FORTRESS FIGHT: PORTFOLIO

38 fortress slices across 4 account(s) | 12 deep drawdown (FIGHT) | 7 underwater (not deep DD) | 0 uncapped above water | 18 capped (out of scope)

FIGHT income if all primaries filled: $56,320/mo (52% of normal target)

⚔ FIGHT: underwater & uncapped click a fortress for the full decision dashboard

Fortress	Acct	Ct	Price	CC-SS	↑ whole	🎯 Recommended	Chal odds	Per cycle	Income/mo	Floor	Net/mo	Banked	POP	Cap @ CC-SS	Rec (mo)
ETHA ↗	Main:1299	50	$13.57	$18.04	32.9%	Sell 34 x $14.50 (6d) [Next Fri]	21%	$136	$680	28%	$87	-	91%	-$11,885 (54.9% IC)	2.4
BMNR ↗	RetireInc:7291	50	$14.98	$20.00	33.5%	Sell 48 x $17 (6d) [Next Fri]	21%	$576	$2,880	67%	$2,433	-	91%	-$13,815 (44.2% IC)	1.6
GLXY ↗ ⚐	Main:1299	25	$24.88	$33.28	33.8%	Sell 25 x $28 (6d) [Next Fri]	22%	$750	$3,750	104%	$3,750	-	86%	-$12,454 (225.4% IC)	1.7
QCOM ↗	RetireInc:7291	5	$188.90	$225.21	19.2%	Sell 5 x $205 (6d) [Next Fri]	28%	$695	$3,475	70%	$3,053	$846	88%	-$9,408 (55.3% IC)	0.9
IREN-LC50 ↗	RetireInc:7291	20	$40.83	$65.70	60.9%	Sell 17 x $47 (6d) [Next Fri]	28%	$1,105	$5,525	67%	$4,257	$451	88%	-$30,684 (224.0% IC)	1.8
IREN-LC45 ↗	Neville:0865	20	$40.83	$56.53	38.5%	Sell 17 x $47 (6d) [Next Fri]	28%	$1,105	$5,525	67%	$4,664	$1,473	88%	-$15,096 (251.6% IC)	0.9
RKLB ↗	RetireInc:7291	6	$81.04	$146.59	80.9%	Sell 6 x $90 (6d) [Next Fri]	29%	$492	$2,460	72%	$2,204	-	88%	-$33,463 (210.1% IC)	4.9
MSTR ↗	RetireInc:7291	4	$94.90	$170.41	79.6%	Sell 4 x $103 (6d) [Next Fri]	29%	$528	$2,640	100%	$2,304	-	84%	-$26,436 (550.7% IC)	5.0
CLSK ↗	RetireInc:7291	25	$12.85	$17.15	33.5%	Sell 20 x $14.50 (6d) [Next Fri]	30%	$300	$1,500	68%	$1,512	-	88%	-$4,999 (53.5% IC)	1.1
COIN-LC165 ↗	Main:1299	8	$159.80	$218.38	36.7%	Sell 8 x $175 (6d) [Next Fri]	30%	$1,080	$5,400	72%	$4,843	$456	87%	-$33,627 (250.2% IC)	2.2
COIN-LC145 ↗	RetireInc:7291	3	$159.80	$188.32	17.8%	Sell 3 x $175 (6d) [Next Fri]	30%	$405	$2,025	72%	$1,829	$432	87%	-$3,590 (60.4% IC)	0.6
GLD ↗ ⚐	Main:1299	5	$377.90	$470.76	24.6%	Sell 5 x $387 (6d) [Next Fri]	33%	$470	$2,350	71%	$1,824	$248	86%	-$41,410 (60.9% IC)	6.2
TOTAL (12)		221						$7,642	$38,210	71%	$32,761	$3,906		-$236,867

⏱ TRIPWIRE STATUS, 20 active short call(s) 1 TRIPPED · 1 watch

The one rule, applied to live marks: roll when remaining time value ≤ max($0.04, 25% of collected) or spot at/past breakeven (strike + premium). Statuses refresh on every run; challenges happen during US RTH (your night), so a TRIPPED row here means act at the open or set the order now.

Fortress

Acct

Call

Spot

Breakeven

Mark

Time value

Status

Action

META

Main:1299

3x $630C 31 Jul 2026 (20d)

$668.02

$653.94

$37.21

$-2.00

TRIPPED ▸

🟡 ROLL vs HOLD · intrinsic is the enemy why ▸

SPY

Neville:0865

12x $760C 15 Jul 2026 (4d)

$754.81

$760.59

$0.74

WATCH ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

GLD

Main:1299

5x $390C 17 Jul 2026 (6d)

$377.90

$391.35

$1.21

OK ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

NEM

Main:1299

5x $100C 17 Jul 2026 (6d)

$95.34

$100.66

$0.78

OK ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

COPX

Joint:1782

20x $81.5C 17 Jul 2026 (6d)

$76.54

$81.90

$0.44

OK ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

DELL

RetireInc:7291

3x $480C 17 Jul 2026 (6d)

$435.11

$489.83

$11.45

OK ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

ENPH

RetireInc:7291

10x $50C 17 Jul 2026 (6d)

$44.83

$50.95

$0.69

OK ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

CRWV

Neville:0865

5x $100C 17 Jul 2026 (6d)

$88.81

$101.02

$1.37

OK ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

RIOT

Joint:1782

50x $24.5C 17 Jul 2026 (6d)

$20.96

$24.65

$0.29

OK ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

MU-LC970

Neville:0865

2x $1155C 17 Jul 2026 (6d)

$982.98

$1,162.85

$14.29

OK ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

APP

RetireInc:7291

1x $600C 17 Jul 2026 (6d)

$506.93

$604.35

$2.08

OK ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

SPCX

Neville:0865

5x $175C 17 Jul 2026 (6d)

$145.30

$176.09

$0.95

OK ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

GLXY

Main:1299

100x $30C 17 Jul 2026 (6d)

$24.88

$30.21

$0.30

OK ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

IREN-LC25

Main:1299

20x $50C 17 Jul 2026 (6d)

$40.83

$50.45

$0.60

OK ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

IREN-LC25

Joint:1782

20x $50C 17 Jul 2026 (6d)

$40.83

$50.45

$0.60

OK ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

NVDA

Neville:0865

5x $225C 24 Jul 2026 (13d)

$210.96

$226.60

$0.79

OK ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

IGV

Main:1299

12x $100C 24 Jul 2026 (13d)

$92.41

$100.97

$0.69

OK ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

MDB

Neville:0865

1x $410C 24 Jul 2026 (13d)

$342.08

$417.85

$3.99

OK ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

HIMS

Main:1299

15x $48C 24 Jul 2026 (13d)

$35.45

$48.79

$0.48

OK ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

SOFI

RetireInc:7291

35x $23C 31 Jul 2026 (20d)

$18.78

$23.27

$0.19

OK ▸

🟢 HOLD · theta is winning why ▸

UNDERWATER, but NOT a deep drawdown a CC at CC-SS still earns ≥20% of normal; sell the normal CC, no FIGHT below CC-SS needed

Fortress	Acct	Ct	Price	CC-SS	↑ whole	CC @ CC-SS income	Normal income	Action
GOOG-LC340 ↗	Neville:0865	5	$355.05	$366.19	3.1%	$9,346/mo (65%)	$14,365/mo	sell normal CC at/above CC-SS
GOOG-LC310 ↗	Joint:1782, Main:1299	15	$355.05	$334.13	0.0%	$34,269/mo (80%)	$43,096/mo	sell normal CC at/above CC-SS
GOOG-LC300 ↗	Neville:0865	15	$355.05	$333.41	0.0%	$34,269/mo (80%)	$43,096/mo	sell normal CC at/above CC-SS
MU-LC880 ↗	Main:1299	5	$982.98	$1,026.11	4.4%	$59,308/mo (76%)	$78,115/mo	sell normal CC at/above CC-SS
AMZN ↗	Joint:1782	10	$245.70	$235.11	0.0%	$11,077/mo (81%)	$13,615/mo	sell normal CC at/above CC-SS
INTC ↗	Neville:0865	5	$109.60	$111.44	1.7%	$9,404/mo (95%)	$9,923/mo	sell normal CC at/above CC-SS
NOW ↗	Main:1299	10	$107.36	$110.37	2.8%	$13,731/mo (86%)	$16,015/mo	sell normal CC at/above CC-SS

CAPPED: 18 fortress slice(s) with CCs already sold, excluded from FIGHT scope

Fortress	Acct	Ct	BE SS	Active short calls
APP	RetireInc:7291	1	$588.00	1x $600C 17 Jul 2026 (6d)
COPX	Joint:1782	20	$93.40	20x $82C 17 Jul 2026 (6d)
CRWV	Neville:0865	5	$125.45	5x $100C 17 Jul 2026 (6d)
DELL	RetireInc:7291	3	$398.00	3x $480C 17 Jul 2026 (6d)
ENPH	RetireInc:7291	10	$56.15	10x $50C 17 Jul 2026 (6d)
HIMS	Main:1299	15	$17.47	15x $48C 24 Jul 2026 (13d)
IGV	Main:1299	12	$96.50	12x $100C 24 Jul 2026 (13d) [LEAPS_ONLY, NO_HEDGE]
IREN-LC25	Main:1299	20	$44.00	20x $50C 17 Jul 2026 (6d)
IREN-LC25	Joint:1782	20	$44.00	20x $50C 17 Jul 2026 (6d)
MDB	Neville:0865	1	$362.90	1x $410C 24 Jul 2026 (13d)
META	Main:1299	3	$601.50	3x $630C 31 Jul 2026 (20d)
MU-LC970	Neville:0865	2	$1,220.00	2x $1155C 17 Jul 2026 (6d)
NEM	Main:1299	5	$114.54	5x $100C 17 Jul 2026 (6d)
NVDA	Neville:0865	5	$199.60	5x $225C 24 Jul 2026 (13d)
RIOT	Joint:1782	50	$23.65	50x $24C 17 Jul 2026 (6d)
SOFI	RetireInc:7291	35	$15.75	35x $23C 31 Jul 2026 (20d)
SPCX	Neville:0865	5	$186.00	5x $175C 17 Jul 2026 (6d)
SPY	Neville:0865	12	$764.00	12x $760C 15 Jul 2026 (4d) [LEAPS_ONLY, NO_HEDGE]

Manage these with the roll table (fortress_fight --tickers T) or roll_calls.

📏 CALIBRATION: 596 of 1588 predictions resolved since 2026-07-02, is the model honest?

Predicted survival	N	Avg predicted	Realized OTM rate	Gap
0-60%	20	58%	55%	-3pp
60-70%	63	64%	68%	+4pp
70-80%	108	77%	94%	+17pp
80-90%	158	85%	99%	+14pp
90-100%	247	95%	100%	+5pp

Touch odds: predicted 32% avg vs realized 16% touch rate over 596 resolved (daily-close proxy, undercounts intraday touches).

🚪 Roll actuals vs playbook: 31 real buyback(s) recorded · 6 roll(s), net +$0.50/sh avg.

Green gap: within 7pp. A persistent negative gap means survival is overstated (model too confident); positive means too conservative. N is small early; judge after ~30 resolved.

fortress_fight.py v6.1 --all | 2026-07-11 14:38