul 2026 (6d)
NVDA	Neville:0865	5	$199.60	5x $225C 24 Jul 2026 (13d)
RIOT	Joint:1782	50	$23.65	50x $24C 17 Jul 2026 (6d)
SOFI	RetireInc:7291	35	$15.75	35x $23C 31 Jul 2026 (20d)
SPCX	Neville:0865	5	$186.00	5x $175C 17 Jul 2026 (6d)
SPY	Neville:0865	12	$764.00	12x $760C 15 Jul 2026 (4d) [LEAPS_ONLY, NO_HEDGE]

Manage these with the roll table (fortress_fight --tickers T) or roll_calls.

📏 CALIBRATION: 596 of 1558 predictions resolved since 2026-07-02, is the model honest?

Predicted survival	N	Avg predicted	Realized OTM rate	Gap
0-60%	20	58%	55%	-3pp
60-70%	63	64%	68%	+4pp
70-80%	108	77%	94%	+17pp
80-90%	158	85%	99%	+14pp
90-100%	247	95%	100%	+5pp

Touch odds: predicted 32% avg vs realized 16% touch rate over 596 resolved (daily-close proxy, undercounts intraday touches).

🚪 Roll actuals vs playbook: 31 real buyback(s) recorded · 6 roll(s), net +$0.50/sh avg.

Green gap: within 7pp. A persistent negative gap means survival is overstated (model too confident); positive means too conservative. N is small early; judge after ~30 resolved.

fortress_fight.py v6.1 --all | 2026-07-11 03:39